Geomorphology 231 (2015) 229–245 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Geomorphology journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/geomorph Evolution of topography of post-Devonian Scandinavia: Effects and rates of erosion Sergei Medvedev a,⁎, Ebbe H. Hartz a,b a b Centre for Earth Evolution and Dynamics, University of Oslo, Blindern, 0316 Oslo, Norway Det norske oljeselskap, Bryggetorget 1, Aker Brygge, 0250 Oslo, Norway a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 1 June 2014 Received in revised form 29 November 2014 Accepted 5 December 2014 Available online 17 December 2014 Keywords: AFT age Isostasy Glacial erosion Numerical modeling a b s t r a c t The mechanisms and timing of mountain growth in Scandinavia remain enigmatic given that the region has not been involved in active orogenesis since the Devonian and in any large-scale tectonic activities after the NE Atlantic breakup during the early Cenozoic. In this study we combine analysis of the vertical motions of the region caused by (dominantly) glacial erosion during the Quaternary with Apatite Fission Track (AFT) analysis of rocks from the area. Using numerical models, we first quantify how fluvial and glacial erosion carved out the fjords and valleys to a depth of 2 km below the paleosurfaces. This erosional episode represents a major local weight loss and results in up to a 0.8-km uplift of rocks and up to a 0.5-km rise of local topography. These estimates only marginally depend on the effective elastic thickness of the lithosphere and thus are robust. We show then that no correlation exists between sample altitude and published AFT data, but that a correlation does exist between AFT age and the depth below our constructed pre-glacial summit surface. This correlation demonstrates the robustness of the numerical erosional model, quantifies average erosion rates during Carboniferous–Cretaceous at b10 m/My, and outlines the regions of western Scandinavia (Lofoten and Bergen areas and Møre–Trøndelag fault complex) with atypical Mesozoic–Cenozoic evolution, probably related to regional tectonic activities. © 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction The origin of mountains along the North Atlantic coastlines remains enigmatic. It is a matter of continuing debate if these mountains are topographic remains from the Caledonian mountain belt (e.g., Nielsen et al., 2009) or if they emerged in the Cretaceous or later (e.g., Japsen et al., 2012). Here we address parts of this issue by estimating the influence and intensity of erosion from the late Paleozoic. The Caledonide Orogeny (450–420 Ma) was the consequence of the continent–continent collision of Laurentia and Baltica (Cocks and Torsvik, 2002) and represents the most recent grand-scale mountain-building process in Scandinavia. Collapse and rifting processes began to dismember the Caledonides shortly after their formation (Andersen, 1998). The Skagerrak-centered large igneous province 297 Ma eruption event in NW Europe covered vast areas, estimated to at least 0.5 million km2 and thus affected the thermal history of southern Scandinavia (Torsvik et al., 2008). The prolonged continental rifting process between the North American–Greenland craton and Eurasia (with several rift phases dated from late Paleozoic until early Cenozoic; Faleide et al., 2008) led to ocean formation in the North Atlantic at ∼ 56 Ma. The area has not been involved in large-scale tectonic processes since. ⁎ Corresponding author. Tel.: +47 22856112; fax: +47 22855101. E-mail address: sergei.medvedev@fys.uio.no (S. Medvedev). http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2014.12.010 0169-555X/© 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. The evolution of the post-Devonian Scandinavian topography was studied using subregional stratigraphic landscape analysis and field observations of paleosurfaces (Bonow et al., 2007; Gabrielsen et al., 2010a; Lidmar-Bergstrom et al., 2000, 2007, 2013; Reusch, 1901; Riis, 1996). The amplitude of vertical movements inferred from such observations, however, is debatable (see for example discussion in Gabrielsen et al., 2010a,b; Nielsen et al., 2010b; Olesen et al., 2013). Extending the geometry and timing of such paleolandscapes to all of Scandinavia also remains speculative. Our study method is based on numerical analysis of modern topography and trends in thermochronological data. The method lacks the details of those above, but in contrast remains robust and unbiased thereby permitting super-regional application. Erosion processes can be an important mechanism to enhance relief (Gilchrist and Summerfield, 1990, 1991; Molnar and England, 1990). The combined effect of localized erosion and the diffused action of flexural isostasy may have resulted in a nonuniform evolution of the topography. This is the focus of recently developed models of flexural isostasy, which study isostatic uplift resulting from surface denudation in different geological structures (Braun et al., 2013; Champagnac et al., 2007, 2009; Medvedev et al., 2008, 2013; Pelletier, 2004; Steer et al., 2012; Stern et al., 2005). Regional studies show that the development of the fjord system in Scandinavia strongly enhances the topography in the region (Gołędowski et al., 2013; Nielsen et al., 2009; Steer et al., 2012). Several methods have been used to test the validity of numerical models. Ice-related erosion partially explains the uplift of Mesozoic marine sediments along passive margins of eastern Greenland (Medvedev 230 S. Medvedev, E.H. Hartz / Geomorphology 231 (2015) 229–245 et al., 2008, 2013) as well as the evolution of paleoplateaus in western Greenland (Bonow et al., 2006; Medvedev et al., 2013). An alternative test of models of pre-glacial topography looked at the mass balance between assumed connected onshore erosion and offshore sediments (Steer et al., 2012). However, even considering uncertainties, analysis showed that the Scoresbysund region in east-central Greenland lacks offshore sediments (Medvedev et al., 2008, 2013), whereas a model of Scandinavian erosion below the paleosurface demonstrates an excess of offshore sediments (Dowdeswell et al., 2010; Steer et al., 2012). In the Scandinavian realm, the area of our study, stating that the cause of the sediment masses in the North Sea is entirely owing to the erosion of the Norwegian mountains is challenging, as other regions (notably, the Baltic and Central European river basins) are known to also have contributed significant masses into North Sea sediments (e.g., Anell et al., 2010). Here, we utilize an entirely different approach whereby we test the erosional models for Scandinavia against published Apatite Fission Track (AFT) data from that region. A comprehensive database of AFT studies in Scandinavia is compiled in Hendriks et al. (2007; continuously updated). These data were previously applied to analyze geological evolution on a subregional scale (Hendriks et al., 2010; Redfield et al., 2004, 2005a,b). Nielsen et al. (2009) analyzed the evolution of Scandinavian topography using a copious set of AFT data, modeling the paleolandscapes based