A Statistical Rating for NFL Kickers Honors Thesis (Honors 499) By Bobby Stone Thesis Advisor Dr. Dale Umbach Ball State University Muncie, Indiana May 2004 Graduation Date: May 8, 2004 Abstract In the National Football League, the only position player that currently has a rating that evaluates his performance during the game and season is the quarterback. But, why does the kicker not have a rating? This thesis project develops four basic rating systems and an entire statistical fonnula to evaluate the kicker's performance during the course of a season. Some of the statistics that will be explored in this project is field goal percentage from certain distances, point-after-touchdown (PAT) conversions, the number offield goals made, average distance offield goal makes, misses and attempts. The statistical formula has six components, but it also has four additional factors that can be added onto the formula if one so chooses. These four factors are attempting field goals at home or on the road, on grass or on turf, which quarter was the field goal attempted in and outdoors or in a dome. Also, each kicker's total is found for this past season (2003). Acknowledgments I would like to thank my thesis advisor Dr. Dale Umbach for jumpstarting me with the idea of creating such a statistical rating. I would like to thank my parents, Bob and Janis, for their ttemendous help throughout this interesting experience and helping me get through some of the frustrations this project caused me at times. I also would like to thank Mrs. Jan Wamer and the rest of the staff and students at Hartford City Middle School, where I student taught, for their help and special motivation for me to keep ontask during this last semester. Bobby Stone Honors Thesis A Statistical Rating for NFL Kickers Currently, a quarterback is the only type of position player in football that has a rating to judge his performance on the field for that game or an entire season. There are four components to the quarterback rating or passing efficiency rating: completions per attempt (completion percentage), yards per attempt, interceptions per attempt, and touchdowns per attempt. The passing efficiency rating is done in the NCAA while the quarterback rating is done in the NFL. There are some main differences between the two ratings. The quantities are scaled differently such as the NFL gives 4.17 points for yards per attempt, while the NCAA gives 8.4 points for yards per attempt ("NCAA and NFL passing efficiency rating"). Also, the NFL quarterback ratings are "capped," but the NCAA does not cap their rating. As a result there is a low end and a high end for each of the components. The NFL sets a standard from 0.000 (poor) to 2.375 (outstanding) for its ratings in each of the four components. Each component has a maximum that a passer can achieve, and if that passer achieves that mark, then he will receive a 2.3 75 for that component. After each of the four components is figured, they are added together. Next, the sum is divided by six and multiplied by 100 to get the final rating. The highest rating a quarterback or any passer of the football can get is 158.3. (NCAA and NFL Passing Efficiency) The purpose of understanding the passer ratings is to know somewhat what the kicker rating will resemble. Many football fans will still question the need for such a rating. Currently, the only statistics any football kicker has is points scored and an accuracy percentage. Both present ways to measure a kicker's worth or value to his team, but there are so many more components that truly evaluate that particular kicker's performance. In the accompanying Microsoft Excel file on sheets one and two, there are three more general potential ratings that almost anyone could use and implement for his own personal use. These three "minor" ratings involve basic statistics found in any newspaper or in any stat sheet. However, there is another rating that is much more complex and includes all kinds of factors that could potentially affect any kick during a game. Kicker Rating #1 The first of the kicker ratings is very basic and easy to use so that any diehard football fan could use this rating. PAT MADEl PATATlEMPlED OVERALL FG peT. 18-29 fg's made 30-39 fg's made 4049 fg's made 50 + fg's made 18-29 fg's missed 30-39 fg's missed 4049 fg's missed 50 + fg's missed % or # of kicks MULllPLIER RESULT 1 25 25 25 21.71053 0.868421053 16 2 32 6 4 24 11 66 6 0 8 0 0 4 0 3 0 0 3 2 6 2 1 2 160.7105 OVERALL This table is from the attached Excel file NFL Kickers Rating Sheet I. This rating only takes into account the percentages of the point after touchdowns (PAT's) and the field goals (FG) as well as the number of made and missed field goals from their respective distances. To change the numbers and put in any kicker's statistics into the formula is rather simple to do. Calculate the PAT percentage in this Excel file by hitting = followed by the number of made PAT's by the number of attempts. In this example from statistics found on NFL.com, Baltimore Ravens kicker Matt Stover made 35 out of 2 35 PAT's. Since the percentages are figured as decimals, 100% accuracy for PAT's is equivalent to a 1 as a decimal. His field goal percentage is found the same way as pointafter-touchdowns in that field goals made is divided by field goals attempted. Stover made 33 field goals and attempted 38. Thus his 33 made field goals are divided by 38 to find his field goal percentage which as a decimal is 0.86842105. Lastly, the number of field goals made or missed is determined by the distance of the kick. The longest field goal ever made is 63 yards (done only twice) and the longest field goal in the 2003 season is 58 yards by Josh Brown of Seattle (NFL Stats). Similarly, the shortest field goal anyone can make or attempt is only 18 yards. This occurs because the farthest a team can advance the ball without scoring a touchdown is to the opponents' I-yard line. If that team does not score a touchdown and they opt to kick a field goal, then the ball is placed at the I-yard line. However, the kick will be moved seven yards farther back (to the 8-yard line) so that the kicker has a better chance of making it without the kick being blocked. Also, the kick has to go through the uprights of the goal posts, which are located at the back of the end zone, which is 10 yards long. The field goal attempt will be the one yard to go plus the seven yards to move the kick back plus the final ten yards for the length of the end zone to make the kick the resulting 18 yards. There are eight categories for kicking distance: 18-29 yards made and 18-29 yards missed; 30-39 yards made and 30-39 yards missed; 40-49 yards made and 40-49 yards missed and 50 yards and beyond made and 50 yards and beyond missed. The other item in the table that is extremely important to compute this kicker rating is to know the multipliers. Point-after-touchdowns are really 20-yard field goals that are only worth one point on the scoreboard for the team. Field goals count for more 3 points on the scoreboard, but only in three possible situations can a field goal be less or equal to the yardage of a PAT. Thus, in this rating the percentage of PAT's is the only time a P AT is figured into the formula and most times this percentage is 100% or 1 in decimal form. The kicker has essentially a minimum of 50 points by kicking and making just one point-after-touchdown and one field goal in this rating. However, the more field goals the kicker attempts and makes the more points the kicker receives. The percentages of both field goals and point-after-touchdowns are figured with a multiplier of25 points each because there should be a minimum value for making at least one of each type of kick without any misses. Also, the total value, which will be 50 points in the rating, is a significant amount of the total rating for all kickers. But, an outstanding kicker for the 2003 season typically has a rating between 150 and 190. The kicker's total rating wasn't solely based off of his percentage but also consisted of how many kicks he made and missed and the distance of each. For each category of distances, there are also multipliers. At the professional level the hash marks, which are the boundaries of where the football can be possessed at or kicked from, are equal to where the goalposts are aligned. Therefore, a kicker should have little problem kicking a shorter distance field goal. There are many factors in this particular rating that could change the idea that a pro kicker should be able to make shorter distance field goals. Such an event could be a blocked kick, weather, or possible unlucky things like getting a cleat caught in the turf, which has happened before. Therefore, the multipliers for each level of distance for a field goal made increases. An 18-29 yard field goal made will count for two points towards the overall kicker's rating. According to the stats included on nfl.com and the Excel spreadsheet (worksheet 3) NFL 4 KICKER RATINGS FOR PROJECT.xls, many kickers make a majority of their kicks in this range and in the 30-39 yard range. After the 18-29 yard range, the value of the multiplier increases by two to four rating points because theoretically it should be slightly more difficult to make a kick from 30-39 yards than from 18-29 yards. Likewise, the value of a 40-49 yard successful field goal is worth more than a 30-39 yard field goal and this rating value is worth six points per successful field goal. Lastly, for any kick 50 yards and longer the rating value is worth eight points per successful field goal. This particular rating system rewards the amount of successful field goals that a kicker makes in an entire season. A weekly form of this rating system is certainly possible but not the true intent of the kicker rating. This rating system will require a kicker to make 4 short distance field goals to equal a kick of over 50 yards. A 50 yard field goal, with all factors not even being considered here, is certainly much more difficult to make than "a chip shot" or a field goal under 30 yards. Then there are the other four categories based on distance and unsuccessful field goals a kicker has during the course of a season. The field goal distances and the way they are incremented for unsuccessful field goals are the same as for the successful field goals: 18-29, 30-39, 40-49, and 50+. The amount of points that will be lost in the rating is found by taking the multipliers or the point values assessed to each distance increment of successful field goals is putting in reverse order and dividing by two. That is, each point value increased by two for successful field goals, two points for 18-29 yards, four points for 30-39 yards, six points for 40-49 yards, and eight points for 50+ yards. The point values for unsuccessful field goals are in reversed order, so that it goes from eight to six to four and then to two for the increased yardage as in the above sentence. These 5 values are divided by two since successful field goals in this rating system are more valuable than an unsuccessful field goal because a successful field goal is a made kick. Although, an unsuccessful field goal attempt may not entirely be the kicker's fault, any kicking statistic will tell not take that into account. As a result, these values are now worth a minus four points per unsuccessful field goat attempt at 18-29 yards, three points for 30-39 yards, two points for 40-49 yards and one point for 50+ yards. Therefore, an unsuccessful field goal at a shorter distance pays much more of a penalty than does a longer distance attempt. Similarly, a longer successful field goal attempt is usually more of an achievement than making a field goal of shorter distance. An efficient kicker at any level, including a professional in the NFL, should be able to make all or most attempts at a shorter distance and be able to make a respectable percentage of their kicks at a longer distance. Attempts from 40 yards or longer in this rating system are worth more than an attempt from 40 yards and shorter. Also, a missed attempt from over 40 yards should not punish the kicker as much as missing a kick from under 40 yards. To find the overall rating of a kicker for kicker rating number one is to add up the total amount of points found from the first column and multiply it by the column of certain multipliers. The PAT percentage points are added to the overall field goal percentage's amount of points. That is added to the amount of points found from the four categories of successful field goals at 18-29 yards, 30-39 yards, 