Risk Profile Bulletin version 5.5 This report is issued by: Rail Safety and Standards Board If you would like to give feedback on any of the material contained in this report, or if you have any suggestions for future editions, please contact: George Bearfield Safety Risk Assessment Manager Rail Safety and Standards Board Evergreen House 160 Euston Road London NW1 2DX 020 7904 7502 george.bearfield@rssb.co.uk. Appendix B is now published in a separate volume and can be downloaded from http://www.rssb.co.uk/safety/spr/srmodel.asp © Rail Safety and Standards Board 2008 Printed May 2008 Page left blank intentionally Contents Contents Executive summary v 1 Introduction 1 2 SRM objectives 3 3 System Boundaries 4 4 New injury weightings 5 5 Total risk on the mainline railway 6 6 Overall risk profiles 10 6.1 Discussion 11 Detailed risk profiles 14 7.1 Risk by accident type 14 7.1.1 Train accidents 14 7.1.2 Movement accidents 17 7.1.3 Non-movement accidents 19 7.1.4 Trespass accidents 21 7 7.2 Risk by person type 23 7.2.1 Passenger risk 23 7.2.2 Workforce risk 25 7.2.3 Public risk 27 8 Grouped precursor contributions 29 9 Risk from on-track plant 31 10 Modelling approach 36 10.1 Normalising Data 36 10.2 Key assumptions 39 11 Data for taking decisions 40 12 Risk Profile Bulletin updates 42 12.1 Update history 42 12.2 Requirements of HLOS 42 12.2.1 Passenger safety metric: 43 12.2.2 Staff safety metric: 43 12.3 Future updates 43 12.4 SRM governance 44 Access to the model and its outputs 46 13.1 The Safety Risk Model 46 13.2 The Risk Profile Bulletin 46 13.3 CD-ROM and Extranet 46 13.4 Guidance Document 47 13.5 Templates 47 13.6 Assistance 47 Version 5.5/May 2008 i 13 Contents 14 Contact names and numbers 48 15 References 49 16 List of changes 50 Appendix A. Frequency, consequence and risk estimates for each hazardous event 53 Appendix B. Table B1 75 Appendix C. Table C1 77 Appendix D. Definitions and acronyms 85 Definitions 85 Glossary 90 Version 5.5/May 2008 ii Contents Charts Chart 1. System Boundaries Chart 2. Total risk profile for passengers, workforce and members of the public (% of total FWI/yr) 9 Chart 3. Combined risk profile (FWI/yr) – includes percentage change in risk from version 5 12 Chart 4. Combined risk profile (fatalities/yr) – includes percentage change in risk from version 5 4 13 Chart 5. Risk profile for train accidents (FWI/yr) – includes percentage change in risk from version 5 16 Chart 6. Risk profile for the top 20 movement hazardous events (excluding suicide) (FWI/yr) – includes percentage change in risk from version 5 18 Chart 7. Risk profile for the top 20 non-movement hazardous events (excluding passenger and MOP assault and suicides) (FWI/yr) – includes percentage change in risk from version 5 20 Chart 8. Risk profile for the trespass hazardous events (FWI/yr) – includes percentage change in risk from version 5 22 Chart 9. Passenger risk profile for the top 20 passenger hazardous events excluding assault (FWI/yr) – includes percentage change in risk from version 5 Chart 10. Workforce risk profile for the top 20 workforce hazardous events excluding suicide, trespass and passenger and MOP assault (FWI/yr) – includes percentage change in risk from version 5 24 26 Chart 11. Member of the public risk profile for the top 20 member of the public hazardous events excluding suicide, trespass and assault (FWI/yr) – includes percentage change in risk from version 5 28 Chart 12. Risk profile for top 10 OTP-related hazardous events (FWI/yr) 32 Chart 13. Timeline for future updates of the SRM and versions of the RPB 44 Version 5.5/May 2008 iii Contents Tables Table 1. Injury degrees and weightings 5 Table 2. Total risk by accident category (excluding suicides, and passenger and MOP assaults) 6 Total risk by person category (excluding suicides, and passenger and MOP assaults) 7 Total risk to each person category from each accident category (excluding suicides, and passenger and MOP assaults) 7 Table 3. Table 4. Table 5. Grouped precursor risk contributions 30 Table 6. Summary of frequency and risk from OTP hazardous events 31 Table 7. Frequency and risk by sub-hazardous event for all OTP hazardous events 34 Table 8. List of changes 50 Table A1 Average predicted fatalities and injuries per year 56 Table A2 Reasons for variations in reported frequency and risk between SRM v5 and v5.5 (in both old and new injury weightings) 63 Table C1. Precursor groups – risk contribution in fatalities and weighted injuries Version 5.5/May 2008 77 iv Executive summary Executive summary The risk information and risk profiles presented here are derived from version 5.5 of the Safety Risk Model (SRM). The assessment and understanding of risk is integral to running all businesses. This bulletin provides risk information to assist the railway industry in its first priority: to manage safety effectively. It has been produced to inform RSSB members, the wider railway industry and interested parties of RSSB’s current assessment of the safety risk profile and the main contributors to risk on the mainline railway. Following the development and definition of the safety metrics for passengers and the workforce within the High Level Output Specification, (see section 12), it was agreed that the SRM would be used to provide the baseline risk estimates for the safety metrics prior to the start of control period 4 in April 2009. The use of the SRM ensures that due account is taken of low-frequency but potentially high-consequence events, such as train accidents. To facilitate this, the SRM will be updated to version 6 by March 2009, at which point the baseline safety metrics will be established. However, it was recognised that the risk information would become progressively out of date between publication of version 5 (August 2006) and version 6 (March 2009). The industry-based SRM Practitioners Working Group (SRMPWG), supported by the Safety Policy Group (SPG) requested the issue of an interim update (version 5.5) to enable company safety plans to be updated with the latest risk information. The SRMPWG considered it was only necessary to update the parts of the model where the risk may have changed significantly. For all other parts of the model the figures from version 5 have been carried forward. Following a review of the data within the Safety Management Information System (SMIS) 44% of hazardous events in the model have been updated, which accounts for 95% of the risk. With the exception of the models relating to train fires, the train accident models have not been updated as the data review suggested that no significant changes in risk were likely for these hazardous events. These will all be updated in version 6 of the SRM. The scope of the information provided in this version of the Risk Profile Bulletin (RPBv5.5) was approved by the SRMPWG and SPG. The SRM provides a structured representation of the causes and consequences of potential accidents arising from railway operations and maintenance on the mainline railway. The SRM models 125 hazardous events that could lead directly to injury or fatality to passengers, staff or members of the public (MOPs). These events have been identified systematically and include hazardous event train accidents (HETs), movement accidents (HEMs) and nonmovement accidents (HENs). Headlines The SRM version 5.5 (SRMv5.5) indicates that the overall level of risk predicted for the railway has decreased by 1.7% from 139.9 to 137.4 FWI/year (excluding suicide and assaults to passengers and members of the public), when compared to version 5. The notable changes in the risk to each exposed group are described below: Version 5.5/May 2008 v Executive summary Passenger risk has increased marginally by 1.8%, from 43.5 to 44.4 FWI/year. A more detailed inspection of the model output shows this comprises a decrease in risk at the platform train interface alongside an increase in risk associated with passenger slip, trip or falls and passenger on-train incidents. It should be noted that some of this increase in risk is attributable to a rise in the number of passenger journeys. Workforce risk has decreased by 6.5%, from 35.4 to 33.1 FWI/year. There has been a general reduction in events which involve workforce working with machinery (eg trapped in machinery, welding etc). Workforce assault risk has decreased due to a reduction in the number of physical assaults. There has also been a decrease in the number of track workers being struck/ crushed by trains. The decrease in member of public risk by 1.5%, from 60.9 to 60.0 FWI/year is predominately due to the decrease in trespasser risk as well as a decrease in the risk associated with the pedestrians being struck/crushed by trains at level crossings and members of the public being struck/ trapped by level crossing equipment. Outlined below are the most significant changes in the SRM at version 5.5: • An update of the data to the end of September 2007 has been used as the basis of the analysis. As noted above only a selection of the 125 hazardous events have been updated where the risk level may have significantly changed. For all other parts of the model the risk estimates from version 5 have been carried forward. • Risk figures are presented according to the new weightings of fatalities and weighted injuries (FWI), as agreed by the RSSB Board following research and industry consultation. See section 4 for more information on the new weightings. • The presentation of the key results has changed. As in previous versions the risk results are presented by accident type and hazardous event. However, the results are also presented by the type of person affected (ie passengers, workforce and members of the public). The results have been presented in this way so they align with the HLOS safety metrics and RSSB’s Annual Safety Performance Report (ASPR). • This 'interim RPB issue 5.5' contains the new risk figures and should be referred to in conjunction with RPB issue 5, which contains additional information. Table B is now published in a separate volume. A large proportion of tables previously in the hard copy are now held on CDROM (which can be found in the inside cover of this document) or on our extranet site. The risk results from the SRM are presented as a measure of the absolute risk on the mainline railway. As with any risk assessment, the results are estimates and should only be considered as a guide to the overall risk and the relative risk contributions from each of the 125 identified hazardous events. The risk estimates should therefore only be used as an input into, and not as a substitute for, decision taking. Version 5.5/May 2008 vi Introduction 1 Introduction RSSB works with its members to lead and develop long-term safety strategy, set standards and monitor and report on the railway industry’s health and safety performance. These roles and responsibilities are set out in RSSB’s constitution agreement1. An understanding of the overall risk level and risk profile of the railway is essential to this role. In RSSB, we need to understand the levels and components of risk to ensure that we address them effectively in fulfilling our functions. Our members, the railway industry, need risk information at both network and local levels to help them benchmark their performance and to formulate their own safety policies and plans. Working together this enables the railway industry to work to continuously reduce safety risk where reasonably practicable - by removing or controlling the precursors to accidents and mitigating their consequences. The SRM was developed by RSSB to provide a structured representation of the causes and consequences of potential accidents arising from railway operations and maintenance on the mainline railway (and in other areas where RSSB has a commitment to record and report accidents). The objectives of the SRM are summarised in Section 2. The SRM consists of a series of fault tree and event tree models representing 125 hazardous events which, collectively, define the overall level of risk on the mainline railway. This bulletin has been produced to inform RSSB members and the wider railway industry of RSSB’s current assessment of the risk profile and the dominant contributors to risk on the network. The information contained in this document relates to the system-wide risk on the mainline railway covering all running lines, rolling stock types, locations and stations currently in use. Risk associated with non-mainline areas, such as with yards, sidings, depots and station car parks is not included. The system boundaries for the SRM are detailed in section 3. Note that High Speed One is excluded from the scope of the SRM. The risk estimates presented can be used to provide information for use in risk assessments and for judging how the risk relating to particular operations compares with and contributes to the system-wide risk. Risk profiles for specific lines of route and train operating companies are not provided through the SRM. Without further localised analysis, the information in this bulletin should not be considered to be representative of the risk for any particular line of route or train operating company. The risk estimates presented in this document represent our assessment of the current level of residual risk on the mainline railway. Residual risk relates to the level of risk remaining with the current risk control measures in place and with their current degree of effectiveness. The SRM has been designed to take account of both high-frequency, low-consequence events (occurring routinely, and for which there is a significant quantity of recorded data) and low-frequency, high-consequence events (occurring rarely, and for which there is little recorded data). The results for each hazardous event are presented in terms of the frequency of occurrence (number of events per year) and the risk (number of fatalities and weighted injuries per year). 1 Constitution Agreement relating to Rail Safety and Standards Board Limited. Version 5.5/May 2008 1 Introduction The hazardous events and precursors are largely the same as for version 5. However, there are a few new precursors so risk contributions may not be directly comparable from version 5 to 5.5. Discussion on the hazardous event and precursor changes can be found in Appendix A, Table A2. The main part of the document sets out: 1. The objectives of the SRM (page 3). 2. The new injury weightings for calculating FWIs (page 5). 3. Total risk on the mainline railway (page 6). 4. Overall risk profiles (page 10). 5. Detailed risk profiles (page 14). 6. Breakdown of risk by precursor groupings (page 29). Access to the model and its outputs, including details of what is contained on the CD-ROM, can be found in section 13. Appendix A contains frequency, consequence and risk estimates for each hazardous event. Appendix B contains frequency and risk contributions for precursors leading to each hazardous event. (Note that this is contained within a separate volume). Appendix C contains risk contributions for grouped cause precursors. Version 5.5/May 2008 2 SRM objectives 2 SRM objectives The primary objectives of the SRM are to provide: • An understanding of the nature of the current risk on the mainline railway. • Risk information and risk profiles relating to the mainline railway. It is developed and published to support RSSB members, and in particular its purpose is to: • Provide risk estimates for use in risk assessments throughout the railway industry. • Enable ALARP assessments and cost-benefit analyses to be carried out. • Assist in the decision-taking process regarding the merits of technical changes or modifications and new infrastructure investment. • Assist in developing priorities for the Strategic Safety Plan (SSP).2 • Assist in identifying additional control measures which would reduce risk. • Assist in the identification and prioritisation of the revision of Railway Group Standards (RGS), in terms of their contribution to risk mitigation. • Assist in the development of impact assessments for proposed changes to RGS. • Assist in prioritising areas for research on the railway. • Provide an understanding of the contribution of a particular item of equipment or failure mode to the overall risk. • Assist in the validation and development of Safety Certificates and Safety Authorisations, as required by the ROGS regulations. • Assist in the identification and prioritisation of issues for audit. 2 RSSB The Railway Strategic Safety Plan 2008-2010 (RSSB, January 2008). Version 5.5/May 2008 3 System Boundaries 3 System Boundaries The SRM includes the safety risk from incidents which could occur during the operation and maintenance of the mainline railway within the boundaries defined in the diagram below. There have been no changes in scope for version 5.5. Chart 1. System Boundaries IN SRM SCOPE NOT IN SRM SCOPE People People - Passengers on trains. - SRM does not quantify the risk to staff due to long term occupational health issues. - Railway workers on trains. - Risk associated with terrorist activity is excluded. - MOPs who enter the mainline railway with no legitimate purpose (eg, trespassers including passengers who enter areas for which they have no legitimate access). - Events occurring on the mainline railway that have the potential to affect MOPs living or working outside the mainline railway boundary lines are included. - Events associated with vandalism and MOPs falling or trespassing on the mainline railway are also included. - Suicides and MOP assaults are quantified but not included in the overall results discussion. Passengers at stations within areas to which they have legitimate access. Railway workers at stations. Railway workers working on or near the line. Railway workers involved in road traffic accidents while on duty. Yards, sidings and depots MOPs (not passengers) outside the mainline railway or legitimately crossing the mainline railway (ie, on level crossings). - Events occurring within yards, sidings and depots are not included within the SRM. - (However, those events relating to the movement of trains entering and leaving yards, sidings and depots, and events relating to the condition of trains joining the system from the depots have been included.) In stations - Non-public areas at stations, ie. the work side of a ticket office - (However, where a member of the workforce is assaulted by a member of the public who is on the public side of the office this has been included). - Retail outlets within stations. - Offices. On trains - All on-train events. - All train, movement and non-movement accidents related to the movement of OTP that occur within possessions. Events on the mainline railway which affect trains. Events on the trains which themselves cause events on the mainline railway, such as a derailment. In stations - All areas associated with the movement of passengers and staff inside the physical boundaries of stations. Version 5.5/May 2008 Station toilets. Everything roadside of stations (eg, station access roads, car parks and forecourts, taxi ranks, etc.). 4 New injury weightings 4 New injury weightings An important change in this document from previous RPBs is that all FWI figures are based on a new set of weightings, which came into effect on 1 April 2008. The new weightings were approved by the RSSB Board following a major research project, and consultation with the industry, the ORR and the DfT. It is the first time that the weightings have changed since the use of fatalities and weighted injuries as a measure of railway safety first gained widespread acceptance in the 1980s. Table 1 shows the different injury classifications and their associated weightings, as used in this report. The figures in the weight column represent the number of injuries of each type that are ‘statistically equivalent’ to one fatality. For example, if an accident resulted in one fatality and three major injuries, the total FWI arising would be 1.3. Table 1. Injury degrees and weightings Injury degree Definition Weight Fatality Death occurs within one year of the accident. 1 Major injury As defined in RIDDOR3 1995 - includes losing consciousness, most fractures, major dislocations and hospital stays of 24 hours or more. 10 RIDDOR-reportable minor injury Physical injuries that are not major, but which result in more than three days’ absence from work (for members of the workforce) or require hospital treatment (for passengers and members of the public). 200 Non RIDDORreportable minor injury All other physical injuries. 1000 Class 1 shock / trauma Caused by witnessing a fatality or being involved in a collision, derailment or train fire. 200 Class 2 shock / trauma Other causes, such as verbal abuse, near misses and witnessing non-fatal assaults. 1000 As well as formalising the basis on which shock and trauma is taken into account, the biggest change is that the least severe minor injuries (those that do not require hospital treatment) are given less weight than previously. The RSSB Board believes that this more accurately reflects the value that society places on such events. Because a large number of these less serious minor injuries are reported each year, the change in weightings has a significant effect on the risk profile. The RSSB Board has recommended that all plans approved prior to 1 April 2008 are not amended, but that the new weightings are used for all subsequent assessments of future investments and safety improvement schemes. 3 Health and Safety Executive (1995): Reporting of Injuries, Diseases and Dangerous Occurrences Regulations (RIDDOR), HMSO Version 5.5/May 2008 5 Total risk on the mainline railway 5 Total risk on the mainline railway This section presents the overall risk results for the 125 hazardous events on the mainline railway which are considered within the SRM. The risk results are separated into train accidents, movement accidents and non-movement accidents (Table 2), and are also presented in terms of passenger, workforce and MOP (Table 3). The total risk from the 125 hazardous events, excluding suicides, and assaults to passengers and members of the public,4 is assessed to be 137.4 FWI per year (69.7 fatalities per year, 463.5 major injuries per year, 11,050 minor injuries per year and 1,486 shock/trauma events per year). These total risk estimates are broken down by accident category and injury type in Table 2. The risk figures in FWI per year from SRMv5 are also provided for comparison. It should be noted that train accidents, with the exception of train fires, have not been reanalysed for SRMv5.5. Table 2. Total risk by accident category (excluding suicides, and passenger and MOP assaults) SRM Version 5.5 SRM Version 5 FWI/yr Fatalities/yr Major injuries /yr Minor Injuries/yr Shock/ trauma /yr FWI/yr (new weightings) FWI/yr (old weightings) 9.5 7.5 15.2 95.6 0.0 9.6 9.6 Accident Category Train Accidents (excl. OTP) Movement Accidents (excl. OTP and Trespass) Non-movement Accidents (excl. OTP, Trespass and Passenger & MOP Assault) 25.0 13.5 71.6 1,949.9 281.4 26.2 33.6 59.8 8.8 347.2 8,956.8 1,172.7 59.0 94.5 On-track Plant (OTP inside possession) excluding trespass 0.5 0.2 2.1 17.3 0.1 0.4 0.5 Trespass 42.6 39.6 27.4 30.5 31.5 44.8 44.8 Total 137.4 69.7 463.5 11,050.1 1,485.6 139.9 182.9 Table 2 indicates that when compared to the version 5 results, there has been a continued reduction in risk from train accidents, movement accidents, and trespass. There is a slight increase in the risk from the non-movement accidents and on-track plant (OTP). The key factors that cause the differences in the predicted levels of risk between version 5 and version 5.5 of the SRM are described in Section 16. There has been a decrease in the overall risk, from 139.9 FWI/yr (v5 in new weightings) to 137.4 FWI/yr. 4 Whilst physical assaults on members of workforce are believed to be well recorded in SMIS, physical assault on passengers and members of the public are known to be significantly under-reported. BTP figures indicate that the number of passenger and public assaults per year is much higher than that recorded in SMIS (in the region of around 9 FWI/yr). Given the uncertainty of the risk estimates for passenger and member of public assaults, these have been excluded from the overall risk predictions. However, for the purpose of train accident analyses, shock/trauma has been included in the minor injuries category. It has not been possible to extract the proportion of injuries that are shock/trauma for train accidents for version 5.5 of the SRM. Research to resolve this issue prior to the publication of version 6 of the SRM has, however, begun. Version 5.5/May 2008 6 Total risk on the mainline railway It should be noted that although these figures exclude fatalities and major injuries from suicide, with the formalisation of the weighting for shock/trauma, they do include minor injuries and shock/trauma to staff, and shock/trauma to MOP resulting from suicides. The version 5 figures have been adjusted to include these figures, which is why the version 5 total risk in old weighting (182.9 FWI/yr) differs from the figure quoted in RPB version 5 (182.0 FWI/yr). Table 3 shows the relative risk to each person category on the railway. Risk to MOPs forms the greatest proportion of the total risk, at 60.0 FWI/yr. This is due to the large number of fatalities arising from trespass. The total risk to a passenger is 44.4 FWI/yr and the total risk to the workforce 33.1 FWI/yr. There has been little change in the risk to each person category since version 5. The greatest change is to the workforce risk, which has decreased by 2.3 FWI/yr. Table 3. Person category Passenger Workforce MOP Total Total risk by person category (excluding suicides, and passenger and MOP assaults) FWI/yr 44.4 33.1 60.0 137.4 Fatalities/yr 10.0 5.2 54.4 69.7 SRM Version 5.5 NonReportable reportable Major minor Minor injuries/yr injuries/yr injuries/yr 249.5 1,141.2 3,526.2 163.1 768.1 5,436.8 50.8 68.6 109.3 463.5 1,977.8 9,072.3 SRM V 5 Class 1 Shock/ trauma/yr 0.0 239.1 1.8 240.9 Class 2 Shock/ trauma/yr 139.9 1,101.0 3.9 1,244.8 FWI/yr (new weightings) 43.5 35.4 60.9 139.9 Table 4 presents the total FWI/yr for each person category, as well as the FWI/yr from each accident category. The table illustrates that for passengers and workforce, the greatest proportion of accident risk is from non-movement accidents. By contrast, most MOP risk, nearly 40%, arises from movement accidents. Within train accidents, most of the risk is to passengers and members of the public (4.2 FWI/yr and 4.1 FWI/yr respectively), with only 1.5 FWI/yr risk to the workforce. By contrast, movement accidents are dominated by MOP risk which accounts for 69% of the movement accident total. Table 4. Total risk to each person category from each accident category (excluding suicides, and passenger and MOP assaults) HET HEM HEN Total Passenger FWI/yr 4.2 10.6 29.6 44.4 Workforce FWI/yr 1.5 7.2 24.3 33.1 MOP FWI/yr 4.1 39.8 16.1 60.0 Total FWI/yr 9.7 57.7 70.0 137.4 Chart 2 shows the total risk profile for passengers, workforce and members of the public. It shows that the overall risk is split fairly evenly between passengers, workforce and members of the public. For both passengers and workforce, major injuries contribute around 50% of the risk, while fatalities dominate MOP risk (at over 90%). Version 5.5/May 2008 7 Total risk on the mainline railway Table A1 in Appendix A presents the frequency, risk and average consequences per hazardous event. Section 8 provides details of the risk from all hazardous events grouped into relevant categories, eg slips, trips and falls or trespass. Section 7 provides detailed risk profiles for the different accident and person categories. Version 5.5/May 2008 8 Version 5.5/May 2008 MEMBER OF THE PUBLIC 44% Fatalities (22.6%) Reportable Minor Injuries (11.6%) WORKFORCE 24% PASSENGER 32% Reportable Minor Injuries (0.6%) Non-reportable Minor Injuries (16.4%) Class 1 Shock/trauma (3.6%) Class 2 Shock/trauma (3.3%) Major Injuries (8.5%) Major Injuries (49.3%) Fatalities (15.8%) Non-reportable Minor Injuries (8%) Reportable Minor Injuries (12.9%) Major Injuries (56.3%) Total risk = 137.4 FWI/yr Total risk profile for passengers, workforce and members of the public (excluding suicides, passenger and MOP assault) -% of total FWI/yr Fatalities (90.8%) Chart 2. Total risk on the mainline railway Note: chart does not show those injury categories which contribute <0.5% of the risk to each person category eg Class 1 shock/trauma to Passenger. 