on the thermal history inferred from the AFT samples. The downside of such an approach is the lack of widely accepted theoretical background for interpretation of AFT data onto the thermal and exhumation history. That type of interpretation is the subject of continuing discussions (e.g., Chalmers et al., 2010; Green et al., 2011; Hendriks et al., 2010; Nielsen et al., 2010a; Redfield, 2010). In contrast, in this study, we model paleolandscapes using the topographic data; and test this model statistically against AFT data, particularly against trends (or breaks of trends) in AFT ages. This has the benefit that the erosion rates leading to the modern landscape are also resolved. Our study is further augmented by the recently published AFT data set (more than 50 samples) from the Bergen area (Ksienzyk et al., 2014). In this study we first present erosion backward in time as a numerical method to reconstruct pre-glacial/pre-fluvial landscapes. Applying this method to the Scandinavian topography gives us vertical motions caused by glacial and fluvial erosion over a younger period. Secondly, we combine our numerical erosional model and AFT data in an analysis to estimate early erosion rates and to test for consistency between AFT-based erosion estimates and our hind-casted, pre-incised paleic surfaces. 2. Numerical model of fluvial and glacial erosion 2.1. The method Continental erosion, especially glacial carving, locally removes material from the surface and unloads the lithosphere activating the buoyancy forces from the Earth interior (Fig. 1A–B). These forces, acting on the effectively elastic lithosphere, trigger isostatic uplift of the lithosphere. Caused by a significant elastic strength of the lithosphere, the horizontal extent of such uplift is usually larger than the scale of the erosion localized, e.g., within fjords; thus, isostatic readjustment results in topographic uplift of surrounding noneroded areas (Fig. 1C). Note that removing material by erosion will always reduce the average elevation of the subjected area, and surface uplift can occur only locally. Thus erosion cannot be a main mechanism for mountain building. We use a simple quantitative approach by numerically filling the eroded places with crustal material and calculating the additional load. The resultant modeled surface is an approximation of the preerosional topography, and simplifications behind the numerical approach does not tie this process to a specific period of time. This allows us to estimate the elastic response and potential vertical movements of surface topography backward in time (Fig. 1D–F). The numerical model utilizes Matlab-based numerical suite ProShell (Medvedev et al., 2008, 2013). Two grids are utilized in the model, one for the surface loads integration and another for calculation of the elastic response. The resolution of the topographic grid is 0.8 km, whereas elastic calculations were mainly performed using a 5-km grid resolution. The topographic data is taken from an SRTM30 digital elevation model (Becker et al., 2009). The iterative treatment includes several numerical procedures. In each iteration step we find concavities (simply the points within the rectangular mesh with elevation below the average of the four neighbors) and add the material (with density of crustal rocks 2800 kg/m3) that is required to equalize topography with the neighbors' average. While the redistribution of material is processed on the topographic mesh, the associated isostatic response (using a mantle density of 3300 kg/m3) is calculated on the elastic plate and is assumed to be Fig. 1. Illustration of how erosion reshapes topography (A–C) and the model approach used in this study, erosion backward in time (D–F). We consider a simple three-layer lithosphere (not to vertical scale) with an upper layer (gray) passively sitting on top of an elastically strong part of lithosphere (darker gray) that is in turn underlined by an inviscid asthenosphere (light gray). The initial surface (A) is subjected to localized erosion (B) that unloads lithosphere and thus results in isostatic uplift (C). In the erosion backward in time, the localized eroded areas, found to be concave in shape (D), are numerically filled with bedrock material (E) and then used in the calculation of the downward motion caused by the additional load (F). We assume that absolute values of vertical motions in (C) and (F) are approximately equal. Modified after Medvedev et al. (2013). S. Medvedev, E.H. Hartz / Geomorphology 231 (2015) 229–245 immediate (Kwon and Bang, 2000; Medvedev et al., 2013). While local cavities (within one cell of numerical mesh) may be filled within one iteration step, larger cavities require several iterations. We repeat this process until no more impactful changes happen to the landscape. Our modeling approach has a set of simplifications. In contrast with previous work (Medvedev et al., 2008), we isolate the erosional effects in this model and therefore do not strip of sediments of the same age in the offshore regions. To reduce the number of parameters in the model, we assume that the elastic property of the lithosphere can be described by a thin elastic plate with uniform effective elastic thickness (EET) for the entire model domain. We compare calculations based on 231 EET ranging between 5 and 40 km, including models with nonuniform EET (Appendix A), but use EET = 20 km in the reference model. The value EET = 20 km may be considered a realistic representation of the behavior of the lithosphere without significant curvature for the time scales of several millions of years (e.g., Watts, 2001). 2.2. Results of the numerical erosional model Here, we apply the aforementioned method to Scandinavia (Fig. 2A) so as to estimate the pre-erosional topography (Fig. 2B). The numerical filling of the concave topography was performed only within the Fig. 2. Results of the application of erosion backward in time to Scandinavia. The modern topography (A) transfers into pre-erosional topography (B) by filling concavities with eroded material (C). (D) The topography of the area subjected to uplift (positive values) and subsidence (negative) during erosion and isostatic adjustment. The black line in (A) outlines areas subjected to erosion in the model; this area is taken to be far (at least 1000 km) away from boundaries to avoid the boundary effect. The yellow line and blue polygon in (B) show the position of the cross section and zoomed areas from Fig. 3. The blue line in (C) indicates continent–ocean boundary (Faleide et al., 2008; Gaina et al., 2009). The results are shown for EET = 20 km. N — Norskerenna (Norwegian channel). 