Hubble's Science Legacy: Future Optical -UV Astronomy From Space April 4th, 2002 Galaxy Formation Now and Then Matthias Steinmetz Astrophysikalisches Institut Potsdam 1 Overview April 4th, 2002 Hubble's Science Legacy: Future Optical -UV Astronomy From Space n The state of galaxy formation now n The state of galaxy formation 10 years ago n Extragalactic astronomy in 10 years n Problems we may ponder n Conclusions 2 Galaxy formation now Cosmological parameters fixed (sort of) n Hierarchical clustering is the paradigm of structure formation in the Universe n Modeling galaxy formation Hubble's Science Legacy: Future Optical -UV Astronomy From Space n u u Galaxy morphology reflects merging history n Hubble-sequence in place at z ≈1 n Thousands of UV-dropout galaxies at z ≈3: n u April 4th, 2002 populations: semi-analytical models details: N-body + hydro simulations u n progenitors of cluster ellipticals bursting dwarfs at high redshift }⇒ not the building blocks of present day L* gals Ly-alpha forest: absorption due to the cosmic web 3 Galaxy formation ten years ago Cosmological parameters poorly constrained n Hierarchical clustering: theorist’s favored model, but highly disputed among observers n Modeling galaxy formation April 4th, 2002 Hubble's Science Legacy: Future Optical -UV Astronomy From Space n u u non-evolution vs passive evolution individual galaxies w/o cosmological context Galaxy morphology reflects merging history ??? n Galaxies at z=1 ??? n Some high-z objects (QSOs, radio galaxies) n Tens of models for Ly-alpha clouds n 4 April 4th, 2002 32.5/h Mpc Hubble's Science Legacy: Future Optical -UV Astronomy From Space z=9.00 50 million particle N-body simulation 5 April 4th, 2002 32.5/h Mpc Hubble's Science Legacy: Future Optical -UV Astronomy From Space z=4.00 50 million particle N-body simulation 6 April 4th, 2002 32.5/h Mpc Hubble's Science Legacy: Future Optical -UV Astronomy From Space z=2.33 50 million particle N-body simulation 7 April 4th, 2002 32.5/h Mpc Hubble's Science Legacy: Future Optical -UV Astronomy From Space z=1.00 50 million particle N-body simulation 8 April 4th, 2002 32.5/h Mpc Hubble's Science Legacy: Future Optical -UV Astronomy From Space z=0.00 50 million particle N-body simulation 9 Hubble's Science Legacy: Future Optical -UV Astronomy From Space Morphology reflects merging history redshift April 4th, 2002 20 kpc X-Y color: age X-Z color: age 10 April 4th, 2002 Hubble's Science Legacy: Future Optical -UV Astronomy From Space Morphology reflects merging history 11 April 4th, 2002 Hubble's Science Legacy: Future Optical -UV Astronomy From Space Morphology reflects merging history composite disk stars halo stars gas 12 April 4th, 2002 Hubble's Science Legacy: Future Optical -UV Astronomy From Space Morphology reflects merging history thick disk thin disk 13 April 4th, 2002 Hubble's Science Legacy: Future Optical -UV Astronomy From Space Ly-alpha forest = cosmic web 14 Success and failure of the model April 4th, 2002 Hubble's Science Legacy: Future Optical -UV Astronomy From Space + + + − − − main components of galaxies (disk, bulge, bar, halo) Tully-Fisher, fundamental plane Lyman-alpha forest angular momentum of disk galaxies formation of pure disk galaxies dark matter in disk galaxies (cusps vs cores) 15 High-z universe vs low-z universe Hubble's Science Legacy: Future Optical -UV Astronomy From Space n at z=0-0.5: u u u u ? at z=1: fairly similar story (?) n at z=3: n u u u u April 4th, 2002 Hubble sequence, scaling laws Absorption systems associated with galaxies Few QSOs, low UV background Where are most of the baryons ? n Galaxies lumpy and interacting, scaling laws ???? Absorption systems often not associated with galaxies (?) QSOs, high UV background Most baryons in the Ly-alpha forest Do we test the same or at least related populations ? 16 Extragalactic astronomy in 10 yrs April 4th, 2002 Hubble's Science Legacy: Future Optical -UV Astronomy From Space n MAP, Planck: cosmological parameters fixed n GAIA: formation history of the Milky Way n Routine usage of 2nd generation instruments on ground-based 8m telescopes n NGST: very high-z universe n Moore’s law: computers a factor 100 faster Performance of computers will not be a problem u (G)astrophysics will be the problem u 17 Some problems to ponder April 4th, 2002 Hubble's Science Legacy: Future Optical -UV Astronomy From Space n High resolution analysis of the nearby galaxy population u u n Stellar populations Detailed 2D kinematics Deep high resolution imaging and spectroscopy of UV dropout galaxies and of gal’s at z=1-2.5 Morphology u Kinematics, scaling laws u Find and confirm higher magnitude UV dropouts ⇒ building blocks of the present galaxy pop. ⇒ observe the establishment of the Hubble sequence u 18 Some problems to ponder April 4th, 2002 Hubble's Science Legacy: Future Optical -UV Astronomy From Space n Create a 3D map of the baryons in the Universe from z=3 to z=0 u u u u u Fainter QSO (maybe bright UV dropouts ?) as background sources Many LOS for several patches Absorption spectra unravel temperatures, densities, ionization states, LOS velocities, metallicities of the IGM/cosmic web as a function of redshift Transverse proximity effect ⇒ FUV(z) ⇒ detailed reionization history Imaging + spectroscopy: locations of galaxies in that cosmic web 19