40-49 yards, and 50+ yards. Because some kickers do not have any missed field goal attempts, which can be found on sheets 3 and 4 of the Excel spreadsheet, then those points from the four missed field goal categories are subtracted from the total amount of points. A field goal kicker's rating can fall in a wide range from a negative number to somewhere around 200. No 6 one in the 2003 NFL season reached the 200-point plateau. However, Jeff Wilkins of St. Louis and Mike Vandetjagt of Indianapolis came very close with point values of 196.2143 and 192, respectively. Although, Vandetjagt had a perfect season with no unsuccessful kicks, Wilkins made more kicks and his misses were very few. If a kicker makes every kick or nearly every kick during the year and makes enough field goals at a variety of distances, it is certainly possible that a kicker could reach 200 points in this particular kicker rating. Kicker Rating #2 There are two other kicker ratings that were developed that are very similar to the first kicker rating. The first rating on sheet 2 highlighted in bold red has many of the same components as the first kicker rating, but is mainly computed with the percentages of successful field goals as compared to the number of attempts. PAT MADEl PAT ATTEMPTED 1 18-29 fg's made 118-29 fg's attempted 30-39 fg's made 1 30-39 fg's attempted 4049 fg's madel 4049 fg's attempted 50 + fg's madel 50+ fg's attempted I I 1 1 1 11 20 1 , 29 23 17 13.35714 11 0 I 20 1 1 1 0.7857143 0 I 29 23 - I I I I 1 POSSIBLE 100 85.35714 TOTAL ---~. ~-------- Table I This rating has just five different components, but every component is based on the percentages of successful kicks to the number of attempts. Since this whole rating system is percents and the maximum percent any kicker can achieve at any of the five categories is 100% or again as a decimal 1. The percents are found by simply taking the number of successful kicks, whether it is PAT's or field goals, and dividing them by the 7 number of attempts, either PAT's or field goal attempts. The percentages of kicks are then multiplied by a specific number. This rating is based on the efficiency of the kicker at a specific distance level. The downside to this formula it that if a kicker does not attempt a kick from a specific distance of field goal or at a PAT, then his overall rating suffers. If a kicker performs successfully at every level, whether he only makes one kick at each or 30 kicks at each level, he will achieve the perfect score of 100. As for the multipliers, the point-after-touchdown is not worth as much in terms of points or in value of this particular rating. The PAT percentage is worth 20 points or 20% of the total points of the kicker rating. The field goal portion is worth the remaining 80 points or 80% of the final rating. There are four different levels in which the field goals percentages are found. Each level has a distance that the field goal can possibly be in. Like in kicker rating number 1, the distances range from 18-29 yards, 30-39 yards, 40-49 yards and 50+ yards. Every level has a certain multiplier attached to it so that in the end all four levels equal up to 80, but the levels are not balanced. For example, the 18-29 yard level has an attached multiplier of29, the percentage of made field goals for each kicker from 18-29 yards is then multiplied by 29. From 30-39 yards the multiplier is 23; from 40-49 yards the multiplier is 17 and from 50+ yards the multiplier is only 11. The resulting sum of 29 + 23 + 17 + 11 does in fact equal the remaining 80 points left in this kicker rating (#2). The multipliers have been chosen like this to resemble more of an efficiency rating. An efficient and good kicker should do very well at the 18-29 yard range, which is why this multiplier is more and the short kicks are worth more points to the total value. A field goal kicker should not be penalized because he cannot kick a long 8 field goal as well as a short distance kick and that is why the multipliers are incremented and more points are favored towards the short distances. For each yardage level, 18-29 yards on up to the 50+ yard range, the increment of the multiplier is decreased by six from 29 to 23 to 17 to 11 for the 50+ yard range. Once each percentage of converted kicks is found and multiplied by the respective multiplier, then each resulting point value is to achieve a final point value out of a possible 100 points. A kicker's rating can range from as low as a 0 to as high as a 100, which is very similar to a typical grading scale. Just like school, the kicker can eams a grade on his performance on the football field. The Colts' kicker VandeIjagt was the only kicker in the NFL this past season to achieve the perfect 100 point score since he made at least one kick in each of the five rows of this rating system and did not miss a kick at all. Well, at least those that count. This rating system does have one potential flaw that could cost a kicker. If he did not make a 50-yard-plus field goal, then he is automatically down to 89 points even if he made every other kick during the season. Much like the passer rating for quarterbacks, the kicker can make one little mistake and the perfect score is gone for good. This rating does have its advantages and disadvantages to the previous kicker rating and the two other "minor" ratings to follow. Kicker Rating #3 - 9 The third kicker rating is similar to the first kicker rating except the field goal percentages are divided into two categories and the multipliers are different. I pet. Or# Multiplier Iresult col d* column e I PAT MADEl PAT ATTEMPTED 40 + fg pet 18-39 fg pet 18-29 fg's made 30-39 fg's made 40-49 fg's made 50 + fg's made 18-29 fg's missed 30-39 fg's missed 40-49 f9's missed 1 1 1 17 7 12 I I """'1'-' ~I 01 ~I I 15 i 20 25 1 l' 2 3 41 2, 1.51 11 0.51 \ 15' 201 251 17 14 36 4 0 01 01 01 .~ I 131 OVERALL RATING Table 2 This rating makes the percentages impact the overall rating more than they did in the first kicker rating. Field goal percentage has been split into short-distance field goals and long-distance field goals. In this rating, 18-39 yard field goals are grouped to figure short distance percentage and 40 yard field goals and longer are grouped to figure the long distance percentage. The total multipliers for the percentage rows now equal 60 points instead of 50 points. The point-after-touchdowns percentage is now worth even less, putting a greater emphasis on being accurate and efficient with field goals. The shorter distanced field goals are worth slightly more points, in terms of the multiplier, than the longer distanced field goals because this rating is still judging efficiency albeit at a lesser extent than kicker rating number two. In the first kicker rating, the multipliers for successful field goal attempts were two, four, six and eight points for 18-29 yards, 30-39 yards, 40-49 yards and 50 + yards, respectively. In this rating, the number of successful kicks is still important, but as a 10 whole rating the number of attempted kicks and the percentages of successful kicks are much more equal than before. The multipliers are halved for successful field goals, as well as unsuccessful field goals. As a result, the multipliers for successful field goals is now worth one, two, three, and four points times the number of successful field goals. Likewise, the multipliers for unsuccessful field goals have been halved and are now worth two for a miss from 18-29 yards, 1.5 from 30-39 yards, one from 40-49 yards, and Y:z from 50 yards and further. To find the overall rating, one uses the totals of the percentages multiplied by their respective multipliers and then adds them to the totals from the number of points found from each level of distance for successful field goals. As the final step, one subtracts the points found from each level of distance for all (if any) unsuccessful field goals to get the overall rating for any kicker. As from above in kicker rating number one, compare the two "prolific" kickers of the 2003 season in the perfect kicker Mike Vanderjagt and the most converted kicks, Jeff Wilkins. In rating number one, Wilkins had a better rating because many more rating points were available to kickers that made many field goals during the season. Kicker rating number 3 has a balance of percentages, which Vanderjagt did better in, and number of successful attempts, which Wilkins did better. When these two kickers are evaluated as seen in sheet 2 page 2, Vanderjagt and Wilkins again were the best two kickers according to this rating (rating number three). However, this time Vanderjagt was the best, although extremely slightly. Vanderjagt had a rating of 131, significantly lower than rating number one, while Wilkins had a 130.7374 rating. The difference is only .2626 of a point in the ratings for the best kicker. In all of these ratings, these two kickers have been the best of the 2003 NFL season. 11 Kicker Rating #4This is the last of the "minor" kicker ratings and is the most similar to the NFL quarterback rating since some factors have capped values or minimum and maximum values. PATS MADE PAT peT. FG"S MADE OVER 40 YARDS FG'S MADE UNDER 40 YARDS FG'S MISSED OVER 40 YARDS FG'S MISSED UNDER 40 YARDS FG PCT. OVER 40 YARDS FG peT. UNDER 40 YARDS NUMBER CAP 1 CAP 2 MULTIPLIER VALUE 42 40 0.25 10 40 20'" 1 20 1 10 11 3 30 10 22.5 FALSE 15 15 1.5 3.75 3 1.25 3 2 5 2 2.5 0.785714 0.785714 25 19.64286 0.882353 0.882353 35 30.88235 '124.2752 OVERALL RATING Table 3 CAP VALUES MAXIMUM MINIMUM PAT MADE PATPCT. FGOVER40 FGUNDER40 FG MISS OVER 40 FG MISS UNDER 40 FG peT OVER 40 FG PCT UNDER 40 4 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 35 1 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 MIN VALUE 7 0.25 20 3 1.5 1.25 2.5 25 40 1 10 20 0 0 1 1 0.25 20 3 1.5 1.25 2.5 25 10 20 30 30 35 0 0 25 35 MAX VALUE 150 Table 4 Table three shows kicker rating number four with an example to show the overall totaL The PAT will count for about 20% of the total rating with 20 points based on the percentage of successes divided by the number of attempts and 10 points will be awarded for PAT's made. The point after touchdown counts for a decent amount of the total 12 rating without being too significant. In this rating, not only does the amount of PAT's matter, but so does the overall percentage. The remainder of the rating covers field goals made, missed and also the percentage. Field goals are separated into shorter and longer kicks. The yardage that separates the shorter kicks from the longer ones is 40 yards. Consider that the longest kick of all-time is 63 yards and the shortest that you can have is 18 yards. The average of the two kicks is 40.5 yards, which makes 40 yards a neutral spot to separate the kicks by distance. The big difference to compute this kicker rating is noting if the minimum and maximum values need to be implemented within the rating. Plus, we need to include the multipliers as well. For PAT's made, the multiplier is 0.25 or take the number of made PAT's and divide by four. This protects the rating system to keep a kicker like Morton Andersen of Kansas City from racking up points since he kicked 59 PAT's this past season (NFL Stats- Field Goal Kickers). Also, for this particular row there are capped values. There is a maximum of 40 PAT's converted for each individual kicker. In the 2003 season there were eight different kickers that had at least 40 made PAT's! There is also a minimum value that is 1110 of the maximum value or four. Therefore, since the multiplier is 0.25 and the maximum value is 40, the most possible points a kicker can achieve is 10 for his overall rating. In the Excel file, there are column called cap 1 and cap 2. If the number of successful PAT's is less than 4 or greater than 40, then when put into cap 1 the result will be either 4 or 40. If the number of PAT's is between 4 and 40, then cap 1 will say false, which then goes to cap 2, which will give the number of kicks from the previous column. There are two logical IF statements used so that the maximum 13 and minimum values would work and have accompanied values if the statements were either true or false. The next category is made up of PAT percentage of made kicks divided by the number of attempts. The percentage has a multiplier of 20 because a kicker is on a poor team; he is probably not going to be able to kick 40 PAT's in an entire season. This way the balance of a kicker on good team or a bad team is not as severe of a penalty to the kicker. The next factor is finding the amount of successful field goals