232 S. Medvedev, E.H. Hartz / Geomorphology 231 (2015) 229–245 boundary outlined in Fig. 2A, whereas the elastic response was calculated using the entire model domain (~500 km outside of the borders of Fig. 2). The major fjords of southern Norway require more than 1.5 km of added material (Fig. 2C) and that additional weight results in up to 0.7 km subsidence of the modeled plate (Figs. 3A and 4). Transforming the backward in time modeling presented in Fig. 2A–C to forward flow of time, we can conclude that the fjords were carved locally to a more than 1.5-km depth (from the summits to the underwater depth of fjords), which resulted in the uplift of rocks by up to 0.7 km and in an uplift of topography of up to 0.4 km (Fig. 2D). The erosion removes 0.4 km of rocks on average for the continental part of the region outlined by the black line in Fig. 2A, and it can be translated into an average of ~0.2 km/My if we assume that the erosion is entirely Quaternary (last 1.5–2.5 My of the geological evolution). However, the erosion is highly localized in the fjords and can reach up to 1 km/My (or even more) over the same period of time (Fig. 3B). The average amount of erosion obtained in our model corresponds well with 520 m of glacial erosion in western Norway estimated by Dowdeswell et al. (2010). Fig. 3A illustrates the evolution of a single profile. Two processes control the evolution of topography in opposite ways. Whereas erosion has the effect of deepening the Earth's surface, the isostatic adjustment caused by the reduced weight of the crust leads to uplift of the entire crust. Thus, the resulting topographic changes are not uniform (Figs. 3 and A.1–A.3): the surfaces of the deeply eroded fjords and valleys move down, while the summits and plateaus move up significantly (up to 400–500 m; Fig. 3C). Figs. 3C and A.2 show that the Hardangervidda plateau (marked by H in Fig. 3B and C), one of the largest plateaus in Europe, has lifted up 300–400 m because of the active erosion of surrounding fjords, which has a substantial effect on the average altitude of the 1000–1100 m plateau. This example illustrates the significance of glacial carving on the vertical movement of the Scandinavian topography, although it does not explain the main mechanism of mountains rise. Appendix A shows that results of numerical model of this section depend insignificantly on the most uncertain parameter, EET. This demonstrates robustness of results. The following sections are based on EET = 20 km. Our estimations showed that glacial erosion, the major contributor of Quaternary landscape evolution, may result locally in a significant, up to 400-m uplift. The times of active glacial erosion also includes occurrence of more than 3-km-thick ice caps (Peltier, 2004). The vertical motions of the lithosphere under this load can be estimated as large as Fig. 3. (A) Evolution of topography and the elastic response for profile A–A′ (see location in Fig. 2B). Modern topography and modeled transient and pre-erosional topography displayed using colors that correspond to the degree of erosional evolution. The elastic response is 0 at modern time and increases in absolute value with an increase of the weight of a less eroded upper surface in the backward-in-time erosional model. Of note is the summit around 8°E, which was uplifted by more than 0.4 km. (B) The amount of erosion and (C) erosion-driven elevation changes predicted by the model within a blue box from Fig. 2B. The results are shown for EET = 20 km. H — Hardangervidda (average elevation 1.0–1.1 km). S. Medvedev, E.H. Hartz / Geomorphology 231 (2015) 229–245 233 Fig. 4. AFT data from Hendriks et al. (2007) and Ksienzyk et al. (2014). (A) The left panel demonstrates that no correlation with the elevation of AFT samples exists, regardless of data errors. (B) The right panel demonstrates absence of a clear pattern of AFT age depending on the geographical locations of the samples. Generally, AFT ages are younger closer to the west-Norwegian coast. 600–700 m (similar to results in Medvedev et al., 2013). We, however, do not consider such displacements in this study as these changes have episodic, recoverable character in contrast to permanent changes caused by erosion. In summary, the numerical model of this section roughly estimates the amount of erosion and pre-erosion topography of Scandinavia filling up concavities caused mainly by glacial and fluvial erosion. The resulting pre-erosion topography is much smoother than the modern, and the elevation is slightly lower (note that the color scheme is the same in Fig. 2A and B, although the extreme elevation is lower in Fig. 2B), reaching up to 1 km in the north and locally above 1.5 km in the south (Fig. 2B). We refer to this surface as the paleic surface, acknowledging its development is complex, and may not have formed synchronous all over Scandinavia. 3. Combined analysis of AFT data and erosional model 3.1. AFT data The accuracy of the modeled pre-glacial/pre-fluvial topography is tested using AFT data for Fennoscandia, compiled by Hendriks et al. (2007) and recently extended by Ksienzyk et al. (2014) and presented in Fig. 4. The analysis uses more than 320 data samples collected within the limits of our erosional model (Fig. 2A) and indicated post-Caledonian ages (400 Ma and younger). See more details on the data set used in the study in Appendix B. We base our combined analysis on the amount of material added in our erosion backward in time model (Fig. 2C); this amount is equivalent to the amount of material eroded if we consider our model forward in time. Owing to the limited resolution of DEM (SRTM30, Becker et al., 2009) used in our numerical model of Section 3, we ignore data points with recorded sample elevation which differ significantly from the DEM model, as this mismatch may result in significant misestimating of erosion. For each data point our numerical model predicts a single value of exhumation; thus, we ignore data from subvertical profiles in which data sets with the same geographical coordinates have a variety of sample elevations and AFT ages. However, one subvertical sample profile from Lofoten is shown in Fig. 6 and discussed in Section 3.3.2. Attempting to find a systematic trend emerging from sampled AFT ages, we plot them against elevation; unfortunately, no correlation was found (Fig. 4A). The AFT ages are generally younger toward the Atlantic coast (Fig. 4B), probably relating to increased erosion along the coast (Hendriks, 2003). The study of the Bergen area data set shows an opposite trend, whereby samples show older AFT age coastward (Ksienzyk et al., 2014). We, however, should mention the difference in length-scales of observations in these two examples. The aim of the following sections is to quantify the relation of sampled AFT ages to the depth below the enveloping (pre-erosional) surface calculated in the numerical model of the previous section (Fig. 2B). This depth is equivalent to the estimation of erosion (Fig. 5A) and is assigned to each AFT sample (Fig. 5B). In the following, we term this depth as an amount of modeled exhumation, referring to exhumation caused by fluvial and glacial incision into paleic surfaces. 