GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. ???, XXXX, DOI:10.1029/, 1 2 3 The Sign of the Radiative Forcing from Marine Cloud Brightening Depends on Both Particle Size and Injection Amount 1 1 K. Alterskjær, J. E. Kristjánsson K. Alterskjær, Department of Geosciences, Meteorology and Oceanography Section, University of Oslo, P.O.Box 1022, 0315 Oslo, NORWAY. (karialt@geo.uio.no) J. E. Kristjánsson, Department of Geosciences, Meteorology and Oceanography Section, University of Oslo, P.O.Box 1022, 0315 Oslo, NORWAY. 1 Department of Geosciences, Meteorology and Oceanography Section, University of Oslo, Oslo, NORWAY. D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T X-2 : 4 Marine cloud brightening (MCB) is a proposed technique to limit global 5 warming through injections of sea spray into the marine boundary layer. Us- 6 ing the Norwegian Earth System Model, the sensitivity of MCB to sea salt 7 amount and particle size was studied by running a set of simulations in which 8 Aitken (re =0.04µm), accumulation (re =0.22µm) or coarse (re =2.46µm) mode 9 sea salt emissions were increased uniformly by 10−11 to 10−8 kg m−2 s−1 . As 10 desired, accumulation mode particles had a negative radiative effect of down 11 to -3.3 W m−2 . Conversely, for Aitken mode particles, injections of 10−10 kg 12 m−2 s−1 or greater led to a positive forcing of up to 8.4 W m−2 , caused by 13 a strong competition effect combined with the high critical supersaturation 14 of Aitken mode sea salt. The coarse mode particles gave a positive forcing 15 of up to 1.2 W m−2 because of a decrease in activation of background aerosols. 16 Sensitivity experiments show that the competition effect dominated our re- 17 sults. MCB may have a cooling effect, but if the wrong size or injection amount 18 is used, our simulations show a warming effect on the climate system. D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T : X-3 1. Introduction 19 Deliberate engineered cooling of the global climate has received increased scientific 20 interest over the last decade as mitigation strategies to limit global warming are yet to be 21 of significance. One climate engineering strategy involves enhancing the albedo of marine 22 clouds and thus increasing the reflection of solar radiation from the Earth-atmosphere 23 system [Latham, 1990]. The idea is that spraying sea water into the marine boundary layer 24 will increase the number of sea salt particles that ascend into overlying clouds and increase 25 their albedo through the aerosol indirect effect [Twomey, 1974]. This may significantly 26 affect the global radiation budget because of the low albedo of the underlying ocean surface 27 in the subtropics, where extensive low clouds are found. 28 Early estimates of the global radiative effect of marine cloud brightening (MCB) as- 29 sumed a certain change in cloud droplet number concentration (CDNC) in seeded clouds 30 and found that MCB could wholly or partially cancel the positive forcing associated with 31 a doubling of CO2 from preindustrial times [Latham et al., 2008; Jones et al., 2009; Rasch 32 et al., 2009]. Korhonen et al. [2010] used a global aerosol transport model, while Pringle 33 et al. [2012] used three independent global aerosol models and a box model and Wang 34 et al. [2011] used a cloud-system-resolving model to investigate what changes in CDNC 35 were achievable from sea salt injections, but these studies did not include estimates of the 36 radiative effect of the cloud seeding. 37 To our knowledge only three global studies have so far included estimates of the forcing 38 from MCB using fully prognostic treatments of sea salt. Jones and Haywood [2012] 39 studied the radiative impact and climate effects of wind speed dependent MCB while D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T X-4 : 40 Alterskjær et al. [2012] injected sea salt uniformly over the ocean to study the geographical 41 distribution of clouds susceptible to seeding. Partanen et al. [2012] used wind speed 42 dependent emissions of sea salt and estimated that injecting 20.6 Tg yr−1 into the most 43 sensitive stratocumulus regions led to a forcing of -0.8 W m−2 . Decreasing the size of the 44 particles by 60 % or multiplying the injections by five led to a forcing of -2.1 W m−2 and 45 -2.2 W m−2 , respectively. 