9 Overall risk profiles 6 Overall risk profiles In previous versions of the RPB, the overall risk profile has been presented by hazardous event. However, to give a better level of understanding of the risk, the main types of hazardous events have been grouped into 17 categories. Combining the hazardous events in this manner allows those hazardous event types which contribute the greatest proportion to the total risk to be readily identified. The hazardous events have been combined as follows: • Collisions and derailments: Includes collisions between trains, derailments, collisions with buffer stops and derailments, but excludes collisions with road vehicles (RV) at level crossings (LX); these are considered separately. • Collision with RV at LX: Includes collision with RVs by passenger trains, nonpassenger trains and OTP. • Assaults: Includes assaults on passengers, members of the workforce and MOP. • Boarding and alighting: Includes hazardous events related to boarding and alighting trains while in the station, eg HEM-05: Train door closes on passenger, HEM-06: Passenger fall between train and platform. • Contact with object: Includes hazardous events relating to objects striking passengers, members of the workforce and MOPs, eg HEM-04: Passengers struck through train window. • Electric shock: All hazardous events related to electric shock to passengers, members of the workforce or MOPs. • Fires, explosions: Includes fire or explosions on trains, in stations and on the mainline railway. • Lean or fall from train in running: All hazardous events relating to injuries caused by passengers or staff leaning or falling from trains in running. • Machinery operation: This category includes hazardous events relating to workforce injuries eg being trapped in machinery, or burns due to welding. • Manual handling: Includes injuries as a result of manual handling by passengers or staff. • Platform edge incidents: Including HEM-08: Passenger fall from platform and struck by train,HEM-10: Passenger struck by train while on platform. • Slips, trips and falls (incl from height): All hazardous events relating to slips, trips and falls, including from height, for passengers, staff and MOPs. • Struck/crushed by large object/structure: Includes hazardous events relating to structural collapse, injuries from level crossing equipment and so on. • Struck/crushed by train: Includes passengers, members of the workforce and MOPs being struck at level crossings, on the mainline railways and inside possessions. • Trespass: Includes all hazardous events relating to trespass on the railway. • On train incidents: Includes all hazardous events occurring on board trains (those not already included in any other category). Version 5.5/May 2008 10 Overall risk profiles • 6.1 Other: Includes all other hazardous events which do not fit easily into one of the above categories. Discussion Chart 3 overleaf shows the risk profile (in FWI per year), and indicates the percentage change in risk from SRMv5, for each of the 17 hazardous event categories. It can be seen that the greatest contribution to overall risk comes from trespass with 42.6 FWI/yr. This category is dominated by MOP fatalities and major injuries. The risk from trespass has reduced by 4.8% from version 5. The next highest contribution comes from slips, trips and falls with 37.4 FWI/year, with the greatest proportion of risks occurring to passengers, at 24 FWI/yr. The overall risk from slips, trips and falls has increased since version 5, by 5.6%. The increase in slips, trips and falls can be attributed in part to increased numbers of passenger journeys since version 5 of the SRM (passenger journeys have increased by 5%). The category with the greatest increase in risk since version 5 is manual handling, which has increased by 24.4%. The increase in risk from manual handling can be attributed in part to increased data available for analysis, which enables better assessment of risk. The category with the greatest decrease in risk is machinery operation, which has reduced by 30.5%. However, as there are only 0.4 FWI/yr in this category, a small change in data, eg one less fatality in five years will cause a large percentage change in the risk estimate. The category which presents the highest level of risk to passengers is slips, trips and falls, with assaults providing the second highest contribution (see footnote in previous chapter regarding the uncertainty in the assault data). The category which presents the greatest risk to the workforce is also slips, trips and falls. However, the second highest contribution is derived from struck/crushed by large object/structure, such as dropped rail, machinery and so on. The risk to MOPs is dominated by trespass, followed by struck/crushed by train. It can be seen that most of the categories have a level of risk of FWI/yr of >1. Of those categories which contribute significant amounts to the overall risk, only four exceed 10 FWI/yr (trespass, slips, trips and falls, assaults and stuck/crushed by train). Nine of the 17 categories have FWI/yr <5, including platform edge incidents, collisions with road vehicles at level crossings and fires/explosions. Chart 4 shows the combined risk in fatalities per year. It is broadly similar to Chart 3, with the risk from trespass dominating the fatality risk. The second highest level of fatality risk is from struck/crushed by train (9.9/yr – excluding trespass). There is also a far smaller contribution to overall fatalities/yr from assaults and slips, trips and falls compared with overall FWI-based risk. The category with the greatest increase in fatality risk since version 5 is slips, trips and falls, which has increased by 24.8%. Although this is a large percentage increase, there are still very few fatalities in this category (6.01 fatalities/yr). The category with the greatest decrease in risk is machinery operation, which has reduced by 45.2%. However, as the fatality risk is so small (0.1 fatalities/yr) it is likely that this change is due, at least in part, to data fluctuations. As there are so few fatalities in this category, estimates of fatality risk are sensitive to a change, hence large percentage changes can arise. Version 5.5/May 2008 11 Overall risk profiles Chart 3. Combined risk profile (FWI/yr) – includes percentage change in risk from version 5 Risk (fatalities and weighted injuries / year) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Trespass 12.4 (+8.9%) Struck/crushed by train 10.3 (-4.9%) Boarding and alighting 8.2 (-6.6%) Struck/crushed by large object/structure 7.9 (-11.0%) Train collisions and derailments 5.9 (0.0%) On-train incidents 5.6 (+4.9%) Platform edge incidents 3.9 (+9.9%) Collision with road vehicle at level crossing 3.5 (-0.0%) Contact with object 2.0 Electric shock Fires, explosions (-13.8%) 2.0 0% 1.2 (+24.4%) 1.0 (-7.9%) 0.7 (-7.0%) Machinery operation 0.4 (-30.5%) Lean or fall from train in running 0.2 (-4.6%) Version 5.5/May 2008 50 37.4 (+5.6%) Assaults Other 45 42.6 (-4.9%) Slips, trips and falls (incl from height) Manual handling 40 Passenger Workforce Public 12 Overall risk profiles Chart 4. Combined risk profile (fatalities/yr) – includes percentage change in risk from version 5 Risk (fatalities / year) 0 2 4 6 8 10 Trespass 9.9 (-5.3%) Slips, trips and falls (incl from height) 6.0 (+24.8%) Train collisions and derailments 4.4 (0%) Collision with road vehicle at level crossing 3.1 (0%) Platform edge incidents 2.5 (6.9%) Electric shock 1.5 (0%) Assaults Fires, explosions Struck/crushed by large object/structure Other Lean or fall from train in running Version 5.5/May 2008 40 39.6 (-5.3%) Struck/crushed by train Boarding and alighting 38 1.3 (+21.5%) 1.0 (-39.4%) 0.5 (-6.9%) 0.5 (-26.1%) 0.5 (-6.9%) 0.1 (+10.2%) Machinery operation 0.1 (-45.2%) Contact with object 0.0 (-53.0%) Manual handling 0.0 (0%) On-train incidents 0.0 (0%) Passenger Workforce Public 13 Detailed risk profiles 7 Detailed risk profiles 7.1 Risk by accident type Charts 5-8 present the risk profiles for train accidents, movement accidents, non-movement accidents and trespass incidents respectively. Note that these profiles exclude suicide, passenger and MOP assaults.5 7.1.1 Train accidents Chart 5 shows the risk profile for train accidents. The only train accident models that have been updated as part of SRMv5.5 were those relating to train fires which include: • HET-17: Fire on passenger train (in station) • HET-18: Fire on passenger train (not in station) • HET-20: Fire on non-passenger train HET-18: Fire on passenger train (not in station) is currently ranked 15th in the train accident risk profile whereas in RPBv5 it was ranked 13th. In the current data period there has been a reduction in the frequency of passenger train fires; this has resulted in an 18% decrease in the risk from 0.0676 FWI/yr to 0.0552 FWI/yr for this hazardous event. HET-20: Fire on non-passenger train is currently ranked 16th in the train accident risk profile whereas in RPBv5 it was ranked 10th. In the current data period there has been a marked reduction in the frequency of non-passenger train fires which has resulted in a 44% decrease in the risk from 0.0941 FWI/yr to 0.0528 FWI/yr for this hazardous event. HET-17: Fire on passenger train (in station) is currently ranked 17th in the train accident risk profile whereas in RPBv5 it was ranked 15th. In the current data period there has been a slight reduction in the frequency of passenger train fires in stations which has resulted in a 4% decrease in the risk from 0.0440 FWI/yr to 0.0423 FWI/yr for this hazardous event. Fires have decreased due to a general reduction in vandalism. This may have been due to initiatives such as improved management of access (eg, more ticket barriers and revenue protection staff), more CCTV monitoring, the impact of non-smoking legislation, and the introduction of newer rolling stock with flame retardant upholstery. Fires due to vehicle or equipment failures may also have reduced due to the introduction of newer passenger rolling stock, removal of Mark I stock and the refurbishment of HSTs. The effects of replacing older rolling stock and with newer stock may explain some of the fall in the frequency of freight train fires. 5 Whilst physical assaults on members of workforce are believed to be well recorded in SMIS, physical assault on passengers and members of the public are known to be significantly under-reported. Figures from the BTP indicate the number of passenger and public assaults per year is much higher than that recorded in SMIS, in the region of around 9 FWIs per year. Given the uncertainty of the risk estimates for passenger and member of public assaults, these have been excluded from the overall risk predictions. However, for the purpose of train accident analysis, shock/trauma has been included in the minor injuries category. It has not been possible to extract the proportion of injuries that are shock/trauma for train accidents for version 5.5 of the SRM. Research is ongoing that should have resolved this issue prior to version 6 of the SRM being issued. Version 5.5/May 2008 14 Detailed risk profiles It should be noted that the changes in the injury weightings have not had an impact on the risk from train accident hazardous events. Version 5.5/May 2008 15 Detailed risk profiles Chart 5. Risk profile for train accidents (FWI/yr) – includes percentage change in risk from version 5 0 1 HET-12 Derailment of passenger trains 4 3.03 HET-04 Collision of train with object on line (not resulting in derailment) 0.872 HET-01 Collision between two passenger trains resulting from a SPAD (other than in stations) (with TPWS) 0.525 HET-11 Non-passenger train collision with road vehicle on level crossing 0.508 0.416 HET-13 FTP Derailment of freight trains on passenger lines outside possession HET-02NP Collision between a non-passenger train and passenger train resulting from a nonpassenger train SPAD (with TPWS) HET-09 Collision with buffer stops 3 3.13 HET-10 Passenger train collision with road vehicle on level crossing HET-03 Collision between two non-passenger trains resulting from a SPAD (with TPWS) 2 0.302 0.191 0.145 HET-13 FTF Derailment of freight trains on freight only lines outside possession 0.109 HET-06 Collision between two passenger trains in station (permissive working) 0.0741 HET-24 Explosion on freight train 0.0693 HET-02P Collision between a passenger train and non-passenger train resulting from a passenger train SPAD (with TPWS) 0.0571 HET-13 EP Derailment of ECS&Parcels trains on passenger lines 0.0560 HET-18 Fire on passenger train (not in station) 0.0552 (-18.4%) HET-20 Fire on non-passenger train 0.0528 (-43.8%) HET-17 Fire on passenger train (in station) 0.0423 (-3.9%) HET-22 Structural collapse at station 0.0387 HET-26 Collision between a failed train and an assisting train 0.0220 HET-25 Train divisions (not leading to collision) 0.0128 Fatalities HET-23 Explosion on passenger train 0.00455 Major Injuries HET-21 Train crushed by structural collapse or large object (not at station) 0.00452 Minor Injuries Version 5.5/May 2008 16 Detailed risk profiles 7.1.2 Movement accidents Chart 6 shows the risk profile for the top 20 movement accidents (excluding suicide) in FWI/yr as well as the change in risk from SRMv5 to SRMv5.5. It can be seen that, overall, the change in risk is small and that the top 10 hazardous events have shown a decrease in risk. The largest risk increase is from HEM-21: Workforce fall between train and platform, which, with an increase of 0.27 FWI/yr, has more than doubled. The most significant risk decreases are from: • HEM-06: Passenger fall between train and platform has decreased by 0.47 FWI/yr, a reduction of 19%. • HEM-19: Track worker struck/crushed by train has decreased by 0.29 FWI/yr, a reduction of 11%. • HEM-09: Passenger injury while boarding/alighting train has also decreased by 0.27 FWI/yr, a reduction of 7%. HEM-40 MOP struck by train due to being too close to the platform edge has increased by 615%. This risk estimate has previously relied on a small incident data set. Prior to this update no more than a single fatality had occurred in any one year. However, in the current data period, three fatalities occurred in the year 2006/7 and this has resulted in a significant revision of the risk estimate. Table A2 provides a complete set of explanations of the change in the hazardous event risk estimates from SRMv5 to SRMv5.5. Version 5.5/May 2008 17 Detailed risk profiles Chart 6. Risk profile for the top 20 movement hazardous events (excluding suicide) (FWI/yr) – includes percentage change in risk from version 5 0 2 4 6 7.16 HEM-27 MOP pedestrian struck/crushed by train on level crossing or footpath crossing HEM-09 Passenger injury w hile boarding/alighting train (platform side) 3.59 HEM-08 Passenger fall from platform and struck by train 2.36 (0%) HEM-19 Track w orker struck/crushed by train 2.32 (-11.2%) HEM-06 Passenger fall betw een train and platform 1.11 HEM-05 Train door closes on passenger 0.696 (-7.1%) (-4.8%) HEM-38 Passenger injury due to sudden train movement 0.560 (-12.9%) HEM-10 Passenger struck by train w hile on platform 0.513 (-0.3%) HEM-14 Workforce (not track w orker) struck/crushed by train 0.504 (+115%) 0.445 (0%) 0.356 (0%) HEM-23 Train door closes on w orkforce 0.237 (+15.9%) HEM-01 Passenger injury during evacuation follow ing stopped train 0.236 (+4.6%) HEM-40 MOP struck by train due to being too close to platform edge 0.184 (+615%) HEM-18 Train crew hit by object through train w indow 0.175 (+31.5%) HEM-20 Workforce struck by flying object (includes objects throw n by OTM movements outside a possession) HEM-04 Passenger struck by object through train w indow (-7.0%) 1.19 (-8.0%) HEM-39 Train crew injury due to sudden train movement HEM-11 Passenger struck w hile crossing track at station on crossing (-3.2%) 2.01 (-19.0%) HEM-16 Workforce injury w hile boarding/alighting train HEM-21 Workforce fall betw een train and platform 8 0.111 (-56.3%) 0.0774 (-42.1%) Fatalities Major Injuries Minor Injuries HEM-13 Train overcrow ding Version 5.5/May 2008 0.0705 (0%) 18 Detailed risk profiles 7.1.3 Non-movement accidents Chart 7 shows the risk profile for the top 20 non-movement accidents (excluding passenger and MOP assault) in FWI/yr, as well as the change from SRMv5 to SRMv5.5. It can be seen that the highest ranked non-movement accident, HEN-14: Passenger slip, trip or fall, has increased by 1.19 FWI/yr. This is a 5% increase commensurate with the rise in the number of passenger journeys. The other hazardous event that shows a significant increase is HEN-68: MOP nontrespasser fall in stations. This has increased by 1.26 FWI/yr, which is eight times the SRMv5 estimate. This increase is due to the improved segregation of the MOP events from the passenger events in SRMv5.5. The second highest ranked non-movement accident, HEN-24: Workforce slip, trip or fall <2m, has fallen by 0.80 FWI/yr, a reduction of 10%. Two other hazardous events have shown a significant decrease in risk: • HEN-56: Workforce struck by/contact with/ trapped in object not at station, which has reduced by 0.50 FWI/yr, or 15%, • HEN-65: Workforce assault, which has reduced by 0.49 FWI/yr, or 12%. Table A2 provides a complete set of explanations of the change in the hazardous event risk estimates from SRMv5 to SRMv5.5. Version 5.5/May 2008 19 Detailed risk profiles Chart 7. Risk profile for the top 20 non-movement hazardous events (excluding passenger and MOP assault and suicides) (FWI/yr) – includes percentage change in risk from version 5 0 5 10 HEN-24 Workforce slip, trip or fall <2m 7.49 3.34 HEN-45 MOP (non-trespasser) fall/jump from outside onto the mainline railw ay HEN-56 Workforce struck by/contact w ith/ trapped in object not at station HEN-62 Passenger on-train incident (excluding sudden train movement & assaults) 2.74 (+14.1%) 2.10 1.42 HEN-74 Workforce manual handling 1.11 HEN-23 Workforce struck by/contact w ith/trapped in object w hile on platform area 1.07 (-2.8%) (-9.9%) (+796.8%) (+27.5%) (+4.2%) 1.05 (0.0%) HEN-13 Passenger fall from platform onto track (no train present) 0.810 (+26.1%) HEN-25 Workforce slip, trip or fall >2m 0.751 (+28.7%) HEN-10 Passenger electric shock at station (conductor rail) HEN-46 MOP slip, trip or fall on level crossing or footpath crossing (-9.7%) 2.93 (-14.6%) 2.78 HEN-30 Workforce electric shock (conductor rail) 0.716 (0.0%) 0.536 (0.0%) 0.403 (-18.2%) HEN-31 Workforce electric shock (OHL) 0.384 (0.0%) HEN-26 Workforce struck/crushed by non-train vehicle 0.338 (-17.4%) Major Injuries HEN-44 MOP struck / trapped by level crossing equipment or involved in RTA at level crossing 0.318 (-40.9%) Minor Injuries Version 5.5/May 2008 30 (+8.5%) HEN-63 Workforce on-train incident (excluding sudden train movement & assaults) HEN-55 Passenger struck by/contact w ith/trapped in object at station 25 3.56 (-12.2%) HEN-65 Workforce assault HEN-68 MOP non-trespasser fall in stations 20 23.7 (+5.3%) HEN-14 Passenger slip, trip or fall HEN-21 Workforce struck/crushed by structural collapse or large object 15 Fatalities 20 Detailed risk profiles 7.1.4 Trespass accidents Chart 8 shows the risk profile for the trespass hazardous events in FWI/yr as well as the change from SRMv5 to SRMv5.5. It can be seen that the highest ranked trespass hazardous event, HEM-25: Adult trespasser struck/crushed while on the mainline railway, has decreased by 2.34 FWI/yr. This is a reduction of 8%. The second highest ranked trespass hazardous event, HEN-38: Adult trespasser electric shock (conductor rail), has increased by 0.81 FWI/yr (or 17%). The other significant change is HEM-26: Child trespasser struck/crushed while on mainline railway, which has also reduced by 1.08 FWI/yr (or 33%). The chart is dominated by red as these incidents have a very high probability of leading to a fatality. As these hazardous events are dominated by fatality risk, which weighs heavily in the FWI weightings, a small number of incidents in the new data set has in some cases resulted in a significant revision to previous risk estimates. Table A2 provides a complete set of explanations of the change in the hazardous event risk estimates from SRMv5 to SRMv5.5. Version 5.5/May 2008 21 Detailed risk profiles Chart 8. Risk profile for the trespass hazardous events (FWI/yr) – includes percentage change in risk from version 5 0 3 6 HEM-25 Adult trespasser struck/crushed w hile on the mainline railw ay 5.50 (+17.3%) HEM-12 Adult/child trespasser struck w hile crossing track at station 3.50 HEM-26 Child trespasser struck/crushed w hile on mainline railw ay (-1.0%) 2.24 (-32.5%) HEN-71 Adult trespass fall/jump from outside onto the mainline railw ay 1.25 (+36.9%) HEN-36 Adult trespasser fall w hile on the mainline railw ay 1.25 HEM-30 MOP fall w hile riding illegally on train 0.939 0.783 HEN-37 Adult trespasser electric shock (OHL) HEN-42 Child trespasser electric shock (conductor rail) 0.694 0.353 (+27.2%) (+18.5%) (-1.3%) 0.116 (+123%) HEN-40 Child trespasser fall w hile on the mainline railw ay 0.0459 (-44.5%) HEN-43 Child trespasser electric shock (nontraction supply) 0.000688 HEN-39 Adult trespasser electric shock (nontraction supply) 0.000459 (-19.8%) (+24.5%) HEN-72 Child trespasser fall/jump from outside onto the mainline railw ay Version 5.5/May 2008 35 25.9 (-8.3%) HEN-38 Adult trespasser electric shock (conductor rail) HEN-41 Child trespasser electric shock (OHL) 25 (-22.2%) Fatalities Major Injuries (-20.4%) Minor Injuries 22 Detailed risk profiles 7.2 Risk by person type This section presents the risk to passengers, workforce and MOPs, broken down by hazardous event. In many cases the risk from a hazardous event includes more than one person type. However, in this section, only the injuries associated with a single person type are included. For example HEM-11 Passenger struck while crossing track at station on crossing includes only the passenger injuries and not the workforce shock and trauma injuries associated with witnessing the event. This accounts for small differences between the risk values in this section and those in section 7.1. 