Evaluation of Prescribed Burning Emissions and Impacts on Air Quality in the Lake Tahoe Basin Final Report L.-W. Antony Chen Tom Malamakal Xiaoliang Wang Mark G. Green Judith C. Chow John G. Watson Division of Atmospheric Sciences Desert Research Institute Nevada System of Higher Education Reno, NV 89512 December 31, 2014 This research was supported through an agreement with the USDA Forest Service Pacific Southwest Research Station, using funds provided by the Bureau of Land Management through the sale of public lands as authorized by the Southern Nevada Public Land Management Act (Round 11) Executive Summary Prescribed burning has been conducted in and around the Lake Tahoe Basin (LTB) to maintain natural succession of plant communities and to reduce wildfire danger. During 20112012, approximately 2000 acres of wildland in the LTB were subjected to understory or slashpile burns. Although these prescribed burns are conducted under strict guidelines, they can still be an important source of air pollutants, particularly fine particulate matter (PM2.5), in the LTB. This research combines ambient air quality monitoring, in-plume source measurements, and dispersion modeling to characterize prescribed burning emissions and evaluate the magnitude and spatiotemporal distribution of smoke impacts. Combustion efficiencies (CEs) and emission factors (EFs) for PM2.5 mass and black carbon (BC), along with gaseous nitrogen oxides (NOx), ammonia (NH3), and carbon monoxide (CO) were determined based on four prescribed burns in/around the LTB. Lower CEs were found for understory burns of natural vegetation (CE < 0.9) than for slash pile burns (CE > 0.9). Low CEs were associated with higher EFPM2.5 and EFNH3, implying a larger environmental impact by understory burns with respect to air quality and nutrient (i.e., nitrogen) deposition. As EFPM2.5 generally increases with decreasing CE, the EFPM2.5/(1 - CE) ratio varies widely, by a factor of six. The low-end EFPM2.5 is consistent with laboratory combustion tests of dry LTB fuels and the assumptions of Fire Emission Production Simulator (FEPS), an operational emissions model. The high-end EFPM2.5 agrees with laboratory tests of relatively moist fuels. For simulation of the largest possible impacts, the CE and EFPM2.5 coefficients in the FEPS need to be adjusted according to the in-plume measurements. This increases the modeled PM2.5 emission rates (g/hr), particularly for the smoldering phase and moist fuel conditions. Ambient PM2.5 monitoring by real-time and integrated filter methods at five background or community exposure sites in the LTB during 2011 and 2012 established baseline diurnal patterns that facilitated identification of PM2.5 episodes for further assessment. PM2.5 episodes associated with prescribed burns were as short as 1–2 hours and seldom lasted more than several hours. This is consistent with the proximity of the burn plots to the monitoring sites and fastchanging meso-scale winds. Impacts from distant wildfires were more spatially homogeneous within the LTB and lasted longer (e.g., >48 hours). A dispersion model based on FEPS and Hybrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (FEPS-HYSPLIT) run with highresolution (2 km x 2 km) Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) meteorological data confirmed the short duration of the prescribed burn impacts. The model-predicted PM2.5 episodes due to prescribed burning agree in time with measured PM2.5 concentrations in many cases, providing initial validation of the model. This suggests that the prescribed burning impact cannot be ignored, even though no exceedances to the ambient 24-hr PM2.5 or 8-hr visibility standards were reported at ambient monitors. The FEPS-HYSPLIT approach reveals that smoke from the ignition and first several hours of burning usually rises and moves away from population centers, as expected by the smoke management plan. However, smoldering combustion can continue long after the active ignition period. The smoldering smoke often impacts the community due to changes in wind direction. Therefore, it is insufficient to initiate the prescribed burning decision solely based on weather conditions of the burn day. A longer-term forecast (e.g., 72 hours) should be considered, i especially for burns close to population centers. Contributions of the smoldering combustion to ambient PM2.5 concentrations depend on the emission rates, which are subject to a large uncertainty in the current model. The FEPS-HYSPLIT model, as a product of this study, provides fire agencies with an additional tool to make/evaluate burn decisions. At this stage, the modeled PM2.5 concentrations have not been evaluated adequately due to the lack of smoke-specific measurements at the ambient monitoring sites. Recommendations are made to further refine and validate the model, which include the development of a cross-agency, post-burn reporting system to archive accurate burn information and the examination of spring and summer prescribed burns with specific biomass burning markers. ii Table of Contents 1 2 3 4 5 Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 1-1 1.1 Background ................................................................................................................... 1-1 1.2 Prescribed Burning in the Lake Tahoe Basin (LTB)..................................................... 1-2 1.3 Understanding Prescribed Burning Emissions and Impacts: A Research Framework . 1-5 1.4 Guide to the Report ....................................................................................................... 1-8 Technical Approaches .......................................................................................................... 2-1 2.1 Ambient Monitoring Network ....................................................................................... 2-1 2.2 In-Plume Source Measurement ..................................................................................... 2-4 2.3 Laboratory Combustion Experiment ............................................................................. 2-8 2.4 Fire Emission and Dispersion Simulation ..................................................................... 2-9 Summary of Ambient PM2.5 Monitoring.............................................................................. 3-1 3.1 Meteorology and Wildfires ........................................................................................... 3-1 3.2 PM2.5 Concentration, Diurnal Variation, and Episodes ................................................. 3-1 3.3 PM2.5 Chemical Composition ...................................................................................... 3-11 Characterization of Prescribed Burning Emissions ............................................................. 4-1 4.1 Combustion Efficiency and Emission Factor ................................................................ 4-1 4.2 Time-integrated Emissions and PM2.5 Chemical Composition ..................................... 4-5 Smoke Forecast and Impact Assessment ............................................................................. 5-1 5.1 Integration of Smoke Forecast Tools ............................................................................ 5-1 5.2 Simulation and Verification of Measured Burn Events ................................................ 5-4 5.3 Assessment of Prescribed Burning Impacts: Case Studies ........................................... 5-9 5.4 Wildfire Impacts: Case Studies ................................................................................... 5-13 6 Conclusions and Recommendations .................................................................................... 6-1 Acknowledgement ....................................................................................................................... 7-1 References .................................................................................................................................... 8-1 Appendix A Prescribed Burn Conducted in 2011................................................................... 9-1 Appendix B Prescribed Burn Conducted in 2012 ................................................................... 9-5 Appendix C Fuel Type and Fuel Load Breakdown for Prescribed Burns Studied ............... 9-10 iii List of Figures Figure 1. Land management/fire protection agencies and their boundaries in the Lake Tahoe Basin (LTBMU, 2007). ................................................................................................................ 