3.2. Initial assumptions of combined analysis In this section we present a set of hypothetical assumptions about evolution of Scandinavia topography. These assumptions are then tested using combined analysis of numerical model of Section 2 and AFT data set presented in Section 3.1 and in Appendix B. Let us consider conditions required for AFT age data of Scandinavia (range between 100 and 350 Ma) to be strongly correlated to the depth below pre-erosional surface (Fig. 2B) or to the modeled exhumation: • Carving of the significant fjords and valleys of Scandinavia is recent (b5–10 Ma) and thus do not change significantly the timeintegrated thermal history of samples, which is the main control of the AFT age. 234 S. Medvedev, E.H. Hartz / Geomorphology 231 (2015) 229–245 Fig. 5. (A) Results of the erosion backward in time (EBT) numerical model yields the distribution of erosion within the area (see also Fig. 2C), which can be used to estimate glacial-related exhumation for each sample within the AFT data set (B). • The smooth pre-erosional topography (Fig. 2B) is the dominant shape of Scandinavia since late Paleozoic. That assumes that the erosion was uniform until time of active glaciofluvial erosion of the late Cenozoic. That also means that even if there were periods of sediment accumulation, they did not accumulate a significant amount of sediments. • The geothermal gradient is uniform within the area. That, combined with the first two points, would result in similarity of thermal history of AFT samples located at the same depth below the pre-erosional surface. • No tectonic activity and thus no significant differential motions within post-Devonian Scandinavia. This implies that Scandinavia is on the flank of, and partly involved in, continental rifting and break-up during the Mesozoic–Cenozoic, but that no major faulting occurs at the time younger than AFT ages. If the above conditions are all fulfilled, we should find a strong correlation between AFT ages and exhumation calculated from our erosion backward in time model. That correlation in turn would give confidence in our erosion backward in time model. The set of conditions above, however, is highly demanding and unlikely to be fulfilled completely over the entire Scandinavia. Deviations from any of the conditions would result in alternation or even break of correlation. Fig. 6 demonstrates low correlation, with correlation coefficient (Bronshtein et al., 2007) of only 0.27 and standard deviation from the trend of 0.4 km (or 56 My). This is in contrast with our pilot study that delivered a reasonable correlation while analyzing AFT data for southern Norway only (south from Møre–Trøndelag fault complex and without data of Ksienzyk et al., 2014). Attempts to extend our results to all of Scandinavia, however, did not succeed (Fig. 6A). Color coding in Fig. 6 indicates the deviation (measured in km of exhumation) of AFT data from the average exhumation-to-age line, the general trend, for Scandinavia. The values of such differences are often as large as the exhumation itself. The geographical distribution (Fig. 6B) also shows low correlation between the deviation from the general trend and the sample positions, although two observations are noticeable: • Three localities across Scandinavia (outlined by black boxes in Fig. 6B) have specific properties of AFT samples in relation to the general trend (Fig. 6A). (i) The Lofoten area (Figs. 6B and 8) is characterized by positive values of deviation from the general trend, indicating that the numerical erosional model yields exhumation that is much smaller for the AFT age of data in this region; (ii) the area around the Møre– Trøndelag fault complex (Figs. 6B and 9) demonstrates no correlation to the general trend; (iii) the data around the Bergen area (Figs. 6B and 10) are characterized by negative deviation from the general trend demonstrating that the exhumation assigned to these data points by the numerical model of Section 3 is too large. • The distribution of deviation from the general trend for the remaining data points shows a general trend of warmer colors on the south and colder in the north (Fig. 6B). The next section discusses these regional issues separately. 3.3. Regional scale features of the combined analysis 3.3.1. Latitudinal variations The AFT age reflects the thermal history of the samples rather than the exhumation process. Let us assume two samples that experience continues exhumation from two different depths, say 3 and 6 km, and with two different geothermal gradients, say 40 and 20 °C/km correspondingly. If the time taken for that exhumation is the same, these two samples register the same AFT age, as the samples experience the same thermal history starting from the temperature of 120 °C, just at the border of the total annealing zone (TAZ). That observation illustrates complications of analysis of correlation between exhumation and AFT age for extended areas with various S. Medvedev, E.H. Hartz / Geomorphology 231 (2015) 229–245 235 Fig. 6. (A) The apparent AFT age of data do not show correlation with the exhumation calculated from the numerical erosional model. Colors reflect the deviation from the general trend, the distance in kilometers from the arbitrary line representing exhumation at a rate of 6 m/My (blue line, termed as the general trend). The black line indicates the results of the Higravtinden profile (central part of Lofoten, see location in Fig. 8; Hendriks, 2003), where the absolute values of exhumation are not assigned within the model, but only the relative position of the data points is indicated. (B) The geographical distribution of deviation from the general trend. Black rectangles indicate the locations of the enlarged areas in the corresponding figures. Two red polygons outline areas with surface heat flux of more than 70 mW/m2; and the blue line represents 40 mW m2 heat flux, north of which the heat flux is smaller (Slagstad et al., 2009). thermal conditions. Thus we introduce a corrected amount of exhumation by adding the difference in the depth of TAZ to the real exhumation. In the above example that difference is 3 km; and if we add this difference to the first sample exhumation, the two samples would have the same AFT age and the same corrected amount of exhumation. This allows us to compare samples from different locations; hence, if corrected exhumation is larger for one sample than for another, we can expect that the AFT indicates younger age for that sample. The above example is, however, extreme and results in a significant difference between real and corrected rates of exhumation. Applied to Scandinavia, this correction is much smoother and is realized in the form of a latitudinal correction. Moreover, the general trend introduced in Fig. 6A allows us to avoid the use of unconstrained (paleo) geothermal gradients and absolute depths to TOZ. The geographical distribution of deviation from the general trend (Fig. 6B) shows domination of negative values toward the north, whereas the southern part of the study area demonstrates more positive deviation. The essence of this observation is presented in Fig. 7A. The entire set of data (including small points in Fig. 7A) does not have any preferred tendency; if we, however, take away data points from areas around Lofoten, Trondheim, and Bergen (the reasons for that are discussed below), the data set correlates with linear regression dipping northward. Although it is not a perfect match, the correlation coefficient (Bronshtein et al., 2007) of 0.5 confirms that this trend is not from random