from over 40 yards and under 40 yards. Similar to finding the PAT's made, there is a need for a maximum and minimum value and specific multipliers. For the multipliers, field goals made from over 40 yards are worth two times a field goal made from under 40 yards. The multiplier is three points per field goal made over 40 yards and 1.5 points per field goal made from under 40 yards. There is a maximum number for field goals made over 40 yards, which is 10. Six NFL kickers are affected by this maximum number. There is also a minimum of I field goal that will be given to each kicker, even if they did not make a field goal over 40 yards. When multiplied by the allotted value of 3, the minimum value will be three. Next, we have field goals made from under 40 yards. As stated earlier, the multiplier is 1.5 points per kick made. The maximum number of successful kicks made in this category is 20 made field goals. This was chosen because of the addition to the amount of kicks from over 40 yards, which was 10 kicks. This gives a total of 30 field goals. The 30 field goals found for the total maximum value is more than all but four kickers in the entire league for this season. There is also a minimum that again is 1110 of the maximum number, which in this case will be two made field goals. In the Excel 14 chart, there are two caps that are constructed oflogical IF statements. These statements will put any number into one of three possible answers, either the maximum value, the minimum value, or in between which is that number itself. The next two categories consist of the field goals missed by a kicker from over 40 yards and under 40 yards. The multipliers of the unsuccessful field goals are worth less than the multipliers of the successful field goals. An unsuccessful field goal should not make the kicker accountable for all of the made field goals during the course of the season. A missed field goal from under 40 yards is worth 2.5 points per miss against the kicker's total and a miss from over 40 yards is worth 1.25 points per miss against the kicker's total. A make is worth three and 1.5 points per kick for less than 40 yards and over 40 yards, respectively. A miss is reversed and half of a point is subtracted from the original three points. The last two sections are using some of the same information in the previous ratings with field goals makes and misses. This time the percentages for kicks over and less than 40 yards are used with specific multipliers. The idea is that a more efficient kicker is determined by the shorter distance of a field goal. In this rating that means from 18-39 yards the kick should be worth more to the kicker's overall rating. The multipliers are worth 25 points for the longer distance kicks and 35 points for the shorter distance kicks. Then the percentage of the field goals is multiplied by 25 or by 35. The total worth of the percentages if the kicker is perfect for the season is 60 points of the total. As seen by table four, the total rating can be at most 150 points and at minimum seven points. Since PAT's figure 30 points, the percentages and made field goals take up the remaining 120 points. Or, knowing that the percentages value is 60, the field goal 15 percentages and the number of successful field goal are equal in the totality of the overall kicker rating. A side note is that all of the above was assumed there were no missed kicks. If there were missed kicks, we have to subtract their value from the 150 point total as well as subtract the difference when figuring the two different field goal percentages. In this rating, since they are capped values, some kickers lose some of their points they would gain in some of the ratings done previously. Others might gain a few points when they normally would not. This rating appears to be the most balanced of the ratings. It was meant to be equal in terms of weighing the percentages of short kicks, long kicks, and point-after-touchdowns and the number of made kicks. The kickers seem to separate at the top as a perfect kicker will have a perfect score, but any other kicker that misses just one kick will drop their overall rating by a couple of points very quickly. This might be a slight flaw in the overall rating, but the kicker should make all of his kicks. The comparisons for the ratings are for professional kickers in the NFL, although college and even high school kickers could be included with some minor tweaking for distance, of course. THE MAIN FORMULAThe previous four ratings thus far have covered basic kicker statistics such as field goal attempts and percents as well as point-after-touchdown attempts and percents. In this formula these statistics are used but there are many more factors that will go into it. The yardage of a field goal is now much more specific instead of in a generalized 16 distance increment. As a result, a 35 yard field goal is now defined as a 35 yard field goal and not labeled into the range of 30-39 yards unlike previous kicker ratings. The average yardage of each kicker's field goal attempts, misses and makes can either help or hurt the kicker in this formula. A relative average based on statistics from the 2003 season is set up to give an estimate of what distance each kicker should be able to make. Another key factor in the basic formula is extra consideration given to a kicker to make at least a 40 yard field goal as well as the added distance beyond a 40 yard kick. However, a kicker will suffer a penalty if he misses a kick within 40 yards and his formula total will take a bigger hit if the kick is from extremely short distance, such as a kick from 25 yards. In this formula, the longer the distance of a field goal, the more points that kick is worth towards the final total. For example, a 55 yard field goal is worth more than a 45 yard field goal. The two kicks count the same for both being over 40 yards, but the difference is because of the actual distance. Those ten extra yards are computed into one specific piece of the overall formula. After computing the basic components of the formula, there are also four different add-ons to the formula. The basic formula itself has six different sections that are calculated. These extra sections are for a more detailed formula with factors that could potentially sway the outcome of the kick. One of the factors is if the kick is made on the kicker's home field or on the road. Another is the kick being on an artificial surface or on natural grass. Another factor is determining if a kick was easier outdoors or indoors. The last factor judges the kicker's worth in each quarter with an emphasis on making field goals in pressure situations, such as at the end of the fourth quarter and in overtime. The add-on factors to the formula are meant to judge the kicker's value. The problem 17 with these factors can be a little subjective towards certain kickers in certain situations. For example, when a kicker has to kick longer field goals outdoors the weather can be a potential problem. The basic formula does not skew the overall total. The other factors can, depending on the conditions in which each of the kicker's field goal attempts are played during the season. On the Excel worksheet, specifically sheet three; all of the statistics plus the addons are used in each part of the formula. The statistics, which came from nfl.com and its game summary section, are labeled in terms of everything needed for the formula. Shown below is Table 5, which is a section, found on the Excel spreadsheet displaying all of the statistics used. FEELY B. GRAMAllCA DUNCAN RACKERS STOVER RICHIE LINDELL KASAY EDINGER GRAHAM DAWSON COt-lNAY CUNDIFF ELAM Table 5 All... AZ. AZ. AZ. BAL BAL BUF CAR CHI GIN CLE CLE DAL DEN 37ROT1 38RIT3 46HOG(2) 32ROT1 31 ROT4 53MHOG(2) 53HOG(2) 35MH0G4 45MHOG1 56MHOG(2) 51HOG(4) 44HOlW4 27R0G4 49H0G4 28HOG1 42R1T1 26H0G2 31ROG1 19HOG1 20H0G4 38MROG2 39ROG2 33MH012 37R012 51ROG1 27ROG(2) 37HIT1 21HOG(2) 41MHOG3 44HOG(4) 2OHOG1 51MH012 35HOG(2) 43RIT3 22ROG3 44ROG2 48ROG(4) 49R012 39R0G4 In table five, features 14 NFL kickers that attempted at least one field goal during the 2003 season. Each kicker's last name is mentioned in the first column and the team that he plays for is abbreviated in the second column. The other three columns listed to the right describe the field goals they attempted during the '03 regular season. Table 6 below describes what each of the numbers and letters mean in each cell for table five. 18 0= OUTSIDE 1= INSIDE M= MISSEDF H=HOME R= ROAD G=GRASS T=1URF 1,2,3,4, QUARTER 50VERTlME (#) kick in the last two minutes of the C= BELOW 40° W= WIND ABOVE 15 MPH RAIN SNOW hal~ Table 6 To further describe table five are some specific examples. Let's take Jay Feely of Atlanta and his first field goal attempt. The cell reads 37ROTl, which denotes the field goal was 37 yards; was kicked on the road, outdoors on turf and kicked during the first quarter. Another example is in the third row, which is represented by Tim Duncan of Arizona. His first cell reads 46HOG (2). From reading table six, which describes some of the labels, we can determine exactly what 46HOG (2) signifies. The field goal was 46 yards; the kick occurred at home, outdoors and on grass. The two in parentheses represents the second quarter and the kick happened in the last two minutes of the half. As a side note, the parentheses will only occur in the second or fourth quarter. One last example to better illustrate what all of the symbols mean is to take Wade Richie of Baltimore. His first field goal attempt reads 56MHOG (2). For the formula, this means that the field goal was at a distance at 56 yards, at home, outdoors and on grass and occurs in the last two minutes of the second quarter. The M stands for a missed field goal. Thus, Richie's attempt of 56 yards was unsuccessful, Other important items from this information is any weather stats, such as cold, rain, snow and wind are listed in the statistics, but not listed in any of the factors in the formula. These factors are hard to figure into the formula because weather conditions may be listed in the game day weather conditions, but may change during the course of the game. This would potentially sway the value of any kick made during a game. One game, as a possible example, might have 19 wind that significantly picks up later in the game, but will not be mentioned in the stats as being played in windy conditions. Statistics for the formula- The next part of the formula is on sheet four of the spreadsheet, which entails how the specific statistics go into the formula. In the spreadsheet, there are the following columns, which will be explained. A name of kicker B c total yards total yards attempted made fg's o total yards misses fg's E F IG a\efllQ9 yards 8\efBge yards , 8\efBge yards made field goa miss field goal attempted fg Table 7 Column A in table seven is the name of the kicker followed by the name of the team he plays for. Column B for total yards attempted, which is self-explanatory. Every field goal that a kicker attempts, the distance is added together for a total sum. Columns C and D are very similar to one another. In these two columns, the total yardage of all of the successfully made field goals is added together for one sum. In the spreadsheet, the total yardage for the missed field goals is found by subtracting column C from column B. In other words, column D is the total yardage for attempted field goals minus the total yardage for successful field goals. Columns E, F, and G are the averages of columns B, C and D divided by the number offield goals made, missed and attempted. Column E is the average distance per field goal made, column F is the average distance per field goal missed and column G is the average distance per field goal attempted. To fmd the number of field goals made, missed and attempted for the average distance, table eight shows these statistics. 