1-4 Figure 2. Maps of (a) wildfire susceptibility and (b) planned fuels reduction schedule (2007– 2016) for the Lake Tahoe Basin. Adapted from LTBMU (2007). ............................................... 1-5 Figure 3. A research framework for evaluating prescribed burning emissions and impact in the Lake Tahoe Basin. It shows the relevancy of the three main tasks in this study: source measurement, ambient monitoring, and fire emission/dispersion modeling. .............................. 1-7 Figure 4. Locations of ambient PM2.5 monitoring sites (blue balloons) in the Lake Tahoe Basin (LTB) during 2011-2012 study periods: 1) Incline Village; 2) Tahoe City; 3) Bliss State Park; 4) South Lake Tahoe; and 5) Cave Rock. Also shown are the locations of four prescribed burns (stars ☆) measured by the In-Plume system: Skyland (SKY), Donner Memorial State Park (DSP), Tunnel Creek (TNC), and Cold Creek (CLC). Solid circles indicate 60 recorded prescribed burns carried out by Lake Tahoe Basin Management Unit (red), California State Park (pink), Nevada Division of Forestry (green), and North Lake Tahoe Fire Protection Department (yellow) throughout fall (September-November), 2011. ............................................................. 2-1 Figure 5. MiniVol sampling configuration, species measured, and analytical methods (Chow, 1995). XRF: X-ray fluorescence; IC: Ion Chromatography; AC: Automated Colorimetry; TOR: Thermal/Optical Reflectance by the IMPROVE_A protocol (Chow et al., 2007). ..................... 2-2 Figure 6. Configuration of the In-Plume sampling system as deployed for prescribed burning measure-ments (adapted from Wang et al., [2012]). ................................................................... 2-5 Figure 7. In-Plume measurements of prescribed burning smoke for (a) DSP and (b) TNC burn with different accessibility. .......................................................................................................... 2-7 Figure 8. The 8 m3 combustion chamber with a typical sample burn and a schematic of the experimental configuration with online and time-integrated measurements. The Potential Aerosol Mass (PAM) flow reactor was not applied in this study. ............................................................. 2-9 Figure 9. Comparison of original and corrected DustTrak data with collocated (a, c) MiniVol and (b, d) IMPROVE PM2.5 measurements. Only DustTrak data that covers >75% of the integrated sampling periods were included. The corrections in (b)/(d) are based on regression curves from (a)/(c). See Table 1 for the sampling periods in 2011 and 2012. Incline Village data from 2012 were excluded............................................................................................................. 3-2 Figure 10. 24-hr averaged PM2.5 measured by DustTrak at five sites in LTB for 2011 (8/1/2011– 11/22/2011). Missing data are left blank. Also shown in the figure are time-integrated MiniVol (weekly, black ba r) and IMPROVE (24-hr, green dot) PM2.5 concentrations. Basin-wide episodes are marked by vertical dotted lines (red). No exceedances to the 24-hr PM2.5 NAAQS of 35 µg/m3 were observed. ............................................................................................................. 3-3 Figure 11. 24-hr averaged PM2.5 measured by DustTrak at five sites in the LTB for 2012 (5/1/2012– 8/31/2012). Missing data are left blank. Also shown in the figure are time-integrated MiniVol (weekly, black bar) and IMPROVE (24-hr, green dot) PM2.5 concentrations. Basin-wide episodes are marked by vertical dotted lines (red). No exceedances to the 24-hr PM2.5 NAAQS of 35 µg/m3 were observed. ............................................................................................................. 3-4 Figure 12. Boxplots based on hourly DustTrak data showing diurnal variations of PM2.5 by site for the 2011 and 2012 monitoring periods. Hour of day corresponds to Pacific Standard Time (PST). Circles indicate the medians and boxes show the interquartile range (IQR). Whiskers iv extend to the most extreme data points not considered outliers, and outliers, i.e., data outside [Q1 – 1.5IQR, Q3 + 1.5IQR], are plotted individually as red crosses. Julian days in the year corresponding to the outliers are also marked. DustTrak DRX at Incline Village appeared to have been influenced by ambient temperature during 2012, so the measurements are not reliable. Note that only three hourly outliers at the South Lake Tahoe site on Julian Days 271 and 306 exceed 35 µg/m3....................................................................................................................................... 3-5 Figure 13. Diurnal variations of PM2.5 at five sites during: (a) 2011 and (b) 2012 monitoring periods, based on median hourly DustTrak data. The circle in (a) illustrates the basin-wide mixing period. .............................................................................................................................. 3-8 Figure 14. Spatiotemporal variation of PM2.5 components and gaseous NH3 in the LTB during the 2011 observing period. Horizontal bars indicate South Lake Tahoe concentrations as a benchmark. Concentrations are based on weekly speciation data for: (a) PM2.5, (b) ammonium sulfate, (c) ammonium nitrate, (d) OM, (e) EC, (f) fine soil, (g) salt, (h) non-crustal K (surrogate for biomass burning), and i) NH3. Sampling sites: 1) Tahoe City, 2) South Lake Tahoe, 3) TRPA Stateline, 4) Incline Village. ...................................................................................................... 3-11 Figure 15. PM2.5 chemical composition for the fall 2011 observing period for: (a) Tahoe City, CA, (b) Incline Village, NV, (c) South Lake Tahoe, CA, (d) TRPA Stateline, NV. ................ 3-15 Figure 16. Time series of In-Plume measurements (1-min time resolution) during the Tunnel Creek (TNC) burn on 10/20/2011 for: a) carbon (i.e., C) concentrations and combustion efficiency (i.e., CEs) and b) PM2.5 concentrations and emission factors. Notes: Total C emission includes carbon in CO2, CO, and BC. Arrows indicate the ignition time. Flaming, transition, and smoldering phases are separated empirically (see text for details). All times are in PST. .......... 4-1 Figure 17. Distribution of 1-min CE during the CLC and SKY pile burns and the DSP and TNC prescribed burns. Only data points with [CO] + 0.58×[PM2.5] > 200 µg/m3C are included in the analysis to mitigate the influence of uncertainties on the baselines. This resulted in 107, 128, 193, and 121 data points for the CLC, SKY, DSP, and TNC burns, respectively. ...................... 4-2 Figure 18. Distribution of 1-min emission factors for: (a) CO and (b) NOx during the CLC and SKY pile burns as well as the DSP and TNC understory burns. Only data points with 0.43 × [CO] + 0.58 × [PM2.5] > 200 µg/m3C are included. This resulted in 107, 128, 193, and 121 data points for the CLC, SKY, DSP, and TNC burns, respectively. EFNOx are reported as gNO/kg dry fuel. .............................................................................................................................................. 4-3 Figure 19. Distribution of 1-min emission factors for: (a) PM2.5 and (b) BC during the CLC and SKY pile burns and the DSP and TNC prescribed burns. Only data points with [CO] + 0.58 × [PM2.5] > 200 µg/m3C are included in the analysis. This resulted in 107, 128, 193, and 121 data points for the CLC, SKY, DSP, and TNC burns, respectively. ................................................... 4-4 Figure 20. Scatter plot of EFPM2.5 as a function of CE (1-min data) for: (a) three prescribed burning events (i.e., SKY, DSP, and TNC) in 2011 and b) one prescribed burn event (i.e., CLC) in 2013 and laboratory burns. The lower bound of the distribution is the FEPS default parameterization while the upper bound is determined from the top 10th percentile of data with respect to the EFPM2.5 / (1 - CE) ratio. Blue triangles and green diamonds indicate data from laboratory combustion of wet and dry fuels, respectively (Chen et al., 2010). ........................... 4-5 Figure 21. Material balance of PM2.5 for: (a) SKY, (b) DSP, and (c) TNC burns. The mass percentages are calculated from average of respective filter samples as shown in Table 7. See v Eqs. (9)-(13) for the construction of each component. Data were not available for the CLC burn. ...................................................................................................................................................... 