46 In this study, we have investigated further the importance of particle size and injection 47 strength. This is necessary to understand the outcome of a potential seeding measure - 48 what sea salt size category would be most effective and therefore least costly?; is the same 49 size category most effective for all injection mass fluxes?; and is there a simple linear 50 relation between injection strength and forcing? We have used the Norwegian Earth 51 System Model (NorESM) [Bentsen et al., 2012] to investigate the global sensitivity to 52 particle size and injection strength. We have looked at how injections of sea salt affect 53 the cloud radiative properties and how the increased competition effect resulting from the 54 added sea salt affects our global estimates. In section 2 we describe the model used and 55 the experimental design, while in section 3 we go through the results of our experiments, 56 including a presentation and discussion of sensitivity experiments performed to test the 57 robustness of our findings. We summarize and conclude in section 4. 2. Model and Methods 2.1. NorESM 58 Simulations were performed using the NorESM, which is based on the NCAR (National 59 Center for Atmospheric Research) CCSM4 (Community Climate System Model version D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T : X-5 60 4), but includes new treatments of clouds, aerosols, aerosol-radiation and aerosol-cloud 61 interactions and chemistry [Kirkevåg et al., 2012], along with a new ocean model com- 62 ponent. The aerosol module accounts for prognostic sea salt, sulfate (SO4 ), particulate 63 organic matter, black carbon and mineral dust as well as two gaseous aerosol precursors 64 producing sulfate (DMS and SO2 ). The model uses the Mårtensson et al. [2003] scheme 65 for wind speed and temperature dependent sea salt emissions [Struthers et al., 2011]. It 66 includes sea salt particles with dry number modal radii of 0.022 µm (Aitken mode), 0.13 67 µm (accumulation mode) and 0.74 µm (coarse mode) and geometric standard deviations 68 of 1.59, 1.59 and 2.0, respectively, corresponding to dry effective radii of 0.04 µm, 0.22 69 µm and 2.46 µm. 70 The aerosol indirect effect is accounted for as described in Hoose et al. [2009] and has 71 a magnitude of -0.91 W m−2 in the current set up. The model uses the Abdul-Razzak and 72 Ghan [2000] cloud droplet nucleation scheme and parametrized updraft velocities follow- 73 ing Morrison and Gettelman [2008], with annually averaged in-cloud velocities ranging 74 between about 10 cm s−1 and 100 cm s−1 at a model hybrid level at ∼945 hPa over ocean 75 (see auxiliary material). For an overview of typically observed updrafts we refer the reader 76 to Pringle et al. [2012]. Model cloud properties were compared to satellite retrievals in 77 e. g. Alterskjær et al. [2012] and Jiang et al. [2012] indicating a general underestimation 78 of marine cloud CDNC and an overestimation of the simulated cloud liquid water path 79 (LWP). The low CDNC makes the model more susceptible to MCB, while the high LWP 80 has the opposite effect. Alterskjær et al. [2012] also showed that the simulated cloud D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T X-6 : 81 fraction below 700 hPa is generally overestimated, except for a slight underestimation in 82 the sub-tropical stratocumulus regions. 2.2. Experimental Design 83 Cloud brightening simulations were performed by artificially increasing the emissions of 84 each of the three fully prognostic NorESM sea salt modes, meaning that the injected sea 85 salt was treated in a similar manner to natural sea salt and that no explicit assumptions 86 were made on their ability to act as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN). The emissions 87 were uniform and confined between 30◦ S and 30◦ N based on the findings of Alterskjær 88 et al. [2012]. Most earlier studies have used wind speed dependent emissions due to the 89 experimental design proposed by Salter et al. [2008]. For simplicity, this dependency is 90 not included in our idealized study as we believe that the emission technology may change 91 prior to possible implementation. Injection fluxes ranged from 10−11 kg m−2 s−1 to 10−8 92 kg m−2 s−1 (Table 1(a)), which corresponded to a global sea salt emission increase of from 93 0.9 % to 913 %. A list of all simulations performed is shown in Table 1(b). 94 The model was run offline, meaning that the meteorological evolution remains un- 95 changed between simulations, so that the simulated change in radiative forcing is due to 96 indirect effects only. The control run uses year 2000 greenhouse gas concentrations and 97 year 2000 CMIP 5 aerosol emissions and the model resolution is 1.9◦ x 2.5◦ . It runs with 98 26 vertical levels, with a top at about 2 hPa. All simulations include one year of spin up 99 and results presented are averaged over the four following years. 