Phase/Actor Disaggregated Butterworth-Scranton Codebook by Lee Farris H.R. Alker, Jr. Kathleen Carley Frank L. Sherman cc1~ - Phase/Actor Disaggregated Butterworth-Scranton Codebook by Lee Farris H.R. Alker, Jr. Kathleen Carley Frank L. Sherman ( '.7 4N NOTE Throughout this codebook Managing Interstate Conflict, 1945-74 by unpublished research memoranda 1945-74: with Margaret Data with to an earlier study Robert Lyle entitled Butterworth with We are indebted to them for the use of both their Margaret E. Scranton. Butterworth we refer E. Scranton, Synopses International Studies, and their published volume: 1976). Managing Interstate (Pittsburgh, PA: University Robert Lyle Conflict, Center for 4 Table of Contents Variable # 4 Definitions I. DATASET 1: 7 Case Overview Case Context Relevant Preceeding,Coincident and Subsequent Cases Management Evaluation II. Page 001 003 7 7 011 8 12 DATASET 2: Phase Specific Information 020 062 062 12 12 12 086 110 130 150 170 180 15 16 17 18 19 20 Cessation of Conflictual Actions by Primary Parties on Side A Primary Parties on Side B Secondary Parties on Side A Secondary Parties on Side B Primary Parties on Sides A & B Secondary Parties on Sides A & B 190 210 230 250 270 280 21 22 23 24 25 26 Cooperative Actions by Primary Parties on Side A Primary Parties on Side B Primary Parties on Sides A & B 290 295 300 27 27 27 General Phase Information: Type of Conflict, Fatality, "Causes," etc. 310 29 DATASET 3: Referral Description 350 34 DATASET 4: Conflict Management Agents 380 37 DATASET 5: Management Agent Actions 400 41 Phase Structure Overview Actors General Actor Information Conflictual Actions by Primary Parties on Side A Secondary Parties on Side A Primary Parties on Side B Secondary Parties on Side B Primary Parties on Sides A & B Secondary Parties on Sides A & B III. IV. V. 4-1980 2 VI. VII. VIII. IX. X. 4-1980 Appendix I: List of Actors/Agents 43 Appendix II: Cox-Jacobson Scale 47 Appendix III: Table Depicting the Congruence Between the FACS Phase/Actor Disaggregated Codebook Variables and the ButterworthScranton MIC Variables 48 Appendix IV: Flowchart Illustrating the Coding Process of the FACS Phase/Actor Disaggregated Codebook 52 Appendix V: Protocols/Decisions 53 3 Some Definitions for the Phase/Actor Disaggregated Butterworth-Scranton Codebook Dispute -- occurring conflict an interstate political/security did not issues that since 1945; excluded are domestic directly lead to interstate conflict, and more general or diffuse antagonisms, such as the Cold War, except where it gives rise to specific disputes. (Butterworth, MIC, p. 3) There should be significant continuity in the core judiciable issues and core actors, although these the dispute. can change somewhat during the course of is a significant major change in however, there If, are issues or actors involved, or actions either the taken that change the issues significantly, then in most considered to instances a new and separate dispute is exist. Case -- a by the conflict management problem, as adjudged international community at the time of the dispute. A "case" may not correspond exactly to a "dispute," dispute party to the when (1) a particularly substantially redefines its original goals and policies, or (2) several disputes are treated as one management problem. (Butterworth, MIC, p. 3) Conflict Management -initiatives by any actor who achieves access to the parties and the issues, and which are designed to prevent the dispute from escalating in hostility, duration, or spread. Actor -- either (1) a recognized sovereign state (such as France); (2) a high-level interest group capable of significant political action (such as the Palestine Liberation Organization); (3) an international organization (such as the UN); or (4) a transnational organization (such as that is involved with a dispute and somewhat ITT) -able to affect the course of the dispute. An actor can be a primary or secondary party to the dispute, or a management agent, or sometimes both an agent and a secondary party. those antagonists around whom the Primary Party to the Dispute -issues revolve and who act directly and overtly against the opposing side in the dispute (such as by sending troops to fight), and cited by Butterworth as such. 4-1980 4 -- an actor whose actions are Secondary Party to the Dispute primarily facilitative of the primary party's actions toward the opposing side. Actions may be indirect and must be vigorous time, but the covert at and/or symbolic diplomatic support beyond the level of simply (such as by sending military or economic aid). Management Agent -any actor except a primary party conflict management (see above). engaged in Continuity of Actor Activity -- an actor or party continues in the information until definite started in, role it same indicates that it withdraws, changes roles, or switches sides. one allied group term distinguishing a Side A and B -antagonists from the group conflicting with it. of in the Butterworth MIC synopses Relevant Case -- a case mentioned to the actors and issues related in terms of as being case under consideration. Phase -- one of five levels of disagreement and conflict; a given dispute may pass (repeatedly) through one or more of the and Amelia (Lincoln P. Bloomfield See below. phases. Alfred Knopf, (N.Y.: Wars Small C. Leiss, Controlling 1970). Dispute Phase (I) -- a quarrel or disagreement claimed by at least substantive international to be an issue of one party political significance. least one of the -- a dispute in which at Conflict Phase (II) willingness to use military has demonstrated parties force to resolve the dispute but as yet has not actually done so. systematic use of -- a dispute involving Hostilities Phase (III) military force, over a specific military objective(s), causing casualties and/or destruction of property. fighting no longer occurs Post-Hostilities Conflict Phase (IV) -continues to but at least one party as in Phase III, Sporadic violence view the quarrel in military terms. the cessation may still occur, but evidence concerning 4-1980 5 of hostilities should suggest something more fundamental than just a temporary lull in intermittent hostilities. Post-Hostilities Dispute Phase (V) viewed in military terms. dispute remain. Settlement Phase (VI) -- the final dispute is resolved, or parties. -- a dispute is no However, the issues longer in the phase, in which the underlying no longer cared about by the Referral -- initiatives by an actor to place a case on the agenda of an international organization, or to bring the case to the attention of another actor with the intent that the latter take part in managing the case. Mandated -- an organization's conflict management involvement in a dispute on the basis on either a defined (through direct constitutional or charter authority) or an entailed (as a direct or necessary consequent of the formal charter) relationship. Serious Task Expansion -the continuation of serious task expansion is defined to be the expansion or development agent by a conflict management of activities (organization) that are perceived (by actors within the organization) to go beyond management activities undertaken by this agent in either a previous phase of this case or in previous similar cases. Serious 4-1980 (New) Task Expansion -- is the presence of task expansion in an agent's activities that are accused of being "beyond the constitutional mandate and provisions of the organization" by one or more significant actors within the organizaton. Examples of serious (new) task expansion could include: charter reinterpretation, transferral of authority and responsibility of conflict managemant activities to a different sub-unit of the management agent (e.g., United Nations Uniting for Peace Resolution), or involvement in disputes previously considered to be outside of the organization's competence. 6 PHASE/ACTOR DISAGGREGATED BUTTERWORTH-SCRANTON CODEBOOK DATASET 1 -- I. Case Overview Case Context Card Column 1 01-03 1 04-05 1 06-25 Var. # Label Question/Codes 001 NCASE What is the case number? (MIC, Var. 01) NCARD What is the card number? CASENAME What is the case name and year? 002 Relevant Preceeding, Coincident, and Subsequent Cases 1 26- 27 003 QRELCASE What is the quantity of relevant case(s)? (Such as, 3 cases.) 1 28- 72 004 NRELCASE What are the case number(s) of relevant case(s)? (Such as, 008,123...) (Maximum fifteen cases.) 2 01- 03 NCASE What is the case number? 2 04- 05 NCARD What is the card number? 2 06- 07 005 QPRASE What is the quantity of phases in this case? (Such as, 4 phases.) 2 08- 09 006 QREFER How many times, if any, was this case referred? 