Proceedings from the Nutrients and Salmon Production Workshop Thursday November 21, 2002 Please note that many of the figures included in this volume were prepared for electronic display and do not transfer to the best black and white print quality. SALMON NUTRIENTS: CLOSING THE CIRCLE John Stockner, Limnologist, Fisheries Centre, University of British Columbia and Eco-Logic Ltd. Report from the Nutrients and Salmon Production workshop held at Simon Fraser University on November 21, 2002. Summarized from Stockner, J. and K. Ashley. 2003. Salmon Nutrients in Aquatic Ecosystems: Closing the Circle in Stockner, J.G., editor. 2003. Nutrients in Salmonid Ecosystems: Sustaining Production and Biodiversity. American Fisheries Society, Symposium 34, Bethesda, Maryland. Facilitator: Craig Orr, Associate Director, Centre for Coastal Studies, Simon Fraser University Editors: Deirdre Dobson, Masters Candidate,Centre for Coastal Studies, Simon Fraser University Jennifer Penikett, Program Assistant, Centre for Coastal Studies, Simon Fraser University Patricia Gallaugher, Director, Continuing Studies in Science, Simon Fraser University The consequences of nutrient loss (oligotrophication) and attendant low productivity on ecosystem biodiversity and fish production have only recently piqued the interest of aquatic researchers. Conversely, research into the causes and consequences of eutrophication has been a major focus of aquatic research over the last few decades. Oligotrophication is the process where plant nutrients are removed from a system and the subsequent reduction in ecosystem biodiversity. Various anthropogenic processes lead to oligotrophication: dams and reservoirs trap nutrients, acidification, drainage of wetlands, logging, liming, climate change and the simple reduction of fish (through blocked passage or over-fishing). In these situations, the phosphorous that is present ultimately sinks to the bottom of lakes and oceans, taking it out of the working ecosystem. Sponsored by the Centre for Coastal Studies, Simon Fraser University through a grant from the Vancouver Foundation. BACKGROUND The idea for the topic of this Speaking for the Salmon workshop evolved from a conversation that Patricia Gallaugher had with Rudy North,President, North Growth Management Ltd., early in Fall 2002, where Rudy asked the question: “In lakes where salmon are not returning in the numbers they once were, is it possible to increase productivity by adding fertiliser?” The purpose of this workshop was to seek a better understanding of the relationship between nutrients and salmon production. Within an aquatic ecosystem there are a number of important nutrients. Hydrogen, sodium, potassium, 1 nutrients) of lakes. Now in the 21st century there is a renewed realisation of the importance of nutrients and the value of human wastes. Presently, societies have an extremely high use of phosphorous and the depletion of reserves is greater than the return. With phosphorous consumption reaching an all time high, soils are becoming worn out. With this rate of use and without the addition of phosphorous back into the ecosystem there is the risk of running out. It is important to re-learn how to close this circle. magnesium and calcium are among the essential ones, though these are required in lesser amounts than nitrogen, phosphorous and carbon; all are essential for life. Most plants need nutrients in amounts described by the Redfield Ratio of 1P: 16N: 106C. Phosphorous is the limiting element in this ratio because it is unique. Lacking a gas phase (unlike carbon and nitrogen) it cannot be removed by biogenic assimilation. Therefore, if phosphorous runs out, the ecosystem can no longer support life. The loss of nutrients, such as phosphorous, occurs when the cycling of nutrients is interrupted, such as in British Columbia where a decline in nutrients is a result of a decline in salmon populations. With respect to salmon, the decline of phosphorous nutrients began in 1850-1930 during times of overfishing. In the time of first contact with the First Nations people, the settlers built canneries where the seine fleets from the Fraser River would package their chinook. During that time all the nutrients were being put into tin cans and were not available to replenish the environment. In addition, there was increased habitat degradation, logging, agriculture, and loss of other species, all exacerbating the decline of lake nutrients. The primary reduction of phosphorous and other nutrients in streams, lakes and estuaries can thus be attributed to the decline of fish populations (Figure 1). As smolts, young salmon migrate to the Pacific Ocean taking some of their natal lake or stream’s nutrients with them. As adults migrating back to their natal ecosystem, they return much larger quantities of marine nutrients from their oceanic rearing grounds to their aquatic and estuarine ecosystems. The harvesting of adult salmon, since the turn of the The resultant loss of nutrients in the environment was not always the case and only recently became an issue because of modern perspectives. Historically, phosphorous was continually cycled through the ecosystem regardless of the amount of demand placed upon the ecosystem. For