variations of data. The best fit linear regression, ~ 40 m/° of latitude, represents the latitudinal correction (black line in Fig. 7A). The base latitude, 65° N, is arbitrarily assigned to zero correction. In the adjustment procedure, the data point from, e.g., 60° N has experienced actively annealing (total or partial) conditions at a depth 200 m shallower than the average, and the new exhumation assigned to this data point is thus 200 m larger, adjusted to the average exhumation for Scandinavia. The data point located at 70° N is subjected to the opposite correction. Thus our analysis indicates shallower-to-south trend and, correspondingly, higher geothermal gradients, which can be compared with geological observations: (i) it is compatible with higher surface heat flux measured in the modern conditions, 60–70 mW/m 2 vs. ~ 40 mW/m 2 in the north (Fig. 6B; Slagstad et al., 2009); (ii) it should be influenced by the heat from the late Paleozoic Oslo plume (Torsvik et al., 2008) for at least 50 My (e.g., Turcotte and Schubert, 2002). Subtracting the latitudinal correction from the amount of exhumation calculated in our numerical model (Section 2) results in the corrected amount of exhumation that we use in the following analysis. In summary, the latitudinal correction resulted in the unbiased distribution of nonexcluded samples around the general trend (Fig. 7B). Fig. 7A also illustrates that the three regions roughly outlined in Fig. 7B differ significantly from the general trend for Scandinavia. This motivates us to exclude these regions from the analysis of the general Scandinavian trend and to consider them in separate subsections below. Also of note is that the latitudinal correction, which decreases the deviation from the Scandinavian average, does the opposite to these excluded regions (Fig. 7B). Notably, the deviation from the regional trend is measured by vertical distance, in kilometers. However, its geological significance may represent time difference (or, more precise, difference in apparent AFT age). Viewed as such, yellow and warmer colors represent AFT ages that are more than 30 My younger than the regional trend, and blue and colder colors represent samples with AFT ages 30 My or more older than the regional trend (Fig. 6 and panel B in Figs. 8–10). 236 S. Medvedev, E.H. Hartz / Geomorphology 231 (2015) 229–245 Fig. 7. (A) Distribution of the deviation from the linear law vs. latitudinal location of samples. The trend is negative in slope toward the north. The black solid line illustrates the trend and quantifies the amount of latitudinal correction. The data points from the three special regions (small circles, outlined in Figs. 8–10) do not fit the general trend. (B) Adjusted data points and the amount of adjustment illustrated by segments for each data point. The relation between the proximity of sample age-exhumation relation to the general trend does not depend on the latitudinal location of the samples. Fig. 8. Data distribution in the Lofoton–Vesterålen area. The rocks of young AFT age (mainly blue colors) in (A) are found, where our numerical model does not predict extensive erosion. The domination of red in (B) indicates anomalous exhumation-to-age relations when compared to the general trend for Scandinavia. Modeled exhumation is corrected latitudinally. (C) Amount of erosion predicted by the erosional model. The black star in (A) and (B) indicates the position of the Higravtinden profile (Fig. 8A; Hendriks, 2003). The blue line in (C) indicates continent–ocean boundary (Faleide et al., 2008; Gaina et al., 2009). The black box outlines data points excluded from the analysis of the general trend for Scandinavia (Figs. 7 and 11). S. Medvedev, E.H. Hartz / Geomorphology 231 (2015) 229–245 237 Fig. 9. Data distribution in the MFTC. Large variations of ages in the area (A) and large perturbations in the latitudinally corrected deviation from the general trend (B). (C) Amount of erosion predicted by the erosional model. Blue lines approximately outline the major lineaments of the system: HSF — Hitra Snasa fault, VF — Verran fault; BL — Beverdalen lineament (after Redfield et al., 2005a). The black box outlines data points excluded from the analysis of the general trend for Scandinavia (Figs. 7 and 11). The latitudinal correction decreased the standard (square-root average) deviation from the general trend from 0.25 km or 35 My down to 0.2 km or 28 My. The analysis in the next section is based on the exhumation corrected latitudinally. Even though it is robust and supported by independent observation, this correction is not crucial to our study, and our main conclusions would not be altered without such a correction (see Appendix B). 3.3.2. Lofoten–Vesterålen area The AFT ages from Lofoten–Vesterålen represent an anomaly in regard to the rest of the Scandinavian data set (Fig. 6B). With respect to the overall trend between exhumation and age, the Lofoten–Vesterålen data are younger and/or exhumation values assigned by the numerical model are smaller (Fig. 8A, B). The subvertical Higravtinden profile (Figs. 6A and 8A; Hendriks, 2003), with reasonably large mean track length (~13.5 mm), small standard deviation of track length distribution (~1.5 mm), and similar distribution of track lengths for all the samples, indicates an approximate rate of exhumation of 30 m/My (with even higher rates estimated for the region by Hendriks, 2003). This could imply that the exhumation of Lofoten is younger than the rest of Scandinavia or that exhumation is underestimated in our model. Locally, Jurassic and Cretaceous sediments can be found on-land and in pockets between the outer Lofoten islands (Bøe et al., 2010; Dalland, 1981), suggesting that these localities were buried in the middle Mesozoic. The Lofoten islands are furthermore intensively structured by several generations of Permian to Cretaceous faults (Bergh et al., 2007; Davids et al., 2013). Given that faulting overlaps with AFT ages, these ages would vary across the major fault zones (Hendriks et al., 2010). In addition, Lofoten–Vesterålen area is the region where Norwegian land is closest to the continent–ocean boundary (Figs. 2C, 8C). The outermost continental shelf is intensely uplifted and eroded following the 55 Ma breakup of the North Atlantic (Blystad et al., 1995; Faleide et al., 2008; Tsikalas et al., 2005). This deep Cenozoic erosion of rocks that, in present day, sits under water west of Lofoten is not included in our simplified numerical erosional model of Section 2, and thus the exhumation of the outermost (western) Lofoten islands is significantly underestimated (Fig. 8C). We suggest that the young AFT ages of Lofoten–Vesterålen samples (Fig. 8A), the closeness of the area to the continent–ocean boundary (Fig. 8C), and the anomalous results of application of our model to the region (Figs. 7A and 8B) demonstrate that the evolution of Lofoten differs from the rest of Scandinavia. We can speculate that the erosion in this area was much more intense and left only a few traces of preerosional summits. Thus, we exclude the Lofoten area from our analysis of the general trend in Scandinavia. 