01 1723 EST Mar 04
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
DRAFT
WORKING PAPERS
Iraq Status
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
This briefing is classified
UNCLASSIFIED
Derived from: Multiple Sources
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
01 1723 EST Mar 04
Highlights
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
CPA Priorities:
• Essential Services
• Security
• Governance
• Economy
• Strategic Communications
CPA Intermediate Objectives:
• Reconstitute electric power infrastructure
• Reconstruct the telecom system
• Draft "Transitional Administrative Law"
• Build financial market structures
• Increase professionalism of TV staff
Weekly Highlights:
• Iraqi Governing Council passed its Transitional Administrative Law
on 01 Mar
• On 15 Feb peak production hit a high point of 4,324 MW; seven-day
average (14-20 Feb) peak electricity production was 4,199 MW
• Since May 03, CPA has reinstated telephone service for 91,800
subscribers, including 24,500 (a 36 percent increase) since last week
• Tax Strategy of 2004 signed and will go into effect 01 Apr
• Civic Education Campaign activities encourage Iraqi ownership of
the transition & political process
2
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
01 1723 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Electricity Overview
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
Goal June 04: 6,000 MW Peak Production Capacity
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
3,948
3,582
Oct 03
Nov 03
3,427
3,758
4,134
Dec 03
Jan 04
Feb 04
Jan 04 Plan
Actual (Average)
Mar 04
Apr 04
May 04
Jun 04
O
F • Ambassador Bremer approved a new increase plan on 14 Jan to
prevent current project delays from impacting the goal of 6,000 MW
by 01 Jun
D
E
F • CPA Autumn Maintenance Program began Oct 03 is transitioning
E into the Spring program throughout Feb and has resulted in 879 MW
N in scheduled maintenance losses on average over the past week.
S
Unscheduled generator maintenance continues with 715 MW out of
E service
N/P Data as of 26 Feb
3
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
01 1723 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Power Production
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
Total Country
(weekly average)
MW
June 2004 Goal
6000
October 2003 Goal
5000
4000
3000
3641
3252
4009
4000
4153
23-29 Jan
30 Jan 05 Feb
05 Feb 12 Feb
3826
3482
3583
1-6 Jan
7-14 Jan
4271
4148
2000
18-24 Dec 25-31 Dec
15-22 Jan
13 Feb 19 Feb
20 Feb 26 Feb
By Region
MW
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
Pre-War
2,100
1,675 1,700
1,200
2330
2,300
Current
2350
1,189
500
922
600
1320
01 Oct 03 Goal
01 Jun Goal
North
North
N/P Data as of 26 Feb
South
Central
4
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Hours of Power
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
80 MW
10 Hrs
383 MW
12 Hrs
= 8 Hrs = Red
Tamim
N/P
= 16 Hrs = Green
No Report
Percent Change (7 Day)
Salah Ad Din
202 MW
11 Hrs
Anbar
Dyala
Baghdad
85 MW
12 Hrs
Duhok
0.3%
Naynawa
1.0%
Baghdad
1300 MW
13 Hrs
Tamim
81 MW
14 Hrs
-0.5%
-2.0%
Wasit
Babil
Karbala 93 MW
An Najaf
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
8 to 16 Hrs =Amber
Arbil
16 Hrs
137 MW Sulaymaniyah
12 Hrs
196 MW
16 Hrs
183 MW
14 Hrs
O
F
AVERAGE HOURS OF
ELECTRICITY AVAILABLE TO
RESIDENTS
Dahok
Naynawa
01 1723 EST Mar 04
Salah Ad Din
87 MW
12 Hrs
11 Hrs
Qadisiyah
Misan
51 MW
12 Hrs
55 MW
14 Hrs
Dhi Qar
81 MW
13 Hrs
87 MW
12 Hrs
Muthanna
Muthanna
Anbar
-2.1%
Dyala
-8.6%
Babil
-2.4%
Kirbala
-7.2%
Basrah
Najaf
285 MW
24 Hrs
Qadisiyah
39
MW
10 Hrs
38 MW
12
Hrs
-10.4%
2.3%
Wasit
-2.9%
Muthanna
-4.5%
Dhi Qar
Average Electrical Power Distribution per Governorate
as of 20 Feb
Data as of 26 Feb
5
4.0%
Misan
Basrah
0.0%
-3.5%
-0.7%
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
01 1723 EST Mar 04
Crude Oil Production
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
Millions of Barrels Per Day (MBPD)
3.00
Current Goal: 2.0 MBPD
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