2 10 007 MANAGENT Were any management agents involved in the dispute? (MIC, Var. 02) 0 1 4-1980 No Yes 7 Management Evaluation (Consider the probable outcome of this dispute with regard to the following occurrences if no managing agent had become involved in the case.) 2 11 008 INTNSITY In the context in which it arose, how likely was it that the dispute would intensify (that is, move to a higher phase, through phase III, or "hostilities") if no agent had been involved? (MIC, Var. 06) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 2 12 009 CONTINUE = = = = = = = = not relevant (no agent) no information unclear/debatable very likely possibly 50/50 chance unlikely very unlikely In the context in which the dispute arose, how long would the major con- flicting sides have been likely to continue to prosecute their disagreement before letting their claims lapse without a formal settlement, if no agent had been involved? (MIC, Var. 05; Var. 07) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 2 13 010 SPREAD = = = = = = = = not relevant (no agent) no information debatable for less than one year for less than 1-5 years for less than 5-10 years for less than 10-20 years for more than 20 years In the context in which the dispute arose, how would other parties have become involved during this conflict, if no agent had been involved at all? (MIC, Var. 08) 1 2 3 4 = = = = not relevant (no agent) no information debatable no others would have become involved 4-1980 8 5 = by providing open diplomatic support 6 = by providing economic support 7 = by providing arms and equipment, and/or sanctuary and refuge 8 = by providing irregular troops 9 = by using their own regular troops 2 14-15 011 SPREAD2 In the context in which the dispute arose, how would other parties have become involved during this conflict if no agent had been involved militarily? (MIC, Var. 08) 00 = not relevant (no agent) 01 = not relevant (no agent involved militarily) 02 = no information 03 = debatable 04 = no others would have become involved 05 = by providing open diplomatic support 06 = by providing economic support 07 = by providing arms and equipment and/or sanctuary and refuge 08 = by providing irregular troops 09 = by using their own regular troops 10 = by both 5 and 6 11 = by both 5 and 7 12 = by both 5 and 8 2 16 012 SOVAMWAR How likely was Soviet-American war during this dispute, if no agent had been involved? (MIC, Var. 09) 1 = not relevant (no agent) 2 3 4 5 = = = = no information debatable very likely possible 6 = unlikely 7 = impossible 2 17-18 013 SETLMENT What type of settlement would likely have been reached if no agent had been involved? 01 = not relevant (no agent) 02 = no information 4-1980 9 03 04 05 06 = = = 07 = 08 = 09 = 10 = 11 = debatable none principled agreement dispute subordinated to a new separate issue dissipation: disappears of no human cause dispute became subsumed in a larger conflict partial settlement obsolescence of issue elimination of one of the parties (To code variables 014-016, focus on the primary parties from an overview/synoptic standpoint, and consider the case until it is resolved, or until the time of its coding if it is still ongoing.) 2 19-20 014 RESULT Overall, what was the result of the dispute for each side in it? 01 = not relevant (no agent) 02 = debatable 03 = don't know 04 = Side A advantaged, side B not advantaged 05 = Side B advantaged, side A not advantaged 06 = Side A advantaged, side B disadvantaged 07 = Side B advantaged, side A disadvantaged 08 = Side A not advantaged, side B disadvantaged 09 = Side B not advantaged, side A disadvantaged 10 = Sides A and B advantaged 11 = Sides A and B not advantaged 12 - Sides A and B disadvantaged 2 21 015 SATISFYA As judged by evident public expressions was Side A satisfied with the outcome of the dispute in its final phase? 1 2 3 4 5 2 4-1980 22 016 SATISFYB = = = = = no information debatable side A not satisfied side A had a mixed reaction side A was satisfied As judged by evident public expressions 10 was Side B satisfied with the outcome of the dispute in its final phase? I = no information 2 = debatable 3 = side B not satisfied 4 = side B had a mixed reaction 5 = side B was satisfied 4-1980 11 .1 II. DATASET 2 -- Phase Specific Information Phase Structure (Code the variabl es in goes through.) Card Type Column Va r. # this section once for each phase that this case Label Question/Codes NCASE What is the case number? 3 01-03 3 3 04-05 06-08 020 NCARD NPHASE What is the card number? What is the number of this phase? 3 09-10 021 PHASEYR In what year did this phase begin or open? (Enter the last two digits of the year: e.g., if this phase began in 1958, enter 58.) 3 11-12 022 PRASEMTH What month did this phase begin? (Enter numerical title of month: e.g., 01 for January.) 3 13-14 023 PHASEDAY What day did this phase begin? Actors General Actor Information (Code once for each phase of the dispute.) 3 15 062 QPRIMPA How many primary parties were on side A during this phase? 3 16- 33 063 NPRMPAi What are the code numbers of the primary parties on side A during this phase? (Maximum 6 parties) 3 34 064 QSECNDPA How many secondary parties were on side A during this phase? 3 35- 52 065 NSCNDPAi What are the code numbers of the secondary parties on side A during this phase? (Maximum 6 parties) 3 53 066 QPRIMPB How many primary parties were on side B during this phase? 4-1980 12 NPRMPBi What are the code numbers of the primary parties on side B during this phase? (Maximum 8 parties) 01-03 NCASE What is the case name? 4 04-05 NCARD What is the card number? 4 06-08 NPHASE What is the number of this phase? 4 09-14 067 NPRMPBi What are the code numbers of the primary parties on side B during this phase? (Maximum 8 parties) 4 15 068 QSECNDPB How many secondary parties were on side B during this phase? 4 16-39 069 NSCNDPBi What are the code numbers of the secondary parties on side B during this phase? (Maximum 8 parties) 4 40 080 INTRESTA What are the primary interests of side A during this phase? (MIC, Var. 20) 3 54-71 4 067 1 = not relevant 2 = no information 3 = debatable 4 = minor, no interests 5 = economic interests, primarily 6 = political/strategic interests, primarily 7 = both economic and political/ strategic interests 8 = humanitarian 4 41-42 081 INTRESTB What are the primary interests of side B during this phase? (MIC, Var. 20) 01 02 03 04 = = = = not relevant no information debatable minor, no interests 05 = economic interests, primarily 06 = political/strategic interests, primarily 07 = both economic and political/ strategic interests 08 = humanitarian 4-1980 13 N 4 43 082 COSTSA How severe were side A's economic costs that were related to the conduct of this dispute in this phase? 1 = not relevant 2 = no information 3 = debatable 4 = insignificant, minor, or none 5 = moderate (3-9% of GNP, roughly) 6 = severe (10% or more of GNP) 4 44 083 COSTSB How severe were side B's economic costs that were related to the conduct of this dispute in this phase? 1 = not relevant 2 = no information 3 = debatable 4 = insignificant, minor, or none 5 = moderate (3-9% of GNP, roughly) 6 = severe (10% or more of GNP) 4 45 084 DISSENTA Did a primary party on side A suffer internal divisions and/or dissension during this phase in relation to (code highest category): 1 = no information 2 = debatable 3 = no divisions 4 = its leader and/or top personnel 5 = its type of government 6 = its social order 4 46 085 DISSENTB Did a primary party on side B suffer internal divisions and/or dissension during this phase in relation to (code highest category): 1 = no information 2 = debatable 3 = no divisions 4 = its leader and/or top personnel 5 = its type of government 6 = its social order 4-1980 14 Conflictual Actions by Primary Parties on Side A r (For one or more primary parties on side A during this phase, code each of the following statements as to whether that type of conflict is known to have been present or not present. If unknown, code "not present/unknown." NOT PRESENT/UNKNOWN = 1; PRESENT = 2.) (MIC, Var. 10; Var. 11) 4 47 086 DIVISA A primary party on side A suffered internal divisions and/or dissension relating to its territory. 4 48 087 ADVNTGA A primary party on side A had a clear military advantage over B at the beginning of this phase (in terms of arms and soldiers). 4 49 088 SUBVERTA A primary party on side A attempts to or does subvert a government on side B. 4 50 089 REPRESA A primary party of side A represses internal political groups that are related to this dispute. 4 51 090 DSPLESA A primary party on side A indicates displeasure with nation on side B through public statements or demonstrations. 4 52 091 SNUBA A primary party on side A snubs a party on side B by ignoring a diplomatic protocal. 4 53 092 PROTSTA A primary party on side A issues a diplomatic protest concerning some activity of a party on side B. 4 54 093 APPEALA A primary party on side A appeals to a larger community or condemns a a party on side B. 4 55 094 REFUSEA A primary party on side A refuses to provide or withdraws assistance from a party on side B -- economic, technical or military. 4 56 095 SUPORTA A primary party on side A supports an opponent of a party on side B by providing material or moral support. 