Proceedings of the Second International Symposium on Fire Economics, Planning, and Policy: A Global View Wildland-Urban Interface Analyses for Fire Management Planning 1 Raffaella Marzano,2 Andrea Camia,3 Giovanni Bovio4 Abstract In Southern Europe wildfires involving settlements are becoming more and more frequent because of the increasing number of houses and infrastructures located within and adjacent areas prone to wildfires. This phenomenon has become a real challenge for wildland fire protection managers and public policy makers. The work presented describes some results of a research on fire management in wildlandurban interface (W-UI) areas that is being carried out within the WARM (Wildland-Urban Area Fire Risk Management) Project, funded by the European Commission. A study area of about 100 km2 has been selected, according to its relevance to the W-UI problem, nearby Turin, the main city of Piemonte Region, situated in the Northwestern part of Italy. The characterization of the bio-geophysical environment of the study area through spatial analysis has been realized. Very high resolution satellite images (Quickbird) of the study area have been acquired and image analysis procedures with object oriented image classification approach are being realized. Landscape analysis methods derived from Landscape Ecology are being employed, selecting specific indicators to be applied to the WUI conditions for the description of the wildfire environment and trying to obtain analytical tools to optimize planning processes. Introduction and objectives Wildland-urban interface (W-UI) environments can be described as composite systems where various structures (most notably private homes) and other human constructions meet or are intermingled with forest, wildland and other vegetation fuels. The wildland-urban interface presents many challenges and concerns for natural resource managers, one of the most urgent being wildfire management. The phenomenon of wildfires occurring in the wildland-urban interface has actually experienced a considerable increase in the last decades. The purpose of this work, which is carried out within the WARM (WildlandUrban Area Fire Risk Management) Project, funded by the European Commission, is to provide new tools to enhance natural resource management, planning and policymaking at the wildland-urban interface. 1 An abbreviated version of this paper was presented at the second international symposium on fire economics, planning and policy: a global view, 19–22 April 2004, Córdoba, Spain. 2 Forest engineer, PhD Student, Dep. Agroselviter, University of Turin, Via Leonardo da Vinci 44, 10095 Grugliasco (TO), Italy. email: raffaella.marzano@unito.it. 3 Doctor in Forestry, Dep. Agroselviter, University of Turin, Via Leonardo da Vinci 44, 10095 Grugliasco (TO), Italy. (Current affiliation: Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability - TP 261, I-21020 Ispra (VA) Italy. email: andrea.camia@jrc.it). 4 Full Professor, Dep. Agroselviter, University of Turin, Via Leonardo da Vinci 44, 10095 Grugliasco (TO), Italy. email: giovanni.bovio@unito.it. 311 USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-xxx. xxxx. GENERAL TECHNICAL REPORT PSW-GTR-208 Session Poster—Wildland-Urban Interface Management Planning—Marzano, Camia and Bovio Among the objectives of WARM Project there is the definition of methodologies to study and characterize specific components of wildland-urban areas, including elements of bio-geophysical environment, socio-economic medium, land-uses, administrative division and fuels. The characterization of these typical elements and their mapping will provide useful supports for the elaboration of strategic management planning of wildland-urban interface environments. In this manuscript results are presented concerning the development of analysis methods for W-UI environment characterization through Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and remote sensing techniques, and the subsequent production of meaningful derived maps. Wildland-urban interface landscape is characterized by a number of components that have to be identified, described and mapped in order to obtain useful information for the elaboration of integrated forest fire defense planning. GIS tools have proved to be really functional for W-UI management, through their capability of handling in an integrated environment multi-source and multi-resolution spatial data (Camia and others 2003). On the other hand, the use of very high resolution (VHR) satellite images provides the possibility of obtaining a high degree of detail, helping in the definition and mapping of components of the WUI landscape. Methods Study Area The area selected for the study is situated in Piemonte Region and located 15 km North-West from Turin, the main city of the Region (fig. 1). Figure 1— Boundary map and general location map of the study area. This area corresponds to the Consortium of Communes in the mountain area of Ceronda and Casternone Valley and consists of 5 municipalities with a total extension of about 90 Km2. It is located at the beginning of Lanzo Valley and it 312 USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-xxx. xxxx. Proceedings of the Second International Symposium on Fire Economics, Planning, and Policy: A Global View Session Poster.