1-7 Jan
8-14 Jan
15-21 Jan
22-28 Jan
29 Jan - 4 Feb
Production
5-11 Feb
12-19 Feb
Target
WEEKLY AVERAGE OF 2.196 MBPD EXCEEDS TARGET OF 2.0 MBPD
• Long Term Target (Dec 04): 2.8-3.0 MBPD (Pre-War Capacity)
• Pre-War Peak: 2.5 MBPD in Mar 03
• Post-war Peak: 2.484 MBPD on 06 Jan
• Weekly average of crude exports: 1.35 MBPD
6
20-26 Feb
01 1723 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Diesel Production
20.0
O
F
Current Goal: 18.0 M Liters
18.0
Millions of Liters Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
0.0
1-7 Jan
8-14 Jan
15-21 Jan
22-28 Jan
29 Jan - 4 Feb
Production
Import
5-11 Feb
12-19 Feb
Target
• This week’s average production and imports are 82% of goal
7
20-26 Feb
01 1723 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Kerosene Production
20.0
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
O
F
4.0
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
0.0
1-7 Jan
N/P
Current Goal: 18.0 M Liters
18.0
Millions of Liters Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
2.0
8-14 Jan
15-21 Jan
22-28 Jan
Production
29 Jan - 4 Feb
Import
5-11 Feb
12-19 Feb
Target
• This week’s average production and imports are 64% of goal
8
20-26 Feb
01 1723 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Gasoline / Benzene Production
20.0
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
Current Goal: 18.0 M Liters
18.0
Millions of Liters Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
1-7 Jan
8-14 Jan
15-21 Jan
22-28 Jan
Production
29 Jan - 4 Feb
Import
5-11 Feb
12-19 Feb
Target
• This week’s average production and imports are 89% of goal
9
20-26 Feb
01 1723 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Liquefied Petroleum Gas Production
7000
Current Goal: 5,500 Tons
6000
Tons Per Day
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
5000
4000
3000
2000
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
1000
0
1-7 Jan
8-14 Jan
15-21 Jan
22-28 Jan
29 Jan - 4 Feb
Production
Import
5-11 Feb
12-19 Feb
Target
• This week’s average production and imports are 80% of goal
10
20-26 Feb
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
01 1723 EST Mar 04
Essential Services - Education
• International scholars in civic education from Czech Republic, Estonia,
D
Egypt, Latvia, South Africa, and US shared their experience with Iraqis
E
during a conference in Baghdad on civic education
P
A • 11,000 teachers throughout Iraq graduated from high school teacher training
programs on 16 Feb
R
T
– Total of 33,000 teachers and 3,000 supervisors have been trained in
instructional practices and classroom management strategies
M
E • US State Department Fulbright Office added two new programs for Iraqis:
N
– Fulbright American Studies Scholarship – post-graduate level seminars to
T
promote development and improvement of courses and teaching about
the United States at colleges and universities abroad
O
– The Fulbright Foreign Language Teaching Assistant (FLTA) Scholarship F
refine teaching skills and extend knowledge of the culture and customs of
the United States
D
E
CPA Education Objective: Improve Quality and Access to Education
F
• Reorganize and staff the Ministry of Education
E
• Rehabilitate school buildings and build new schools
N
S
• Advance national dialog on curriculum reform
E
• Continue and expand teacher training
N/P
11
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
01 1723 EST Mar 04
Essential Services – Healthcare
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
• Hundreds of Iraqi physicians attended Iraqi Medical Specialty
Forum presented by IGC, CPA, CJTF-7 and USAID
– Distributed 15,000 medical journals from American Medical
Association
– 25 papers from Iraqi doctors presented
• USAID delivered first of 600 Primary Heath Care Kits to Al Andalous
Clinic in Ramadi (Al Anbar governorate)
– Kits contain 58 types of medical supplies, including basic
medical equipment, office furniture, and laboratory equipment
– Al Andalous Clinic serves over 28,000 people and is being used
to assess and modify the health care kit delivery process
