Mitigating Wildfire GHGs, or… Thank You for NOT Smoking! PSW Climate Workshop Placerville – April 30, 2008 Mark Nechodom, et al. – mnechodom@fs.fed.us Alder Springs, California Placer County, California Krasnoyarsk, Siberia Alder Springs Stewardship Project: Contract with Product Removal What have my forests done for me lately….? Three ways in which fuels reduction projects can reduce greenhouse gas emissions: 1. Thinning forests improves forest health, and healthy forests absorb more CO2 from the atmosphere, 2. Thinned forests reduce greenhouse gas emissions from catastrophic wildfires, and 3. Biomass energy from thinning projects can replace fossil fuels used to produce the same amount of energy, reducing fossil fuel carbon emissions. Alder Springs Project Goals ¾ ¾ ¾ ¾ Quantify greenhouse gas emission reductions resulting from fuels treatments Quantify carbon sequestration resulting from fuels treatments Evaluate and quantify potential net carbon benefits for carbon offset programs Evaluate potential for renewable energy credits and incentives to contribute to more effective and economical forest management Alder Springs Project Location Mendocino National Forest CA SR-162 Alder Springs Alder Springs Project Basics Total Project/Contract Area = 535 acres. { Sawlogs = 1.9 mmbf { Mandatory Biomass Removal = 75 ac (~ 974 BDTs) { Optional Biomass Removal = 54 ac (~1034 BDTs) Treatments Outside Contract Area: Helitorch Rx burning = 1461 ac Pre-commercial thinning = 456 ac. Understory Rx burning = 1232 ac. Total Analysis Area = ~4,000 acres Location of commercial thinning units and Fuel Hazard Rating class Pre- and post-treatment measurements Random measurement plots within fuel treatment units All carbon pools potentially affected by treatment or fire { { { Trees, tree heights, canopy density, height to live crown Standing and down dead wood Understory vegetation, litter/duff Fire model inputs Pre-assigned measurement plots Pre-treatment field measurements (Sep 2007) Preliminary results of pretreatment measurements 45 plots across 14 treatment units (2 strata) Carbon pools sampled: all trees >5cm, standing dead, seedlings, large shrubs, litter/duff, down dead (10, 100, 1000 hour fuels) Canopy density, heights, height to live crown All pools: mean 156 tC/ha (95% CI of 15% of mean) { { 112 tC/ha (72%) in trees, 29 tC/ha in roots, 5 tC/ha in litter/duff. Remainder in seedlings, understory vegetation, down dead wood. Average canopy closure 65%. 75% in commercial harvest units, 56% in biomass removal units. Modeling and Data Challenges for Wildfire Emissions Reduction Credits Fire Behavior Models (e.g., FARSITE, FOFEM, FLAMMAP, etc.) Veg Inventory & Growth Models FU M EL O Severity Classes? ? LS E D OR Thinned Emission Factors? Combustion Efficiencies? Focal Research Issues 1. 2. Wildfire and emissions modeling need rapid improvement – major policy implications Vegetation Data and Models a) b) 3. 4. 5. Inventory data and models not robust enough for GHG and C accounting FIA plot intensity for C pools very low Lignocellulosic biofuels research needs greater emphasis on forest-sourced woody biomass feedstocks Ecosystem services trade-offs and synergies need better quantification Long term climate change adaptation research need to be better integrated into planning and adaptive management Alder Springs and Wildfire GHG Collaborators Mendocino National Forest Winrock International Center for Fire Research and Outreach, Univ of CA, Berkeley Spatial Informatics Group TSS Consultants Pacific Institute Placer County, CA Placer Air Quality Management District Wheelabrator Shasta Energy, Inc. Sierra Pacific Industries, Inc. CA Dept of Forestry and Fire Protection CA Energy Commission USFS PNW Sukachev Institute CA Air Resources Board