‘ Co~bj~~oricj (The Ex: A ≤ycietr o Co~sec ~he~ of ~ H ~ ~n ~ ~ r~ k~2~ JEy~ The pc~ssbIc ≤~/ /g ~s ~/~e Q Co~c,5:/s ~ i,’o~iq/ ~(t7C A ~he~ o~ de~ecV;ve3 ~re If niqI4ep~q+icqf com~un;~/,~ Fov~ %~~cis ~I~-t +~e & ~,// cc yurcd:o~s i are oN to~ (16 (‘Co O~ 1 ~ ~fl7CI;c~4a Scj 4, ore e~ ~ 10 ts ?ke ~ 4~ ~ b5 cou~~(;~ Cq~i 0 c~ i’~[I i’) c~ F flLfn9 Occcct, er t& ≤o/ve~ E,c Acer-Jq~ o-C h~s ~QCb4itfl1 ctre 4~ qplcI c4osep, be e*-~c1fr 3 cL/dreg, one c@ Iier cb/drtpi a~≤~ nicr/Aer.~ áq~ h/er choices cif A: We g.~jfl denc4e ~ hicdj~~ C~a~ /0 caNs;sJ3 of Con,fi1cjn;~j pc.ss4/e C3,z), Chak e ~ represeidr the 2 her avid /;sl- t.J~;ch4 qre / +he possi/~/h~es i,ñ c’i,z) (1,3) /,Is /0~ 4:) Ny / 0 4, S (io,ñ (io,a) cio,3~) nct~., di’ffec~jj see lhcif there cpre cLto?~e,. T1q5 (led “7]e bqr,’c pri~nc7/e $counJi~.’ there ~ce vfl chokes 4r c~ L~ yner4l, ~f {irsI ekmen~ crC the 1q,r and these there ar’€ n c&oices ‘Rsr element, or-detect (i,a)* 1OX3t.1O mn there pairs. (z,O. MoIe tk~rF -ct~ eacA +he of second dufferewt ‘~ p/ace 3 1/c ~ 1or pl~ces IC ~‘j,C5 ie~er~ -~c /qceS fl/Cf 77/F qfl ±t~e p/~~s qrf ~uv~ibers d1 frttq~~ ere~ ~c~/c ~1he cc~ +0 ~ / or One (A~F iz~), TAere pos5~/e A He 5]~ce k~s o~~er -Ic 3 puf ~ %Ik~ ~ 3 r~ (tt ~ri~icy/e cko~es ~ ~ ~IU51 s/’~-~, ~r 32 6 L;~ci~t ~‘nci pocs-i’4/e ~h&re T ~ ~, p Ihere p)ocv~ pi~c~ CM 04cC e )Llie 4~rd tjpe On ~ I~e ~ is ovl C1 ~kcr/ ~Io ~Ier ~/OCiv7y ocrL r~ 0 J~ 40 1~ 1%/es choco/qie, mi Q at I~e ~ °/O she/yes, poc~b~Jy P7c1n4 rer ~or Ceadbury) qrrqn3evtie~Is (ptcvL~cdci&o~ s) OMF 11,15 ‘/O’/~’/O pac≤i~4 se~1;qr~’/e At 1~’i p/~/e ZC ‘2~26 Qre (~4 1~ Lv: - ~ /c~y~ tI4p oMe çhei4~ Secc~d ckccce ~ f~ere crr~jepneMLs (pecnc~/i~s), ~ka+ tkec€ ~o~E rov~ QC ñ ~J 1M p€cm~~*ons 1205≤;b/e ~ pc?vioii5 ~ 3, A c(acs q~J ~C 5q~a~~5 ~ yr~~Ie s~L~eø/j ~,nder~rctcLa~le s~/~c~e61~ls, t~e5e ~I1 be ranked ~ J~ 1O per1ornn~nce~ are 1 c~re ~ poss~b/e ? p*r Grqd~/e c~tqJ&r/y qre rq~/ced C/n/r;j,~q +11e~ise/frec ctnJ c.tvlJer5rq~c~s I ~ differe~+ A; (/o!~3oJ) ~ ~mo~ rc~k/4ys ~ ~ c~er~;~y ~ A~ h~ve ~yeiher V~iC?fltf o~ ~ ~*hr sheFf~ Ocr~~~1e4 ~ No~e ~ce 4o h00k5 flovef. 1 ~p~c4 S4bEc~/ ~ qre This should be 10! 20! because there are 10! ways to permute the grads and then 20! ways to permute the undergrads. The result follows from the basic principle of couting. 2 Z qçe coM?s ~1 poccb/e orcter~iys ~rot~ ~ tke ~ ±~± ±kere 5L~ec~is. r D Ex: 4o~ r4c~ Iefrtec b~ cqvi A: ~bere d’f’ rk~q 6-r vlitc~vij /‘ ~Re3 Qrc L€t~ /ahe( ~Je. 1~he1 1~ / p Tm, r s It / P~E1 1~:~ D 9 F 2 v..,erE pre iicikiyiii~A~b /e o ~r: zl3b~N 1L—1 — C p‘3 C D P4~ 3 t~cCf Ct 3’ (~1~F~R~E F~ ~LR?3E [~EaR RLE1 .3 Li In~,f oiher, qre C .4_I-i e~c~ ~‘7~R F~E2. P~~F~P3E2 F p tZ1 p€r~ PF 3 Is t~ro~ EcEl, o~4P~ kj?ICA N0t~~ /1 ~ AU P1 PS Scv i-n t~i~ p~csb/e -~rdn1 Ph PF’b. 4\’. the are ~re °~e / ~ :fl~iec~ ke flro vu -~cni€~ k-E’ rP TT~€ ~ perni~4ed 2 ~p JiC4rence pern-it~c/ec/ Z ~z E~, ~ee ~ if~1 ~‘J~ Dc ~ C/l4czl k~ve ro~s ~‘nce Is LEE~. z! C~/~j~/4~ %h~d~ /nere qre 3p3, ikus tor eac~ s*ny~ek~crb/e “cwcP’ tkere perni~i~7i~fr1s. T~5 ~ ~ ~ correspond p~c-vwui~Y~vis 4~ dIs ~ce ~ /e “i~o rds’ ~ffere~L Thece~ce / ±~ere /s (t~crds5 3/2! he Ex: In H ~kcs5 Z) P: It 3 JOL(rfr1qn~~vq~ p4~ced2 ~: ‘,~cp~rg, ~S3 1 res cc /L5 0-C ~/l~E /io~ S/ic~~ n~q~1 onLy the order i~ JI~ecen~ ~*onics poscble TkEçe to! ~ EQCk ~re ie:f!rs 7~4E (3raI/~ no~o~!;~;es ctre ~ ~ ~5~fl I ~f~Cc! odco~ie per~q~1~/;o~s hoes H! 31 2/]! I~dIs’I;ny~fcA~&/e~ 1(1~~ d;~-~eren-t O~/c~~~eg, ~ 3! 