Risk-based Land-use Decision Support:
A guide for decision makers
CRHNet 2010/10/29
Bert Struik
Risk-based land-use evaluation
1. Build a guide for
considering land-use
options to build
disaster resilience
2. Build a tool for
learning effective riskbased land-use
evaluation
3. Network with
mitigators
Risk-based land-use evaluation
Organizers
Bert Struik, NRCan, SFU
John Clague, SFU
Laurie Pearce, Pearces2
Larry Pearce, Pearces2
Doug Allan, IPREM
Cindy Jeromin, PSC
Wayne Hirlehey, PSC
Murray Day, JIBC
Murray Journeay, NRCan
Malaika Ulmi, NRCan
Fiona Dercole, Dist. N. Vancouver
Nicky Hastings, NRCan
Jessica Shoubridge, UBC, SCARP
WHY, HOW, WHAT
Why land-use
How we contribute
What we contributed so far
Creating Resilience
instead of Disaster
EM-DAT.com
Creating Resilience
instead of Disaster
Influence Land-use decisions
Through Best Practice
With Existing Instruments
Further along spectrum to
maximum resilience
2009 Mitigation Workshop
2009 workshop conclusions:
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Inventory of vulnerability, threat, hazard assessments
undertaken (“Evidence-based risk register”)
Canadian Mitigation Network (“Mechanisms for sharing
knowledge – networks – communication”)
Risk prediction system (“Risk knowledge is linked to time”)
Mitigation practicality analysis (“Must be cost effective:
Benefit – cost ratio”)
National Land-use Code (“Land-use and development make codes multi-purpose covering interdependencies”)
National Risk Evaluation Network (“shared responsibility”)
2009 Workshop - summary
Accountability
Mitigation education
Communication
Decision support (Land-use)
Risk system knowledge generation and access
Hazard mitigation network
Land-use for
disaster resilience
Create a guide for municipal staff to
evaluate and recommend land-use
proposals that build disaster resilience
Existing Codes and Regulations
Land-use acts across Canada
that mitigate a hazard
Northern Affairs Act
Conservation Authorities Act
Community Planning Act
Risk Reduction Act
Water Resources Act
Sustainable Development Act
Crown Lands Act
Municipalities Act
Planners Act
Lands Act
Simulation, Workshop, Network
Contributors
Simulation and Workshop Attendees and Supporting Agencies
95 participants from 66 agencies
Simulation and Workshop Operations
26 volunteers from 9 agencies
Organizing Committees
13 organizers from 8 agencies
Organizing Committees
Bert Struik, NRCan, SFU
Murray Journeay, NRCan
John Clague, SFU
Malaika Ulmi, NRCan
Murray Day, JIBC
Fiona Dercole, Dist. N. Vancouver
Laurie Pearce, Pearces2
Nicky Hastings, NRCan
Larry Pearce, Pearces2
Jessica Shoubridge, UBC
Cindy Jeromin, PSC
Wayne Hirlehey, PSC
Simulation
Two decision scenarios
1. Proposal to rebuild District of
North Vancouver Firehall #3
2. Evaluate development
proposals of the Mosquito
Creek watershed, District of
North Vancouver
Done at the JIBC Dr. Donald Rix simulation laboratory
on September 13, 2010
Simulation
Proposal to rebuild District of
North Vancouver Firehall #3
Simulation
Proposal to rebuild District of
North Vancouver Firehall #3
Simulation
Permitting
Planners
15 people: Land-use
Engineers
Burnaby,
Mayor
Managers
Abbotsford, Emergency
Geotechnician
Nanaimo,
Squamish,
Vancouver Coastal Health,
BC Health Services,
Bowen Island,
Langley,
Consultants in Emergency
Management and Geology, and
Federal program manager
Simulation Operations
Built inventory of
documentation available
to District of North
Vancouver
Brought in expertise and
observers to control
room
Story board, script and
videos to support tabletop scenario setting and
operation
Simulation Operations
Plenary review of the pod
experience
Interactive Evaluation
Land-use Decision Support: Simulation
Reducing the Risk from Hazards
JIBC, 2010/09/13
Simulation - Learning
Tell me
what's
important
Safe for
intended
use
Need the
definition
Need National,
Provincial and Local
Standards and Guides
Need a Development
Permit Area guideline.
Need a Community defined
“Risk Tolerance Criteria”
Define risk
Simulation - Learning
Your job
is planner
is emergency manager
is engineer
is permits officer
is geo-engineer
....
We get to the
same place
differently
House in way of
flow or flow in
way of house or
were there
people in the
house?
Define the
problem
First reaction
was to ensure
they and city
weren't liable
Rather than
define
responsibilities
Liability
Safety
Risk-based land-use decision
simulation: Opportunities
Excellent professional
development
opportunity
Community centric
Smaller communities
Simpler
documentation
Sharing best practices
through doing
Workshop
Knowledge
Defining Risk
Governance
Making Decisions
Breakouts
Knowledge
Defining Risk
Governance
Making Decisions
Breakout #3
Guide part 1- tools
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Address Liability issue
Legislation guide
Case studies set
Roles and responsibility
Lexicon
Risk tolerance criteria
Level of safety
HRVA
Hazard assessment
Risk assessment
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DPAs
Communication /
education system
Regulations
Checklist
Consultant terms of
reference
Guide part 2:
Recieve proposal
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Confirm complete
application
Tracking list
Review based on bylaws
Land-use review
In OCP or DPA?
Referral collation
Report back context to
developer
Internal / external referral
Liens check
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Imact on response
plans
Review by stakeholders
Prepare common
language summary
Complete analysis and
refer to developer for
desire to proceed
Guide part 3: Evaluation
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Engineering standards? •
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Apply OCP
Check zoning
Do HVRA
Educate public on
hazards
Consider mitigation
alternatives
Run by experts
Evaluate impacts and
risks
Public input
Make recommendation
Guide part 4: Monitor
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Re-evaluate Hazard
and Risk
Risk assessment for
existing structures
Establish liabilities
Cost-benefit analysis
Review operations
Process to rationalize
previous land-use
decisions
Monitor against
tolerance criteria
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Review DPAs and
OCPs
Review decision criteria
Continuous review?
Legislative changes for
risk-based plan /
decision -reward
system
New reports
On time and budget
Verify process
Agency exchange
Follow up
Draft results from this workshop and last Monday's risk-based
planning land-use simulation presented for commentary and input
at:
Canadian Risk and Hazards Network (CRHNet) Annual
Symposium in Fredericton, New Brunswick, October 27 - 29,
2010
Emergency Preparedness Conference in Vancouver, BC,
November 22 - 24, 2010.
Draft guide written and distributed to you for several iterations of
review
Guide published.