Matching and Price Competition with Multiple Vacancies Thomas Jungbauer∗† January 11, 2016 Please check for a revised version @ www.kellogg.northwestern.edu/faculty/jungbauer ∗ PhD candidate of Managerial Economics and Strategy at the Department of Managerial Economics and Decision Sciences (MEDS) and the Strategy Department, Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University. E-Mail: t-jungbauer@kellogg.northwestern.edu † First and foremost I would like to express my gratitude to my dissertation committee Peter Klibanoff, Nicola Persico, James Schummer and Rakesh Vohra for their time, effort and mentoring. I am also thankful for comments in alphabetical order by Nemanja Antic, Lori Beaman, Nicola Bianchi, Eddie Dekel, David Dranove, Georgy Egorov, Jeff Ely, George Georgiadis, Soheil Ghili, Thomas Hubbard, Daniel Martin, George Mailath, Mike Powell, Mark Satterthwaite, Matt Schmitt, Rainer Widmann and everybody I forgot to mention. Finally, I am grateful to my early advisor at Northwestern University, Dale Mortensen. Abstract This paper analyzes the effects of firm-size variation on the performance of central clearing houses in high-skill labor markets such as the markets for medical interns in Canada and the US. I find that strategic wage setting in centralized markets governed by a deferred acceptance algorithm does not result in assortative matching. While firms compete with others of similar quality within market segments, large firms face additional incentives to diversify their bidding behavior. As a consequence, large firms tend to offer lower wages in expectation than their smaller competitors. As for the distribution of surplus, firms gain from the introduction of a central clearing house compared to a competitive outcome. These additional profits are bought at the cost of workers, who earn wages well below the competitive level. Finally, I show that in equilibrium firms do not gain from offering different wages for different slots. Thus strategic wage setting in the presence of a central clearing house is compatible with absence of wage variation within firms. JEL-Classification: C78, D44, I11, J31, J44, K21, L44 1 Introduction When a decentralized high-skill labor market switches to a central clearing house, what are the consequences for welfare, profits, and wages? As an example of a central clearing house, consider the National Resident Matching Program (NRMP), a non-profit non-governmental organization allocating medical graduates to residency programs in the United States since 1951. Preferences of hospitals and residents are solicited and then a match, stable with respect to reported preferences, is found and implemented.1 An antitrust lawsuit filed in 2002 argued that the NRMP adversely affects wages and working conditions of resident physicians.2 Although the suit was dismissed after heavy political intervention, and the NRMP eventually granted immunity, questions remained. What can economic theory tell us about the outcome of this process? Are the gains from matching actually split in a way that is adverse to the workers? The matching literature is well-established, of course, but to the extent that the question of splitting the gains from matching has been addressed, the prices that split the gains from matching have been primarily determined through a “competitive equilibrium” type approach. That is to say, after an allocation has been identified, equilibrium prices (wages) are imposed. Equilibrium prices are those that satisfy some kind of stability conditions. To analyze, however, whether a market fosters anti-competitive outcomes, it takes a model where prices are formed by agent behavior. Bulow and Levin [2006] innovate in 1 The currently used matching algorithm is described in Roth and Perranson [1999]. For an extensive treatment of the NRMP and its history see Roth [1984], Roth and Sotomayor [1990], Roth [2002] and Roth [2003]. 2 The punch line of the claim reads a follows:“Defendants [hospitals and NRMP] and others have illegally contracted, combined and conspired among themselves to displace competition in the recruitment, hiring, employment and compensation of resident physicians, and to impose a scheme of restraints which have the purpose and effect of fixing, artificially depressing, standardizing and stabilizing resident physician compensation and other terms of employment.” 1 this sense by featuring strategic wage setting in a clearing house model. Firms and workers are both characterized by their quality. Each firm can only hire a single worker. A firm’s output is the product of its quality with the quality of the worker it is matched to.3 Firms prefer higher quality workers over lower ones and workers care exclusively about their wages. Firms simultaneously announce wages and workers submit their preferences in response. Then–using the deferred acceptance algorithm–a match is found.4 Bulow and Levin [2006] find that in equilibrium firms offer wages that are below their competitive level. In particular, the wage function is more compressed compared to the wage function in any competitive equilibrium. This compression is the result of localized competition, an equilibrium phenomenon whereby firms end up competing with a relatively small subset of similarly-productive firms, as opposed to competing with the whole set of firms in the market. However, the efficient (assortative) allocation still obtains.5 I introduce a tractable model of competition among multi-unit firms combining strategic wage setting with many-to-one matching. Firms post wages for each of their vacancies. Workers submit their preferences of firms. Then, better workers are matched to firms offering higher wages. The model yields a rich set of implications regarding the market structure, conduct and performance. There are two main classes of implications: first, if the market becomes more concentrated, wages decline. This is a direct consequence of the lack of wage competition within a firm. Second, the efficiency of the outcome depends on firm-size6 variation. Welfare loss is more severe–everything else equal–if 3 See Bulow and Levin [2006] for an argument that the form of the production is innocuous as long as both arguments exhibit increasing marginal products. 4 The worker- and firm-preferred outcomes coincide when there is perfect complementarity in the market. 5 This is true modulo risk introduced by mixed strategies. 6 As for readability, I refer to firm size as the number of vacancies throughout the paper. 2 there is higher correlation between firm quality and size. The underlying mechanism at action–not present in the one-to-one setting–is that on average, smaller firms pay higher wages and therefore hire better workers.7 The force driving this result is quite robust: when bidding for a vacancy a firm rivals the rest of its own vacancies. A larger firm is thus more likely to “steal” high quality workers from itself when compared to a small firm. I call this force internal rivalry. The same force, by the way, implies that firm mergers tend to lower market wages. The fact that large firms bid less for workers has far-reaching consequences for efficiency and for surplus distribution. The asymmetry in bidding behavior causes larger firms to hire worse workers than smaller firms of similar quality. If the size differential is substantial, this even holds true when the large firm is of significantly higher quality than its smaller competitor. As a result, the outcome suffers from local inefficiencies. While all firms gain from the introduction of a central clearing house when compared to any competitive equilibrium, welfare loss is entirely born by the workforce. The model yields a number of additional results. First, despite large firms hiring worse workers, equilibrium wages are such that profits are increasing in firm size. Second, although adding a worker to a firm always results in additional profits, the added profit per worker decreases.8 Third, higher quality firms —holding firm size fixed— accrue more profits. Since they can produce more with the same input, they outbid their inferior competitors to hire a better set of workers. 7 This result about matching markets governed by a clearing house stands in stark contrast to theoretical and empirical findings concerning large decentralized markets. Numerous contributions in the labor market literature show that larger firms tend to pay higher wages [see e.g. Krueger and Summers, 1988]. 8 This suggests that a model with vacancy posting costs should find an optimal number of workers when holding the market environment fixed. 3 I identify the entire set of Nash equilibria for the model. Across the equilibrium set, the average wage within each firm is constant and efficiency is constant as well. An interesting feature of all the equilibria is that a firm’s best response always contains a strategy in which the firm offers the same wage to all its workers. This finding relates to real world concerns about wage inequities. It is generally believed that firms in high-skill labor markets prefer not to wage-discriminate between their workers at the entry level. Equal wages avoid tension within the workforce and protect from potential legal action. Also, firms might find themselves haggling with job candidates once a discriminatory wage policy becomes common knowledge. By definition, the multitude of one-to-one matching models can not take on this phenomenon. Within firm wage variation cannot be analyzed in a model which restricts firms to hire a single worker. My results suggest that paying equal wages when a central clearing house operates the market comes as a benefit to the firm without any associated costs. As a consequence, absence of wage variation is a result of this paper rather than an assumption. As for the generality of results, the findings in this paper do not only apply to the NRMP but to centralized high-skill labor markets in general. The crowding out effect within the firm, which I call internal rivalry is a more general phenomenon. It applies whenever agents bid strategically for non-unit amounts of items. As a consequence, the formal results of this paper extend to multi-unit auctions, contests and tournaments. What follows is a brief characterization of the relevant literature. Section 2 introduces internal rivalry and its effects by means of a numerical example. Sections 3 and 4 characterize the general problem, its solution and properties of equilibrium. Section 5 deals with the distributional consequences of my findings and section 6 shows that firms do not prefer to wage discrimination over paying equal wages to the all incoming 4 workers. Section 7 concludes. Proofs not found in the main text are provided in the appendix. 