4 57 096 THREATA A primary party on side A issues a threat against a party on side B. 4-1980 15 a 4 58 097 NOFIGHTA Military operations by a party on side A without fighting. 4 59 098 CASULTA Military operations by a party on side A, with unintended casualties. Conflictual Actions by Secondary Parties on Side A (For one or more secondary parties on side A during this phase, code each of the following statements as to whether that type of conflict is known to have been present or not present. If unknown, code "not present/unknown." NOT PRESENT/UNKNOWN Var. 11) = 1; PRESENT = 2.) (MIC, Var. 10; 4 60 110 DIVISA2 A secondary party on side A suffered internal divisions and/or dissension relating to its territory. 4 61 111 ADVNTGA2 A secondary party on side A had a clear military advantage over B at the beginning of this phase (in terms of arms and soldiers). 4 62 112 SUBVRTA2 A secondary party on side A attempts to or does subvert a government on side B. 4 63 113 REPRESA2 A secondary party on side A represses internal political groups that are related to this dispute. 4 64 114 DSPLESA2 A secondary party on side A indicates displeasure with a party on side B through public statements on demonstrations. 4 65 115 SNUBA2 A secondary party on side A snubs party on side B by ignoring diplomatic protocol. 4 66 116 PROTSTA2 A secondary party on side A issues a diplomatic protest concerning some activity of a party on side B. 4 67 117 APPEALA2 A secondary party on side A appeals to larger community or condemns party on side B. 4 68 118 REFUSEA2 A secondary party on side A refuses to 4-1980 16 to provide or withdraws assistance from a party on side B -- economic, technical or military. 4 69 119 SUPORTA2 A secondary party on side A supports an opponent of party on side B by providing material or moral support. 4 70 120 THREATA2 A secondary party on side A issues a threat against party on side B. 4 71 121 NOFITEA2 Military operations by a secondary party on side A, without fighting. 4 72 122 CASULTA2 Military operations by a secondary party on side A, with unintended casualties. Conflictual Actions by Primary Parties on Side B (For one or more primary parties on side B during this phase, code each of the following statements as to whether that type of conflict is known to have been present or not present. If unknown code "not present/un(MIC, Var. 10; known." NOT PRESENT/UNKNOWN = 1; PRESENT = 2.) Var. 11) 5 01-03 NCASE What is the case number? 5 04-05 NCARD What is the card number? 5 06-08 NPHASE What is the number of this phase? 5 9 130 DIVISB A primary party on side B suffered internal divisions and/or dissension relating to its territory. 5 10 131 ADVNTGB A primary party on side B had a clear military advantage over A at the beginning of this phase (in terms of arms and soldiers). 5 11 132 SUBVRTB A primary party on side B attempts to or does subvert a government on side A. 5 12 133 REPRESB A primary party on side B represses internal political groups that are related to this dispute. 4-1980 17 5 13 134 DSPLESB A primary party on side B indicates displeasure with nation on side A through public statements or demonstrations. 5 14 135 SNUBB A primary party on side B snubs a party on side A by ignoring diplomatic protocol. 5 15 136 PROTSTB A primary party on side B issues a diplomatic protest concerning some activity of a party on side A. 5 16 137 APPEALB A primary party on side B appeals to larger community or condemns nation on side A. 5 17 138 REFUSEB A primary party on side B refuses to provide or withdraws assistance from party on side A -- economic, technical or military. 5 18 139 SUPORTB A primary party on side B supports an opponent of nation on side A by providing material or moral support. 5 19 140 THREATB A primary party on side B issues a threat against party on side A. 5 20 141 NOFIGHTB Military operations by a primary party on side B, without fighting. 5 21 142 CASULTB Military operations by a primary party on side B, with unintended casulties. Conflictual Actions by Secondary Parties on Side B (For one or more secondary parties on side B during this phase, code each of the following statements as to whether that type of conflict is known to have been present or not present. If unknown code "not present/unknown." NOT PRESENT/UNKNOWN = 1; PRESENT = 2.) (MIC, Var. 10; Var. 11) 5 22 150 DIVISB2 A secondary party on side B suffered internal divisions and/or dissension relating to its territory. 5 23 151 ADVNTGB2 A secondary party on side B had a clear military advantage over A at 4-1980 18 the beginning of this phase (in terms of arms and soldiers). 5 24 152 SUBVRTB2 A secondary party on side B attempts to or does subvert government on side A. 5 25 153 REPRESB2 A secondary party on side B represses internal political groups that are related to this dispute. 5 26 154 DSPLESB2 A secondary party on side B indicates displeasure with nation on side A through public statements or demonstrations. 5 27 155 SNUBB2 A secondary party on side B snubs a party on side A by ignoring a diplomatic protocol. 5 28 156 PROTSTB2 A secondary party on side B issues a diplomatic protest concerning some activity of a party on side A. 5 29 157 APPEALB2 A secondary party on side B appeals to larger community or condemns a party on side A. 5 30 158 REFUSEB2 A secondary party on side B refuses to provide or withdraws assistance from a party on side A -- economic, tech- nical or military. 5 31 159 SUPTB2 A secondary party on side B supports an opponent of a party on side A by providing material or moral support. 5 32 160 THREATB2 A secondary party on side B issues a threat against a party on side A. 5 33 161 NOFITEB2 Military operations by a secondary party on side B, without fighting. 5 34 162 CASULTB2 Military operations by secondary party on side B, with unintended casualties. Conflictual Actions by Primary Parties on Sides A & B (Code the presence or absence of the following for primary parties on sides A and B during this phase. If unknown, code "not present/unknown." NOT PRESENT/UNKNOWM = 1; PRESENT =2.) (MIC, Var. 10; Var. 11) 4-1980 19 5 35 170 CONFRNT1 Military confrontation by parties on both sides A and B. 5 36 171 FEWSKIR1 A party on side A and a party on side B have skirmishes along their border at infrequent intervals. 5 37 172 FREQSKR1 Parties on sides A and B have frequent or routine skirmishes. 5 38 173 UNCONV1 Parties on sides A and B engage in an unconventional war. 5 39 174 LIMWAR1 Parties on side A and parties on side B engage in a limited war. 5 40 175 GENWARI A party on side A and a party on side B engage in a general war. Conflictual Actions by Secondary Parties on Sides A & B (Code presence or absence of the following for secondary parties on side A and B during this phase. In unknown code "not present/unknown." NOT PRESENT/UNKNOWN = 1; PRESENT = 2.) (MIC, Var. 10 and Var. 11) 5 41 180 CONFRNT2 Military confrontation by parties on both sides A and B. 5 42 181 FEWSKIR2 Parties on side A and parties on side B have skirmishes along their border at infrequent intervals. 5 43 182 FREQSKR2 Parties on side A and B have frequent or routine skirmishes. 5 44 183 UNCONV2 Parties on sides A and B engage in unconventional war. 5 45 184 LIMWAR2 Parties on sides A and B engage in a limited war. 5 46 185 GENWAR2 Parties on sides A and B engage in a general war. 4-1980 an 20 Cessation of Conflictual Actions by Primary Parties on Side A (For one or more primary parties on side A during this phase, code whether any of the following types of conflictual actions, known to have been present in this or some previous phase, are now known to have ceased or stopped during this phase. If unknown code "not known to have ceased." NOT KNOWN TO HAVE CEASED = 1; KNOWN TO HAVE CEASED = 2.) 5 47 190 XDIVISA A primary party on side A suffered internal divisions and/or dissension relating to its territory. 5 48 191 XADVNTGA A primary party on side A had a clear military advantage over B at the beginning of this phase (in terms of arms and soldiers). 5 49 192 XSUBVRTA A primary party on side A attempts to or does subvert a government on side B. 5 50 193 XREPRESA A primary party on side A represses internal political groups that are related to this dispute. 5 51 194 XDSPLESA A primary party on side A indicates displeasure with a party on side B through public statements or demonstrations. 5 52 195 XSNUBA A primary party on side A snubs a party on side B by ignoring a diplomatic protocol. 5 53 196 XPROTSTA A primary party on side A issues a diplomatic protest concerning some activity of a party on side B. 5 54 197 XAPPEALA A primary party on side A appeals to larger community or condemns a party on side B. 5 55 198 XREFUSEA A primary party on side A refuses to provide or withdraws assistance from a party on side B -- economic, technical, or military. 5 56 199 XSUPTA A primary party on side A supports an opponent of party B by providing material or moral support. 