—Wildland-Urban Interface Management Planning—Marzano, Camia and Bovio comprises two valleys: Ceronda Valley and Casternone Valley. The topography is quite complex and characterized by a range of altitude that goes from 300 m to about 1600 m a.s.l.. The highest elevation belt presents mainly grazing land with forests typically concentrated on slopes, while the lower and flatter part presents mainly agriculture. Urban areas are frequently concentrated in the lower part or at the beginning of slopes. Forest vegetation cover is mainly composed by mixed broadleaved stands, with a predominance of Quercus spp. Some coniferous artificial stands are also present, covering a small percentage of the area. From the analysis of the demographic database of Piemonte Region, the resident population has increased in the last six years of about 6,7 percent, reaching about 8500 people. This phenomenon is mostly evident in the municipalities of La Cassa and Val della Torre, since, as a consequence of their position next to Turin, many people working in the chief town decided to move and live here. Moreover the area is characterized by an increasing of population during holiday periods and week-ends, because of the presence of many holiday houses. As to the W-UI areas, the selected test site presents both situations of classical interface and intermix. There are in fact villages with a more or less well defined boundary towards natural vegetation but also clusters of houses and isolated structures, the latter often completely surrounded by woodland or brushes. There are a total of 5 small towns (Givoletto, La Cassa, Val della Torre, Vallo Torinese and Varisella), one for each municipality, and many little villages and hamlets. These settlements, as previously underlined, are mainly situated in the lower and flatter parts of the study area, following the development of the valleys. The fire season in the study area and in Piemonte Region in general is a WinterSpring one, just in agreement with the driest period of the year (Bovio and Camia 1998). Wildfires are mainly concentrated in the months from January to April and they develop mostly under strong wind condition due mainly to Phön Wind (Bovio and Camia 1997). An analysis of the historical wildfire series from 1980 to 2001 showed that the study area was interested by 129 wildfires and that 98 of them involved W-UI conditions (Bovio and others 2002; Camia and others 2002). Remote sensing applications Remote sensing applications have been experimented in wildland-urban interface areas. In particular, considering the nature and characteristics of the phenomenon under investigation, it has been decided to work with very high resolution (VHR) satellite images. The possibility offered by these kinds of images to obtain a high degree of detail can surely help in the definition and mapping of components of the W-UI landscape. QuickBird is currently the world's highest resolution commercial satellite providing images at 0.61 m (panchromatic) and 2.44 m (multispectral) resolution as well as 70 cm pan-sharpened composite products in natural and infrared colors. We have thus acquired Quickbird images of the study area; both panchromatic imagery, collected in 11-bit format (2048 gray levels) and delivered in 16 bit format, and multi-spectral imagery were purchased. This latter consists of four discrete, nonoverlapping bands (Blue: 450 - 520 nm; Green: 520 - 600 nm; Red: 630 - 690 nm; Near-IR: 760 - 900 nm) at 11 bit depth, delivered in 16 bit. Object oriented classification In order to map in detail fuels and land uses in the wildland-urban interface we have tested object-oriented classification techniques using eCognition software. In contrast to traditional image processing methods, the basic processing units of object oriented 313 USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-xxx. xxxx. GENERAL TECHNICAL REPORT PSW-GTR-208 Session Poster.—Wildland-Urban Interface Management Planning—Marzano, Camia and Bovio image analysis are image objects or segments, and not single pixels. This kind of classification is based on the consideration that important semantic information, useful to facilitate classification process, can be derived by image objects and their relationship, not by single pixels. The software does not classify single pixels, but image objects that are previously extracted with a process of image segmentation, called multiresolution segmentation. This procedure permits to extract image objects, working at different resolutions and creating a hierarchical network. Classification is conducted in the software by fuzzy logic. Class description are performed with a fuzzy approach of nearest neighbor or using combinations of fuzzy sets on object features, applying membership