2/if ~ke 4kece p/~yer~, cMu’fj~S 0 Ex: The kyvjct C~0~5 Co~.ivdr,j ‘leqkp~ 13 rurnaecs. ~ tt’ie nc≤i4 vacsH,j A. 1&cu’vt~ are ‘U cLicc~eren± race. posss4/e different b~.J rQnners5 ~F 4LleM o.re 13 CCPtS)’SIS permw+a$Io~s eQck ‘~teq~,’ ~4 a~p tliere are Ofl(!j he&s possi~b/e y#rs;I~j y.’ 6 34)! 0 ¶3eccwse cci ~ro~4p Cltoosikt) or cr-cnn indiv1dc4qfs c’o a Iccrjer Conlnlonl1 -I 72Pcie$f hqt_e floIctYovl 4r 14e nuni/yer A’ ,oossih is the nuniber 69 5 rovf≤. ç ~) ‘L3~ - ca~ - 13 se(ec4ed Iii 5enerct1~ / ~N ~r) is cc mc! Mc!~q(5, tk~ nuvnber of yre’.~ps site ~ +kcef cqii be cefec-fed N)6kt be n ivic1iy;clt~al,c. A ~ c 3 c~a1 ~ ~ 4~cI~~ Ths ~ a) O~ ~rô~ e C f4ere be çç4~1e c &c ~c z ~ç~ed i~ ~ o~ c%o~ei is ¶nicE’ ~ 7~ierP ~/~A 1~ 4he Q/on~ 7 1 A 5~s~fv~ c0~shL a r~ ~ / q~e ~1[ fu~cJ1~fr~q~ off J~c~/j~p ~ / Ot~q } 1~tio mer qre 0~qf~~~5 C’ I QLEteCf/vp, ‘~ are 6i rec(c~c cc! qcc? ( / 9~71 6~ (~ possJ/e ref~se Jo ~ork 4oyei%er~ A: Ex: (~ are ~ c~ ~ prk~cip1e c fli~ be ~Crnied? co~fJ +ke Since CO~~~9 7ro~r T~e co~ipn;//ec Z H0~ A. 7 q~d kJO~fl s~c~(J kqve Q: ~ cceqjrd ~ro~ (3 c~ çec ~y~i(H(jv7C . / Assume are oYrfennc,y ~ qre IN Co/N o”r~/CPS j or&? ‘1 cm A: fri) ~u ~CMCIiOv?c( ~0~r ~ke ~ up Es ~o YFdN~5 ~ r~ by place *~c d~Pec4!’ves pre~ucer A it’. It’.! ,,~ IJ’.~ ~rfr;~ represt-~rL p/~cec ± niu~t -~ ~e CqM p/ace c~niennce pI~ce3 0t sef~c~( A ~ anJennoç ~kere el~4~cIeve There ~&iC (A s;~e There n~ Tro~ pos5ble cko~ce5, Ouc ~ °~ lc~cks prove Ri~owr;ct YArocev~ ~ , z (X~)(x~5) +er~5 rnc~~ ~ ~ ~ o5k,~eJ ~ selec*n7 t bp Tk€r~ •.. ~1I be ;~ +~e sc~e. one ~ i5 o~Jec~ (e;4~er x ~ 0~C pc~rev~//1eSE~5~ Eyac4&j k se4 ~zC ~ eQc~ x ~co~ re r’~i’~ t~he L~’~E >( ~E[ vn we seis1 n-k n-k 7hie MP>d ~o -Ic se)ec( 0~ of c~ ro~ (~ ~ ~ \ I h€re-~~çe CaM ey~I be ic. o,/,z,v9~ v~-iC o~ 5i~F I~~ye v~w~ -in c~bse~s a~, ~ ~, 23, ICc otçe A: T~e~ ctre E~) ~ 5c~≤e~!s Size 0, ~c, (7) s)~e / •~c~ 4 th€re ~Hec~qq4~vp ~ b~ 50kth6~ o~ orclereci ~J cc repr~cevr/c I I t1l~ i~ ~e ~h~i~ec/ H 2 ~he by (S — elernenYs, Z~ ~& 5 c scebsei sefec~io~ 5ut729 se/ec~//7 pl~ce c~ 0 COt4vd~vi9 ~ /6 ~ ~V} or tile O~ (i,~o,j~ ex~frnp/e1 ~he c~se~~ bLrf dropp~ T~j5 c/escr,bcd Os ~~y)Etq/,~Fc( There 4;t~eted ~ce pri~cpIe Z’ Z~2-7 cybset Ck~p~ec ~ b~f o~ ~e s~ poccb/e qf( C~peri is ~ s~iLset oT ol o~/coniec t~e ‘~s~nip/e sj2~cE. c~//eJ 0+ ~eve ~ Ex; k~ i~ + k€ he~vhoc~. e de~er +iie i5 7/7~ ~ ~c/iOy2 evf~± tL~c4 o~ico~C order c~v7 ~ 3 is t~t~ sef ~ joocy~b/~ I (~/ (~iJs COH5/5J5 5e~ Si~,~] ev?~ a;ffer~-t j%~ óc;hu & c~ experivfr?e~~r/ Iihi2j~ hor59ç ~ the ch;/~, the I~ eY/2&rflltP± ~ in L~ctv;kty ~ kocse ~qc2 p~ Yi~]/O~ns 1,2, ~ ~6 pecv~’iud~}Yons So S ~ Ii Ihe oCcV4c~S 7/ eve~r/ ek~2e~-/3, ~//1~d /e1et~n~i~s C) Er: Coetirirls exper;me~i I”iff/n9. -Lice1 +Lqe,~ 5:~/-?H, H7~ ~1 I rMeqng t~ ‘flrrj ‘o$y the Ste c~iJ rest~, /~1ecJ 1~ 11w evev,+ +hq~ cri 4t≤secl i~ ~$#,i4r, The ti~~# 3 t~e C) ~iLt’~ ctre the no4.~l;~. se4s. Let Ekcln?p/e.. yOt~t A a or jn os~ ‘Ae~cJ~ yn4 resw/lr ,~ r-rJ, wift uS/n3 ~ Ierniinoioyy A, f~ be ~,ss ~4’~ toi’is~)s be tae4Zij qs56c#kd evenu/s. A ~ rerw/h In heøds *?,e Ukflhc~,i t~. ‘ñj, ~here ‘~eqds~ cintl ‘fl’rst eve4 frs~jf 4h€ (‘rs’t i3 the Av@ Coin ‘rpj. e-~-~ 4he L.’..