5 57 200 XTHREATA A primary party on side A issues a threat against a party on side B. 4-1980 21 5 58 201 XNOFITEA Military operations by a primary party on side A, without fighting. 5 59 202 XCASULTA Military operations by a primary party on side A, with unintended casualties. Cessation of Conflictual Actions by Primary Parties on Side B (For one or more primary parties on side B during this phase, code whether any of the following types of conflictual actions, known to have been present in this or some previous phase, are now known to have ceased or stopped during this phase. If unknown, code "not known to have ceased." NOT KNOWN TO HAVE CEASED = 1; KNOWN TO HAVE CEASED = 2.) 5 60 210 XDIVISB A primary party on side B suffered internal divisions and/or dissension relating to its territory. 5 61 211 XADVNTGB A primary party on side B had a clear military advantage over A at the beginning of this phase (in terms of arms and soldiers). 5 62 212 XSUBVRTB A primary party on side B attempts to or does subvert a government on side A. 5 63 213 XREPRESB A primary party on side B represses internal political groups that are related to this dispute. 5 64 214 XDSPLESB A primary party on side B indicates displeasure with a party on side A through public statements or demonstrations. 5 65 215 XSNUBB A primary party on side B snubs a party on side A by ignoring a diplomatic protocol. 5 66 216 XPROTSTB A primary party on side B issues a diplomatic protest concerning some activity of a party on side A. 5 67 217 XAPPEALB A primary party on side B appeals to larger community or condemns a party on side A. 5 68 218 XREFUSEB A primary party on side B refuses to provide or withdraws assistance from a party on side A -- economic, 4-1980 22 technical, or military. 5 69 219 XSUPTB A primary party on side B supports an opponent of a party on side A by providing material or moral support. 5 70 220 XTHREATB A primary party on side B issues a threat against nation on side A. 5 71 221 XNOFITEB Military operations by a primary party on side B, without fighting. 5 72 222 XCASULTB Military operations by a primary party on side B, with unintended casualties. Cessation of Conflictual Actions by Secondary Parties on Side A (For one or more secondary parties on side A during this phase, code whether any of the following types of conflictual actions, known to have been present in this or some previous phase, are now known to have ceased or stopped during this phase. If unknown code "not known to have ceased." NOT KNOWN TO HAVE CEASED = 1; KNOWN TO HAVE CEASED =2.) XDIVISA2 A secondary party on side A suffered internal divisions and/or dissension relating to its territory. 01-03 NCASE What is the case number? 6 04-05 NCARD What is the card number? 6 06-08 NPRASE What is the number of this phase? 6 09 231 XADVNTGA2 A secondary party on side A had a clear military advantage on side B at the beginning of this phase (in terms of arms and soldiers). 6 10 232 XSBVRTA2 A secondary party on side A attempts to or does subvert a government on side B. 6 11 233 XREPRESA2 A secondary party on side A represses internal political groups that are related to this dispute. 6 12 234 XDSPLSA2 A secondary party on side A indicates displeasure with a party on side B through public statements or demonstrations. 5 73 6 4-1980 230 23 I 6 13 235 XSNUBA2 A secondary party on side A snubs a party on side B by ignoring a diplomatic protocol. 6 14 236 XPROTSA2 A secondary party on side A issues a diplomatic protest concerning some activity of a party on side B. 6 15 237 XAPEALA2 A secondary party on side A appeals to a larger community or condemns a party on side B. 6 16 238 XREFUSA2 A secondary party on side A refuses to provide or withdraws assistance from a party on side B -- economic, technical, or military. 6 17 239 XSUPTA2 A secondary party on side A supports an opponent of a party on side B by providing material or moral support. 6 18 240 XTHRETA2 A secondary party on side A issues a threat against a party on side B. 6 19 241 XNOFITA2 Military operations by a secondary party on side A, without fighting. 6 20 242 XCASULA2 Military operations by a secondary party on side A, with unintended casualties. Cessation of Conflictual Actions by Secondary Parties on Side B (For one or more secondary parties on side B during this phase, code whether any of the following types of conflictual actions, known to have been present in this or some previous phase, are now known to have ceased or stopped during this phase. If unknown, code "not known to have ceased." NOT KNOWN TO HAVE CEASED = 1; KNOWN TO RAVE CEASED = 2.) 6 21 250 XDIVISB2 A secondary party on side B suffered internal divisions and/or dissension relating to its territory. 6 22 251 XADVTGB2 A secondary party on side B had a clear military advantage over side A at the beginning of this phase (in terms of arms and soldiers). 6 23 252 XSBVRTB2 A secondary party on side B attempts to or does subvert a government on 4-1980 24 side A. 6 24 253 XREPSB2 A secondary party on side B represses internal political groups that are related to this dispute. 6 25 254 XDSPLSB2 A secondary party on side B indicates displeasure with a party on side A though public statements or demonstrations. 6 26 255 XSNUBB2 A secondary party on side B snubs a party on side A by ignoring a diplomatic protocol. 6 27 256 XPROTSB2 A secondary party on side B issues a diplomatic protest concerning some activity of a party on side A. 6 28 257 XAPEALB2 A secondary party on side B appeals to larger community or condemns a party on side A. 6 29 258 XREFUSB2 A secondary party on side B refuses to provide or withdraws assistance from a party on side A -- economic, technical, or military. 6 30 259 XSUPTB2 A secondary party on side B supports an opponent of a party on side B by providing material or moral support. 6 31 260 XTHRETB2 A secondary party on side B issues a threat against a party on side A. 6 32 261 XNOFITB2 Military operations by a secondary party on side B, without fighting. 6 33 262 XCASULB2 Military operations by a secondary party on side B, with unintended casualties. Cessation of Conflictual Actions by Primary Parties on Sides A & B (Code whether any of the following types of conflictual actions primary parties on sides A and B, known to have been present in some previous phase, are known to have ceased or stopped during phase. If unknown, code "not known to have ceased." NOT KNOWN CEASED = 1; KNOWN TO HAVE CEASED = 2.) 4-1980 by this or this TO HAVE 25 6 34 270 XCONFRTI Military confrontation by parties on both sides A and B. 6 35 271 XFEWSKRI A party on side A and a party on side B have skirmishes along their border at infrequent intervals. 6 36 272 XFRQSKR1 Parties on sides A and B have frequent or routine skirmishes. 6 37 273 XUNCONV1 Parties on sides A and B engage in an unconventional war. 6 38 274 XLIMWAR1 Parties on side A and nations on side B engage in a limited war. 6 39 275 XGENWAR1 Parties on side A and nations on side B engage in a general war. -------------------------------------------------------------------- Cessation of Conflictual Actions by Secondary Parties on Sides A & B (Code whether any of the following types of conflictual actions by secondary parties on sides A and B, known to have been present in this or some previous phase, are known to have ceased or stopped during this phase. If unknown, code "not known to have ceased." NOT KNOWN TO HAVE CEASED - 1; KNOWN TO HAVE CEASED = 2.) 6 40 280 XCONFRT2 Military confrontation by parties on both sides A and B. 6 41 281 XFEWSKR2 Parties on side A and parties on side B have skirmishes along their border at infrequent intervals. 6 42 282 XFRQSKR2 Parties on side A and B have frequent or routine skirmishes. 6 43 283 XUNCONV2 Parties on sides A and B engage in an unconventional war. 6 44 284 XLIMWAR2 Parties on sides A and B engage in a limited war. 6 45 285 XGENWAR2 Parties on sides A and B engage in a general war. 4-1980 26 Cooperative Actions by Primary Parties on Side A (For primary parties on side A during this phase, code each of the following statements as to whether that type of cooperation is known to have been NOT PRESENT = 1; present or not present. If unknown, code "not present." PRESENT = 2.) 6 46 290 TALKA A party on side A willing to talk, but those on side B not willing. 6 47 291 ASSISTA A party on side A provides a party on side B with assistance of an economic, technical, or military nature. 6 48 292 PUBSPRTA A party on side A provides public support for the policies, goals or aspirations of a party on side B. Cooperative Actions by Primary Parties on Side B (Code presence/absence for primary party cooperation on side B during this phase. Same codes as above.) 6 49 295 TALKB A party on side B willing to talk, but those on side A not willing. 6 50 296 ASSISTB A party on side B provides a party on side A with assistance of economic, technical or military nature. 