Absent-minded driver Dynamic games: Examples 1 (Hotel) 4 (Home) Continue 1 Continue Exit 1 Lectures in Game Theory Spring 2011, Collection of examples 2 Exit 0 08.02.2011 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-ex2 1 Battle of the Sexes with outside option 1 2 Opera Movie Opera 2, 1 Movie 0, 0 1 2 Opera Opera 1, 2 2, 1 0, 0 NC & M 0, 0 1, 2 C&O 3 2 , 3 2 3 2 , 3 2 C&M 3 2 , 3 2 3 2 , 3 2 Not call 1 1 Call 3 2 , 2 3 2 3 0, 3 Leave LT 3, 0 0, 2 Take TL 1, 0 1, 0 TT 1, 0 1, 0 3, 0 Leave Take 1 0, 2 Take 1, 0 08.02.2011 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-ex2 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-ex2 0, 27.5 30, 0 20, 20 - 10, - 15 27.5, 0 - 15, - 10 - 85, - 85 4 Take-it-or-leave-it Player 1 can take 10 kr or leave them. If left, 10 kr is added & 2 can take 20 kr or leave them. If left, 10 kr is added & 1 can take 30 kr or leave them. If left, 10 kr is added & 2 can take 40 kr or leave them. If left, no more money is added & the left 40 kr goes to 1. You will be player 1 or 22. Write a strategy for your player on a piece of paper together with your name. Alternatives … if player 1: 1T, 1LT, 1LL. … if player 2: 2T, 2LT, 2LL. Two pieces of paper will be drawn, one to pick player 1’s strategy and one to pick player 2’s strategy. The game will be played acc. to these strategies, and money will be paid. 2 Leave Take 08.02.2011 L 0, 0 0, 30 1 0, 2 0, 2 N S 1, 2 Leave 2 0, 3 N S L Movie 0, 2 LL 2 L 2 Leave Take 3, 0 S Movie 2 Take 0, 0 0, 0 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-ex2 0, 3 N S N 1 Take-it-or-leave-it Leave 2 L Movie 1 08.02.2011 1 Entry game w/investment 2, 1 2 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-ex2 2 0, 0 Opera Movie NC & O 08.02.2011 (Slum) 5 08.02.2011 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-ex2 6 1 Division of 50 kr Division of 50 kr (results) Half of you (proposers): Other half (responders): Select an integer between 0 Select an integer between 0 and 50: your offer to the other and 50: smallest accept. sum Write this number, with Write this number, with your name, name on a slip of paper paper. your name, name on a slip of paper paper. Make your selections simultaneously and independently. Two pieces of paper will be drawn, one from each pile. If offered amount is at least as large as least accept. sum, then the chosen responder receives the offered amount, and the proposer the rest. If not, nothing is received. 08.02.2011 Ultimatum game 1 Demand Responders: (9.8) (16.0) (22.0) (20.5) (19 1) (19.1) (21.7) (20.8) (17.3) (14.0) (10.0) (0,0) 0: 2 (23.5) 1: 1 (23.5) 10: 3 (23.4) 15: 1 (22.2) 20: 4 (22.2) 25: 2 (18.4) 35: 1 (7.4) 40: 1 (5.3) 7 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-ex2 Share Proposers: 1: 2 10: 2 20: 1 22: 1 24: 1 25: 3 26: 2 30: 2 35: 1 40: 1 50: 1 Do people follow their selfish material interest? – Game of trust – Game of punishment 2 Y 4, 4 Based on various papers by Ernst Fehr, U of Zurich. N 2 Y 0, 0 7, 1 – P decides whether to impose p 4 on A if unfulfilled demand. N 0, 0 – A receives c v s 3x andd cchooses s s to send s d back b c 0 y 3x to P. – P gives 0 x 10 to A (& announces “demand” 0 d 3x). – P’s payoff: 10 x y A’s payoff: 10 3x y ( punishm.) YY YN NY NN Share 4, 4 4, 4 0, 0 0, 0 What predictions if P and A follow their selfish material interests? Experim. Larger x from P to A, leads to larger y from A to P. results: If P threatens with an avail. punishm., then y is reduced. Demand 7, 1 0, 0 7, 1 0, 0 If punishm. is avail., but is not used as a threat, then y is increased. 