instance, in Tokyo from 1720-1820, the city’s population grew from 20,000 to 1 million without sewage systems and without disease. The “recycling” of human excreta facilitated this growth, as this source of essential nutrients was fed back into the land, used as fertiliser. This practise closed the circle from extraction to replacement from the earth’s resources. However, in the 20th century there was no such recycling: human waste was viewed as having no value. This led to the wastes being dumped, resulting in eutrophication (too much 1200 Catc h (tons x 102) 1000 P (tons) 800 600 400 200 0 1875 1900 1925 1950 1 975 Figure 1. British Columbia salmon catch expressed in biomass and phosphorous equivalents (Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Vancouver, BC, unpublished data) 2 2000 Given the evidence of the importance of salmon nutrients in maintaining productivity in salmonid ecosystems, it is clearly time for a major paradigm shift in fisheries, forestry and river basin management. The problem is that the amount of phosphorous in the world is finite and usable phosphorous is running out. We need to re-learn how to close the circle through better nutrient management, especially for phosphorous. This can be accomplished through nutrient addition to low productivity wetlands, forests, streams (i.e. apply increased phosphorous sludge), public education about nutrient cycles in water systems and a change in public perception of nutrient enrichment from “pollution” to one of habitat restoration. Implementation will require good limnological knowledge and a better understanding of the importance of maintaining a balanced nutrient supply and suitable habitat to optimize potential productivity. More importantly, this will require the education and need to re-engineer management of water bodies, wetlands, dams, and treatment plants, stressing the importance of phosphorous replacement. century, has led to an average loss of 225-275 tons of phosphorous per year (Figure 1). This equates to enough phosphorous to produce greater than 100,000 tons of living autotrophic plant biomass. There are consequences to this process of oligotrophication. The obvious one is an ecosystem lacking sufficient primary productivity. There needs to be a balance for if the fishery is lost, so too is the biodiversity. This loss will be reflected up through the food chain as the ecosystem relies on the carcasses and fish for food. Replacement of these lost nutrients is now required by means of lake and stream fertilisation. One such method is the of dumping liquid nutrients into the lakes from planes or helicopters. This is effective but very expensive, and therefore the BC Ministry of Water Land and Air Protection has used an alternate barge method, such as on Chilko Lake. For nearly a century, adult sockeye escapements to Chilko Lake have been less than 15% of estimated historic levels. In recent years (1990-2000) however this improved to just over 20% of total returns as a result of implementation of lake fertilisation in the late 1980s and early 1990s and to restricted harvest in the 1990s (Figure 2). Results of this fertilisation project showed fish production to be a product of the amount of total phosphorous. Discussion A participant asked what happens to the waste product from treatment plants? John Stockner replied that the treatment plants are not recycling and that wastes are simply dumped into the ocean or sludge dumps. The iron and nitrogen results in a high boost 250 Chilko Escapement 200 150 100 1990 1980 1970 1960 1950 1940 1930 1920 1910 1900 0 Year Figure 2. Chilko sockeye escapement from 1890 to present (from J. Hume, Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Cultus Lake Laboratory, Cultus Lake, BC, unpublished data). 3 2000 50 1890 mgP/m2 300 to productivity in the ocean but better engineering is required for treatment of wastes in order to recycle the nutrients for use in lakes and streams. of practical and applied components of lake fertilisation. Four nutrient assessment techniques are: 1. Bioassays to determine nutrient limitations; add N and P in different amounts to see which is the limiting nutrient; or 2. Synoptic surveys of biota to determine if the system is oligo, meso, or eutrophic; 3. Low-level water chemical analysis; and 4. Qualitative assessment. Questions were raised regarding the cost of the fertilisation projects and who should cover the costs. The methods used by the BC Ministry of Water, Land and Air Protection were effective and relatively inexpensive, costing approximately $2.2 million, using a plane (low cost/unit growth and the number of adults produced). It was suggested that perhaps revenues brought in by recreational fishers could be directed towards financing future fertilisation projects. Prior to proceeding, it is important to realise that adding nutrients is controversial in some areas, and illegal in others (e.g., USA). Therefore, you must ensure that all regulatory agencies are notified in advance. Fisheries and Oceans Canada is presently developing draft guidelines for nutrification. In addition, the BC Water Act requires that you have a downstream license. PROTOCOL FOR APPLYING LIMITING NUTRIENTS TO INLAND WATERS Ken Ashley, Aquatic Ecosystem Science Section, BC Ministry of Water Land and Air Protection Summarized from Ashley, K. and J. Stockner. 