7.2.1 Passenger risk Total passenger risk excluding assault is estimated to be 44.4 FWI/yr. Chart 9 shows the risk profile for the top 20 passenger hazardous events (excluding assault) in FWI/yr and the change in risk from SRMv5 to SRMv5.5. HEN-14: Passenger slips, trips and falls remains the highest contributor to passenger risk at 23.7 FWI/yr (53.5% of total passenger risk). There are also three other non-movement accidents in the top ten hazardous events for passenger risk: • HEN-62: Passenger on-train incident (excluding sudden train movement & assaults), which contributes 2.74 FWI/yr. • HEN-55: Passenger struck by/contact with/trapped in object at station, which contributes 1.05 FWI/yr. • HEN-13: Passenger fall from platform onto track (no train present), which contributes 0.81 FWI/yr. There are two train accidents in the passenger top ten, HET-12: Derailment of passenger trains, which contributes 2.57 FWI/yr to passenger risk and HET-10: Passenger train collision with road vehicle on level crossings, which contributes 0.58 FWI/yr to passenger risk. There are four movement accidents in the top ten hazardous events for passenger risk, all of which relate to the platform-train interface: • HEM-09: Passenger injury while boarding/alighting train (platform side), which contributes 3.59 FWI/yr. • HEM-08: Passenger fall from platform and struck by train, which contributes 2.33 FWI/yr. • HEM-06: Passenger fall between train and platform, which contributes 2.01 FWI/yr. • HEM-05: Train door closes on passenger, which contributes 0.70 FWI/yr. HEN-64: Passenger assault is currently estimated to be 8.49 FWI/yr. However the confidence limits on this estimate are very wide. The reason for this lack of confidence is that there are two data sources available to estimate the risk from passenger assault: SMIS and the BTP database, PINS. These sources contain widely different average frequency of assaults; moreover the PINS data has a further difficulty in that it does not record the average consequence from assaults. RSSB is currently working on aligning these two data sources to improve confidence in the estimate of risk from passenger assaults. Version 5.5/May 2008 23 Detailed risk profiles Chart 9. Passenger risk profile for the top 20 passenger hazardous events excluding assault (FWI/yr) – includes percentage change in risk from version 5 0 3 6 2.74 HEN-62 Passenger on-train incident (excluding sudden train movement & assaults) 2.57 HET-12 Derailment of passenger trains HEM-08 Passenger fall from platform and struck by train 2.33 HEM-06 Passenger fall betw een train and platform HEM-05 Train door closes on passenger HET-10 Passenger train collision w ith road vehicle on level crossing HEM-38 Passenger injury due to sudden train movement HEN-10 Passenger electric shock at station (conductor rail) HEM-10 Passenger struck by train w hile on platform (0%) (0%) 1.05 (0%) 0.808 (+26.3%) 0.696 (-4.8%) 0.576 (0%) 0.560 (-12.9%) 0.536 (0%) 0.499 (-0.6%) HEM-11 Passenger struck w hile crossing track at station on crossing 0.443 (0%) 0.382 (0%) HEN-15 Passenger fall from overbridge at station 0.293 (0%) 0.236 (+4.6%) HET-13 FTP Derailment of freight trains on passenger lines outside possession 0.147 (0%) HET-02NP Collision betw een a non-passenger train and passenger train resulting from a non- passenger train SPAD (w ith TPWS) 0.121 (0%) HEN-05 Explosion at station 0.120 (0%) Version 5.5/May 2008 (+14.1%) 2.01 (-19.0%) HET-01 Collision betw een tw o passenger trains resulting from a SPAD (other than in stations) (w ith TPWS) HEM-01 Passenger injury during evacuation follow ing stopped train 24 3.59 (-7.0%) HEM-09 Passenger injury w hile boarding/alighting train (platform side) HEN-13 Passenger fall from platform onto track (no train present) 21 23.7 14.7 (+5.3%) HEN-14 Passenger slip, trip or fall HEN-55 Passenger struck by/contact w ith/trapped in object at station 9 Fatalities Major Injuries Minor Injuries 24 Detailed risk profiles 7.2.2 Workforce risk Total workforce risk is estimated to be 33.1 FWI/yr. Chart 10 shows the risk profile for the top 20 workforce hazardous events in FWI/yr and the change in risk from SRMv5 to SRMv5.5. As with the passenger risk profile, HEN-24 Workforce slip, trip or fall < 2m is the highest contributor to workforce risk at 7.49 FWI/yr (22.6% of total workforce risk). The top 10 workforce hazardous events are dominated by non-movement accidents. In addition to HEN-24, there are six other non-movement accidents in the workforce top ten: • HEN-65: Workforce assault which contributes 3.54 FWI/yr. • HEN-56: Workforce struck by/contact with/ trapped in object not at station, which contributes 2.93 FWI/yr. • HEN-63: Workforce on-train incident (excluding sudden train movement & assaults), which contributes 2.78 FWI/yr. • HEN-21: Workforce struck/crushed by structural collapse or large object, which contributes 2.10 FWI/yr. • HEN-74: Workforce manual handling, which contributes 1.11 FWI/yr. • HEN-23: Workforce struck by/contact with/trapped in object while on platform area, which contributes 1.07 FWI/yr. The remaining three of the top ten hazardous events for workforce risk are movement accidents: • HEM-19: Track worker struck/crushed by train, which contributes 2.32 FWI/yr. • HEM-16: Workforce injury while boarding/alighting train, which contributes 1.19 FWI/yr. • HEM-39: Train crew injury due to sudden train movement, which contributes 1.11 FWI/yr. HET-12: Derailment of passenger trains is the only train accident in the top 20 hazardous events for workforce risk. It is currently ranked 15th and contributes 0.41 FWI/yr to total workforce risk. Version 5.5/May 2008 25 Detailed risk profiles Chart 10. Workforce risk profile for the top 20 workforce hazardous events excluding suicide, trespass and passenger and MOP assault (FWI/yr) – includes percentage change in risk from version 5 0 2 4 3.54 (-12.7%) HEN-65 Workforce assault 2.93 (-14.6%) HEN-56 Workforce struck by/contact w ith/ trapped in object not at station 2.78 (-2.8%) HEN-63 Workforce on-train incident (excluding sudden train movement & assaults) 2.32 (-11.2%) HEM-19 Track w orker struck/crushed by train HEN-21 Workforce struck/crushed by structural collapse or large object HEM-39 Train crew injury due to sudden train movement HEN-74 Workforce manual handling HEN-23 Workforce struck by/contact w ith/trapped in object w hile on platform area HEM-31 MOP suicide or attempted suicide (open verdict) HEN-25 Workforce slip, trip or fall >2m 1.19 1.11 (-8.0%) (-7.1%) 1.11 (+27.5%) 1.07 (+4.2%) 0.950 (+7.7%) 0.751 (0%) 0.716 (0%) HEM-21 Workforce fall betw een train and platform 0.504 (+115%) HET-12 Derailment of passenger trains 0.411 (0%) HEN-31 Workforce electric shock (OHL) 0.384 ( 0%) HEN-26 Workforce struck/crushed by non-train vehicle HEN-29 Workforce exposure to hazardous substances (including stings, bites and needle injuries) HEM-23 Train door closes on w orkforce Version 5.5/May 2008 2.10 (-9.9%) HEN-30 Workforce electric shock (conductor rail) HEM-14 Workforce (not track w orker) struck/crushed by train 8 7.49 (-9.7%) HEN-24 Workforce slip, trip or fall <2m HEM-16 Workforce injury w hile boarding/alighting train 6 0.356 (0%) 0.338 (-17.4%) 0.244 (-28.3%) 0.237 (+15.9%) Fatalities Major Injuries Minor Injuries 26 Detailed risk profiles 7.2.3 Public risk Total MOP risk excluding suicide, and assault is estimated to be 60.0 FWI/yr. The majority of MOP risk (42.5 FWI/yr) is related to trespass incidents. Trespass has been discussed in detail in section 7.1.4. This section focuses on MOP risk excluding suicide, assault and trespass which contributes a total of 17.5 FWI/yr. Chart 11 shows the risk profile for the top 20 MOP hazardous events in FWI/yr and the change in risk from SRMv5 to SRMv5.5. This risk profile is dominated by events that occur at level crossings. The highest ranked hazardous event is HEM-27: MOP pedestrian struck/crushed by train on level crossing or footpath crossing, which contributes 7.12 FWI/yr (40.7% of the total MOP risk). The only other movement accident in the top ten for MOP hazardous events is HEM40: MOP struck by train due to being too close to platform edge which contributes 0.18 FWI/yr. There are five non-movement accidents in the top ten MOP hazardous events: • HEN-45: MOP (non-trespasser) fall/jump from outside onto the mainline railway which contributes 3.33 FWI/yr. • HEN-68: MOP non-trespasser fall in stations, which contributes 1.42 FWI/yr. • HEN-46: MOP slip, trip or fall on level crossing or footpath crossing, which contributes 0.40 FWI/yr. • HEN-44: MOP struck / trapped by level crossing equipment or involved in RTA at level crossing which contributes 0.32 FWI/yr. • HEN-49: MOP exposure to explosion on the mainline railway, which contributes 0.3 FWI/yr. There are three train accidents in the top ten hazardous events for MOP risk. As you would expect, two of these are related to level crossings: • HET-10: Passenger train collision with road vehicle on level crossings which contributes 2.31 FWI/yr is ranked third. • HET-11: Non-passenger train collision with road vehicle on level crossings which contributes 0.47 FWI/yr is ranked sixth. Also in the top ten, is HET-04: Collision of train with object on line (not resulting in derailment), which contributes 0.75 FWI/yr (ranked fifth). The MOP contribution to this hazardous event comes from vehicles which penetrate the railway boundary and end up foul of the line and being struck by a train, for example through road traffic accidents or other causes. Version 5.5/May 2008 27 Detailed risk profiles Chart 11. Member of the public risk profile for the top 20 member of the public hazardous events excluding suicide, trespass and assault (FWI/yr) – includes percentage change in risk from version 5 0 2 4 3.33 (+8.4%) HEN-45 MOP (non-trespasser) fall from outside onto the mainline railw ay 2.31 (0%) HET-10 Passenger train collision w ith road vehicle on level crossing 1.42 (+797%) HEN-68 MOP non-trespasser fall in stations HET-04 Collision of train w ith object on line (not resulting in derailment) HEN-46 MOP slip, trip or fall on level crossing or footpath crossing HEN-44 MOP struck / trapped by level crossing equipment or involved in RTA at level crossing HEN-49 MOP exposure to explosion on the mainline railw ay HEM-40 MOP struck by train due to standing too close to platform edge HET-12 Derailment of passenger trains 0.748 0.471 0.403 (-18.2%) 0.318 (-39.2%) 0.300 (0%) 0.184 (+633%) 0.145 (0%) 0.115 (0%) HEN-54 MOP exposure to hazardous substances leakage on the mainline railw ay 0.100 (0%) HET-03 Collision betw een tw o non-passenger trains resulting from a SPAD (w ith TPWS) 0.0923 (0%) HET-13 FTP Derailment of freight trains on passenger lines outside possession 0.0915 (0%) HET-02NP Collision betw een a non-passenger train and passenger train resulting from a nonpassenger train SPAD (w ith TPWS) 0.0694 (0%) HET-24 Explosion on freight train 0.0579 (0%) HEN-59 MOP trapped at station 0.0554 (0%) HET-13 FTF Derailment of freight trains on freight only lines outside possession Version 5.5/May 2008 (0%) (0%) HEN-51 MOP electric shock (OHL) HET-20 Fire on non-passenger train 8 7.12 (-3.1%) HEM-27 MOP pedestrian struck/crushed by train on level crossing or footpath crossing HET-11 Non-passenger train collision w ith road vehicle on level crossing 6 0.0468 (-45.2%) 0.0388 (0%) Fatalities Major Injuries Minor Injuries 28 Grouped precursor contributions 8 Grouped precursor contributions The precursors for all the hazardous events have been categorised into common groupings to assist understanding of the risk profile and major risk contributors. A summary table of these common groupings and their corresponding risk contributions are shown in Table 5. This provides valuable information to the industry regarding the significant causes of hazardous events. Precursors, by definition, are the main contributors to the hazardous events and ultimately lead to harm. Targeting the precursors through effective management actions will lead to a reduction in risk to all the associated hazardous events. It should be noted that none of the groups comprise a mutually exclusive set of precursors as there is overlap between some (ie, one precursor may contribute to more than one group). SPADs, for example, may share precursors with rolling stock faults, driver error, level crossings and of course the groups devoted to passenger and non-passenger train SPADs. Because of this the total risk that would be calculated by summing the risk from each grouping is different to the total in Table 2. Tables C1 and C2 provide a more detailed breakdown of the precursor groupings and their risk contributions expressed in FWI and fatalities per year respectively. An even more detailed breakdown of the risk contribution of the precursors that feed into the various hazardous events is shown in Tables C3 and C4 in FWI and fatalities respectively. Table C1 is shown in Appendix C; Tables C2 to C4 are provided on the accompanying CD. Most of the changes between version 5 and 5.5 are minor, these are discussed below. The changes are largely related to the update of the risk profile; however some may be due to improved coding of the precursors. • O – Stations represents the highest risk group and the risk associated with them has increased slightly from 52.07 (FWI/yr) in version 5 (taking account of the revised FWI weightings) to 55.36 FWI/yr; an increase of 6%. This is mostly due to a redefinition of two of the pre-cursor sub-groups. Passenger and workforce slip, trip or fall on platforms or stairs/escalators has been extended to cover all areas of the station (ie concourse and ramps). • L, M & N– Level crossings represent the next highest precursor group in terms of risk. This risk has reduced slightly compared to version 5 (3%) but is not considered significant. • P – On train incidents is the third highest area, with a slight increase compared with version 5 (5%). Increased use of the railways with the same capacity will bring passengers into closer proximity to each other and therefore has the potential to result in increased risk. On train safety has not historically had great attention. However, this risk now exceeds train accident risk and therefore might warrant greater attention. A number of research projects that address on-train safety are underway (e.g. T358 Understanding the risk of on-board accidents). • Q – OTP inside possessions has increased by 16%. However, this represents only an absolute increase of 0.08 FWI/yr. A significant proportion of this increase includes trespasser risk. Version 5.5/May 2008 29 Grouped precursor contributions Table 5. Group Grouped precursor risk contributions Version 5.5 Risk Contributions (FWI/year) Version 5 Risk Contribution (FWI/year) V5 - v5.5 Difference C Group Description Vandalism affecting trains (damage to fencing excluded) Track faults - grouped for both passenger and non-passenger trains Track faults - passenger trains D Track faults - non-passenger trains 0.26 0.26 0.00 E Passenger train rolling stock faults 3.68 3.60 0.08 F Non-Passenger train rolling stock faults 0.48 0.57 -0.10 G Structural failures 0.84 0.84 0.00 H Passenger train Cat A SPADs 0.47 0.47 0.00 I Non-Passenger train SPADs 0.19 0.19 0.00 J Cat D SPADs/ runaways 0.24 0.24 0.00 K Driver error 1.39 1.39 0.00 11.84 12.25 -0.41 3.52 3.52 0.00 55.36 52.07 3.29 5.94 5.67 0.27 0.56 0.48 0.08 1.45 1.70 -0.24 A B L&M N Level crossings Q Crossings by type Stations (movement and non-movement accidents only) On train incidents (includes crowding, but excludes assaults) OTP inside possession R Environment O P Version 5.5/May 2008 0.56 0.58 -0.02 2.91 3.09 -0.18 2.65 2.83 -0.18 30 Risk from on-track plant 9 Risk from on-track plant This section is provided as a quick reference for those within the rail industry who are interested in on-track plant (OTP) hazardous events. Table 6 provides an estimation of the event frequency and risk explicitly modelled in SRMv5.5 as being related to the movement and operation of OTP within possessions. It shows that approximately 76.2 events per year are related to OTP hazardous events inside possessions. These incidents contribute approximately 0.565 FWI/yr to the total risk on the mainline railway (equivalent to 0.4% of the overall risk for SRMv5.5). Comparing the risk figures with the SRMv5, it can be seen that the risk for OTP movement and non-movement hazardous events has increased slightly. This increase can be primarily attributed to improved data which has allowed an improved estimate of the frequency of OTP related events. Table 6. Summary of frequency and risk from OTP hazardous events Hazardous Event Group Train accidents Movement accidents Non-movement accidents Total National average OTP frequency (events per year) 61.84 6.25 8.12 76.21 National average OTP risk (FWI per year) 0.199 0.216 0.150 0.565 Version 5 risk (FWI per year new weightings) 0.199 0.180 0.102 0.481 Chart 12 shows the risk for the top 10 OTP-related hazardous events. These account for approximately 77% of the total OTP-related risk with approximately 52% of the total being derived from the top five hazardous events. Three of the top five are classified as train accidents, leading either to derailment of the OTP, or a collision between the OTP and a passenger or non-passenger train. Each of these three events has the potential to lead to catastrophic consequences. However, the level of risk remains low, as the probability of these catastrophic outcomes is generally low. For example, the highest train accident risk for OTP-related events (HET-13: FTP OTP, Derailment of OTP on passenger lines inside possession) has an estimated frequency of 31.8 events per year, but most of these incidents will be slow-speed derailments which do not obstruct the adjacent line and result in only minor consequences, equating to an average consequence of only 0.005 FWI/event. There are only three non-movement accidents in the top 10 shown in Chart 12. This is consistent with the scope of the OTP modelling, which is concerned with the hazardous events associated with the movement and operation of OTP only. Only seven of the 32 OTP hazardous events are non-movement accidents and these are directly related to the operation of the OTP, such as HEN-21: OTP Track worker struck by load dropped from OTP inside possession. A list of the risk contributions from all of the OTP-related sub-hazardous events explicitly modelled within the main SRMv5.5 is presented in Table 7. Version 5.5/May 2008 31 Risk from on-track plant Chart 12. Risk profile for top 10 OTP-related hazardous events (FWI/yr) 0.00 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.081 HET-13 FTP OTP Derailment of OTP on passenger lines inside possession HEM-25 OTP Adult trespasser struck/crushed by OTP inside possession 0.077 HET-03 OTP Collision between OTP and non-passenger train inside possession 0.046 HET-02NP OTP Collision between OTP and passenger train resulting from OTP incorrectly outside possession 0.046 HEM-15 OTP Track worker fall from OTP in running inside possession 0.042 0.039 HEN-24 OTP Workforce (OTP train crew) slip, trip or fall <2m inside possession HEN-30 OTP OTP workforce electric shock (conductor rail) due to movement of OTP inside possession HEM-16 OTP OTP workforce fall getting on/off OTP inside possession HEN-21 OTP Track worker struck by load dropped from OTP inside possession 0.030 0.025 0.023 Train Accident HEM-14 OTP OTP workforce (not track worker) struck/crushed by OTP inside possession Version 5.5/May 2008 Movement Accident 0.023 Non-movement Accident 32 Risk from on-track plant One of the major changes from SRMv5 is that HEM-25 OTP: Adult trespasser struck/crushed by OTP inside possession has become the second highest ranked hazardous event, whereas it was previously ranked fourth. This is the result of a change in the modelling approach rather than a change in actual risk. The frequency was revised from one event in nine years to one event in five years in light of recent data. As this is a high-consequence event, the change in frequency has resulted in a significant change in risk. The other significant change is HEN-24 OTP: Workforce (OTP train crew) slip, trip or fall <2m inside possession which is currently ranked sixth (previously 17th). Again, this is the result of a change in the modelling approach rather than a change in actual risk. The average frequency of this event has increased from about one event per year in SRMv5 to 3.33 events per year. This frequency is particularly difficult to estimate as the SMIS data does not explicitly state if slip, trip and fall events are related to the movement and operation of OTP. Version 5.5/May 2008 33 Risk from on-track plant Table 7. Frequency and risk by sub-hazardous event for all OTP hazardous events Sub-hazardous event HET-02NP OTP HET-03 OTP HET-04 OTP HET-09 OTP HET-11A OTP HET-11B OTP HET-11C OTP HET-13 FTP OTP HET-13 FTF OTP HET-20 OTP HET-21 OTP HEM-04 OTP HEM-10 OTP HEM-11 OTP HEM-12 OTP HEM-14 OTP HEM-15 OTP HEM-16 OTP HEM-17 OTP HEM-18 OTP HEM-20 OTP HEM-25 OTP HEM-26 OTP HEM-27 OTP HEM-30 OTP HEN-21 OTP HEN-24 OTP HEN-25 OTP HEN-30 OTP Sub-hazardous event description Collision between OTP and passenger train resulting from OTP incorrectly outside possession Collision between OTP and non-passenger train inside possession Collision of OTP with object on line inside possession (not resulting in derailment) Collision with buffer stops: OTP inside possession OTP collision with road vehicle on level crossing inside possession: AOCL & ABCL only OTP collision with road vehicle on level crossing inside possession: open crossings (OC) OTP collision with road vehicle on level crossing inside possession: other crossings (AHB, FP, MG/MCB/CCTV & all UWC) Derailment of OTP on passenger lines inside possession Derailment of OTP on freight only lines inside possession Fire on OTP inside possession OTP crushed by structural collapse or large object inside possession (not at station) Passenger struck by object through train window due to projection from OTP Passenger on platform struck by OTP inside possession Passenger struck while crossing track at station on crossing by a OTP inside a possession Adult/child trespasser struck while crossing track at station in possession OTP workforce (not track worker) struck/crushed by OTP inside possession Track worker fall from OTP in running inside possession OTP workforce fall getting on/off OTP inside possession OTP Train crew struck while leaning out of OTP inside possession OTP Train crew hit by object through OTP window inside possession Track worker or OTP train driver struck by object disturbed by or thrown from passing train or vehicle inside possession Adult trespasser struck/crushed by OTP inside possession Child trespasser struck/crushed by OTP inside possession MOP pedestrian struck/crushed by OTP inside possession on level crossing MOP fall while riding illegally on OTP inside possession Track worker struck by load dropped from OTP inside possession Workforce (OTP train crew) slip, trip or fall <2m inside possession Workforce (OTP train crew) slip, trip or fall >2m inside possession OTP workforce electric shock (conductor rail) due to movement of OTP inside possession Version 5.5/May 2008 National frequency (events/ yr) 0.050 11.0 16.0 0.067 0.0021 0.00070 Risk contribution (FWI/yr) 0.046 0.046 0.00058 0.00032 0.00040 0.00013 0.087 31.8 2.20 0.64 0.000017 0.021 0.0074 0.00074 0 0.12 1.00 3.00 0.10 0.64 0.016 0.081 0.0056 0.0020 0.000020 0.015 0.00057 0.00065 0 0.023 0.042 0.025 0.0016 0.014 1.13 0.20 0.010 0.0051 0.0045 3.96 3.33 0.20 0.090 0.0030 0.077 0.0051 0.0040 0.00062 0.023 0.039 0.0067 0.030 34 Risk from on-track plant Table 7. Frequency and risk by sub-hazardous event for all OTP hazardous events Sub-hazardous event HEN-31 OTP HEN-32 OTP HEN-35 OTP Total Sub-hazardous event description OTP Workforce electric shock (OHL) (contact with OHL inside possession) OTP workforce electric shock (non-traction supply) due to OTP contact with buried services inside possession OTP workforce involved in road traffic accident between OTP and another road vehicle Version 5.5/May 2008 National frequency (events/ yr) 0.090 0.27 0.18 76.2 Risk contribution (FWI/yr) 0.016 0.013 0.022 0.56 35 Modelling approach 10 Modelling approach Refer to the Risk Profile Bulletin version 5 for full details on the modelling approach. The changes for version 5.5 are limited to the normalising data and two of the key assumptions recorded in Table 14 of RPBv5. 10.1 Normalising Data The results from SRMv5.5 are based on the following: Description Train Miles v5.5 value v5 value Total number of train miles per year 333,389,734 331,272,620 Number of passenger train miles per year 281,079,774 277,587,122 Number of non-passenger train miles per year6 52,309,960 53,685,498 • • • 36,927,912 15,180,547 201,500 36,891,860 16,150,439 643,199 2,391,805 2,389,470 Number of freight train miles per year Number of ECS stock miles per year Number of parcels train miles per year Number of freight train miles on freight only lines per year Number of freight train miles on passenger lines per year 6 34,536,107 34,502,391 Comments Source: Paladin database v5 represents the figure for 2005 v5.5 represents the figure for 2006 As train miles above As train miles above Includes freight, empty coaching stock (ECS) and parcels. As train miles above As train miles above As train miles above Source: ACTRAFF 6.48% of freight train miles travel on freight only lines This value is the difference between total freight train miles and the number of freight train miles travelled on freight only lines. Figures may not sum to total exactly due to rounding Version 5.5/May 2008 36 Modelling approach Train fire normalising values 653,230 1,973,174 Source: Paladin v5 represents the figure for 2005 v5.5 represents the figure for P13 05/06 to P12 06/07 (ie the year from Feb/March 2005 to Feb/March 2006. Number of DMU passenger stock miles per year 126,172,964 127,884,833 The analysis is based upon a comparison of Paladin train miles for the various operators with unit mile data from ATOC. Number of ELOCO passenger stock miles per year 11,099,239 11,161,665 Number of EMU passenger stock miles per year 127,611,604 121,649,131 Number of HST passenger stock miles per year 15,542,738 14,918,318 Number of DLOCO passenger stock miles per year DLOCO is based upon an assessment of the journeys that now use Diesel Locomotives. These are non-HST Diesel loco hauled train miles Maintenance normalising values The v5 figure is based upon an estimate of the number of RRVs and RMMMs (OTP RPB). The values are: > No. RRVs: 956 > No. RMMMs: 205 Hours per week per machine is estimated as 18 for 52 weeks per year. Number of hours per year of on-track plant operation Version 5.5/May 2008 2,017,080 1,086,696 The v5.5 figure has been derived from the book "On-track Plant", 2007. The values are: > No. RRVs: 1786 > No. RMMMs: 369 Hours per week per machine is estimated as 18 for 52 weeks per year. 37 Modelling approach Number of full time equivalent track workers Number of full time equivalent track worker hours per year 30,500 30,500 54,900,000 54,900,000 1,125,000,000 1,078,000,000 Source: Network Rail's timesheet database. There is an ongoing initiative between RSSB and NR to derive an improved estimate of track worker hours and hence the full time equivalent track worker hours. Based upon 30,500 full time equivalent workers above. Hours worked are based on a 40 hour week for 45 weeks per year. Passenger normalising values Number of passenger journeys per year Source: ORR publication, "National Rail Trends Yearbook v5 represents the figure for 2005 v5.5 represents the figure for 2006/7 Infrastructure normalising values Total number of NRMI stations Number of track metres on NRMI Level crossing numbers Number of manual gates, manually controlled barriers and closed circuit television level crossings Number of automatic half barrier level crossings Number of automatic barrier crossings locally monitored Number of automatic open crossings locally monitored Number of footpath crossings Number of open crossings Number of user-worked crossings with telephone Number of user-worked crossings Number of user-worked crossings with miniature warning lights Version 5.5/May 2008 Source: RSSB SIDB The reduction is mainly due to now excluding stations on the Isle of Wight (the Isle of Wight is outside the scope of the SRM). Source: GEOGIS v5 represents the figure for 2005 v5.5 represents the figure for 2006 2,518 2,523 31,049,202 31,800,637 828 861 v5 figures represent the values in the 2005 version of Network Rails level crossing census. 