3.3.3. Møre–Trøndelag fault complex (MTFC) The Møre–Trøndelag fault complex (MTFC) area demonstrates a variety of values, in AFT age and in deviation from the general trend (Fig. 9A and B), indicating active tectonics with multiple events. These findings were already outlined by works of Redfield and co-workers (Osmundsen et al., 2010; Redfield and Osmundsen, 2009; Redfield 238 S. Medvedev, E.H. Hartz / Geomorphology 231 (2015) 229–245 Fig. 10. Data points within the Bergen–Sunnhordland area (mainly from Ksienzyk et al., 2014). The gray line borders the rocks related to the Bergen Arc from the outer basement rocks and Bergdalen Nappes (Fossen, 1993). Modeled exhumation is corrected latitudinally in calculations of the deviation from the general trend (B). HSZ — Hardangerfjorden shear zone (after Andersen et al., 1999); FF — Fenesfjorden fault (or Bergen Arc shear zone), and GF — Grimevatnet fault (after Ksienzyk et al., 2014). The black box outlines data points excluded from the analysis of the general trend for Scandinavia (Figs. 7 and 11). and Osmundsen, 2013; Redfield et al., 2004; Redfield et al., 2005a; Redfield et al., 2005b). In contrast to the Lofoten area, the AFT ages in the vicinity of the MTFC (Fig. 9), fall above and below the general trend for Scandinavia as a whole (Figs. 7A, 9C). Redfield et al. (2005a) illustrated how these data fit into a local model of the late Mesozoic–Cenozoic faulting along the MTFC. This is in agreement with the results of our study demonstrated by a large variety and amplitudes, negative and positive, of the deviation of the modeled local exhumation-age relationships from the overall data trend in Scandinavia. 3.3.4. Bergen–Sunnhordland area Ksienzyk et al. (2014) analyzed the morphological evolution of the Bergen area using thermo-chronological methods and discussed the importance of the activity of faults in the area. Our analysis supports this conclusion. Indeed, the close co-existence of the samples, indicated by a 0 to 0.5 km deviation from the average over Scandinavia supports the presence of post-Jurassic fault activity within the region (Fig. 10A, B). Here we can take a more general view on the AFT data analysis and indicate that the entire area has experienced significant post-Jurassic vertical displacement relative to the surrounding areas. Viewed in an age perspective, this would imply that the rocks of outer BergenSunnhordland area cooled 30 to 70 My earlier than the regional trend, further supported by occurrence of mid-Mesozoic (probably Upper Jurassic; Fossen et al., 1997) sediments within fault zones of the area. The domination of negative deviations in Fig. 10B indicates that the Bergen–Sunnhordland area subsided relative to inland surroundings. Fig. 7A can give us a chance to speculate the amplitude of such a motion. Disregarding data points along the Grimevatnet fault (several data points with highest negative value of deviation from the general trend in Fig. 7A), the data points within the Bergen Arc would fit into the global Scandinavian picture if the area would be uplifted by 300–500 m. Thus, we can speculate on 300–500 m whole-region post-Jurassic downfaulting of the Bergen–Sunnhordland area. Although the total vertical motion may be distributed between several fault systems, two main candidates to accommodate the major regional movement seem to be the Hardangerfjorden shear zone (HSZ) and the Fenesfjorden fault (FF) or the Bergen Arc shear zone (Fig. 10). Although the time of FF activity is unknown, Andersen et al. (1999) reported that HSZ was active during the Cretaceous–Tertiary, well after all the reported AFT ages from the area. 3.4. Corrected correlation between AFT ages and modeled exhumation Analysis of the distribution of AFT data and their relation to the general trend presented in Figs. 6–10 show: • The MTFC does not fit to our initial assumption of no tectonic activity. The Lofoten–Vesterålen area has erosion of greater scale than one which can be explained by our simple erosional model. The Bergen– Sunnhordland area exhibits relative vertical motion postdating the S. Medvedev, E.H. Hartz / Geomorphology 231 (2015) 229–245 AFT ages and locally preserving Jurassic sediments. Thus, we should exclude these areas from consideration. • Shallower annealing conditions in the South demonstrated by our analysis correlate with slightly higher surface heat flux measured in present day conditions and with paleoheat from the Oslo plume during the late Paleozoic (Torsvik et al., 2008). Thus, in the analysis following Fig. 7B, we use an iteratively derived coefficient of 40 m/° of latitude correction. This approximately corresponds to the 400 m difference to a depth of active fission tracks annealing over the entire domain, to a maximum of 4 °C/km difference in geothermal gradients. The correlation between AFT age and modeled exhumation becomes much stronger after the above corrections (Fig. 7). That is illustrated by a correlation coefficient of 0.7 for this chosen set (cf. the coefficient of 0.27 for the entire set of data in Fig. 6) and standard deviation from the general trend of 0.2 km and 28 My (cf. 0.4 km and 56 My for the whole set in Fig. 6). The resulting correlation shows that erosion over Scandinavia did not greatly exceed an average of 5–7 m/My, which is characterized by the general trend. 4. Discussion The application of the AFT data in the study of the North Atlantic paleolandscapes is the subject of debates (e.g., Chalmers et al., 2010; Green et al., 2011; Green et al., 2013; Japsen et al., 2013; Nielsen et al., 2009; Nielsen et al., 2010a; Pedersen et al., 2012; Pedersen et al., 2013; Redfield, 2010). Without entering details of the method and application of the AFT data to local geology, we demonstrated an overall correlation between AFT data and exhumation below our modeled paleosurface for Scandinavia. While this application clearly lacks the refinement of local studies it does represent an unbiased overall study of post-Caledonian landscape evolution. 239 The resulting high correlation of the AFT ages and depth below an enveloping (pre-erosional) surface (Fig. 11) indicates that after removing three anomalous regions and adjusting for north– south variations of geothermal gradients the four conditions listed in Section 3.2 are satisfied. The satisfaction is, of course, approximate, which allows us to present the following discussion as reasonable speculations rather than fully proven detailed statements. The correlation supports the assumption that the preerosional topography presented in Fig. 2B is a dominant shape of the upper surface for Scandinavia during the late Paleozoic and Mesozoic. That includes elevation differences across Scandinavia, which is in the order of 1 km. The high correlation between age and exhumation also supports the assumption that the spatial distribution of erosion during the Mesozoic and late Paleozoic was close to uniform. In our study we do not consider individual histories of AFT samples, we did not assume absolute values of (paleo)geothermal gradients, the subjects of great uncertainties. We consider trends of AFT ages using a new approach of