2003. Protocol for Applying Limiting Nutrients to Inland Waters in Stockner, J.G., editor. 2003. Nutrients in Salmonid Ecosystems: Sustaining Production and Biodiversity. American Fisheries Society, Symposim 34, Bethesda Maryland. In aquatic ecosystems, phosphorous is typically the limiting factor when TDP (total dissolved phosphorous) is <2-3µgL -1and SRP (soluble reactive phosphorous) is <1µgL-1. In streams nitrogen is limiting when DIN (dissolved inorganic nitrogen NO3-N+NO2-N+NH3-N) is <20µgL-1. Nitrogen is the limiting nutrient in lakes and reservoirs when the epilimnetic DIN is <30 ugL-1. Therefore, before proceeding it is There are logistical and practical aspects that need to be addressed when considering fertilisation programs. BC has taken a lead in the research and development Figure 1. Response of algal weight per square metre to nitrogen and phosphorous addition. 4 important to determine the nutrient status by collecting a minimum of one-year pre-enrichment data. although this is not fully researched in oligotrophic systems. Nitrogen levels vary with season and in response to water sources (e.g., melt water vs. groundwater) as well as land cover and geologic ground composition. It is difficult to identify the sources of nitrogen because they are often masked by point and non-point pollution. It is also possible for an ecosystem to shift from being P limited to being N limited during enrichment. The nutrients not only affect the immediate area in which they are added but also the downstream areas. Unidirectional flow of water displaces nutrients considerable distances downstream, and the amount of distance varies in accordance with stream size (the greater the stream, the greater the distance). Examination of stream ecology shows that the amount of phosphorous has greater affects on primary productivity than does nitrogen (Figure 1). However, this is not a “more is better” scenario, for even low concentrations of phosphorous can lead to increased algal growth. In the first year of study (1983) described in Figure 2, a lot of phosphorous was added, and resulted in excess algae growth. While the Project planing requires 1-2 years, with a minimum of one-year pre-enrichment data. This involves the collection and analysis of stream discharge, water chemistry, biota, residence time, stratification depth, water licenses and escapement trends. There are seven key components to any project: 1. Desired concentration of nutrients Streams: You need to be able to list the nutrient components of the system and the concentrations. invertebrates eventually graze the excess algae down, it takes time (a few years) for the grazers to catch up to Figure 2. Responses of algae downstream to nutrient additions The target load is 3-5 µgL-1 SRP and 30-50 µgL-1 DIN for phosphorous and nitrogen respectively in streams. For streams, salmon carcasses are the most effective method of adding nutrients (as is used in the State of Washington, USA) (Figure 3). the increased nutrients. Therefore, starting the fertilisation off slowly will enable the grazer to keep up with algal production. When planning a project, it is important to realise that nitrogen limitations do occur in aquatic ecosystems 5 Phosphorous will rarely be detected, so it is important to not over apply this element. The number of carcasses that should be added can be estimated from tree ring data, sediment cores, historic run numbers in addition to salmon estimate curves. Lakes and Reservoirs: The nutrient loading method for lakes and reservoirs is derived from the Vollenweider-type loading model, which incorporates mean depth and residence time. There is a need to apply the N and P within the oligotrophic range and ensure that the epilimnetic N:P ratio is > 10:1 (wt:wt) during the growing season. 2. Type of nutrients. Salmon carcasses are the best type of nutrient, although liquid or granule inorganic or slow release methods can also be used. There are storage and handling problems April through to September (Figure 4). Nitrogen uptake takes place mostly in the summer months over a 20-22 week period (Figure 4). By frontend loading the timing, the addition mimics a “run” or the spring freshet, thereby enabling the system to keep above the N-limiting situation (Figure 5). 4. Frequency. For both lakes and streams nutrients can be added as often as technically and economically feasible. Within lakes, more frequent pulses favour smaller sized phytoplankton due to higher surface area to volume ratio. Flow proportional injection systems can be used for continual loading as can slow release fertiliser or carcasses. An alternative is to use pre-programmed injectors that can be used for loading so many times per hour. 5. Location of application. For streams, the location of application depends on the type of nutrients that are used as well as the presence of large woody debris (which can improve carcass retention). Site selection should also consider accessibility and nutrient spiraling distance. For lakes, it is best to dump the nutrients in the middle of the lake, as they will be carried through by natural circulation. 