CPA Health Care Objective: Improve Quality and Access to Health Care
• Develop health care organizations, management, and infrastructure
• Train health care professionals
• Pharmaceuticals logistic support
• Secure system
• Public health
12
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
01 1723 EST Mar 04
Essential Services – Healthcare (cont)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
• USAID I-HELP Small Grants Program is building capacity of Iraqi health
care providers
– Grants awarded in rural and urban areas around the cities of Baghdad,
Al Basrah, Mosul, Al Kut, and An Nasiriyah
• In Feb, 800 tons of high protein biscuits were delivered to 15 Governorates
for distribution to malnourished children and pregnant and nursing
mothers
– Survival of Iraqi children is expected to improve as children under five
years of age receive better nutrition
– Another 160 containers with 6,400 tons of high protein biscuits will be
delivered before the end of Mar
• Ministry of Health (MOH) concluded 3 health forums in Baghdad to discuss
health sector reform
– Groups developed requirements for public health, healthcare delivery
systems, finance, information systems, education and training, human
resources, licenses and credentials, legislation and regulation, and
pharmaceuticals and medical supplies
– Results of discussions and surveys will be incorporated into the overall
strategy for health sector reform
13
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
01 1723 EST Mar 04
Essential Services – Water
D • The Kerkh wastewater treatment plant will be brought back online by 01 Mar,
benefiting 1.4 million Baghdad residents
E
P • Sewage treatment plants are being restored to full capacity in Baghdad and
A
when complete will serve more than 3.5 million Iraqis
R
– Rustimiyah North & South Plants will be rehabilitated by Oct with USAID
T
assistance
M
– Currently, none of Baghdad’s sewage goes through treatment before it is
E
dumped into the Tigris River
N
T • The renovation of the Sweet Water Canal’s sediment retention reservoir
system—a three-month effort—is nearly finished
O
– 98% of the silt in the Canal’s east settling reservoir has been removed
F
– USAID is rehabilitating the entire Sweet Water Canal system of southern
D
Iraq, restoring potable water to 1.75 million residents of Al Basrah area
E • Total system volume for the 7 large reservoirs throughout Iraq is about 82%
F
of volume expected at this time of year
E
– Total volume is low due to excessive releases from Dokan and
N
Derbendikhan reservoirs for electricity generation
S
E
N/P
14
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
01 1723 EST Mar 04
Essential Services – Food Security
D • New procurement by the World Food
Food commodity sources to
Program (WFP) and the Ministry of Trade
E
meet ration requirements over
(MoT)
being
accelerated
to
eliminate
food
P
the next 5 months:
shortages
A
Existing Oil for Food (OFF)
R • Future procurement plans by WFP & MoT
contracts carried over from UN
will ensure food procurement goals are
T
will supply most commodities
achieved
M
through April into May
E • Unconfirmed commodities contracts have
N
decreased 24 percent in the last week:
New WFP ration procurement
T
from 741,000 tons to 561,000 metric tons
commenced this week
of goods
O • USAID is executing agriculture income
MoT procurement begun as a
F
generation programs which are creating
“pilot” in February
new jobs and improving agricultural
D
yields in Iraq
E
F
CPA Food Security Objective: Provide Food Security for all Iraqis
E
Enhance capacity of Ministry of Agriculture • Assure supply of inputs • Strengthen
N
research system • Ensure adequate stocks for Public Distribution System (PDS) •
S
Monitor food security • Hand over administration of system in the North • Initiate
E
reform of rations basket • Environmental Initiatives
N/P
15
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
01 1723 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Essential Services – Food Security (cont.)