20 To aid in finding the statistics from table seven, the set of columns from sheet four of the entire spreadsheet is needed. Column H and I are needed to find the average distance of field goals made, missed and attempted. To find column H, simply insert the number of field goals that each kicker converted successfully. Likewise, in column I insert the number of field goals that each kicker attempted. The next column is also selfexplanatory. To find the percentage offield goals made for column J, divide the number in column H by the number found in column I. This will give the overall percentage of successful field goals and will show a decimal from 0 to 1 to represent 0% to 100%. For columns K, L and M, the statistics for PAT's are needed, which was found once again on the NFL's website, nfl.com. The same format follows for these three columns as it did for columns H, I and J for finding field goals. In column K, insert the number of PAT's that each kicker converted successfully. Next, in column L insert the number of PAT's that each kicker attempted. For column M, to find the percentage of PAT's, divide the number found in column K by the number found in column L. Next, we have table nine, which details more of the columns in sheet four to illustrate what components will be in the formula. N o p makes beyond 40 total distance misses shorter than 40 S iT U R home kicks home Iroad kicks road pet total distance made pet Imade Q i Table 9 This set of columns is more diverse than any of the previous columns for this formula. Column N is for the field goals that are successful beyond 40 yards. A professional kicker should make all or almost all of his kicks short of 40 yards. It is at about 40 yards where some kickers' accuracy starts to decline, so this distance is designated as the spot where any kick longer than 40 yards is given a bonus. Column N is the number of field 21 goals made beyond 40 yards and is added up for a total. On the contrary, column 0 takes those field goals that were totaled up in column N and finds the total distance of each field goal beyond 40 yards. For example, a 50 yard field goal counts for 10 yards in column 0 since what is needed is the distance beyond the 40 yard range. In the spreadsheet, iflooking at the stats of Atlanta's Jay Feely, it shows that he made four field goals longer than 40 yards. The total distance of those four field goals went 182 yards. To find column 0, we need the distance of each field goal beyond 40 yards. One way to find that distance is to take the number of field goals, which is 4, and multiply it by 40 since that is the yardage limit. Next, subtract the number from the total distance, which was 182. Finally, after the calculations the total distance becomes 22, since that is equal to 182 minus 160, which are the calculations needed to solve. Now, move on to finding columns P and Q. These two columns are found in a similar method as the previous two columns, N and O. Column P is the number of field goals that the kicker has missed from less than 40 yards. Most kickers typically have a high percentage of conversion from less than 40 yards based on the statistics found on the spreadsheet. After finding P, column Q is found like column 0 except the total distance is needed for kicks less than 40 yards. Again, using Jay Feely's statistics on the spreadsheet he did not convert two field goals that were less than 40 yards. From observing sheet 3, the two field goals he missed were from 36 and 34 yards. Therefore, the total distance is 70 yards. To find the total distance of his missed attempts less than 40 yards, take the number of field goals misses, which is 2, and multiply by 40. This gives a total of 80. The total distance less than 40 yards for column Q is taking 80 and 22 subtracting Feely's field goal distance for his misses, which was 70. The answer to 80 minus 70 is, of course, 10. So, Feely's total distance for column Q is 10 or 10 yards. By simply going through all of the field goal attempts listed on sheet three, the next four columns can also be determined. Column R is the number of field goals that each kicker made at their home stadium. On sheet three of the Excel workbook, all of the field goals attempts by every kicker can be found at home. In table six, the key to finding where the field goals were kicked is the symbol H, which stands for a home kick. Column R is the total number of kicks made, while column S is for the percentage of converted field goals that each kicker had at home. Every field goal attempt, make or miss, needs to be accounted for. Then, take the number found in column R and divide by the total number of field goals attempts that occur at home for every kicker. This will give the percentage for field goals made at the kicker's home stadium. Similarly, the same method applies to columns T and U as did columns R and S. The lone difference is instead of finding each field goal made and attempted at home, now each field goal made and attempted on the road needs to be found. To find the road field goals on the statistic sheet, look for the symbol R, which means the kick was on the road. v w X y qtr 1 qtr 2 qtr 3 qtr4 Z AB end of 4th qtr or OIeItime grass jAE , AC lAD turf outsid :::J~ins~~id~:--. .~ Table 10 Table lOis the last of the components that will help determine the formula for kickers, but most of these columns represent the add-ons to the formula. In columns V, w, X, Y and Z the percentages are what is important. Later, when explaining the 23 specifics of calculating the quarters into the formula more detail will be given. For each column, take the number of converted field goals and divide by the number of attempts to get the percentage of converted field goals in each quarter. In table 6, the symbols for finding when each field goal was attempted are simply I for the first quarter, 2 for the second quarter, 3 for the third quarter and 4 for the fourth quarter. Also, if 2 is in parentheses, it will always count only in the column for the second quarter. However, if the 4 is in parentheses, this will count not only in the column for the fourth quarter but also in column Z for the "pressure kicks". These "pressure" kicks are for any field goal that is made in the last two minutes of the game or in overtime, whose symbol is 5, th meaning the "5 quarter." One of the other factors is columns AB and AC, which tells if the kick was on grass or on an artificial surface. These two columns are found in the same ways the columns for the quarters were found in that all is needed is the percentages of the converted field goals, either on grass or on turf. Table six gives the symbols of grass as G and turf as T for finding the number of successes and the number of attempts made on each surface. Lastly, columns AD and AE illustrate iftbe kick was made outdoors or indoors. These two columns also are computed by finding the percentages of the successful field goals. The symbol for looking up a kick made outdoors is given by 0 and the symbol for an indoor kick is given by I. The Actual FormulaThe actual formula, located on sheet five of the Excel workbook, is based on all of the statistics that have been computed for every kicker with at least one field goal attempt in the 2003 regular season. 24 ~C~f.D~~f.E~~~~~F~~tG~~~H~~~~~~I~__~~~____+ii___-J Ilpcl· #clkid<s Ilpcl·'#clkid<s'2 _ . _ ..._ - ' - - - PATpcI. #clkicks (35-a.gy!lldsmade I I _ _ _ _ _-1-_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ._ _--1._ _-'i __ K J PATpcV#clkicks'O.5 L J+ M # of kicks beyond 40 . dis! made beyond 40 (43- mg. yards missed) (43- mg. yards missed) # of kicks made short of 40 dist missed shorter than N TOTAL IF POSrTlVE 40) ' ... 10'--._______ Table I I These are all of the categories used for the computation of the final total for the NFL kicker formula. The six columns in the total rating are E, H, I, K, L and M. The other columns are statistics that shape the above six columns. This does not include any of the add-on factors that can be attached to the basic formula. The first two columns of table II will result in finding column E, which is essential for the main formula. Column C is field goal percentage, which has already been computed on the previous sheet. Column D is also on the previous Excel worksheet. Thus, simply copy both from sheet four and put the numbers needed into columns C and D. To find column E, we take the field goal percentage found in C and multiply that by the number of successful field goals found in D. Next, multiply that total by two for the fmal result. The statistics show for the 2003 season these totals can range from a whopping 0 points to as much as 74 points for the final result. The statistics done for the '03 season show that this category is by far and away worth the most points to the kicker's total. The next component of the formula is over PAT's. Comparable to the method done for the previous columns, take the number of PAT's that were successful and multiply by the percentage of the successful PAT's. Multiply that product by 0.5 or divide by two. For simplicity, column F is the number of successful PAT's and column G is the PAT percentage. Both numbers for each column can be found again on sheet 25 four and copied over. Different from the field goals is the extra multiplier is now 0.5 or Y, of the product of columns F and G. The difference in the multipliers is the emphasis is on the field goals and not so much on the PAT's. The product of field goal percentage and number of successful kicks will still differ on how much they are worth since many of the kicker have made many more PAT's than they did field goals. In fact, Morton Andersen from Kansas City has more points in the PAT category than he does in the field goal category in this formula. He made 59 PAT's out of 60, so his percentage was high and then multiplied by 59. This was then halved to get an approximate value of 29 points for the final total. But, Andersen only made 16 field goals during the entire 2003 season out of 20 possible attempts. Even multiplying back by the number of kicks made and then doubling, Andersen's point value for field goals still only came out to 25.6 points for the final total. Thus, even with weights factored into make field goals worth more, there can still be an exception to the rule if a kicker makes many more PAT's than field goals. However, he must be fairly successful at converting field goals or his overall points in the formula will suffer in the next few pieces of the formula. The next component of the formula figures in is the average distance of each successful field goal converted by each kicker. Again, in the previous sheet (number four) the average distance per field goal made has been found and computed in column E of sheet four or above in column E in table seven. For the formula, take that average distance found and subtract from 35 to get the result. If that number is positive, then the kicker's average made field goal was less than 35 yards and will cost the kicker points in the final total. However, if that number is negative, then the kicker will receive that 26 number of points towards his final total. The number 35 was chosen because the average distance for every kicker was about 35 yards. Thus, this component of the formula is really the average of all of the kickers successful field goals minus the individual kicker's average field goal made. A longer average for each kicker helps their overall total, while a shorter averaged field goal hurts their overall total. Component number four of the formula is really the opposite of component number three. This time the average distance for missed field goals is found and not the made field goals. For the computations in the formula, fmd the average distance of the missed field goals located in sheet four and then subtract from 43. If this number is positive, the number will be subtracted from the kicker's fmal total. If column J is positive that number will carry over to column K. This is where the number is subtracted in the final totals. If the kicker did not a miss a kick all season, then this column will automatically will result in a 0 and have no effect on the total. But, after subtracting 43 minus the average missed field goal distance for column J and it is negative, then the formula slightly changes. If column J is in fact a negative number, column K will become 0 when figuring in the formula. The reasoning is that if a kicker's average miss is from 47 yards and the average for everyone else is 43. When 47 is taken from 43, the result is - 4. In the final totals of the formula, column K is subtracted. When subtracting a negative number, what happens is 4 points will be added onto the final totals. No kicker will be rewarded in this formula with "bonus" points because he missed from a long range. There is no penalty if the average kick is over 43 yards, but there is no incentive either. 27 J K 'L M N IF POSITIVE # of kicks beyond 40 TOTAL dist made beyond 40 (43- 8109. yards missed) (43- 8109, yards missed) # of kicks made short of 40 dist missed shorter than 40) 11Q. __ .......___ .