-as /ecr~+ ‘the / 71+, ~ A ovid ~ see eric4 The o4~ tke..s Av)3~LWM, H-r,rrj. IlnO ID fliT a~ ___L_i f/IC 5 tLtoc~ ii’jTcrsec”fIan 0 c(ç~ Oc)Yrov~7es t~e “3 A ~J / II co~pItnie~ of @ ~ ikl 1~e ~ rI I 10 ~d A (vl A / 2~J cokt~/s~/y sceit~,2~ A 0ç SfqCE ~IT~,TT], -i i4~ct Au~3 CcLy~ 40 ~ ~C~nc k~ pro q~ I~4~i4~ve5 ~ c~ ) ~(oc≤iI~ hectds) ~ke occ~r ~ I of ~n eve~± pro ~~re cq~ be ~e~~?v?t ref2~ci7’ ±1~e occ~(ri~ a-c ~tJot41d a Tkecc ~Cr co~v11 ace t~Is ~o~/d ~bec o~ reQgo~q~/e Je~~1~ These ~;/l be 6e ~, ~ gkould eA-pec~ o~ probabG~ it gq~isTy, ~ c~//eJ 1 1: 2; F1, +he~ Node: UUe F, E~ A’ 2 s/vP1 1P(F~). ace Or ~3 ny// is c~1lecf the evn~~ ~et eve~L€ I t~ece ~ Jelervv~ie tiiese ±~ie czY,ovnS. qki e~en~E or Ex: ~Ø)Do pco0l: Let F, S ~1d E~, L3) i~ Ks)z {P(O~ = LrI + :tTh J E~: I I~r For /fre5 ~~a/%; / 1 hr~ cuJco~es: EE~ ~ /P(~I)t ‘kr) 1= ft~)-~ /PtUE~ r ~; Ex; ZWF~ ~r a ~ q~J tke /P(j ~ o~o~1es e~u~/4 /ike~, ~j f~-iiJ c_-1~/ t)P~5)r /PWE~)r ~F~)z I ≤P~) =7 /P(E,)z/P4Fa)Z,,~/Tf~) let A~z ~I1, qre ~ C //2p,)/p~+~ j• A~ [?~/ 4Hn,c~ ff(J1,2,~j)~ F(OAL) ‘Zfl~) r ~ — 6a’ J L. rcoposruon c\ / • ~ ; -- ~(5)z /P~uF~) ) Ex: I ~p(pc)~ kave /~(E~ ir) /-~K~~ ci coin ~ ~ 9~ct/ //?f/?)4 0% If ECF, fke~ ~R’E)~F(~). [11Coi~ LeF A,c E / A~r F~Ec TA~~ /~(F) P~ UA~)r~~)4qM2) /p(E) 1~/~(p/~pc) ~ Ly: i~,he~ ro/liy ~ Propo~;4~o~9: d~e3 !P4!i~)~i~(L1 L5]). Q(A)4 ll(~) 1R7An~. ~4~)= /~3nA) u(8n4c)] = ÷p~4c) ~ /P13)~4e)r ;ptp~c) (P(A) /p64n8) (~ fl Tk~~ fl)(A u3)~ ~(Al8) +4R7ip~c)± — I k~5 V€~~ is ~4o v~s~cj(j~e d~ccc~M, i~tt~ ~4°~ s) 0 ~) E~: EI1~e ~;(i +~ke 2 ~~;lf Q: Iflce k,di~ b~q T1~ 11~ ~/3 4o. 5i1€ l;k~5 tPM~u~ ~4 -~ is A. I 1~J~J tDCIOI flhc9 / t~e 13 [~e pro b~h;/;4 ~ /•Dfe - FL q~J ~ 5ec~~~ci lAJkq~ ; 7LhP 54Ae she d154*es ~ 2-~ ~ C(çF ecytta//u1 Thefl i~ 5 ,~ ~/,ic4 *4ese o~TIco&~es 5a~4p9/e Wl)~ /;ice4 Jt~jf~ z /R~/?)~!~aI) c,/7 cai4cmes 1, j..)P(~M~fl Ho. /r4e1)r/P(izi)t~/RTh~)O Tk~5 ~ cohs;Jec ny~ber ~vfn~ Let be QvI~ /€~ N<E) Le~ F be o~ o~I Ez E o~ Ihe ~rsL gec~~, aic, ~ o~/rcrn~ ivi F, 1/ic be Tke~ p~fl)z(~q~ j~{E)~~ fk~ D in ~ E~: A ~e ~ roiled +~ce. i≤ ~ke ro?(s $vo A: +k~ 7 is ,~ 5. E~.t ~X’ E ≤ kc~ co~n{~ ~ The ) (3 eve~t ~ ~ ~iL~Le Cc~ero~ Mixes ~ffl~ 3 c~J~ QHc/ SccàfS ~r 1419res1 DJ. /~f=j ~nc/ 5 o~ tke~ hcu,e qç~ br (~) d;~ece~t Jr~~ e>cocJkj L 1. -) /fl\ II b/ctck 4~~k ~ reaches ba/Is, 1~ /OrobQb?/4 h/~ck~ A: Tkece coufj ‘S a~(~ c~aicovne~~ Ex: A 60~J lhE ? pri~cyk &cLs~ cr the sz~ prab~b/~ ~-j2 ~‘Jie ~ 0f b~/(s +hal f~ese Qroufs ~ *L~e proLc4Li/4i4 A1-Fe c cc? ~Ve Th€ proh~ /c?~ ~ ~ ~ i-C cvie o~ T~e~ bi~k +he +~€re cr/ $ a C~(ICo~n C~~iercvi iv~2&. P clereci or Ok1 ~re c(rQL,vs Gco~es ti 4r”n/e I 3 ~[hE sp~zce. !k~ni/2/e ~ ctrE b/c~ck ~ ë’ 59 are black5 q~d ~re the ~&cc~J ~t;c ~ ~tst ~~-1d ~hIrd 3’~’~) Ercec!41 7/us v~ 67~ck ~re ~‘~‘H L/qck, o~4coi~es Th~s hq& i~ cnl~ ~he ~~‘c A fr~& ~Oro~4/y @ve~ 77’ Ec: A covt1n~dJee 4~pt is 1o be sreleciecf A: ~3J~~z 715- q y rcL/p Ike pro bI~~ ~d c,v7cL 7~/9 $~on1 2 L,canievfl ~*~~ii ) Fx; ~ ~k;4e hqUs 2’ k~5 ±~lese in bo~(. a !L~c& number se/ec~ Ic b~lts One the prab~bi/i~ /~c~y number, ‘s ~. of of IT ci ~t~y I ~± ace c~e øFa setecL~y R - /n Ex: prob~bIi’~ 0T ,~Gt A: (~c~s ;~ t~ece cy/I s~d : ~QC~ ctce Cct.Yi be ~eqr~5 there S.’en,~ Co~~[uiM o s~’ty/e 4,2, ~, ~;t. 4,2,~, So ~-ei’ ~s poss* (~1~ ~ ~ /ky~ s4r~;ykls tk€ue Ace c~ ~he~ clue L/ ,) ~ ~A S~fli~ OT ~ ‘1 tr ;~ 7’%c ctfCk’? §Ir~iyhi Be / ~s ~ ‘C) Y1Q,k. ~ 1C)t&, €s~t cçç- auc ~ ~ posc,b/e q~J of /on7 ,~ knc~ coy rct~c,vti as ~c, One i~por~n~ J0 is A 1, L ~ ih it c/e~(+ (~cctcd k~n~) ~ the 5c~fliE ~ f~J~a~ be;~0 ihege ctre a/f ô~ Z) I QfP possb/e,eic~ - T1ic ≤~~Ii)LA’ h~ cqvi 7~ Ace0 ≤o possble c0~~qi~7 t4e io(’I-’() Li -63 ~y~kere /%ere q 01 _—.