N/P
50.0%
40.0%
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
16
To
tal
So
De ap
ter
ge
nt
Inf
an
Sa
tF
W
lt
or
ea
nin mul
a
g
Ce
rea
ls
M
ilk
Pu
lse
s
Gh
ee
/O
il
Su
ga
r
Opening Stocks 1 FEB 2004
Te
a
0.0%
Ri
ce
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
60.0%
Na
tio
na
lW
he
Fo
at
rei
gn
W
he
at
O
F
month of Jul on
hand and an
additional
three-month
buffer stock on
hand
Source: CPA Food Security Team
D • Percent of estimated requirements on hand for 12 public distribution goods
E
received under the Public Distribution System (PDS) until the end of Jun
P
• Percent of estimated requirements includes opening stocks (amount on
A
hand) and scheduled arrivals of goods from MoT / WFP contracts
R
T
PDS Stocks as a Percentage of Total Requirements from
FEB – 31 JUL (including 3 month buffer)
M • Requirements
90.0%
for transition
E
80.0%
include having
N
70.0%
the entire
T
Scheduled Arrivals Under Existing Contracts
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
01 1723 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Essential Services – Telecommunications
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
– Baghdad: 65,000
– Basra: 25,000
Active (APR 03)
Baghdad
Active subscribers (FEB 04)
0
2000
9650
0
9450
0
0
5200
0
6200
North
1530
00
1530
00
8660
0
1499
00
4350
00
2851
00
Telephone Subscribers in Iraq
1480
00
1418
00
D • Cell phone companies
continue to sign up new 500,000
E
subscribers (excluding 3 450,000
P
Northern governorates): 400,000
350,000
A
– Since May 03, 91,800 300,000
R
telephone subscribers 250,000
T
200,000
reinstated
150,000
M
– 24,500 (36% increase) 100,000
E
since last week
50,000
N
0
– Mosul-SulaymaniyahT
Kirkuk: 110,000
South Central
South
Reinstated Post Conflict
Out of service
Source: CPA Senior Advisor to the Minister of Communications
Iraqi Telephone and Postal Company [ITPC]
CPA Communications Objective: Reconstruct Communications and Postal Systems
• Build Iraq’s first responder network
• Establish independent regulatory agency
• Upgrade Iraqi Telephone and Postal Company (ITPC) network for interoperability
• Build transmission component data network for Iraq, including int’l gateways
• Restructure ITPC and its business operations
• Upgrade and modernize postal systems
• Upgrade ITPC outside plant for increased subscriber capacity and use
17
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
01 1723 EST Mar 04
Essential Services – Telecommunications (cont)
Percentage of Operational Telephone Subscribers
D • Percent of current
(Baseline April 03)
100%
operational telephone
E
100%
98%
96%
subscribers compared to
P
80%
number of active
A
subscribers in Apr 03
60%
66%
R
– Percent of active
T
40%
subscribers in Baghdad
M
20%
increased by 6% over
E
last week
N
0%
T • Currently 874,400
North
Baghdad
South Central
South
telephone subscribers
% Operational (compared to APR 03 subscribers)
(including
200k
cell
phone
O
subscribers)
Source: CPA Sr. Advisor to MoC, ITPC
F
– Exceeds number of
prewar active
D
subscribers
E
F • As of 20 Feb, 8,087 frequencies were registered or assigned within Iraq
E
for Non-Coalition users (covering uses such as satellite links for news
N
agencies, land mobile radios for the Iraqi Armed Forces or Security
S
Forces, radio stations transmissions, and communications for Air
E
Traffic Control towers)
N/P
18
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
01 1723 EST Mar 04
Essential Services – Transportation
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
• After being significantly delayed by late equipment deliveries,
installation of the Iraqi Republic Railway’s (IRR) new VHF radio
network is now progressing rapidly
– To date, radios have been installed in 36 locomotives, including
all of the active Baghdad-based units
• The first two of thirty new Ukrainian-built mainline diesel-electric
locomotives acquired under the UN Oil-for-Food Project arrived this
past week in Baghdad
• On 14 Feb, the IRR delivered 4,000 tons of Syrian grain to Mosul,
O
Taji, and Dora
F
• Ministry of Transportation appointed a new Director-General and
deputy Director-General to replace the management at the Iraqi Ports