1.1 Background and related literature The prominence of centralized matching algorithms stems primarily from their success in stemming unraveling. Many decentralized high-skill labor markets tend to unravel, that is, for employment negotiations to take place earlier and earlier relative to hiring date.9 Unraveling may lead to exploding offers and other disorderly hiring behavior which may hurt efficiency. A central clearing house eliminates the unraveling by replacing the strategic back and forth with an instantaneous allocation decision based on market participants’ preferences. The consequences for the distribution of surplus among market participants, however, are not well understood. Gale and Shapley [1962] pioneer the study of stable outcomes in two-sided markets and introduce a mechanism–called deferred acceptance–which always selects a stable allocation. This early matching literature focuses on stability and efficiency. A second generation of papers adds a focus on surplus distribution by introducing prices (wages). Among others see Crawford and Knoer [1981], Kelso and Crawford [1982] and Hatfield and Milgrom [2005] for a comprehensive treatment. Kamecke [1998] introduces an early model of the NRMP with endogenous wage formation. In his model, hospitals sequentially set wages. After each round, hospitals which have already specified their wage are allowed to withdraw from the centralized mechanism to respond to unexpected offers by competitors. He finds that whereas 9 Unraveling is also observed in other types of markets. For a detailed discussion of market unraveling and its driving forces as well as an abundant collection of examples see Roth and Xing [1994]. 5 the resulting allocation is efficient, wages fall significantly short of the competitive level. Crawford [2008] innovates by introducing worker-specific wages and showing that efficiency and competitive wages can thus be restored. Artemov [2008] analyzes the effects of reporting errors under such a regime and shows that relatively small errors may lead to highly distorted wages. Niederle [2007] shows that the low-wage equilibrium of Bulow and Levin [2006] ceases to exist if firms have an option to personalize offers. Niederle [2007] also argues that centralization may not be the driving force behind wage compression. Agarwal [2015] indicates that firms’ capacity constraints, coupled with medical graduates’ willingness to pay implicit tuition for desirable residency programs, leads to compressed salaries. Kojima [2007] provides an example which shows that non-unit and varying capacities of hospitals might not imply all workers to earn lower wages in the match than in competitive equilibrium. 2 A numerical example 2.1 Equal wages within firms Firms set wages simultaneously for all of their vacancies and then better workers are matched with better paying jobs. Consider first a one-to-one setting in which every firm is restricted to hire a single worker. In the unique wage setting equilibrium firms compete only with firms of similar quality as opposed to market-wide competition. Bulow and Levin [2006] provide a baseball analogy to explain the intuition behind this localized competition: “...the Yankees have an easier schedule than the Tampa Bay Devil Rays because they face all the same opponents, except that the Yankees get to play the Devil Rays and the Devil Rays must play the Yankees.” Translated to the matching model, good firms draw more benefit from competing with any set of firms 6 than weaker firms. Thus, the set of firms they compete with in equilibrium is similar to themselves. This intuition–ceteris paribus–persists in a world in which firms have multiple vacancies. However, another dimension, non-existent in the one-to-one setting, comes into play. Provided below is a stylized numerical example of multi-unit firms. At first, I will restrict firms to set a single wage for all its vacancies. Then, this restriction will be lifted. The presentation of the general model follows the same path. Before characterizing the equilibrium of a numerical example with three firms, I lay out the basic idea of internal rivalry with two firms of equal quality. Firm 1 enters the market with a single vacancy whereas firm 2 is interested in hiring two workers. Consider both firms setting a wage w for one of their vacancies. Holding the behavior of other market participants fixed, every firm faces a distribution over expected worker quality given its wage offer. If firm 2 sets the same wage for its second vacancy, its expected profit per vacancy at wage w declines since firm 2 cannot hire the best worker available at wage w twice. Since larger firms are more likely to steal workers from itself, in equilibrium they randomize over wider intervals than smaller firms. The maximal wage offered by a firm, however, is independent of firm size. As a consequence, holding quality fixed, larger firms pay lower wages than their smaller competitors in equilibrium and thus, hire lesser qualified workers on average. In other words, if a large firm outbids its smaller competitor, the former gains a small amount of better human capital but is forced to up its wages for each of its workers. The latter, however looses relative more human capital than the large firm gains and only benefits mildly from paying lower wages to its small workforce. Thus, in equilibrium the small firm might outbid the large one creating a better outcome for both firms. As a consequence, market efficiency suffers and the burden is necessarily shouldered by workers. 7 In a two-firm model both firms have a single competitor. Thus, when optimizing, they have to cover the same interval of wages. While this does not contradict the results of this paper, it does not reveal the full story. Thus, I introduce a third firm to provide an insightful numerical example. Let qm be the quality of firm m and sm its size. Moreover, define a worker’s quality simply by her index and assume the number of workers in the market to equal the number of total vacancies. Consider a problem in which the firm’s quality is its index, i.e. qi = i, and assume firms 1 and 2 to have a single opening whereas firm 3 has three. Firms compete for workers 1 through 5. Initially, firms announce each a single wage simultaneously. Workers observe the wages and are then allocated such that if the firm posting the highest wage has l openings the top l workers will be paired up with this firm and so on and so forth.10 Observe first, that there cannot be a pure strategy equilibrium. Also there is no range of bids b in equilibrium of the wage setting game at which firm 1 competes with the other two firms since its required probability density to be indifferent over such an interval would be negative. Thus, consider a price range over which only firms 2 and 3 are competing. To render each other indifferent, firm 3’s probability distribution over bids is 1 s3 ·q2 = 1 6 and 2’s 3 has still 1 − 16 · 3 = 1 2 1 s2 ·q3 = 13 . Thus, the length of this segment has to be 3. Firm of its bidding mass available and thus competes also with firm 1. This competition has to take place at lower bids since otherwise firm 2 would join and firm 1 drop out consequently. Firm 3 bids with a density of the length of this interval is 1.5, leaving firm 1 with 10 As 1 2 1 3 as does firm 1. Thus, of its bidding mass, which will a tiebreaker assume workers to be assigned to the best firm bidding a particular wage. This mechanism satisfies the properties of a deferred acceptance algorithm as discussed earlier. Due to perfect complementarity the worker-preferred and firm-preferred outcomes are identical. In fact the modeling approach is quite robust. While it was designed to model a deferred acceptance algorithm, it is also compatible with serial dictatorship by firms when wage-setting is the simultaneous tournament to decide succession and serial dictatorship by workers when quality determines succession. For an alternative interpretation and way of modeling wage formation in a centralized matching market see Kamecke [1998]. 