08.02.2011 9 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-ex2 Finding the solution of Rubinstein’s bargaining model with an infinite time horizon Equal bargaining weight for 1 i periods 1 and 3: m1 m3 In period 1, 1 makes the best proposal that 2 accepts: 1 m1 (1 m2 ) In period 2, 2 makes the best proposal that 1 accepts: m2 2 m3 Three equations in three unknown. Solution: m1 m3 08.02.2011 1 1 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-ex2 m2 1 11 08.02.2011 10 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-ex2 2 Repeated Bertrand comp. Coop.: Both set monopoly price: p m 30 p1m p2m 1m 2m 450 1 If deviation, coop. breaks down: b b b b b b p1 p2 0 1 2 0 q1 q2 30 Subgame perfect Nash equilibrium (NE in all subgames)? If cooperation has broken down: NE in the subgames. If cooperation has not broken down: Short-run gain PV of long-run loss 1 900 450 ( 450 0) 450 900 2 1 P (Q ) 60 Q q1m q2m 15 08.02.2011 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-ex2 12 2 Repeated Cournot comp. 2 Harsher punishments? Coop.: In total, monopoly quantity. q1m q2m 15 1m 2m 450 1 If deviation, coop. breaks down: 1c 2c 400 q1c q2c 20 p c 20 Subgame perfect Nash equilibrium (NE in all subgames)? If cooperation has broken down: NE in the subgames. If cooperation has not broken down: Short-run gain PV of long-run loss 9 506.25 450 ( 450 400) 56.25 106.25 1 17 P (Q ) 60 Q p m 30 08.02.2011 13 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-ex2 “Getting Even” 2 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-ex2 An agreement between k participating countries based on: Two observations: – Not a subgame perfect NE if k is too low. – Not “renegotiation-proof ” if k is too high. 08.02.2011 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-ex2 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-ex2 14 Based on Barrett, Journal of Theoretical Politics 11 (1999), 519–541. Cooperate: Reduce the emission of greenhouse gases. Defect: Do not reduce the emission of greenh. gases. In total N countries,, where n countries cooperates. Payoff function: C ( n) c dn D ( n) bn Conditions: c d b 0 b( N 1) c dN 0 Cooperation for climate control (cont.) “Getting Even”: A participating country plays Cooperate by reducing emission, except if another participating country has been the sole deviator from “Getting Even” in the previous period (in which case, the play of Defect in the sense of no reduction of emission is specified). Non-participating countries play Defect after any history. 08.02.2011 15 Cooperation for climate control (cont.) Coop.: In total, monopoly quantity. q1m q2m 15 1m 2m 450 1 If deviation, price = 0 in 1 period: p0 1 2 0 q1 q2 30 Short-run gain PV of loss in next period If cooperation has not broken down: 1 506.25 450 (450 0) 56.25 450 8 If cooperation has broken down: 1 225 0 ( 450 0) 225 450 2 P (Q ) 60 Q p m 30 Cooperation for climate control Coop.: In total, monopoly quantity. P (Q ) 60 Q q1m q2m 15 m p 30 1m 2m 450 1 If 1 deviates, 2 takes over for 1 period: p 30 q1 0 & q2 30 1 0 & 2 900 Short-run gain PV of loss in next period If cooperation has not broken down: 1 506.25 450 (450 0) 56.25 450 8 If cooperation has broken down: 1 225 0 ( 450 0) 225 450 2 08.02.2011 2 17 Subgame perfect Nash equilibrium (NE in all subgames)? Short-run gain PV of loss in next period If cooperation has not broken down: b( k 1) dk c ( dk d ) k 1 c d d b d If cooperation has broken down: cd 0 d c ( dk d ) k 1 d Are the punishing countries better off during punishment (so they do not want to return to the original equilibrium at once)? b dk c k b c b d & close to 1 : d c c k 1 08.02.2011 18 G.B. Asheim, ECON4240-ex2 d d 3