combined analysis with a numerical erosional model. The major assumption regarding the AFT data interpretation we use is the dominance of a monotonic cooling of the AFT samples. How reasonable is this assumption? Chalmers et al. (2010) and Japsen et al. (2013) demonstrated that similar ages and track distributions in individual samples can be explained equally well by monotonic cooling or by episodic heating and cooling. Application of that observation to a large data set, however, is not trivial. Episodic changes of significant amplitude in thermal conditions applied to a set of samples of different initial depths would result in a situation of some samples influenced by partial or total annealing conditions (Green et al., 2013). That in turn would result in an increase of standard deviation (STD) of a track length distribution or even a reset of the sample age (Green et al., 2002). The data set used in our study has more than 200 points with a reasonably small average STD of 1.5 μm; only 7% of the data points have STD N 2 μm (Appendix B, Fig. 11. (A) The relation between AFT ages and latitudinally corrected modeled exhumation becomes much stronger after removing areas of proposed late tectonic activity and introducing gradient in closure depth. (B) Geographical distribution of the deviation from the linear law with excluded data points outlined by the limiting boxes. 240 S. Medvedev, E.H. Hartz / Geomorphology 231 (2015) 229–245 Fig. B.1); the correlation presented in Fig. 11A excludes a significant reset of age in AFT samples. Thus, even if episodes of thermal fluctuations were applied to the samples considered here, the amplitude of these variations should be within the accuracy of the estimations presented in the resulting Fig. 11A. The accuracy of the regression, measured by the square-rooted average of deviation from the general trend (0.2 km or 28 My), should be added to the accuracy of data (the data used in the analyses have an error of b30 My in AFT age) and to the potential divergence caused by latitudinal correction (0.2 km). Thus, we can conservatively assume that the paleic surface (Fig. 2B) and the general trend (Fig. 11A) are representative for late Paleozoic–Mesozoic evolution of Scandinavian topography within an accuracy of 100 My in age and 1 km of topographic variations across the general area. That estimation is also valid while describing the monotonic cooling of the bulk of AFT samples; i.e., the episodic heating of samples does not contradict our estimations if it involves deepening by b 1 km. Based on these rough estimates we can speculate that the preerosional topography of Fig. 2B was varying on a kilometer scale during the late Paleozoic–Mesozoic (e.g., Gabrielsen et al., 2010a) and that the Scandinavian topography being at sea level is possible (e.g., Lidmar-Bergstrom et al., 2013), while mountains of 3–4 km are unlikely (e.g., Nielsen et al., 2009). A large-scale sediment cover is also possible, but it is unlikely to be much more than 1 km thick over a large spatial extend because it would lead to tracks annealing in some samples and thus AFT age resetting (Green et al., 2002; Green et al., 2013). Note that estimation of erosion rate presented above (5–7 m/My) reflects only the grand-scale average rate, excluding potential accumulation and erosion of sediment cover. The above estimations consider that the grand-scale topography evolution of Scandinavia and local violations of the predicted tendencies do not disprove the conclusions of our study. Thus, more than 2 km of now eroded sediment cover in the MTFC area (Weisz, 1992) is a local phenomenon, and sediments of this thickness should not be expected in the rest of Scandinavia according to our analysis. The effect of this paleobasin may contribute to anomalous evolution of the MTFC region though (see Section 3.3). Initially, the combined analysis of the numerical erosion model and AFT data (Section 3.2) was chiefly quantitative (Fig. 6) and did not assume partition of the data set into subsets according to regional studies. This general approach (e.g., Fig. 7) allowed us to locate regions with an anomalous relation between AFT age and modeled exhumation (Figs. 8–10). Our observations compare well with observations of previous studies (e.g., Hendriks et al., 2007, 2010; Ksienzyk et al., 2014; Redfield et al., 2005a) that indicate structural offsets within these regions. Our study was capable of not only repeating these conclusions, but contrasting observations in these areas with data across a wider area. This approach (e.g., Fig. 7A) helped to estimate the vertical movement of the entire Bergen–Sunnhordland area along major faults by 300–500 m, which would be impossible studying data only within the region. This study estimates the average erosion rate in Scandinavia of 5–7 m/My since the late Paleozoic. This estimate involves direct conversion of AFT age to the geological age, and thus the estimate is conservative, meaning that the average over time and space rate can be even smaller. 5. Conclusions The combined analysis of erosion model and AFT ages allows us to conclude: • The erosion model is robust and reasonable as a first-order regional approximation for the reconstruction of the pre-incision paleic surface of Scandinavia. • The vertical motion of topography caused by fluvial and glacial carving is a significant contributor to uplift of the Scandinavian mountains (up to 0.4–0.5 km). This result is almost independent from uncertain parameters such as EET. • The average thickness of the material eroded during active fluvial and glacial carving in Scandinavia is 0.4 km. This would correspond to an average erosion rate of more than 150 m/My assuming the incision to be dominantly Quaternary. Locally, however, the rate may exceed 1 km/My as a consequence of the localized nature of fluvial/ glacial erosion. • The erosion rate during the late Paleozoic and Mesozoic (based on available AFT ages of 325 to 100 My) is b10 m/My. This rate is low, and thus topographic variations of Scandinavia were limited. Our simple model allows the identification of anomalous regions within Scandinavia (nonstandard evolution or active tectonic): Lofoten–Vesterålen, Bergen–Sunnhordland area, and the Møre–Trøndelag fault complex. Acknowledgments Financial support from Det norske oljeselskap and the Norwegian Research Council through a Centre of Excellence grant to the CEED is appreciated. Bart Hendriks is thanked for working on and providing the AFT data for Scandinavia. Discussions with Torgeir Andersen, Per Terje Osmundsen, and Bart Hendriks, editorial support by Lucy Medvedeva and, especially, by Richard A. Marston are greatly appreciated. Reviews by Tim Redfield, Peter Japsen, Paul Green, and two anonymous reviewers helped improve the early version of the manuscript. Appendix A. Variations of effective elastic thickness (EET) One of the most uncertain parameters of our numerical model of erosion backward in time is the effective elastic thickness (EET) of the lithosphere. The results presented in the main part are based on constant EET = 20 km. Here we show how results depend on variations of