3. Results D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T : X-7 3.1. Reference Simulations 100 The radiative effect of sea salt injections was studied by investigating the resulting 101 change in shortwave cloud forcing (SWCF) at the top of the atmosphere. Note that the 102 longwave effect was negligible. Figure 1(a) shows the resulting radiative effect, where ref- 103 erence model runs are marked by Umin = 10 cm/s as this is the minimum sub-grid scale 104 in-cloud vertical velocity used in the model parametrisation [Morrison and Gettelman, 105 2008]. The accumulation mode sea salt is closest to the particle size suggested fit for 106 cloud brightening by Latham [2002] (0.13 µm dry radius), and all simulations with injec- 107 tions of this mode (dark green) show the negative radiative effect desired from climate 108 engineering, with a maximum negative forcing of -3.3 W m−2 . By comparison, a dou- 109 bling of atmospheric CO2 yields a positive forcing of about 3.7 W m−2 . Figures 1(b) and 110 1(c) show that the negative forcing associated with MCB is directly linked to an increase 111 in the column integrated CDNC, which in turn leads to smaller droplets, a decrease in 112 precipitation release and therefore to an increase in the LWP. 113 Figure 1(a) also reveals a weaker negative forcing for the largest compared to the second 114 largest injections of the accumulation mode sea salt. As described in Alterskjær et al. 115 [2012] this can be caused by an increased competition effect, because the added sea salt 116 particles swell, creating a moisture sink which lowers the maximum supersaturation (S) 117 and therefore increases the critical size that particles must have to activate [Ghan et al., 118 1998; Korhonen et al., 2010]. This competition effect may bring the S below that necessary 119 to activate background aerosols and in some cases below that necessary to activate the 120 added sea salt itself. Figure 1(d) shows that as the injection flux goes up, the S goes D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T X-8 : 121 down monotonically, as found in Korhonen et al. [2010] and Wang et al. [2011], and for 122 the accumulation mode 10−8 kg m−2 s−1 case, the globally and annually averaged S is 123 brought down to only 0.078 %. Based on Köhler theory, this is well above the critical S 124 of 0.013 % needed to activate accumulation mode sea salt, but very close to the critical 125 S of the model’s accumulation mode droplets of pure H2 SO4 of 0.07 % (Fig. 1(d), lower 126 purple dashed line). Our results show that regionally and temporarily the S goes below 127 the value necessary for activation of accumulation mode sulfate, and there is a reduction in 128 activation of background aerosols leading to a drop in both the CDNC and the LWP (Fig. 129 1(b) and 1(c)), so that the efficiency of the seeding goes down for the largest injection 130 mass. 131 Figures 1(e) and 1(f) show the average aerosol number concentration and CDNC ob- 132 tained in the latitudinal band where sea salt is injected for the model level where the 133 subtropical stratocumulus base is found most frequently (945 hPa). The aerosol number 134 concentration is on the order of 103 cm−3 to 106 cm−3 . For comparison, polluted urban 135 areas have particle concentrations of the order of 105 cm−3 [Pruppacher and Klett, 1997]. 136 Only one simulation gives an averaged CDNC above 375 cm−3 , a value suggested to offset 137 the radiative forcing of a doubling of CO2 [Latham et al., 2008]. 138 The change in SWCF resulting from injections of Aitken mode sea salt is shown as dark 139 blue columns in Fig. 1(a). For the smallest injection amount the cooling effect of Aitken 140 mode sea salt is larger than for accumulation mode sea salt. This is because we add a 141 larger number of particles per injection mass for the Aitken mode, and more particles 142 are activated to form cloud droplets (Fig. 1(b)). A large increase in CDNC leads to an D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T : X-9 143 increase in LWP that is larger for Aitken mode than for accumulation mode injections for 144 this mass flux. 145 Figure 1(d) shows that the suppression of S is greater for the Aitken mode particles 146 than for accumulation or coarse mode particles, which is due to the larger surface area 147 for water vapor to condense on. Also, as the particles themselves are small in the Aitken 148 mode injections, their critical S (0.16 %, Fig. 1(d), upper purple dashed line) is higher 149 than for accumulation mode sea salt. Figure 1(d) shows that the S is above this value 150 only for the smallest injection mass flux of Aitken mode sea salt. For injection strengths 151 of 10−10 kg m−2 s−1 or greater, the water vapor condensing on the added sea salt brings 152 the globally averaged S below that necessary to activate the Aitken mode sea salt itself. 