451 456 v5.5 figures represent the values in 2007 50 49 128 2,586 63 1,661 1,060 128 2,593 58 1,668 1,551 93 129 The major change to the UWC types is due to the removal of inactive crossings from the statistics which is believed to be as a result of surveys conducted to populate the All Level Crossing Risk Model (ALCRM). 38 Modelling approach 10.2 Key assumptions The following changes were made to the key assumptions (Table 14 of RPBv5): • HETs General: Item 6. Normalising data was updated (see section 10.1 above). • HEMs General: Item 1. Normalising data was updated (see section 10.1 above). • HEM-27: Item 1. The consequences are averaged across all level crossing types. It is no longer assumed that the difference in nominal train speeds at different types of level crossing. The data shows that the average consequences across all level crossings are similar. • HEN-25: Item 1. The consequences are based on data, it is no longer assumed that there is a greater likelihood of fatality to occur when falling from a structure or building etc. Version 5.5/May 2008 39 Data for taking decisions 11 Data for taking decisions The principles that are applied to decision taking in the GB railway industry are described in the industry publication Taking safe decisions.7 The document describes how risk information is used to support judgements about whether or not particular measures are necessary in order to reduce risk to a level that is as low as is reasonably practicable (ALARP). There are various ways in which this judgement can be reached. If there is established good practice, and it is valid and appropriate in the particular circumstances envisaged, then this suggests that the practice is reasonably practicable. Where no established good practice exists then the judgement must be based on an estimation of costs and benefits. Risk estimates and information are used to help decision takers apply the test of reasonable practicability as outlined in case law: ‘[…] a computation must be made […] in which the quantum of risk is placed on one scale and the sacrifice involved in the measures necessary for averting the risk (whether in money, time or trouble) is placed in the other’.8 In practice the ‘sacrifice’ is taken to be the costs of a potential measure and the ‘quantum of risk’ the safety benefit associated with that measure – a collective risk estimate quantified in Fatalities and Weighted Injuries (FWIs). The value of preventing a fatality (VPF) is used to translate the safety benefit to a financial value. The value of the VPF for the calendar year 2008 has been calculated by RSSB from Department for Transport (DfT) guidance to be £1,652,000. The VPF is calculated annually and is available on the RSSB website.9 The balancing of costs and safety benefits can be undertaken qualitatively or quantitatively. In many cases, simple inexpensive controls can be adopted on the basis of qualitative analysis, using professional judgement. However, a more quantitative approach, using formal cost benefit analysis, may be used to support a judgement where issues are more complex. The ORR has produced internal guidance for its inspectors, describing how it believes that CBA should be undertaken in support of SFAIRP decisions.10 Often decisions involve investments in measures where costs and benefits will accrue over a number of years. Therefore all relevant future costs and benefits must be calculated in present-value terms. A discount rate is chosen to do this, and net present value calculated. The ORR guidance document describes which discount rates should be used to account for future change in societal preference for safety. The document states that: ‘The law imposes health and safety obligations on duty holders because of the benefits this provides to society. We therefore consider that costs and benefits should be discounted using public sector discount rates. Future costs and cost savings should be discounted at 7 Rail Safety and Standards Board: Taking Safe Decisions – How Britain’s railways take decisions that affect safety (RSSB. 2008). www.rssb.co.uk/safety/safety_strategies/sdmoukr.asp 8 Edwards vs. National Coal Board: All England Law Reports. 1949, vol. 1, pp. 743–749. 9 www.rssb.co.uk/safety/safety_strategies/vpf.asp 10 Internal guidance on cost-benefit analysis (CBA) in support of safety-related investment decisions. Office of Rail Regulation. http://www.rail-reg.gov.uk/upload/pdf/risk-CBA_sdm_rev_guid.pdf Version 5.5/May 2008 40 Data for taking decisions 3.5% per year for the first 30 years and 3.0% per year for the next 35 years. The value of future health and safety benefits has a constant utility value over time and is therefore increased in real terms each year by real GDP per capita growth. Current real GDP per capita growth is around 2% a year which, coupled with a discount rate of 3.5%, gives an effective discount rate for health and safety benefits of 1.5% a year for the first 30 years and 1% a year for the next 35 years.’ The document also describes how: • The costs of safety measures should include the costs of financing to reflect the cost of capital to the decision taker where appropriate. • All costs and benefits should be in a common price base, meaning that scheme costs need to be uplifted by 20.9% to reflect indirect taxation, such as VAT. Note that these figures are those quoted by the ORR at the time of publication of their guidance document and may be subject to revision. Ultimately the output of a CBA provides an indication of the relative scale of costs and benefits and is only an input to assist in the taking of decisions. Judgement must be applied to each individual case. Further guidance about how to take safety related decisions and how to use the results of a CBA to inform decision making are provided in Taking safe decisions. The SRM provides system-wide risk information that duty holders might use as an input to their risk assessment and analysis activities, and hence CBA. However, duty holders must ultimately satisfy themselves that any risk estimates they use to support their decisions are valid given their particular circumstances. SRM templates can be obtained from RSSB to support this process. These templates can be used to estimate risk from portions of the network. For example, they can be used to estimate the risk profile of a given train operator. Version 5.5/May 2008 41 Risk Profile Bulletin updates 12 Risk Profile Bulletin updates 12.1 Update history Since the issue of version 1 of the RPB in 2001, the RPB has been updated regularly so that the risk profile remains as current as possible. Version 5.5 of the RPB is the sixth issue, and the first that is an interim update – ie not a complete update of all hazardous events in the SRM. The update history up to and including this version is provided below: Version Issue Date Major change (from previous version) 1 January 2001 First version 2 July 2001 3 February 2003 4 January 2005 5 August 2006 Removal of Mk I, inclusion of OTP SRM 5.5 May 2008 Change in FWI weightings Inclusion of TPWS Since version 2, the RPB has been issued approximately every 18 months. 12.2 Requirements of HLOS The government’s white paper Delivering a Sustainable Railway11 sets out the High Level Output Specification (HLOS). This states the improvements in safety, reliability and capacity that the government wants the industry to deliver over Control Period 4 (April 2009 to March 2014) along with the Statement of Funds Available (SoFA) to secure these improvements. The improvements in safety are quoted in terms of a reduction in two safety metrics. These state that there should be a 3% reduction in the national level of risk to both passengers and workforce over Control Period 4. The passenger risk is expressed as fatalities and weighted injuries per million passenger kilometres, whilst the workforce risk is expressed as fatalities and weighted injuries per million employee hours. The DfT intends to use the SRM as the primary means of measuring the performance of the industry against these safety metrics, rather than using a measure of safety performance based on accident statistics. This is because for the rare high consequence events, it is difficult statistically to infer actual underlying safety performance by counting the number of accidents over any given period. To calculate the baseline risk from which the 3% reduction can be measured, RSSB will deliver a full update of the SRM at the end of March 2009 (version 6). However, in the meantime it was recognised that between version 5 (August 2006) and version 6 (March 2009) there would be a significant period where the risk information would become progressively out of date. Industry stakeholders requested the issue of an interim update to 11 Department for Transport, ‘Delivering a sustainable railway’ Version 5.5/May 2008 42 Risk Profile Bulletin updates enable company safety plans to be updated with the latest risk information, as detailed in this document. 12.2.1 Passenger safety metric: In discussion during the development of the HLOS safety metrics it was agreed that the passenger safety metric would exclude the risk contribution from verbal assaults on passengers due to the inconsistency of reporting of these incidents across the industry. This accounts for around 0.5 FWI/yr. However as noted in section 5, at present there is also considerable uncertainty around the risk contribution associated with passenger physical assault, estimated to be around 8 FWI/yr. It is hoped that by the time the HLOS safety metrics are produced in March 2009 we will be able to have more confidence in the risk estimate for passenger physical assaults. A research project has been initiated to attempt to resolve this issue. The derivation of the passenger safety metric is: Passenger risk (including physical assault) = 52.4 FWI/year – see Table 3 plus 8 FWI/year for physical assault Number of passenger km 2007 (estimated) = 48.4 billion – taken from the ORR National Rail Trends data 2007 – 2008 Q3. Passenger safety metric is therefore estimated to be: 0.00108 FWI/million passenger km (1.08 FWI/billion passenger km) Should it not be possible to adequately reconcile the differences between the SMIS data and the BTP data in the area of physical assault by March 2009, it may be necessary to quote the passenger safety metric excluding the physical assaults as well as the verbal assaults. This will require discussion and agreement between the industry, the ORR and the DfT. 12.2.2 Staff safety metric: Similar to the passenger safety metric it was agreed that the staff metric would exclude the risk contribution from verbal assaults. This accounts for 0.8 FWI/year. Staff risk (excluding verbal assaults) = 32.3 FWI/year – see Table 3 minus 0.8 FWI/year for verbal assault Number of hours worked = 184 million hours - taken from the 2006 common safety indicators data Staff safety metric is therefore estimated to be: 0.176 FWI/million worker hours It should be noted that there is considerable uncertainty regarding the quantification of the worker hours. Work is needed to better define the hours to be included in the estimate. 12.3 Future updates After version 6, a further update of the SRM is required in March 2014 so that the underlying safety performance over Control Period 4 can be measured. The following chart illustrates a potential timeline for future updates of the SRM. This timeline shows at least one full update Version 5.5/May 2008 43 Risk Profile Bulletin updates of the SRM, half way through Control Period 4 (version 7, September 2011). It may be appropriate to update more than once over this period for the following reasons: • New analyses or analysis methods are incorporated into the SRM or the SRM is extended to cover new hazardous events beyond the current scope. • A significant change in the risk profile becomes apparent due to the introduction of a new control measure or a significant deterioration in the application of one or more existing control measures is identified. If an update to the SRM happens after version 6, then version 6 will need to be recalculated to take account of any modelling changes, and allow the risk profile over Control Period 4 to be calculated consistently. Chart 13. Timeline for future updates of the SRM and versions of the RPB 12.4 SRM governance To date, the process for updating the SRM and RPB has been controlled through an internal RSSB process procedure, and via informal consultation with those known to use the SRM and its outputs. In order to facilitate a more structured process for eliciting industry’s views on the development and use of the SRM, RSSB has established the SRM Practitioners Working Group (SRMPWG). This comprises a range of industry representatives including Network Rail, train operators, rolling stock manufacturers, infrastructure maintenance companies and the ORR. The fundamental purpose of the SRMPWG is to provide governance for changes to the SRM. This is achieved primarily by engaging the group in the ongoing development and decision-making on the SRM, and its related outputs (RPB, SRM Templates, etc.) Version 5.5/May 2008 44 Risk Profile Bulletin updates The Safety Policy Group (SPG) is the governing body to the SRMPWG; its role is to endorse any significant changes to the model. It is also intended that during 2008, the SRM will be subjected to an independent external peer review. This is in order to give the industry and government confidence in the quality of the outputs from the model and to identify opportunities to improve it. Version 5.5/May 2008 45 Access to the model and its outputs 13 Access to the model and its outputs The SRM has been developed internally within RSSB to meet its own objectives (as described in section 2) and to provide risk information via the RPB to its members, the wider railway community and other interested parties. 13.1 The Safety Risk Model The SRM is a detailed fault tree and event tree analysis model which requires FaultTree+ software and a comprehensive understanding of the model. Due to its complexity, the SRM is generally not made available in electronic format to users outside RSSB. 13.2 The Risk Profile Bulletin The outputs of the SRM are made available in a form that will assist members and other interested parties in undertaking risk assessment without the need to undertake detailed software-based fault tree and event tree analyses. The outputs from the SRM are presented in this document and its attached CD-ROM and the extranet. This new 'interim RPB version 5.5' contains the new risk figures and should be referred to in conjunction with RPB version 5, which contains additional information. Table B is now published in a separate volume. A large proportion of tables previously in the hard copy are now held on CDROM. 13.3 CD-ROM and Extranet The attached CD-ROM provides all the text, tables and figures contained within version 5.5 of the Risk Profile Bulletin, in electronic format as well as additional information. The table below provides details of the files contained on the CD-ROM. Folder Adobe Acrobat (*.pdf) Excel 2000(*.xls) Description RPB v5.5 RPB v5.5.pdf N/A Sections 1 to 16 of the RPB. Appendices A-C (tables A1, A2, and C1 only). RPB v5.5 Appendix B RPBv5.5 Appendix B.pdf N/A Table B1 RPB v5 RPB v5.pdf N/A The previous version of the RPB is included. This new 'interim RPB version 5.5' contains the new risk figures and should be referred to in conjunction with RPB version 5, which contains additional information. Appendix A N/A Table A1 v5.5.xls Frequency and average consequence per year for each hazardous event including OTP. Reasons for changes from SRM version 5 to SRM version 5.5 Table A2 v5.5.xls Appendix B N/A Table B1 v5.5.xls Risk contributions of precursors that feed into each hazardous event in FWI, fatalities, majors and minors. Appendix C N/A Table C1 v5.5.xls Table C2 v5.5.xls Table C3 v5.5.xls Table C4 v5.5.xls Risk contributions for grouped cause precursors summarised (C1 and C2) and detailed (C3 and C4). Version 5.5/May 2008 46 Access to the model and its outputs An extranet site has also been created for v5.5. This contains everything on the CD ROM plus additional information. See http://www.rssb.co.uk/safety/spr/srmodel.asp. 13.4 Guidance Document Guidance on the use of the outputs for risk assessments and further output formats are provided in the published Guidance Note GE/GN856112 available in the Railway Group Standards catalogue. While it is recognised that the document is out of date (as it refers to the railway safety case), risk assessment principles embodied within the document still apply. It is intended that RSSB will be updating the document in 2008. 13.5 Templates SRM templates can be obtained from RSSB to support this process. These templates can be used to estimate risk from portions of the network. For example they can be used to estimate the risk profile of a given train operator. 13.6 Assistance If you would like any assistance in using SRMv5.5 and its outputs please contact George Bearfield on 020 7904 7502 or george.bearfield@rssb.co.uk. Site visits can be arranged to assist you in using the SRM. 12 Railway Safety (2002): Guidance on the preparation of risk assessments within railway safety cases. Railway Group Guidance Note GE/GN8561. Issue 1, June 2002 Version 5.5/May 2008 47 Contact names and numbers 14 Contact names and numbers Questions or comments relating to the information presented in this bulletin or regarding the SRM should be addressed to: George Bearfield Safety Risk Assessment Manager Tel: 020 7904 7502 Internal: 085 77502 george.bearfield@rssb.co.uk David Griffin Senior Risk Analyst Tel: 020 7904 7598 Internal: 085 77598 david.griffin@rssb.co.uk The Risk Profile Bulletin has been: Prepared by : Ben Gilmartin Chris Harrison David Griffin George Bearfield Jackie Barrett Katherine Green Kevin Thompson Oliver Kneale Rachel Macaulay Stuart Archbold Reviewed by: Colin Dennis George Bearfield Scope and changes to version 5.5 endorsed by: SRM Practitioners Working Group (SRMPWG) Safety Policy Group (SPG) Approved by: Date: Colin Dennis May 2008 Correspondence should be addressed to the above at: Rail Safety and Standards Board Floor 4, Evergreen House 160 Euston Road London NW1 2DX Version 5.5/May 2008 48 References 15 References 1. Constitution Agreement relating to Rail Safety and Standards Board Limited. 2. RSSB The Railway Strategic Safety Plan 2008-2010 (RSSB, January 2008). 3. Health and Safety Executive (1995): Reporting of Injuries, Diseases and Dangerous Occurrences Regulations (RIDDOR), HMSO 4. Rail Safety and Standards Board: Taking Safe Decisions – How Britain’s railways take decisions that affect safety (RSSB. 2008). www.rssb.co.uk/safety/safety_strategies/sdmoukr.asp 5. Edwards vs. National Coal Board: All England Law Reports. 1949, vol. 1, pp. 743–749 6. www.rssb.co.uk/safety/safety_strategies/vpf.asp 7. Internal guidance on cost benefit analysis (CBA) in support of safety-related investment decisions. Office of Rail Regulation. http://www.rail-reg.gov.uk/upload/pdf/riskCBA_sdm_rev_guid.pdf 8. Department for transport, ‘Delivering a sustainable railway’ 9. Railway Safety (2002): Guidance on the preparation of risk assessments within railway safety cases. Railway Group Guidance Note GE/GN8561. Issue 1, June 2002 10. Ovenstone I. M. (1973) A psychiatric approach to the diagnosis on suicide. British journal of psychiatry, 123(572), 15-21 11. Bedford,T, Quigley, J. and Walls, L. (2003) Statistical review of SRM:WP2 Report, Strathclyde University, Glasgow. 12. Green, AE and Bourne, AJ Reliability Technology, March 1977. 13. p.231, Part 1 Report, The Ladbroke Grove Rail Inquiry, the Rt. Hon Lord Cullen PC. Version 5.5/May 2008 49 List of changes 16 List of changes A summary of the key differences between versions 5 and 5.5 of the SRM is provided within Table A5. Table 8 below provides an indication of the changes made to the Risk Profile Bulletin for version 5.5. Table 8. V5.5 Section List of changes V5 Section Section title Description of change General The risk profiles for train, movement and non-movement accidents have been updated to include the following SRM version 5.5 modelling changes: • An update of the data used as the basis of the analysis to the end of September 2006. • Only a selection of hazardous events have been updated. The SMIS data, which provides the main source of data for the SRM, was reviewed and it was decided to update only the parts of the model where the risk had significantly changed. For all other parts of the model the figures from version 5 have been carried forward. • Risk figures are presented according to the new injury minor injury and shock/trauma weightings. See section 4 for more information on the new weightings. • Sections 5, 6 and 7 which outline the total risk, overall risk profile and detailed risk profiles have been revised. The results have been presented so that comparison of risk levels between different types of hazards can be easily made and to align with the HLOS safety metrics and the RSSB ASPR. Hazardous Events updated in v5.5 Approximately half of the Hazardous Events were selected to be updated for v5.5. However these Hazardous Events represented approximately 95% of the total risk in v5. HET-17; HET-18; HET-19; HET-20; HEM-01; HEM-02; HEM-04; HEM-05; HEM-06; HEM-09; HEM-10; HEM-12; HEM-16; HEM-17; HEM-18; HEM-19; HEM-20; HEM-21; HEM-23; HEM-25; HEM-26; HEM-27; HEM-30; HEM-31; HEM-38; HEM39; HEM-40; HEN-13; HEN-14; HEN-21; HEN-22; HEN-23; HEN-24; HEN-25; HEN-26; HEN-27; HEN-29; HEN-36; HEN37; HEN-38; HEN-39; HEN-40; HEN-41; HEN-42; HEN-43; HEN-44; HEN-45; HEN-46; HEN-56; HEN-60; HEN-62; HEN63; HEN-64; HEN-65; HEN-66; HEN-67; HEN-68; HEN-71; HEN-72; HEN-74. Hazardous Events not updated (see v5 for most recent version) HET-01; HET-02NP; HET-02P; HET-03; HET-04; HET-05; HET-06; HET-07; HET-08; HET-09; HET-10; HET-11; HET-12; HET-13; HET-14; HET-15; HET-16; HET-21; HET-22; HET-23; HET-24; HET-25; HET-26; HEM-03; HEM-07; HEM-08; HEM-11; HEM-13; HEM-14; HEM-15; HEM-22; HEM-24; HEM-29; HEM-32; HEN-01; HEN-02; HEN-03; HEN-04; HEN-05; HEN-07; HEN-08; HEN-09; HEN-10; HEN-11; HEN-12; HEN-15; HEN-16; HEN-17; HEN-28; HEN-30; HEN-31; HEN-32; HEN-33; HEN-35; HEN-48; HEN-49; HEN-50; HEN-51; HEN-52; HEN-53; HEN-54; HEN-55; HEN-57; HEN-58; HEN-59; HEN-61; HEN-73. Overview Updated to describe v5.5 changes. 1 1 Introduction Updated to describe v5.5 changes. 2 2 SRM objectives No change. Version 5.5/May 2008 50 List of changes Table 8. List of changes V5.5 Section V5 Section Section title Description of change 3 3 No change apart from section layout. 4 Not included New injury weightings New section. 5 4 Total risk on main line Updated to describe v5.5 changes. railway 6 5 Overall risk profile Updated to describe v5.5 changes. 7 6 Detailed risk profile Updated to describe v5.5 changes. 8 7 Breakdown of risk by precursor groupings Updated to describe v5.5 changes. Not updated 8 Individual risk Not updated for v5.5 – see v5 for most recent version. Not updated 9 TPWS update Not updated for v5.5 – see v5 for most recent version. Not updated 10 Risk reduction from the removal of Mark I rolling stock Not updated for v5.5 – see v5 for most recent version. 9 11 Risk from the incorporation of the OTP SRM Updated to describe v5.5 changes. Not updated 12 Risk associated with level crossings Not updated for v5.5 – see v5 for most recent version. Not updated 13 Multiple fatality risk: F- Not updated for v5.5 – see v5 for most recent version. N curve Not updated 14 Background to SRM project Not updated for v5.5 – see v5 for most recent version. 10 15 Modelling approach Normalising data updated for v5.5 and two key assumptions revised. 11 16 Data for decision making Updated to reflect current policy. 12 17 Risk profile bulletin updates Updated to reflect current policy. 