~- s*rc,,yhIs ‘r~5i4~ is O( /5a T~ Be ~ ~‘ Is A: ~/I ~2 bridye2 ~(Qyer ç2f Li ~ ~ )á~)7 (39 ~ ~13 ~ peopI€ ctve iv’. N ) /3 ( 3 0’ i~Dctbi~tiy So~q~ qre fr%yfrs. ~e /SLN c~rd5 I ~h~r( MO © A: 3≤S’3’3≤3’’(3~c-n÷ \) (3≤~ ~ ? a3 tutry~c( prcb~hii~y +~i5 Ex: A deckc-P cqds Is ______ i5 TkeM shvli/ec/r cc&c-ds owe av@r ~kq4 Is t~e pro b~ ~ ~%e 4ce ~s d~rec4b qf~er f~e ~rs~ ‘ice ? A: c~ frLi€re Or Orrc,nyerflen~s o~ ?e ~ o~ acE ±llere 4he /k~m1ec4~ej ±~e ~€ deck O~h~r ~Qr+s carols. dicec/~ ~~/er ~ /ke p/ace L ~S ;L (s ,~)(/) perti~iciYceY~ns cir~i i4~~ Q~1 S~c4 ~ ~%P ~ the ~rs~ probq~P7 7 — C ‘D2, I ~ 3~ (0~J;4j~( Ckc~ter The ;J~ 0t co~dui,ona7 pciH~cil ~&~/;~ Son~e ~ p~c1icue/~r SLC 4q//er ~ke ~rc 6 +tt~n ~ se/cc led, b~b)/~7y +~e TL ~~i1 1i~;~ loq~c (cqf/ J*ts efrent pr~b4h5 ~ persoM evp~t A)~ 6)~ ~e t~ is ~n e~ ~Ou~ L~IL1CUl 4q//er ~ I~ ≤f~ P~t8) > see ~ is t~e pr~ A occc~rs Th~ to ~i/,e /Ak/;hood I k~0~ +h4 -ihe pe1sc~ S~pose ~w ~Pr~~-f t1I~~ eve~i E~: A ~ +~± ~ IS OCCC,trs. PrO 4~L/o ref~’Iec( crC atc i?($) PC’S) iP(~Ie)= ,p~ne) lPd≤) EK: A +~c(± Eve~ s fô~seJ +~~e0 bd/h 1~cj~ res~W i~ Le± Aeqc/j a+ /e~sf 4 ~d o~e 6e ~4e ~ /et F&s~/Is B t~ be Fhe ~) Q: ~) IP(A F~~1d c~cL A: /P1AJS~/ H 1113) ~V! 15i iP(A !~ > Lx; L~ J~d~ L€{ ctn l((~LxJ2 e ven~ Jk~ ~ x less C7a~ k~yrs, 2.. is I~ +~e f~e ~~;fl ~ork, ~0;J;0~~/ pro ~ ~ k~ ~Ae ~;/J 1qk~ ~ct~ ~: H ~ C lPtLcA1~N a ~— — -La -Fke ~ co~p/de5 in ctre Pon 8rfti, ,, ~ 2 iqye ~ I3ce+I thee k~s Jeret~iy. c~p~C( 5 ~ ~ o~T dectfL © §L ~ p4yers ~c~vne x2rabqhi/~ 3 ~XQCI~ *hcit 1he re n≠t c~ ~ ot S A: L~-t A be 7’he g /ef c(~c/ 3os1~ 1~q+ 6t €~iL ~4~f evenT ~ ~ ~ 7 ~j~XJe~e~2) ~ 1/1’~) Th’ip\ POV\ ~ recen,c~ ~?i~et 3 ceacler i~c J°s~ (\pt V C ) E~ctsi&ç is H0~& £ Bre*/ cjepic4 ~‘he Pon /c Icon ~s /~ spctd~s~ 1’) ~ tke ç2 i_~4 ccLrcIs “IC) ~i /5N Tk~ /z\ 7-a pcob~bii~y U(f~ b~(ts 1< r cOr$c41,us ~ ~rc b/tie bqlly. Se/e&)~ecI c~1;J;4~ / pr0h~ ~ ii~~r! L ~~j/ -I ~ ~AIB~ lp~ng5 Ae h-L N ~k)çn-K) //rtE / L~ A11ec~1i’~ §cly7tO~ : pcev eç ~2 P IP43~ 4o Ic! I - _1_ a—C c~c-~ ±A~ 15 S n~4e ~Lt~L N Anot~er ~5 +o IIY4i e)= iPtAnR~ SEcc~cl SolVE *~ E~’ R0~ -r ~1L ~ (SJDç~ ø@ c~r~ H~ Y~tci~ pr~bcc 4~k€ STh6uid Of A coi ~ i~ o~ Is ~1 q~ A to bqse ;~ q hi3 dec;Jes frie is r4 U5,C Ia ~ Ca ri~ is ~ be A; Le± /1 ~d )W 8 /e~ eveni Jhe de~0k f%~ Ihe // iv~ Or? lie art yE/s ~ QrL (P~~) - qre TkO hq//5 Q; Uk~t ~ A; Le~ ~re c4~i 2. 4~’ ~ qre b~/( ~Pfi~c’ Tt~Is ~0~1d ~ CVP4IS Q,-y~’ c?r~ ~ se/ecYed—o~e ~he bE seca~J Nole~ reJ €~ 2. thci/ red t%~ Prc~j red /P~!:?2 kave / 2 j .iKR ~) ~ee~ co~ipw?~ec( sN /3 cQ~ç /z\/9 hi D Ey~ ~ec A q: of k ;s (3. Se far 0r/ed I≤ ihe ~v’ proL~b?il% ~ file IAc,1 ~ eqc~ u~ q~s~ereJ bet~ie C~ irk k, 4: AJo4e +k~t proc-C’: ~(E, flE~n E3~ = !P(E~P(E~)E,) ~H S~ i’P(E ~/i~ ñ?11’7~~) R~5,. AL d~no~e the ~q~/ Re ~L’ qceQ ~qS ir(~ AL) WA) (P/A2A~) ~ (11 3 J/~ (~~N1 /3~/3~\ ~L(’ ~ii/J U )~iaJ 1A2nA~ IP~t~ sJ ) ) ~j3 / 13 ‘(ZN (ZH I 3 - Uj3) z 0joc AM/1~flJ1~) / 8aj ~ P(An~) +,P(AflBc) = iPA~B~) ~çe c~ pobc~hf$~ is b~± o~ pro ≤een4s ~cy~/e 4CQ~,/~ ~ %/~ rg1qiiva~ qccJen~ pro~c a C 0CC is c?/eci~d A; Le* frvbICh q0 do d;recI(y c~v~p~r/e per5a~ ~ g&fle ~‘1A;~ i~ by cono/~ni~ 3, qvio~1~e~ A~ b/t nis ~ci~j dr;~ ~.,// ~ro t-~~i~q b~hih5 ~ crci≤~ ~fke ~ /c,7~c~~ q rc,njoY~ ~ /~fl~ the &r’ver 7’4e q~n nEtv* g=~per50~ (~ persokl crq~~ ~ acc;dp41 ~# IP(6)r /77k I i3)’~(B pro~ cr~sh3 )fl~ Q~Co~pde j~S1~, D 4~ WB1~ ____ {c~ Lx: CoRsjdpr A j5 ~ec~ ~ ~Li~ (.2~) ~11O~in ke cqfcls p/q ov~ A4 sh~P/rcI, ,~ oVer ‘4urflEci cq1d Cr cq~ Ihe ~// b~ t4 c~e un-fl ~ecI q~c1 /~s4? ~ ¶ 5/ p frove ~‘1/ ~ 1* ~o, Iff~~~) ~ 6 / k~ 0-r ¼/fl a ~r ~rcee 5j~e ~ ~ 4~ ~w4vy ~cW -i~r ;I £~or~S ‘~r Ct ‘Cu/P /c; Ihe C 4;r kr/) &v~4~3 ve~r/ /~I ycwr *4~ Le1~ not~ ,4 1s cLecfr FCC k. Let ~ be l?