D
Company for delaying the disbursement of salaries
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
• After additional last-minute repairs and sea trials, the ship Saif Saad
of the Iraqi dredging fleet is expected to resume dredging by end of
Feb
19
UNCLASSIFIED
01 1723 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Security Forces
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
On Duty
(Partially
Trained)
On Payroll
Required
(Untrained)
On Duty
In-Training
(Fully Qualified)
TOTAL
Iraqi Border Police
8,814
0
8,259
0
0
8,259
Dept of Border
Enforcement
16,892
0
9,873
0
0
9,873
Iraqi Police Service
75,000
54,270
20,299
2,718
4,565
81,852
Iraqi Civil Defense Corps
40,000
0
0
2,352
31,047
Iraqi Armed Forces (IAF)
40,000
0
0
2,035
2,273
4,308
Facilities Protection
Service (Ministries &
MSCs)
96,633
0
0
73,937
0
73,937
277, 339
28,695
(OJT Continuous)
208,830
As of 29 Feb 04
20
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
01 1723 EST Mar 04
AMMO / Explosives / Weapons Captured (Monthly)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
Captured AMMO &
Explosives
Assembled IEDs
RPG rounds, Grenades
MANPAD rounds
Mortar, Artillery, Rocket
Rounds
Mines
Pounds of Explosives
Anti-Aircraft rounds
Captured Weapons
RPG Launchers
MANPAD Launchers
Small Arms
Crew Served Weapons
Data as of 29 Feb
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
317
2,330
63
248
2,120
53
221
5,661
66
234
7174
206
17,689
11,452
17,164
22,935
124
3,200
347,875
1,154
2,902
93,936
396
3,393
210,270
2,863
2,426
1,695
629
21
946
84
441
23
1,698
110
820
73
2,389
40
301
45
1,149
173
21
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
01 1723 EST Mar 04
Stability Contributors
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
P
Countries with forces in Iraq
34
Albania
Australia
Azerbaijan
Bulgaria
Czech Rep
Denmark
Dom Rep
El Salvador
Estonia
Georgia
Honduras
Hungary
Italy
Japan
Kazakhstan
Korea
Latvia
Data as of 26 Feb
Countries considering decision
to provide forces for Iraq
TOTAL ~24K
Lithuania
Macedonia
Moldova
Mongolia
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Philippines
Poland
Portugal
Romania
Singapore
Slovakia
Spain
Thailand
Ukraine
UK
6
TOTAL TBD
40 Countries
Potentially Supporting
Iraqi Stability and
Humanitarian Relief
22
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
01 1723 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Governance – Democracy Building
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
• Iraqi Governing Council passed the Transitional
Administrative Law (TAL) on 01 Mar
Provincial Councils Refreshment
• TAL will serve as Iraq’s interim constitution
between 30 Jun handover of sovereignty and
completion of a permanent constitution by a
directly elected parliament
• TAL includes a historic Bill of Rights that is
unprecedented for Iraq and the region
– Guarantees basic rights of all Iraqis,
including freedom of religion and worship,
the right to free expression, to peacefully
assemble, to organize political parties, and
to form and join unions
• Also guarantees the right to peacefully
demonstrate and strike, to vote, to a fair trial,
and to be treated equally under the law
• Discrimination based on gender, nationality,
religion, or origin is strictly prohibited
• GC will hold formal signing ceremony on
Wednesday, 03 March
• TAL will NOT be released to the public in its
entirety until signing ceremony
23
Refreshment to become more representative
of population than when originally created
Provincial Council refreshed
Refreshment in process
Not included
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
01 1723 EST Mar 04
Governance – National Transition
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
2003
N/P
New agreement between CPA and GC on transition process
Mar 1
Drafting and approval of Transitional Administrative Law
Mar 31
Bilateral security agreements
May 31
(Under review) Selections to Transitional National Assembly
Jul 1
Interim government assumes full sovereign powers for
governing Iraq; Design of “caretaker” government to be
determined with participation of CPA, GC, and United Nations