13 18 Access to the model and its outputs Changed to reflect publishing of table B in a separate document and introduction of extranet to download information. Version 5.5/May 2008 System boundaries 51 List of changes Table 8. List of changes V5.5 Section V5 Section Section title Description of change 14 19 Contact names and numbers Updated to reflect current roles and responsibilities. 15 20 References Updated to describe v5.5 changes. 16 21 List of changes Updated to describe v5.5 changes. Appendix A Appendix A Table A1 Table A2 FWI/year Frequency and consequence estimates for each hazardous event presented in FWI per year. Updated to describe v5.5 changes. OTP breakdown now incorporated into v5.5 Table A1. Table A2 Table A1 FWI/event Frequency and consequence estimates for each hazardous event presented in FWI per event. Updated to describe v5.5 changes. OTP breakdown now incorporated into v5.5 Table A2. Table A3 OTP FWI/event OTP breakdown is now incorporated into v5.5 Table A2. Table A4 OTP FWI/year OTP breakdown is now incorporated into v5.5 Table A1. Table A5 Table A5 Changes from v5 to v5.5 Lists the reasons for the variation in risk from v5 to v5.5 of the SRM. Appendix B Appendix B Precursor risk contributions Updated to describe v5.5 changes. Precursor contributions to fatalities and weighted injury risk, fatality risk, major injury risk, minor injury risk and shock/trauma risk presented in FWI per year for each precursor. An extended version of table B1 on the CD ROM contains risk broken down for Passenger, Workforce and Member of Public. Appendix C Appendix C Grouped cause precursor risk contributions Updated to describe v5.5 changes. The tables in v5.5 are: Table C1 - summary of the risk contributions from the individual groups in FWI per year. Table C2 - summary of the risk contributions from the individual groups in fatalities per year. Table C3 - detailed breakdown of the risk contributions from the individual groups in FWI per year. Table C4 - detailed breakdown of the risk contributions from the individual groups in fatalities per year. Not included Appendix D Individual risk calculations Not updated for v5.5 – see v5 for most recent version. Not included Appendix E CD ROM user guide Information on electronic material is now included in section 13. (separate volume) Version 5.5/May 2008 52 Appendix A Appendix A. Frequency, consequence and risk estimates for each hazardous event This appendix presents the 125 hazardous events on the mainline railway, separated into train accidents, movement accidents and nonmovement accidents. For each hazardous event, the risk, frequency and average consequences per event are given, together with its potential to result in multiple fatality consequences. The frequencies calculated for all the train accident hazardous events relate to the frequencies of all incidents per year whether or not they lead to an injury. For the movement and non-movement accidents, however, the predicted hazardous event frequencies relate only to the frequency of the incidents that lead directly to injury. Due to the lack of data for these hazardous events, it has not been possible to quantify the frequency of all incidents and determine the probability of an injury occurring. The types of frequency estimate applicable to each hazardous event is identified on each of the tables. The number of fatalities, major injuries and reportable and non-reportable minor injuries per event are presented in Table A1, for all events excluding OTP related events. Reasons for variation in reported risk between versions 5 and 5.5 are contained in Table A2. In order to understand the way in which Table A1 is constructed the derivation of the total risk is as follows (the numbers in brackets relate to the table column numbers): Total Risk = Frequency x [Fatalities + {0.1 x Major injuries} + {0.005 x (Reportable minor + shock/trauma 1 + {0.001 x injuries)} (5) (3) (6)+(11) +(16) (7)+(12) +(17) (8)+(13) +(18) (10)+(15) +(20) (9)+(14) +(19) (10)+(15) +(20) FWI/yr Events/yr Fats /event Maj. inj./event rep min. inj./event Shock/trauma 1 /event Non-rep min. inj./event Shock/trauma 2 /event Nonreportable minors + Shock/Trauma 2 injuries}] The notes referred to in column (21) of Table A1 are as follows: MF Hazardous events with the potential for multiple fatalities. SF Hazardous events with the potential for single fatalities. ST1 The injuries from shock/trauma are shock/trauma 1 Version 5.5/May 2008 53 Appendix A ST2 The injuries from shock/trauma are shock/trauma 2 1 Frequency of all incidents. 2 Frequency of only those incidents leading to injury. Yes The analysis for the HE has been re-analysed for version 5.5 No The analysis for the HE has not been re-analysed for version 5.5 Information in grey indicates where a hazardous event has been broken down into sub-hazardous event categories, eg HEM-10 is split into HEM-10A, HEM-10B and HEM-10 OTP. In the main, this is because the consequences per event for the sub–hazardous events are significantly different from each other. Version 5.5/May 2008 54 Table A1 H. E. No. Hazardous event description HET-01 Collision between two passenger trains resulting from a SPAD (other than in stations) (with TPWS) HET-01A Collision between two passenger trains resulting from a SPAD (other than in stations) (with TPWS) HET-01B Collision between two passenger trains resulting from a Cat D SPAD / runaway (other than in stations) HET-02P Collision between a passenger train and non-passenger train resulting from a passenger train SPAD (with TPWS) HET-02PA Collision between a passenger train and non-passenger train resulting from a passenger train SPAD (with TPWS) HET-02PB Collision between a passenger train and non-passenger train resulting from a Cat D SPAD / runaway HET-02NP Collision between a non-passenger train and passenger train resulting from a non- passenger train SPAD (with TPWS) HET-02NPA Collision between a non-passenger train and passenger train resulting from a non- passenger train SPAD (with TPWS) HET-02NPB Collision between a non-passenger train and passenger train resulting from a Cat D SPAD / runaway HET-02NP Collision between OTP and passenger train resulting from OTP OTP incorrectly outside possession HET-03 Collision between two non-passenger trains resulting from a SPAD (with TPWS) HET-03A Collision between two non-passenger trains resulting from a SPAD (with TPWS) HET-03B Collision between two non-passenger trains resulting from a Cat D SPAD / runaway HET-03 OTP Collision between OTP and non-passenger train inside possession HET-04 Collision of train with object on line (not resulting in derailment) HET-04A Collision of train with object on line outside possession (not resulting in derailment) HET-04 OTP Collision of OTP with object on line inside possession (not resulting in derailment) HET-06 Collision between two passenger trains in station (permissive working) HET-06A Collision between two passenger trains in station (permissive working): rollbacks HET-06B Collision between two passenger trains in station (permissive working): low speed HET-06C Collision between two passenger trains in station (permissive working): potential for high speed HET-09 Collision with buffer stops HET-09A Collision with buffer stops: rollbacks HET-09B Collision with buffer stops: low speed HET-09C Collision with buffer stops: potential for high speed HET-09 OTP Collision with buffer stops: OTP inside possession HET-10 Passenger train collision with road vehicle on level crossing HET-10A Passenger train collision with road vehicle on level crossing: AOCL & ABCL only HET-10B Passenger train collision with road vehicle on level crossing: open crossings (OC) HET-10C Passenger train collision with road vehicle on level crossing: other crossings (AHB, FP, MG/MCB/CCTV & all UWC) Passenger Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries Staff Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries Fatalities Major injuries (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) 0 - 0.0910 0.4914 0.6305 0 - 3.166 0 - 0.0905 0.4429 0.5634 0 0.0248 0.1289 0 - 5.60E-04 0.0485 0.0671 0.0261 0.0662 0.0853 0 - 0.0110 0.0504 0.0257 0.0653 0.0819 0 - 0.0109 0.0033 0 - 0.2564 0.5102 0 0.0568 0.1480 0.2190 0.1143 0.0188 0.0559 0.9202 0.0460 0.0171 0.0525 11.23 0.0170 0.1908 1.83E-04 3.07E-04 0.0851 0.6988 0.0595 0.1491 0.5709 0.0851 11.00 0.0042 0.0463 0 0 2881.8 3.03E-04 0.8723 0 2865.8 3.04E-04 0.8717 15.97 3.61E-05 12.83 National average frequency National average cons. National average risk Fatalities Major injuries (Events / year) (FWI / event) (FWI / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) 0.3564 1.473 0.5250 0.2782 0.8692 3.295 0.3228 1.591 0.5137 0.2758 0.8444 0.0336 0.3367 0.0113 0.0025 0.0390 1.465 0.0571 0.0353 1.565 0.0553 0.0037 0.5060 0.0019 0.4167 0.7242 0.3018 0.0927 0.1333 1.061 0.1414 0.2334 0.4897 0.0500 Fatalities Major injuries (No. / year) (No. / year) MOP Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries (No. / year) (No. / year) 2.81E-05 5.61E-05 1.12E-04 0 - - 2.68E-05 5.36E-05 1.07E-04 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 0 - 1.28E-06 2.55E-06 5.11E-06 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 0.0321 0 - 0.0064 0.0128 0.0256 0 - 0.0452 0.0285 0 - 0.0058 0.0116 0.0232 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 1.70E-04 0.0052 0.0036 0 - 6.01E-04 0.0012 0.0024 0 - MF,1,ST1,No - 0.0491 0.6066 0.3504 0 - 0.0569 0.1137 0.2275 0 - 0 - 0.0246 0.1828 0.1191 0 - 0.0207 0.0413 0.0827 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 0.2104 0 - 0.0102 0.3330 0.2313 0 - 0.0362 0.0724 0.1448 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 0.0808 0 - 0.0142 0.0908 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 0.0012 0 - 0.0316 0.5501 2.329 0 - 0.0757 0.1513 0.3027 0 - 8.83E-05 1.48E-04 5.83E-04 0 - 0.0150 0.1075 4.61E-04 0 - 0.0275 0.0550 0.1100 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 9.49E-05 1.59E-04 6.27E-04 0 - 0.0051 0.2113 5.62E-04 0 - 0.0482 0.0963 0.1927 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 0 0 - 0.0115 0.2313 2.328 0 - 0 0 0 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 0 0.7715 0 - 0 0.1429 21.19 0 - 0.7143 0.2858 1.058 0 - 0 0 0.7715 0 - 0 0.1429 21.07 0 - 0.7143 0.2858 1.057 0 - SF,1,ST1,No 5.77E-04 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0.1143 0 - 0 0 0.0011 0 - SF,1,ST1,No 0.0058 0.0741 0.0146 0.1490 5.399 0 - 0.0067 0.0625 0.9362 0 - 0 0 0 0 - 9.595 8.35E-04 0.0080 0 0 1.235 0 - 0 0 0.3677 0 - 0 0 0 0 - SF,1,ST1,No 1.037 0.0017 0.0017 0 0 0.2669 0 - 0 0 0.0795 0 - 0 0 0 0 - SF,1,ST1,No 2.197 0.0293 0.0644 0.0146 0.1490 3.898 0 - 0.0067 0.0625 0.4890 0 - 0 0 0 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 11.21 4.469 2.420 4.256 0.0667 15.62 4.856 0.0129 8.35E-04 0.0017 0.0321 0.0048 0.1941 0.0885 0.1446 0.0037 0.0040 0.1365 3.19E-04 3.031 0.4299 0.0322 0 0 0.0322 0 0.4343 0.0770 0.3103 0 0 0.3103 0 1.152 0.2071 9.261 0.5749 0.6226 8.063 0 5.215 1.222 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0.0149 0 0 0.0149 0 0.0967 0.0225 0.1334 0 0 0.1321 0.0013 0.0766 0.0171 1.369 0.1713 0.1855 0.9751 0.0372 8.954 2.195 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 0 2.100 0.2188 0 0 0 0 0 1.863 0.6462 0 0 0 0 0 3.969 1.495 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 0.6034 0.0083 0.0050 0.0128 0 - 0.1486 0 - 0.0027 0.0081 0.0793 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 10.16 0.2556 2.596 3.980 0 - 6.611 0 - 1.878 1.209 2.395 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 3.10E-04 8.88E-04 2.11E-04 4.83E-04 0.3571 0.9448 3.11E-05 6.16E-05 0.0742 0.0594 (No. / year) Notes (-) SF,1,ST1,No SF,1,ST1,No MF,1,ST1,No SF,1,ST1,No Table A1: Average predicted fatalities and injuries per year Version 5.5/May 2008 55 Table A1 H. E. No. HET-11 HET-11A HET-11B HET-11C HET-11A OTP HET-11B OTP HET-11C OTP Hazardous event description Non-passenger train collision with road vehicle on level crossing Non-passenger train collision with road vehicle on level crossing: AOCL & ABCL only Non-passenger train collision with road vehicle on level crossing: open crossings (OC) Non-passenger train collision with road vehicle on level crossing: other crossings (AHB, FP, MG/MCB/CCTV & all UWC) OTP collision with road vehicle on level crossing inside possession: AOCL & ABCL only OTP collision with road vehicle on level crossing inside possession: open crossings (OC) OTP collision with road vehicle on level crossing inside possession: other crossings (AHB, FP, MG/MCB/CCTV & all UWC) HET-12 Derailment of passenger trains HET-13 FTP Derailment of freight trains on passenger lines outside possession HET-13 FTP Derailment of freight trains on passenger lines outside possession HET-13 FTP Derailment of OTP on passenger lines inside possession OTP HET-13 FTF Derailment of freight trains on freight only lines outside possession HET-13 FTF Derailment of freight trains on freight only lines outside possession HET-13 FTF OTP HET-13 EP HET-17 HET-17i HET-17o HET-18 HET-18i HET-18o HET-20 HET-20A HET-20 OTP HET-21 Derailment of OTP on freight only lines inside possession Derailment of ECS&Parcels trains on passenger lines Fire on passenger train (in station) Fire on passenger train interior at station Fire on passenger train exterior at station Fire on passenger train (not in station) Fire on passenger train interior not at station Fire on passenger train exterior not at station Fire on non-passenger train Fire on non-passenger train outside possession Fire on OTP inside possession Train crushed by structural collapse or large object (not at station) HET-21A Train crushed by structural collapse or large object outside possession (not at station) HET-21 OTP OTP crushed by structural collapse or large object inside possession (not at station) HET-22 Structural collapse at station HET-23 Explosion on passenger train HET-24 Explosion on freight train HET-25 Train divisions (not leading to collision) HET-25A Train divisions (not leading to collision): in station HET-25B Train divisions (not leading to collision): on running line HET-26 Collision between a failed train and an assisting train Passenger Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries Staff Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries MOP Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries Notes Fatalities Major injuries (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) 0 - 0.4281 0.3871 0.8135 0 - 0.3850 0 - 0.0450 0.1285 0.2930 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 5.31E-06 0.0262 0 - 0.0023 0.0045 0.0206 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 0.0032 1.143 0 - 0.3679 0.2417 0.4721 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 0.0022 0 - 3.05E-04 2.94E-04 6.57E-04 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 0 - 9.99E-05 9.64E-05 2.15E-04 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 0.0892 0 - 0.0125 0.0121 0.0269 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 0.5804 0.4340 9.061 4.106 0 0 - 0.1384 0.0700 0.0650 0.2030 0.0924 0.2234 0 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 0.0756 0.0376 0.3036 0.1304 0.7738 3.332 0 0 - 0 0 - MF,1,ST1,No MF,1,ST1,No - 0.0291 0.1600 0.6070 0 - 0.0281 0.1012 0.1085 0 - 0 - 0.0265 0.1510 0.3762 0 - 0.0281 0.1012 0.1085 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 0.0038 0 - 0.0026 0.0090 0.2308 0 - 9.27E-06 2.69E-05 8.14E-06 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 0.0502 0.0369 0.0013 0.0356 0.1325 0.0548 0.0778 0 0 0 0.0038 0.0937 0.6913 0.0082 0.6830 0.8221 0.3577 0.4644 0 0 0 0.0045 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0.0126 0.0402 0.1360 0 0.2649 0.9012 0 0 0.2522 0 0.2649 0.6490 0 0.0104 2.136 0 0.0052 1.591 0 0.0052 0.5442 0.0028 0.0149 0.3441 0.0015 0.0086 0.3315 0.0013 0.0064 0.0126 2.17E-04 2.85E-04 2.88E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0.0089 0.0201 0.0079 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0384 0.0767 0.1534 0.0384 0.0767 0.1534 0 0 0 1.77E-05 3.54E-05 7.08E-05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 0.0038 0.0038 0.0045 0 - 2.00E-04 2.63E-04 2.66E-04 0 - 1.77E-05 3.54E-05 7.08E-05 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 0 0 0 0 - 1.73E-05 2.25E-05 2.26E-05 0 - 0 0 0 0 - MF,1,ST1,No 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 0 0 0.0475 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0950 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1900 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - MF,1,ST1,No MF,1,ST1,No MF,1,ST1,No Fatalities Major injuries (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) 0 - 0.0264 0.0048 1.646 0 - 0.0050 9.14E-04 0 - 0.0088 0.0052 0 - 0.0106 0 0 0 - 4.49E-05 1.64E-05 0 0 0 0 - 1.47E-05 5.36E-06 7.13E-04 0.0162 0 0 0 0 - 0.0018 6.71E-04 0.3424 0.0091 3.129 0.4158 1.998 0.1210 5.133 0.2390 12.35 0.4883 0 0 - 0.3074 0.1131 13.82 31.83 0.0242 0.0026 0.3344 0.0814 0.1098 0.0112 0.2139 0.0251 0.4327 0.0555 0 0 - 9.396 0.0116 0.1094 0.0183 0.0375 0.0694 0 7.192 0.0144 0.1037 0.0175 0.0358 0.0656 2.204 0.0026 0.0056 7.74E-04 0.0017 2.400 12.88 4.643 8.236 151.9 93.95 57.98 28.09 27.46 0.6360 4.13E-04 0.0233 0.0033 3.40E-04 0.0049 3.63E-04 2.49E-04 5.48E-04 0.0019 0.0019 0.0031 10.94 0.0560 0.0423 0.0016 0.0407 0.0552 0.0234 0.0318 0.0528 0.0509 0.0020 0.0045 0.0222 0.0041 1.46E-04 0.0040 0.0261 0.0077 0.0184 0 0 0 0.0038 3.96E-04 11.36 0.0045 1.71E-05 1.153 1.97E-05 0.0100 0.0200 0.0184 13.67 9.000 4.667 0.8571 3.870 0.2277 3.765 9.38E-04 7.33E-04 0.0013 0.0256 0.0387 0.0046 0.0693 0.0128 0.0066 0.0062 0.0220 National average frequency National average cons. National average risk Fatalities Major injuries (Events / year) (FWI / event) (FWI / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) 3.110 0.1632 0.5077 0.0014 0.0029 0.0067 0.9392 0.0709 0.0666 2.37E-04 4.80E-04 0.0015 0.1167 0.1014 0.0118 3.04E-06 6.36E-06 1.39E-05 1.964 0.2100 0.4125 0.0011 0.0024 0.0021 0.1858 3.95E-04 0 6.97E-04 0.1858 1.29E-04 0.0872 0.1858 9.139 45.65 0.0257 0.1029 0.1351 0.0013 0.0117 0.0181 3.71E-04 3.48E-04 5.95E-04 0.0079 0.0048 0 0.0048 0.0048 0 0.0031 0 0 5.71E-04 0.0045 0.1770 0 0 0.0101 0.0043 0.0012 0.0031 0.0022 0.0200 0.0200 0.0084 0.0012 0.0012 0 0.1496 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.5848 0.0699 0.2026 0.2233 1.34E-04 3.88E-04 1.18E-04 (-) MF,1,ST1,Yes SF,1,ST1,Yes MF,1,ST1,Yes MF,1,ST1,Yes SF,1,ST1,Yes SF,1,ST1,Yes SF,1,ST1,No SF,1,ST1,No SF,1,ST1,No Table A1: Average predicted fatalities and injuries per year Version 5.5/May 2008 56 Table A1 H. E. No. HEM-01 HEM-01A HEM-01B HEM-01C HEM-02 HEM-02A HEM-02B HEM-03 HEM-03A HEM-03B HEM-04 HEM-04A HEM-04 OTP HEM-05 HEM-06 HEM-07 HEM-08 HEM-09 HEM-09A HEM-09B HEM-10 HEM-10A HEM-10B HEM-10 OTP HEM-11 HEM-11A HEM-11 OTP HEM-12 HEM-12A HEM-12 OTP HEM-13 HEM-14 HEM-14A HEM-14B HEM-14 OTP HEM-15 HEM-15A HEM-15 OTP Hazardous event description Passenger injury during evacuation following stopped train Passenger injury during evacuation following stopped train (controlled evacuation) Passenger injury during evacuation following stopped train (uncontrolled evacuation) Passenger injury during evacuation following stopped train (due to overheating of train) Passenger fall from train in running Passenger fall from train door in running (slam door) Passenger fall from train door in running (non-slam door) Passenger struck while leaning out of train (train in running) Passenger struck by droplight while leaning out of train (train in running) Passenger struck by lineside object (eg. bridge/stanchion) while leaning out of train Passenger struck by object through train window Passenger struck by object through train window other than by projection from OTP Passenger struck by object through train window due to projection from OTP Train door closes on passenger Passenger fall between train and platform Passenger fall out of train onto track at station Passenger fall from platform and struck by train Passenger injury while boarding/alighting train (platform side) Passenger injury while alighting train (platform side) Passenger injury while boarding train (platform side) Passenger struck by train while on platform Passenger struck by train while on platform due to standing too close to platform edge Passenger struck by train door while on platform Passenger on platform struck by OTP inside possession Passenger struck while crossing track at station on crossing Passenger struck while crossing track at station on crossing outside a possession Passenger struck while crossing track at station on crossing by a OTP inside a possession Adult/child trespasser struck while crossing track at station Adult/child trespasser struck while crossing track at station Adult/child trespasser struck while crossing track at station in possession Passenger crushing caused by crowding on train Workforce (not track worker) struck/crushed by train Workforce (not track worker) struck/crushed by train outside possession Workforce (not track worker) struck/crushed by train outside possession (error during coupling) OTP workforce (not track worker) struck/crushed by OTP inside possession Train crew/ track worker fall from train/OTP in running Train crew fall from train in running outside possession Track worker fall from OTP in running inside possession Passenger Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries Staff Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries MOP Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries Notes Fatalities Major injuries (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.2385 0.0694 0.1691 0.0750 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0750 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST1,No 17.34 17.25 5.487 5.487 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0200 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes 0.0172 0.0840 3.24E-04 0 0 0 0 0.0200 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST1,Yes 3.602 10.09 0.0760 2.309 23.76 17.34 6.424 2.923 2.917 15.14 45.79 0.2806 0.7870 101.9 64.61 37.28 2.200 2.154 240.4 154.6 0.1754 0.4722 322.9 177.1 145.8 1.054 0.9573 19.69 10.49 0.1520 0 15.11 7.880 7.227 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1573 0.2018 0 0.2099 0.3502 0.3502 0 1.95E-04 0 0 1.816 0 4.617 0.5510 0.3502 0.2008 2.725 2.722 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST1,No 0.0028 0.0035 0.1705 0.1702 0.0446 0.0020 0 0 0.0955 9.01E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.95E-04 0 0 0 0.0027 0.3414 0.3404 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST1,Yes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9.90E-04 0 0 0 0 0 MF,2,ST1,No 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.794 3.789 0.0055 3.348 3.343 0.0049 1.339 1.337 0.0019 0 0 0 SF,2,ST1,Yes SF,2,ST1,Yes 0 0 0 0.5636 0 0 1.089 0 0 8.305 0 0 0.3758 0 0 0 0.3364 0.2550 0 0.1815 0.0850 0 0.0714 0 0 0.1428 0 0 0.2550 0.2550 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,No 0.0690 0 0 0 0 0 0.0625 0.0625 0.0417 0.0833 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST1,No 0.1845 0.0225 0 0 0 0 0 0.0189 0.0340 0.0297 0.0595 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST1,No 0.0557 0.1900 0.0423 0.0613 0.0190 0.0423 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0100 0.0100 0 0.4900 0.0900 0.4000 0.2667 0 0.2667 0.9333 0 0.9333 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST1,No SF,2,ST1,No Fatalities Major injuries (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) 6.003 1.961 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0100 0.0600 0 0 0 1.701 0.6638 3.983 0 0 0.0556 0.0556 0 0.0375 0 0.1250 0.1250 0 0.0375 0 0.1893 0.0625 0.1268 0.1629 0.1249 0.1893 0.0625 0.1268 2.295 2.208 0 0 0 0 0 0.0419 0.0375 0.0375 0.0381 0.0869 0.0036 0.0029 0.0774 0.0621 0.0100 0 0.2666 0.2166 3.555 3.537 0.0213 0.7176 0.0153 0.0100 0.0500 275.7 221.0 0.6841 5.667 460.4 264.1 196.3 7.150 7.000 0.0025 0.0091 0.0136 0.4160 0.0078 0.0093 0.0058 0.0717 0.0731 0.6962 2.011 0.0093 2.357 3.593 2.454 1.139 0.5126 0.5114 0 0.6055 0 2.099 0.3683 0.2113 0.1571 0.1946 0.1944 0.1429 0.0074 0.5114 0.5106 0.0042 0.0770 0.8700 0.8700 5.98E-04 5.72E-04 0.4449 0.4443 0 1.95E-04 0.4262 0.4255 7.43E-04 0.8733 6.49E-04 6.19E-04 2.48E-04 5.580 5.571 0.0081 0.6279 0.6279 0.6279 3.503 3.498 0.0051 0 0 0 10.33 0.7121 0.3400 0.0068 0.5004 0.7788 0.0705 0.3564 0.2648 0.2500 0.2762 0.1221 1.100 0.1000 1.000 National average frequency National average cons. National average risk Fatalities Major injuries (Events / year) (FWI / event) (FWI / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) 2.567 1.800 0.0919 0.0082 0.2358 0.0148 0.0409 0 1.839 0.1125 1.001 0.3268 0.1000 0.0761 0.0076 0.0050 0.0250 0.6667 0.3200 0.2134 0.0359 0.7560 0.3333 0.4226 2.533 2.333 0.0931 0.2063 0.0038 0.0177 0.0012 0.0704 0.0688 0.0016 0.0447 0.0028 0.2000 0.2095 21.75 21.73 0.4464 0.4464 0.4457 0.4457 6.49E-04 6.49E-04 (-) SF,2,ST1,Yes SF,2,ST1,Yes SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST1,Yes MF,2,ST1,No SF,2,ST1,No Table A1: Average predicted fatalities and injuries per year Version 5.5/May 2008 57 Table A1 H. E. No. Hazardous event description Passenger Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries National average frequency National average cons. National average risk Fatalities Major injuries (Events / year) (FWI / event) (FWI / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) Staff Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries Fatalities Major injuries (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) MOP Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries Fatalities Major injuries (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) Notes (-) HEM-16 HEM-16A Workforce injury while boarding/alighting train