EET. No widely accepted model for EET of Scandinavia exists, and thus we use mainly constant EET models. Some works, however, demonstrate east–west decreasing of EET (Djomani et al., 1999; Perez-Gussinye and Watts, 2005), although absolute values differ significantly between models. We have analyzed models with uniform and variable EET ranging from 5 to 40 km, considering models involved 5 and 40 km as extreme. Even though the flexural rigidity of the lithosphere changes up to three orders of magnitude when elastic thickness ranging from 5 to 40 km, the results (Figs. A.1 and A.2) show only minor variations for the EET values relevant to the Earth's lithosphere in the region (EET N 5 km). The elastic response of models with smaller EET has larger amplitude and mimics the distinct topographic lows such as Norskerenna and the fjords of western Norway (Fig. A.1A). Models with higher EET result in smoother and wider elastic response. Models with variable EET (Fig. A.1E and F) show similarity with the model with EET = 20 km, indicating that the mean value of variable topography controls response more than local variations of EET. Topography changes vary even less with EET variations (Fig. A.2). Thus, the uplift of the Hardangervidda plateau is significant (200 m) already for EET = 10 km, increases up to 300–400 m for EET = 15 km, and does not change for higher values of EET (Fig. A.2). The closeness of the results for different models is even more evident along profile A–A′ (Fig. A.3). Neither topography, nor elastic response (excluding models with extreme values of EET, 5 and 40 km) differ significantly. Fig. A.4 demonstrates that even though the amount of exhumation may be slightly different for models S. Medvedev, E.H. Hartz / Geomorphology 231 (2015) 229–245 241 Fig. A.1. Amplitude of the elastic response to the unloading by erosion for models with uniform EET = 5, 15, 20, and 40 km (A–D) and with variable EET (E, F). The two lines, A and B, present variations of EET: west from line A EET is 10 km in (E) and 5 km in (F); EET is 25 and 40 km correspondingly east from line B. EET is linearly matched between two border lines. The blue color indicates a wide region of peripheral negative warping; the amplitude of this vertical motion is small as shown by the small blue negative strip on the color bars. N — Norskerenna. with different EETs, the correlation with AFT age stays even for models with extreme values of EET. This low dependence of results from the main parameter of the model (EET) demonstrates the robustness of the estimations of the erosion backward in time model. Appendix B. Additional analysis of AFT data Owing to the short list of sources of AFT data, we do not present all the data points here (Hendriks et al., 2007; Ksienzyk et al., 2014). The total number of AFT data points that originate from the area of our study (outlined by the black line in Fig. 2A) is 405. We exclude 40 data points when error in estimation of apparent age is more than 30 My or when error estimation is absent. The data are treated together with our numerical model of erosion backward in time, and thus accuracy of that model brings additional concern. The numerical model can only estimate a single value of exhumation for each data point. Thus, data points of close location (within 1 km) but with different elevations are excluded. That is mainly (sub) vertical transects (altogether 23 data points). The 24 data points were excluded because the DEM model used in numerical calculations differs with AFT data by more than 350 m. Thus, we considered data of 324 points, with 219 data points having extended parameter studies (mean track length, MTL, and standard deviation of track length distribution, STD). Even though we base our study on the trend of the AFT apparent ages, Fig. B.1 presents some analysis of additional characteristics of AFT data. The data does not exhibit any correlation between these characteristics (MTL and STD) and apparent age, deviation from the general trend, and regional location (see outlines of chosen regions in Fig. 11B). 242 S. Medvedev, E.H. Hartz / Geomorphology 231 (2015) 229–245 Fig. A.2. Topography uplift during the erosion process. The fjord areas subsided significantly, while summits rose by 200–400 m. The results demonstrate that the topographic evolution depends only a little on the (realistic, N5 km) values of EET. Fig. A.3. Comparison of results of the erosion backward in time along profile A–A′ (Fig. 2B) for different EETs (including variable EET). Solid black line represents modern topography. Solid lines of different colors represent pre-erosional topography for different values of EET; dash lines of the same color illustrate elastic response. S. Medvedev, E.H. Hartz / Geomorphology 231 (2015) 229–245 243 Fig. A.4. Fig. 11 of the main text is based on EET = 20 km. Variations of elastic property of the lithosphere in the model (constant EET = 5 and 40 km in (A) and (B), and variable EET with limits 5 and 40 km in (C)) demonstrate a similar trend. The average value of MTL is 13 μm, average STD is 1.5 μm. A significant part (88%) of samples have MTL N 12 μm and STD b 2 μm at the same time. More than half of the samples (56%) fit into parameters defined for the unperturbed basement (Gleadow et al., 1986) with MTL N 12.5 μm and STD b 1.6 μm. Appendix A (Fig. A.4) demonstrates that variations of EET do not alter the correlation presented in Fig. 11A. We discuss two additional aspects that can affect this correlation. The latitudinal correction (Fig. 7) may be considered as speculative; therefore we show here that results without that correction also show correlation (Fig. B.2A). Fig. B.1. Distribution of parameters of AFT data used in the study. 244 S. Medvedev, E.H. Hartz / Geomorphology 231 (2015) 229–245 Fig. B.2. Variations of general trend and deviations from it: two special cases of data analysis. (A) The general trend for data without latitudinal correction illustrates 30% faster exhumation than one presented in Fig. 11A. Note that correlation is not as good as in Fig. 11A. (B) The general trend for MTL-corrected age (after Cederbom et al., 2000) illustrates 24% slower exhumation. Note that the horizontal axis in this case differs from others of this type of plots. Smaller number of data points in (B) reveals the lack of MTL analysis in some data subsets. This correlation is not as strong as in Fig. 11A and the general trend is 30% steeper, but that does not lead to negation of the main conclusions of our study, which were taken with conservative caution. The relation between AFT apparent age and geological ages is accepted as nontrivial and is still a matter of continuing research. One simplified approach of this relation was suggested in Cederbom et al. (2000) based on analysis of Green (1988). In this approach the real age of samples were derived by multiplying the AFT age by the ratio of original track length (we use 16 μm here) to the MTL of the sample. Presenting the results using this approach (Fig. B.2B), we do not discuss validity or applicability of the approach of Cederbom et al. 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