8 Gi 1 .5 G1 G3 G2 1.5 4.5 b Figure 1: Cumulative densities over bids in the numerical example be its atom at the worker outside option of 0. The graph below shows this strategies in terms of cumulative densities of bids in equilibrium. A brief glance at Figure 1 reveals that firm 2 outbids 3 in expectation and expects to hire worker 5 whereas firm 3 hires workers 2, 3 and 4. Thus, the equilibrium does not only introduce inefficiency by randomness due to mixed strategies but is truly inefficient in expectation. Expected wages of workers can be calculated to be be (w1 , ..., w5 ) = (.31, 1.62, 1.88, 1.94, 3.25) The lowest wages that support the unique (assortative) competitive equilibrium allocation are (w1C , ..., w5C ) = (0, 1, 3, 5, 7).11 While worker 1’s wage increases in the match when compared to competitive equilibrium all other wages decrease. In fact, the average wage decreases by approximately 44%12 whereas at the same time average firm profit increases by 16%.13 Figure 2 below again 11 Section 5 discusses why firm 3 does not offer equal wages in competitive equilibrium. the single worker replica of a model with multiple vacancies as the one-to-one matching model where each vacancy keeps its quality but every firm demerges into single entities. When looking at the single worker replica of this model and comparing it to competitive equilibrium the average wage only decreases by around 33%. 13 In terms of efficiency an interesting benchmark –in particular in small markets– can be derived from a random allocation model, consider a draft which calls upon vacancies in random order. Let W Fi be the expected welfare for i = (M E, CE, RA), where ME=matching equilibrium, CE=competitive equilibrium M E −∆RA and RA=random allocation. Then ∆RA = ∆ indicates the fraction of potential welfare possible ∆CE −∆RA over a random allocation realized in the match. For the numerical example above ∆RA = .4 whereas for its single worker replica ∆RA = .95. This indicates the potentially significant differences in expected 12 Define 9 Firm 3 Firm 2 Firm 1 0 1.5 4.5 b Figure 2: Bidding supports in the numerical example visualizes that the expected allocation is inefficient (not assortative). 2.2 Wage discrimination within firms Consider the above described problem and now lift the restriction of equal wages within firms. Since a pure strategy equilibrium is still infeasible, we would expect negligible inefficiency due to randomness of equilibrium but better firms to hire —on average— better workers due to their dominant value creation process. This intuition, however, is flawed. Suppose firms 1 and 2 to stick to their strategies and consider firm 3’s best response. Since firm 3 does not compete with itself, consider it to offer the maximal market wage of 4.5 for each of its vacancies. Its resulting payoff is 3 · (3 + 4 + 5) − 3 ∗ 4.5 = 36 − 13.5 = 22.5, (1) which doesn’t come as a surprise since this is exactly the payoff achieved by setting any wage between 0 and 4.5 for all its vacancies. It is straightforward to verify that firm 3 earns the same profit for any combination of bids within 0 and 4.5. As a result the non-discriminating matching equilibrium presented above persists when firm 3 is performance when one considers firms with multiple vacancies. 10 allowed to set different wages for its vacancies. Since the intuition presented under equal wages within firms does not apply here, this finding has to be put into perspective. The reason why firm 3 does not do better with differentiated prices is as follows. If firm 3 bids for all its vacancies above 1.5, it appears that all three of its vacancies have a shot at hiring the top worker. This intuition, however, is deceiving. Upon relabeling, firm 3’s second and third vacancy do only compete for the second respectively third best worker due to rivalry within the firm. In equilibrium, firm 3 has to be necessarily indifferent between bidding in the top bracket and bidding below for all of its openings. Additionally, firm 3 is equally well off when splitting the bidding of its vacancies over the entire interval. One can observe that there are multiple discriminating equilibria. In order to keep firm 2 indifferent over the interval [1.5, 4.5] firm 3 bids with a total density of 1 2 over this interval, whether it does so with two vacancies and densities of over disjoint intervals or with all three of them and a density of 1 6 1 2 for each of them. An analogous condition has to hold for competition of firms 3 and 1 over [0, 1.5]. Firms 1 and 2 randomize as before. Whereas the expected allocation might vary depending on equilibrium selection, efficiency, profits and the average wage offered by each and every firm do not. 3 The model 3.1 The multiple vacancy problem The agents in a multiple vacancy model are M firms and N workers. Every firm m is characterized by a pair (qm , sm ), qm denoting its quality and sm its number of vacancies 11 (firm size). Worker n’s quality is simply defined by her index n.14 The total number of job-seeking workers is assumed to equal the total number of vacancies in the market. This assumption has no bearing on the interpretation of results and is purely employed to increase the transparency of the model.15 Since rearrangement is always possible, firms are ordered according to their quality, i.e. m > l ⇒ qm ≥ ql . Throughout the paper production of a worker n at firm m will be the product of their qualities qm · n 16 and total firm production is additive. Definition 1. A multiple vacancy problem is how to allocate N workers, defined by their index, to M firms, each defined by its quality qm and size sm (number of vacancies) when production of firms and workers is multiplicative and the market of vacancies and workers is balanced. Due to increasing marginal products of both firms and workers, the efficient allocation of a multiple vacancy problem necessarily results in assortative matching. Allocation 14 Both magnitude and distribution of worker qualities are inessential for qualitative results as long as no consecutive pair of workers exhibits a significant relative quality differential. The exact crucial differential is hard to pin down due to the number of possible permutations of firm size but the restriction becomes negligible when the number of firm grows. Without this restriction, results as presented in Kojima [2007] are possible. Kojima [2007] was the first to introduce the multiple vacancy idea into this literature. He shows that wage compression does not necessarily persist in general if firms hire a different number of workers. This is true if there is a pair of consecutively ranked workers exhibiting a significant difference in quality. This potentially causes some workers to earn wages in excess of the competitive level in the match, in particular if the market is very small. I rule out large gaps in quality between consecutively ranked workers to circumvent this problem which becomes quickly negligible, even in fair sized markets. It is noteworthy that this assumption exclusively affects results about surplus distribution. 15 Restriction of the number of workers to equal the number of open seats in the market simplifies analysis. It rules out both excess demand and excess supply of workers. All allocation mechanisms analyzed in this paper would be affected by a relaxation thereof in the same way. In expectation, excess demand leads to the lowest ranked firms not filling their vacancies whereas excess supply causes the lowest ranked workers to remain unemployed. While the first case causes a general increase in wages throughout the second case implies the opposite. None of the qualitative results to follow are altered by relaxing this assumption. 16 Results are independent of this assumption as long as the production of a worker at a firm exhibits strictly increasing marginal products in both arguments and the the firm’s total production is the sum of its production with workers. The assumption of separability of the production function in workers is essential for the result. The existence of non zero cross partial derivatives of production in workers’ qualities would contradict the optimality of a deferred acceptance algorithm even in the absence of prices. For a matching theory with non-separable production in the absence of a central clearing house see the O-Ring literature around Kremer [1993]. I am thankful to Tom Hubbard for pointing this out to me. 12 of workers among firms with equal quality does not affect efficiency. Remark 1. The efficient allocation of a multiple vacancy problem is assortative and unique up to firms of equal quality.17 3.2 Matching equilibrium As outlined in the introduction, this paper introduces a model of a centralized matching mechanism with strategic wage formation. At first, I restrict firms to pay a single wage to its incoming workforce. Workers’ preferences are independent of a firm’s quality and are solely based on wages. Following Bulow and Levin [2006] the time line of events is: 1. Firms engage in a simultaneous auction each posting a single wage which it commits to pay to all incoming workers. 2. Better workers are matched with firms setting higher wages by a central clearing house. Firms’ actions in the simultaneous wage setting game are referred to as bids b to preserve the notion of wages for realized outcomes. A strategy for firm m is a probability distribution gm over bids b. Let Vm (·) be firm m’s expected payoff in the match. Definition 2. A (non-discriminatory) matching equilibrium of a multiple vacancy problem is a firm strategy gm for every firm m such that gm maximizes Vm (gm , g−m ) given the other M − 1 firms’ strategies g−m = (g1 , ..., gm−1 , gm+1 , ..., gM ). Before matching equilibrium can be characterized, some of its features are established ex ante: 17 See the assignment game in Shapley and Shubik [1971]. 