(~’~n’j)~ tttcH / 3wf/O≤e q rid remc,~qs ~ eyw~/ ~ cq~d Z4e ‘~speck~/ carc~’ycw~ia A// dro~eyies ~€ fleA4 ? Ace ~s c~~ç r A: &~ - ~;tA o ~r≤~ ~Vrc7/yy cQrd. (k~f~c~rJ deck, H U A ~1f’cst c~rJ ~ 1~e sfecicd c~rd~ p~ !P~n#~) ~(W[A)~)i /P(~l4~6c) # 1P(ci 1p(4c/Gj (P(~ + A c~sc) ~ O~) i~)~i~ ~(~( A~Acc) i~j~ 6 1~ ~ ~ 4 h€ p~ bcibL 4 a o~e qni q(so !hS Jec~ &P ~c cfsck ‘~ 0 ?Cqrj / ~e ‘.4e~q ~ ~ q ?—c~rcJ deck, Aflflf/9~ 1~ 6P çep ~: deck crP Jct ~51~7 cleck k~-cc~rd 2 ei~. ‘Z~ ~—;i~ 6 ~ p Le~ —I I ~ie O~ ~Vicf// 0. i-f itic Le+ C ~ +L~i~ I ~tkej rrspoklses /~ ~j D_~j7L~YJrW&. jel ;~ ccrcect~ j%jp Q: /P(k~C~ P’C)k)r~k) __ 1P6) P P Ex: ÷4t~-r~) A blood ~es± no~ per~ec~ 4 ~e po~/~~e (ne~q4iye v_h~vi ihe ~e5t t~e diseqse is presenl (qbsen~) diseese ~e cAc7~ce is 0P a: fla/f Q: of ~kd qre 3Iv&~ defec~4ny /2~rcar q ~he presen4 ;~, ~e1~ 4~s (~00d, ryht?) ~;/1 ~eJ JinflP, Jhe fr~e ~ Chqnce~ I I 4ec4c( kq~e W,yeo~e, +/ie po≤;)≠~? c/seoce A; L~+ PdiposJ;ve res~l D~se~se pcese~id 1F(D) t5Q ?ODIP) flfPLLfLr IP6~D)?(D) - ~P) - - - - rf~i D) uc~(9 D’5} (P(~ñ o)÷ /KPn v’~ ~y)6~o~ ~ -_ — (0 ~s)(~o) *6o1~~0) Q: Re~e~~ ,4: IPYDIP) +ti@ cc/cu/a$ô~ 4 .323 ~tten 1 (5~rpr~crj /p(o) =, ~ ~5j~0°S) ~Goi rIy4~ ~) ~4S~5) ~) PcI: +k~* t~ eve~s ~e 5a iP~ I 1# +~qt +~ T~ k~s occyreJ /1fre/~h~~J 0f A. ~ N$e: I-c ~r~oI 1~E~ A h~ ~Y4)KB), is ~hpn ~re /P6~i) (~v~ e~ ii /8 ~;n) 4 ~o Jr~~ ~ce ~ depe4 d~n~/ ~h~j~/ec/ deock~ E~1Ace~ F A: c~ defl’n,7io~ c~cd Let c/e~erm;ne /Pc?)B)?P(13) IV(i3) it ~e kno~in5 doesn~ iP44/,s)- I?K;4ng) ~e ~ocäs, / 1’~flBY pro~(~ S ~1~er If A, R N~1e independent qçe ~ ,~depende~Z ? Are ~ F Ves. IPLEI ~ ~z ~(~N/I~ ~ lP(F~a D ~ Jocs fq;r F:j≤eco~J Are ~ F A~ Th Ey; Q~ A: ~css rest]!: /~ ~ 4,8 c(re ~ F, , H~:;p4B)ip7p) ivi~ependeni. ≤f, Fr R;rd rd7 o~Iber ~crds, i~ K F ) ) c~ce De~: resci/~ f1AeQc1~} J7ecc/sJ, :~ /Ptjz)z~ ~ce )css *1* ~H4,4i /P~ia ~ Are ~~‘r5~ I4depende~r/? ~ng)= Jt~~~≤ E: co~ 3g flc4 Tkree or ~ore arc IP(QA~ €~6~d c~ 5e ‘~air~i≤e ~ ~‘ ±~e Evev/ls, buJ no~ incfe1enci~’#L, ~) Ex : A ~ence 4 4r;~I s n ‘MJepe~debrL ~*1h qt~ ~ resti/I~ is F:::!: /n 5uc9~ per~cvned po≤~t~k IC-cO ar ~ pret~4/& Sucecs fhe ~[/~f a’! CCc~t1~ ~L~CC6S≤ A, a r~ IrI~ls oc ~-‘°re 5~ccecç Ccc ~/P~S~) = H ~ ~i~= is = pr~bc~7i~ 1he ~ ye//by 69cec~v ≤~cceS3ey, A: k C:~Fjrs+ k -tn~-t crc C H3, olhers T~ pc~r~;cu/~r, ye O~Ieo~es es r~~° C. /p(c~ /P(5nc2n..ns~ns~n~s~) - p ~re 6r) 1< ~ O4l~er se~uenees ~ cows1’s~j s~n~’c O~ are IS the there e~~v~/eni ~fi~ls ~ be ≤~ccPrS~~, ~r ~re ip(a)~ (;)pc) T~erecce A 5~ C ~ 1~al ~ ~tc~r k qs One COr4r)~4Efl ~ k~ ~// t~-ii~7 ,f~r~b~bi/zIy ~he , ‘~dependenZ ~ cyc/?ni ,~orks? (Hp)~ c~rc ~i~€ i~lIcd S prOi;bbti&’ ~ ~? Le~ p ci~er ~; H I in ,~ 1~Ez A: 5wCC&S5~5 prdbcb’/’~ ~~ny k 0f ,k ~ E~= ç~o ~ or ~ enJ~ rôfleä ~itb l~(A): (Tt~~ i~i be-are e//her roHs? c~ iP(E~) ~ cqse) ~ t~o 6cn~4/ec~, coin. a a ~o/(ac ~ro~ 8. A. The 7c~~i€ ~ c3~(71 ~42 he 4 sJ~c4eJ t~e be~ &, ~4cl ~ prcb~tfl5 B q~d b~ ~bc ~Jqç7ed ~) ~) p ÷ ~ ±~eiv ~ ~tn’ns ~0~b,~eJ ~eq/~%~ ~he ~rsL L crc~ ~i~s p A recpeJve/y. iP(A ~ = co//ec~ frdvn ~ e~enf heecIs i~ cc//ects 5or~eo~e ‘s resy7iecI ~ /3 O!lierv~fise ~ /4 T A Ne~s~ Jollqrs. Le~ ≤uccCss,~E ø~ + ~, cØ; (i-p) zp6~ t = I, L / ~) t) ‘-p) (r~ C u,-e ~uI —I I) 6’ “P I -L cP I cv 4 ) P (~N) -L Th3 P Prec fr-s JO w