36 Journal of Selling & Major Account Management There’s No Such Thing as a “Red Flag”, they are really “Tiny Corners on HUGE Red Banners.” By John Riggs and Jon Adams This paper is a practical application article that discusses the importance of a manager’s ability to recognize subtle indicators or signals that serve as warnings to potential undesirable future consequences. The authors comments are based on their 55 years of combined managerial and leadership experience in the pharmaceutical industry. Two short examples are provided to frame the point and to offer a practical solution to aid managers in making better decisions and not missing the “Tiny Corners on HUGE Red Banners.” Ask anyone what is meant by the term “redflag” and they will likely cite words like warning, danger, caution, concern or stop. Symbolically speaking, “red-flag” has become a semi-official term representing an awareness indicator or signal that something has grabbed our attention, both explicitly and implicitly. It is used in a variety of contexts usually signifying a warning or often when things seem “too good to be true”. In practical sales management situations, once the so called “red-flag” is noticed, it’s too late to avoid the impending consequences of the warning. Whether a manager is interviewing candidates for an open sales territory, interacting with a key customer, or making a critical business decision, their ability to recognize subtle indicators or signals that serve as warnings to potential undesirable future consequences is critical. Additionally, they must also have the discipline not to ignore them. There is no such thing as a “red-flag”, only “tiny corners on HUGE Red-Banners”. In other words, it is the small, subtle, trivial and trifling occurrences that managers often disregard that reveal the imminent consequences to come. Northern Illinois University MISSED OR IGNORED Everybody sees things, observes things, knows things or learns things that deserve to be addressed during the decision making process. Wise decisions are based upon a combination of data, analysis, intuition, wisdom, experience, and judgment. Making good decisions involves being patient enough to collect the necessary information, being humble enough to ask for other people’s opinions and thoughts and before making the decision. In spite of the tremendous effort sales manager’s place upon making good decisions, no one is ever right all the time; it’s the percentage of times they are correct over time that matters. Apart from our good intentions, why do we as managers miss or even ignore the subtleties that potentially lead to poor outcomes? When an undesirable outcome presents itself, sales managers often ask themselves “why didn’t I see that coming?” And, “how did I not know thus and so?” The incongruity is that many sales managers admit to identifying a potential predictor of the outcome they are now experiencing, however at the time, they decided to overlook and ignore it. Thus, the infamous statements “I knew it” and “I should’ve known” Application Article are uttered from the mouths of many sales managers. Remembering a small clue, recalling a comment voiced, or replaying a situation observed all predicted the outcome, however it was either missed or ignored. One of the most common causes of missed clues is lack of patience-being in a hurry. Let’s face it; most sales managers are reactionary and busy, causing them not to take the time to explore details and determine what the source of a problem or situation is really. Additionally, sales managers are rarely aware of personal biases that may affect their decision making. Individual beliefs, opinions and attitudes can easily cause a manager to fail to notice very important indicators of a future outcome. Lastly, sales managers fall into the trap of wanting to do it all themselves and won’t ask for help. Being humble enough to ask for other people’s opinions and thoughts takes courage, especially for newer managers. SIMPLE YET COMMON EXAMPLES What follows are some actual examples of missed or ignored “tiny corners” (warnings) and their outcomes. Our first example is the Sales Director who conducted a final interview for one of his Sales Manager’s candidates. Aside from her arriving thirty minutes late for the meeting, the candidate was a perfect match regarding her skills, competencies and knowledge of the market. Six months after joining the organization, a consistent pattern of being late for appointments with customers, arriving late for company meetings, and multiple overdue assignments began to surface. The company began to lose customers due to her poor follow up; her peers began to distance themselves from her as she was perceived as not being committed to the team, and late assignments caused financial challenges for the Summer 2009 37 organization due to their budgetary impact. Was her late arrival for the final interview a key indicator of what was to follow? Did the Sales Director miss an opportunity to dig deeper into a seemingly small occurrence? Hey c’mon, traffic was terrible on the way to the interview and a few minutes late is no big deal. In addition, let’s not discount how incredible her resume, skills, and market knowledge were. In a separate example, let’s consider a “day in the field” that a Sales Manager experienced with one of her Sales Representatives. In preparation for their day together, the Sales Manager reviewed the typical key performance indicators