6 51 297 PUBSPRTB A party on side B provides a party on side A with public support for its policies, goals or aspirations. Cooperative Actions by_ Primary Parties on Sides A & B (Code presence/absence for primary party cooperation during this phase. Same codes as above.) 6 4-1980 52 300 INTGRT1 Some parties on sides A and B integrate to form a political union. 27 6 53 301 REGORG1 Some parties on sides A and B form a regional organization to accomplish specific goals. 6 54 302 PROJECTI Some parties on sides A and B jointly engage in a project of civilian or military nature. 6 55 303 POLICY1 Some parties on sides A and B coordinate policies or conclude agreements. 6 56 304 RESTRCT1 Parties on sides A and B reduce restrictions on the exchange of materials, people or ideas. 6 57 305 EXCHNG1 Parties on side A and B engage in a cultural exchange or some nongovernmental exchange of information or materials. 6 58 306 DISCUSSI Parties on sides A and B discuss differences, consult, or negotiate. 6 59 307 HOSTIL1 Parties on sides A and B reduced the level of hostilities. 4-1980 28 General Phase Information (Code the following variables once dispute passes.) Card Type 6 Column 62-63 Var. # 310 for each phase through which the Label Question/Codes FATALITY How many deaths were directly related to this dispute during this phase? (Enter exact number of deaths, if possible, in the comment space.) (MIC, Var. 04) 01 = no information 02 = debatable 03 = none 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 6 64 311 MILITARY = = = = = = = 1 - 25 26 - 100 101 - 1000 1001 - 2000 2001 - 10,000 10,001 - 100,000 over 100,000 To what extent were parties other than the conflicting sides involved militarily during this phase? (MIC, Var. 14) 1 2 3 4 = no information = debatable = other actors not involved = other actors provided military and/or diplomatic aid 5 = other actors in the immediate geographical region were actually in or about to enter the dispute militarily 6 = other actors elsewhere in the world were actually in or about to enter the dispute militarily 6 65 312 TYPE The dispute during this phase was primarily of what type? (Avoid using 1,2, and 9.) (MIC, Var. 15) 1 = no information 2 = debatable 3 = none of the below 4-1980 29 = = = = 4 5 6 7 interstate, cold war internal cold war general internal, non-cold war general interstate, non-cold war 8 = colonial 9 = mixed 6 66 313 PAMSOVWR How likely was Soviet-American war during this phase of the dispute? (MIC, Var 09) 1 = no information 2 = debatable 3 = very likely 4 = possible 5 = unlikely 6 = impossible 6 67 314 ALIGNMT How were the major conflicting sides aligned during this phase with respect to the cold war alliances or close diplomatic ties with bloc leaders? (MIC, Var. 16) 1 = no information 2 = debatable 3 = members of opposing blocs 4 = members of the same bloc 5 = bloc member v. unaligned state 6 both unaligned 6 68 315 ETHNICTY Were ethnic and/or religious factors relevant to the outcome of this phase? (MIC, Var. 17) 1 = no information 2 = debatable 3 = no 4 = yes, slightly 5 = yes, important determining factors 6 69 316 IDEOLOGY Were ideological factors, including the cold war ones, relevant to the outcome of this phase? (MIC, Var. 18) 1 2 3 4 4-1980 = = = = no information debatable no, not relevant yes, contending 30 5 = yes, compatible 6 70 317 HISTDIV Around what did the relevant historic sources of disagreement between the major conflicting sides center? (The answer should be the same for all phases.) (MIC, Var. 19) 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 71-72 318 PHSETLMT = = = = = = no information debatable no historic disagreement disputed boundaries irredentist claims other general historic animosity What type of settlement, if any, was reached during this phase? 01 = no information 02 = debatable 03 = none 04 = principled 05 = dispute subordinated to a new separate issue 06 = dissipation: disappear, of no actor's cause 07 = dispute becomes subsumed in a larger conflict that is part of the same issue 08 = partial settlement 09 = obsolescence of issue 10 = elimination of one of the parties 11 = movement to the next phase only 7 01-03 NCASE What is the case number? 7 04-05 NCARD What is the card number? 7 06-08 NPHASE What is the number of this phase? 7 09 320 QAGENTS How many conflict management agents are involved in this conflict during this phase? (Maximum of six agents can be listed.) (MIC, Var. 02) 7 10-27 321 NAGENTS What are the code numbers of these agents? (Maximum 6) 7 28 322 QFAILAGT How many management agents failed to achieve access to both sides and issues in this phase? (Maximum of 3) 4-1980 31 ----------------------------------------(Code variables 323-342 once for each agent's failure to achieve access.) 7 29 323 NFAILUR1 What is the # of this failure? 7 30-32 324 NFALAGT1 What is the code # of the failed agent? 7 33-34 325 FAILYRI What year did this agent fail? 7 35-36 326 FAILMTHl What month did this agent fail? 7 37-38 327 FAILDAYl What day did this agent fail? 7 39 328 WHYFAIL1 Why did this agent fail? 1 = not relevant 2 = no information 3 4 5 6 7 = = = = = debatable side A claims agent side B claims agent neither side wanted neither side wanted biased for B biased for A management this agent -------------------------------------------------------------------7 40 330 NFAILUR2 What is the # of this failure? 7 41-43 331 NFALAGT2 What is the code # of the failed agent? 7 44-45 332 FAILYR2 What year did this agent fail? 7 46-47 333 FAILMTH2 What month did this agent fail? 7 48-49 334 FAILDAY2 What day did this agent fail? 7 50 335 WHYFAIL2 Why did this agent fail? 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 = = = = = = = not relevant no information debatable side A claims agent side B claims agent neither side wanted neither side wanted biased for B biased for A management this agent ---------------------------------------------------- 7 51 337 NFAILUR3 What is the # of this failure? 7 52-54 338 NFALAGT3 What is the code # of the failed agent? 4-1980 32 7 55-56 339 FAILYR3 What year did this agent fail? 7 57-58 340 FAILMTH3 What month did this agent fail? 7 59-60 341 FAILDAY3 What day did this agent fail? 7 61 342 WHYFAIL3 Why did this agent fail? I = not relevant 2 3 4 5 6 7 4-1980 = = = = = = no information debatable side A claims agent side B claims agent neither side wanted neither side wanted biased for B biased for A management this agent 33 III. DATASET 3 -- Management/Referral Overview Initiatives/Referrals (If there were no referrals of this case, you are finished coding this case. If there were one or more referrals code variables 350-365 for each referral. Code referrals sequentially for each dispute by phase.) Card Type Column Var. # Label Question/Codes 8 01-03 NCASE What is the case number? 8 04-05 NCARD What is the card number? 8 06-08 NPHASE What is the number of this phase? 8 9-10 350 NREFERAL What is the number of this referral? 8 11-13 351 NWHOREF What is the code number of the actor that referred this case? (Use the number of the strongest actor, as measured by the Cox-Jacobson scale for that period.) 8 14 352 QREFER To how many other actors did the above one refer the case? 8 15-17 353 NWHOMREF What is the code number of the agent to whom this case was referred? 8 18-19 354 REFYEAR During what year was this referral made? 8 20-21 355 REFMONTH During what month was this referral made? 8 22-23 356 REFDAY During what day was this referral made? 8 24-25 357 ACPTYEAR During what year was this referral accepted? 8 26-27 358 ACPTMTH During what month was this referral accepted? 8 28-29 359 ACPTDAY On what day was this referral accepted? 8 30-32 360 NINTIATR What is the code number of the primary actor within the organization who initiated this referral? (by making the most serious, sustained 4-1980 34 (Use the Coxintensive effort.) Jacobson for strongest actor in case of ties.) 8 33-34 361 QSUPORTR How many actors visibly and strongly supported this referral? 8 35-70 362 NSUPORTR What are the code numbers of the actors who visibly and strongly supported this referral, in order of the strength of support? (Maximum 20) (In order of Cox-Jacobson strength of actor.) 9 01-03 NCASE What is the case number? 04-05 NCARD What is the card number? 06-08 NPRASE What is the number of this phase? 9 11-34 363 NSUPORTR What are the code numbers of the actors who visibly and strongly supported this referral, in order of the strength of support? (Maximum 20) (In order of CoxJacobson strength of actor.) 9 35-36 363 QOPPOSER How many actors visibly and strongly opposed this referral? 9 37-72 364 NOPPOSER What are the code numbers of the actors who visibly and strongly opposed this referral, in order of their strength of opposition? (Maximum of 20) (In order of CoxJacobson scale of strength of actor.) 10 01-03 NCASE What is the case number? 10 04-05 NCARD What is the card number? 10 06-08 NPHASE What is the number of this phase? 