13 Proposition 1 (Features of matching equilibrium). (a) There is no matching equilibrium in pure strategies. (b) No bid b is offered by a only a single firm18 and (c) P some firm always bids arbitrarily close to 0. (d) Aggregate offering sm · gm (b) is m≤M non-increasing in b. (e) There are no gaps in the support of a firm’s strategy and (f ) or, in the aggregate support of all firms. (g) No firm’s strategy can assign atoms except at 0.19 If firm m bids b in equilibrium, b has to be an optimal choice, i.e. dVm (b, g−m ) = 0. db (2) Firm m’s expected profit from bidding b depends on the magnitude of b and its expected rank among all firms’ bids. Let Gm (b) be the probability of firm m bidding below b and Sm be the total vacancies of all firms i ≤ m. Then, P SM Y Vm (b, g−m ) = Gi (b) · qm · j SM −sm +1 Fi ∈F \Fm Y + X Gi (b)(1 − GM (b)) · qm · SM −sM X SM −sM −sm +1 Fi ∈F \{Fm ,FM } j (3) + ... + Y (1 − Gi (b)) · qm · sm X j 1 Fi ∈F \Fm − sm b. 18 excluding irrelevant measure zero cases; of those properties are inherent to auctions with heterogeneous valuations and full information in general or generalize their counterparts of the special case presented in Bulow and Levin [2006]. Thus, no originality of their proofs in the appendix is claimed. 19 Many 14 Derivation of Equation (3) with respect to b reveals the following optimality condition: Proposition 2 (Optimality condition). For all b in the support of firm m’s equilibrium strategy X si gi (b) = Fi ∈F \Fm 1 . qm Proof of Proposition (2). If b is an optimal bid for firm m in equilibrium (4) dVm (b,g−m ) db = 0. Thus, dVm (b, g−m ) = qm s m db X si gi (b) − sm (5) Fi ∈F \Fm and as a result X si gi (b) = Fi ∈F \Fm 1 . qm (6) Propositions 1 and 2 imply that in a matching equilibrium every firm is randomizing over an interval of bids: Corollary 1 (Interval support). In equilibrium, supports are intervals, that is there are bids bm and bm for all firms m ≤ M such that firm m randomizes over [bm , bm ]. As a consequence, firm m’s equilibrium behavior over [bm , bm ] is characterized by X 1 1 1 1 − , gm (b) = sm |K(b)| − 1 qi qm (7) i∈K(b) which is the only solution to the system of equations defined by Proposition (2), where K(b) denotes the set of firms competing at b. The expression within the square brackets determines whether firm m is good enough to compete with the remainder of K(b). 15 Thus, the highest bid of a firm in equilibrium is independent of its size. After firm m sterns this test, sm scales its bidding strategy, its probability density at b. This implies that –ceteris paribus– bigger firms will randomize over wider intervals than smaller firms. This confirms our intuition from the numerical example. To retrospectively legitimize the matching equilibrium in the numerical example of section 2.1 observe the following implication of Equation (7): Corollary 2. If only two firms m and l are competing over an interval [b, b] in a matching equilibrium, their respective strategies over this interval are gm (b) = gl (b) = 1 sl qm 1 sm ql and for all b ∈ [b, b]. Thus, a firms strategy decreases locally in its opponents quality and its own size. Smaller firms will therefore –ceteris paribus– on average, offer higher wages than larger firms and expect better worker quality. The maximal bid offer of firm is independent of firm size and increasing in quality: Proposition 3 (Maximal bids). In any matching equilibrium firms of higher quality bid up to weakly higher amounts, i.e. qm > ql ⇒ bm ≥ bl . Based on these results an algorithm to identify matching equilibrium can be presented. In general, one assumes a maximal bid b in the simultaneous wage setting game and determines the set of firms willing to compete. This set is uniquely determined.20 Thereafter, the first firm to exit bidding can be determined. Keeping track of probability offer mass this step is repeated until there is a single firm with positive probability mass left. This is the probability with which this firm offer the workers’ outside option of 0.21 Since this algorithm satisfies all features of matching equilibrium and each 20 As long as low-quality firms are willing to compete, so are firms of higher quality. The cutoff must be unique. detailed algorithm is provided in the appendix. 21 The 16 of its steps has a unique solution, matching equilibrium satisfies both existence and uniqueness in the class of all multiple vacancy problems: Theorem 1 (Matching equilibrium). Every multiple vacancy problem has a unique matching equilibrium in which every firm m randomizes over an interval of bids [bm , bm ]. Bidding strategies (probability densities) over bids are characterized by: gm (p) = " s1m # ! 1 |K(b)|−1 P i∈K(b) 1 qi − 1 qm 0 if b ∈ [bm , bm ], (8) else, where K(b) indicates the set of firms competing at b. On top of the intuition about effects due to firm quality and size, two observations are noteworthy. First, firm m’s strategy at b is independent of the magnitude of the bid itself. It rather depends on the quality of firms competing at b as well as firm m’s characteristics. Secondly, small changes in firm quality will only cause small changes of equilibrium strategies: Remark 2. Strategies in a matching equilibrium are piecewise continuous in firm quality. Thus, small changes in firm qualities do not alter competing sets of firms. 4 Properties of matching equilibrium The unique source of inefficiency in a one-to-one matching equilibrium is randomness of equilibrium strategies. The expected allocation in equilibrium, however, is always guaranteed to be efficient. Naturally, the one-to-one setting is a special case of a multiple vacancy problem with equal-sized firms. If the number of vacancies does not vary among firms the following statement holds true: 17 Firm M Firm M-1 Firm M Firm M-1 Firm 2 Firm 1 Firm 2 Firm 1 b b Figure 3: Supports with variable vs. constant firm size Corollary 3. Fix a multiple vacancy problem (q, s) with equal-sized firms, i.e. sm = s for all firms m. Firms of better quality submit higher maximal bids bm and higher minimal bids bm . As a consequence better firms expect to hire better workers and thus: Corollary 4. The expected allocation in the matching equilibrium of a multiple vacancy problem with equal-sized firms is efficient (assortative). Firm size variation induces a a fundamental feature which cannot be observed in the one-to-one setting. The expected allocation in matching equilibrium turns inefficient. An example of this feature is provided by section 2. Theorem 2 (Inefficiency in expectation). The expected allocation in the matching equilibrium of a multiple vacancy problem is, in general, inefficient. Figure 3 shows potential supports with firm size variation on the left and the typical pattern for equal-sized firms on the right. The following theorems provide deeper insights into matching equilibrium: 18 Theorem 3 (Decreasing returns to scale). Fix a multiple vacancy problem (q, s) with two firms m and l of equal (or sufficiently similar) quality q ≡ qm = ql . Without loss of generality assume firm m to be bigger than l, i.e. sm > sl . Then, (1) firm l pays on average higher wages than firm m and thus, (2) firm l expects to hire a better average worker than firm m. (3) Firm l’s profit per worker exceeds firm m’s but (4) firm m’s profit exceeds firm l’s. Proof of Theorem 3. The average worker quality firm m expects to hire when bidding b comes from the expected number of workers hired at bids below b and firm m’s number of vacancies sm . Firm m’s expected payoff at b, Vm (b, g−m ) is thus: Vm (b, g−m ) = qm sm 1 Gj (b)sj + (sm + 1) − sm b. 2 X Fj ∈F\Fm (9) (1) Since sm > sl by Equation (7) we have that gm (b) < gl (b) for all b ∈ [bm , bm ] ∩ [bl , bl ] and bm < bl .22 This proves the claim. (2) is implied by (1). 22 This holds true except bm = 0 in case of which firm m’s strategy would attach an atom to 0 whereas firm l’s strategy does not. 19 (3) Now by Proposition (3) define b ≡ bm = bl . Exploiting Equation (7) X Vm (b, g−m ) 1 = qm Gj (b)sj + (sm + 1) − b sm 2 Fj ∈F\Fm X 1 = q Gj (b)sj + sl + (sm + 1) − b 2 Fj ∈F\{Fm ,Fl } X sm 1 + = q Gj (b)sj − b + q sl + 2 2 Fj ∈F\{Fm ,Fl } X sl 1 < q Gj (b)sj − b + q sm + + 2 2 (10) Fj ∈F\{Fl ,Fm } = Vl (b, g−l ) . sl (4) 1 Gj (b)sj + (sm + 1) − sm b 2 Fj ∈F\Fm X 1 = sm q Gj (b)sj − b + qsm sl + qsm (sm + 1) 2 Fj ∈F\{Fm ,Fl } X 1 > sl q Gj (b)sj − b + qsl sm + qsl (sl + 1) 2 Vm (b, g−m ) = sm qm X (11) Fj ∈F\{Fl ,Fm } = Vl (b, g−l ). Remark 2 implies the above theorem to hold true as well if qm − ql > 0 is sufficiently small. Thus, smaller firms pay –ceteris paribus– on average better wages in the matching 20 equilibrium to obtain better workers. A valid intuition for this result is as follows. If firms are restricted to offer a single wage, it is immediate that higher bids are more costly to larger firms. Section 6 —analyzing the case in which firms are allowed to post one wage per vacancy— puts this intuition in perspective. To the extent to which the number of vacancies can be considered a firm’s choice in real markets, Theorem 3 hints at the existence of an optimal number of workers, holding everything else fixed, if relevant costs are considered. The subsequent lemma confirms our intuition that –ceteris paribus– better firms accrue higher profits: Lemma 1 (Profits increase in firm quality). Fix a multiple vacancy problem (q, s) with two firms m and l of equal size s ≡ sm = sl . Without loss of generality assume firm m to be better than l, i.e. qm > ql . Then, firm m’s profits exceed firm l’s. Proof of Lemma 1. Let firm m hypothetically offer bl . Then, 1 Gj (bl )sj + (s + 1) − sbl 2 Fj ∈F\Fm X 1 = sqm Gj (bl )sj + (s + 1) − sbl 2 Fj ∈F\{Fm ,Fl } X 1 > sql Gj (bl )sj + (s + 1) − sbl 2 Fj ∈F\{Fl ,Fm } X 1 = sql Gj (bl )sj + (s + 1) − sbl 2 Vm (bl , g−m ) = sqm X (12) Fj ∈F\Fl = Vl (bl , g−l ), which proves the claim. Moreover, bigger firms –ceteris paribus– draw more benefit from a quality increase than 21 their smaller competitors: Theorem 4 (Comparative statics in firm quality). Fix a multiple vacancy problem (q, s) with two firms m and l of equal (or sufficiently similar) quality q ≡ qm = ql . Without loss of generality assume firm m to be bigger than l, i.e. sm ≥ sl . Then, firm m’s benefits more than firm l if (1) all firms enjoy an equal relative increase in quality or (2) only firms m and l enjoy an equal increase in quality or (3) firms m or l face an equal quality increase one at a time. Theorem 4 suggests that bigger firms –ceteris paribus– enjoy additional incentives for self-improvement than their smaller competitors. Likewise they enjoy additional motivation to improve firms’ production technology in the market. These results can be cautiously interpreted as a stylized argument of a static model explaining a dynamic market feature. It appears increased incentives to self-improve and improve the structural environment are compatible with a positive correlation of firm quality and size over time. The maximal total surplus in a multiple vacancy problem is achieved by strictly assortative matching. The performance of any allocation mechanism can be measured in relation to the optimal total surplus: Definition 3. In a multiple vacancy problem, the performance of an allocation mechanism is the ratio of its expected total surplus in equilibrium to the total surplus achieved by an assortative (efficient) allocation. 