4-8 Figure 22. FEPS modeled results for: (a) fuel consumption (by FLA, STS, and LTS phases) and heat release and (b) combustion efficiency and emission rates (CO, PM2.5 and CH4) at hourly resolution for the TNC burn (10/20/2011, the second peak in the figures). A burn conducted in an adjacent 7-acre plot starting at 1000 PST on 10/19/2011 was also modeled. Default CE and EF coefficients were used in the FEPS model (see Eqs. [6] and [7]). ............................................... 5-1 Figure 23. FEPS modeled hourly combustion efficiency (CE) and PM2.5 emission rates (default and upper limit) for the TNC burn (10/20/2011). Adjusted coefficients were used to calculate CE and the upper limit of PM2.5 emission. Actual PM2.5 emission rates are likely in the shaded area.52 Figure 24. Comparison of WRF surface winds with observations at: (a) four weather stations: Slide Mountain (slm), Diamond Peak (dip), Incline Village (inv), and Sand Harbor (sah) closest to TNC. Wind components in the east-west (U) and north-south (V) directions are compared in (b) and (c), respectively. The yellow bars indicate the standard deviation of WRF winds across the four sites. ................................................................................................................................ 5-2 Figure 25. Matlab® graphic user interface (GUI) for creating HYSPLIT control file for the TNC burn. ............................................................................................................................................. 5-3 Figure 26. Matlab® graphic user interface (GUI) for executing the HYSPLIT model and analyzing the output data. The monitoring sites are noted by 1-5 in the contour plot: 1: Incline Village; 2: Tahoe City; 3: Bliss State Park; 4: South Lake Tahoe; and 5: Cave Rock. The diamond indicates the TNC burn plot. The snapshot is for TNC burn 6 hours after ignition. Note a burn conducted at an adjacent plot in the previous day (7 acres, started at 1000 PST on 10/19/2011) was also modeled here. ............................................................................................ 5-4 Figure 27. Time series of smoke transport (every 6th hour in PST) of surface PM2.5 concentrations (μg/m3 during 10/19-22/2011 for the two prescribed burns near Tunnel Creek (Diamond). Five ambient monitoring sites around Lake Tahoe are also marked. (See Figure 26 for site identifications; the same latitudes and longitudes are used as in Figure 26.) .................. 5-5 Figure 28. Impact of Tunnel Creek (TNC) burns on five monitoring sites in the LTB, as predicted by the FEPS-HYSPLIT model. Arrows indicate the start of burns on 10/19/2011 and 10/20/2011. .................................................................................................................................. 5-6 Figure 29. Comparison of hourly ambient PM2.5 measurements with FEPS-HYSPLIT predicted PM2.5 contribution from Tunnel Creek burns for the: (a) Incline Village; (b) Tahoe City; and (c) Bliss State Park sites. The median line indicates typical diurnal pattern determined from the median concentrations throughout the fall 2011 observing period. Arrows indicate the burn start times. See text for explanations of Peaks A–G. ........................................................................... 5-7 Figure 30. Impact of prescribed burn for: (a) SKY (6/11/2011); (b) DSP (10/3/2011); and (c) CLC (6/24/2013) on ambient PM2.5 concentrations in the LTB, as predicted by the FEPSHYSPLIT model. See Table 2 for detailed burn information. Arrows indicate the burn start times. Transport maps represent: a) 19; b) 10; and c) 7 hours after ignition. See Figure 26 for explanation of the maps. .............................................................................................................. 5-8 Figure 31. Measured hourly PM2.5 concentrations in the LTB as compared to modeled accumulative contributions of multiple prescribed burns (i.e., TNC, TNC, NTFPD1, NTFPD2, vi and LTBMU1) conducted between 10/17/2011 and 10/20/2011 on the north shore of Lake Tahoe. PM2.5 episodes are identified (in circles) based on diurnal patterns (Table 5). ............. 5-10 Figure 32. Measured hourly PM2.5 concentrations in the LTB as compared to modeled accumulative contributions of multiple prescribed burns (i.e., NTFPD3 near Incline Village, and LTBMU2 in the Angora area) conducted between 10/31/2011 and 11/4/2011. PM2.5 episodes are identified (in circle) based on baseline diurnal patterns (see Table 5). Ambient data from the Tahoe City and Bliss State Park sites are not available for this period. .................................... 5-12 Figure 33. Snapshots of FEPS-HYSPLIT model simulated smoke transport for the two prescribed burns: a) LTBMU2 (near Angora on 11/2/2011) and b) LTBMU3 (near Tahoe City on 11/15/2011). Colorbar indicates surface (0-25 m) PM2.5 concentrations in µg/m3 (log scale). See Figure 26 for further explanations of the map. .......................................................................... 5-13 Figure 34. Salt Fire as observed by: (a) satellite and (b)-(d) PM2.5 measurements in the LTB. The satellite image was acquired by NASA MODIS with 2 km x 2 km resolution at 1300 PST on 9/9/2011. Red dots indicate fire detected. Both measured and median (from Figure 12) PM2.5 concentrations between 9/7/2011 and 9/13/2011 are shown in Figure 34(b)-(d). Dashed lines in Figure 34(c) mark the peaks corresponding to the morning and evening rush hours at the Tahoe City site. ..................................................................................................................................... 5-14 Figure 35. Robbers Fire as observed by: (a) satellite and (b)-(d) PM2.5 measurements in the LTB. The satellite image was acquired by NOAA at 1300 PST on 7/14/2012. Both measured and median (see Figure 12) PM2.5 concentrations between 7/9/2012 and 7/16/2012 are shown in Figure 35(b)-(d). Dashed lines in Figure 35(b) mark the peaks corresponding to the morning and evening rush hours at the Tahoe City site. ................................................................................. 5-15 vii List of Tables Table 1. Summary of ambient monitoring network established for the 2011-2012 prescribed burning impact assessment. ......................................................................................................... 2-3 Table 2. Prescribed burns measured with an In-Plume monitoring system. ............................... 2-4 Table 3. Specifications of continuous monitors included in the In-Plume system for measuring prescribed burning emissions during the LTB field study. .......................................................... 2-6 Table 4. Meteorological conditions in the Lake Tahoe Basin for the fall 2011 and spring/summer 2012 observing periods (data from South Lake Tahoe Airport). ................................................. 3-1 Table 5. Summary of PM2.5 episodes in the 2011 and 2012 observing periods (according to outliers in Figure 12) and potential causes based on fire and meteorological records. ............... 3-9 Table 6. Time-integrated combustion efficiencies and emission factors of PM2.5, EC, BC, CO, NOx, and NH3 for CLC, SKY, DSP, and TNC burns. ................................................................. 4-5 Table 7. Chemical composition of PM2.5 (in percentage) for time-integrated filter samples acquired from the SKY, DSP, and TNC burns. ........................................................................... 