153 Thus the added particles may not contribute as CCN and the lowered S instead suppresses 154 activation of background aerosols. As a result, the simulated change in SWCF is positive 155 and increasingly more so as the injection mass flux increases, reaching a maximum forcing 156 in our simulations of +8.4 W m−2 . This is the opposite effect of what one would seek to 157 achieve if performing climate engineering. 158 The radiative effect of injecting coarse mode sea salt is positive in our simulations, 159 albeit much less so than for the Aitken mode particles (Fig. 1(a), dark red bars). The 160 reason for this warming effect is twofold. Firstly, the number of particles per mass is small 161 for the coarse mode case, so that while the sea salt particles are always large enough to 162 activate, in number they do not contribute much to the CDNC. Secondly, while the added 163 surface area is low for this mode, water vapor does condense on the sea salt and the S is 164 decreased (Fig. 1(d)). This keeps some of the background aerosols from activating, and D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T X - 10 : 165 as long as this number is greater than the number of new droplets created on the coarse 166 mode sea salt, there will be a warming effect. Figure 1 shows that both the CDNC and 167 the LWP decrease with increasing injection strength. The radiative effect of this sea salt 168 mode increases substantially for the largest injection flux, for which a positive forcing of 169 1.2 W m−2 is reached (Fig. 1(a)). In this case, the globally averaged S is brought below 170 0.16 % (Fig. 1(d)), the critical S of Aitken mode sea salt. This indicates that injecting 171 enough coarse mode sea salt to shut off the activation of natural Aitken mode sea salt 172 may lead to a warming of the climate system. 173 In agreement with our findings, Pringle et al. [2012] found in their box model investi- 174 gation that a decrease in CDNC was possible under certain conditions. However, these 175 conditions were not met in their global study, possibly due to their moderate injection 176 amounts relative to our values. 3.2. Sensitivity Tests 177 The maximum simulated negative forcing of -3.3 W m−2 was achieved when injecting 178 10−9 kg m−2 s−1 of sea salt between 30◦ S and 30◦ N, corresponding to injecting 5936 Tg 179 of sea salt per year. By comparison Partanen et al. [2012] simulated a forcing of -5.1 180 W m−2 when injecting only 443.9 Tg yr−1 of sea salt of a comparable size distributed 181 over all ocean regions. A direct comparison of these two studies is difficult due to the 182 differences in experimental design, but the findings indicate that NorESM may be less 183 sensitive to sea salt seeding than the ECHAM5.5-HAM2 used by Partanen et al. [2012]. 184 Firstly, the forcing estimate from Partanen et al. [2012] was based on a simulation without 185 “ultrafine” sea salt (dry diameter < 100 nm), which was included in our study. Including D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T : X - 11 186 these particles in their model weakened their forcing estimate to -4.5 W m−2 . Secondly, the 187 updraft vertical velocity in the Partanen et al. [2012] study was very high, ranging between 188 1.0 and 1.4 m s−1 , which according to the authors eliminated the competition effect from 189 their study. Our results indicate that the competition effect significantly reduces the 190 maximum in-cloud supersaturation. If overestimated, this competition effect will influence 191 our results substantially and may lead to an underestimation of the effectiveness of MCB. 192 To investigate this closer we conducted two sets of sensitivity simulations. In the first 193 set, the maximum in-cloud supersaturation was set to a fixed value of 0.2 % (annually 194 averaged control run S is 0.18 % globally around 945 hPa) and the model was run for an 195 injection strength of 10−10 kg m−2 s−1 for the Aitken and accumulation modes and for a 196 strength of 10−8 kg m−2 s−1 for the coarse mode. The second set involved increasing the 197 minimum sub-grid scale in-cloud vertical velocity in the Morrison and Gettelman [2008] 198 parametrisation from 10 cm s−1 to 30 cm s−1 . This increased