22 If markets grow large we expect the performance of a matching mechanism to improve. To put this intuition to the test I analyze the implications of a market being large. Markets can be perceived as large for different reasons. First, the number of workers increases while the set of expanding firms is fixed: Theorem 5 (Replication of workers). Fix a multiple vacancy problem (q, s). If every firm grows at the same rate k ∈ N performance of the matching equilibrium is (roughly) constant in k.23 Thus, increasing the market by expanding the set of workers and simply creating additional openings at existing firms does unsurprisingly not improve the performance of a match. As a consequence, the number of allocated workers is a sub-optimal measure when referring to the size of a matching market. A very different conclusion can be reached if the number of firms becomes large: I analyze the limiting case of infinitely many firms with dense quality. Consider the following variation of a multiple vacancy problem. The set of firms is given by a continuum [0, M ] representing firm quality. An arbitrary density function24 s over this interval represents firm size/firm type frequency.25 Continuing to rule out excess demand respectively supply of workers the set of workers is given by a an interval RN RM [0, N ] with a frequency density of η 26 such that η(x)dx = s(x)dx to ensure market 0 0 balance. 23 Performance is constant ignoring a negligible integer problem caused by discreteness of a multiple vacancy problem. This is explained in the proof. 24 The density function is arbitrary up the the point that it is a smooth positive bounded function with a bounded first derivative. 25 Firm size does not have any bite in this definition. If firms and workers are dense the workers hired by every firm are a set of measure 0 and infinitely similar (equal). 26 Assume η to satisfy the same assumptions as s. 23 Theorem 6 (Dense firms). If firm quality is dense the unique matching equilibrium is efficient (assortative). Proof of Theorem 6 by example. (1) In what follows Theorem 6 is proved for a particular dense multiple vacancy problem. The proof for the general case is provided in the appendix. Assume F = [0, 4], s(x) = 1 ∀x ∈ [0, 4] and likewise W = [0, 4] with a frequency of η(x) = 1 ∀x ∈ [0, 4]. Let f ∈ F denote a particular firm and w ∈ W a particular worker. Bids are —as is standard throughout the paper— denoted by b. Assume the efficient outcome in matching equilibrium. Formulating the firm’s problem as a worker choice problem –equivalent to a bid choice problem if there is a one-to-one relation between bids and workers– the firm chooses a worker w to maximize f ·w −b(w), b(w) being the bid necessary to hire worker w. Thus, to support the efficient allocation it has to be true that b0 (f ) = f. As a result, b(w) = w2 2 + c where c denotes a constant determined by the fact that b(0) = 0 and thus, c = 0 in this example.27 Thus, every firm f bidding f2 2 constitutes a matching equilibrium of this dense multiple vacancy problem since no firm has a unilateral incentive to deviate if others don’t. Further, it is the clearly the only equilibrium in pure strategies. Thus, if the number of firms becomes large and average quality differential shrinks, Theorem 6 indicates (near) efficient outcomes in markets if there are many firms. Increasing the number of firms by quality extension has a similar effect on efficiency. This is straightforward to show in a market with equal-sized firms. In this special case it also easy to see that while welfare loss vanishes, the assortative allocation is not 27 There are always infinitely many functions satisfying the firms’ incentive compatibility constraint. The unique price funcyion can always be identified by normalization of b(0) = 0. 24 restored.28 In the general case it is however unclear how to increase the number of firms by quality extension while holding firm-size variation fixed. As a consequence of these findings, the notion of a large matching market should be reserved to markets with an abundant number of competing firms. A single worker replica of a multiple vacancy problem is the one-to-one matching problem obtained by separating each firm of a multiple vacancy problem into separate entities each posting a single vacancy. The firm quality of the spin offs equals the original parent company’s quality. Definition 4. A single worker replica of a multiple vacancy problem (q, s) is itself a multiple vacancy problem (q R , sR ) in which each firm of the original problem is divided into single entities each posting a single vacancy. A single worker replica of a multiple vacancy problem admits an analysis of increased competition in the market while holding the total number of vacancies and their underlying quality fixed. In an analogy to a goods market a single worker replica of a multiple vacancy problem features increased competition without the increase of an analogue to supply. Since a single worker replica is a multiple vacancy problem with equal-sized firms by definition, Corollary (4) establishes the unique matching equilibrium to be assortative in expectation. Call the original multiple vacancy problem of a single worker replica its total merger. Corollary 5 (Total merger). Fix a multiple vacancy problem and consider its single worker replica. The expected allocation of the unique matching equilibrium in the single worker replica is assortative (efficient). This is not true for its total merger. 28 Consider adding firms on top of the quality range. The effect on the bidding between low-quality firms is ambiguous but will not overturn the internal rivalry effect. 25 One can derive from equation (7) that firm size variation is particularly harmful from an efficiency perspective if better firms are bigger. Corollary 6 (Merger of top firm). Fix a multiple vacancy problem (q, s). If the top firm M demerges into single entities, welfare loss in the match decreases and vice versa. 5 Wage compression As a benchmark for wage comparison I introduce a counterfactual competitive equilibrium. 5.1 Competitive equilibrium Definition 5. A competitive equilibrium of a multiple vacancy problem is defined C ) ≥ 0 satisfying (1) individual rationality for each as a wage vector wC = (w1C , ..., wN vacancy and (2) incentive compatibility for every firm m: (1) qm · j − wjc ≥ 0 for all Wj ∈ W (Fm ) and (2) qm · j − wjc ≥ qm · k − wkc for all Wj ∈ W (Fm ) and Wk ∈ W (−Fm ). I refrain from unnecessarily complicating this definition by introducing the notion of an allocation since any competitive equilibrium is necessarily efficient (assortative) if firms can discriminate between workers (see e.g. Shapley and Shubik [1971], Agarwal [2015]). The above definition requires a wage per worker, does however not imply wages paid within a firm to be necessarily different. To show, in general, that this definition does in fact not admit an equilibrium in which firms do not discriminate between their workers consider a simple example with ten firms of equal size: 26 Example 1. Let q = (q1 , ..., q10 ) and s = 2 for all firms. Let wi be the wage offered by firm firm i for both workers it hires in the market. Incentive compatibility implies prices to be increasing in quality and existence to necessitate qm ql ≥ s[m−l]+sl +sm −1 s([m−l]+1 for m > l, s[m − l] denoting the total number of vacancies of firms better than l but worse than m. Since this inequality has to be satisfied also for every pair of consecutive firms there exists a non-discriminating equilibrium satisfying Definition 5 if among other conditions F10 is at least about 20, 000 times better than F1 . This result shows that, in general, firms do not offer equal wages in competitive equilibrium according to Definition 5. To mirror the assumption of matching equilibrium that every firm is bound to offer a single wage to all its incoming employees we can weaken the incentive compatibility condition in Definition 5. Modeling firms’ preference for non-discrimination we instead require competitive wages to be such that no firm has an ex post incentive to lower or increase its one and only wage to obtain a different set of workers. Definition 6. A non-discriminating competitive equilibrium restricts firms to pay equal wages to all workers it hires in the market. It consists of a wage vector N D ) ≥ 0. wND satisfies individual rationality of firms and no firm wND = (w1N D , ..., wM wants to change its wage to hire a different set