Mar 15
(Under review) Elections to constitutional convention
Dec 31
(Under review) Constitutional ratification
and national elections
2004
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
Nov 15
2005
New Government Assumes Power
24
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
01 1723 EST Mar 04
Economics – Financial Market Structures
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
• 2004 Tax Strategy goes into effect 01 April
– Maximum 15 percent income tax on corporations and individuals
• The Iraqi Governing Council’s Finance Committee has adopted both
the new Company Law and the 2004 Trade Liberalization Policy
• Financial Management Information System (FMIS) went online 16 Feb
at the Ministry of Finance
– Provides automated, networked accounting and budget execution
system with online access and real-time, updated centralized
database for all spending organizations in Iraq
• The Iraq Stock Exchange is expected to open next month
• World Trade Organization (WTO) unanimously conferred “observer
status” upon Iraq
– Step toward WTO membership
– Allows Iraq to attend all WTO committee meetings and to qualify
for special training and assistance
CPA Economic Objective: Commence Reform of Tax System
• Reform tax rates
25
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
01 1723 EST Mar 04
Economics – Currency & Banking
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
• An Iraqi bank is reviewing the largest loan to an Iraqi company since the
beginning of the conflict
• As of 19 Feb the balance in the Development Fund for Iraq (DFI) was $8.4
billion
– Total payments out of DFI amount to $4 billion
– DFI investment program has earned $12M in interest
• Seven grants, a total of $394,000, were approved 23 Feb under USAID’s
Agriculture Reconstruction and Development Program for Iraq (ARDI) to
build the capacity of Iraq’s agriculture sector
• As of 20 Feb Iraq’s two large state-owned commercial banks, Rafidain and
Rasheed, have extended dollar loans totaling $8.9 million, a 49 percent
increase over the dollar loan amount extended as of 30 Nov 03
CPA Economic Objective: Build Financial Market Structures
• Modernize the Central Bank
• Commercial Banking System
• Re-establish Baghdad Stock Exchange
• Restructure National Debt
26
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
01 1723 EST Mar 04
Economics – Currency & Banking (cont)
N/P
Date
# banks
Amount sold
Auction price
participating
or bought (dinars per dollar)
16-Feb
13
$7.735 million
1,400
17-Feb
14
$11.310 million
1,425
19-Feb
14
$13 million
1,415
2000
1800
1600
1400
1200
Old Saddam Rate (10K per $)
27
1/
3/
20
04
1/
10
/2
00
4
1/
17
/2
00
4
1/
24
/2
00
4
1/
31
/2
00
4
2/
7/
20
04
2/
14
/2
00
4
New Iraqi Dinars (NID) per US $1
Exchange Rate Movements
2200
11
/22
/20
03
11
/29
/20
03
12
/6
/2
00
3
12
/13
/20
03
12
/20
/20
03
12
/27
/20
03
D • The Currency
Auction was
E
developed and is
P
operated by the
A
Central Bank of Iraq
R
(CBI)
T
M • At the New Iraqi
dinar (NID) auction
E
on 19 Feb the
N
settlement price
T
was 1,415 dinars
per dollar, the same
O
as it was the
F
previous day, and
the value of dollars
D
sold was nearly $13
E
million
F
E • During the past
week, the NID held
N
its value against the
S
U.S. dollar
E
Street Market Price
Settlement Price (Auction)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
01 1723 EST Mar 04
Economics – Other Developments
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
• Ministry of Planning announced unemployment rate of 28 percent and
underemployment rate of 21.6 percent, for a total of 49.6 percent
under/unemployed
• Increase in the Consumer Price Index for 2003 was 33.6 percent
• CJTF-7 C-9 estimates that CPA has created 434,896 jobs for Iraqis
– National Employment Program: 108,433 (Public Works)
– Security / National Defense: 210,495
– CJTF-7: 50,473
– Civilian contractors working under CPA contracts: 61,415
– Governorate Teams: 1,380
CPA Economic Objective: Develop Framework for Sound Public Sector
Finances and Resource Allocation
• Increase Capacity of Ministries of Finance and Planning to Manage Public
Resources