6. N:P ratio. The nitrogen:phosphrous ratio depends on the geology of the watershed, season, biological uptake and run-off sources. Coastal BC is Figure 3. Nutrient enrichment as a function of carcass availability. typically phosphorous-limited while the interior of BC is nitrogen or nitrogen-phosphorous counique to each type of nutrient used, for instance, limited. solid fertilisers absorb moisture, which causes 7. Application technique. It is important to mimic caking; liquid fertilisers will salt out under certain nature whenever possible. conditions; ammonium nitrate is extremely explosive; and salmon carcasses have a limited Conclusions shelf life. Nutrient enrichment programs should mimic the 3. Seasonality of application. For streams this would “nutrient pump” whenever possible, ensuring that depend on the type of nutrients used and can treatment produces edible phytoplankton and reflect salmon runs with carcasses or snowmelt. periphyton and avoids the occurrence of nuisance For lakes, fertilisation can take place from late algae. Treatment needs to be adequately monitored, 6 Figure 4. Seasonality of fertilisation in Upper Arrow reservoir. Keogh River for a one-time application that equalled one tonne of slow release fertiliser. Therefore, when considering all prior techniques for increasing salmon numbers, this is the most cost effective when looking at the cost per salmon. However it is important to note that fertilisation is not a solution for declining stocks. and should be viewed as an interim measure that is most effective if all components of ecosystem recovery (e.g. habitat loss) and key external factors (e.g. over-fishing) are conducted in a co-ordinated program. Discussion The main concern raised with regard to this technique is cost. However, it was pointed out that hatcheries are also very expensive. While hatcheries might cost millions of dollars, fertilisation for a whole river can be accomplished for $1,000, as was the case for the The question with regard to the effectiveness of fertilisation in glacial waters also sparked discussion. One response was that phosphorous absorption would occur at a higher rate during the times when glacial 7 NIMPKISH WATERSHED SOCKEYE ENHANCEMENT USING LAKE FERTILISATION Don McQueen, Adjunct Professor, Department of Biological Sciences, Simon Fraser University When the number of salmon present in a lake increases, there is a decrease in individual size of the salmon when they leave the lake. This is because the salmon are limited by food as in the example of Woss Lake in the Nimpkish Watershed in BC (Figure 1). However, when there is a high density of fish, there is an increased chance for returning adults. On the other hand, larger individual fish will have an increased ability to survive and also to return as adults. Thus, it is possible to achieve the more desirable outcome of larger fish with increased survivability by increasing the food source within the lake by adding nutrients. The efficacy of using lake fertilisation to enhance juvenile sockeye salmon growth rates and to improve subsequent rates of marine survival were tested within the Nimpkish Watershed (Vancouver Island). The Nimpkish Watershed has characteristically experienced catastrophic declines in salmon in recent years, including the disappearance of whole year classes (Figure 2). There are three lakes within the Figure 5. Vertical profiles of nitrate and silicic acid in the North Arm and South Arm in 2001. flour is at its greatest. Glacier flour, the fine silts and muds that are deposited in a lake that has formed at the base of a retreating glacier, are the finest sediments of the glacial outwash material, and the last to settle out from the material deposited in the lakes. On the other hand, it was suggested that the more glacial flour there is the less effective the fertilisation and the system could turn to a bacterial run system. Figure 1. Correlation between number of sockeye and average weight of individual fish. 8 watershed, Nimpkish Lake, Woss Lake and Vernon Lake, that are still producing sockeye. weights (Figure 7). The second and third years also saw large diatom blooms, although the species were There was a need to know that the fertiliser mixing method was effective in this study. In the first attempt to fertilise Woss Lake in 2000, there was no build-up of phosphorous and there was a 10-fold increase in algae (Bacillariophyceae) (see Figure 3), and therefore it was assumed that the phosphorous was being taken up. However, after one year, this increase in nutrients Figure 3. Algae species in Woss Lake in 2000. Figure 2. Estimated escapement of spawning sockeye salmon into the Nimpkish River. resulted in an increase in Daphnia with no change in zooplankton. This meant that there was no increase in sockeye growth rate. This was the result of nutrients being used by diatoms (Rhizosolenia eriensis), an alga not eaten by zooplankton, and therefore the extra nutrients were not available to sockeye (Figure 4). As a result of these findings the method was changed in the second year. In 2001/02 we fertilised Woss Lake and used Vernon Lake as the control (Figure 5). This time fertiliser was added earlier, which possibly drove the lake from being phosphorous driven to nitrogen limited. The results of this study are described in Figures 6 and 7. Woss Lake had a greater concentration of the desired zooplankton in 2001 compared with Vernon Lake (Figure 6) and as a result the sockeye responded in the second year and third year with increased Figure 4. Nutrient pathway in Woss Lake, 2000. 