____ ~ Table I I (b) In table 11 (b), the fifth component of the fonnula is given by column L. This column gives a result of the number of field goals a kicker has made longer than 40 yards and subtract any field goals missed from less than 40 yards. Going back to sheet four, again, these computations have been worked out. For column L, the number of unsuccessful field goals the kicker missed, if any, will be subtracted from the number of successful field goals the kicker did make. From the statistics given, this number for the kickers ranged anywhere from a-I to a positive 13. The negative one means that those particular kickers, which there were two, missed more field goals less than 40 yards than they made from more than 40 yards. The last component of the basic fonnula for the NFL kicker, column M, is take the extra distance beyond 40 yards and subtract the extra distance less than 40 yards. Next, divide that difference by 10 to get the result. Finding the extra distance offield goals more and less than 40 yards was completed in the statistics sheet. After subtracting the two extra distances to get a number, now divide that result by 10. On the spreadsheet, that is written as (extra distance beyond 40 yards - extra distance less than 40 yards)/ 10. The number 10 was detennined as the dividing number so that the result of the column would be similar to other components, with the exception of component one (column E) and component two (column H) which have much greater value. For instance, Jeff Wilkins of St. Louis has an extra distance in the column of 90 yards. Based on the components of the fonnula, adding 90 to the fonnula would greatly skew the results. But, when that distance is divided by 10, the number becomes obviously nine. Nine 28 points, when compared to the rest of the formula is an acceptable result to the overall formula. Now, the basic formula has all of its components ready to make the final total. To find this total, add columns E, H, L and M to get one total sum. Then, if necessary subtract columns I and K from that sum to get a final, overall total for the formula. In this formula, the totals for every kicker have been calculated. Some of the noticeable items in this formula are that Jeff Wilkins and Mike VandeIjagt had outstanding 2003 seasons and ran away from the other kickers in this formula. Wilkins had a better total by four tenths of a point mainly because his average distance of field goals were longer and he made more kicks that were more than 40 yards, including four SO+ yards. Nearly every kicker that had a limited season, either due to injury or being cut, was in the bottom ten of this formula. Jeff Feagles of the New York Giants had one attempt all year and missed from "a chip shot distance" of 29 yards and paid dearly because of that miss. His total of - S I points was by far the worst of any kicker. Congratulations to Jeff and Jeff for finishing as the best and worst NFL kickers in the first season of the NFL kicker statistical rating! The Add-On Factors Now that the basic formula is completed for every kicker, the additional factors of home and away field goals, on grass versus artificial surface, in a dome or outside and in which quarter was each kicker better can be calculated. Each of these additional factors is not a part of the main formula because of the possible bias that may be in each of these factors. The components in the formula are fairly straightforward, while these can 29 change depending on the kicker. A kicker's total should not be completely affected by these factors unless someone would want to include them into the formula. Nevertheless, the first add-on factor is to find the points that could be added on or subtracted from the main formula. This factor covers all of the field goals made at home and on the road by each kicker. In the workbook sheet number four; there are four columns that will determine this section that could be added to the main formula. These four columns are also in table 9 in columns R, S, T and U and are made field goals at home and on the road, as well as the percentage of successful field goals made at home and on the road. Thus, there are only four parts to [md this particular add-on to the formula. home kicks" (your pct. - Slog (80%» + road kicks "(your pct. HOME ROAD I 4 vanderjagt, ind 3.4 2.85 wilkins, stl 2.1818181 0.166667 hanson, de! 3.4 1.391304 0.8666671 _stOI.el", - Slog. (80%» 7.4 5.031818182 ball 3.566666667 2.257971014 1 Table 12 (a) vandeljagt, ind wilkins, stl hanson, de! stOI.el", baI horne kick: home road kicks pet made made 17 1 20 19' 0.95 20 17 1 5 13 20 0.869565 road pct 1 0.909091 0.833333 0.866667 Table 12 (b) Table 12 is a general idea of what is in sheet nine of the Excel workbook. Every kicker will have a total based off of his kicks made and attempted at home and on the road that can be added onto the existing formula. Table 12 (b) has the top four rated kickers based off of the equation of home and road field goals. The four columns in table 12 (b) are what the equation at the top of table 12a is based. There are two parts to the equation; a 30 home section and a road section to make up an entire total. Needed in the first part of the equation are the number of field goals made at home and also the percentage of home field goals. The remaining part is finding an average percent for all kickers. The average percentage for every kicker in the NFL in the 2003 season at home and on the road was roughly 79% each. The equation has the average at 80%. The equation of field goals attempted at home is given as the number of converted field goals at home multiplied by the quantity of the kicker's percentage, which is written as a decimal minus 0.8. A reminder that 0.8 is also known as 80%. The road part of the equation is done the same way. This is given as the number of converted field goals on the road multiplied by the quantity of the kicker's percentage minus 0.8. Once the home and road sections are calculated, both are added together to make a final result. In this equation, Mike VandeIjagt is a full two points ahead of his nearest competitor. But, there are several kickers that will lose points in the final total of the main formula if this equation is added on to the formula. The second of the add-ons is find the field goals made on natural grass or on an artificial surface, such as Astroturf or on field turf. These statistics are found on sheet four of the workbook. All of the statistics used specifically in this second equation are on sheet six. There you will find the percentages of converted field goals made on grass and turf. The percentage is higher for field goals made on artificial surfaces than on grass, but the number of attempts on grass is over double of what the number of attempts on turf. Later on sheet six, there are statistics that will make up the grass/turf equation. First, find which surface that each kick is played. 31 FORMULA FOR GRASSIlURF KICKS grass home home surf # made kicks ISnderjagt, ind turf 0/0 hanson, de! turf 0/0 wilkins, stl turf 0/0 stOler, bal grass 20/3 janikowski, oak grass 11/1 g anderson, ten grass 1312 graham, cin grass 11/2 grass h grass road turf home made/miss grass r made/miss turf h 17/0 0 1 17/0 0' 510 17/0 1 0 0.869565 0.916667 0.866667 ().846154 " 1312 0.866667 10/1 0.909091' 0.91" 9/1 1211 0.923077' 7/0 1r 19/1 0 0 0 0 turf road made/misf turf r • 310 0/1 7/0 311 211 211 411 GRASS AVG. 78%; 1URF AVG. 81% EQUAllON IS 3* HOME + 2* ROAD GRASS +ROAD 1URF 1 9.69 7.48 0.57 17.74 ISnderjagt, ind o 9.69 2.2 -<>.81 11.08 hanson, de! 1 7.56 1.906667 1.33 10.79667 wilkins, stl 0.75 4.567826 2.323636 -<>.12 6.771462 stOler, bal 0.866667 4.1 1.92 -<>.14333 5.876667 janikowski, oak 0.866667 2.86 3.147692 -<>.14333 5.864359 g anderson, ten 0.8 1.786154 3.08 -<>.03 4.836154 graham, cin Table 13 For this add-on equation, grass and turf is now influenced by home and away statistics as well. Table 13 contains all of the pertinent statistics for fmding the final result of the grass/turf equation. There are four different categories in which the field goals are separated into. These are field goals attempted at home on grass or turf, on the road on turf or grass. Obviously, a kicker can only attempt field goals at home on grass or turf, so one of these categories is represented with a zero. The first column of each category is the number offield goals made to the number offield goals missed. The second column for each category is the percentage. When computing the three parts to the equation, it is known from earlier computed stats that the average success rate of a field goal on grass is 78%, while on turf the rate is 81 %. The first part of the equation is finding the home rate of either grass or turf. Take the number of successful field goals and subtract the unsuccessful field goals and find the difference. Next, take each kicker's percent made at home (as a decimal) and subtract the average percent of field goals made 32 1 1 0.95 0 0 0 0 to find the difference. If the kicker's home surface is grass, then use 0.78; otherwise, use 0.81. Once these two differences are found, multiply them together and use a multiplier of three. In this equation, we have multipliers of three, two and one. The three represents home kicks, while the two will represent road kicks on grass since more kicks are attempted on grass. The multiplier of one will represent the number for road kicks on turf. The second part of the equation is using a similar method as part one. Again, take the number of made field goals and missed field goals on the road on grass and find their difference. This time take the kicker's percent on grass on the road and subtract 0.78 to find the difference. Multiply these differences and use the multiplier of two to get a result. For the third part of the equation, use field goals attempted on the road on turf and use 0.81 as the average percent for everyone. There is a multiplier for this part, but it is one. Therefore, leave the result as is. Once all three parts ofthe equation are found, add them together to get a final score. This can be seen in table 13 where the score is highlighted in bold. The top seven kickers in this equation have been listed with all of their statistics. The third add-on to the formula is field goals attempted indoors in a domed stadium or in an outdoor stadium. By using information in sheet seven, two of the six categories in the outdoor/indoor equation are easily found. However, sheets three and four will be used to find information on the total yardage of field goals made and missed from outdoors or indoors. 33 EQUAllON#3:1+2-3-4+5+6 1 11 outside made yardage multiplied by 0.15 diloided by number of kicks 2 outside missed yardage multiplied by 0.1 diloided by number of kicks 3 inside yardage made multiplied by 0.1 diloided by number of kicks 1 1 1 L----j 41 insi.de .. yard.age miSSed. multiplied by... 0.1.5diloided by number of kicks missed 5 kicker's pctof outside kicks - .75 multiplied by 10 6 kicker's pet. of inside kicks - .8 multiplied by 10 i ' I I 1 1 i Table 14 By table 14, which is also found on sheet seven of the Excel workbook, information is still needed in the yardage of made and missed field goals from outdoors and indoors. The number of field goals attempted for made and missed field goals also needs to be found. Once the information for each kicker is known, the calculations can begin. This can be done in sheet seven of the Excel workbook as a copy of it will be shown in table 15 below. 1 #2&4 CAP 1 /yards att # attempts a'9. yards \AT 45 YDS MULllPLIER RESULT line 1 line 2 line 3 line 4 lineS line 6 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1kicker pet. - 75% for outside kicks 1kicker pet. - 80"10 for inside kicks 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.15 0.1 0.1 0.15 10 10 01 01 01 01 --- 1 --_.. --- Table 15 Use tables 14 and 15 to aid in the calculations. Line one is the total yards of made field goals outdoors divided by the number of field goal attempts from outdoors, which gives the average yardage per field goal. Multiply that number by 0.15 for the result. Line three is computed exactly the same way with the exception that the field goal attempts are from inside and the multiplier is 0.1. Yet, lines two and four have one major difference in how they are computed. For line two, the total yardage of the missed field goals from outdoors is found and then divided by the number of attempts from outdoors. 