• Increase International Coordination to Manage Foreign Assistance
CPA Economic Objective: Pursue National Strategy for Human Resources
Development
• Begin work to employ 100,000 workers in Public Works programs around the
country
UNCLASSIFIED
28
UNCLASSIFIED
01 1723 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Program Management Office (PMO)
6 Jan
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
d
se
a
e
l
Re
s
P
RF
21 Jan
ce
en
r
fe
on
C
’s
er
d
d
Bi
22 Jan
l
ta
en ed IA)
em rd N
pl wa –
p
u tA E
tS c E
ri s ntra FC
F o (A
C
Mid-March
Visit Governorates (Late
Jan through April)
$M Committed
k
or
W
t
ar
St
Non- Construction Procurement
by 01 Jul 04
Construction Tasks Committed
by 01 Jul 04
Sector
ed
rd
a
Aw
ts
c
ra
nt
o
C
Mid-April
Sector
$M Committed
• Oil
$ 865
• Oil Infrastructure
$
836
• Electrical
$1,993
• Electrical
$
86
• Security / Justice
$ 749
• Security and Law Enforcement
$ 2,308
• Water / PW
$ 722
• Justice and Public Safety
$
540
• Trans / Comm
$ 367
• Democracy
$
458
• Bldgs / Educ / Health
$ 371
• Water Resources and Sanitation
$
139
• Trans / Comm
$
234
• Roads, Bridges, & Construction
$
3
• Private Sector Development
$
131
• Educ, Refugees, & Human Rights
$
247
Total
$5,067 Million
24 February 2004 - Status
PMO Web-site Portal operational:
www.rebuilding-iraq.net
Total
29
$ 5,307 Million
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
01 1723 EST Mar 04
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
Program Management Office (PMO)
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
Sector
2207
Report
24 February 2004 - Status
Apportioned
Committed
Obligated
* Security and Law Enforcement
3,243
2332.7
766.8
263.7
Electricity Sector
5,560
1683.1
1264.8
428.2
Oil Infrastructure
1,701
1600.0
766.2
4
Justice, Public Safety, and Civil Society
(less democracy)
560
560.9
Democracy
458
458.0
99.2
21.4
99
74
32.6
Education, Refugees, Human Rights,
Governance
280
138.5
Roads, Bridges, and Construction
370
119.3
0
0
Health Care
793
330.0
0
0
Transportation and Telecommunications
500
164.0
60.3
0
Water Resources and Sanitation
4,332
496.2
18
18
Private Sector Development
184
64.5
.2
0
TOTAL
18,439
7947.2
3107.1
836.4
CONSTRUCTION
12,611
3950
1746.6
595.8
5,370
3539.2
1261.5
166.6
458
458
99
74
18,439
7947.2
3107.1
836.4
NON-CONSTRUCTION
DEMOCRACY
Total
30
27.1
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DRAFT WORKING PAPERS
01 1723 EST Mar 04
Strategic Communication
D
E
P
A
R
T
M
E
N
T
O
F
D
E
F
E
N
S
E
N/P
• USAID supports CPA
objectives through the Civic
Education Campaign (CEP)
• The design of the CEP is
based on five principles:
– Programs must be
engaged with ongoing
political activity and
themes relevant to citizens’
daily lives
– A positive impact is
dependent on repeated
interaction and active
participation
– A positive impact is
created by educating a
community, not individuals
– Training of trainers crucial
for sustained impact
– Gender issues are vital to
citizen engagement
Getting the message out:
Civic Education Campaign activities are being supported to
help encourage Iraqi ownership of the transition & political
process. These activities include:
Public events: to raise the visibility of the transition, increase
public understanding & engage people in the political process
National agenda dialogues: help specific audiences create
a political and social agenda that can be promoted among
local and national political leaders and the general population.
Media: will be addressed to help create an informed cadre of
professional journalists that can effectively relay accurate
information & encourage participation through innovative and
attractive civic education programs.
Civic dialogue efforts for public officials: facilitate
interactive discussions between local government officials on
civic themes such as accountability.
Civil society organization development: activities build
institutional capacity among local organizations to engage in
dialogue, educate citizens, & conduct information campaigns.
Public information: provide citizens with facts about the
political process & info about the democratic environment.
31
UNCLASSIFIED