4-7 viii 1 1.1 Introduction Background The Lake Tahoe Basin (LTB) is situated in the northern Sierra Nevada mountain range of the western U.S. and straddles the California/Nevada border. Lake Tahoe is designated an Outstanding National Resource Water under the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Water Quality Standards Program and the Clean Water Act (U.S.EPA 1987, 2012). The designation is reserved for exceptional waters with unique ecological and social significance. With this designation, Lake Tahoe has been receiving the highest level of protection under the antidegradation policy. The clarity of Lake Tahoe and its unique blue color is attributed to a granitic lake bed with extremely low levels of nutrient content, vegetative growth, and suspended particulate matter (PM). However, water clarity has been declining since the 1960s. This is mainly due to the input of fine PM and algal growth stimulated by nutrient loading from runoff and atmospheric deposition (Jassby et al., 1994). The Truckee River provides the only outlet with limited flushing, resulting in long residence times in the lake. With regard to particles, it can be assumed that depositions of sediments and nutrients remain in the lake indefinitely; either suspended in the water column or settled on the lake bed (LRWQCB, 2012). Besides the clear lake water, good air quality and visibility are important assets of the LTB as a major tourist destination. The annual PM2.5 (airborne fine PM with aerodynamic matter <2.5 µm) concentrations were 3.5 and 9.0 μg/m3 for 2000-2004 (Green et al., 2011) measured at Bliss State Park and South Lake Tahoe, representative of rural and urban environments, respectively, in the basin. These levels are well below the National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) of 12 µg/m3 (U.S.EPA, 2013). Exceedances to the 24-hr PM2.5 NAAQS of 35 µg m-3 and 8-hr California visibility standard of 70 Mm-1 were also seldom reported (Chen et al., 2011). Major sources of air pollutants, including PM2.5, PM10 (particles with aerosol dynamic diameter <10 μm), nitrogen oxide (NO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), carbon monoxide (CO), and ozone (O3), within the LBT are: 1) biomass burning; 2) on-road engine exhausts; 3) off-road engine exhausts; 4) road dust; and 5) natural dust (Kuhns et al., 2004; Chen et al., 2011). Air pollution is of particular concern because the bowl shaped geography and cool lake surface makes the basin susceptible to meteorological conditions that can trap pollutants near the surface of lake water (Cliff and Cahill, 2000; Green et al., 2011; Green et al., 2012). On average, longrange transport from outside the LTB does not contribute as much as local sources (Gertler et al., 2006). Chen et al. (2011) reviewed the visibility trend at Bliss State Park based on chemical extinction data from the Interagency Monitoring of PROtected Visual Environments (IMPROVE) network. Despite an improving visibility condition with respect to annual median extinction coefficient (bext), the 90th percentile bext, which represents regional visibility on the haziest days, exhibited zero to slightly increasing trends since 1990. This could mostly be related to wildfires as the wildfire frequency and intensity have been increasing in the western U.S. (Westerling et al., 2006). On the other hand, Chen et al. (2011) identified episode days occurring in spring and winter without any evidences of wildfires. These episodes might reflect the influence of prescribed burning and/or residential wood combustion (RWC). 1-1 Prescribed burning activities inside and around the LTB have the potential to impact air quality, visibility, and human exposure to air toxics. It can also impact the water quality through deposition. The Lahontan Regional Water Quality Control Board estimated that ~15% of particle loads to Lake Tahoe originated from atmospheric sources (Roberts and Reuter, 2007). The importance of prescribed burning contributions is increasing as regulations over other sources such as motor vehicles, RWC, and road dust, have been implemented and shown measurable effectiveness in the last two decades (Chen et al., 2011). This study characterizes prescribed burning emissions typical of the LTB and evaluates the impacts of prescribed burning on ambient PM2.5 concentrations. The study focuses on two prescribed burning seasons: fall 2011 (September-November) and spring/summer 2012 (MayJuly). The research methods include: 1) in-plume source measurements at field; 2) ambient air quality (i.e., PM2.5) monitoring; and 3) emission/smoke dispersion modeling. Findings from the study represent a first step to developing strategies that will maximize benefits of prescribed burning while minimizing its effects on air and water quality. 1.2 Prescribed Burning in the Lake Tahoe Basin (LTB) The climate of LTB is characterized by seasonal summer dryness followed by 50-80% of annual precipitation falling between October and March (http://www.wrcc.dri.edu/climatedata/comparative/). Moist winters are favorable for abundant spring vegetation growth, much of which dry out during the summertime allowing dead fuels to accumulate rapidly. Rates of organic matter decomposition are slow due to dry summers and cold winters (Johnson et al., 2009). In addition to natural buildup of fuels, forest fire suppression over the past century has resulted in a more homogeneous landscape and has increased fuel loads throughout the Sierra Nevada (Beaty and Taylor, 2008). Several studies have indicated that the frequency and intensity of wildfires is likely to increase in many regions due to climate change. Consequently, environmental and ecological impacts from wildfires are likely to increase (Taylor and Beaty, 2005; Westerling et al., 2006; Jaffe and Wigder, 2012). Moreover, changes in forest characteristics have increased fire hazards putting property, public safety, and natural resources at risk. Forest conditions during the Euro-American settlement and prior to the extensive Comstock logging era (ca. 1860–1920) have long been used by ecologists and managers as a reference to characterize the variability in ecological processes and structures at a time when ecosystems were less affected by humans (Taylor et al., 2012). Forests in the LTB have been dramatically altered by land use practices; thus, reference conditions are used as a guide to identify restoration goals and treatments in places where contemporary forest conditions are outside of their historic ranges. The desired basin forest condition is conceived as being similar to those in the pre-Comstock period. During the Comstock era, forests in the LTB were nearly clear-cut to meet demand for wood in the silver mines in Virginia City, Nevada (Strong, 1984). The second growth forests along with fire suppression have resulted in an increased presence of high-density, small diameter trees that are more susceptible to catastrophic wildfires. Today, the LTB forests are experiencing mortality due to drought, lack of natural fire, high tree density, and beetle infestation, further increasing the risk of wildfire (Schwilk et al., 2006; Fule et al., 2012). Pre-settlement fire ecology reconstructed from tree rings studies show that frequent fires 1-2 shaped the LTB forest. Modeled reference conditions of forest characteristics show that the lower montane forests burned at relatively low intensity with a mean fire return interval of 13-20 years while upper montane forests burned every 80-95 years (Taylor et al., 2012). Knowledge of reference conditions is used to determine ecological implications of implementing fuel treatments on an appropriate landscape scale. For example, more intensive treatments may be appropriate on landscapes that historically burned at higher severity. Mechanical and hand-thinning activities were introduced in the 1980s in order to reduce fire hazards and create stands structurally similar to inferred pre-settlement conditions (McKelvey et al., 1996; Raumann and Cablk, 2008). Thinning activities focused on the removal of dead or dying trees. The resulting slash was disposed of through commercial sales of wood, chipping and removal, or burning of slash-piles and understory growth. Forest fuel treatments can be expensive depending on the removal method, the amount of material, and the terrain and location. Mechanical treatments are generally expensive, therefore prescribed burning is often the preferred method to reduce surface and ladder fuels. Research has shown that low intensity fires can improve forest health by mimicking the natural role of fire (Certini, 2005). Benefits of prescribed burning include the reduction of dead and downed material, recycling of forest nutrients, minimizing insect epidemics and spread of disease in crowded stands, and protection of lives and property from catastrophic fire. In recent years, the activities of thinning and prescribed burning have been used extensively throughout the LTB in an effort to return Sierra Nevada forests to a more sustainable, fire-resilient condition. Due to the air quality restrictions, most prescribed burns follow a Burn Plan with a short ignition window during which efficient smoke dispersal is