the average updraft velocity 199 between 30◦ S and 30◦ N from 30.4 cm s−1 to 41.6 cm s−1 around 945 hPa (see auxiliary 200 material) and increased the maximum in-cloud supersaturation. This setup was run for 201 all injection strengths for the Aitken and the accumulation mode injections and for the 202 10−10 kg m−2 s−1 injections for the coarse mode sea salt. 203 3.2.1. Fixed Supersaturation 204 Setting the in-cloud supersaturation to a fixed value increased the magnitude of the 205 negative forcing of the accumulation mode sea salt from -1.27 W m−2 to -1.43 W m−2 for 206 an injection strength of 10−10 kg m−2 s−1 (Fig. 1(a); green dashed line). More strikingly, 207 for the Aitken mode, removing the competition effect led to a change in the sign of D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T X - 12 : 208 the resulting forcing; going from +1.27 W m−2 to -5.91 W m−2 . The high number to 209 mass ratio combined with an S that is above the critical S of the Aitken mode sea salt 210 (0.16 %), leads to a very large cooling effect. These results confirm that the competition 211 effect dramatically limits the simulated cooling effect achieved from cloud seeding in the 212 reference simulations. 213 Latham et al. [2008] suggested that seeding clouds with coarse mode sea salt particles 214 might lead to a warming because the “giant salt nuclei” may lead to an early onset of 215 precipitation and a decrease in LWP. We investigated this by running the 10−8 kg m−2 s−1 216 coarse mode case with a constant S of 0.2 %. This brought the change in SWCF from 1.2 217 W m−2 (Fig. 1(a)) to 0 W m−2 , indicating that there is no contribution to the simulated 218 warming in our coarse mode results from other sources than the competition effect. 219 3.2.2. Enhanced Minimum Vertical Velocity 220 Increasing the minimum in-cloud vertical velocity in the second set of sensitivity simu- 221 lations led to an increase in the globally and annually averaged control run S from 0.18 222 % to 0.26 % around 945 hPa (Fig. 1(d); yellow bars). This led to activation of smaller 223 background particles in the increased updraft simulations (Umin30) than in the reference 224 simulations (ref) and therefore increased the CDNC (Fig. 1(b); yellow bars) and decreased 225 the effective radius around 945 hPa from 8.7 µm in ref to 8.2 µm in Umin30. The LWP 226 increased from 126 gm−2 in ref to 137 gm−2 in the Umin30 simulation due to suppression 227 of precipitation. Combined, the influence on the effective radius and the LWP led to a 228 control run that had a higher cloud albedo in Umin30 than in the ref. D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T X - 13 : 229 For accumulation mode sea salt injections, the radiative forcing achieved was smaller 230 in magnitude than in the ref simulations, except for the simulation of maximum sea salt 231 seeding mass (Fig. 1(a); green bars). The small magnitude was caused by (i) reduced 232 precipitation suppression due to high control run CDNC [Rasch and Kristjánsson, 1998, 233 Eq. 21] and (ii) a reduced sensitivity for albedo to change with LWP due to high control 234 run LWP; Assuming an asymmetry parameter of 0.85 and an optical depth τ = 235 gives a change in cloud albedo, A [Hobbs, 1993], with LWP of: δA 4.67ρL re = δLW P (LW P + 4.67ρL re )2 3LW P 2ρL re (1) 236 where re is the cloud droplet effective radius and ρL the density of water. Combined, (i) 237 and (ii) led to a smaller radiative effect of MCB for Umin30 than for ref accumulation 238 mode seeding. 239 For the maximum injections of accumulation mode sea salt, the high Umin30 control 240 run S needed a large reduction to bring it below that necessary to activate background 241 sulfate. Contrary to ref simulations, the Umin30 simulations resulted in an S that was well 242 above the critical limit (Fig. 1(d); lower purple dashed line). The reduced competition 243 effect resulted in a MCB that still served to increase the CDNC and LWP and therefore 244 to increase the magnitude of the SW cloud forcing. 245 For the Aitken mode, Fig. 1(d) (light blue columns) shows that both the 10−11 and 246 the 10−10 kg m−2 s−1 injections have Umin30 S around 945 hPa that are above the 247 critical limit to activate the added Aitken mode sea salt. The two cases therefore led to 248 negative forcing, which for the smallest injections was stronger than the forcing produced 249 in the ref simulation (Fig. 1(a)). The increased updraft led to increased activation of D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T X - 14 : 250 the added sea salt particles themselves and therefore to a more effective MCB, while 251 for the corresponding accumulation mode case the increased updraft mainly increased 252 activation of background particles, thus leading to a decreased the efficiency of MCB. 253 The high Umin30 control run S leads to a “delay” in the competition effect, reducing the 254 positive forcing for high Aitken mode injections because more sea salt is needed to remove 255 enough water vapor to bring the S below that necessary for activation of the Aitken mode 256 particles. 