of workers. Observe that this definition does not necessitate efficiency. Lemma 2. Non-discriminating competitive equilibrium fails existence in the class of all multiple vacancy problems. Since there is no competitive equilibrium in which firms remunerate all their workers equally, I resort to the general competitive equilibrium in 5 as benchmark. As mentioned above, the unique allocation supportable by wages in competitive equilibrium 27 is assortative. There is a range of wages supporting the efficient allocation in the one-to-one setting. In particular, there is a upper bound, the worker-preferred wages P P wnc = qi as well as a lower bound, the firm-preferred wages wnc = qi . Arguing i<n i≤n about wage compression the firm-preferred wages being the smallest possible wages in competitive equilibrium are the benchmark of interest. Since firms’ vacancies do not have a direct strategic meaning if all firms are equal-sized, Kojima [2007] argues that the argument of Bulow and Levin [2006] extends to the class of multiple vacancy problems with equal-sized firms. However, competitive equilibrium in the multiple vacancy case does in general not equal competitive equilibrium of its single worker replica. Proposition 4 (Upper bound of firm-preferred wages). The generalization of the firm-preferred competitive equilibrium wages in a single worker replica is an upper bound of the firm-preferred competitive equilibrium wages in its total merger. Proof of Proposition 4. Let F (Wm ) be the firm hiring worker m in the assortative allocation. Then, the generalization of the firm-preferred wages from the one-to-one P setting is wnC = qF (Wi ) . Since every incentive compatibility constraint in a multiple i<n vacancy problem persists in its single worker replica, every competitive equilibrium of the one-to-one problem is an equilibrium of its total merger. Consider the following example showing that in general the firm-preferred equilibria do not coincide: Example 2. Consider a multiple vacancy problem with two firms (q, s) = ((1, 2), (2, 1)). Solving the system of incentive compatibility constraints, the firm-preferred equilibrium wages are wC = (0, 0, 2) whereas their counterparts in the single worker replica are wC = (0, 1, 2). 28 The reason for this discrepancy is the deletion of incentive compatibility constraints between vacancies posted by the same firm in a multiple vacancy problem. In turn, this implies that the lowest wage paid by every firm has to be equal in both equilibria since inter-firm incentive constraints persist. Thus, in general, wage differences between firms persist in a multiple vacancy problem whereas wages within firms are compressed.29 5.2 Wage compression with multiple vacancies Since the additional dimension of firm size variation significantly complicates proving wage compression in the general multiple vacancy problem, I provide a proof for the special case of equal-sized firms together with an argument that it’s logic extends to almost all cases of relevance. Theorem 7 (Profit gains in matching equilibrium). Fix a multiple vacancy problem with equal-sized firms. Every firm has higher expected profits in the matching equilibrium than in any competitive equilibrium. Proof of Theorem 7. 30 Consider two firms with successive indices m − 1 and m and define the sum of all vacancies of firms hiring below firm m as Sm . Then, firm m’s profit in the firm-preferred competitive equilibrium is equal to Vm = s·m X qm · j − wjC . (13) s·m−1+1 29 An algorithm to identify the worker-preferred competitive equilibrium can be found in the online appendix of Agarwal [2015]. The process of finding the firm-preferred one is analogous. 30 This proof is inspired by the proof in the one-to-one setting presented in Bulow and Levin [2006]. The extension, however, is not straightforward. 29 C We know that ws·(m−1)+1 = P s · qi . Thus let Vm be a proxy for Vm : i<m V m = qm s·m X j − s2 · X qi i<m s·(m−1)+1 X s−1 − s2 · qi . = qm s · m − 2 (14) i<m Due to assortativeness of the matching equilibrium there has to be a bid b such that firm m expects to hire workers s · (m − 1) + 1 through s · m when bidding b. Moreover, by the properties of matching equilibrium firm m − 1 is bidding b as well. As a firm’s profit is equivalent for all bids supported by its strategy, we can express the profit difference in the unique matching equilibrium between firms of consecutive rank with respect to quality as follows: s−1 Vm (b) − Vm−1 (b) = qm · s · s · m − 2 s−1 − qm−1 · s · s · m − + Gm (b) − Gm−1 (b) 2 = Vm − Vm−1 + qm−1 · s · (Gm−1 (b) − Gm (b)). (15) Thus, the profit difference in the unique matching equilibrium between firms of consecutive rank with respect to quality exceeds the difference between the proxys for competitive equilibrium. Observing that this difference itself exceeds the true difference between profits in competitive equilibrium completes the proof.31 Theorem 8 (Wage compression). A matching equilibrium of a multiple vacancy problem with equal-sized firms exhibits wage compression. That is, every worker, 31 In the firm-preferred competitive equilibrium of a multiple vacancy problem with equal-sized firms the wages differentials of better workers to the worst worker within a firm necessarily increase in firm quality. 30 except the ones hired by firm 1 in competitive equilibrium, i.e. workers 1 to s1 , is paid less in matching equilibrium (in expectation) than in any competitive equilibrium. Bulow and Levin [2006] show that in the one-to-one setting all firms gain from the introduction of a central clearing house. Whereas the clearing house profit of the lowest quality firm is identical to its competitive equilibrium payoff, every other firm gains strictly. As a consequence, every worker except the lowest quality worker earns below their competitive equilibrium income. Since those wage differentials accumulate, the better the quality of the worker the bigger her wage cut. By Theorem 8 and by extension of this argument, this holds necessarily true for an environment with equal-sized firms. Moreover, inspection of the proof of Theorem 7 reveals that these results hold true with greater slack if firms are larger. As a consequence, the gain of firms under the presence of a clearing house over competitive equilibrium is increasing in firm size and so is the wage cut of workers. Due to the fact that all those results hold with slack, and even more so for high quality firms respectively workers, minor changes to the firm size distribution do not overturn any of these results by a simple argument in the vein of continuity. In fact, firms gain and workers lose from the introduction of a clearing house if locally firm quality and size do not abruptly increase at the same time. Thus, the workforce typically carries the welfare loss. In fact, it takes quite substantial differences in firm size and quality between consecutively ranked firms to to induce inefficiencies which hurt both workers and firms. Since firm qualities can vary along two dimensions is it is impossible to pin down a condition in closed form for every multiple vacancy problem. For instance, in a two firm model, in which a single vacancy firm 1’s quality is normalized to 1, a ten times bigger and more productive firm 2 would provoke enough efficiency loss 31 to make firm 2 worse off than in competitive equilibrium. In such cases, while the entire workforce always loses, it is possible for some of the workers to expect higher wages under a clearing house. In fact, this might hold true for the marginal group of workers at this decisive point. To be more precise, consider a two firm model with firms of substantial quality and size differential. If sufficiently different, the expected wage gap between workers s1 and s1 + 1 in the matching equilibrium exceeds their wage differential in any competitive equilibrium. While wages among workers 1 to s1 and s1 + 1 to s1 + s2 will still be compressed, the wages of worker s1 + 1 and its immediate neighbors of better rank might potentially exceed their competitive level. At the same time the better firm potentially earns below its competitive level due to severe mismatch. The wage sum of the entire workforce, however, always falls weakly short of its competitive level. Due to the accumulation of profit gains and wage loss respectively, however, the relevance of these special cases vanishes in even fair sized markets. Simulation shows that markets with 10, 50, 100 firms require extreme jumps in the firm-size distribution together with extreme firm quality differences to induce merely a few firms to lose respectively workers to gain from a central clearing house. 6 Discriminatory matching equilibrium This section rises a single question: Are the results of this paper entirely driven by the stark assumption that firms prefer a single wage over freedom to set multiple wages to target different workers? Naturally, we would expect better firms to set higher wages if firms were able to wage-discriminate between its employees. This intuition, however, is deceiving. Call an equilibrium of the matching game in which firms are allowed to set different wages for their vacancies a non-discriminatory matching equilibrium. 