forecasted. Basin land management/fire protection agencies (Figure 1) develop a multi-year Burn Plan that follows a NWCG (National Wildfire Coordinating Group) standardized format, including parameters for fire behavior, environmental conditions (i.e. weather), required notifications, smoke management, etc. Prior to burning, the managing agency must obtain a burn variance from the local air district. The LTB has four permitting air districts: Washoe County and the Nevada Division of Environmental Protection (NDEP) on the east side of the basin, and Placer and Eldorado Counties on the west side. Before conducting a prescribed burn, crews from a fire district must: 1) register the burn with the corresponding air district(s); 2) obtain an air district and/or fire agency burn permit; 3) submit a smoke management plan (SMP); and 4) obtain air district approval of the SMP. The SMP specifies the “smoke prescription,” which is a set of air quality, meteorological, and fuel conditions needed before burn ignition may be allowed. Depending on the size and complexity of the burn, the SMP will contain some or all of the following information: 1. Burner name and contact information; 2. Burn method/fuel type (e.g., pile or understory); 3. Nearby population center(s); 4. Planned burn time; 5. Acceptable burn ignition conditions; 6. Contingency planning; 7. Burn monitoring procedures; 1-3 8. Location and size of the burn; 9. Expected air emissions; 10. Smoke travel projections; 11. Duration of the burn; 12. Smoke minimization techniques; 13. Description of alternatives to burning; 14. Public notification procedures; Figure 1. Land management/fire protection agencies and their boundaries in the Lake Tahoe Basin (LTBMU, 2007). Two types of burn methods (i.e., pile or understory) need to be specified : Pile Burning: Cut material piled either by hand or mechanical, resulting from logging or fuel management activities are burned during the wetter months (i.e., winter and spring) to reduce damage to residual stand and to confine fire to the size of the pile. Piling allows for the material to cure and dry, producing less smoke and rapid consumption when burned. Understory burning/Underburning: A fire that consumes surface fuels but not the overstory vegetation is used after initial thinning treatment or a maintenance burn, to maintain the desired fuel loading conditions. For the safety of nearby residential areas, slash pile burning is usually the preferred method following thinning treatments in overly dense stands. This would prevent the intense underburn that causes unacceptable levels of tree scorch and mortality. Depending on location of the burn, notification must be given to the permitting agency the day before. On the day of the burn, the burn coordinator (i.e., burn boss) relies on National Weather Service (NWS) spot weather forecasts, on-site weather data, and personal judgment with local conditions to determine if there 1-4 would be an ignition. Approximately 58,200–65,560 acres of forestlands in the LTB is classified as having a moderate to high wildfire susceptibility (Figure 2[a]). The basin-wide Burn Plan guides when and where treatments should take place (Figure 2[b]). Over 14,000 acres of fuels reduction treatments (thinning and prescribed burning) have been completed since 2000, with an average annual treatment of 1,856 acres in 2005–2006 (Holl, 2007). Approximately 4,900 acres would be burned annually if all initial and maintenance treatments were completed as scheduled (Holl, 2007). However, information from the fire protection agencies identified 70 burns of ~1000 acres in 2011 (May to December) and 79 burns of ~800 acres in 2012 (see Appendixes A and B) that corresponded to this study period. Slash pile burning was the most common method of treatment, accounting for ~80% of the burn acreages. (a) (b) Figure 2. Maps of (a) wildfire susceptibility and (b) planned fuels reduction schedule (2007–2016) for the Lake Tahoe Basin. Adapted from LTBMU (2007). 1.3 Understanding Prescribed Burning Emissions and Impacts: A Research Framework Plant biomass mainly consists of cellulose, hemicellulose, and lignin with carbon (C) and oxygen (O) accounting for ~90% of the mass with the rest being hydrogen (H) and nitrogen (N). Oxidation and pyrolysis of these materials occur during biomass burning processes. Typically a high-temperature flaming front passes rapidly through a fuel bed followed by sustained lowtemperature smoldering combustion. Flaming combustion leads to nearly complete oxidation, 1-5 converting C and N to carbon dioxide (CO2) and reactive nitrogen oxides (NOx: NO + NO2), respectively, while smoldering smoke contains higher fractions of partially reduced compounds such as CO, ammonia (NH3), volatile organic compounds (VOCs), and PM2.5/PM10 (Crutzen and Andreae, 1990). The fraction of C emission in the form of CO2 is defined as combustion efficiency (CE). In general, CE = 0.9 is a lower threshold for flaming combustion (Sinha et al., 2004; Chen et al., 2007; McMeeking et al., 2009). Fuel consumption by flaming versus smoldering depends on fuel type, loading, moisture content, arrangement of fuel layers (e.g., pile versus understory) as well as environmental conditions such as wind speed (WS) and relative humidity (RH) (Ottmar, 2014). Biomass burning emissions in a burn plot can be calculated from: (1) (Seiler and Crutzen, 1980) where Ei represents the total emission of pollutant i in kg or ton; A is the burn area (ha or acre); B is the fuel loading (kg/ha or ton/acre); C is the fraction of fuel consumed during the fire; and EFi is the emission factor of pollutant i from the combustion (g/kg or lb/ton). EFi quantifies the mass of a pollutant released per mass of dry fuel consumed (Andreae and Merlet, 2001; Chen et al., 2007). Time integrated emissions are usually adequate for developing an emission inventory, while air quality assessments need high time-resolution (e.g., hourly) Ei as source inputs into dispersion or air quality models. The Fire Emission Production Simulator (FEPS), developed by the U.S. Forest Service (Anderson et al., 2004), is an integrated platform for modeling wild- or prescribed fire emissions. FEPS contains default values for fuel loading and fraction of fuel consumed specific to most vegetation type/moisture content combinations in the U.S. Based on the information and user supplied hourly burned area and meteorological conditions (i.e., WS at flame height [ufh] and RH), FEPS calculates fuel consumption by flaming (FLA), short-term smoldering (STS), and long-term smoldering (LTS) phases. Each vegetation type is characterized by the above-ground (e.g., canopy, shrub, grass, woody, litter, and piles) and below-ground (duff) fuel loads, with their hourly consumptions estimated separately. Canopy is assumed to burn only during severe wildfires. Dynamic emission factors, modulated by combustion efficiency (i.e., based on the hourly fuel consumption of FLA, STS, and LTS), are used to determine the hourly emission rates. Outputs from FEPS include hourly heat release (kJ/hr) from the fire, which is useful for calculating the plume height (Briggs, 1969; Harrison and Hardy, 1992). Plume height is a critical input for dispersion models to advect the plume downstream and predict downwind pollutants concentrations. In this study, FEPS served as the core tool for evaluating prescribed burning emissions and impacts on air quality in LTB due to its comprehensiveness and flexibility. FEPS provides emission estimates to the best of knowledge while all the default assumptions can be adjusted if better values and/or field measurements become available. A research framework centered around FEPS is demonstrated in Figure 3. Ground data from the fire protection agencies and satellite data such as SmartFire Fire Information System (http://www.airfire.org/smartfire/ and see Raffuse et al., 2009) provide basic burn information for FEPS including burn location, burn size, start and end time, and in some cases fuel moisture content, loading, and local meteorological conditions. Satellite data covers most of burn types 1-6 that exceed 100 acres in- and outside the LTB. While satellite data does not usually detect prescribed burns, it helps to screen impacts of nearby wildfires from prescribed burns. The Fuel Characteristic Classification System (FCCS, Ottmar et al., 2007; Prichard et al., 2013) provides vegetation type at 1 km 1 km resolution over the continental U.S. and