257 258 For the coarse mode, we saw no significant change between the ref and the Umin30 simulations. 259 The sensitivity experiments greatly suppress the competition effect, but nevertheless do 260 not lead to negative radiative flux perturbations of the same magnitude as that found by 261 Partanen et al. [2012]. One possible reason is that the Umin30 simulations have average 262 updrafts of 41.6 cm s−1 around 945 hPa (see auxiliary material), which is still well below 263 that of Partanen et al. [2012]. The NorESM may also be less sensitive to the added sea 264 salt than the ECHAM5.5-HAM2 used by Partanen et al. [2012] due to the large model 265 LWP (Eq. 1). Additionally, Partanen et al. [2012] seeded all ocean areas, while we only 266 seeded between 30◦ S and 30◦ N. This may influence the forcing estimates because of the 267 nonlinear relation between added mass and forcing caused by e. g. differences in the 268 regional meteorological conditions - are there low clouds above?; Are there updrafts that 269 can carry the injected sea salt aloft?; Is the particle number in the region already high 270 rendering the clouds less sensitive to the injected sea salt? D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T : X - 15 271 This study does not account for kinetic limitations on the activation of giant CCN 272 [Chuang et al., 1997]. In regions of high S this may lead to an overestimated CDNC, while 273 the opposite may be true in regions of low S where an overestimated droplet activation 274 may lead to an exaggerated competition effect. Not accounting for this kinetic limitation 275 may be especially important for the coarse mode sea salt injections, for which we expect 276 the simulated positive radiative forcing to be an upper estimate. 4. Conclusions 277 In this study we have investigated how deliberate injections of sea salt into the marine 278 boundary layer affect the global radiative budget as a function of both particle size cat- 279 egory and injection mass flux. Using the NorESM we find that injecting accumulation 280 mode sea salt between 30◦ S and 30◦ N leads to a desired negative radiative effect of down 281 to -3.3 W m−2 which would almost cancel the positive forcing of a doubling of atmo- 282 spheric CO2 . On the other hand, for Aitken mode injections greater or equal to 10−10 283 kg m−2 s−1 , the simulated net radiative effect is positive, reaching a maximum of 8.4 W 284 m−2 . This is because the competition effect reduces the maximum supersaturation and 285 suppresses activation of both the added Aitken mode sea salt and background particles, 286 leading to a decrease in both CDNC and LWP. When coarse mode sea salt is injected, 287 the simulated net radiative effect is always positive. While the coarse mode sea salt itself 288 is large enough to activate, its small number to mass ratio leads to a lower increase in 289 CDNC due to the added sea salt than the decrease in activation of background aerosols 290 due to the competition effect. D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T X - 16 : 291 We also performed sensitivity tests which show that the size of the competition effect is 292 crucial for the simulated forcing achieved. Omitting this effect led to a negative forcing of 293 -5.9 W m−2 when injecting 10−10 kg m−2 s−1 of Aitken mode sea salt, whereas the same 294 injections gave a positive forcing of 1.3 W m−2 in the reference simulation. Increasing the 295 minimum in-cloud updraft velocity increased the S and led to a “delay” in the competition 296 effect. However, for accumulation mode injections, the increased updraft mainly led to 297 increased activation of background aerosols, leading to a reduced efficiency of the MCB. 298 The results presented in this study clearly show that the effectiveness of MCB is very 299 sensitive to the injection mass flux and particle size. While a cooling effect is simulated 300 for certain sea salt injections, emitting the wrong particle size or the wrong amount leads 301 to a simulated warming of the climate system, which is opposite to what one seeks to 302 achieve by climate engineering. 