32 Theorem 9 (Robustness of matching equilibrium). Fix a multiple vacancy problem (q, s). The unique non-discriminatory matching equilibrium remains an equilibrium if firms are allowed to set one wage per vacancy. However, this is not the only equilibrium in a discriminatory setting. In fact, there are multiple equilibria in which firms post wages for all their vacancies between bm and bm . i (b) be the offer density of firm m’s ith vacancy. Let gm Lemma 3 (Multiple equilibria). Every strategy combination such that sm P i (b) = gm i=1 sm · gm (b) for all firms m and all bids b–gm (b) being firm m’s non-discriminatory matching equilibrium strategy–constitutes a discriminatory matching equilibrium of a multiple vacancy problem. Proof of Lemma 3. If sm P i (b) = s · g (b) for all firms except m and all bids b, gm m m i=1 firm m faces the same probability distribution as in the discriminatory problem. That is, if the lowest bids of all vacancies by firm m is b, it expects to hire the same worker with its lowest ranked bid as in the non-discriminatory equilibrium. Thus, Theorem 9 proves the claim. As a consequence, every multiple vacancy problem has multiple equilibria in which firms bid over identical intervals. Even more striking, these are the only discriminatory matching equilibria of a multiple vacancy problem since no firm gains by conditioning their vacancies’ strategies on each other. Theorem 10 (Uniqueness of equilibrium type). The equilibria described in Lemma 3 are the only discriminatory equilibria of a multiple vacancy problem. The mechanics behind this surprising result are briefly discussed in the description of the numerical example in section 2.1. There cannot be any discriminatory pure 33 strategy equilibrium for the same reasons as discussed when restricting firm to pay a single wage to all it workers. A discriminatory matching equilibrium of a multiple vacancy problem does not resemble the matching equilibrium of its single worker replica because vacancies of a firm do not consider each other as competitors. Thus, if at any bid b only vacancies of one firm are competing, this firm is not optimizing. The payoff of a vacancy declines due to internal rivalry if additional vacancies are competing over the same interval. Thus, a large firm will disperse its bidding over a wider interval than a small firm. In equilibrium, every vacancy has to be indifferent over the firm’s entire support. It is important to note that all results provided in this paper hold qualitatively true for any matching equilibrium. If one considers the set of all equilibria there are two extremal ones. The non-discriminatory and one where no pair of vacancies within a firm overlap in bidding. Call the latter the perfectly discriminatory equilibrium. There are two minor differences between those equilibria. First, the perfectly discriminating equilibrium marginally reduces wage compression by adding wage intra-firm variation. And secondly, the expected allocation in the former is marginally less efficient although overall expected efficiency does not change. To provide intuition consider the following example: Example 3. Consider an example with 2 firms and 3 workers. Firms’ qualities and sizes are given by their index. The non-discriminatory equilibrium produces a wage vector of ( 23 , 1, 34 ) and assigns worker 2 with certainty to firm 2. It’s other worker is basically determined by a coin flip. The discriminatory equilibrium produces a wage 5 19 vector of ( 12 , 1, 12 ) and assigns workers 1 and 3 in expectation to firm 2. The bigger the market the lesser the difference. 34 7 Conclusions In real-world matching markets firms typically post multiple vacancies. Incorporating this fact as a feature of a central clearing house model has far-reaching consequences. When multi-unit firms bid strategically for their vacancies, two forces are simultaneously at play: 1. Localized competition leads firms to compete with a relatively small set of similarlyproductive firms, as opposed to market-wide. This force exists in the singlevacancy setting as well. 2. Internal rivalry leads larger firms to offer, on average, lower wages. Thus, wages decrease in market concentration. This force is unique to the multiple-vacancy setting. While both forces affect the distribution of surplus among firms and workers, the second force also impacts the efficiency of the allocation. Internal rivalry causes large firms to not compete aggressively for workers, leading to an inefficient allocation where large firms end up with worse workers on average, conditional on their quality. Furthermore, because internal rivalry creates downward pressure on wages, wage compression becomes even worse in multiple-vacancy settings.32 The equilibrium of my model features limited intra-firm variation in wages. This feature is consistent with real-world evidence from the NRMP [Niederle et al., 2006] that firms prefer not to discriminate between workers which hold equal positions in the firm. 32 As such, this paper argues that the example presented in Kojima [2007], while intriguing, relies on strong assumptions. 35 I find that local inefficiencies do not vanish when markets become large, but they vanish as a fraction of total market surplus. In this sense, the potential efficiency loss is of greater concern in smaller markets.33 In this connection, it is worth noting that high-skill labor markets are frequently quite small, including many NRMP specialties markets. Therefore, the efficiency loss studied in this paper has the potential to be quantitatively relevant. 33 An extremal example for this claim is provided by the numerical example in section 2, in which a central clearing house only slightly outperforms a random allocation process. 36 References Nikhil Agarwal. 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International Journal of Game Theory, 1(1):111–130, 1971. 39 Appendix Proofs omitted from the text Proof of Proposition 1. (a) In case of pure strategies, there must be a firm with an incentive to reduce its bid or outbid an opponent marginally. (b) Suppose there was an interval in which only one firm bids. This firm cannot be optimizing. (c) Suppose b > 0 is the smallest bid by any firm in equilibrium. Then, at least one firm bidding b would do better when bidding 0 instead. (d) Fix a bid b and identify the set of firms H offering a price b just below b. In order for one such firm, say firm h, to offer a price b just above b we have to P P have sm · gm (b) ≥ sm · gm (b). The sum over all h ∈ H establishes the claim. (e) m∈H\h m∈H\h Suppose m were to make offers just below b and above b but not in between. Thus, for every b ∈ (b, b) qn · X Fj ∈F \Fm X sj · Gj (b) − sj · Gj (b) ≤ b − b. (16) Fj ∈F \Fm sj ·gj (b) = q1m for every b in the interval. P P sj · gj (b0 ) > This must also be true for a b0 marginally above b. But then sj · gj (b) P As firm m does not bid in the interval (d) implies Fj ∈F \Fm Fj ∈F Fj ∈F in contradiction of (d). (f ) Suppose that no firm bids in (b, b).Then, there is a lowest bid b0 above b. At least one firm cannot be optimizing at b0 . (g) Suppose firm m bids b with positive probability. By (b) and (f) there is some firm just bidding below b. This firm cannot be optimizing. Proof of Proposition 3. If firm l is good enough to compete at b, so is firm m. Firm size will –conditional on quality– determine the length of the interval over which a firm randomizes but not its upper bound. Proof of Corollary 3. Assume firm Fm ’s quality to exceed Fl ’s, i.e. qm ≥ ql . Then, by Proposition 3 bm ≥ bl . Now, since gm (b) ≥ gl (b) ∀b ∈ [bm , bm ] ∩ [bl , bl ] by Equation (7) and the fact there is no b > bm at which Fl bids, the claim has to be true. 40 Proof of Corollary 4. The statement follows directly from Corollary 3 and the fact that Equation 7 implies that gn (b) ≥ gm (b) if gn (b) > 0 and qn ≤ qm . Proof of Theorem 2. A single pair of firms, similar enough in quality, with the better firm being the bigger one, implies that result. See the numerical example in section 2. Proof of Theorem 4. (1) Create a new multiple vacancy problem (q 0 , s) with q 0 = k · q for k > 1.34 By Equation (7) an equal relative increase in the quality of all firms causes all strategies to shrink by a factor of k. Thus, the resulting matching equilibrium of (q 0 , s) resembles the matching equilibrium of (q, s) in so far that everything which holds true for (q, s) at b, holds true for (q 0 , s) at k · b. Thus, every firm’s profit will increase by the factor k. Point (4) of Theorem 3 then proves the claim. (2) Create a new multiple vacancy problem (q , s) with qi = qi ∀Fi ∈ F \ {Fm , Fl }. Let all parameters and variables with an refer to the new problem whereas standard notation refers to the original problem. Let q ≡ qm = ql = q + for a sufficiently small > 0 and b ≡ bm = bl and b ≡ bm = bl . For all firms Fi with Gi (b) = 0 in (q, s) it will hold true that Gi (b ) = 0 in (q , s). Thus, Fm ’s and Fl ’s expected lowest-ranked worker when offering their maximal bid is the same as in the original problem. Since the increase of profits for Fm and Fl is a first order change whereas there is a second order change in prices due to decreased strategies of all firms except Fm and Fl competing at b both firms expect higher profits in the matching equilibrium of the new problem. Point (4) of Theorem 3 now proves the claim. (3) By the argument in (2) either firm’s profit increases if it is the only firm facing an increase in quality. Point (4) of Theorem 3 now proves the claim. Proof of Theorem 5. Consider a multiple vacancy problem (q, s) and its k-th multiple with respect to firm size (q, sk ) with sk = k · s. The stated result is independent of how we generate a sufficient number of workers to fill all vacancies. Consider 2 cases: 34 The proof goes through with k < 1 as well. 41 (1) (Replication by quality extension) Multiplying the number of workers by k and extending thereby the top worker’s quality from N to k · N in line with Definition 1 of a multiple vacancy problem will by Equation (7) divide each firm’s strategy by k and not change the sets of firms competing with each other. To be more precise, if firm m bids b in the