for her representative. The rep’s call averages were above the national level, he was falling short of his sales quota but for the past six months he was logging in a lot of sales calls with customers, and he was very responsive to his manager fulfilling all her requests. The sales manager was eager to spend the day with her representative, as she hoped to meet some of their key customers, learn more about the local market, and identify some coaching and development opportunities for her representative. The sales manager was somewhat puzzled by her observations of the representative after spending the morning in the field,. It was after lunch and they had only met with two customers. They had stopped at numerous customer locations, however the client’s were either unavailable, not in that day, or had a strict policy that no vendors were allowed. Additionally, the two customers they did visit were behaving as if they didn’t know the sales representative well at all. At the end of the day, the manager chose to provide the sales representative with some book references to assist him in “how to see tough customers”, and also a popular resource on “time management”. Vol. 9, No. 3 38 Journal of Selling & Major Account Management Her representative was very open to the coaching and was appreciative to receive the resources. Nevertheless, on her way home that evening, the sales manager remained slightly bothered by her observations, but convinced herself that it was the Holiday season and customers tend to have unpredictable office hours. Additionally, she reminded herself that her representative was meeting his required call objectives, and was very responsive to her requests. Three months later, the sales representative’s sales performance was approaching the lowest in the region. The corporate office had received several phone calls from customers stating that they had not seen a representative in quite some time and were requesting a visit. With a little exploration, it turned out that the representative was not completely committed to their job, was working partial days, and was spending most of his time interviewing with other companies. Upon reflection, were there clues or “tiny corners” on a much larger red-banner the manager could have explored during the field visit? She accurately observed many indications that could have predicted portions of the outcome; however she chose to ignore them. POSSIBLE REMEDIES What can sales managers do to minimize and avoid late identification of “red-flags”? There are dozens of sales manager competencies that offer an answer. Four key remedies were discussed that have helped coach sales managers for better decision making and to improve their ability to foresee future outcomes. Again, the goal is to learn how to recognize and address subtle warning signs, or what we affectionately refer to as “tiny corners on HUGE RedBanners”. Northern Illinois University 1. Know your own prejudices. Be careful not to play favorites which can cause you to decide quickly in one area. You must be clear and honest with yourself about your mind-set, opinions, preconceptions and favorite solutions. 2. Avoid common errors in judgment. Stay away from stating things as facts that are really beliefs or conjecture. Don’t “generalize” from a single example without knowing if that single example does generalize. In other words, gather more data. 3. Don’t make the mistake of hiring the best person from a poor pool of candidates. If the entire pool of candidates is below your standard, start over with another group of candidates. This is an especially difficult decision when the manager is under time pressure to fill a long term vacancy. 4. Don’t ignore that little voice in your head telling you something isn’t right. Effective managers balance between waiting and doing. Be patient. While many in management put a premium on doing over waiting. Don’t be inclined to jump to solutions based on what has worked in the past. That little voice is there for a reason. FINAL THOUGHTS A so called “red flag” is a cue, warning or signal that something is wrong. Pilots have gauges and indicators in the cockpit to inform them of impending dangers. Physicians use EKGs to notify them of future cardiac troubles. Homeowners rely on smoke detectors and carbon monoxide detectors to prevent life threatening situations. In sales management, there are signs that help us to avoid dangers, the dilemma is that we may choose to ignore them or miss them entirely. Can you imagine what Academic Article Summer 2009 39 would happen if a pilot were to ignore his instrument panel? Or if a patient’s heart monitor started to alarm and the physician didn’t hear it. Making sales managers aware of the four simple actions they can take can help them identify the early signs or “tiny corners” that are often found on “HUGE Red-Banners”. They must know their own prejudices, resist generalizing without enough information, and be sure to listen to that little voice in your head. It’s there for a reason. As for hiring, remember that you are hiring someone to make your business stronger. So if you’re not adding someone to the top of your team, but rather to the middle or bottom, you’ve not helped yourself at all. You’ve only filled your vacancy. John F. Riggs, MBA Doctoral Candidate, Kennesaw State University 610ksudba@comcast.net (770) 841-2692 Jon Adams 32 years, Pharmaceutical Sales Management Executive wcfarm@aol.com Vol. 9, No. 3