10 11-34 NOPPOSER What are the code numbers of the actors who visibly and strongly opposed this referral, in order of their strength of opposition? (Maximum of 20) (In order of CoxJacobson scale of strength of the actor.) 10 35 RFOUTCOM What was the outcome of this referral? 365 1 = not relevant 4-1980 35 2 3 4 5 6 7 4-1980 = = = = = no information debatable referral accepted referral deferred referral turned down referral ignored 36 IV. DATASET 4 -- Agents (Code variables 380 through 394 once for each management agent for each phase.) (MIC, Var. 29; Var. 30; Var. 31) Card Type Column 11 Var. # Label Question/Codes 01-03 NCASE What is the case number? 11 04-05 NCARD What is the card number? 11 06-08 NPHASE What is the number of this phase? 11 9-11 380 NAGENT What is the code number of this agent? (MIC, Var. 23) 11 12 381 QLEADER How many countries provided leadership with respect to the handling of the dispute in this phase? (MIC, Var. 37; Var. 38) 11 13-34 382 NLEADER If the agent was an organization, what are the code numbers of the countries that provided leadership with respect to the organization's handling of this dispute during this phase? (Maximum 7) 11 35-36 383 ATTNYEAR During what year was this dispute brought to the attenton of this agent? 11 37-38 384 ATTNMNTH During what month was this dispute brought to the attention of this agent? 11 39-40 385 ATTNDAY On what day was this dispute brought to the attention of this agent? 11 41-42 386 TYPEAGNT What type of agent is coded on this card? (MIC, Var. 22) 01 = no information 02 = debatable 03 = none 04 = collective security IO 05 = collective defense 10 06 = adjudicatory IO 07 = functional/economic 10 08 = affiliative IO 09 = concert 10 = individual 4-1980 37 11 43 387 WHOBROT Who originally brought this case to the attention of this agent? (MIC, Var. 25) 1 = no information 2 = parties allied with side A 3 = parties allied with side B 4 = another agent already involved with this case 5 = an actor who was a bystander 6 = this same agent itself 7 = this same agent itself, due to its involvement in a previous phase of the case 8 = parties on both sides A & B acting in concert 9 = parties on both sides A and B acting separately 11 44 388 RESPNSBL Who was primarily responsible for this agent's intervention during this phase? (MIC, Var. 25) 1 = no information 2 = parties allied with side A 3 = parties allied with side B 4 = another agent already involved with this case 5 = an actor who was a bystander 6 = this same agent itself 7 = this same agent itself, due to its involvement in the previous phase of the case 8 = parties on both sides A & B acting in concert 9 = parties on both sides A & B acting separately 11 45 389 BIASTO Was this agent apparently biased toward one or more of the sides during this phase? (MIC, Var. 27) 1 2 3 4 = = = = no information debatable yes, for side A yes, for side B 5 = yes, slightly for side A 6 = yes, slightly for side B 7 = no 8 = slightly biased for both 9 = strongly biased for both 4-1980 38 11 46 390 BIASAGST Was this agent apparently biased against one or more of the sides during this phase? (MIC, Var. 27) 1 = no information 2 = debatable 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 11 47 391 AUTONOMY = = = = = yes, against side A yes, against side B yes, slightly against side A yes, slightly against side B no slightly biased against both strongly biased against both With respect to decisions it had to make in this case during this phase, to what degree was the agent relatively autonomous of the major conflicting sides? (Autonomous -how much action could the agent take without the support of either side?) (MIC, Var. 28) 1 = no information 2 3 4 5 6 11 47 392 MANDRESP = = = = = debatable not at all autonomous to a low degree to a moderate degree to a high degree Was there an agreed-upon perception that the agent's involvement was within its mandated responsibilities? (MIC, Var. 36) 1 = no information 2 = debatable 3 = inapplicable, not an organization 4 = yes, involvement perceived to be within mandated responsibilities 5 = no, involvement perceived to represent a continuation of serious task expansion (task expansion: agent activities perceived to go beyond management activities undertaken by this agent in a previous phase of this case or in previous similar cases) 6 = no, involvement perceived to represent serious (new) task expansion (where agent involvement or activity is charged by any 4-1980 39 actor involved to lie outside of the prior constitutional basis of the organization). 11 49-50 393 PRIMROLE What was this agent's primary role during this phase? (MIC, Var. 42) 01 = no information 02 = debatable 03 = inapplicable, agent is an organization 04 = private 05 = technocratic 06 = general political 07 = economic 08 = political/strategic 11 4-1980 51 394 QACTION How many actions did this agent take on this conflict during this phase? 40 V: DATASET 5 -- Agent Actions (For each phase, code which of the following particular actions the management agent is known to have taken. If unknown, code "not taken/unknown." NOT TAKEN/UNKNOWN = 1; TAKEN = 2.) (MIC, Var. 32; Var. 33; Var. 34; Var. 35; Var. 40) Card Type Column Var. # Label Question/Codes 12 01-03 NCASE What is the case number? 12 04-05 NCARD What is the card number? 12 06-08 NPHASE What is the number of this phase? 12 09-11 NAGENT What is the code number of this agent? 12 12 400 CONCILAT Conciliation -- to cause negotiations between parties. 12 13 401 MEDIATE Mediation -- to act as a go-between in negotiation. 12 14 402 ARBTRATE Arbitration -- to decide an issue between parties. 12 15 403 ENUNCIAT Enunciate -- 12 16 404 GDOFFICE Good Offices -- provide meeting place, support materials. 12 17 405 INVESTGT Investigation -in the field. 12 18 406 QUARTINE Quarantine -- to isolate the conflict, e.g. arms embargo. 12 19 407 INTERVEN Intervention -presence. 12 20 408 COERCION Coercion -- enforcement actions. 12 21 409 OBSERVE Observation -- 12 22 410 DISCUSS Discussion 12 23 411 REFERRAL Referral -- 12 24 412 EXHORT Exhortation -- plead for parties to reach settlement. 12 25 413 MILASSTA Military assistance to side A. 4-1980 9 state and clarify issues. -- as by a committee; direct phsyical teams report to agent. with no resolution. to another agent. 41 1 12 26 414 POLASSTA Political/Diplomatic assistance to side A. 12 27 415 ECNASSTA Economic assistance to side A. 12 28 416 HUMASSTA Humanitarian assistance to side A. 12 29 417 MILASSTB Military assistance to side B. 12 30 418 POLASSTB Political/Diplomatic assistance to side B. 12 31 419 ECNASSTB Economic assistance to side B. 12 32 420 HUMASSTB Humanitarian assistance to side B. 12 33 421 AJUDCATE Adjudication and/or finding. 12 34 422 NODISCUS On agenda, no discussion. 12 35 423 NOAGENDA Unwilling to put on agenda. 4-1980 42 Appendix I: List of Actors/Agents Supplemental List of Actors and Code Numbers Code Number 001 007 008 009 012 013 014 015 016 017 018 019 022 023 024 025 026 027 028 029 032 033 034 035 036 037 038 039 043 044 045 046 047 048 049 061 062 063 064 067 069 071 072 073 4-1980 Actor Name Cases Angolan Nationalists Baluchi Tribes Biafra Bolivian Insurgents Botswana Nationalists Brunei Dissidents Camerounis Caribbean Legion Catholics (Northern Ireland) Chadian Dissidents Chinese Communist Party Chinese Nationalist Troops Costa Rican Exiles Cuban Revolutionaries Cypriots Czech Communist Party Czech Nationalist Party Dominican Dissidents Dominican Exiles Dominican Faction Dominican Factions, Others East German Workers East Pakistan Eritrea Eritrea Liberation Front Ewe Groups FNLA Front for Liberation of South Yemen (FLOSY) Greek Communists Greek Cypriots Guatemala Dissidents Guatemalan Exiles Guinea-Bissau Nationalists (PAIGC) Guinean Dissidents Guinean Exiles Guyanese People's Progressive Party Haitian Dissidents Haitian Exiles Hindus Hutu Hyderabad Indonesian Moslem Rebels Iraqi Dissidents Iraqi Kurds 179,310 306 265,266,267 263 169 210 100 25 283 244 9 53 37,99 106 92,93 35 35 157 157 250,251,252 250,251,252 85 291 16 260 28 310 216,280 21 231,232,308,309 198 83,84 179,217 249 151,273 86 151 151,273 3 298,299 43 63 149 188,307 43 ( 074 075 076 077 078 079 081 082 083 084 - 085 086 087 088 089 097 098 099 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 111 112 1 13 114 116 117 118 119 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 131 132 133 134 136 137 138 4-1980 Jordanian Dissidents Katangan Exiles Khmer Rouge Kurds Lesotho Nationalists Malagasy Rebels Malayan Insurgents Mercenaries Mizo Tribes MNR: National Revolutionary Movement -- Bolivia Moslems MPLA Mozambique Nationalists Naga Tribes National Front for the Liberation of South Yemen (NLF) Nepal Exiles Nicaraguan Exiles NATO North Cameroons Nyasaland Omani Rebels Pakhtuns PLO Panamanian Revolutionaries Paraguayan Exiles Pathet Lao Popular Front for the Liberation of Oman (PFLO) Protestants (N. Ireland) Provisional Revolutionary Government (Vietnam) Puerto