original problem it will bid k · b in the new problem. If every firm hires k times as many workers with a k times better average we would expect production to increase by a factor of k 2 . Due to an integer problem caused by discreteness this is not true. Consider firm F1 hiring workers W1 to Ws1 in the original problem and consequently 1 to k · s1 in the new problem. It’s production will increase from 12 q1 (s1 + 1) s1 to k 2 · 21 q1 s1 + k1 s1 . This is simply caused by our convention of setting the quality of the lowest-ranked worker in the market to 1. Consider worker skills to be measured as intervals on a continuum, i.e. the lowest worker’s productivity is uniformly distributed over [0, 1] and so on. Thus in expectation W1 ’s quality is 12 , W2 ’s is 3 2 and so on and so forth. Then if firm F1 were to hire W1 to Ws1 in the original problem and W1 to k · Ws1 in the new problem its output would increase from q1 ·s1 2 to k 2 · q12·s1 . Since this logic extends to all other firms output in the matching equilibrium increases by k 2 . By the same token maximal output increases by k 2 and thus performance is constant in k. This result does not depend on the uncertainty introduced over worker skills. It holds true if worker k’s quality is simply defined to be k − 12 . (2) (True replication of workers) Consider a multiple vacancy problem and extend by increasing each firms’s size by a factor k and by cloning each worker k times in contradiction to Definition 1 of a multiple vacancy problem. This is of course at odds with all our findings about equilibrium strategies. The changes however would be negligible. If firm F1 were to hire workers W1 to Ws1 with qualities (1, 2, ..., s1 ) in the original problem it would hire k workers of each quality between 1 and s1 in the replicated problem. Looking at the proof of Proposition (2) it comes clear that cloning workers and increasing firm size cancels each other out. Thus, firms would play the same bidding game. Thus, every firm hires k times as many of the same workers at the same wage as before. This increases every firm’s output both in the matching equilibrium and the efficient allocation by a factor of k and thus the claim holds true without 42 an integer problem. Proof of Theorem 6. The problem is defined by F = [0, M ], s, W = [0, N ] and η with RN RM η(x)dx = s(x)dx. Impose the efficient (assortative) allocation. In this allocation f hires 0 0 w(f R ) w(f ) such that η(x)dx = 0 Rf s(x)dx. Due to the fact that both η and s are continuous, 0 bounded and positive over their support w(f ) exists and is increasing. Now construct a price function p(w) such that p0 (f (w)) = f . Such a function exists and is increasing by definition. Determine p(w) uniquely by setting p(0) = 0. Clearly, no firm has an incentive to deviate unilaterally. Proof of Lemma 2. First I show that qm sm > ql sl ND implies wm > wlN D . Suppose this is not true and in particular suppose firms m and l to offer consecutive wages ND < wlN D but such that wm qm sm > ql sl . Incentive compatibility requires now ! P i∈F m si +sm X qm i= P i∈F m qm j− ND sm wm 2 P si + sm + 1 sm i∈F m = ND − sm wm 2 si +1 ! P i∈F m si +sl +sm X ≥qm i= P i∈F m qm j − sm wlN D = 2 P 2 si +sl +1 ND ⇔wlN D ≥ wm + q m sl 43 (17) si + 2sl + sm + 1 sm i∈F m − sm wlN D and ! P si +sl ql i∈F l X ql i= P j− sl wlN D 2 P si + sl + 1 sl i∈F l = − sl wlN D 2 si +1 i∈F l ! P si −sm +sl ql i∈F l X ≥ql i= P P 2 ND j − sl w m = (18) si − 2sm + sl + 1 sl i∈F l 2 si −sm +1 ND − sl wm i∈F l ND ⇔wlN D ≤ wm + q l sm . Now wlN D ∈ [wlN D + qm sl , wlN D + ql sm ] = ∅ and henceforth, there cannot be two firms with ND wm < wlN D . Thus wiN D is increasing in qi si qm sm > ql sl (19) offering consecutive wages such that as otherwise there would be at least a single consecutive pair as described. Now consider a multiple vacancy problem with (qi , si ){i=1,2,3} = ((1, 1), (1.5, 2), (2, 3)). The above logic tells us that w1N D ≥ w2N D ≥ w3N D implying 6 − w1N D ≥ 1 − w3N D and 12 − 3w3N D ≥ 30 − w1N D and as a consequence w1N D ∈ [w3N D + 6, w3N D + 5] = ∅. Proof of Theorem 8. Theorem 8 follows immediately from Theorem 7. Proof of Theorem 9. Consider all firms except firm m to stick to their strategies in the problem without restriction. Firm m enjoys now freedom to set one wage per vacancy. If firm m is bidding the maximal market bid in non-discriminatory equilibrium it cannot bid more in any discriminatory equilibrium since it would not be optimizing. Thus, assume firm m not to bid the maximal market bid in non-discriminatory equilibrium. By Equation (7) the highest bid of a firm is independent of its size. Thus, firm m cannot bid above bm for any of its vacancies in discriminatory equilibrium. 44 Consider firm m to bid for all its vacancies within [bm , bm ]. The question is, can it improve by differentiation within this interval? By Theorem 1 firm m is indifferent between any bid in [bm , bm ] if it were to bid b for all its vacancies. Then if W e (b) is the expected lowest ranked worker firm m hires if bidding b, its profit is qm · [W e (b) + W e (b) + 1 + ... + W e (b) + sm − 1] − sm · b (sm − 1)(sm − 2) e = qm sm · W (b) + − sm · b. 2 (20) This profit being the same for every b in the interval, for b1 < b2 we have that (sm − 1)(sm − 2) ] − s m · b1 2 (sm − 1)(sm − 2) ] − sm · b2 = qm [sm · (W e (b2 ) + 2 (21) qm · W e (b1 ) − b1 = qm · W e (b2 ) − b2 . (22) qm [sm · W e (b1 ) + and thus, Taking into account that any vacancy posting a price below another vacancy of the same firm increases the latter’s expected worker rank by one we have that that the profit of firm m from posting sm (potentially) different bids b1 , b2 , ..., bsm within [bm , bm ] is qm · [W e (b1 ) + W e (b2 ) + 1 + ... + W e (bsm ) + sm − 1] − sm X i=1 bi (23) (sm − 1)(sm − 2) − sm · b = qm sm · W e (b) + 2 for all b in [bm , bm ]. Thus, firm m is indifferent among all prices in this interval for all its vacancies. Finally, we have to show that firm m does not profit from bidding below bm . If this were true, one of the vacancies posting below bm at b would be necessarily better off than its counterpart in the non-discriminatory matching equilibrium. By the logic above, then bidding 45 b for all vacancies must be strictly better than any b in [bm , bm ]. But this contradicts the non-discriminatory matching equilibrium in the first place. Since firm m was chosen arbitrary this proves the claim. This proof depends on the assumption that worker qualities are distributed uniformly. There is, however, no indication that a similar argument with more complicated density functions would fail in the general case. Proof of Theorem 10. Fix a multiple vacancy problem (q, s) and consider a strategy combination of all firms for all vacancies and assume it to be a discriminatory matching equilibrium. Consider firm m submit different bids for its vacancies. Denote the vacancies of firm m as υ1 to υsm and let the index indicate the rank of the expected bid of a vacancy, i.e. the expected bid of vacancy υi exceeds the expected bid of a υj weakly if i > j. I claim that the expected profit for each vacancy must be the related in equilibrium in the following sense. Consider υsm and υsm −k . The expected profit of υsm must exceed the expected profit of υsm −k by exactly qm · k (upon relabeling if bidding overlaps) in equilibrium for every k < sm . If this were not the case, firm m could do better by either adjusting υsm ’s or υsm −k ’s bid. Since this has to hold true for every action in the support of firm m’s bidding strategy and no vacancy can employ a pure strategy in equilibrium, every vacancy by itself (upon relabeling if there is overlap) has to be indifferent over its support. Thus, each vacancy υi of firm m has to face a probability distribution in equilibrium such that X si X i gm (b) = Fi ∈F \Fm i=1 1 1 = i qm qm (24) at every bid b in its support. Consider gaps in vacancies’ or a total firm’s bidding strategy. By the analogue of condition (e) in Proposition 1 this cannot be true in equilibrium. Hence all firms randomize over intervals. Now it follows from the uniqueness of non-discriminatory equilibrium that there can not be any 46 equilibrium other than the ones characterized in Lemma 3. Again, this proof depends on the assumption that worker qualities are distributed uniformly. There is, however, no indication that a similar argument with more complicated density functions would fail in the general case. Algorithm to obtain matching equilibrium strategies Algorithm 1. 1. Define a mass vector µ = (µ1 , ..., µM ). 2. Assume p1 to be the highest price offered by any firm. 3. Find the set K(p1 ) by identifying the firm with the lowest quality willing to compete at p1 by determining arg min gm (p1 ) > 0 . F 4. Determine the firm with the greatest positive offer density at p1 Fk and find the lowest price offered by that firm p2 . 5. Update the mass vector by calculating µm = 1 − gm (p1 ) gk (p1 ) . 6. Find the set K(p2 ) by identifying the firm with the lowest quality willing to compete at p2 by determining arg min gm (p2 ) > 0|µm > 0 . F 7. Determine the firm with the lowest ratio of remaining probability mass to offer density at p2 Fl and find the lowest price offered by that firm p3 . 8. Update the mass vector by calculating µm = µm − gm (p2 )µl gl (p2 ) . 9. Repeat steps 6 to 8 with consecutive labeling of prices until there is a single firm Fi left such that µi > 0. Employ the equilibrium strategy of firm Fi with an atom of µi at 0. 10. Calculate p1 to pM recursively. Observe that every step of the above algorithm leads to a unique outcome and is always feasible. Thus every multiple vacancy problem has a unique (non-discriminatory) matching equilibrium. 47