estimates of fuel loading separated into canopy (above ground), shrub, grass, woody, litter, and duff. This information can be readily used for FEPS modeling of underburns if local estimates (e.g., from fire agencies) are not available. Canopy fuels are assumed not to be consumed by prescribed burning. For pile burns, additional information of pile fuel loads would be needed. FEPS considers ufh and RH in the calculation of fuel consumption by STS and LTS phases. Weather models (e.g., Weather Research Forecasting [WRF]) provide these parameters since they are not usually documented in the fire protection agencies’ reports. Figure 3. A research framework for evaluating prescribed burning emissions and impact in the Lake Tahoe Basin. It shows the relevancy of the three main tasks in this study: source measurement, ambient monitoring, and fire emission/dispersion modeling. FEPS calculates combustion efficiencies and PM2.5 emission factors (EFPM2.5) based on fuel consumption by FLA, STS, and LTS phases. EFPM2.5 in the model was derived from limited laboratory studies and may not be applied to real-world fires. Measurements in the smoke plumes (i.e., in-plume source measurement in Figure 3) directly quantify combustion efficiencies and emission factors and examine their relationships throughout a burn. This evaluates the current model setups and allows improvements to be made. In addition, in-plume measurements provide opportunities to determine emissions of gaseous pollutants such as CO and NOx and chemical source profiles of PM2.5 from prescribed burns. The source profiles can then be used in chemical mass balance (CMB) receptor modeling for source apportionment of ambient PM2.5 (e.g., Green et al., 2012; Chen et al., 2012). Field in-plume measurements are often limited by the accessibility of prescribed burns in 1-7 the LTB. Decision on a fire ignition would not be made until the day before and could be canceled anytime due to fast-changing weather conditions, which limits the time for preparing and transporting the In-Plume system. In addition, many of the LTB burns are not accessible by vehicles or even outdoor carts due to the steep terrain. Experiments with laboratory combustion chambers can complement field measurements if they simulate prescribed burning reasonably with respect to atmospheric dilution, fuel type, moisture content, and combustion temperature (Yokelson et al., 2013). The hourly PM2.5 emission from FEPS, along with heat release, serves as point source inputs for the NOAA Air Resource Laboratory (ARL) HYSPLIT – Hybrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory model (Draxler and Hess, 1997; Draxler, 1999) to calculate plume rise and smoke dispersion. The HYSPLIT model is developed and maintained by the NOAA Air Resource Laboratory (ARL) (Draxler and Hess, 1998; Draxler, 1999; Draxler and Rolph, 2013). The steep terrain around the basin and interaction with the lake surface can lead to complex atmospheric circulations influencing plume transport. Therefore, to improve the model precision, 2 km x 2 km resolution meteorological forecasts generated by the WRF model was acquired, converted to the ARL format, and used in HYSPLIT calculations. HYSPLIT output is a 3-dimensional distribution of PM2.5 concentrations as a function of time following the ignition of burn plot(s). The impact of burn on ambient PM2.5 level at a specific receptor site/location can then be determined through interpolation. Ambient monitoring at 1-hr resolution or better would allow evaluation of the model output and provide feedback to the model assumptions. The hourly PM2.5 and integrated weekly filter samples with chemical speciation at background or community exposure sites characterize PM2.5 episodes based on spatiotemporal variation and chemical composition. When compared with prescribed burn records and HYSPLIT simulation, it provides a synergetic impact assessment for prescribed burning in the LTB (Figure 3). 1.4 Guide to the Report This report contains six chapters. Chapter 1 provides background information regarding prescribed burning in the LTB and formulates a research framework for evaluating the prescribed burning emissions and impacts on air quality. Chapter 2 describes measurement and modeling approaches. Chapter 3 summarizes the ambient monitoring data for characterizing sitespecific diurnal pattern and identifying PM2.5 episodes related to prescribed burning. Chapter 4 summarizes the in-plume measurement data for distribution of combustion efficiencies and emission factors as well as PM2.5 chemical composition. Chapter 5 investigates the smoke transport of individual burns using dispersion modeling and ambient measurements. Chapter 6 synthesizes conclusions and recommendations to future studies. References and Appendixes A to C following Chapter 6 provide additional information relevant to the project. 1-8 2 2.1 Technical Approaches Ambient Monitoring Network Ambient PM2.5 monitoring was conducted in the LTB from July through November 2011 and from May through November 2012, covering both the fall (2011, 2012) and spring (2012) prescribed burning seasons. Five monitoring sites were established around the perimeter of Lake Tahoe at Incline Village, Tahoe City, Bliss State Park, South Lake Tahoe, and Cave Rock (Figure 4). The Incline Village (NV), Tahoe City (CA), and South Lake Tahoe (CA) sites were located near the center of the respective township representing community exposure to air pollutants. The Bliss State Park site is 206 m above Lake Tahoe and has been part of the IMPROVE network since 1990. It represents the Desolation and Mokelumne Wilderness Class I areas according to the Clean Air Visibility Rule (CAVR, see U.S.EPA, 2005). Cave Rock is a pier located on the east shore of Lake Tahoe. The site is considered rural but could be influenced by emissions from boats and US-50 traffic (~50 m above the site). Figure 4. Locations of ambient PM2.5 monitoring sites (blue balloons) in the Lake Tahoe Basin (LTB) during 2011-2012 study periods: 1) Incline Village; 2) Tahoe City; 3) Bliss State Park; 4) South Lake Tahoe; and 5) Cave Rock. Also shown are the locations of four prescribed burns (stars ☆) measured by the In-Plume system: Skyland (SKY), Donner Memorial State Park (DSP), Tunnel Creek (TNC), and Cold Creek (CLC). Solid circles indicate 60 recorded prescribed burns carried out by Lake Tahoe Basin Management Unit (red), California State Park (pink), Nevada Division of Forestry (green), and North Lake Tahoe Fire Protection Department (yellow) throughout fall (September-November), 2011. In 2011, each site was equipped with a DustTrak 8520 (TSI, Shoreview, MN), a portable laser photometer measuring particle light scattering at 1-minute time resolution with built-in data logging. The DustTraks were equipped with a 2.5-µm particle impactor, and PM2.5 concentrations were inferred from light scattering according to factory-set calibration factors. In 2012, the DustTrak 8520 was replaced with DustTrak DRX (Wang et al., 2009). Through an 2-1 optical sizing technique, the DustTrak DRX reports five particle size fractions: PM1, PM2.5, PM4, PM10, and PM15 simultaneously. All sites except the Bliss State Park also contained two collocated MiniVol samplers (AirMetrics, Eugene, Oregon) equipped with PM2.5 size-selective inlet sampling air through a filter cartridge at a flow rate of 5 L/min. One MiniVol used a 47-mm Teflon-membrane filter for gravimetric mass and elemental composition measurement. The other used a 47-mm quartz-fiber filter followed by citric acid-impregnated cellulose-fiber filter for quantification of water-soluble ions as well as organic carbon (OC), elemental carbon (EC), and gaseous NH3 concentrations. Figure 5 shows the sampling configuration and analytical methods. PM2.5 Impactor PM2.5 Impactor 5 L/min 5 L/min Teflon-membrane Filter Quartz-fiber Filter Ions (Cl-, NO3-, SO4=, Na+, Mg++, K+, Ca++ by IC and NH4+ by AC) OC, EC, and carbon fractions by TOR mass by gravimetry elemets (Na-U) by XRF Citric acidimpregnated filter NH3 as NH4+ by AC Figure 5. MiniVol sampling configuration, species measured, and analytical methods (Chow, 1995). XRF: X-ray fluorescence; IC: Ion Chromatography; AC: Automated Colorimetry; TOR: Thermal/Optical Reflectance by the IMPROVE_A protocol (Chow et al., 2007). An additional set of MiniVols were deployed on the rooftop of the Tahoe Regional Planning Agency (TRPA) building at Stateline, CA. The site was within 3 km and generally downwind of the South Lake Tahoe site. Integrated weekly (Wednesday to Wednesday) PM2.5 samples were acquired. Occasional power-off and/or instrument malfunction caused shorter sampling time or loss of filter data. MiniVol sampling was not carried out at the Bliss State Park since 24-hr filter samples have been collected every 3rd day and analyzed as part of the IMPROVE program (Green et al., 2012). The analytical methods adapted for this study are compatible with those used in IMPROVE. Table 1 summarizes the ambient monitoring network. 