Rico Ras al Khaimah Rhodesia Rwandan Exiles Sabah Insurgents Sihanoukists South African Dissidents South Cameroons Southern Sudanese Army Sudanese Southern Secessionists Swaziland Thai Insurgents Tibet Turkish Cypriots Tutsi Exiles Ugandan Dissidents UNITA Venezuelan Guerrillas Viet-Minh Vietnamese NLF WTO 116,130,131 258 287 12 169 26 212 258 101 49 3 310 179 101 216,280 176 158 147,181 105 150 96 30,31 285,286 152 153 139,140,141,011,193,211 227 283 301 69 281 228 259 210 287 161 105 82 218,219 169 248 68,91,113,154,155 231,232,308,309 230 292,293,294 310 229 193 162 147,181 44 139 141 142 143 144 West Pakistan Yemeni Republicans Yemeni Royalists Zairean Rebels Zairean Secessionists 291 207,208,209 207,208,209 239,241 167 Additional Actor List: Geographical Areas 199 399 599 699 899 999 Western Hemisphere Europe Africa Middle East Asia Oceania These geographical areas can be used in coding, when one only knows of the region of an actor involved in the dispute, and not its precise location or name. 4-1980 45 Managing Agents Code Number 963 964 965 UN General Assembly UN Security Council UN Secretary-General 966 OAS 967 968 International Control Commission/Geneva Conference Council of Europe 969 970 OEEC NATO 971 European Fisheries Conference 972 973 OAU World Council of Churches 974 975 976 Union Africaine et Malagache/Coneil de l'Entente Warsaw Treaty Organization Joint Military Commission/International Commission for Control and Supervision US, Argentina, Brazil, Chile (Guarantor States) 977 4-1980 Actor Name 978 ICJ 979 981 982 World Bank British Commonwealth League of Arab States 983 984 Egypt/Saudia Arabia US/UK 986 987 988 989 991 Tunisia/Ivory Coast Colombo Conference Ethiopia/Mali Douala Conference Papal Nuncio 992 993 Pope Paul VI US/USSR 994 995 996 997 998 Congo/Zaire PLO International Commission of Jurists Unknown None 46 Appendix II: Cox-Jacobson Scale* Country US USSR China (Peking) France Germany (West) UK Japan India Italy Canada Sweden Switzerland Argentina Australia Brazil South Africa Belgium Denmark Indonesia Netherlands Poland Spain Austria Cuba Germany (East) Israel Mexico Norway Pakistan UAR Yugoslavia Czechoslovakia Finland New Zealand Philippines Turkey Venezuela Nigeria Luxembourg All Others 1945-55 1956-61 super super large large middle large middle middle middle middle middle middle small middle middle small middle small middle small small middle small small small small small small small small small small small small small small small small small smallest super super large large large large middle large middle middle middle middle middle middle middle middle middle small middle middle small middle small small small small middle small small small small small small small small small small small small smallest 1961super super large large large large large large large large middle middle middle middle middle middle middle middle middle middle middle middle middle middle middle middle middle middle middle middle middle small small small small small small small small smallest 4p * Source: Robert W. Cox and Erold K. Jacobson, The Anatomy of Influence (New Haven: Yale Ur versity Press, 1973), pp. 437-443. 4-1980 47 _ Appendix III Table Depicting the Congruence Between the FACS Phase/Actor Disaggregated Codebook Variables and the Butterworth-Scranton MIC Variables FACS Phase/Actor Disaggregated Codebook Variables I. Dataset 001 002 003 004 005 006 007 1 -- Butterworth-Scranton Relevant Variables Case Overview NCASE CASENAME QRELCASE NRELCASE QPHASE QREFER MANAGENT DIRECT: Var. 01 none none none none none DIRECT: Var. 02 008 INTNSITY DIRECT: Var. 06 INDIRECT: Var. 44; Var. 46 009 CONTINUE DIRECT: Var. 05 INDIRECT: Var. 07; Var. 43; Var. 44 DIRECT: Var. 08 INDIRECT: Var. 45; Var. INDIRECT: Var. 08; Var. Var. 46 010 SPREAD 011 SPREAD2 012 013 014 015 016 SOVAMWAR SETLMENT DIRECT: Var. 09 INDIRECT: none none none RESULT SATISFYA SATISFYB II. Dataset 2 -- 46 45; Var. 47 Phase Specific Information 020 021 022 023 062 063 064 065 066 067 068 069 4-1980 NPHASE PHASEYR PHASEMTH PHASEDAY QPRIMPA NPRMPAi QSCNDPA QSCNDPAi QPRIMPB NPRMPBi QSECNDPB NSCNDPBi none none none none none none none none none none none none 48 ~~1 080 INTRESTA 081 INTRESTB 082 COSTA 083 COSTB 084 DISSENTA 085 DISSENTB INDIRECT: Var. 20 INDIRECT: Var. 20 none none none none 086- DIVISA through 098 CASULTA INDIRECT: Var. 10; Var. 11 110- DIVISA2 through 122 CASULTA2 INDIRECT: Var. 10; 130- DIVISB through 142 CASULTB2 INDIRECT: Var. 10; Var. 11 150- DIVISB2 through 162 CASULTB2 INDIRECT: Var. 10; 11 170- CONFRNTI through 175 GENWARI INDIRECT: Var. 10; Var. 11 180- CONFRNT2 through 185 GENWAR2 INDIRECT: Var. 10; Var. 11 190- XDIVISA through 202 XCASULTA none 210- XDIVISB through 222 XCASULTB none 230- XDIVISA2 through 242 XCASULB2 none 250- XDIVISB2 through 262 XCASULTB2 none 270- XCONFRT1 through 275 XGENWAR1 none 280- XCONFRT2 through 285 XGENWAR2 none 290- TALKA through 292 PUBSPRTA none 295- TALKB through 297 PUBSPRTB none 300 301 302 303 304 none none none none none 4-1980 INTGRT1 REGORGI PROJECTi POLICYl RESTRCT1 Var. 11 Var. a 49 305 306 307 EXCHNG1 DISSCUSS1 HOSTIL1 none none none 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 FATALITY MILITARY TYPE PAMSOVWR ALIGNMT ETHNCTY IDEOLOGY HISTDIV PHSETLMT DIRECT: DIRECT: DIRECT: DIRECT: DIRECT: DIRECT: DIRECT: DIRECT: none 320 321 322 QAGENTS NAGENTS QFAILAGT DIRECT: Var. 02 none none 330- NFAILUR2 through 335 WHYFAIL2 none 337- NFAILUR3 through 342 WHYFAIL3 none 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 ACPTYEAR ACPTMTH ACPTDAY NINTIATR QSUPORTR NSUPORTR QOPPOSER NOPPOSER RFOUTCOM 380 381 NAGENT QLEADER 382 NLEADER 4-1980 Management/Referral Overview NREFERAL NWHOREF QREFER NWHOMREF REFYEAR REFMONTH REFDAY IV. Dataset 5 -- 04 14 15 09 16 17 18 19 DIRECT: Var. 23 323- NFAILUR1 through 328 WHYFAIL1 III. Dataset 3 -- Var. Var. Var. Var. Var. Var. Var. Var. none none none none none none none none none none none none none none none none Agents DIRECT: Var. 23 INDIRECT: Var. 37; Var. 38 none 50 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 ATTNYEAR ATTNMTH ATTNDAY TYPEAGNT WHOBROT RESPNSBL BIASTO BIASAGST AUTONOMY MANDRESP PRIMROLE QACTION V. Dataset 5 -- none none none DIRECT: Var. 22 INDIRECT: Var. 25 INDIRECT: Var. 25 INDIRECT: Var. 27 INDIRECT: Var. 27 DIRECT: Var. 28 INDIRECT: Var. 36 INDIRECT: Var. 42 none it Agent Actions 400- CONCILAT through 422 NOAGENDA INDIRECT: Var.32; Var. 33; Var. 34; Var. 35; and Var. 40 #f 4-1980 51 Appendix IV: Flowchart Illustrating the Coding Process of the FACS Phase/Actor Disaggregated Codebook Butterworth-Scranton CONFLICT CASE CASE STRUCTURE AND OVERVIEW (Variables 1 thru 7) MANAGEMENT EVALUATION (Variables 11 thru 16) PHASE SPECIFIC INFORMATION (Variables 20 thru 342) no Is this case referred to any management agents yes in this phase? -REFERRAL CODE (Variables 350 thru si Are there an further phases occurring in thiscase? . W aseWas this 365) this oreferral ccepted? yes noe Are there any agents involved ( in this case from a referral in a previous phase? COENE -no Is this case referred to any other management agents? ...-.-no LOOP .Va (Var 43t TO CODE REFERRAL AND NEW AGENT ACTIONS es 1.- Are there any other agents involved in this case from a referral in a previous phase? - o CODE AGENT ACTIONS (Variables 380 thru 423) LOOP TO CODE AGENT ACTIONS I 52 es Appendix V: Protocols/Revisions XX/XX/XX -- One can change the starting dates for a dispute from Butterworth and/or Bloomfield if we feel they didn't consider Phase I (dispute) thoroughly. XX/XX/XX -- It is permissible to lump all the "relevant cases" together. XX/XX/XX -- Secondary parties can become primary parties in different phases. Parties can switch sides or quit (withdraw from the conflict) if there is definite information to that effect. XX/XX/XX -- The cooperation variables are mostly on the primary parties. XX/XX/XX -- Please note the wording for variable #360. NOT to be determined by speeches example, the US persuaded India return for some "good" one should (only if this sort of information XX/XX/XX -- 4-1980 The initiator is Where, for and statements. to sponsor a resolution in code the US as the initiator is available). For variables 362 through 364 especially look for the US and the USSR as supporters or opposers (also China since it joined the UN). 53 9/28/79 --- One can add primary parties to the dispute, but while in Phase I, you must stick to Butterworth's listing of parties for the case. 9/28/79 --- For phase determinations, one should consider parties' actions, but only the primary parties. 9/28/79 --- A case can change issues in different phases. 