Moisture Surplus and Deficit One Year Avg. 2010

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120°W 100°W 80°W

Moisture Surplus and Deficit One Year Avg. 2010

50°N

30°N

One Year Moisture Surplus/ Deficit

Extreme Drought (<-2)

Severe Drought (-2 to -1.5)

Moderate Drought (-1.5 to -1)

Mild Drought (-1 to -0.5)

Near Normal Conditions (-0.5 to 0.5)

Mild Moisture Surplus (0.5 to 1)

Moderate Moisture Surplus (1 to 1.5)

Severe Moisture Surplus (1.5 to 2)

Extreme Moisture Surplus (>2)

Map produced by FHTET, IL

Fort Collins, CO on 2-8-2012

0 100 200 400 600 800

Kilometers

Albers Equal Area Conic Projection

1,000

One year moisture surplus and deficit for 2010 developed from PRISM climate data resampled to 1km resolution. Moisture index values for a given location represent the deviation from the 100 year moisture average.

Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D.; Coulston, J.W. In press. Recent drought conditions in the conterminous

United States. Chapter 4 in Potter, K.M.; Conkling, B.L. (eds.) Forest Health Monitoring 2011 National

Technical Report. Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-xxx. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest

Service, Southern Research Station.

100°W 80°W

30°N

Moisture Surplus and Deficit Map and Data Summary

The Moisture Surplus and Deficit maps represent the departure from typical moisture conditions over a 1-, 3-, and 5-year time period (Koch 2011).

PRISM climate grids (4km resolution) were used to calculate a moisture index value for each location across the contiguous U.S. (CONUS), with the final product resampled to 1km resolution. Moisture index values incorporate both precipitation and potential evapotranspiration, giving an accounting of a location’s water balance. Typical (i.e., long-term) moisture conditions are represented by the 100 year average and standard deviation. Moisture conditions over a 1-, 3-, or 5-year window are compared to the corresponding 100 year conditions to classify an area as having moisture deficit, surplus, or near normal conditions during the time period of interest (Table 1).

Data Source:

Gridded precipitation data developed using the Parameter-elevation Regression on Independent Slopes (PRISM) Climate Mapping System, and available from the

PRISM Climate Group web site ( http://www.prism.oregonstate.edu/ ). Potential evapotranspiration grids calculated in part using gridded temperature data, also from the PRISM Climate Group web site. For additional details on the PRISM method: Daly, C.; Gibson, W. P.; Taylor, G. H. [and others]. 2002. A knowledgebased approach to the statistical mapping of climate. Climate Research. 22: 99-113.

Reference:

Koch, F.H.; Smith, W.D.; Coulston, J.W. In press. Recent drought conditions in the conterminous United States. Chapter 4 in Potter, K.M.; Conkling, B.L. (eds.)

Forest Health Monitoring 2011 National Technical Report. Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-xxx. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern

Research Station.

Table 1: Moisture surplus deficit scores classified Point of Contact

into nine moisture status classes.

Frank H. Koch

Moisture

Score Moisture Status

Research Ecologist

USDA Forest Service,

<-2 Extreme drought

-2 to -1.5 Severe drought

Southern Research Station

Eastern Forest Environmental

-1.5 to -1

-1 to -0.5

Moderate drought

Mild drought

Threat Assessment Center

3041 Cornwallis Road

-0.5 to 0.5 Near normal conditions

Research Triangle Park, NC 27709

Phone: (919) 549-4006

0.5 to 1 Mild moisture surplus

1 to 1.5

1.5 to 2

> 2

Moderate moisture surplus

Severe moisture surplus

Extreme moisture surplus

Email: fhkoch@fs.fed.us

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Ian Leinwand

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