34 This results in the average yardage per field goal which is then multiplied by 0.1 to get the result for line two. But, if the average yardage per field goal is over 45 yards, there is a limit set for the average of missed field goals at 45 yards. For example, if the average is 48 yards per field goal, the limit will set the average back to 45 yards so it can be calculated. Similarly, line four has the same limit of an average missed field goal being 45 yards and anything over that distance will still be 45 yards. For lines five and six, refer to either sheet four or sheet seven to find the percentages for each kicker from outdoors and indoors. Based on the averages for all kickers in the '03 season, the standard average was set at 75% success rate outdoors because of potential weather and other problems. The standard average success rate for field goals made indoors is 80%. To find lines five and six, subtract the average rate from each kicker's percentage and multiply by ten. Once all lines have been computed, refer to table 14 and use the formula for the overall total. The last add-on to the formula is the field goals made and the percent in each quarter and in "pressure" situations. On sheet eight of the Excel file are ten different categories that will be in the "quarter" equation. Each quarter and the pressure situations have a section of field goals made in each quarter and also a section on the field goal percentage during that quarter. A pressure situation is defined in the kicker ratings as a field goal made in the last two minutes of the fourth quarter or any field goal made during an overtime period. To figure the average percent, find from sheet four the percentage of all field goals made to field goals attempted. The result is that approximately 79% of all field goals attempted were made. Thus, 79% is used in this formula as the standard in 35 which all kickers need to have a minimum percent. Otherwise, the category in this equation will become a negative value and take away from the final result. The final equation becomes the kicker's percent in 1st quarter - .79 multiplied by the number of made field goals in the 1st quarter plus the kicker's percent in the 2nd quarter - 0.79. Next, multiply by the number of made field goals in the second quarter. Multiply again in the second quarter section by 1.5. The third quarter is found in the same style as the first quarter. The same goes for the fourth quarter in that it is also found the same style as the second quarter. The last section for "pressure kicks" is similar to all of the other quarters with the exception of the multiplier being two. The multipliers are in place to provide more of an emphasis on clutch kicking. In clutch situations, the more field goals made, with a good percentage as well, should be well rewarded in the equation. A clutch field goal usually means a win in the standings for the kicker and his team, which is probably more important. No longer is the quarterback the only player in football that has a rating to judge performance. Now, the kicker has several different ratings and formulas to be able to judge how well the kicker is performing at any point in the season. The four kicker ratings are fairly simplistic in that many football fans could calculate these ratings. The actual formula for kickers is directed towards statisticians and others that want to have some real depth on how a kicker should be evaluated. There are possible flaws in these formulas, which is to be expected in the upcoming 2004 NFL season they might be exposed. Each rating and formula was purely based on one single regular season in the NFL. The 2004 season averages may be higher or lower than this season's. Something might occur in upcoming seasons that were not thought possible of the '03 season. One 36 kicker in all of these ratings that has ranked middle of the pack at best has been New England's Adam Vinatieri. However, any casual football fan can tell how valuable he has been to New England with two Super Bowl winning field goals and other clutch playoff field goals. This proves that any rating may have a kicker or two that defies explanation. Lastly, these ratings were purely for professional kickers. Despite that, any of these ratings can be modified to include collegiate kickers, high school kickers and even arena league kickers to measure their true value. 37 Works Cited National Football League. NFL Scores. 2004. National Football League, CBS Sportsline.com. <http://nfl.comlscores>. National Football League. NFL Stats 2003 Regular Season. 2004. National Football League, CBS Sportsline.com. <http://nfl.comlstats/playersortlNFLlKFIELDGOALS/2003/regular>. Stassen, Chris. NCAA and NFL Passing Efficiency. 10 May 2004. <http://football.stassen.comlpass-eff/>. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 PAT MADEl PAT ATTEMPTED OVERALL FG peT. 18-29 fg's made 30-39 f9'S made 40-49 f9'S made 50 + f9'S made 18-29 f9'S missed 30-39 f9'S missed 40-49 f9's missed 50 + f9'S missed 1 1 17 7 12 1 0 0 0 0 MULTIPLIER 25 25 2 4 6 8 4 3 2 1 25 25 34 28 72 8 0 0 0 0 192 OVERALL RATING ~:J. PAT MADEl PAT ATTEMPTED 40 + f9 pet. 18-39 f9 pet. 18-29 f9'S made 30-39 f9'S made 40-49 f9's made 50 + f9's made 18-29 f9'S missed 30-39 f9'S missed 40-49 f9'S missed 50 + f9'S missed 1 0.923077 0.931034 16 11 8 4 0 2 1 0 15 15 20 18.46154 25 23.27586 1 16 22 2 24 3 4 16 2 0 1.5 3 1 1 0.5 0 130.7374 OVERALL RATING CAP NUMBER CAP 42 40 1 1 11 10 21 20 0 0 1 1 0.9285714 0.928571 1 1 PATS MADE PAT peT. FG'S MADE OVER 40 YARDS FG'S MADE UNDER 40 YARDS FG'S MISSED OVER 40 YARDS FG'S MISSED UNDER 40 YARDS FG PCT. OVER 40 YARDS FG PCT. UNDER 40 YARDS 40 MULTIPLIER VALUE 0.25 20 10 20 :) 1.5 1.25 2.5 10 20 30 30 I) 2.5 25 23.2142857 35 OVERALL RATING 35 145.7'i4286 CAP VALUES MAXIMUM MINIMUM PAT MADE PAT PCT. FG OVER 40 FGUNDER40 FG MISS OVER 40 FG MISS UNDER 40 FG PCT OVER 40 FG PCT UNDER 40 4 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0.25 20 3 1.5 1.25 2.5 25 35 1 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 MIN VALUE 7 40 1 10 20 0 0 1 1 0.25 20 3 1.5 1.25 2.5 25 35 MAX VALUE 10 20 30 30 0 0 25 35 150 PAT MADEl PAT ATTEMPTED 18-29 fg's made 118-29 fg's attempted 30-39 fg's made 1 30-39 fg's attempted 40-49 fg's madel 40-49 fg's attempted 50 + fg's madel 50+ fg's attempted 1 20 20 1 29 23 29 19.46153846 15.11111111 0.8461538 0.8888889 1 17 11 highest rating would be 100 11 94.57264957 KICKER TEAM FEELY ATL B. GRAMATICA AZ DUNCAN AZ RACKERS AZ STOVER BAL RICHIE SAL LINDELL BUF KASAY CAR EDINGER CHI GRAHAM CIN DAWSON CLE CONWAY CLE CUNDIFF DAL ELAM DEN KENORR DEN HANSON DET LONGWELL GB BROWN HOU VANDERJAGT IND MARLER JAX BRIEN JETS ANDERSEN KC MARE MIA ELLING MIN VINATIERI NE CARNEY NO BRYANT NYG FEAGLES NYG CONWAY NYG JANIKOWSKI OAK AKERS PHI REED PITT CHRISTIE SD BROWN SEA CHANDLER SF POCHMAN SF T. PETERSON SF WILKINS STL M. GRAMATICA TB HENTRICH TEN NEDNEY TEN ANDERSON TEN HALL WASH FG'SMADE 0= OUTSIDE; ~~;' 1~I~UI4 1-----ffionl"n?;'J~I.:I";;-if. I~ nV"1 !) "' 12 1411 nv ..,,"V, " ;S;lKU 11 I----F.:il= r.4 ;Sl r./4 /I " i40HOG2 ,21 )G(2) 't:U~ , " 511Vln\.l'" 1'<. 13RIT3 1??ROr.", 131ROG1 "Inv, , "onv, " 120HOG3 31 HOG2 H::l9G3 38HOG(2) Rnc~ 4I1MROr.<I nv", "" ;Slit(\) I 4:!ROG' I37RO' ~; H1KU' 15 ROG1 !) I" fMU"4 ~ INONE ~HC~ 31 151 IvInv"" fi1ROGi ,OMV"" ,:~~ ..cme- 14. >lOr.' IN~ ;SIM";S ~ ~~~ VI.:>'! ~r2 'KU I", "I") 221- )G2 47HOG3 "0'- '" .. ~141 ,4/MU';S ".."v"" "" "".- '" l1 I"~~U I I 121HOT2 OG3 "nil ~G3 r.? 1-_ _--11~40FR~rn~(.r.~;......_+Is5MRoG~ I!OROG3 I"""UI.: :2)rain "n"" ", G3rain KI 14UMOG1 ,,", ION ~G1 INONE 131 HOG1 '19HOG1 " "HU l;j ?l-Inll1 ?Q~ onv)9- 1441- 14110~ 'l:fKU 141 " 12~ ,2 ?RI-IOr.O .,.."v, I"J I"""V ," 511 l-<L 141-1n81 ,OMU I \.<J ,';s 01 :<1 4UKU I. r1 I?\ r./4\ 2: " '''U '" I'" ". "" , I"""" Il) 151MRIT1 14RI-IOr.1 II ... " 11 150HOG1 '22HOG2 ~+3 ~D; G= ( 112 TIME; T=TURF, C= RI=I ow 40'; W= WIND A~VV : 15 MPH; RAIN; SN I34HIT1 13JHI f1 160RIl (2 12BHII" 40HII 2 1,2,3.4 OT = ;:s;: r..1'J\ 31ROGf 33MROI(2 49RQ{;;(2) 129HU 114) 144KV i4fHOG .,I;I-Inr.? I22KV\;i2 WHUI ~1.4\ II {"J IJUKU ~ 'nr. 13ft'(1,J,I 'J =~(21'19ROO 2,l..f"<\.J.I" i34R0G4 JtiKU I I02KV I 13fHUG3 ~w.I2B~OG2 rlOG3 ROG4 137R0G4 !4t:jQ(,4 28RIT2 1"1 ,J 1T(5) 126ROT4 ..-u-nr...4 lA, RQg IT 'J"Rr 26KUIV? I"nm OTW4 ~C4 1211KI 1 123RI '4 ~~~--I i1RIT4 SORe ~5KU (2 ~\ 4KV' ;VV4 ~VI.: ~HUI"" " 'A"H"", "~ ... , , :36HUI" 12~ 154IIT1 J~ II 14: 1r14 12 ~IT1 14t HI f3 IJfKII 34 OT4 ,,,,,uIT4 41RIl 'R!J:r3~~~~R~rn~,(r..~"-I '.."no "-' )G3 .nI-lM? 120KI{;;VV", 153RO( i(2) 12~ """T4 iHOT3, 12 'HU I" IJ< IV!) '" .y,._ ... r..I~\ 13 'R0Gr2) II;' n",., lAC nr.i:4 c;4 144ROG [5'1 HIT 17HI ~f2 14lHil l'1l-In, i1'';'. )G2 10l}HI IUHII 146HI !) 'HI! II ITVV i2RYf2 j3S 114 143RIIT1 IfgKII4 12BHII 2 411H". '''AU.' ~r:w'J "-Rl-lr '>NAI'J ,.... m. ~T4 )<35 ,1 bI2;;;CORiiilllT;;---IIAM44F~ITTin92!)\i313:7i7rIRRiuliT33-::t311KU ~T(;l) 139M'R<== ::-f1= IT5 14' 39R0G2 132ROc:i2\ 133RO( 1) 140H\ 1T1 2\ 126 O( i1 ~G(2) oK11 51HOIW !3R( i2 iORC ,2 :27HOT2 130ROG 131 14: 002 U\;i" 37HU ,II 13' OG3 13: RDG4 '3 i) 2: i>nr..' ., HUl:l 14 n","1 IORIT4 16ROG2 46~ ROG1 112 H (2) I 1'1'11 124HIT 33RO( JJKVI. rV::"I 131HIT3 15, l6OROG: 37H0G4 G2 Ul"lr..I.4\ OG2 40ROG1 132HOGW2 2~ HO( iW4 II J 121 HI nr ''1\ 132ROG2 4tsHU\;i" 1A-u-+- 3 OW;u tWEAI~ OG(2) 25HITI2 I46HfT4 25HOI~ 1;S\lHu I 122HCJI IL) 132F 24R:iT 137I-lnG'2) 123Hul ... v ?Ill To 121 40 ROT4 UI ... u;nr. (??I:fOT4 147HOI I) i6HfT4 1381 ""'I'> iiG 1 14 132HOT3 129RO 1RIT5 ~r,? InROG3 129 CW 29R( 128HOT 146Rr ;j "I2\rain IT;S Il9ROG: 132ROO 139HI! ,1 18RITW "" 132Hit4 39HII~ 291" I~ Ul; ;v ii:i 142HI 135HIH ~ 1) 32 - IF JF 01 iW' 39HIT 31 ROG2 nG1 29HI"I ~Ulll 55ROm 121 138HIT3 150HII I'" 41RcrF3 M'> 22H T4 iij:i OG(2) 1~ HU 14' 12' 12) 1) OT2 1'>1 7" A~IT1 35HII 12 I'" I 147~nG5 127HOl:>4 4Ri< fG3 133~ " lT3 51 155R', 1(2) ~~~~G4~_~29R5G14\ '4 21R01 123Hu DHUGT ;OHOG(. !2ROG( 2) l?fiROG! !4RIT4 HOCt;V SHU IvW", I?IIROTCW 14I~ [f J40RO~'C~2_-I DG3 121 147 311 1MHU 12 141HOT3 3CM1 1'>1 )T1rain IT;S 201' IT l3Hl 35RUI 140HOl:;' 140HOo.; - 34MHIT(2) 26ROG1 38ROG(2) 37ROG3 38RIT1 27RIT(2) 23HOT4 28HOT(2) 47HOT4 41 HOT4 22HOTCW2 32ROG1 29HOTM1 32MHOG1 43MHOG4 40HOG2 37HOGW1 44HOTM2 38MHOG2 38HOGC1 40HOG4 31 HOGW2 23HOT2 49MHOG3 22HOGC3 27HOG2 20HOT3 21ROG3 46MHOGC4 48HOGM3 48HOTWM3 49ROG(4t 19HOGW2 37ROG1 42HOG(2) 30MHOGW2 47ROG4 34ROGC3rain 20ROGC4rain 24HOTW1 43HOGC2 47HOG2 51HOG1 42HOTVll(2) 36HOG(4) 21 HOTW3 25HOG5 49HOTW4 24RIT4 24HIT1 40MHOG(2) 34ROT4 44ROG2 35HOG2 38ROTC1 43HOGC3 30ROTCW2 44MROG2 46ROGC(2) 49MRIT3 25HIT2 45HOGCMrai 19HIG1 25ROG(2) 41MHOG3 50MROTC(2) 35HOGC(4) 23HOG1 46ROG4 28ROG4 35HIT1 30HIT3 31 ROG2 31HIG4 40HIT2 28HOG4 40ROTC3 48HIT(2) 33ROG2 38HOGC(2) 49HOGCM3 29HIT4 24ROGC1 28HOTCW1 21ROG1 23ROGC2 41 HOTCW(2t 35ROG2 34MROGC(2) 29HOTct2) 43HOG2 39ROGM2 43RIT1 49MHIT(2) 53MHOG3 35ROG2 29HOGCW1 snoY, 33ROG1 22HOG(4) 23ROGW2 44ROGM3 24HIT4 54MHOGCW(2)snow 22HOGC2 38ROG3 24HIT1 48HOG2rain 46ROG2 44HOGC4 48HOG2 52MRIT2 37HOG1 42ROG(2) 48MHOGC4 26HOG2 49MRIT3 23HOG4 22HOG4 42MHOGCW3 42MHOGCW4 40HOGC4 43MROTCW1 52HOGM3 26ROG4 20MROTCW4 41 ROGC4 47ROGCMrain2 47HOGCW4 31RIT(2) 38RIT3 49MROG2 33ROG(4) 28HIT1 41MHOG3 51HIT(2) 27ROG1 28ROGC1 33ROG3 26ROGC2 39ROG4 29ROGC(2) 24HOG2 37ROGC3 47HOG(2) 26RIG4 34MROTCW2 37HOG1 41 ROTCW4 33HOG(2) 27ROGW1 43HOG(2) 31 ROGW2 41MHOGC(2) 41RIG(2) 49HOG4 28ROTCW1 54RITM5 40HIT3 28ROG2 50ROG(2) 44HOG3 33MHOGW4 42ROT1 33ROT2 45HOGW(4) 52MROG2 51 HOT3 31ROG3 24HOT1 42HOG1 36ROG(2) 43HOG2 36ROG(2) 23ROG(2) 35HOG3 22ROG3 52ROGW3 48ROGWM3 43ROGW5 51HOG(2~ 31 HOGC2 27HIT3 24MHOG3 28HIT2 24HOG4 26HIT(4} 23HOGC1 36HIT(5) 21 ROGCrain3 36HOG1 40HOGCW4 42ROT3 41 HOG(2) 23HOGM2 42HOG3 33HOG4 45ROGWM4 45ROGWM2 23ROGW2 46ROGW4 27ROG2 49ROGM3 48ROG4 45ROT2 46ROT3 39MROGC4 21HOG3 33HIT4 46HIT(4) 26HIT2 50HIT3 51RIT2 36R1T(2} 49HIT4 23HOG3 52MHOG1 35HOG4 33HOG1 34HOG3 48HOG2 46ROGM1 44RITM2 23ROG2 22RIT4 28ROG1 31ROG1 22ROG3 46MROTGW 46HOT4 52MHOT(4) 47HOT5 41RIT1 25RIT2 34ROT(2) 48ROG3 47HOG1 43RIT2 45HOG3 48RITM2 25HOG2 41RITM4 47HOGM2 34HOGM2 49HOTM4 22HOG2 44HOTM4 29HOGM3 43RITM2 40HOGCM 25HOGC3 26ROG3 21MHOG4 48ROG2 43HIT2 30MRIT4 38ROG5 40HIT(2) 44ROGM1 43RIT(2) 39RIG2 39ROG4 36HOT1 43RIG(4) 36ROTM1 35HOT4 27ROGW2 23ROT2 26HOGC(4) 45ROGM2 21RIG2 38RIGM1 32RIG3 37HOGC4 20HOG1 ~f3 40HOT(4 42HOT5 41RIT3 39ROGW2 35ROGW4 21 HOT2 54HOGM3 33ROGC1 26HOG4 44ROT1 23ROGC(2 54ROGC(2) 52ROTM4 34ROT4 47ROGC4 26ROGW2 27ROGW4 31HIT1 24ROTW2 37RIGM3 28RIG5 46HIT4 48HIT4 27H1T(2) 41ROG1 44ROG4 31 ROG(4) 29ROG(2) 24ROG(4 49ROG5 ~+4 kicker feely, atl b gramatica, az duncan,az rackers, az stover, bal richie, bal lindell, buff kasay, car edinger, chi graham, cin dawson, cle conway, cle cundiff, dal elam, den kenorr, den hanson, det longwell, gb k brown, hou vande~agt, ind marler, jax brien, jets andersen, kc mare, mia elling, min vinatieri, ne