functions (Baatz and others 2001). These two different approach support respectively different classification procedures, one based on the selection of typical objects marked as representative samples, the other applying features for classification based on image objects, addressing a wide variety of information. Working with Quickbird images we have at first tried various procedures of multiresolution segmentation, to extract image objects at different resolutions. Then we have applied supervised classification techniques to obtain a preliminary fuel type (according to Prometheus system) and land use map. We have performed the first classification using only a nearest neighbor fuzzy approach, marking typical objects as representative samples. These samples correspond to training areas typically representing a particular land use or fuel type class. The initial results, obtained using nearest neighbor as unique classifier, were successively improved correcting inaccuracies in iterative steps by assigning typically wrongly classified image objects as samples into the right class, after the declaration of sample objects. The resulting map, an example of which can be seen in the following figure (fig. 2), was checked through test areas corresponding to ground truth and obtained with a specific field work realized in the study area. The map here presented can be considered as a very preliminary result that is expected to be improved in the following phases of the work. We are now working on the definition of membership functions to be added to the previous approach in order to refine the maps. These membership functions are based on the additional information (intrinsic, topological and context features) which can be derived based on image objects. Figure 2—(a) Quickbird multispectral image. (b) Preliminary land use and fuel map obtained through a VHR satellite image object-oriented classification. 314 USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-xxx. xxxx. Proceedings of the Second International Symposium on Fire Economics, Planning, and Policy: A Global View Session Poster.—Wildland-Urban Interface Management Planning—Marzano, Camia and Bovio Landscape analysis applications Landscape analysis methods derived from Landscape Ecology have been tested, aiming at selecting specific indicators to be applied to the W-UI conditions for the description of the wildfire environment and trying to obtain analytical tools to identify common denominators leading to W-UI fire events and to optimize planning processes for the W-UI fire defense. The methodologies that are being set up will provide the fire managers with the opportunity to define the W-UI zones and study in a comprehensive way the spatial relationships among W-UI elements and their interaction with wildland fires. There are many different definitions for the term “landscape” depending on the research or management context. These different interpretations usually include an area of land containing a mosaic of patches (Urban and others 1987) or landscape elements, whose boundaries are artificially imposed. They represent the basis (or building blocks) for the elaboration of categorical maps. Size is not necessarily important to define a landscape, what must be taken into account is the patches interacting together and creating a mosaic, whose dimension is depending upon the phenomenon taken into account. A disturbance, like a wildfire, has the possibility to spread across a landscape according to the abundance and arrangement of habitats being susceptible to that particular kind of disturbance (Lloret and others 2002). The key point of the analysis that is being carried on is to study landscape heterogeneity and the fragmentation introduced by the presence of settlements in relation to wildfires, assessing the effect of a complex landscape pattern, like those characterizing wildland-urban interface environments, and of its structural composition on fire regime. A basic assumption is represented by the fact that the fuel arrangement in a territory has a strong influence on fire spread and that the type of land cover and fuels characteristics are closely related (Turner and Romme 1994). Working at settlement scale, the effects of different patch configurations within a reference W-UI landscape in determining different levels of vulnerability to wildfire are being studied. To apply landscape concepts and metrics to the research, it has been necessary to choose a reference landscape and to identify the single patches within this landscape. It has been decided to focus on settlements and their immediate surrounding and to concentrate the efforts on them; for this reason it has been selected a settlement within the study area to experiment procedures based on landscape ecology. Starting from the boundaries of the selected settlement, a buffer of 500 m has been realized with GIS techniques. An area of 253 ha was obtained with this elaboration (fig. 3a). The idea was to obtain polygons (vector format) or grid cells (raster format) classified into discrete land use classes. Patches were delineated interpreting aerial photographs and Quickbird satellite images. A divisive approach was applied (fig. 3b). Each patch was digitized starting from a single patch (the entire landscape), corresponding to the boundaries of the above mentioned buffer, and then successively partitioning this into homogeneous patches, a vector map constructed from digitized lines was obtained. 