v7 k~itievi 4 ~~p1 cc Q: Lih0i A: o~~:: cEo no, u~e d0 ~nC~ ~hen ~r~=≤I Q<’n< N P7, Un~j ~vlct I z. Ck~p+er ~ — Rq~Ja~ V~r~b!es IF avicfovi yctciczEle” js ~hO5~ Ex ~orviq,~ req Be is 5qrn42/~ yece~ I — loss ~ j S f(q~fl 0/ Hr )(~ T ~) (// 7~ (In H) L4 X~ ~ S ~@~cIs ~ ~ X(~) / ~ TT),(T )~~D3)r /K~HH4) Y~/( TTH)~) CJc, b0f(5 (v~umbeced ~x: 70 Q~ T~ yo~ tAa± Be Jr~ 3 / flwrnóc5’( 220) = 72.g Li iN/X1~ 7z~) Qr€ bq/js~ ~‘A~I ~iyhect A: Let %~ kyAer/ zo) (mr)(TTH) (r7r)j f, ~1 Ic ~A~/2fcb~o//4 or I~ryer? pro ttius the ~ X~I? ~ 4 Cdi~ ~ L~* /k2 ~(X;z) JosseJ a-fl -~ ~ i~ /~nds °m ios5Cs, ~(‘-p)p ~ ~(Yr;~ ~(‘-~-‘~ 4 i~ oyJco~ves Def: For ~ fY(X)/ c~/le~ ~J;scceie~k d;scre4e I5 5d or co~ni~% ~Lv,i1e ,‘~ ,t +hc ‘~rmrch ½~ ywcss y ylven ~ the ±~ ñ7~ ~q~+ Z prev~o~As ~ cr p(?c) fxjgx),0} ~~≤5 ~ S~w7 L~J~7, ~ -‘I pôssb/e 0c~~eS Q: ‘S o+ over ~he ~// D E~: T~ r,v, proh~&1i4 rna<c ~s ~ ~ 4: -cincI;o~ (~~c) X ~ ~ t°t 2, Co izczr -A X:o IpQo) ~~(723)~ ~; 22) L/P(/~2) /P(X7Z) - T~e a~ I e Xo “c~mpi~4%e ~ J;h~d~ ~i’veti 63 ~ ip(X~ ~). £~: C0~5;~~~ ~k≤s ~(x~= X: ) -~ -~ C +ke Xzz o7~ cct~ - ~ 2. (cdc) F1 3 A: 0 ~ )( U ~- I±x< 3 21 4 3, )( 3±)’ <9, 9~x ~1~ s—c ~—0 I Pe1: a 3 5- I, Tke ey~c-1ecL v’~ ‘~ / nv CI- C) Ls ylven ~ 0ne rnc)t4?J ~cyn~e k’Hi A or- ~f /nJerpreJo~;o~ ~JcA4 fl1cyn~ ~jyj pred;c/~0vi to ~h;~k o~P Hi :I~lie -Jo 2V40Yfl1 yo~ ot. 4IniCs, rvlanj b~ Close cfl~ ~ ~f y U~ur E(X) c Is Qk9dll/j Ou1c~pn~ ~ X. p/~y c~Vera.ye O~ fh1~ ~nnh.ys ‘~expec~/eJ L~;nr,,~qs, c~ 5es~esg by: T~r ft)÷2(~) E(X): 7: cLie. Ex: ~(Y)~ - ~j~a(~) Zj z+ clje ~ 6’ _~ - E~; An rnd!coiQr is rq~idoni ct is v~r~q6/e ~h~se 0 0 ~€çe iSA! ,~ /± J 9 F’ncl ÷c At Ey: P~’) j~ r/v~ Cov~p~Je D~ E(Kj o~ Y=~r~ ~;rs~ Cc~p~17 f~e ~ic55 I~ipoc4~4 (ax ) Z E(Y~ v1cuI~e n r1q~, dr~tce4 K -f Lieu Z~ P(~) Ixl ~c)7q E)C~ Lx: ~econip~4e ~ ~5i 54orC c~r4qi~ [Me ~bove p ropos ;~/on. sells Ct~154yrqs S4rI~ j ~sc/d ≤4r~ny L~-L X lose c$Z. Let Y2 be ~-P b~14~ ;~ ~h0 ~-~;/l the proCi cHef C, ~ CTP +~f ~qrr/ cyc~ AJ&~~: E~~; v~/tn?5’, ~3X-2(~-X) X<L bee /! ~o C~rnecI S ~i Cl k4 b~ y~: ~4e 3 Co ~) Q: Fi~d A: 5 ~ 3Os~ D~ z L(5x-zO~ P~) tx’/si r~’~ ~‘<f)5 (x)?o~ ± ~ -3(M~ ÷ CoJ~ neyl slep e Pe~ ~iv~d ~ Jcner~( a be ~ eqrecsio~ ~r &(yj. ~ a cMoose ~o ~ I v~c(X~ ELX~(x)]t VJk;I~ ttie ~bo~rf ~fA~ e>rpecJec( vq4,e mec≥n oc 4he cen~er var;Qv?ce ~ ,‘~ 1c beiv~ ([~ict oC -Hie ~ the cpre~~) cts-*,’buY~OY?, ne~s~urE q ~qc ~hp h~~h ~!he pcobQhH4~ cPruier/ ~/Ji he fly. /orye, VC/v ~qnC@ ¶ke E~:(o~s4ev ~ ~ Y ~ VHQ~S 41~C4Ci~4S y)tvev; ) a 0 ~ x_(oo) too, .0 Q: ~ 6~pw4c / ~~r4% vqc(Y), A: vacñf’) lOp00 var(~ E-~y)1 rcoo~ vqc(/~ E(K~ E4( ~ Z(xt_1~ ~)px) ZxZ p(~ —z~ZRb~ ~ ~4p~7o3 a7x2)~~ExY b~ Let X Ex: Q c~ dIE ro vQcK/), EIV1J A; th~ kiuw,ber 7J(~)Z ~ a 6 ?rop~c;1~o~: E(~Ytb)~ ~fOcI~ E(~X4h)~ q Z÷pfrLXp(~ ~ V~r (~/+ L~ ~2 v~rlY), vqç E{~K+~ _(q~1~) 1 a ~ivqr(x) Del: E~c: 4 ~ PCo1~1 /qflcjç o~ ~n Lefs cq// 2 ~ ~cr~s p. ~ o/ek,e JPeI: ~;9h l~C~c/$ crC Ict,/s r1y, ~ ern~~I)~ p~y~: (p I-P s~ccesy ct ~d Ktr?~0 r,v ~ 1i h4~ ~ XrO, Lx; ~ ~-e ce tc’ yose No~v ‘c~t~ ~ f ti~e5. ~ ñ 5 r4v, ~g~owI/L pos;~s~e qn~ ~ bi~ow;a See / ‘\ ~-ee ~en fl Y i’~~eyer, 1k fl7c~Sy S. /P~zo) D z a-~ ) 6-p)9 ~ @r~ p 6~p)3 ~ (1)2 P ~0 iP(Y j): (~) p~ ~ 1, / 0 ?