2-2 Table 1. Summary of ambient monitoring network established for the 2011-2012 prescribed burning impact assessment. Site (Lat/Lon/Alt) Sampling Period 2011/2012a # of Valid Filter Samplesb 2011/2012 Incline Village (39o 15’ 1.49”N, 119o 57’ 24.19”W, 58 m ALLc) 7/25/11 – 11/22/11 5/9/12 – 11/21/12 12 23 Tahoe City (39o 9’ 57.63”N, 120o 8’ 55.74”W, 12 m ALLc) 7/11/11 – 11/22/11 5/9/12 – 11/21/12 10 22 Bliss State Park (38o 58’ 33.63”N, 120o 6’ 8.73”W, 206 m ALLc) 8/25/11 – 11/18/11 5/9/12 – 11/21/12 N/A N/A South Lake Tahoe (38o 56’ 42.26”N, 7/11/11 – 11/14/11 119o 58’ 13.99”W, 5/9/12 – 11/21/12 5 m ALLc) Cave Rock (39o 2’ 37.12”N, 119o 56’ 54.83”W, 1 m ALLc) Stateline (38o 57’ 58.53”N, 119o 55’ 51.30”W, 64 m ALLc) Remarksc DustTrak/MiniVols were situated on the rooftop of the Forest Service office. The inlet was ~9 m above the ground (ABL) with ponderosa pine trees surrounding the site. Washoe County has established an ozone (O3) monitor at the site. Located ~100 m from Highway 89, on top of a shed 7 m ABL. Sources affecting the site included cars and trucks entering/leaving the parking lot. Placer County Air Quality District has monitored O3 and PM10/PM2.5 (by BAMsd) since November 2010. The DustTrak was located next to IMPROVE samplers which have been acquiring 24-hr chemically-speciated PM2.5 measurements and PM10 mass on every 3rd day since 1999. DustTrak/MiniVols were situated on the rooftop of the A to Z Insurance building with the inlet ~10 m ABL. This urban site is operated by CARBe, which maintains measurements of PM10 by BAM and meteorological parameters. 15 27 10/7/11 – 11/22/11 5/9/12 – 11/21/12 0 12 DustTrak/MiniVols were placed on the rooftop of the public restroom. The site is ~40 m to the west of Highway 50 and sits ~18 m below the road. 9/8/11 – 11/22/11 5/9/12 – 11/21/12 4 24 MiniVols were situated on the rooftop of the TRPA building. The site is generally downwind of South Lake Tahoe, CA. TRPA also monitors O3, NOx, PM10, and meteorology during the study period. Total 41a 108a Footnotes: a PM2.5 mass were quantified for filter samples acquired in both 2011 and 2012, but only the 2011 samples were fully speciated due to budget constraint. b Each sample is a Teflon-membrane/quartz-fiber/cellulose-fiber filter pair. c ALL: Above lake level. d Beta Attenuation Monitor e California Air Resources Board As part of QA/QC, DustTraks were zeroed and flow checked every week and particle impactors were cleaned and greased every two weeks. The consistency of all DustTrak measurements, including PM2.5 by DustTrak 8520 and DustTrak DRX, were established in the laboratory with nebulized ammonium sulfate ([NH4]2SO4) particles every 6 months. PM2.5 mass measured on Teflon-membrane filters were used to further calibrate the DustTrak data. Instruments at Tahoe City were run with two co-located Beta Attenuation Mass monitors (BAMs, Met One Instrument, Grants Pass, OR) for PM2.5 and PM10. The BAM is a federal equivalent method (FEM) for continuous (1-hr resolution) PM2.5 or PM10 measurement (Chow et al., 2006b). Placer County provided QA/QC for the BAMs at Tahoe City. Another BAM that 2-3 monitored PM10 concentration was located at the South Lake Tahoe site and maintained by California Air Resources Board (CARB). 2.2 In-Plume Source Measurement Source measurements were conducted for four prescribed burns in or around LTB using a mobile In-Plume monitoring system. Three of the prescribed burns (SKY, TNC, and CLC) located on the northeastern-southeastern side of the LTB, and the other burn (DSP) located outside of the basin near Truckee, CA (see Figure 4). Details of the burn plot are shown in Table 2. According to FCCS (1-km resolution Map of the Conterminous U.S. with MODIS Enhanced Canopy Fuels, downloaded from http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/fera/fccs/maps.shtml), the SKY and CLC burn sites are classified as “Ponderosa pine/Jeffery pine forest - mature conifer forest of the Sierra Nevada (Code 37)”, while DSP is classified as “Douglas fir/sugar pine/tanoak forest mixed forest common in northern Sierra Nevada and coastal Pacific Northwest (Code 7)” and TNC is classified as “Red fir forest: Pure stands of red fir widespread in the central and southern Sierra Nevada (Code 17)”. The FCCS coding was confirmed by the visual observations. With the code, the understory fuel loading was estimated, to which piled fuel loading, if applicable, was added to determine the total fuel load in Table 2. Table 2. Prescribed burns measured with an In-Plume monitoring system. Burn Type Burn Area Fuel Moisture Ignition Start Burn Fuel Loadc b (acres) Time (PST) Duration (tons/acre) (hours) Understory 39o01’02”N SKY 6/11/2011 27 10 (pile)–100% 1000 3 28 119o57’00”W /Piles o 39 18’29”N DSP 10/03/2011 Understory 9 70–100% 1000 5 35.6 120o14’43”W 39o13’45”N TNC 10/20/2011 Understory 7 90–100% 1100 4 16.7 119o53’20”W 38o53’56”N CLC 6/24/2013 Pile 10 30–50% 1000 3 30 119o57’22”W Footnotes: a SKY, TNC, and CLC were burns conducted within the basin and DSP was located outside the basin (Figure 4). SKY and CLC are considered as spring burns while DSP and TNC are considered as fall burns according to the time they occurred. b Duration of active ignition determined by fire agencies. Fire continues after ignition. c Estimated from agencies’ report and Fuel Characteristic Classification System (FCCS); canopy and duff excluded. Burn plots and fuel load breakdowns are shown in Appendix C. Burn IDa Burn Location Date Understory burning consumed surface fuels but not the overstory vegetation (i.e., canopy). Burn crews typically started the fire at one side of the burn plot and progressed steadily toward the other. Pile burning generally consumed only the materials piled either by hand or mechanical thinning. In both cases, agencies followed a SMP and precautions were taken to prevent fire escapes and/or ignition of canopy fuels throughout the burn. Chunking the piles, i.e., moving unburned materials from the outside perimeter into the center of the still burning piles, was not applied to the burns studied. The In-Plume system (Figure 6) consists of high-rise sampling inlets (3–5 m), and a suite of real-time instruments capable of characterizing gases and particles in smoke plumes (Wang et 2-4 al., 2012). Continuously monitored species/parameters include CO2 by non-dispersive infrared sensor (SBA-4, PP Systems, Amesbury, MA); CO, NO, and NO2 by electrochemical detector (Model 350S, Testo Inc., Sparta, NJ); sulfur dioxide (SO2); UV-ionizable compounds (isobutylene equivalent) by photoionization detector (Model 102+, PID Analyzers LLC, Pembroke, MA); size-segregated PM mass by DustTrak DRX, and black carbon (BC) by microaethalometer (AE51, Magee Scientific, Berkeley, CA). To improve the sensitivity of NO, NO2, and NOx measurements, a trace level reactive nitrogen oxides analyzer based on the chemiluminescence principle (Model 400 and 401, 2B Technologies, Inc.) was added to the system. Table 3 summarizes the instrumentation, measurement range, precision, and data rate. Prescribed Burning Sampling Inlet 19.51 L/min Teflon Filter Filter sampler Flow meter TSI DustTrak DRX (PM1, PM2.5, PM4, PM10, PM15) Pump NO/NO2 Valve Testo 350 (CO, CO2, NO, NO2, SO2, O2,T, P) Pump 2B 400/401 (NO/O2) 2B 205 (O3) PID 102+ (VOC) 1.2 L/min 0.05 L/min 3 L/min 5 L/min 5 L/min 1 L/min 0.16 L/min 0.5 L/min 1.8 L/min 1.0 L/min PM2.5 impactor 0.7 L/min 14.95 L/min 4.56 L/min Grimm 1.108 OPC (Size distribution 0.3-25 µm) Magee AE51 (BC) Teflon Quartz + Citric acid TSI CPC 3007 (Concentration 0.01-1 µm) Batteries PP Sys (CO2) Figure 6. Configuration of the In-Plume sampling system as deployed for prescribed burning measurements (adapted from Wang et al., [2012]). Commercial 12V deep-cycle marine batteries were used to power the entire system, which consisted of three heavy-duty storage boxes loaded on a pickup truck for transportation before, during and after a burn experiment. Data from the real-time instruments were sent to a data acquisition/archive computer in digital format via RS232 or USB communication ports. A LabView (National Instruments, Austin, TX) program controls the instruments and displays data for on-site inspection (Watson et al., 2012). 