9 Figure 5. Woss Lake and Vernon Lake within the Nimpkish Watershed system. different than in Year 1 and were an edible species (Figure 8). Vernon Lake was not as successful in increasing the sockeye run size (data not shown), possibly due to the increased steelhead competition that was present. After the three years of treatment, Vernon Lake still had few diatoms with no increase in sockeye while Woss Lake was very successful with the production of sockeye in greater numbers. Therefore nutrification Figure 6. Zooplankton concentrations (µgL-1 dw) in Vernon and Woss Lakes. 10 Figure 7. Fish weight (mean +/- SD) for Woss (O) and Vernon (∆) years 2000-2002. Figure 8. Pytoplanktonbiovolume mm3m-3 in Vernon and Woss Lakes, 2000-2002. of Woss Lake has shown that increased sockeye populations can be attained. However, increasing the size of stocks is not the sole objective of this research. The next objective is to obtain a balance between big fish while at the same time maintaining the density. An initial examination of the 2001-2002 data shows there is an increase in Woss Lake sockeye weights compared with sockeye from Vernon Lake (Figure 7). However, there is also the goal of trying to rebuild the stocks, as the population is still low relative to historical data. If and when the desired population level is reached, then the fertilisation of the lakes may be ceased. What can we expect from nutrient additions? There are costs and benefits to this process. Overall with the addition of 732 g of phosphorous per hectare of 11 Woss Lake equates to 12g of phosphorous per juvenile sockeye in the fall, as shown in Table 1. You need to add significant amounts of phosphorous to the system since you lose 80-90% at each step through the food web (Table 2). In this case, only 2.5g P/ha gets to the fish in the end. This reduction or loss is due to food chain dynamics. Figure 9 addresses the question of how much phosphorous is added from salmon runs. The calculations show that an estimated ~3% of P in juveniles comes from escapement, although different lakes have higher or lower replacement amounts. This means that 2.5g of P per hectare is actually getting into the fish in the system. Table 1. Amount of P added per lake and per fish. Table 2. Loss of phosphorous through food web. 12 In conclusion in the Nimpkish Watershed (Woss and Vernon Lakes) sockeye typically spawn downstream of the lakes and the juveniles then swim into lakes. Figure 9. Actual amount of P added to system from salmon runs. Therefore dead fish do not contribute to increased numbers in phosphorous. Overall, the numbers of sockeye are lower because of over-fishing and logging. This could be countered by either stocking the lakes or by lake fertilising. The results of our study show that fertilisation generated successful augmentation/manipulation. This process will continue for two more years. If there is ever a buildup in the sockeye population then the process can be stopped. Discussion Participants discussed what would happen if fertilisation is stopped, with respect to sockeye population losses. It was noted that if over-fishing continues, then nothing may be done to prevent stock loss. In response to a question about the catchment area and if it was similar for both Woss and Vernon Lakes, Don McQueen noted that Vernon Lake is twothirds the size of Woss Lake, but that they have similar sized catchment areas. The importance of monitoring to ensure that the desired algae are present in the lake was also noted. ECOSYSTEM CONSIDERATIONS IN THE FORMULATION OF BIOLOGICAL REFERENCE POINTS FOR MANAGEMENT OF SALMON IN CANADA’S PACIFIC REGION Kim D. Hyatt, Research Scientist, Fisheries and Oceans Canada There are a series of issues related to the over 9,600 salmon stocks present within British Columbia. Figure 1 describes the status of salmon stocks on the west coast of Canada indicating the total number of stocks and the degree of risk for each species. Recent concerns for the health of salmon stocks have lead to a broader conservation focus within fisheries managment. Although the definition of this broad focus changes over time, the main driver never changes; that is, to manage salmon for economic returns. The question is how does ecosystem-based management fit with salmon management? Salmon management and conservation objectives have evolved rapidly over the past 20 years, from managing for harvest of maximum sustainable yield to managing for a better balance between harvest, stock conservation and maintenance of regional biodiversity (Figure 2). 13 In June 2000, Fisheries and Oceans Canada adopted an ecosystem-based management regime for regional biodiversity, which views salmon as a keystone species, and focuses on the interactions between salmon and bears, eagles, trees, etc. For instance, bears eat approximately 16-36% of salmon returns and if management increases bear habitat then there will also be an increase in salmon habitat. As shown Figure 1. Status of salmon stocks on Canada’s West Coast. Figure 2. Salmon management evolution over the past 20 years. 