(f~j)r (~~Ci 0 0, ‘s ~rJ\)cMI4L N01c -fkd4 3 J Lndep~de~ 311’) en, No~r )z r~ç ‘s ~EgMo~L ~ X~ 1 IM XL ~ece ,9c~( ~d ~4i. ~ qflj J ~≤~;b~4~d, Ex: ACME se/Is scre~s Efl C~ L~_,t~ j~ indepe~iäe~ ~;l/ 4~e o~fk~r r~~H~i ~o~r o~ rnor€ qre ~e ~kq4 proportIc~ probQb/’Jy ~ 10. ci or ~c~/;vE~ o~ sq /es v~ he ~ ~e pro~h;~ %~ a se/ecqej pqckqje has 2~ ,~ CC ~ S~ p(~ esses) ~e~C4iV~S ~cY/0~ ~r ~e~cIives) Y x E ~C)i I, , io~ +~e 4eiec ‘~V~~c H 1 ‘C’ 0 F~ ~(/) X~ 61N(n,p). ~ere (fl)px4y-x X r~ >(\<~? x (HP) __ (x-i)~ /n~x)! P ñ-p)~~~ ~-) in- 1N 7 ~ (x~) ~ nI~ L 120 flp )p ~ 9y SIMce ~ )~ ii (Hp) ~ © F;~i Fr) ~4ere X~~Ji~(n,p) E(Xl) a — IL 1~~~ x — - r~t x-vo F fl~I pX - I() (x- I)! ~-x)! a = E = ~R f~-’~~O P ~ fl~ ~ ±~f’5 /i/~afç = ~d - ~POp) p I) —&pY )~&v’ 1~ ~c /he &IA)(n~ Up). D e De~ 4 cV. ?0~cc0Y9 ~ Q(~)~ so~e Ec F;~4 2 ~ 7~. r vv\eaAl +Jie qfrlJ VQriqnC-~ Y_por(A) CI ze A p I yj x;o\ ~(x2) ~ ze) I x-i~o(x~~. ~AA Zkx~Z’ A ~c(X)~ E7 a) (p~)2 Ex~ (~e7q1,~e ~oniiq1) 5qp(cse E~ch prob~hH~ Yhej ~ Li X T~e~ c~/c1 co~,p/e borv~ p ~1°e t~t (Ar ~ ~2*~ ~C ~qv;4~ fl~4eç c~;~ren ~-r ~Jf( ~ ~ be c4uier ~ic~ c~/dre,i a ~i& yf~/ ~ ~ ~ X~ Aqve r, r* r r Ex: (~~c~eonic/n’c) 4 h~~{ L€% qrP ~(X~x)2 /mN çx)~ ~ c~n4~;~~ n X~~0c ~ < ~ ~7(s h/c~ck b~//c S ~ ~ prev?ous ~ cc se~ u-~e con~c1ereo1 o~f~ o4? i i ‘frI~~ A r~ EYIsIS ckop$ec, p&ssib/e a~Ic~yne~ ~os cc~vu/qh~j 1k74?ni~/e (;~ d~scte4e ~ ~hose J~ g~ä0~ ~~ri~b/es v,e ,‘~ I, Cc)nS~cfer cq/%c/ Cov1T/v~CG~5 iT there ~ , q 3 +tjciE 1P(XEA) set AEiR, 1~k~ /7 c~fi~, I I~I I r ? robctbitij aevis-~j iP(~ ~ i. tYfrlClvofl .1’ or cq//ed V A. =s:~~~ M~4e: i= ip(~cg) No1e~ is ~ b)~ ~ Nete~ es ) rv,s. S ~ Suppose ~Utk?C rev. ~ deu5i4 ~ ~ (C(~x ~Zyz) 1:1fr)dX z çc(~z)?)a~ 7sN u)zcL~} c(~ 3 1, T~erefo~e ~J 4: c(Hx~ zK3)) ~ Y(X2I)~ ~ ~ Th)-(z gx: (apo~eø4r~ ( rcv.) ~] rv, 4n x X (0 so~e = [3 k~3 z 2 x ~ i~ 4he fiyh~ b~/~ probc~/i~j (in hot~rs) ~hcT! The ~ ~ 1 A~ lPft≤/oo~ N tOo _X/100 (e*~ i) - e rflJ the /1: C~J~ x F~ fl/iyf~ j C x?a, 0 ~ 7 ?(40Q 300) A~ ~(X23oo)z /F(~oc~ He —-3 — 3&offoo ) a -‘ cj~’0 F,~qc~ — -X/too A: ~e ~ Y~O 0 ~~1;~e ~e }h~t F~x) ~ere F’ n01 does qt q// Pro pasiJzo~ Ne4~: x~c P~x)z ~ ‘s ~o4±s ~ ) o~ no a/f a C ~ U con~e;~ence s~iny/e / respec~ive~≠ ~ m~s A”— cr $cn’i& ~e~e~ber //2~≥~)O Th€ ~ MOJ Is deC~eJ, +he d~~ii;~ (cc cow#~b/e s~4 of~poi~I/s) c~ 3 F’ t~~ncI;c.n does~d c~L ~+ ~ re b~ IS recIet?v~v~ /20’M ~-he ~ ~ S~ppcse ~ /P~X~5 $he o4~:/ Y~2X Xkt) ~ ~ Dc~: Ike ‘s Des: ~expec~d v~l~; 2 COV1t’nuO~S 3~vev1 Tke “vqçiq~~e” o~ q co~+i’~o~s rtvt~ 6 ~te~~e K ~: ~ cJi Zx j F(~)~ 2% C fx dx Zx) ~<\ i ~ (o~r) 1.v. / LYt ~Qs - f o 0: ~ Y~ e~ ~(j); /~/)7~): ic~\)z f16)- tkece ~ z ( /~ 1) E(Y)= idfy~~~ ~i o re~ /— v~7~ed cav.~ ~ ;~ ~~€~i) Redo tkf prob/ev’i u≤Iv~j tt~e x cc I V Le~ntq: I~ X ~ E(/) pCoo~; L~ a Co?~it<O~S ~> fr~d± RItS: I / 5~) (ç~~ V ‘L ~,i’ ‘V = ~ Vr0pos;4;0~: E(~ pvco~ E%X4h)~ q E(X) (~k~re /~Is 4 b. 9 r~~1 a ~(ao~ var[X)D r, F [X~E~t; vce E~~ct] r IX) 2 y~a) ~(x)Jy I 1K ~ ~~2J X~~dx - ~ftz) -2~J 2 ~y2) D~1~ 4 ‘~ni~ç~~’ IsVr r 1± ~x)\b-~ h25 d~nsi/j T~cL’o~ ~4x4b ) 10 E,’~a Ex: r,’~ ~()) F(~L a~d F(x<2) ~ ~cLr~) ~4~efr, /~ © Ex~ /~ ~rHvql/ J~s~r~6u~eJ ~ ht~s -ç10~ 7AM cone everj C; Le~ Xz ~ ~ f0 I5~ I miv~ (0 ~ ~3O AM, ~,~,Ies: 7) ~ ~c ~ihe b~s, lP~Y7c)) A~ 5Yo~ qnd 30 ‘j3o ‘S~X N36 ~~C) / I CI ~ C) ~te~ X~ Ur~rr(o,~~ 15 ~)= ~ ~~ax 0 1~ 2-i 3(i5~ L ~ ? IS-S A CC~$I~0~S cjv, if’— // c~l(ec( Is ;-L ~ensi5 /iqs ~nc~O~ SoniC +kq+ Provc A: q c/efls,~ 2~ I~ Le+ 1~(p~C/’ôr Q41c/ C j~z 5 ix e ~ -Co CO r1Jj W~ j(~z cooc4~/e~) — ~ rdrdG 300Jzv ~\ zw ~0 ~-~7~Je~ ~ c (~ qvid ~j_. ~(x) is a ~ ç~jC~CO~ F;nct E(X) ~ v~c(X). ~L±: Tde5r~l~vi ‘3 E(Y~D ~ paris neejecL /~ ~ jx~~c~ — Ac + A ~ ( dj is A( s~bs4;Jw!;c~ ce.n cc/cl itinc - vqc(X)z S~2~~e cc] c ss1/a/i’~) }~c~1c0~ ) o-z ÷~1~e ci~ I~ is Pccoc: L€± X~ M(M,CL)3 nor~~(5 theh 1rib~/ed, Y~qY+b. ~o): t?