315 USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-xxx. xxxx. GENERAL TECHNICAL REPORT PSW-GTR-208 Session Poster.—Wildland-Urban Interface Management Planning—Marzano, Camia and Bovio Figure 3—(a) The selected “landscape” (the red line identify the settlement boundaries, while the blue line corresponds to the 500 m buffer). (b) Patch digitization. For the initial analyses, eight land use types were selected to identify the different patches, according to the phenomenon under consideration and the area characteristics: brushes; fields; grass; grass – trees; house; non combustible; shingle; trees. The final patch mosaic was then converted from a vector (fig. 4a) to a raster format (fig. 4b) obtaining a 1 m pixel raster map, in order to apply software algorithms for landscape metric calculation. 316 USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-xxx. xxxx. Proceedings of the Second International Symposium on Fire Economics, Planning, and Policy: A Global View Session Poster.—Wildland-Urban Interface Management Planning—Marzano, Camia and Bovio Figure 4—(a) The final patch mosaic (vector format) with its fuel and land use legend. (b) The final patch mosaic (raster format) its fuel and land use legend. Selection of vulnerability indicators Landscape metrics are algorithms that are used to quantify specific spatial characteristics of patches, classes of patches, or entire landscape mosaics (McGarigal and Marks 1995). Landscape metrics quantify the pattern of the landscape within a designated landscape boundary, focusing on the spatial character and distribution of patches. There are three different analysis levels and consequently three different metric levels: Patch metrics Class metrics Landscape metrics. Landscape metrics are usually divided into two general categories: one includes metrics that are able to quantify the composition of the map without taking into account spatial attributes, and the other includes metrics that quantify the spatial configuration of the map, requiring spatial information to be implemented (McGarigal and Marks 1995, Gustafson 1998). Once realized a categorical map of different land uses, the goal was to characterize the composition and spatial configuration of the patch mosaic, through landscape metrics. Attention was focused mostly on structural metrics, able to measure the physical composition or configuration of the patch mosaic without explicit reference to an ecological process (McGarigal and Marks 1995); just in a following step the functional relevance of the metric value will be interpreted. To calculate landscape metrics, we made use of FRAGSTATS (McGarigal and Marks 1995) that was applied to the 1 m pixel raster map. For a given landscape mosaic, the software can compute several metrics for each patch in the mosaic, each patch type (class) in the mosaic and the landscape mosaic as a whole. Almost all metrics available with FRAGSTATS have been at first computed for the settlement selected as study case. The selection of metrics that could provide indication about settlement vulnerability is right now being realized, in order to find a relationship between metrics and fire risk. To accomplish this task metrics obtained from real landscapes, corresponding to settlements located on the territory, are being compared with simulated landscapes, representing different levels of wildfire risk. Conclusions The paper aims at presenting the conceptual and methodological approach that is being applied for the analysis of W-UI areas in relation to wildfire management. The final goal of the research is actually the elaboration of useful recommendations about wildland-urban interface environments and their relation to wildfire risk, in order to enhance management decision making processes. Some preliminary results were presented, but the work is still in progress. Remote sensing and geographical information system techniques, together with landscape analyses applying concepts and indicators derived from Landscape Ecology, can be usefully applied to the study of W-UI environments, providing crucial information for land-use planning and policymaking. 317 USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech. Rep. PSW-GTR-xxx. xxxx. GENERAL TECHNICAL REPORT PSW-GTR-208 Session Poster.—Wildland-Urban Interface Management Planning—Marzano, Camia and Bovio Acknowledgments This research was funded by the European Commission - Energy, Environment and Sustainable Development Research Programme; Project WARM - WildlandUrban Area Fire Risk Management (EVG1-CT-2001-00044). 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