14 from Figure 3, salmon returns are key to maintaining a high level of biodiversity within the entire system. This new type of management would now ask: If salmon return to rivers with decreased bear populations, how does this affect the natural deposition and cycling of the nutrients? Managing an ecosystem in BC is difficult because of the variability in the environment and the strength of the salmon stocks. With the heterogeneous geology and declining salmon stocks, nutrient depletion is occurring and is a detriment to the future health of salmon stocks. As mentioned in the previous presentations, the carcasses of adult salmon are of immense importance to juvenile salmon for they replenish valuable nutrients, such as phosphorous, throughout the habitat. Figure 4, for example, Figure 3. Salmon are keystones to regional biodiversity. Figure 4. Evidence for nutrient limited production in freshwater ecosystems of the eastern Pacific Rim. 15 provides evidence of a positive relationship between total phosphorous and fish biomass of freshwater ecosystems. This nutrient-rich habitat thus ensures that there is enough primary production for the zooplankton on which the juveniles feed. As shown in Figure 5, salmon are keystone species that exert control as predators, prey and nutrient sources in communities of aquatic invertebrates, fish, terrestrial mammals and birds. Years of experimental nutrient additions to Great Central Lake, B.C. indicate that the vulnerability of the zooplankton forage base to cropping by juvenile sockeye salmon varies with lake trophic status (Figure 6). With an increase in zooplankton there is an increase in the biomass of sockeye, and also an In the state of Washington, there is a need for up to four times more salmon than are presently returning if we wish to have a natural influx of nutrients to these systems. This means that there can be no exploitation of the stocks, and consequently this adds to management difficulties and the question of “how much fish are allowed to be harvested?” As a manager how do you deal with this scenario? Solutions such as additions of local carcasses or nutrient loading are costly. Could dealing with direct consumption along scavenger pathways be a better approach? At present there is no intergenerational connection, and we do not know how strong the Figure 5. Relevance of salmon to biodiversity. increase in the number of sockeye per hectare. This is important because in areas that have bears and salmon present, there is an increase in nutrient cycling through riparian deposition. However, there is a point where the number of carcasses available for nitrogen enrichment reaches saturation. Presently many watersheds in BC are well below this saturation point as shown in Figure 7. connection is. The bottom line is that we need to know more before we start adding carcasses. There is also the question that if there are intense harvest levels, over time, and economic production decreases, how much does it decrease? In the draft Wild Salmon Policy for Canada, minimum escapement to secure the future of salmon populations is required. To accomplish this, there needs to be a 16 Figure 6. Effect of experimentally induced nutrient variations on the Carrying Capacity of Great Central Lake, BC for Juvenile Sockeye salmon. Figure 7. Approximate 15N saturation level of various watersheds in the 1960s. definition of ecosystem reference point, which will be higher than those used for stock recruitment functions. Future management will demand that the role of salmon be recognized in ecosystem maintenance, productivity and biodiversity. Unfortunately, at the present time the development of the ‘policy’ is far beyond the supporting science in these areas. While there is broad policy and community support for ecosystem-based management, no one is yet able to 17 execute ecosystem-based management. This discontinuity could be due to the lack of science and/ or information tools for policy implementation. There is also a need for defining new terms and ecosystem-based objectives and indicators in order to be able to move forward. Discussion There was discussion regarding the return (i.e. financial/number of salmon) as a result of fertilisation costs. For example, if a certain amount of fertiliser is added to give a certain number of fish, how can this number be guaranteed for years later? According to ecosystem management, the numbers can be increased, but in reality there are too many complications (eg., ocean survival) to make this possible. It is also important to consider situations such as in the Fraser River where fertilisation is not utilised because coho are low in numbers and are sensitive to habitat changes. RIVERS AND SMITH INLETS: POSSIBLE INFLUENCE OF LAKE CONDITIONS Rick Routledge, Professor, Statistics and Actuarial Science, Simon Fraser University Rivers Inlet has not been fished for several years, so the cause of the declines in sockeye salmon populations is in question (Figure 1). Glacial