(Y~) ~x~) x _ q ii ) q bt3~ F/t.~) / V ±tbL ~ <0, - S t (~:P -~Y/z~~t 4h~~ _(~ ~4~+b] ) L/z ()Z ~(Q~÷b/ ~ ‘5 ) ~ Is ~orniq( CC ~ rqvicIo~ fero vQr;~b/e ccese is Sores is ~e~plc/on-i is discrele, in m~+~ YoIo sc~/e5 ~re apprcxImdIe~ A ~ ~) B c D E +he propor4io~ ~ ~c-zrJ ~C c /~ss A 3~ce ~ 0~ 3 C±c, v,~~6/e~ D flor~~// Crc~JI~o ~ ±ke ciJ~ of “expo~enI’~ 7” DJ~ An r1 v, de~si4 has ~nC i/Ofl x_6/ Some Op4;o~a / Q~es½o~; izx: Suppos-e phone c~ v~ riqncE, q~O, $sIer m;n~s1es IS k~2 been S/~e ~q/~ ,~ ~r Le~ 7 q/reqJ~, /~ her co//s >~ C: A: ~ >0, I ~ )P(X~+L/y?~’)r ?(x>~~b a~d ~ P(X2~) Xflo 5 Co qt~ -q4_ ~co \~e -e -_X/fO ~co 0. tliis deesvi~’t c/epevzcl M&fe iAis bee fri more j~1eans , ~c rnafieç tke pcob~blrlj rnMt4ies ~ the S~r49, ~ ske hcts ~ 5 ~ Ck~p-l-ec Qce .$4evi (or ~ ;~-[eras$~d +he ;~ d~fl~ ( ~ A’ ~ 4rU,~4;ovi ~42 We X ~t4a ~f~v need Joi.it ~ t~~gs) Jenc,lL~ to ~1y~eK)t k4c~- +kE ZPQ’~ (x1~A r~)~ ~kece ~ y72). 4€ Cqflj4wjL ,S°”i’+ %1t~o/v~’~tcj B≤ flese 1, pcoE~b;1-hes knore~ ~ Vaci’abl&s t~s4rbwfeJ Rq~cLopvi ~ i6.tccss E~ ~~n4I4qou5 A t..jkece I3eth 42’~sj’~ r~ +t’ie deA~ie tke ~ ‘~ôtt-r1z ~ ‘yx. JV~ -Ike +hI≤ 1I’vzudt(s meLds cc~se —, 5J 4(x,~f) det’is51 ‘S g~~~~qfCW, a~ Xa.ivl Y a~ ~± ~. The r~&v~cLa( d€~545 -It c~s (er ntctss) -Ike I” “ x ~c e t&tc4ro~s aenshL~ (o~ ~cass) / Py(~ X7o, ‘-j7o, C Fi~iJ the Ft4d By: 3 ptttczr3Iv~cg1’s. +ke 3c~vi4 ace \~ql(s 3 ~ )(: ~ red, ~ JP 4 bo~aj/. The ç ,.blt4e red. avvct ~ of bq/ls. kg/Yr t~vhh~e Scoapett FIvzct Raci ~x: 4ke o~v& flit knacy.t~(s -I-Gte Fid tke f “-‘~ Wtc~sS 3&~i-L c.d-ç aviv! ±he~q fhe .*~( C H ~ ~P \~) bôtvl x y CV.’s ace P(XEA t~c4epertaen-k C q F~5= F C’) A E1u~vct1evr1(~j, t~t 4, r IvtcLepewcl,ekl cc ç~ cevdAzceays ~= r.sj.’≤ Ccjpi Sp~ose XI be expea~.seJ Y Ce n4tn ~4~%5. hiJep’etide+L. F(s): x÷y C TL~ f X÷1 F -~ 4 -Co T~r~ i-≤ ~Lc€a -J -F-ks It, 64~ %~‘~ cnj4 Ext X, ~ Suppose Erv~d tke. Fi~d Note 5o~n~ ae~s~y. tkt Tke~ CGVIVC(L40VI XtY fkccf ;ç-~~q[0~ r~ (v~ har~(s. Dec: ScHwo cl?scca1e ~ K c.v.’s y (xljpA=x ~ivevi Dec: ~ ~ X p~41j ~jiveri y r~ fh~s tk~ 1~ Covl4iflccou.S be cc~-~ 1Oofvvcc~( 3ct4+~y 0c t8eJ ~ X~ V *uze~ 4.co~d;4j-~~( a~re /nJepeuc/e~r1 ~ ~ ?(‘X~, Y~ tke ~ovttG];oe4cc( : E(X l1~ - ( Cc covid;4~oncJ expacA-ea4~’ovts: WPXIY(X~ 5K ;~1~(~I,) __ eLe14541) ‘1’ cav~ de.$Me sp~) pv~qgs (xjij’) tn..e r,V.s UMIF(0,1) eetklaes4+ ~ce , — D0~t di5TI,P4/ob1 X,Y E~: fl I. 1Liflc~,OViSOl ‘~‘~ ~deptncIe~f r ~~(o,i) x1~ €(ci’), ~ C C/~eç~~e0 X÷Y Vz XY Ltc ±~e ~ deny,~, ~ cav~ 2 (u~v)/ So/ye ~ q, v ~ jer~s TkE 4~~0b;~’ o~ J~4e i~r ~cc Ir~s~Grni~on fl€ver ~ep~ I hen ~hece (x(~v)3 ~ ,~ ~(V~V~) Z X2 o~ç (u_-v Lj J I 1k~≤ (X~V, rf /uty -a —I ~ ~ ta-v 5 L4+Y L4V 2~ C C) ‘1 ~4..q (4~-~f: U ~~-~y: L4-FV: 0 2 2 Ey~ ~, S R ~Ir~ 2w) ~yp(j) / R &= R~J + ~ rco5(&) (x,5)2 (dx,~), O~c,~) R9(~ / r 51&1L( The~ fl~ (z) 13~ Ccv (X,Y~ coy ~ ~Y. M ~, I’ f.i (to ccv vcc6C) v ~, — - 1-5 L, Or ~. , / I—’. 7I_.~J \I lqLOk 4) ~J\ Ctv(A~) 1~) e~ N (sc~b~t~ ) J c/cztó4 -. -Q-——-~? fc~ VQC(’) z Zr c: ce~v(/’/~ 4~i~r(~’) ;t Yc ‘F ) •; Cr4 + zl~ zka c~q(X) v~cZ/≥)r Z~04~) F~4 4t C vi -4 s.f - 4j’1:~ E~ 0 I I I I 1= I I/V”o I I I & I I I I I I IL~ I I I a a E ttO VI 2 Vt II v1-x P t p-I 4 ne tA H— ~- H’ Ff’ t 4-1-- fr-I E,’~1 cd I v~,I on si4df ,1’tClP 4; A I- ç k’O 1. The proof of this involves finding the moment generating function and then showing that it converges the the MGF of a standard normal.