10/5/79 --- any primary There can only be one Phase I and one Phase II in each case. After those phases, the case must "float" around in Phases III, IV, or V. 10/12/79 -- We decided that we will not code two separate cases for a given core case, even if these are two or more management agents. We will instead code just one. (ALL) 10/12/79 -- In phase determinations, just pick points (dates) that one is sure of, and continue in the same phase until one of these points indicates a change. There should not be gaps either between phases nor within phases, even in spite of a lack of information. Instead, the bad information should just be noted in the case comment sheet in a notebook. (FARRIS, SHERMAN) 10/12/79 -- The author/initiator of a new this sheet. protocol should be 10/12/79 -- The new definition of Phase IV throws Phase III. (ALKER, FARRIS) noted on temporary lulls into 10/12/79 -- There will be separate code numbers used for preindependence actors than are used for the same group after independence. This is done because the group may have changed somewhat. (ALKER) 12/4/79 -- After card 2, the card numbers no longer correspond actual card but to a card type. (ALKER) to an 3/6/80 -- The coder must fill all columns on the coding sheets with some 0 if no other number (code) is number (code), using appropriate. (FARRIS) 3/6/80 -- There can only be one Phase There can only be one Phase I. II, unless the dispute skips Phase III, enters Phase V and then returns to a condition where at least one party views the dispute militarily. (SHERMAN) 4-1980 54 3/6/80 -- For each Butterworth/Scranton "conflict case," relevant management agent activities and referrals should be coded as if the "conflict case" occurred without any precedent or antecedent relevant cases. The codings should be constructed in a "vacuum" without reference to a management agent's access to the parties involved in an earlier "conflict case." (SHERMAN) 3/6/80 -- For VarO11: SPREAD2 an agent's military involvement in a dispute is defined as the presence of uniformed detachments of UN-assigned military personnel. The military involvement does not have to be related to a specific military objective or outcome, and it can involve such units participating in the enforcement or observance of a cease-fire, in the disengagement or withdrawal of forces, or in the policing of de-militarized zones (SHERMAN). 3/6/80 -- When coding the variable NPHASE, a 3-digit coding scheme will be used. The last digit (_X)will be the number of the type of phase being coded (i.e., phase levels I through VI). The first two digits (XX_) will be a right-justified number indicating the repetition factor of that phase. For example, a coding of 012 would represent the first encounter of Phase Type II in the case, while 022 would represent the second occurrance of Phase Type II in the case. (ALL) 4-1980 55 4/11/80 -- In coding the calendar dates for the beginning of phases the time when a referral is made, the time when a referral is accepted, and the time when an agent's attention to a case occurs -the following conventions should be followed: (Variables: PHASEYR, PHASEMTH, PHASEDAY, REFYEAR, REFMONTH, REFDAY, ACPTYEAR, ACPTMTH, ACPTDAY, ATTNYEAR, ATTNETH, ATTNDAY -- Variable numbers: 021, 022, 023, 354, 355, 356, 357, 358, 359, 383, 384, 385 respectively) YEAR -- code the last two digits (54 for the year 1954) MTH -- code the two digit number 01 through 12 for the months of January through December respectively. If the precise month cannot be determined, try to code the quarter in which the activity was most likely to have occurred: 13 14 15 16 ----- 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter If the quarter cannot be determined and the information leads one to believe that the activity took place in either "the first part of the year" or "the last half of the year" code the following: 17 -- 18 -- 1st half of the year 2nd half of the year DAY -- code the actual number (calendar number) of the day during which the activity was most likely to have occurred. If the precise day cannot be determined use the following codes (referring to weekly and semi-monthly time periods): 4-1980 32 33 34 35 36 -- 1st week of the month -- 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 37 -- 38 -- ---- week week week week of of of of the the the the month month month month 1st half of the month 2nd half of the month 56 4/11/80 -- In choosing the relevant agent activity to use in coding the variables of WHOBROT, RSPNSBIL, and NLEADER one should select the major (strongest, most significant) activity that the agent undertook during the phase being coded. If the agenttook more than one action during the phase one should code the action that the actors in the organization viewed as the strongest or most important. (FARRIS, SHERMAN) 4/11/80 -- The variable WHOBROT will refer to the initial referral of the conflict to the management agent. This coding shou'ld not change between the phases of the case once the referral has been made to the agent and once the referral has been accepted. (SHERMAN) 4/11/80 -- In coding RSPNSBIL [Who was primarily responsible for this agent's intervention during this phase?] one should first select the most important or significant action that the agent took during the phase, and from the debate concerning this action, code the actors who were most responible for promulgating that action of the agent. Specific considerations in coding this question include the following: (1) (either A or B) dominated the agents If one side deliberations and directed the actions of the management agent, the relevant codes (either 2 or 3) would be selected and those nations [up to a total of seven] would be listed under the variable NLEADER for this agent for this phase. (2) If neither side was able to dominate the deliberations in the organization concerning the actions it should take and the resultant activity was some sort of compromise solution, the codes 8 or 9 for RSPNSBIL would be appropriate [if the sides acted in concert the code would be 9; if they acted separately and at "cross-purposes" the code should be 8] with a mix of actors on both sides being coded as having been leaders within the organization [NLEADER]. (FARRIS, SHERMAN) 4/11/80 4-1980 -- The Cox-Jacobson scale will be used to break ties between the lists of specific actors to be coded under the relevant and for referrals to management agents variables for leadership within management organizations leading to agent intervention. In case of such a tie, the actor that is most highly ranked on the Cox-Jacobson scale will be coded. (FARRIS, SHERMAN) 57 * Reflective Logics for Resolving Insecurity Dilemmas - Project Working Papers 1. Hayward R. Alker, Jr., James Bennett, and Dwain Mefford, "Generalized Precedent Logics for Resolving Insecurity Dilemmas," (1979). la. Hayward R. Alker, Jr. and William J. Greenberg, "On Simulating Collective Security Regime Alternatives," (1976). lb. James P. Bennett and Hayward R. Alker, Jr., "When National Security Policies Bred Collective Insecurity: The War of the Pacific in a World Politics Simulation," (1977). 2. Hayward R. 3. Dwain Mefford, "Historical-Strategic Precedents as Procedures: A Strategy for Applying Selected Artificial Intelligence Design Features to Simulation Building in International Relations," (1978). 4. Dwain Mefford, "'Recursive' Versus 'Structural' Reflection: Dialectics as an Instrument of Analysis Applied to the Genesis of Interpersonal Relations," (1978). 5. Dwain Mefford, "Simulating the Practical Logic of Deterrence: An Application for Artificial Intelligence," (1979). 6. Joshua Epstein, "The Extended Calculus of G. Spencer Brown and Related Areas of Logic and Mathematics," (1979). 7. Hayward R. Alker, Jr., "Logic, Dialectics, Politics: Some Recent Controversies," (1979). 8. Dwain Mefford, "From Static to Transformational Models of Political Reasoning," (1979). 9. Dwain Mefford, "The Grammar of Change in Political Beliefs: A Constructive Critique of Cognitive Modeling," (1979). Alker, Jr., "Some Dynamics of Ideo-Logical Thought," (1979). 10. Hayward R. Alker, Jr., "From Political Cybernetics to Global Modeling," 11. Dwain Mefford, "The Language of Crisis and Its Evolving Grammar," (1979). (1979). 12. Hayward R. Alker, Jr. and Roger Hurwitz, "Resolving Prisoner's Dilemmas," (1979). 12a.Hayward R. Alker, Jr. and Roger Hurwitz, "Teacher's Manual for Resolving Prisoner's Dilemmas," with programs by Akihiko Tanaka (1979). 13. Lee Farris, Hayward R. Alker, Jr., Kathleen Carley and Frank L. Sherman, "Phase/Actor Disaggregated Butterworth-Scranton Codebook," (1979). The writing and/or reproduction of all of the papers in this series have been financed in whole or in part by National Science Foundation Grants #7806707 and #GS-2429 to the Center for International Studies, Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Neither of the aforementioned organizations should be held responsible for any of the views expressed herein. As project working papers, they are being circulated in order to encourage comments on work in progress; none should be considered a final statement. Unless they have been published elsewhere as noted, please request permission to cite from the authors.