Workforce injury while alighting train to platform outside possession 281.4 141.0 0.0042 0.0051 1.186 0.7224 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7.138 4.685 49.49 29.41 224.5 106.7 0.2129 0.2129 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes HEM-16B HEM-16C Workforce injury while alighting train to track outside possession Workforce injury while boarding train from platform outside possession Workforce injury while boarding train from track outside possession 31.66 93.03 0.0049 0.0025 0.1550 0.2351 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.9956 0.9845 6.191 11.16 24.47 80.88 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes 12.71 0.0038 0.0485 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.2733 2.186 10.25 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes OTP workforce fall getting on/off OTP inside possession Train crew struck while leaning out of train (train in running) Train crew struck while leaning out of train outside possession OTP Train crew struck while leaning out of OTP inside possession Train crew hit by object through train window Train crew hit by object through train window outside possession OTP Train crew hit by object through OTP window inside possession Track worker struck/crushed by train Workforce struck by flying object (includes objects thrown by OTM movements outside a possession) Workforce (non-track worker) struck by small flying object disturbed by or thrown from passing train outside possession 3.000 14.92 14.82 0.1000 37.64 37.00 0.6433 0.0083 0.0021 0.0020 0.0156 0.0047 0.0044 0.0214 0.0250 0.0315 0.0300 0.0016 0.1754 0.1616 0.0138 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5.00E-04 0 5.00E-04 0.0362 0.0275 0.0087 0.2000 0.1341 0.1246 0.0095 0.8707 0.8247 0.0460 0.5434 0.7057 0.7014 0.0043 3.677 3.631 0.0464 2.257 13.96 13.87 0.0857 17.62 17.40 0.2223 0 0.1246 0.1246 0 16.08 16.08 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes 4.700 46.13 0.4943 0.0024 2.323 0.1114 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.129 8.50E-04 1.747 0.4507 0.3768 4.918 0.7537 40.69 3.494 0.1921 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MF,2,ST1,Yes 35.00 0.0023 0.0791 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.2518 4.766 30.11 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes Track worker struck by flying object disturbed by or thrown from passing train outside possession Track worker or OTP train driver struck by flying object disturbed by or thrown from passing train or vehicle inside possession Workforce fall between train and platform Workforce fall out of train onto track at station Train door closes on workforce Track worker struck while leaning out of on-track machine/vehicle Adult trespasser struck/crushed while on the mainline railway Adult trespasser struck/crushed while on the mainline railway outside possession Adult trespasser struck/crushed by OTP inside possession Child trespasser struck/crushed while on mainline railway Child trespasser struck/crushed while on mainline railway outside possession Child trespasser struck/crushed by OTP inside possession MOP pedestrian struck/crushed by train on level crossing or footpath crossing MOP pedestrian struck/crushed by train on level crossing: AOCL & ABCL only MOP pedestrian struck/crushed by train on level crossing: other crossing (AHB, MG/MCB/CCTV & all UWC) MOP pedestrian struck/crushed by train on level crossing: footpath crossing MOP pedestrian struck/crushed by OTP inside possession on level crossing MOP outside mainline railway struck/crushed as a result of mainline railway operations MOP fall while riding illegally on train MOP fall while riding illegally on train outside possession MOP fall while riding illegally on OTP inside possession 10.00 0.0029 0.0292 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1887 0.1355 9.487 0.1887 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes 1.126 0.0027 0.0030 0 0 0 0 0 8.50E-04 0.0102 0.0157 1.096 0.0034 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes 103.6 0.1000 75.30 0.2000 0.0049 0.1450 0.0032 0.0156 0.5037 0.0145 0.2373 0.0031 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0050 0 1.00E-03 3.182 0.0950 1.345 0.0190 21.14 0 7.184 0.0087 78.98 0 66.96 0.1713 0.7344 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,No 38.53 38.33 0.6733 0.6748 25.95 25.87 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.2083 0.2072 20.41 20.31 24.93 24.86 9.021 8.910 2.023 2.013 1.518 1.510 0 0 SF,2,ST1,Yes 0.2000 2.210 2.200 0.3830 1.012 1.015 0.0766 2.237 2.232 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0011 0 0 0.1059 2.420 2.400 0.0649 2.204 2.200 0.1114 0.2060 0.2000 0.0105 0 0 0.0079 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST1,Yes 0.0100 9.005 0.5100 0.7950 0.0051 7.159 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1429 0.0200 7.433 0.0044 7.004 0.0060 1.144 0 0.6254 0 0.3752 0 0 SF,2,ST1,Yes 0.2182 0.7950 0.1735 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0035 0.1801 0.1697 0.0277 0.0152 0.0091 0 MF,2,ST1,Yes 3.782 0.7950 3.007 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0600 3.121 2.941 0.4802 0.2626 0.1576 0 MF,2,ST1,Yes 5.000 0.7950 3.975 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0794 4.127 3.889 0.6349 0.3472 0.2083 0 MF,2,ST1,Yes 0.0051 0.7950 0.0040 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8.06E-05 0.0042 0.0040 0 MF,2,ST1,Yes 0.0200 0.1180 0.0024 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4.00E-04 0.0196 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,No 4.938 4.933 0.0045 0.1902 0.1903 0.1401 0.9393 0.9387 6.24E-04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.5066 0.7131 0.5063 0.7127 2.12E-04 4.24E-04 2.159 2.157 0.0019 1.430 1.429 0.0015 0.6356 0.6349 6.53E-04 0 0 0 SF,2,ST1,Yes SF,2,ST1,Yes HEM-16D HEM-16 OTP HEM-17 HEM-17A HEM-17 OTP HEM-18 HEM-18A HEM-18 OTP HEM-19 HEM-20 HEM-20A HEM-20B HEM-20 OTP HEM-21 HEM-22 HEM-23 HEM-24 HEM-25 HEM-25A HEM-25 OTP HEM-26 HEM-26A HEM-26 OTP HEM-27 HEM-27A HEM-27B HEM-27C HEM-27 OTP HEM-29 HEM-30 HEM-30A HEM-30 OTP 6.45E-04 3.53E-04 2.12E-04 SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST1,Yes Table A1: Average predicted fatalities and injuries per year Version 5.5/May 2008 58 Table A1 H. E. No. HEM-31 HEM-31A HEM-31B HEM-32 HEM-38 HEM-39 HEM-40 Hazardous event description MOP suicide or attempted suicide (open verdict) MOP suicide (attempted) MOP suicide MOP struck by object from the mainline railway Passenger injury due to sudden train movement Train crew injury due to sudden train movement MOP struck by train due to standing too close to platform edge Passenger Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries National average frequency National average cons. National average risk Fatalities Major injuries (Events / year) (FWI / event) (FWI / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) 266.7 48.33 218.3 2.667 98.73 399.3 0.2371 0.8344 0.0698 1.004 0.0025 0.0057 0.0028 0.7750 222.5 3.375 219.1 0.0067 0.5597 1.111 0.1837 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4.294 0 0 0 0 0 0 8.736 0 0 0 0 0 0 86.08 0 0 Staff Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries Fatalities Major injuries (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) 0 0 0 0 0.5574 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5.454 0 1.231 1.020 0.2112 0 0 42.75 0 2.258 1.835 0.4223 0 0 351.6 0 MOP Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries Fatalities Major injuries (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) 188.2 26.92 161.3 0 0 0.7256 0 218.3 0 218.3 0 0 0 0.1778 31.81 31.81 0 0 0 0 0.0593 9.544 9.544 0 0.9467 0 0 0 1.468 1.468 0 1.515 0 0 0 1.245 0.6118 0.6335 0.4103 0 0 0 Notes (-) SF,2,ST1,Yes SF,2,ST1,Yes SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST1,Yes Table A1: Average predicted fatalities and injuries per year Version 5.5/May 2008 59 Table A1 HEN-01 HEN-02 HEN-03 HEN-04 HEN-05 HEN-07 HEN-08 HEN-09 HEN-10 HEN-11 HEN-12 HEN-13 HEN-14 HEN-14A HEN-14B HEN-14C HEN-14D HEN-14E HEN-14F HEN-14G HEN-15 HEN-16 HEN-17 HEN-21 HEN-21A HEN-21 OTP HEN-22 HEN-23 HEN-24 HEN-24A HEN-24 OTP HEN-25 HEN-25A HEN-25 OTP HEN-26 HEN-27 HEN-27A HEN-27B HEN-27C HEN-28 HEN-28A HEN-28B HEN-28C HEN-29 Passenger Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (-) 2.993 0.3000 0.7602 0.2780 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1371 0.4049 0 0 0.4049 0 0 0.2727 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.508 0.3722 0 0.2154 0 0 0.1569 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST2,No MF,2,ST2,No MF,2,ST2,No MF,2,ST1,No SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST1,No SF,2,ST1,No SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST2,Yes 0 0 0 0 0 21.74 0 0 0 0 0 90.23 0 0 0 0 0 0.1916 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST1,No SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST2,No 21.40 0.3457 1.381 25.41 169.1 168.4 0.6667 3.783 3.727 0.0558 1.937 2.258 0.0549 0.7430 1.460 0.6803 0.4971 0.1047 0.0785 5.014 88.79 1.434 5.236 492.0 926.0 923.7 2.333 7.927 7.824 0.1029 10.99 32.62 0.7930 10.73 21.09 8.333 6.090 1.282 0.9615 79.86 0.1916 0 0 1.503 3.796 3.796 0 0.6328 0.6237 0.0091 0.2000 0 0 0 0 0.3467 0.2533 0.0533 0.0400 0.3284 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) 0 0 0 0 0 2.826 0.1664 0 0.3333 0.5933 0.0285 16.53 1710.1 495.1 498.8 350.8 303.5 1.704 0 0 0 0 0 0.3533 0 0 0 0 0 1.646 61.35 12.85 12.71 25.71 8.200 0.1569 0 0 0 0.0050 0.0250 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.3000 0.0200 0 0.0500 0.0500 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.7981 0.0800 0.2027 0.0695 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6.017 18.55 0.2083 0.0200 0.3000 0 12.27 47.95 0.4167 0.0525 0.4500 0 0.8466 0.8807 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1916 0 0 0 0 0 17.06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1916 0 0.0705 0 0.1043 0.1043 0 0.2482 0.2478 4.54E-04 0.0989 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0449 16.86 0.1978 1.270 4.510 56.10 55.76 0.3333 4.750 4.691 0.0590 2.178 0.5055 0.0123 0.1663 0.3269 0.6933 0.5067 0.1067 0.0800 0.9402 Fatalities Major injuries (Events / year) (FWI / event) (FWI / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) Workforce exposure to fire Lineside fire in station Fire in station Workforce exposure to lineside explosion Explosion at station Passenger exposure to hazardous substances Passenger exposed to electrical arcing at station Passenger electric shock at station (OHL) Passenger electric shock at station (conductor rail) Passenger electric shock at station (non-traction supplies) Passenger at station exposed to smoke or fumes Passenger fall from platform onto track (no train present) Passenger slip, trip or fall Passenger slip, trip or fall (platform) Passenger slip, trip or fall (stairs) Passenger slip, trip or fall (escalator) Passenger slip, trip or fall (station concourse) Passenger slip, trip or fall while legitimately crossing line on station crossing Passenger slip, trip or fall (chair, bench, wheelchair) Passenger slip, trip or fall (ramps) Passenger fall from overbridge at station Passenger fall during evacuation at station Passenger crushing caused by overcrowding at station Workforce struck/crushed by structural collapse or large object 3.000 0.4000 0.6667 0.2500 0.0500 3.533 0.2000 0.0667 1.667 0.6667 0.0500 46.00 2664.8 740.8 880.7 498.0 450.8 2.667 0.0124 0.0068 0.0122 0.0425 3.000 0.0062 0.0112 1.000 0.3217 0.0062 0.0075 0.0176 0.0089 0.0087 0.0117 0.0052 0.0081 0.0079 0.0373 0.0027 0.0081 0.0106 0.1500 0.0217 0.0022 0.0667 0.5362 0.0041 3.74E-04 0.8095 23.73 6.446 10.27 2.583 3.633 0.0210 0 0 0.0033 0 0.1000 0 0 0.0667 0.5000 0 0 0.0640 2.137 0.4144 1.723 0 0 0 0 0 0.0300 0 0.2000 0.1767 0.0200 0 0.3333 0.0333 0.0025 6.171 159.8 45.80 65.04 15.18 27.62 0.1569 0 0 0 0 0 0.1774 0.0136 0 0.5000 0.0400 0.0190 21.73 768.9 188.7 305.6 137.5 111.9 0.6494 19.81 72.00 1.667 0.0500 1.000 130.8 0.0056 0.0093 0.1759 0.0531 0.0270 0.0160 0.1109 0.6700 0.2931 0.0027 0.0270 2.097 0 0 0.2083 0 0 0 0.6772 5.284 0.8333 0.0250 0.2500 0 Workforce struck/crushed by structural collapse or large object Track worker struck by load dropped from OTP inside possession Workforce trapped in machinery Workforce struck by/contact with/trapped in object at station Workforce slip, trip or fall <2m Workforce (other than OTP train crew) slip, trip or fall <2m Workforce (OTP train crew) slip, trip or fall <2m inside possession Workforce slip, trip or fall >2m Workforce (other than OTP train crew) slip, trip or fall >2m Workforce (OTP train crew) slip, trip or fall >2m inside possession Workforce struck/crushed by non-train vehicle Workforce burns due to welding etc Workforce burn due to electrical short circuit Workforce burn due to welding or flame cutting Workforce burn due to other causes Workforce exposure to arcing Workforce burn due to/exposure to arcing (conductor rail) Workforce burn due to/exposure to arcing (OHL) Workforce burn due to/exposure to arcing (other) Workforce exposure to hazardous substances (including stings, bites and needle injuries) 126.9 3.956 7.957 522.3 1150.9 1147.6 3.333 14.93 14.73 0.2000 15.20 35.26 0.8571 11.60 22.80 8.667 6.333 1.333 1.000 81.27 0.0163 0.0058 0.0263 0.0021 0.0065 0.0065 0.0117 0.0503 0.0505 0.0337 0.0222 0.0027 0.0027 0.0027 0.0027 0.0094 0.0094 0.0094 0.0094 0.0030 2.074 0.0229 0.2096 1.072 7.489 7.450 0.0390 0.7507 0.7440 0.0067 0.3376 0.0945 0.0023 0.0311 0.0611 0.0814 0.0595 0.0125 0.0094 0.2442 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Notes Major injuries (No. / year) National average risk MOP Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries Fatalities Major injuries National average cons. Hazardous event description Staff Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries Fatalities National average frequency H. E. No. SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST2,Yes Table A1: Average predicted fatalities and injuries per year Version 5.5/May 2008 60 Table A1 H. E. No. HEN-30 HEN-30A HEN-30B HEN-30 OTP HEN-31 HEN-31A HEN-31B HEN-31 OTP HEN-32 HEN-32A HEN-32 OTP HEN-33 HEN-33A HEN-33B HEN-33C HEN-35 HEN-35A HEN-35 OTP HEN-36 HEN-37 HEN-38 HEN-38A HEN-38B HEN-39 HEN-40 HEN-41 HEN-42 HEN-43 HEN-44 HEN-44A HEN-44B HEN-45 HEN-45A HEN-45B HEN-45C Hazardous event description Workforce electric shock (conductor rail) Workforce (other than OTP workforce) electric shock (conductor rail) due to fall Workforce (other than OTP workforce) electric shock (conductor rail) via item/object OTP workforce electric shock (conductor rail) due to movement of OTP inside possession Workforce electric shock (OHL) Workforce (other than OTP workforce) electric shock (OHL) (direct contact) Workforce (other than OTP workforce) electric shock (OHL) (indirect contact) OTP Workforce electric shock (OHL) (contact with OHL inside possession) Workforce electric shock (non-traction supply) Workforce (other than OTP workforce) electric shock (non-traction supply) OTP workforce electric shock (non-traction supply) due to OTP contact with buried services inside possession Workforce asphyxiation / drowning Workforce asphyxiation in tunnel Workforce asphyxiation at station Workforce asphyxiation (drowning) Workforce involved in road traffic accident whilst on duty Workforce (other than OTP workforce) involved in road traffic accident while on duty OTP workforce involved in road traffic accident between OTP and another road vehicle Adult trespasser fall while on the mainline railway Adult trespasser electric shock (OHL) Adult trespasser electric shock (conductor rail) Adult trespasser electric shock (conductor rail) at station Adult trespasser electric shock (conductor rail) not at station Adult trespasser electric shock (non-traction supply) Child trespasser fall while on the mainline railway Child trespasser electric shock (OHL) Child trespasser electric shock (conductor rail) Child trespasser electric shock (non-traction supply) MOP struck / trapped by level crossing equipment or involved in RTA at level crossing MOP struck by road vehicle or involved in RTA at level crossing MOP struck / trapped by level crossing equipment MOP (non-trespasser) fall from outside onto the mainline railway MOP (non-trespasser) fall from outside onto the mainline railway from bridge (incl. RTA) MOP (non-trespasser) fall from outside onto the mainline railway from wall, bank, roof or fence (incl. RTA) MOP (non-trespasser) fall from outside onto the mainline railway from other eg viaduct (incl. RTA) Passenger Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries Staff Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries MOP Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries Notes Fatalities Major injuries (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) 5.474 0.3689 0.4911 0.4611 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST1,No 1.639 5.081 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,No 0 0.0360 0.0240 0.0300 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST1,No 0.2378 0.1537 1.427 0.9222 0.2017 0.0410 1.311 0.2664 0.1481 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST1,No 0 0.0741 0.4444 0.1580 1.027 0.1481 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST1,No 0 0 0.0100 0.0600 0.0027 0.0173 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST1,No 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0188 0.0134 0.9912 0.9172 0.7878 0.7758 11.69 11.51 0.5583 0.5583 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,No 0 0 0 0 0.0054 0.0741 0.0120 0.1785 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,No 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0926 0.0426 0 0.0500 0.1617 0.1419 0.1011 0.0426 0.0085 0.0500 0.1470 0.1290 0.0306 0 0.0306 0 0.1069 0.0938 0.0460 0 0.0460 0 1.069 0.9384 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST1,No 0.0218 0 0 0 0 0 0.0198 0.0180 0.0131 0.1309 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST1,No 0.0603 0.4388 0.6549 0.6445 0.6663 0.0062 0.0275 0.1302 0.5138 0.0062 0.0227 1.246 0.7835 5.501 2.836 2.665 4.59E-04 0.0459 0.3533 0.6936 6.88E-04 0.3175 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.6526 0.4464 2.374 2.200 0.1739 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.6526 0.6696 5.409 2.800 2.609 0 0 0.1597 0.6750 0 0.1429 5.439 1.116 0.7217 0.2000 0.5217 0.0037 0.4175 1.916 0.1688 0.0056 1.486 8.446 0 1.487 0.8522 0.6352 0.0044 0.7368 0.3193 0.3082 0.0067 3.200 5.912 0 0.9561 0.5478 0.4083 0.0659 0.5157 0.4790 0.1981 0.0989 8.829 0.4351 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.4857 SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST1,Yes 1.429 12.57 16.53 0.1460 0.0087 0.2018 0.2085 0.1090 3.336 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.6000 0.1429 0 2.454 0.6286 0.8571 8.553 0.3429 2.857 3.937 0.1143 8.714 1.789 0.2000 0.2857 0.3810 SF,2,ST1,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes 11.20 0.2464 2.759 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.6000 2.200 5.400 3.139 0.6609 0 SF,2,ST1,Yes 4.000 0.1015 0.4061 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1905 2.095 0.6234 1.091 0.3810 SF,2,ST1,Yes 1.333 0.1277 0.1702 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0635 1.058 0.1748 0.0368 0 SF,2,ST1,Yes Fatalities Major injuries (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) 0 0 0 0 0.5844 0.4611 1.120 0 2.228 0.5533 0 0 0 0.0933 1.120 0 0 0 0 0.0300 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1211 0 0 0 0 0.1781 0.0160 0 0 0 13.67 13.40 0.0098 0.0090 0.1341 0.1211 0 0 0 0 0.2700 0.0483 0.0130 0 0.2702 0.0851 0.0851 0.1000 1.470 1.290 0.3807 0.5500 0.0123 0.5500 0.1211 0.1211 0.1029 0.0468 0.0011 0.0550 0.1780 0.1562 0.1800 0.1211 20.67 1.786 8.400 4.400 4.000 0.0741 1.670 2.714 1.350 0.1111 14.00 National average frequency National average cons. National average risk Fatalities Major injuries (Events / year) (FWI / event) (FWI / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) 8.007 1.383 0.0894 0.3373 0.7155 0.4666 0 0 0 0 0 0 6.533 0.0335 0.2186 0 0 0.0900 0.3373 0.0304 0 2.807 1.383 0.1366 0.1781 0.3835 0.2464 1.333 0.0908 0.0900 (-) SF,2,ST1,No SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST1,No SF,2,ST1,Yes SF,2,ST1,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST1,Yes SF,2,ST1,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes Table A1: Average predicted fatalities and injuries per year Version 5.5/May 2008 61 Table A1 H. E. No. HEN-46 HEN-46A HEN-46B HEN-48 HEN-49 HEN-50 HEN-51 HEN-52 HEN-53 HEN-54 HEN-55 HEN-56 HEN-57 HEN-58 HEN-59 HEN-60 HEN-61 HEN-62 HEN-63 HEN-64 HEN-65 HEN-66 HEN-67 HEN-68 HEN-71 HEN-71A HEN-71B HEN-71C HEN-72 HEN-72A HEN-72B HEN-72C HEN-73 HEN-74 Hazardous event description MOP slip, trip or fall on level crossing or footpath crossing MOP slip, trip or fall on level crossing: other (AHB, MG/MCB/CCTV & all UWC) MOP slip, trip or fall on level crossing: open crossing (OC) MOP exposure to fire on the mainline railway MOP exposure to explosion on the mainline railway MOP exposure to electrical arcing MOP electric shock (OHL) MOP electric shock (conductor rail) MOP electric shock (non-traction supplies) MOP exposure to hazardous substances leakage on the mainline railway Passenger struck by/contact with/trapped in object at station Workforce struck by/contact with/ trapped in object not at station Passenger burn (not on train) MOP injury on bridges/steps/subways (other than in stations) whilst on the mainline railway MOP trapped at station Workforce exposure to noise (not on train) Passenger exposure to noise (not on train) Passenger on-train incident (excluding sudden train movement & assaults) Workforce on-train incident (excluding sudden train movement & assaults) Passenger assault Workforce assault MOP assault MOP fall from platform onto track (no train present) MOP non-trespasser fall in stations Adult trespass fall/jump from outside onto the mainline railway Adult trespass fall/jump from outside onto the mainline railway from bridge Adult trespass fall/jump from outside onto the mainline railway from wall, bank, roof or fence Adult trespasser fall/jump from outside onto the mainline railway from other eg viaduct Child trespasser fall/jump from outside onto the mainline railway Child trespass fall/jump from outside onto the mainline railway from bridge Child trespass fall/jump from outside onto the mainline railway from wall, bank, roof or fence Child trespasser fall/jump from outside onto the mainline railway from other eg viaduct Passenger manual handling Workforce manual handling Passenger Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries Staff Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries MOP Non Rep. Shock / Rep. Trauma Minor Minor injuries injuries Notes Fatalities Major injuries (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) 0 0 0 0 0.1429 0.1253 2.286 2.005 4.541 3.984 8.173 7.171 0.2857 0.2507 SF,2,ST2,Yes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0175 0 0.2500 0 0.0952 0.0150 0 0.1000 0.2803 0.0250 0.5000 0.0025 0.1905 0.0100 0.0167 0 0.5569 0.0053 0 0.0036 0.0508 0.0150 0.0200 0 1.002 0.0197 0 0.0439 0.3302 0.0100 0.2967 0 0.0350 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,No MF,2,ST1,No SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST1,No SF,2,ST1,No SF,2,ST2,No MF,2,ST1,No 0 20.49 0 51.77 0 617.8 0 0.1863 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST2,Yes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1778 0 0.6222 0 1.867 0 0 SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST2,No 0 0 0 14.03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.3304 0 0 0 3.470 0 0.3685 0 0.2000 0 0.1788 0 0 0 0 0.3731 0 0 0 1.788 0 0 0 8.939 0 0 0 0.2332 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST2,Yes 0 0 0 10.81 104.7 1168.5 5.336 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes 83.73 0 0 0 0 0 2260.6 0.2105 0 0 0 0 1536.0 0.3577 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11.48 0 0 0 0 0 109.1 0 0 0 0 0 780.9 0 0.0050 0 0 0.9774 1064.0 0.0424 0.0547 0 0.4103 0 0 0.0520 0.0023 0.7153 0.8011 0 0 1.335 0.2236 5.007 4.356 0 0 4.291 0.9901 26.68 2.477 0 0.1789 97.32 0.3960 64.17 1.305 0 0 63.55 0.0596 2.146 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes SF,2,ST2,Yes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.4103 0.6154 2.872 1.504 0.5470 0 SF,2,ST1,Yes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.1667 1.167 0.9259 0.7407 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes 0.0510 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0190 0.3174 0.0466 0.0169 0 SF,2,ST1,Yes 0.1234 0.1164 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0160 0.0654 0.4922 0.2905 0.1956 0 0.2000 0.1380 0.0276 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0160 0.0160 0.1120 0.0587 0.0213 0 SF,2,ST1,Yes 0.6000 0.1205 0.0723 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0433 0.2784 0.2062 0.1649 0 SF,2,ST2,Yes 0.1429 0.1150 0.0164 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0061 0.1018 0.0256 0.0093 0 SF,2,ST1,Yes 6.000 469.3 0.0185 0.0024 0.1112 1.105 0 0 1.000 0 1.538 0 3.462 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.205 0 79.25 0 388.2 0 0.2547 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 SF,2,ST2,No SF,2,ST2,Yes Fatalities Major injuries (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5.667 0 43.48 0 258.5 0 10.33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.027 0 5.306 0 0 0 0.0554 0.0053 4.49E-04 2.736 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16.20 0 0 0.0290 82.95 0 0 0.3043 687.1 0.0022 2.778 0 0 0 5161.1 1862.0 212.1 1.667 98.00 8.733 0.0016 0.0019 0.0017 0.0181 0.0144 0.1434 8.495 3.560 0.3678 0.0301 1.416 1.252 1.200 0 0 0 0 0 30.79 0.2105 0 0 0 0 5.333 0.1711 0.9127 0 3.000 0.0962 0.2887 0.4000 0.1276 0.9429 National average frequency National average cons. National average risk Fatalities Major injuries (Events / year) (FWI / event) (FWI / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) (No. / year) 15.14 13.29 0.0266 0.0266 0.4026 0.3532 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.857 0.0500 0.0500 0.0500 0.6667 0.0500 0.3333 0.0100 0.0266 0.0509 6.000 0.0062 0.1723 0.3217 0.0062 10.00 0.0494 0.0025 0.3000 3.12E-04 0.1149 0.0161 0.0021 0.1000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 317.3 688.8 0.0033 0.0042 1.053 2.926 0 0 6.333 2.667 0.0016 0.0085 0.0104 0.0228 11.33 3.800 0.3333 793.8 0.0049 0.0014 0.0013 0.0034 1282.6 (-) Table A1: Average predicted fatalities and injuries per year Version 5.5/May 2008 62 Table A2 Table A2 HE . No. Reasons for variations in reported frequency and risk between SRM v5 and v5.5 (in both old and new injury weightings) Hazardous event description Train accidents Collision between two passenger trains resulting HET-01 from a SPAD (other than in stations) (with TPWS) Collision between a passenger train and nonHET-02P passenger train resulting from a passenger train SPAD (with TPWS) Collision between a nonpassenger train and passenger train resulting from HET-02NP a non- passenger train SPAD (with TPWS) Collision between two nonHET-03 passenger trains resulting from a SPAD (with TPWS) Collision of train with object on HET-04 line (not resulting in derailment) Collision between two HET-06 passenger trains in station (permissive working) Updated for v5.5 No Events/ yr. Version 5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. 