303 This study aims to be a first step in investigating the global effect of MCB of different 304 sized particles and injection amounts. Not all sea salt particle sizes are represented and 305 the model resolution is coarse. Wood [2007] showed that the cloud lifetime effect may 306 change sign depending on the vertical placement of the cloud base and Wang et al. [2011] 307 showed that the cloud albedo effect depends strongly on the fine scale atmospheric state, 308 neither of which are well represented in climate models. However, coarse models such as 309 the NorESM are currently the only tool available to study the global effects of MCB. 310 Acknowledgments. This study was partly funded by the European Commission’s 311 7th Framework Program through the IMPLICC project (FP7-ENV-2008-1-226567), and 312 by the Norwegian Research Council through the EarthClim project (207711/E10) and D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T : X - 17 313 its programme for supercomputing (NOTUR) through a grant for computing time. The 314 authors are thankful to Philip Rasch and to the IMPLICC consortium for constructive 315 discussions. D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T X - 18 : References 316 317 Abdul-Razzak, H., and S. J. Ghan (2000), A parametrization of aerosol activation 2. Multiple aerosol types, J. Geophys. Res., 105, 6837–6844. 318 Alterskjær, K., J. E. Kristjánsson, and Ø. Seland (2012), Sensitivity to deliberate sea 319 salt seeding of marine clouds observations and model simulations, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 320 12 (5), 2795–2807, doi:10.5194/acp-12-2795-2012. 321 Bentsen, M., et al. (2012), The Norwegian Earth System Model, NorESM1-M - Part1: 322 Description and basic evaluation, Geosci. Model Dev. Discuss., 5, 2843–2931, doi: 323 10.5194/gmdd-5-2843-2012. 324 325 326 327 Chuang, P. Y., R. J. Charlson, and J. H. Seinfeld (1997), Kinetic limitations on droplet formation in clouds, Nature, 390, 594–596. Ghan, S., G. Guzman, and H. Abdul-Razzak (1998), Competition between sea salt and sulfate particles as cloud condensation nuclei, J. Atmos. Sci., 55, 3340–3347. 328 Hobbs, P. V. (1993), Aerosol-cloud-climate interactions, Academic Press Inc. 329 Hoose, C., J. E. Kristjánsson, T. Iversen, A. Kirkevåg, Ø. Seland, and A. Gettelman 330 (2009), Constraining cloud droplet number concentration in GCMs suppresses the 331 aerosol indirect effect, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L12807, doi:10.1029/2009GL038568. 332 Jiang, J. H., et al. (2012), Evaluation of cloud and water vapor simulations in CMIP5 333 climate models using NASA ”A-Train” satellite observations, J. Geophys. Res., 117, 334 D14105,, doi:10.1029/2011JD017237. 335 Jones, A., and J. M. Haywood (2012), Sea-spray geoengineering in the HadGEM2-ES 336 earth-system model: radiative impact and climate response, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12, D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T : 337 338 339 X - 19 10,887–10,898, doi:10.5194/acp-12-10887-2012. Jones, A., J. Haywood, and O. Boucher (2009), Climate impacts of geoengineering marine stratocumulus clouds, J. Geophys. Res., 114, D10106, doi:10.1029/2008JD011450. 340 Kirkevåg, A., et al. (2012), Aerosol-climate interactions in the Norwegian Earth System 341 Model - NorESM, Geosci. Mod. Dev. Discuss., 5, 2599–2685, doi:10.5194/gmdd-5-2599- 342 2012. 343 Korhonen, H., K. S. Carslaw, and S. Romakkaniemi (2010), Enhancement of marine 344 cloud albedo via controlled sea spray injections: a global model study of the influence 345 of emission rates, microphysics and transport, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 10, 4133–4143, 346 doi:10.5195/acp-10-4133-2010. 347 Latham, J. (1990), Control of global warming?, Nature, 347, 339–340. 348 Latham, J. (2002), Amelioration of global warming by controlled enhancement of 349 the albedo and longevity of low-level maritime clouds, Atmos. Sci. Lett., doi: 350 10.1006/asle.2002.0048. 351 Latham, J., P. Rasch, C.-C. Chen, L. Kettlers, A. Gadian, A. Gettelman, H. Morrison, 352 K. Bower, and T. Choularton (2008), Global temperature stabilization via controlled 353 albedo enhancement of low-level maritime clouds, Phil. Trans. R. Soc., 366, 3969–3987, 354 doi:10.1098/rsta.2008.0137. 355 Mårtensson, M., D. Nilsson, G. de Leeuw, L. H. Cohen, and H.