carney, no bryant, nyg feagles, nyg conway, nyg janikowski, oak akers, phi reed, pitt christie, sd j brown, sea chandler, sf pochman, sf peterson, sf wilkins, stl m gramatica, tb hentrich, ten nedney, ten 9 anderson, ten hall, wash total yards attempted yds attd made yds attd msd 1028 149 371 396 1139 107 813 1402 1384 933 716 264 1045 1166 27 834 940 840 1266 1184 1204 781 1084 919 1122 1153 479 29 430 975 1050 1102 718 1191 207 589 505 1509 967 216 50 1142 1280 651 96 209 290 951 56 502 1130 981 779 587 189 775 1001 27 791 806 641 1266 670 1006 606 782 609 760 777 373 0 300 821 823 777 491 817 164 314 395 1384 511 164 50 963 916 AVERAGES: 377 53 162 106 188 51 311 272 403 154 129 75 270 165 0 43 134 199 0 514 198 175 302 310 362 376 106 29 130 154 227 325 227 374 43 275 110 125 456 52 0 179 364 avg. yds made avg. yards msd 34.26315789 32 34.83333333 32.22222222 28.81818182 56 29.52941176 35.3125 37.73076923 35.40909091 32.61111111 37.8 33.69565217 37.07407407 27 35.95454545 35.04347826 35.61111111 34.21621622 33.5 37.25925926 37.875 35.54545455 33.83333333 30.4 35.31818182 33.90909091 0 33.33333333 37.31818182 34.29166667 33.7826087 32.73333333 37.13636364 27.33333333 39.25 32.91666667 35.48717949 31.9375 41 50 35.66666667 36.64 47.125 53 40.5 35.33333333 37.6 51 44.42857143 45.33333333 40.3 51 .33333333 43 37.5 45 41.25 0 43 44.66666667 49.75 0 39.53846154 39.6 43.75 43.14285714 44.28571429 40.22222222 47 35.33333333 29 43.33333333 51.33333333 45.4 36.11111111 45.4 46.75 43 39.28571429 36.66666667 41.66666667 45.6 52 0 44.75 45.5 35.27600022 43.2197413 ~+y avg. yds. Attpd number of fg's made number of fg attempts overall pet of fg's pat's made pat's att 38.07407407 37.25 37.1 33 29.97368421 53.5 33.875 36.89473684 38.44444444 37.32 34.0952381 37.71428571 36.03448276 37.61290323 27 36.26086957 36.15384615 38.18181818 34.21621622 35.87878788 37.625 39.05 37.37931034 36.76 33 38.43333333 34.21428571 29 35.83333333 39 36.20689655 34.4375 35.9 39.7 29.57142857 39.26666667 33.66666667 35.92857143 37.19230769 43.2 50 36.83870968 38.78787879 19 3 6 9 33 1 17 32 26 22 18 5 23 27 1 22 23 18 37 20 27 16 22 18 25 22 11 0 9 22 24 23 15 22 6 8 12 39 16 4 1 27 25 27 4 10 12 38 2 24 38 36 25 21 7 29 31 1 23 26 22 37 33 32 20 29 25 34 30 14 1 12 25 29 32 20 30 7 15 15 42 26 5 1 31 33 36.73423898 756 954 0.703703704 0.75 0.6 0.75 0.868421053 0.5 0.708333333 0.842105263 0.722222222 0.88 0.857142857 0.714285714 0.793103448 0.870967742 1 0.956521739 0.884615385 0.818181818 1 0.606060606 0.84375 0.8 0.75862069 0.72 0.735294118 0.733333333 0.785714286 0 0.75 n/a 0.88 0.827586207 0.71875 0.75 0.733333333 0.857142857 0.533333333 0.8 0.928571429 0.615384615 0.8 1 0.870967742 0.757575758 0.792235047 32 6 5 8 35 0 24 29 27 40 20 3 30 39 0 26 51 27 46 30 24 59 33 48 37 36 17 0 33 6 6 8 35 0 24 30 27 40 21 3 31 39 0 27 51 27 46 30 24 60 34 48 38 37 17 0 n/a 28 42 31 36 48 7 9 22 46 33 1 0 42 26 29 42 32 36 48 8 10 23 46 34 1 1 42 27 ~+4 home kicks misses shorter than 40 total distance made pat's pct. makes beyond 40 total distance 0.969697 4 22 10 2 9 1 0 0 0 0 2 0.833333 2 13 2 9 5 1 3 15 3 14 5 1 11 44 0 0 20 1 16 0 0 0 1 1 1 11 3 9 10 13 91 0.966667 2 10 18 12 71 4 1 31 13 0 1 7 27 11 0 0.952381 5 34 1 11 5 1 3 12 2 5 1 0.967742 7 56 1 7 11 1 11 111 1 11 12 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.962963 9 76 0 0 17 1 0 7 25 11 0 1 6 33 0 0 6 1 13 49 0 0 17 1 5 48 10 6 38 1 7 17 0 0 12 0.983333 5 26 0 0 10 67 3 14 0.970588 10 13 36 2 4 8 1 5 24 0.973684 5 5 28 14 0.972973 6 30 2 3 13 4 2 1 19 17 6 0 0 0 1 11 0 1 4 1 nfa 1 1 0.965517 10 60 0 11 0 1 8 48 0 0 10 8 39 4 63 12 0.96875 0 0 9 1 5 35 1 7 49 1 5 11 0 0.875 0 0 0 5 0.9 4 20 5 20 6 4 16 2 23 0.956522 5 1 91 1 19 1 12 4 3 11 0.970588 10 25 1 2 17 0 0 4 1 0 10 0 0 1 0 13 1 10 20 0 10 15 13 0.962963 78 2 251 1473 58 377 397 JJw-~ home road kicks pct made 0.692307692 10 0.666666667 1 0.555555556 1 0.833333333 4 0.869565217 13 0.5 0 0.769230769 7 0.782608696 14 0.722222222 13 11 0.846153846 0.846153846 7 1 4 0.785714286 12 0.8 15 1 0 1 5 0.785714286 12 0.75 12 1 20 0.625 10 0.857142857 15 6 0.909090909 0.684210526 9 0.727272727 10 0.7 11 0.8125 9 0.857142857 5 0 0 1 8 0.916666667 11 0.769230769 14 0.75 11 0.75 6 0.785714286 11 1 1 0.6 2 0.714285714 7 0.95 20 0.588235294 6 1 0 1 0 0.666666667 14 0.764705882 12 0.790836653 percent of kicks made at home road pct qtr 1 0.7142857146 for 6 0 1 1 0 1 0.666666667 0.866666667 0.666667 0 0 0.636363636 0.75 0.933333333 0.888889 1 0.722222222 0.916666667 1 0.875 0.833333 0.666666667 1 0.8 0.75 0.9375 0.8 0 0 0.833333333 1 1 1 0.857142857 1 1 1 0.588235294 0.5 0.833333333 1 0.666666667 0 0.8 0.9 0.714285714 0.4 0.785714286 0.8 0.642857143 0.714286 0.714285714 0.666667 0 0 0.727272727 1 0.846153846 0.8 0.875 1 0.6875 0.555556 0.75 0.75 0.6875 0.5 1 0.5 0.4 0.333333 0.5 0.875 0.909090909 0.857143 0.666666667 1 1 0 0 0 1 0.875 0.75 0.75 359 0.793791574 percent of kicks made on the road qtr 2 0.454545 0.5 1 0.666667 0.928571 1 0.6 0.777778 0.642857 0.8 0.857143 0.5 0.625 0.8 0 0.875 0.916667 0.666667 1 0.666667 0.818182 0.875 1 0.714286 0.636364 0.777778 0.8 0 0.833333 1 0.857143 0.8 0.5 0.785714 0.666667 0.6 0.714286 1 0.7 0.5 1 0.7 0.555556 qtr 3 0.75 1 0.5 1 0.833333 0 0.75 0.75 1 0.875 0.75 0 1 1 0 1 0.666667 0.833333 1 0.714286 1 0.666667 0.75 1 0.6 0.625 1 0 0.5 0.5 0.714286 0.75 1 0.75 1 0.5 1 0.857143 0.666667 1 0 0.833333 1 qtr4 end of qtr or ot 0.5 1 0 0 0 0.5 0.666667 1 0.75 0.9 0 0 0.833333 1 0.888889 1 0.5 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0.8 1 0.888889 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0.428571 0 0.5 0.666667 1 1 0.555556 0.75 0 1 1 0.666667 0.8 0.833333 1 0.5 0 0 1 0.5 1 0.909091 1 0.818182 0 0.777778 0 1 0.666667 1 0 1 0.6 0 1 1 0.928571 1 0.2 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0.857143 &+tigrass inside turf outside 0.75 0.684211 0.75 0.684211 1 0.666667 0.666667 1 0.6 0 0.6 0 0.875 0.5 0.75 0 0.75 1 0.882353 0.857143 0.5 0 0.5 0 0.666667 0.722222 0.708333 0 1 0.769231 0.8125 1 0.692308 0.8 0.724138 0.714286 0.9 0.8 0.875 1 0.857143 0 0.857143 0 0.714286 0 0.714286 0 0.6 0.833333 0.785714 1 0.857143 1 0.857143 1 1 0 0 1 1 0.944444 1 0.944444 1 0.863636 0.863636 1 0.789474 1 0.8 0.857143 1 1 1 1 0.653846 0.428571 0.653846 0.428571 1 0.833333 0.85 0.83871 0.8 0.8 0 0 1 0.758621 0.681818 0 0.666667 0.75 0.666667 0.75 0.727273 1 0.75 0.666667 0.583333 0.833333 0.615385 0.823529 0.8 0.777778 0.846154 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.5 0.875 0.666667 0.909091 0.666667 0.88 0 0.818182 0.857143 0.827586 0 0.740741 0.6 0.71875 0 0.75 0 0.75 0 0.7 0.75 0.769231 0.5 0.5 1 0.5 1 0.5 0.666667 0.533333 0 0.8 0 0.8 0 0.866667 0.962963 0.9 0.954545 0.666667 0 0.652174 0.333333 1 0 0.8 0 1 1 0 0 0.892857 0.666667 0.888889 0.75 0.785714 0.6 0.774194 0.5 144 503 makes 252 makes 611 makes 174 alt 310 alt 779 alt 643 alt 0.782271 0.812903 0.784339 0.827586 AVGS. ~f5 times fg pct. vande~agt, ind wilkins, stl kasay, car elam, den 9 anderson, ten longwell, gb stover, bal akers, phi hanson, det janikowski, oak graham, cin j brown, sea hall, wash andersen, kc mare, mia brien, jets cundiff, dal edinger, chi camey, no elling, min k brown, hou christie, sd feely, atl dawson, cle vinatieri, ne m gramatica, tb reed, pitt lindell, buff marler, jax richie, bal nedney, ten hentrich, ten peterson, sf conway, nyg bryant, nyg pochman, sf chandler, sf duncan, az b gramatica, az conway, cle rackers, az kenorr, den feagles, nyg 1 0.9285714 0.8421053 0.8709677 0.8709677 0.8846154 0.8684211 0.8275862 0.9565217 0.88 0.88 0.7333333 0.7575758 0.8 0.7586207 0.84375 0.7931034 0.7222222 0.7333333 0.72 0.8181818 0.75 0.7037037 0.8571429 0.7352941 0.6153846 0.71875 0.7083333 0.6060606 0.5 1 0.8 0.8 0.75 0.7857143 0.5333333 0.8571429 0.6 0.75 0.7142857 0.75 1 0 # of kicks fg pct. '# of kicks*2 37 74 72.42857143 39 32 53.89473684 27 47.03225806 27 47.03225806 23 40.69230769 33 57.31578947 24 39.72413793 22 42.08695652 22 38.72 22 38.72 32.26666667 22 37.87878788 25 16 25.6 22 33.37931034 27 45.5625 23 36.48275862 26 37.55555556 22 32.26666667 18 25.92 18 29.45454545 15 22.5 19 26.74074074 18 30.85714286 25 36.76470588 16 19.69230769 23 33.0625 17 24.08333333 24.24242424 20 1 1 1 2 4 6.4 12 19.2 9 13.5 11 17.28571429 8 8.533333333 6 10.28571429 6 7.2 4.5 3 5 7.142857143 9 13.5 1 2 0 0 28.33731584 PAT pct. # of kicks 1 1 0.966667 1 1 1 1 1 0.962963 0.965517 1 1 0.962963 0.983333 0.970588 1 0.967742 1 0.972973 1 1 1 0.969697 0.952381 0.973684 0.970588 0.96875 1 1 0 0 1 0.956522 46 46 29 39 42 51 35 42 26 28 40 48 26 59 33 24 30 27 36 48 27 36 32 20 37 33 31 24 30 0 0 1 22 1 0.9 0.875 0.833333 1 1 1 0 0 17 9 7 5 6 3 8 0 0 PAT pel. • # of kicks·0.5 (35- avg yards made (43- avg. 23 -0.487179487 23 0.783783784 14.01666667 -0.3125 19.5 -2.074074074 21 -0.666666667 17.5 6.181818182 25.5 -0.043478261 21 0.708333333 12.51851852 -0.954545455 13.51724138 -2.318181818 20 -0.409090909 24 -2.136363636 12.51851852 -1.64 12 -2.259259259 29.00833333 -2.875 13.5 -2.730769231 16.01470588 -0.545454545 14.51612903 1.304347826 17.51351351 -0.318181818 24 1.166666667 13.5 -0.611111111 18.01315789 4.6 18 2.266666667 15.51515152 0.736842105 9.523809524 2.388888889 15.015625 1.217391304 16.01470588 3.0625 15 1.5 12 5.470588235 -21 0 10.52173913 2.083333333 1.090909091 8.5 0 -15 0.5 -6 1.666666667 0 4.05 -4.25 1.5 -2.8 4 2.777777778 2.083333333 0.166666667 3.0625 7.666666667 3 3 0 8 0 35 12.63775928 yards missed) 1.333333333 -2.333333333 1.75 -1.75 5.4 -1.666666667 -2.4 0 -8.333333333 -8.333333333 -3.75 -2.5 3.4 -0.75 2.7 -0.142857143 -2 -4 -1.285714286 -6.75 2.777777778 -2.4 -4.125 0 6.888888889 -2.6 3.461538462 -1.428571429 -6 6.333333333 7.666666667 43 -9 -0.333333333 3.714285714 5.5 7.666666667 2.5 0 -10 43 14 IF POSITIVE (43- avg. yards missed) 1.333333333 0 0 1.75 0 5.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.4 0 2.7 0 0 0 0 0 2.777777778 0 0 0 6.888888889 0 3.461538462 0 0 6.333333333 7.666666667 0 0 0 3.714285714 5.5 7.666666667 2.5 0 0 14 ~+5 # of kicks beyond 40 # of kicks made short of 40 13 11 11 10 10 7 11 8 9 10 7 6 8 5 7 7 6 8 4 3 6 5 2 4 0 1 4 2 1 1 1 2 2 0 2 -1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 dis! made beyond 40 dist missed shorter than 40) 15.7 4.9 9 8.1 10 2 2.5 4.4 4.8 7.6 6 2.7 4.4 6.3 2.6 5.3 1.7 4.9 4 2.7 3.2 3.3 3.5 1.2 2.3 -0.4 1.4 -2.4 -0.2 -1 2.1 1 1.7 -0.7 0.3 0.2 0 0 0.4 0 0.7 0.1 0 -1.1 TOTAL 114.1162 113.2491 87.3239 85.10633 80.69892 75.73579 73.23397 72.8158 72.16002 70.55542 68.82909 68.80303 66.33731 65.08333 62.23947 61.72176 60.59454 60.38632 56.79836 54.95333 52.86566 46.73333 44.71905 44.29206 44.22231 35.04451 34.68296 32.41275 30.81935 25.1 19 16.6 16.27174 12.13333 11.56147 8.404762 5.681548 4.516667 4.5 2.142857 -0.511111 -6 -65.1 ~+(p grass 0.75 0.666667 0.6 0.875 0.882353 0.5 0.666667 0.769231 0.692308 0.9 0.857143 0.714286 0.6 0.857143 1 1 0.863636 0.789474 1 0.653846 0.833333 0.8 0.681818 0.666667 0.727273 0.583333 0.8 0 0.5 0.909091 0.818182 0.740741 0.75 0.7 1 0.5 0.8 0.866667 0.666667 1 1 0.892857 0.785714 feely, atl b gramatica, az duncan, az rackers, az stover, bal richie, bal lindell, buff kasay, car edinger, chi graham, cin dawson, cle conway, cle cundiff, dal elam, den kenorr, den hanson,det longwell, gb k brown, hou vande~agt, ind marler, jax brien, jets andersen, kc mare, mia elling, min vinatieri, ne camey, no bryant, nyg !eagles, nyg conway, nyg janikowski, oak akers, phi reed, pitt christie, sd j brown, sea chandler, sf pochman, sf peterson, sf wilkins, sll m gramatica, tb hentrich, ten nedney, ten 9 anderson, ten hall, wash AVGS. turf 0.684210526 1 0 0.5 0.75 0 0.722222222 1 0.8 0.8 0 0 0.833333333 1 0 0.944444444 1 1 1 0.428571429 0.85 0 1 0.75 1 0.833333333 0.777777778 0 0.875 0.666666667 0.857142857 0.6 0 0.75 0.5 0.666666667 0 0.962962963 0 0 0 0.666666667 0.6 503 makes 252 makes 643 at! 310 at! 0.782271 0.812903226 GRASS TURF ~G FORMULA FOR GRASSITURF KICKS grass home home surf # made kicks vanderjagt, ind turf 0/0 hanson, det turf 0/0 wilkins, stl turf 0/0 grass 20/3 stover, bal 11/1 janikowski, oak grass g anderson, ten grass 13/2 graham, cin 1112 grass longwell, gb grass 11/3 elam, den grass 12/3 chandler, sf grass 5/0 dawson, cle grass 11/2 andersen, kc grass 10/1 brien, jets turf 0/0 kasay, car grass 18/5 hentrich, ten grass 4/0 akers, phi grass 10/3 5/1 rackers, az grass k brown, hou grass 612 kenorr, den grass 1/0 nedney, ten grass 1/0 peterson, sf grass 512 bryant, nyg turf 0/0 conway, nyg turf 0/0 hall, wash grass 13/4 b g ramatica, az grass 2/1 cundiff, dal turf 0/0 duncan, az grass 514 camey, no turf 0/0 conway, cle grass 0/0 