0.3564 0.5250 0.5250 National average frequency Events/ yr. Version 5.5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. 0.3564 0.5250 0.5250 National average frequency Reasons for changes from SRM version 5 to SRM version 5.5 These hazardous events have not been updated for v5.5. Minor injuries resulting from this type of hazardous event are all assumed to be reportable minor injuries. Therefore the risk for v5.5 under the new weightings is the same as for v5 under the old weightings. No 0.0390 0.0571 0.0571 0.0390 0.0571 0.0571 No 0.4167 0.3018 0.3018 0.4167 0.3018 0.3018 No 11.23 0.1908 0.1908 11.23 0.1908 0.1908 No 2881.8 0.8723 0.8723 2881.8 0.8723 0.8723 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. No 12.83 0.0741 0.0741 12.83 0.0741 0.0741 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HET-09 Collision with buffer stops No 11.21 0.1446 0.1446 11.21 0.1446 0.1446 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HET-10 Passenger train collision with road vehicle on level crossing No 15.62 3.031 3.031 15.62 3.031 3.031 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HET-11 Non-passenger train collision with road vehicle on level crossing No 3.110 0.5077 0.5077 3.110 0.5077 0.5077 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HET-12 Derailment of passenger trains No 9.139 3.129 3.129 9.139 3.129 3.129 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HET-13 FTP FTP Derailment of freight trains on passenger lines outside possession No 45.65 0.4158 0.4158 45.65 0.4158 0.4158 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. Version 5.5/May 2008 63 Table A2 Table A2 HE . No. HET-13 FTF HET-13 EP Reasons for variations in reported frequency and risk between SRM v5 and v5.5 (in both old and new injury weightings) Hazardous event description FTF Derailment of freight trains on freight only lines outside possession EP Derailment of ECS&Parcels trains on passenger lines Events/ yr. Version 5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. No 9.396 0.1094 No 2.400 Updated for v5.5 National average frequency Events/ yr. Version 5.5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. 0.1094 9.396 0.1094 0.1094 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. 0.0560 0.0560 2.400 0.0560 0.0560 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. National average frequency Reasons for changes from SRM version 5 to SRM version 5.5 HET-17 Fire on passenger train (in station) Yes 16.83 0.0440 0.0440 12.88 0.0423 0.0423 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HET-18 Fire on passenger train (not in station) Yes 202.3 0.0676 0.0676 151.9 0.0552 0.0552 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HET-20 Fire on non-passenger train Yes 41.48 0.0941 0.0941 28.09 0.0528 0.0528 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HET-21 Train crushed by structural collapse or large object (not at station) No 4.13E-04 0.0045 0.0045 4.13E-04 0.0045 0.0045 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HET-22 Structural collapse at station No 0.0100 0.0387 0.0387 0.0100 0.0387 0.0387 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HET-23 Explosion on passenger train No 0.0200 0.0046 0.0046 0.0200 0.0046 0.0046 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HET-24 Explosion on freight train No 0.0184 0.0693 0.0693 0.0184 0.0693 0.0693 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HET-25 Train divisions (not leading to collision) No 13.67 0.0128 0.0128 13.67 0.0128 0.0128 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HET-26 Collision between a failed train and an assisting train No 0.8571 0.0220 0.0220 0.8571 0.0220 0.0220 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. Yes 1.338 0.2434 0.2254 2.567 0.2598 0.2358 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. Movement accidents Passenger injury during HEM-01 evacuation following stopped train Version 5.5/May 2008 64 Table A2 Table A2 HE . No. Reasons for variations in reported frequency and risk between SRM v5 and v5.5 (in both old and new injury weightings) Hazardous event description Updated for v5.5 Events/ yr. Version 5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average frequency Events/ yr. Version 5.5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average frequency Reasons for changes from SRM version 5 to SRM version 5.5 HEM-02 Passenger fall from train in running Yes 1.000 0.0634 0.0624 0.7560 0.0711 0.0704 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis and the removal of Mark I rolling stock. HEM-03 Passenger struck while leaning out of train (train in running) No 2.533 0.0539 0.0447 2.533 0.0539 0.0447 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEM-04 Passenger struck by object through train window Yes 41.03 0.3077 0.1335 21.75 0.1687 0.0774 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis and the removal of Mark I rolling stock. HEM-05 Train door closes on passenger Yes 290.4 1.825 0.7316 275.7 1.737 0.6962 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis and the removal of Mark I rolling stock. HEM-06 Passenger fall between train and platform Yes 204.3 3.099 2.484 221.0 2.679 2.011 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEM-07 Passenger fall out of train onto track at station No 0.6841 0.0106 0.0093 0.6841 0.0106 0.0093 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEM-08 Passenger fall from platform and struck by train No 5.667 2.360 2.357 5.667 2.360 2.357 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEM-09 Passenger injury while boarding/alighting train (platform side) Yes 483.3 5.276 3.863 460.4 4.948 3.593 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis and the removal of Mark I rolling stock. HEM-10 Passenger struck by train while on platform Yes 6.703 0.5183 0.5143 7.150 0.5168 0.5126 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis and the removal of Mark I rolling stock. HEM-11 Passenger struck while crossing track at station on crossing No 0.5114 0.4449 0.4449 0.5114 0.4449 0.4449 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEM-12 Adult/child trespasser struck while crossing track at station Yes 5.000 3.541 3.539 5.580 3.505 3.503 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. Version 5.5/May 2008 65 Table A2 Table A2 HE . No. Reasons for variations in reported frequency and risk between SRM v5 and v5.5 (in both old and new injury weightings) Hazardous event description Updated for v5.5 Events/ yr. Version 5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average frequency Events/ yr. Version 5.5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average frequency Reasons for changes from SRM version 5 to SRM version 5.5 HEM-13 Passenger crushing caused by crowding on train No 10.33 0.1052 0.0705 10.33 0.1052 0.0705 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEM-14 Workforce (not track worker) struck/crushed by train No 0.7121 0.3569 0.3564 0.7121 0.3569 0.3564 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEM-15 Train crew/ track worker fall from train/OTP in running No 1.100 0.0650 0.0613 1.100 0.0650 0.0613 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEM-16 Workforce injury while boarding/alighting train Yes 302.4 2.251 1.290 281.4 2.085 1.1860 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEM-17 Train crew struck while leaning out of train (train in running) Yes 28.32 0.1580 0.0508 14.92 0.0878 0.0315 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis and the removal of Mark I rolling stock. HEM-18 Train crew hit by object through train window Yes 48.16 0.3135 0.1334 37.64 0.3102 0.1754 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. The introduction of stock with laminated windows has meant less objects are breaking the windows and causing injuries. However the objects that are thrown with sufficient force to break the window are causing more serious injuries. Therefore the overall level of risk has not changed significantly. HEM-19 Track worker struck/crushed by train Yes 4.818 2.619 2.616 4.700 2.326 2.323 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEM-20 Workforce struck by flying object (includes objects thrown by OTM movements outside a possession) Yes 81.00 0.5373 0.2548 46.13 0.2749 0.1114 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEM-21 Workforce fall between train and platform Yes 74.00 0.4649 0.2342 103.6 0.8225 0.5037 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEM-22 Workforce fall out of train onto track at station No 0.1000 0.0145 0.0145 0.1000 0.0145 0.0145 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. Version 5.5/May 2008 66 Table A2 Table A2 HE . No. Reasons for variations in reported frequency and risk between SRM v5 and v5.5 (in both old and new injury weightings) Hazardous event description Updated for v5.5 Events/ yr. Version 5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average frequency Events/ yr. Version 5.5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average frequency Reasons for changes from SRM version 5 to SRM version 5.5 HEM-23 Train door closes on workforce Yes 68.30 0.4474 0.2047 75.30 0.5052 0.2373 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEM-24 Track worker struck while leaning out of on-track machine/vehicle No 0.2000 0.0038 0.0031 0.2000 0.0038 0.0031 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEM-25 HEM-26 HEM-27 HEM-29 HEM-30 Adult trespasser struck/crushed while on the mainline railway Child trespasser struck/crushed while on mainline railway MOP pedestrian struck/crushed by train on level crossing or footpath crossing MOP outside mainline railway struck/crushed as a result of mainline railway operations MOP fall while riding illegally on train Yes 40.51 28.30 28.29 38.53 25.95 25.95 Following a change in the method for classifying a suicide a significant number of HEM-25 events have been reallocated to HEM-31. The changes are as a result of this and also from an update of the data set used for the analysis. Yes 3.677 3.315 3.315 2.210 2.237 2.237 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. Yes 9.300 7.399 7.397 9.005 7.161 7.159 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. No 0.0200 0.0024 0.0024 0.0200 0.0024 0.0024 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. Yes 4.004 0.7563 0.7545 4.938 0.9419 0.9393 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEM-31 MOP suicide or attempted suicide (open verdict) Yes 234.0 196.6 196.6 266.7 222.5 222.5 Following a change in the method for classifying a suicide a significant number of HEM-25 events have been reallocated to HEM-31. The changes are as a result of this and also from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEM-32 MOP struck by object from the mainline railway No 2.667 0.0144 0.0067 2.667 0.0144 0.0067 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEM-38 Passenger injury due to sudden train movement Yes 124.2 1.079 0.6427 98.73 0.9062 0.5597 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. Version 5.5/May 2008 67 Table A2 Table A2 HE . No. HEM-39 Reasons for variations in reported frequency and risk between SRM v5 and v5.5 (in both old and new injury weightings) Hazardous event description Train crew injury due to sudden train movement MOP struck by train due to standing too close to platform edge Non-movement accidents HEM-40 Events/ yr. Version 5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. Yes 457.2 2.811 Yes 0.3333 Updated for v5.5 National average frequency Events/ yr. Version 5.5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. 1.197 399.3 2.521 1.111 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. 0.0259 0.0257 0.2371 0.1837 0.1837 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. National average frequency Reasons for changes from SRM version 5 to SRM version 5.5 HEN-01 Workforce exposure to fire No 3.000 0.0503 0.0373 3.000 0.0503 0.0373 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-02 Lineside fire in station No 0.4000 0.0039 0.0027 0.4000 0.0039 0.0027 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-03 Fire in station No 0.6667 0.0111 0.0081 0.6667 0.0111 0.0081 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-04 Workforce exposure to lineside explosion No 0.2500 0.0117 0.0106 0.2500 0.0117 0.0106 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-05 Explosion at station No 0.0500 0.1500 0.1500 0.0500 0.1500 0.1500 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-07 Passenger exposure to hazardous substances No 3.533 0.0345 0.0217 3.533 0.0345 0.0217 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-08 Passenger exposed to electrical arcing at station No 0.2000 0.0029 0.0022 0.2000 0.0029 0.0022 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-09 Passenger electric shock at station (OHL) No 0.0667 0.0667 0.0667 0.0667 0.0667 0.0667 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-10 Passenger electric shock at station (conductor rail) No 1.667 0.5375 0.5362 1.667 0.5375 0.5362 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-11 Passenger electric shock at station (non-traction supplies) No 0.6667 0.0065 0.0041 0.6667 0.0065 0.0041 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-12 Passenger at station exposed to smoke or fumes No 0.0500 4.88E-04 3.74E-04 0.0500 4.88E-04 3.74E-04 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. Version 5.5/May 2008 68 Table A2 Table A2 HE . No. Reasons for variations in reported frequency and risk between SRM v5 and v5.5 (in both old and new injury weightings) Hazardous event description Updated for v5.5 Events/ yr. Version 5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average frequency Events/ yr. Version 5.5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average frequency Reasons for changes from SRM version 5 to SRM version 5.5 HEN-13 Passenger fall from platform onto track (no train present) Yes 51.67 0.7346 0.6418 46.00 0.8888 0.8095 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-14 Passenger slip, trip or fall Yes 2524.3 29.27 22.54 2664.8 30.82 23.73 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-15 Passenger fall from overbridge at station No 1.667 0.2948 0.2931 1.667 0.2948 0.2931 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-16 Passenger fall during evacuation at station No 0.0500 0.0029 0.0027 0.0500 0.0029 0.0027 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-17 Passenger crushing caused by overcrowding at station No 1.000 0.0288 0.0270 1.000 0.0288 0.0270 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-21 Workforce struck/crushed by structural collapse or large object Yes 146.0 2.730 2.327 130.8 2.459 2.097 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-22 Workforce trapped in machinery Yes 12.67 0.3772 0.3414 7.957 0.2306 0.2096 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-23 Workforce struck by/contact with/trapped in object at station Yes 473.7 2.815 1.028 522.3 3.046 1.072 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-24 Workforce slip, trip or fall <2m Yes 1244.6 12.28 8.292 1150.9 11.21 7.489 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-25 Workforce slip, trip or fall >2m Yes 16.19 0.6218 0.5835 14.93 0.7850 0.7507 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-26 Workforce struck/crushed by non-train vehicle Yes 23.23 0.4795 0.4086 15.20 0.3823 0.3376 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-27 Workforce burns due to welding etc Yes 52.67 0.3264 0.1319 35.26 0.2249 0.0945 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-28 Workforce exposure to arcing No 8.667 0.1161 0.0814 8.667 0.1161 0.0814 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. Version 5.5/May 2008 69 Table A2 Table A2 HE . No. Reasons for variations in reported frequency and risk between SRM v5 and v5.5 (in both old and new injury weightings) Hazardous event description Updated for v5.5 Events/ yr. Version 5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average frequency Events/ yr. Version 5.5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average frequency Reasons for changes from SRM version 5 to SRM version 5.5 HEN-29 Workforce exposure to hazardous substances (including stings, bites and needle injuries) Yes 114.3 0.7899 0.3404 81.27 0.5649 0.2442 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-30 Workforce electric shock (conductor rail) No 8.007 0.7374 0.7155 8.007 0.7374 0.7155 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-31 Workforce electric shock (OHL) No 2.807 0.3887 0.3835 2.807 0.3887 0.3835 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-32 Workforce electric shock (nontraction supply) No 13.67 0.1831 0.1341 13.67 0.1831 0.1341 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-33 Workforce asphyxiation / drowning No 0.2702 0.1030 0.1029 0.2702 0.1030 0.1029 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-35 Workforce involved in road traffic accident whilst on duty No 1.470 0.1823 0.1780 1.470 0.1823 0.1780 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-36 Adult trespasser fall while on the mainline railway Yes 19.00 1.576 1.552 20.67 1.274 1.246 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-37 Adult trespasser electric shock (OHL) Yes 1.333 0.6160 0.6160 1.786 0.7835 0.7835 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-38 Adult trespasser electric shock (conductor rail) Yes 8.000 4.696 4.692 8.400 5.505 5.501 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-39 Adult trespasser electric shock (non-traction supply) Yes 0.0930 9.07E-04 5.76E-04 0.0741 7.22E-04 4.59E-04 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-40 Child trespasser fall while on the mainline railway Yes 3.333 0.0870 0.0828 1.670 0.0480 0.0459 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-41 Child trespasser electric shock (OHL) Yes 2.667 0.3600 0.3579 2.714 0.3553 0.3533 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-42 Child trespasser electric shock (conductor rail) Yes 2.000 0.5873 0.5856 1.350 0.6944 0.6936 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. Version 5.5/May 2008 70 Table A2 Table A2 HE . No. HEN-43 HEN-44 HEN-45 Reasons for variations in reported frequency and risk between SRM v5 and v5.5 (in both old and new injury weightings) Hazardous event description Child trespasser electric shock (non-traction supply) MOP struck / trapped by level crossing equipment or involved in RTA at level crossing MOP (non-trespasser) fall from outside onto the mainline railway Events/ yr. Version 5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. Yes 0.1429 0.0014 Yes 15.80 Yes Updated for v5.5 Events/ yr. Version 5.5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. 8.84E-04 0.1111 0.0011 6.88E-04 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. 0.5474 0.5373 14.00 0.3540 0.3175 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. 18.33 3.083 3.076 16.53 3.343 3.336 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. National average frequency National average frequency Reasons for changes from SRM version 5 to SRM version 5.5 HEN-46 MOP slip, trip or fall on level crossing or footpath crossing Yes 16.00 0.5270 0.4923 15.14 0.4364 0.4026 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-48 MOP exposure to fire on the mainline railway No 0.0500 0.0026 0.0025 0.0500 0.0026 0.0025 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-49 MOP exposure to explosion on the mainline railway No 0.0500 0.3000 0.3000 0.0500 0.3000 0.3000 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-50 MOP exposure to electrical arcing No 0.0500 4.88E-04 3.12E-04 0.0500 4.88E-04 3.12E-04 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-51 MOP electric shock (OHL) No 0.6667 0.1162 0.1149 0.6667 0.1162 0.1149 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-52 MOP electric shock (conductor rail) No 0.0500 0.0161 0.0161 0.0500 0.0161 0.0161 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-53 MOP electric shock (nontraction supplies) No 0.3333 0.0033 0.0021 0.3333 0.0032 0.0021 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. No 0.0100 0.1000 0.1000 0.0100 0.1000 0.1000 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. No 317.3 2.128 1.053 317.3 2.128 1.053 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. Yes 824.0 6.380 3.427 688.8 5.398 2.926 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-54 HEN-55 HEN-56 MOP exposure to hazardous substances leakage on the mainline railway Passenger struck by/contact with/trapped in object at station Workforce struck by/contact with/ trapped in object not at station Version 5.5/May 2008 71 Table A2 Table A2 HE . No. Reasons for variations in reported frequency and risk between SRM v5 and v5.5 (in both old and new injury weightings) Hazardous event description Updated for v5.5 Events/ yr. Version 5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average frequency Events/ yr. Version 5.5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average frequency Reasons for changes from SRM version 5 to SRM version 5.5 HEN-57 Passenger burn (not on train) No 6.333 0.0317 0.0104 6.333 0.0317 0.0104 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-58 MOP injury on bridges/steps/subways (other than in stations) whilst on the mainline railway No 2.667 0.0302 0.0228 2.667 0.0302 0.0228 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-59 MOP trapped at station No 11.33 0.0921 0.0554 11.33 0.0921 0.0554 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-60 Workforce exposure to noise (not on train) Yes 1.800 0.0090 0.0024 3.800 0.0200 0.0053 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-61 Passenger exposure to noise (not on train) No 0.3333 0.0017 4.49E-04 0.3333 0.0017 4.49E-04 HEN-62 Passenger on-train incident (excluding sudden train movement & assaults) Yes 846.0 5.413 2.398 793.8 5.543 2.736 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis and the removal of Mark I rolling stock. HEN-63 Workforce on-train incident (excluding sudden train movement & assaults) Yes 1383.5 7.898 2.857 1282.6 7.473 2.778 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis and the removal of Mark I rolling stock. HEN-64 Passenger assault Yes 4116.1 20.10 7.136 5161.1 23.69 8.495 The change in risk is due to the increase in frequency. This is mainly due to better reporting to the BTP. HEN-65 Workforce assault Yes 2082.3 12.19 4.054 1862.0 10.94 3.560 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-66 MOP assault Yes 113.2 0.5933 0.2154 212.1 1.012 0.3678 The change in risk is due to the increase in frequency. This is mainly due to better reporting to the BTP. HEN-67 MOP fall from platform onto track (no train present) Yes 0.3333 0.0047 0.0043 1.667 0.0322 0.0301 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. Version 5.5/May 2008 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. 