retreat, El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), global warming, decreased food levels (nutrients), along with destruction and pollution from logging A question was posed: ultimately is fertilisation just too complex for use? The discussion concluded with the explanation that fertilisation plans (and ecosystem management) are not meant for industrial production but rather as recovery tools. An increase in nutrients is Figure 1. Rivers Inlet Sockeye run-size estimates (no escapement needed for the movement towards recovery to historic estimates prior to 1948). patterns, such as for the recently listed (COSEWIC) as throughout the Inlet, are all plausible causes. There “species at risk” sockeye populations in Cultus and were a few zooplankton distribution patterns noted Sakinaw Lakes. If used as a prescription for industry rather than mitigation, then fertilisation will be have to from preliminary data from Year 1 of a continuing study, one of which was that there is an increase in be used in a different way. The focus has to be on the zooplankton as one moves down the Inlet (see Figure ecosystem, and on management for a better balance between consumption and biodiversity. A compromise 2 for a map of Rivers Inlet). One idea for this distribution is that the spring freshet may be affecting has to be found with respect to the ability “to fish or where the zooplankton are found in the Inlet. The not to fish”. spring freshet is occurring earlier than it did in the 1960s, thus affecting when the silts are carried into the Inlet (Figure 3). The suspicion is that glacial silts are causing the populations to decline because the spring freshet causes the system to shut down. Estimates of total returns compared to the spring timing (lagged by 4 years) has an R2 = 0.47 indicating a relatively strong correlation as shown by Figure 4. Early spring freshet will cloud the lake which could lead to an immediate decline in phytoplankton and a long-term effect on salmon numbers. 18 Figure 2. Map of Rivers Inlet and surrounding area. If the spring freshet is occurring earlier, then there may be less phytoplankton due to clouding of the lake, and this in turn will have long-term effects on juvenile survival rates, including marine survival. One interesting aside that was noticed while doing the field work was that Wyclees Lagoon sockeye (see Figure 2) do not follow typical migration timing when leaving for the open ocean, and for some reason remain in Smith Inlet longer than do other populations. Sockeye normally migrate out in April to early July after spending a year in freshwater. Based on the size of the smolts found in Wyclees Lagoon it appears that they may spend at least their first summer in the lagoon, with the sockeye reported to be present in the lagoon as late as August. This suggests that they may be spending their next winter in the lagoon as well. The alternate explanation is that they delay their migration and leave after August, but this is considered less likely. It was also noted that sockeye were caught near the head of the Wyclees Lagoon but not on the west side of the lagoon until later in the season. Since there has been extensive logging in the Figure 3. Timing of spring freshet in three regional rivers. 19 Figure 4. Return vs. spring timing 4 years before. past along Wyclees Lagoon and Long Lake, it is possible that the log booms are affecting salmon utilisation of the areas. If this is the case then restrictions on human activities may be required in the area. A sediment-coring project has been implemented in Wyclees Lagoon and Rivers Inlet to look at past marine nitrogen levels as a means to indicate past collapses and potential problems from nutrient depletion in the freshwater sheet as well as past ecological conditions as gauged by microfossils, primarily Cladocerans. The analysis is presently underway and many Cladocerans have been found in the core from Long Lake, while very few have been found in the core from Owikeno Lake, indicating a decrease in zooplankton abundance. This type of study provides insights that can be useful in a number of ways, such as predicting adult returns based on food availability in Barkley Sound. The priorities for future research in this study are to look at data on a 510 yr. basis, and to complete more extensive coring. Discussion Dr. Routledge asked participants and fellow presenters to comment on these initial findings from Rivers Inlet, and offer direction for future research. Suggestions were made to continue research into smolt rate change, change in smolt weight over time, glacial sediment analysis, glacial flow estimates, and algal production in Long Lake. Rick stated that the focus for now is on the Inlet, and taking samples for physical chlorophyll abundance and zooplankton as well as the fish, in order to obtain a picture of the whole trophic chain, as well as to look at morphological changes in Cladocera with respect to time. He is interested in obtaining more information on the nutrients in the Inlet, and mortality in the sea during the early life stages. For more information about other Speaking for the Salmon programs or publications please visit our website at http://www.sfu.ca/cstudies/science/salmon.htm 20