-C. Hanson (2003), Lab- 356 oratory simulations and parametrization of the primary marine aerosol production, J. 357 Geophys. Res., 108 (NO. D9), 4297, doi:10.1029/2002JD002263. D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T X - 20 : 358 Morrison, H., and A. Gettelman (2008), A new two-moment bulk stratiform cloud mi- 359 crophysics scheme in the community atmosphere model, version 3 (CAM3). Part I: 360 Description and numerical tests, J. Clim., 21, 3642–3659, doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2105.1. 361 Partanen, A.-I., H. Kokkola, S. Romakkaniemi, V.-M. Kerminen, K. E. J. Lehtinen, 362 T. Bergman, A. Arola, and H. Korhonen (2012), Direct and indirect effects of sea spray 363 geoengieering and the role of injected particle size, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D02203, 364 doi:10.1029/2011JD016428. 365 Pringle, K. J., K. S. Carslaw, T. Fan, G. W. Mann, A. Hill, P. Stier, K. Zhang, and 366 H. Tost (2012), A multi-model assessment of the efficacy of sea spray geoengineering, 367 Atmos. Chem. Phys. Disc., 12, 7125–7166, doi:10.5194/acpd-12-7125-2012. 368 369 370 371 Pruppacher, H. R., and J. D. Klett (1997), Microphysics of Clouds and Precipitation, 2nd ed., Springer. Rasch, P., and J. E. Kristjánsson (1998), A comparison of the CCM3 model climate using diagnosed and predicted condensate parametrization, J. Clim., 11, 1587–1614. 372 Rasch, P., J. Latham, and C.-C. J. Chen (2009), Geoengineering by cloud seed- 373 ing: influence on sea ice and climate system, Env. Res. Lett., 4, doi:10.1088/1748- 374 9326/4/4/045112. 375 Salter, S., G. Sortino, and J. Latham (2008), Sea-going hardware for the cloud albedo 376 method of reversing global warming, Phil. Trans. R. Soc., 366, 3989–4006, doi: 377 10.1098/rsta.2008.0136. 378 Struthers, H., A. M. L. Ekman, P. Glantz, T. Iversen, A. Kirkevåg, E. M. Mårtensson, 379 Ø. Seland, and E. D. Nilsson (2011), The effect of sea ice loss on sea salt aerosol D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T : X - 21 380 concentrations and the radiative balance in the arctic, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 3459– 381 3477. 382 Twomey, S. (1974), Pollution and the planetary albedo, Atmos. Environ., 8, 1251–1256. 383 Wang, H., P. Rasch, and G. Feingold (2011), Manipulating marine stratocumulus cloud 384 amount and albedo: a process-modelling study of aerosol-cloud-precipitation interac- 385 tions in response to injection of cloud condensation nuclei, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 11, 386 4237–4292, doi:10.5194/acp-11-4237-2011. 387 388 Wood, R. (2007), Cancellation of aerosol indirect effects in marine stratocumulus through cloud thinning, J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 2657–2669, doi:10.1175/JAS3942.1. D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T X - 22 Figure 1. : Dark colored bars present results from reference simulations (minimum updraft velocity of 10 cm s−1 ) while light colored bars present results from simulations with a minimum updraft velocity of 30 cm s−1 . Yellow bars represent control run values for the reference run and the run of increased updraft, respectively. Figures (a) through (d) show global annual averages, while (e) and (f ) show annual results averaged over the injection region between 30◦ S and 30◦ N. (a) Change in shortwave cloud forcing [W m−2 ] with MCB. Stippled lines are results from simulations of fixed supersaturation; (b) Column integrated cloud droplet number concentration [cm−2 ]; (c) Change in liquid water path [g m−2 ]; (d) Maximum in-cloud supersaturation [%] at model hybrid layer ∼945 hPa over ocean. Dashed lines indicate the critical supersaturation of Aitken mode sea salt (upper) and accumulation mode SO4 (lower); (e) Aerosol number concentration [cm−3 ] at ∼945 hPa; (f ) In-cloud CDNC [cm−3 ] at ∼945 hPa. D R A F T December 12, 2012, 4:07am D R A F T X - 23 : Table 1. (a) Sea salt injections used to simulate MCB. (b) List of simulations in which Xs indicate simulations performed. The top row lists the names used to identify injection amounts in kg m−2 s−1 . (a) Sea Salt Injections Injections, 30◦ S to 30◦ N [kg m−2 s−1 ] 10−11 10−10 3*10−10 10−9 10−8 −1 Total injections [Tg yr ] 48.2 595.2 1785.5 5935.6 59436 Increase in global sea salt emissions 0.9% 9.1% 27.4% 91.3% 913.1% (b) List of Simulations Control 10−11 10−10 3*10−10 10−9 10−8 Simulation name Reference simulations (ref) Aitken mode Accumulation mode Coarse mode Fixed supersaturation Aitken mode Accumulation mode Coarse mode Enhanced vertical velocity (Umin30) Aitken mode Accumulation mode Coarse mode D R A F T X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X December 12, 2012, 4:07am X X X X X X D R A F T