72 Table A2 Table A2 HE . No. Reasons for variations in reported frequency and risk between SRM v5 and v5.5 (in both old and new injury weightings) Hazardous event description Updated for v5.5 National average frequency Events/ yr. HEN-68 HEN-71 HEN-72 MOP non-trespasser fall in stations Adult trespass fall/jump from outside onto the mainline railway Child trespasser fall/jump from outside onto the mainline railway Version 5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average frequency Events/ yr. Version 5.5 National average risk (Old injury weightings) FWI / yr. National average risk (New injury weightings) FWI / yr. Reasons for changes from SRM version 5 to SRM version 5.5 Yes 2.000 0.1631 0.1579 98.00 1.681 1.416 Significant change in the frequency from version 5 to 5.5 for HEN68. This is attributed to the relatively new precursor (introduced in version 5) which allows: 1) MOP slip/trip /fall incidents which have previously been allocated as passengers (HEN14) to be allocated as MOPs. 2) Tenant staff previously allocated as station staff (HEN24) to be allocated as MOPs. Yes 7.667 0.9200 0.9150 8.733 1.258 1.252 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. Yes 1.000 0.0533 0.0521 0.9429 0.1171 0.1164 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. HEN-73 Passenger manual handling No 6.000 0.1250 0.1112 6.000 0.1250 0.1112 This hazardous event has not been updated for v5.5. HEN-74 Workforce manual handling Yes 362.0 2.067 0.8666 469.3 2.659 1.105 The changes result from an update of the data set used for the analysis. Version 5.5/May 2008 73 Page left blank intentionally Version 5.5/May 2008 74 Appendix B Appendix B. Table B1 Table B1 presents the risk contribution of each cause precursor to its associated hazardous event and provides the risk contribution for precursors in FWI per year. The Excel version of Table B has been extended and contains the risk contribution for precursors in FWI per year, fatalities per year, major injures per year and minor injuries per year. The risk contributions in Table B represent how much the total risk for the hazardous event would reduce by if the failure frequency or probability for the precursor were reduced to zero, as well as the precursor percentage risk contribution. Table B1 is now published in a separate document named ‘RBP version 5.5: Appendix B’. This can be found on the CD-ROM or can be downloaded from the extranet http://www.rssb.co.uk/safety/spr/srmodel.asp. Version 5.5/May 2008 75 Page left blank intentionally Version 5.5/May 2008 76 Table C1 Appendix C. Table C1 Table C1. Precursor groups – risk contribution in fatalities and weighted injuries Group A Risk Contributions % Risk 0.56 100.0 Train derailment cause by vandalism 0.242 43.33 Train crew struck by objects thrown by vandals through train window 0.162 28.95 Train collisions caused by objects placed on the line by vandals 0.069 12.37 Passengers struck by objects thrown by vandals through train window 0.062 11.12 Train fires caused by arson/vandalism 0.024 4.23 Track faults - grouped for both passenger and non-passenger trains 2.91 100.0 Abnormal dynamic forces - only considered for PT 1.320 45.30 Subsidence/landslip 0.368 12.62 Defective S&C 0.338 11.59 Track maintenance staff errors 0.171 5.85 Gauge spread 0.145 4.98 Track twist 0.125 4.30 Buckled rail 0.105 3.59 Broken rail 0.100 3.44 Misc track faults 0.076 2.59 Broken fishplate 0.055 1.88 Broken rail in tunnel 0.053 1.82 Movement of points under train 0.030 1.04 Miscellaneous/unknown causes on S&C 0.024 0.81 Cyclic top (only applicable to FT) 0.006 0.19 Track faults - passenger trains 2.65 100.0 Vandalism affecting trains (damage to fencing excluded) Subgroup(s) B Subgroup(s) C Version 5.5/May 2008 77 Table C1 Table C1. Precursor groups – risk contribution in fatalities and weighted injuries Group Risk Contributions % Risk Track faults - passenger train 2.651 100.00 Track faults - non-passenger trains 0.26 100.0 Track faults - non-passenger trains 0.263 100.00 Passenger train rolling stock faults 3.68 100.0 Rolling stock faults - other 2.019 54.79 Rolling stock door incidents (includes door faults) 1.665 45.21 Non-Passenger train rolling stock faults 0.48 100.0 Non-Passenger train rolling stock faults 0.478 100.00 Structural failures 0.84 100.0 Structural failures resulting from subsidence or landslips 0.576 68.50 Structural failures - other 0.265 31.50 0.47 100.0 Subgroup(s) D Subgroup(s) E Subgroup(s) F Subgroup(s) G Subgroup(s) H Passenger train Cat A SPADs resulting in collision + Subgroup(s) Passenger train Cat A SPADs resulting in collision+ 0.40 85.66 Driver fails to check signal aspect 0.060 12.62 Correct information given but misunderstood by driver/signaller 0.056 11.87 Driver fails to react to cautionary aspect 0.048 10.09 Other environmental 0.038 8.00 Ambiguous or incomplete information given by driver/signaller 0.031 6.62 Uncategorised driver error 0.027 5.63 Driver violation of rules/instructions 0.020 4.23 Version 5.5/May 2008 78 Table C1 Table C1. Precursor groups – risk contribution in fatalities and weighted injuries Group I Risk Contributions % Risk Driver misreads by viewing wrong signal 0.019 4.05 Driver fails to locate signal Driver views correct signal but misreads aspect 0.018 0.015 3.79 3.20 Driver anticipates signal clearance 0.013 2.85 Wrong information given by driver/signaller 0.013 2.68 Signaller communication errors 0.011 2.41 Information not given by driver/signaller 0.009 1.85 Rolling stock 0.009 1.83 Driver misjudges train behaviour 0.008 1.75 Driver ignorance of rules/instructions 0.005 1.16 Signaller operating errors 0.002 0.41 Driver misjudges environmental conditions 0.001 0.31 Driver misreads previous signal 0.001 0.29 Unknown driver misjudgement 0.000 0.03 Passenger train Cat A SPADs resulting in derailment or level crossing collision 0.068 14.34 Passenger train Cat A SPAD resulting in derailment or level crossing collision 0.068 14.34 Non-Passenger train SPADs 0.19 100.0 Non-Passenger train Cat A SPADs resulting in collision++ 0.18 93.38 Driver fails to check signal aspect 0.038 19.46 Driver violation of rules/instructions 0.022 11.44 Driver fails to locate signal 0.016 8.25 Driver misreads by viewing wrong signal 0.014 7.24 Uncategorised driver error 0.014 7.20 Wrong information given by driver/signaller 0.013 6.59 Driver fails to react to cautionary aspect 0.012 6.32 Ambiguous or incomplete information given by driver/signaller 0.012 6.32 Subgroup(s) Version 5.5/May 2008 79 Table C1 Table C1. Precursor groups – risk contribution in fatalities and weighted injuries Group J K Risk Contributions % Risk Correct information given but misunderstood by driver/signaller 0.008 4.11 Driver views correct signal but misreads aspect 0.006 2.99 Other environmental 0.005 2.40 Signaller communication errors 0.005 2.33 Rolling stock 0.004 1.95 Driver anticipates signal clearance 0.004 1.88 Driver ignorance of rules/instructions 0.003 1.51 Information not given by driver/signaller 0.003 1.37 Driver misjudges train behaviour 0.002 1.05 Signaller operating errors 0.001 0.48 Driver misreads previous signal 0.000 0.23 Driver misjudges environmental conditions 0.000 0.20 Unknown driver misjudgement 0.000 0.06 Non-passenger train Cat A SPADs resulting in derailment or level crossing collision 0.013 6.62 Non-passenger train Cat A SPAD resulting in derailment or level crossing collision 0.013 6.62 Cat D SPADs/ runaways 0.24 100.0 Subgroup(s) Non-passenger train Cat D SPADs/ runaways resulting in derailment, train collision or level crossing collision 0.221 91.50 Passenger train Cat D SPADs/ runaways resulting in derailment, train collision or level crossing collision 0.021 8.50 Driver error 1.39 100.0 Train Driver errors resulting in SPADs 0.531 38.19 Train Driver braking errors 0.476 34.28 Other train driver errors 0.342 24.62 Train Driver overspeeding errors 0.040 2.91 Level crossings - High level cause 11.84 100.0 Subgroup(s) L Version 5.5/May 2008 80 Table C1 Table C1. Precursor groups – risk contribution in fatalities and weighted injuries Group Risk Contributions % Risk Misuse Error 7.752 65.46 Violation 3.474 29.34 Proper Use 0.616 5.20 Crossings - by cause Subgroup(s) 11.85 100.0 Footpath crossings 4.03 33.98 MOP pedestrian struck/crushed by train on footpath crossing 3.976 33.57 MOP slip, trip or fall on footpath crossing 0.049 0.42 Level crossings 7.82 66.02 MOP pedestrian struck/crushed by train on level crossing 3.183 26.87 Passenger train collision with road vehicle on level crossing 3.031 25.59 Non-passenger train collision with road vehicle on level crossing 0.491 4.14 Passenger struck/crushed by train on station crossing 0.445 3.76 MOP slip, trip or fall on level crossing 0.353 2.98 MOP struck/trapped by level crossing equipment 0.318 2.68 Crossings (vehicle only) - by type 3.52 100.0 Passenger train collisions 3.03 86.06 Automatic Half Barrier Crossings 0.873 24.80 User Worked Crossing Protected with Telephone 0.831 23.58 User Worked Crossing 0.450 12.77 Automatic Open Crossing Locally Monitored 0.422 11.97 User Worked Crossing Protected by Miniature Warning Lights 0.256 7.28 Manual Gate / Barrier Crossing 0.140 3.99 Subgroup(s) M N Subgroup(s) Footpath Crossings 0.046 1.29 Automatic Barrier Crossings Locally Monitored 0.008 0.24 Version 5.5/May 2008 81 Table C1 Table C1. Precursor groups – risk contribution in fatalities and weighted injuries Group O Risk Contributions % Risk Occupational Crossing 0.005 0.14 Non-passenger train collisions 0.49 13.94 Automatic Half Barrier Crossings 0.137 3.90 User Worked Crossing Protected with Telephone 0.133 3.77 User Worked Crossing 0.071 2.03 Automatic Open Crossing Locally Monitored 0.065 1.85 User Worked Crossing Protected by Miniature Warning Lights 0.041 1.16 Manual Gate / Barrier Crossing 0.022 0.64 Occupational Crossing 0.012 0.34 Footpath Crossings 0.007 0.21 Automatic Barrier Crossings Locally Monitored 0.001 0.04 Stations (movement and non-movement accidents only 55.4 100.0 Passenger slip, trip or fall on station 23.599 42.63 Passenger fall from platform or bridge in station 5.471 9.88 Passenger assaults 5.415 9.78 Passenger boarding/alighting 4.298 7.76 Adult/Child trespasser struck while crossing track at station 3.498 6.32 Adult trespasser electric shock in station 3.385 6.11 Workforce assault 2.039 3.68 Staff slip, trip or fall on station 1.985 3.59 Passenger struck while on platform 1.219 2.20 Staff struck while on platform 1.072 1.94 Workforce boarding/alighting 0.972 1.76 Passenger electric shock in station 0.607 1.10 Staff fall between platform and train in station 0.504 0.91 Passenger struck while crossing track in station 0.445 0.80 Subgroup(s) Version 5.5/May 2008 82 Table C1 Table C1. Precursor groups – risk contribution in fatalities and weighted injuries Group P Risk Contributions % Risk Passenger injury due to being hit by objects/vehicles not on platform 0.346 0.63 Public assaults 0.229 0.41 Explosion in station 0.150 0.27 MoP contact with other objects on railway premises i.e. banged head on station sign 0.055 0.10 Passenger overcrowding in station 0.027 0.05 Fire in station 0.011 0.02 Passenger burns not on train 0.010 0.02 Track worker struck/crushed by train while taking short cuts across lines or coupling/uncoupling trains in station 0.010 0.02 Passenger exposure to hazardous substances in station 0.004 0.01 Passenger fall during evacuation at station 0.003 0.00 Staff asphyxiation in station 0.001 0.00 Passenger exposed to noise 0.000 0.00 Passenger/MOP trapped at station 0.000 0.00 On train incidents (includes crowding) 5.94 100.0 Passenger on-train incident 3.037 51.16 Worker on train incident 2.899 48.84 OTP inside possession 0.56 100.0 Subgroup(s) Q Subgroup(s) R Inside possession 0.565 100.00 Environment 1.45 100.0 Subgroup(s) Environment 1.452 100.00 Version 5.5/May 2008 83 Page left blank intentionally Version 5.5/May 2008 84 Definitions and acronyms Appendix D. Definitions and acronyms Definitions Term Definition ALARP/SFAIRP The Health and Safety at Work etc Act 1974 (HSWA) places duties on employers in the UK to ensure safety ‘so far as is reasonably practicable’ (SFAIRP). When these duties are considered in relation to risk management the duty is sometimes described as a requirement to reduce risk to a level that is ‘as low as is reasonably practicable’ (ALARP). These terms therefore express the same concept in different contexts and should be considered to be synonymous. Assault SMIS records incidents in which ‘in circumstances related to their work, a member of staff is assaulted, threatened or abused, thereby affecting their safety or welfare.’ BTP records and categorises criminal assaults in accordance with Home Office rules. Automatic Train Protection (ATP) This system provides either a continuous or regular update of speed monitoring for each train and causes the brakes to apply if the driver fails to bring the speed within the required limit. It can minimise – but not eradicate – the chances of a train passing a signal at danger. Automatic Warning System (AWS) This is a system that provides audible and visual warnings to the driver on the approach to signals, certain level crossings and emergency, temporary, and certain permanent speed restrictions. It is a track inductor-based system linked to the aspects of fixed lineside signals. Child This term is used to describe a person aged 15 years or below. Collective risk In general the collective risk is the aggregate risk, possibly to a range of different exposed groups, associated with a particular scenario or hazardous event. The Safety Risk Model (SRM) calculates collective risk as the average number of fatalities, or fatalities and weighted injuries per year that would be expected to occur from a hazardous event, or group of hazardous events. When undertaking an assessment of whether or not a measure is necessary to reduce risk to a level that is ALARP the change in risk associated with the measure is a collective risk estimate. Consequences The number of fatalities, major injuries and minor injuries resulting from the occurrence of a particular hazardous event outcome. Control measures The measures (hardware systems and equipment or procedural) that are put in place to prevent or minimise the frequency and/or consequences following the occurrence of a hazardous event. Escalation factor A system failure, sub-system failure, component failure, human error, physical effect or operational condition which could, individually or in combination with other escalation factors, result in significantly different outcomes following a hazardous event. For instance, following a train derailment there could be a bridge collapse onto a train, a fire or a toxic goods release. Escalation factors are those that give rise to increased consequence outcomes following the occurrence of a hazardous event. Version 5.5/May 2008 85 Definitions and acronyms Term Definition Fatalities and weighted injuries (FWI) An overall measure of safety harm, taking account of injury and fatalities in the following way: One FWI = one fatality = 10 major injuries = 200 RIDDOR-reportable minor injuries or class 1 shock/traumas = 1,000 non-RIDDOR-reportable minor injuries or class 2 shock/traumas. Fatality Death within one year of the causal accident. Frequency The frequency of an event is the number of times it occurs over a specified period of time (eg, the number of events per year). Hazardous event An event that has the potential to lead directly to death or injury. Frequency The frequency of an event is the number of times it occurs over a specified period of time (eg, the number of events per year). Individual risk Individual Risk relates to the probability of fatality per year to which an individual is exposed from the operation of the railway. Individual risk is a useful notion when organisations are seeking to understand their risk profile and to prioritise and target safety management effort. The ORR categorises individual risk as ‘unacceptable’, ‘tolerable’ and ‘broadly acceptable’ for the purposes of prioritising and targeting its enforcement activity. Level crossing The ground-level interface between a road and the railway. Improper use refers to occasions when users cross when a train is imminent, but are either honestly mistaken about its proximity and the warnings given by signs, sirens and so on (error), or deliberately disregard them (violation). Proper use refers to occasions when users begin to cross entirely legitimately, but unforeseen events lead to a transgression (as when a motor vehicle breaks down half-way across a crossing, or the level crossing fails due to an error outside the user's control). Major injury An injury to a passenger, staff or member of the public as defined in Schedule 1 to RIDDOR 1995 (including most fractures, amputations, losses of consciousness), or where the injury resulted in hospital attendance for more than 24 hours. Minor injury Physical injuries to passengers, staff or members of the public that are not major injuries. For workforce, minor injuries are RIDDOR-reportable if they result in greater than three days’ lost time. For passengers and members of the public, minor injuries are RIDDOR-reportable if the injured person was taken from the accident site direct to the hospital. Other minor injuries are not reportable under RIDDOR. Movement accidents These are accidents to people involving trains (in motion or stationary), but excluding injuries sustained in train accidents. Network Rail managed infrastructure (NRMI) This falls within the boundaries of Network Rail’s operational railway and includes the permanent way, land within the lineside fence, and plant used for signalling or exclusively for supplying electricity for operational purposes to the railway. It does not include stations, depots, yards or sidings that are owned by, or leased to, other parties. However, it does include the permanent way at stations and plant within these locations. Version 5.5/May 2008 86 Definitions and acronyms Term Definition Ovenstone criteria Explicit set of criteria, adapted for the railway, which provides an objective assessment of suicide where a coroner’s verdict is not available. The criteria are based on the findings of a 1970 research project into rail suicides and cover aspects such as the presence (or not) of a suicide note, the clear intent to commit suicide, behavioural patterns, previous suicide attempts, prolonged bouts of depression and instability levels13 Non-movement accident These are accidents unconnected with the movement of trains, which occur to people on railway premises. Outcomes The range of scenarios that could arise following the occurrence of a hazardous event. Passenger A person on railway infrastructure, who either intends to travel, is travelling or has travelled. Note this does not include passengers who are trespassing or who commit suicide – they are included as members of the public. Possession The complete stoppage of all normal train movements on a running line or siding for engineering purposes. Precursor A system failure, sub-system failure, component failure, human error or operational condition which could, individually or in combination with other precursors, result in the occurrence of a hazardous event. Probability The likelihood of an event occurring over an unspecified period of time or on demand (when an individual component or system is called upon to operate). Public (members of) Persons other than passengers or workforce members (that is, trespassers, persons on business and other persons). Note this includes passengers who are trespassing (when crossing tracks between platforms, for example). Residual risk Residual risk relates to the level of risk remaining when the current risk control measures and their degrees of effectiveness are taken into account. Risk contribution This is a term used in the SRM analysis software. It relates to a reduction in the total collective risk estimate for a hazardous event if the frequency or probability of a precursor, or escalation factor or group of escalation factors, were reduced to zero. RIDDOR (Reporting of Injuries, Diseases and Dangerous Occurrences Regulations) RIDDOR 1995 is a set of health and safety regulations that require any major injuries, illnesses or accidents occurring in the workplace to be formally reported to the enforcing authority. It defines major injuries and lists notifiable diseases – many of which can be occupational in origin. It also defines notifiable dangerous occurrences, such as collisions and derailments. Running line A line that is ordinarily used for the passage of trains, as shown in Table ‘A’ of the sectional appendices. Safety Management Information System (SMIS) A national database used by railway undertakings and infrastructure managers to record any safety-related events that occur on the railway. SMIS data is accessible to all of the companies who use the system, so that it may be used to analyse risk, predict trends and focus action on major areas of safety concern. 13 Ovenstone I. M. (1973) A psychiatric approach to the diagnosis on suicide. British journal of psychiatry, 123(572), 15-21 Version 5.5/May 2008 87 Definitions and acronyms Term Definition Safety Risk Model (SRM) A quantitative representation of the safety risk that can result from the operation and maintenance of the GB rail network. It comprises 125 individual models, each representing a type of hazardous event (defined as an event or incident that has the potential to result in injuries or fatalities). Shock/trauma Shock or traumatic stress affecting an employee, passenger or member of the public who has been involved in, or a witness to, an event. Class 1 refers to shock or traumatic stress related to being involved in or witnessing fatality incidents and train accidents (collisions, derailments and fires). Class 2 refers to shock or traumatic stress related to all other causes of shock/trauma, such as verbal assaults, witnessing physical assaults, witnessing non-fatal incidents and near misses. Signal passed at danger (SPAD) An incident when any part of a train has passed a stop signal at danger without authority or where an in-cab signalled movement authority has been exceeded without authority. A category A SPAD is a SPAD that occurs when the stop aspect, end of incab signalled movement authority or indication (and any associated preceding cautionary indications) was displayed correctly, in sufficient time for the train to be stopped safely at the signal or end of in-cab movement authority. Suicide and suspected suicide A fatality is classified as a suicide where a coroner’s verdict is suicide. It is classified as a suspected suicide where the coroner has yet to return a verdict or returns an open verdict, but where objective evidence of suicide exists based on the application of Ovenstone criteria. Track worker A member of workforce whose responsibilities include engineering or technical activities on or about the track. This includes track maintenance, civil structure inspection, S&T renewal/upgrade, engineering supervision, acting as a controller of site safety (COSS), hand signaller or lookout and machine operation. Trackside This is a collective term that refers to the running line, Network Rail managed sidings and depots. Train accident RIDDOR-reportable train accidents are defined in RIDDOR 1995. To be reportable under RIDDOR, the accident must be on or affect the running line. There are additional criteria for different types of accident, and these can vary depending on whether or not the accident involved a passenger train. Train Protection and Warning System (TPWS) A safety system that automatically applies the brakes on a train which either passes a signal at danger, or exceeds a given speed when approaching a signal at danger, a permissible speed reduction or the buffer stops in a terminal platform. A TPWS intervention is when the system applies the train’s brakes without this action having been taken by the driver first. A TPWS activation is when the system applies the train’s brakes after the driver has already initiated braking. TPWS reset and continue incidents occur when the driver has reset the TPWS after an activation (or intervention) and continued forward without the signaller’s authority. Version 5.5/May 2008 88 Definitions and acronyms Term Definition Trespass Trespass occurs when people go where they are never authorised to be, rather than where they behave inappropriately (either from error or violation) at places where they are allowed to go at certain times and under certain conditions, such as level crossings. Workforce Persons working for the industry on railway operations (either as direct employees or under contract). Version 5.5/May 2008 89 Definitions and acronyms Glossary Acronym Expansion ABCL AHB ALARP AOCL ASPR BTP CBA CCTV DfT DEMU DLOCO DMU ECS ELOCO EMU FP FT FTF FTP FWI GB GDP H&V HEM HEN HET HLOS HST IC LX/LC MCB MG MOP NRMI OC OHL OHLE ORR OTM OTP PCLS PINS PT RGS RIDDOR RMMM ROGS RPB RSSB RTA RV S&C SAS SPAD SFAIRP automatic barrier crossing locally monitored automatic half-barrier crossing ‘as low as reasonably practicable’ automatic open crossing, locally monitored Annual Safety Performance Report British Transport Police cost benefit analysis closed-circuit television Department for Transport diesel electric multiple unit diesel locomotive diesel multiple unit empty coaching stock electric locomotive electric multiple unit footpath level crossing freight train derailment of freight trains on freight only lines derailment of freight trains on passenger lines fatalities and weighted injuries Great Britain gross domestic product heating and ventilation hazardous event movement hazardous event non-movement hazardous event train High Level Output Specification High Speed Train Integrated Circuit level crossing manually controlled barrier crossing manned gates member of the public Network Rail managed infrastructure open crossing overhead line overhead line equipment Office of Rail Regulation on-track machine on-track plant parcels train Police Information System passenger train Railway Group Standard Reporting of Injuries, Diseases and Dangerous Occurrences Regulations 1995 rail-mounted maintenance machine Railways and Other Guided Transport Systems (Safety) Regulations 2006 Risk Profile Bulletin Rail Safety and Standards Board road traffic accident road vehicle switches and crossings starting against signal SPAD so far as is reasonably practicable Version 5.5/May 2008 90 Definitions and acronyms Acronym Expansion SMIS SoFA SPAD SPG SRM SRMPWG SSP TPWS UWC UWC+MWL UWC+T UWG VPF WSF Safety Management Information System statement of funds available signal passed at danger Safety Policy Group Safety Risk Model Safety Risk Model Practitioners Working Group Strategic Safety Plan Train Protection and Warning System user-worked crossing user-worked crossing with miniature warning lights user-worked crossing with telephone user-worked gated crossing value of preventing a fatality wrong side signal failures Version 5.5/May 2008 91