christie, sd grass 9/3 richie, bal grass 1/1 1316 grass mare, mia 12/4 reed, pitt grass 0/0 turf j brown, sea lindell, buff turf 010 vinatieri, ne grass 14/6 elling, min turf 0/0 13/5 grass edinger, chi turf 0/0 feely, atl feagles, nyg turf 0/0 m gramatica, tb grass 1017 pochman, sf grass 6/4 10/6 marter, jax grass grass h 0 0 0 0.869565 0.916667 0.866667 0.846154 0.785714 0.8 1 0.846154 0.909091 0 0.782609 1 0.769231 0.833333 0.75 1 1 0.714286 0 0 0.764706 0.666667 0 0.555556 0 0 0.75 0.5 0.684211 0.75 0 0 0.7 0 0.722222 0 0 0.588235 0.6 0.625 grass road madelmiss turf home grass r madelmiss 1 17/0 1710 1 17/0 5/0 19/1 13/2 0.866667 10/1 0.909091 0 9/1 0.9 0 12/1 0.923077 0 7/0 1 0 8/0 1 0 12/1 0.923077 0 0/0 0 0 7/1 0.875 0 6/3 0.666667 0 1012 0.833333 12/2 2/1 0.666667 0 0/0 0 0 8/1 0.888889 0 2/0 1 0 9/2 0.818182 0 0/0 0 0 0/0 0 0 7/1 0.875 0 6/1 4/1 0.8 1/0 2/2 0.5 912 0.818182 0 0/0 0 0 0.6 11/3 312 1/0 1 0 13/3 7/5 0.583333 512 0.714286 0 6/2 0.75 0 0/0 0 0 2/1 0.666667 0 8/3 0.727273 0 11/3 7/3 0.7 10/3 412 0.666667 10/3 0.769231 0 8/3 6/3 0.666667 5/3 0.625 0 9/4 0.75 6/2 0/0 0 0 6/1 0.857143 0 0/2 0 0 0.7 7/3 0 turf h 1 1 0.95 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.8571429 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.8571429 1 0 0 0.7857143 0 0.8125 0 0 0 0 0 0.7857143 0.7692308 0 0.7272727 0 0.6923077 0 0 0 0 turf road madelmiss 3/0 0/1 7/0 3/1 2/1 2/1 4/1 4/0 3/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 5/1 12/0 0/1 6/1 212 3/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 6/1 312 1/0 9/1 0/0 2/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 7/0 3/2 4/2 3/2 1/0 4/1 8/2 412 0/0 0/2 2/1 3/4 turf r 1 0 1 0.75 0.666667 0.666667 0.8 1 1 0.5 0 0 0.833333 1 0 0.857143 0.5 1 0 0 0 0.5 0.857143 0.6 1 0.9 0 1 0 0 0 1 0.6 0.666667 0.6 1 0.8 0.8 0.666667 0 0 0.666667 0.428571 GRASS AVG. 78%; TURF AVG. 81% FORMULA IS 3* HOME + 2* ROAD GRASS + ROAD TURF 7.48 9.69 0.57 17.74 vanderjagt, ind 9.69 2.2 -0.81 11.08 hanson, det 7.56 1.906667 1.33 10.79667 wilkins, stl 4.567826 2.323636 -0.12 6.771462 stover, bal 4.1 1.92 -0.143333 5.876667 janikowski, oak 2.86 3.147692 -0.143333 5.864359 9 anderson, ten 1.786154 3.08 -0.03 4.836154 graham, cin 0.137143 3.52 0.76 4.417143 longwell, gb 0.54 3.147692 0.57 4.257692 elam, den 3.3 0 -0.31 2.99 chandler, sf 1.786154 1.14 0 2.926154 dawson, cle 3.485455 -0.68 0 2.805455 andersen, kc 1.414286 0.853333 0.093333 2.360952 brien, jets 2.28 2.155072 kasay, car 0.101739 -0.226667 2.64 0 -0.81 1.83 hentrich, ten -0.226154 1.524444 0.235714 1.534005 akers, phi 0.64 0.88 -0.31 1.21 rackers, az -0.36 0.534545 0.57 0.744545 k brown, hou 0.66 0 0.66 kenorr, den 0 0.66 0 0 0.66 nedney, ten 1.14 -0.591429 0.548571 peterson, sf 0 0.707143 0.12 -0.31 0.517143 bryant, nyg 0.57 -0.56 0.235714 0.245714 conway, nyg -0.412941 0.534545 -0.21 -0.088396 hall, wash -0.34 0.19 -0.15 b gramatica, az 0 -0.582857 -0.36 0.72 -0.222857 cundiff, dal 0.44 -0.673333 -0.233333 duncan, az 0.075 -0.786667 0.38 -0.331667 carney, no o -0.394286 -0.394286 conway, cle -0.54 -0.24 -0.78 christie, sd 0 -0.84 0 -0.84 richie, bal 0 -2.011579 -0.226667 1.33 -0.908246 mare, mia -0.72 -0.527273 -0.21 -1.457273 reed, pitt -0.582857 -0.64 -0.286667 -1.509524 j brown, sea -0.856154 -0.453333 -0.21 -1.519487 lindell, buff -1.92 -0.150769 0.19 -1.880769 vinatieri, ne -0.03 -1.950909 elling, min -0.68 -1.240909 -1.386667 -0.62 -0.06 -2.066667 edinger, chi -1.765385 -0.24 -0.286667 -2.292051 feely, atl -2.43 0 -2.43 feagles, nyg 0 -1.62 -2.574454 m gramatica, tb -1.725882 0.771429 -3.12 -0.143333 -4.343333 pochman, sf -1.08 -5.17 marler, jax -1.86 -0.64 -2.67 o o outside vanderjagt, ind brien, jets graham, cin hanson, det elam, den stover, bal nedney, ten longwell, gb kasay, car kenorr, den cundiff, dal conway, nyg b gramatica, az janikowski, oak andersen, kc peterson, sf dawson, cle conway, cle wilkins, stl akers, phi rackers, az reed, pitt mare, mia k brown, hou richie, bal chandler, sf christie, sd hentrich, ten pochman, sf duncan, az lindell, buff feely, atl 9 anderson, ten edinger, chi hall, wash vinatieri, ne bryant nyg camey, no elling, min j brown, sea marier, jax m gramatica, tb feagles, nyg 1 0.83871 0.875 1 0.857143 0.857143 1 0.863636 0.8125 1 0.785714 0.666667 0.666667 0.88 0.8 0.8 0.857143 0.714286 0.9 0.827586 0.75 0.71875 0.758621 0.8 0.5 1 0.75 0.8 0.533333 0.6 0.708333 0.75 0.888889 0.724138 0.774194 0.75 0.846154 0.615385 0.666667 0.769231 0.653846 0.652174 0 inside 1 1 1 0.944444 1 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0.954545 0 0 0 0 0.857143 0 0.5 0 0 0 0 0 0.684211 0.75 0.714286 0.5 0.666667 0 0.823529 0.75 0.5 0.428571 0.333333 0 611 makes 144 779 att 174 att 0.784339 0.827586 OUTSIDE INSIDE ~7 FORMULA: 1 + 2 - 3 - 4 + 5 + 6 1 outside made yardage multiplied by 0.15 divided by number of kicks 2 outside missed yardage multiplied by 0.1 divided by number of kicks 3 inside yardage made multiplied by 0.1 divided by number of kicks 4 inside yardage missed multiplied by 0.15 divided by number of kicks missed 5 kicker's pct. of outSide kicks - .75 multiplied by 10 6 kicker's pct. of inside kicks - .8 multiplied by 10 #2&4 CAP # attempts avg. yards AT 45 YDS MULTIPLIE RESULT 1 423 13 32.53846 0.15 4.880769 0 1 0 0 0.1 0 2 3 0 1 0 Q1 0 4 0 1 0 0 0.15 0 5 kicker pet. - 75% for outside kicks 10 0 6 kicker pet. - 80% for inside kicks 10 0 yards att 4.880769 TOTAL ~-f7 IF -8, THEN 0 vande~agt, ind brien, jets graham, cin hanson, det elam, den stover, bal nedney, ten longwell, gb kasay, car kenorr, den cundiff, dal conway, nyg b gramatica, az janikowski, oak andersen, kc peterson, sf dawson, cle conway, cle wilkins, stl akers, phi rackers, az reed, pitt mare, mia k brown, hou richie, bal chandler, sf christie, sd hentrich, ten pochman, sf duncan, az lindell, buff feely, atl 9 anderson, ten edinger, chi hall, wash vinatieri, ne bryant, nyg carney, no elling, min j brown, sea marler, jax m gramatica, tb feagles, nyg 1 4.74375 5.555769231 5.221428571 5.52 5.53125 4.688888889 5 5.384210526 5.463461538 4.05 5.127272727 4.975 4.35 5.597727273 5.68125 4.9375 4.891666667 5.67 4.833333333 5.14375 4.833333333 5.067391304 5.331818182 5.35 7.65 3.87 4.91 4.1 5.8875 5.225 4.429411765 4.925 5.4625 5.671428571 5.3875 4.542857143 5.086363636 5.08125 5.125 5.61 4.879411765 4.87 0 2 0 3.96 4.5 0 4.125 3.76 0 4.466667 4.5 0 4.5 4.333333 5.3 4.5 4.375 3.666667 4.3 3.75 4.3 4.5 3.533333 3.611111 4.314286 4.5 4.5 0 4.5 4.5 3.928571 4.05 4.442857 4.5 4.5 3.925 4.471429 4.1 3.15 4.5 4.233333 4.5 4.211111 4.5 2.9 3 3.619048 4.3 4.8 3.570588 3.866667 3.566667 0 3.1 3.05 0 2.3 3.366667 3.8 0 0 0 0 0 3.828571 0 0 0 0 3.55 0 3.5 0 0 0 0 0 4.127273 2.966667 3.74 5.4 3.1 0 3.614286 3.366667 3.45 3.9 2.4 0 4 0 0 0 4.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5.85 0 0 0 0 4.5 0 6.45 0 0 0 0 0 5.11875 6.6 6.675 6.75 5.625 6.45 6.75 6.75 6.75 5.0625 5.925 0 5 2.5 0.88709677 1.25 2.5 1.07142857 1.07142857 2.5 1.13636364 0.625 2.5 0.35714286 -0.8333333 -0.8333333 1.3 0.5 0.5 1.07142857 -0.3571429 1.5 0.77586207 0 -0.3125 0.0862069 0.5 -2.5 2.5 0 0.5 -2.1666667 -1.5 -0.4166667 0 1.38888889 -0.2586207 0.24193548 0 0.96153846 -1.3461538 -0.8333333 0.19230769 -0.9615385 -0.9782609 -7.5 6 2 2 2 1.444444444 2 2 0 2 2 0 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1.545454545 0 0 0 0 0.571428571 0 -3 0 0 o 0 o -1.15789474 -0.5 -0.85714286 -3 -1.33333333 o 0.235294118 -0.5 -3 -3.71428571 .... 66666667 0 total 12.8628 8.782866 8.771429 8.735033 8.344345 7.566984 7.5 7.153907 6.638462 6.55 5.284416 5.175 4.016667 2.397727 1.80625 1.770833 1.663095 1.562857 1.557359 1.419612 1.3 1.14378 1.103739 0.971429 0.65 0.42 0.41 0.1 -0.207738 -0.325 -0.430112 -1.724372 -1.781944 -2.304335 -3.191993 -3.415476 -3.552098 -3.665324 -3.825 .... 997692 -5.170024 -8.799928 -10.4 &t ~ qtr 1 fgs VANDERJAGT WILKINS HANSON JANIKOWSKI ANDERSON ELAM LONGWELL STOVER KASAY ANDERSEN GRAHAM AKERS DAWSON BRIEN BROWN CUNDIFF T. PETERSON CONWAY HALL MARE HENTRICH CHANDLER BRYANT KENORR NEDNEY B. GRAMATICA CONWAY RACKERS CHRISTIE ELLING FEELY BROWN VINATIERI FEAGLES EDINGER CARNEY RICHIE LINDELL REED M. GRAMATICA POCHMAN DUNCAN MARLER IND STL DET OAK TEN DEN GB BAL CAR KC CIN PHI CLE JETS HOU DAL SF CLE WASH MIA TEN SF NYG DEN TEN AZ NYG AZ. SD MIN ATL SEA NE NYG CHI NO BAL BUF PITT TB SF AZ. JAX 4 6 5 4 8 4 4 4 8 0 2 4 5 7 3 3 1 1 9 4 1 1 2 0 0 0 1 2 6 2 6 1 8 0 6 5 0 3 5 2 1 0 2 qtr 1 pet. qtr 2 fgs 1 17 0.857143 12 17 0.86 17 0.88 1 11 0.666667 13 0.8888897 07 18 16 0.8333336 19 16 0.755 0.55 12 0.755 0.89 11 12 0.6666674 00 o1 o1 15 14 0.753 0.410 15 0.511 0.87 00 19 0.7142867 o1 0.756 0.5555568 17 0.3333333 04 0.510 qtr 2 pet. qtr 3 fgs 16 16 0.8753 1 1 0.75 0.86 0.9166674 0.928571 5 0.7777786 0.8754 0.87 0.8571435 0.8571433 0.8181826 0.6666675 0.6256 0.7142862 0.5 0 0.5555565 13 0.5 1 0.6666672 0.83 00 10 0.52 0.833333 1 0.666667 1 0.55 0.714286 2 0.4545452 0.7857146 0.636364 3 00/1 0.6428576 0.7777785 10 0.62 0.83 0.76 0.61 11 0.6666675 qtr 3 pet. qtr 4 fgs 19 0.857143 13 17 0.510 0.8333337 18 0.6666674 0.8333339 0.758 0.6666675 0.8755 0.7142869 0.754 14 0.8333334 18 13 02 16 0.755 1 1 1 1 11 o1 00 10 0.5 1 12 11 14 0.755 0.754 0.66 00 15 0.6254 00/1 0.755 0.757 0.666667 1 0.53 0.50/3 0.7142863 qtr 4 pct. press fgs 13 0.928571 5 10 0.909091 2 12 0.8888893 10 0.93 0.8888894 12 10 0.8181822 10 0.666667 1 11 0.83 11 12 0.8571433 0.5555563 11 10 0.5 1 10 00 00 11 0.666667 1 10 10 11 0.6666672 12 00 0.52 0.85 00 0.833333 1 0.7777780 0.2 0 0.60 o1 0.428571 0 end of qtr and ot 1 1 o 1 1 1 o 0.75 1 1 o 1 o 0.5 1 1 1 1 1 0.75 1 o 1 o o o 0.5 1 o o 0.5 1 0.666667 o 1 0.833333 o 1 o o o 0.5 o EQUATION #4 (QUARTERS): when OJ? Then instead of 0 for multiplying made kicks, 11.55 put in number of attempts 9.387857 4.7775 4.266364 3.996667 3.866667 3.696667 3.670476 3.289444 2.814167 2.71 2.286169 1.960952 1.790455 1.416667 1.2825 0.927143 0.81 0.795952 0.756667 0.72 0.575 0.428333 0.315 0.315 -0.015 -0.02 -0.06 -0.18 -0.235714 -0.380909 -0.500714 -0.706515 -0.79 -0.801429 -0.838571 -0.87 -1.205 -1.300556 -2.15 -2.456667 -3.165 -4.435 ~fq vanderjagt, ind wilkins, stl hanson, det stover, bal elam, den longwell, gb 9 anderson, ten graham, cin janikowski, oak kasay, car brien, jets dawson, cle hentrich, ten akers, phi chandler, sf k brown, hou andersen, kc kenorr, den nedney, ten peterson, sf feagles, nyg b gramatica, az bryant, nyg cundiff, dal richie, bal conway, cle rackers, az conway, nyg mare, mia christie, sd duncan, az hall, wash camey, no j brown, sea elling, min lindell, buff vinatieri, ne feely, atl reed, pitt pochman, sf edinger, chi m gramatica, tb marter, jax home kicks" (your pet. - avg (80%)) + road kicks "(your pct. - avg. (80%)) HOME ROAD 3.4 4 7.4 2.85 2.181818 5.031818 3.4 0.166667 3.566667 1.391304 0.866667 2.257971 0 2.0625 2.0625 -0.157143 2.2 2.042857 0.866667 1.05 1.916667 0.507692 1.283333 1.791026 1.283333 0.507692 1.791026 -0.313043 1.866667 1.553623 0.685714 0.5 1.185714 0.507692 0.525 1.032692 0.8 0 0.8 -0.307692 1.05 0.742308 1 -0.3 0.7 -0.3 0.685714 0.385714 1.090909 -0.8 0.290909 0.2 0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0 -0.428571 0.525 0.096429 0 0 0 -0.266667 0.2 -0.066667 0.342857 -0.428571 -0.085714 -0.157143 -0.157143 -0.3 -0.3 0 0.2 -0.533333 -0.333333 0.166667 -0.533333 -0.366667 0.2 -0.581818 -0.381818 -1.505263 0.9 -0.605263 -0.45 -0.3 -0.75 -1.222222 0.2 -1.022222 -0.458824 -0.6 -1.058824 0.1625 -1.414286 -1.251786 -0.157143 -1.2375 -1.394643 -0.581818 -0.857143 -1.438961 -0.307692 -1.145455 -1.453147 -1.4 -0.157143 -1.557143 -0.969231 -0.857143 -1.826374 -1.2375 -0.6 -1.8375 -1.2 -0.8 -2 -1.011111 -1.011111 -2.022222 -2.117647 -0.8 -2.917647 -2.117647 -3.867647 -1.75 o home kick! made 17 19 17 20 12 11 13 11 11 18 12 11 4 10 5 6 10 1 1 5 0 2 6 11 1 1 5 1 13 9 5 13 13 11 8 10 14 9 12 6 13 10 10 397 k+ q home pet 1 0.95 1 0.869565 0.8 0.785714 0.866667 0.846154 0.916667 0.782609 0.857143 0.846154 1 0.769231 1 0.75 0.909091 1 1 0.714286 0 0.666667 0.857143 0.785714 0.5 1 0.833333 1 0.684211 0.75 0.555556 0.764706 0.8125 0.785714 0.727273 0.769231 0.7 0.692308 0.75 0.6 0.722222 0.588235 0.625 0.790837 percent of kicks made at home road kicks road pct made 20 20 5 13 15 11 14 11 11 14 15 7 0 14 1 12 6 0 0 7 0 1 5 12 0 4 4 8 9 6 1 12 9 11 10 7 11 10 11 2 13 6 10 1 0.909091 0.833333 0.866667 0.9375 1 0.875 0.916667 0.846154 0.933333 0.833333 0.875 0 0.875 0.5 0.857143 0.666667 0 0 0.875 0 1 0.714286 0.8 0 0.666667 0.666667 0.727273 0.9 0.75 1 0.75 0.642857 0.6875 0.714286 0.636364 0.785714 0.714286 0.6875 0.4 0.722222 0.666667 0.588235 358 0.793792 percent of kicks made on the road