2-5 Table 3. Specifications of continuous monitors included in the In-Plume system for measuring prescribed burning emissions during the LTB field study. Monitoring System CO2 analyzers; Model SBA-4 (PP Systems, Amesbury, MA) Observables CO2 Measurement Range 0–100,000 0–50,000 0–5,000 ppm Data Rate 1.5 sec 1 sec 1 sec +/- 1% of reading 1 sec ±20% 1 sec ±0.100 μg BC/m3 for 1 min avg., at 150 cm3/min flow rate 1 sec ±20% (for calibration aerosol) 6 sec ±2.5% 0-2000 ppbv 1 sec ±3% 1-250 ppm 2 sec ±2% 0–500 ppm CO2 0–50% vol. NO 0–3,000 ppm NO2 0–500 ppm SO2 0–5,000 ppm O2 0–25% vol. Total UV-ionizable Photoionization compounds detector; 0.1–3000 ppm (isobutylene Model 102+ (PID Analyzers LLC, Pembroke, MA) equivalent) Condensation Particle Size: >10 nm PM number Counter; Number: 0–100,000 concentration Model 3007 ( TSI Inc., /cm3 Shoreview, MN) Micro-aethalometer; Model AE51 (Magee Scientific, Berkeley, CA) Black carbon (BC) concentration CO2: <1% of span concentration CO: < 2 ppm (0–39.9 ppm) < 5% of measured value (mv; ≥40 ppm) CO2: ±0.3% vol.+1% of mv (0–25% vol.) ±0.5% vol. +1.5% of mv (> 25% vol.) NO: < 2 ppm (0–39.9 ppm) < 5% of mv (40–300 ppm) NO2: < 5 ppm (0–99 ppm) < 5% of mv (>99 ppm) SO2: < 5 ppm (0–99 ppm) < 5% of mv (100–2,000 ppm) < 10% of mv (2,001–5,000 ppm) O2: <0.2% of mv CO Emission Analyzer; Model 350 S (Testo Inc., Sparta, NJ) Nominal Precision/Accuracy 0–1 mg BC/m3 for 15-min avg. at 50 cm3/min flow rate PM mass Size: ~ 0.1–15 µm concentration (PM1, Mass: 0.001–150 Model 8534 (TSI Inc., PM2.5, PM4, PM10, Shoreview, MN) mg/m3 and PM15) Size: 0.3–25 µm in Optical Particle 15 channels Counter; Particle size Number: 0.001– Model 1.108 (Grimm distribution 2,000/cm3 Aerosol Technik GmbH & Mass: 0.0001–100 Co., KG, Ainring, Germany) mg/m3 DustTrak DRX; NO/NO2/NOx analyzer; Model 400 &401 (2B Tech., Boulder, CO) NO/NO2/NOx Ozone analyzer; Model 205 (2B Tech., Boulder, CO) O3 2-6 The In-Plume system contains four channels for integrated filter sampling. Two channels were used during the field measurements with filter configurations identical to those of ambient MiniVol sampling (Figure 5). The sampling duration was typically 1–2 hours and 3–4 samples were acquired for each burn event. These samples were refrigerated (<4°C) before submitting to laboratory for analysis of PM2.5 mass, elements, water-soluble ions, ammonia, and OC and EC concentrations following the same protocol for analyzing ambient samples. The in-plume system was generally located downwind just a few meters outside of the fire perimeter. It might be moved to better capture the smoke if the prevailing wind direction changed during sampling, as in the case of the SKY burn. In the cases (SKY, DSP, and CLC) where the fire perimeter was accessible by vehicle, the In-Plume system stayed on the truck throughout the burn (Figure 7[a]). For the TNC burn, parts of the system were carried to the fire perimeter separately and then assembled for sampling (Figure 7[b]). Due to quickly varying local wind directions, the In-Plume system was not always in the plume, resulting in some pollutant concentrations of nearly background levels. These data were excluded from analysis of smoke properties. (b) (a) Figure 7. In-Plume measurements of prescribed burning smoke for (a) DSP and (b) TNC burn with different accessibility. The fuel-based emission factors (EFs) were calculated following Nelson (1982), Andreae and Merlet (2001), and Chen et al. (2007): (2) where : • • EFi: emission factor of pollutant i (e.g., g/kg) i: concentration of pollutant measured above background levels (e.g., µg/m3) 2-7 • CMFfuel: carbon mass fraction of dry fuel • CMFi: carbon mass fraction of species i, including CO2, CO, VOCs, and PM2.5. The combustion efficiency (CE), defined as the fraction of carbon in the fuels ending up in CO2, would be calculated by: (3) while the modified combustion efficiency (MCE) that ignores VOCs and PM terms is used more commonly in the literature, thus: (4) where xco2 and xco is the mixing ratio of CO2 and CO, respectively, in the plume. VOCs were subject to a higher measurement uncertainty than CO2, CO, and PM. Since the contribution of VOCs to carbon is generally minor, the VOCs term in Eqs. (2) and (3) was ignored. Chen et al. (2010) suggested that CMFfuel of 0.49 is reasonable for a mixture of forest fuels in the LTB, and filter analysis (see Chapter 3) showed an average CMFPM of 0.58. Background concentrations were determined before the burn and subtracted from the in-plume measurements. Except for CO2, background levels were negligible compared with the levels in the plume. EFi, CE, and MCE can be calculated for each minute (i.e., 1-min average) during a burn as well as the filter integrating periods. The carbon-balance theory assumes a well-mixed plume so that measurements made at one point is representative of the whole plume with respect to smoke chemical composition (Nussbaum et al., 2009). As observed in the field, real-world prescribed burns deviate from the assumption owing to variable burn phases across the burn plot, e.g., a part of the plot is in flaming phase while the others in smoldering phase. Nonetheless, these measurements evaluate the range of emission factors and combustion efficiencies that can be compared with laboratory results and default emission model parameters. 2.3 Laboratory Combustion Experiment In addition to the field In-Plume measurements, emissions from combustion of the LTB piled fuels were examined in the laboratory. Experiments used DRI’s 8-m3 combustion chamber equipped with both online and time-integrated measurements (Figure 8). Instrument intake ports were located approximately 20 cm from the top of the chamber in the exhaust duct. Exhaust fan speeds in the vent duct was adjusted to provide 1 m3/min of dilution air into the chamber. At this dilution rate, smoke was rapidly cooled to room temperature. Measured parameters generally coincided with those of the In-Plume system (Table 3). Fuels tested were collected from pre-burned piles in a plot on the east side of Lake Tahoe. They mainly consisted of Ponderosa pine branches, needles, and cones naturally dried for a few months after they were slashed. Each experiment burned 100‒200 grams of fuels. The combustion efficiencies and fuel-based emission factors were calculated following Eqs. (2)-(4). 2-8 Figure 8. The 8 m3 combustion chamber with a typical sample burn and a schematic of the experimental configuration with online and time-integrated measurements. The Potential Aerosol Mass (PAM) flow reactor was not applied in this study. 2.4 Fire Emission and Dispersion Simulation For a prescribed burn event to be simulated, the burn records, most importantly ignition time, burn size, and burn duration, were obtained from field observations (for SKY, DSP, TNC, and CLC) and/or records of fire protection agencies and air districts. These data served as inputs to the FEPS model to estimate fuel consumption, emission, and heat release by the burn. The FEPS provides a flexible interface for updating burn parameters including burn type (e.g., understory or pile), fuel load, and moisture content when additional information is available. Since only a limited number of burns were observed in this study, fuel loading was primarily determined by matching the burn plot with the FCCS map (1 km × 1 km resolution) for the continental U.S., supplemented by the SMP of fire agencies. The SMPs were especially important for slash-pile burns. They often, though not always, provided information such as fire shape (e.g., rate of progress), ignition time, and fuel moisture content. Based on the fuel information and user supplied hourly burned area, the FEPS calculated fuel consumption by FLA, STS, and LTS phases. Flaming combustion with high CE produces relatively complete oxidation converting fuel carbon to CO2, while smoldering smoke contains higher fractions of partially reduced compounds such as CO, VOCs, and PM (Crutzen and Andreae, 1990). Dynamic EFs, modulated by CE (i.e., based on the consumption rate [CR] of FLA, STS, and LTS at each hour), are used to determine the hourly emission rates: (5) CRtotal,j = CRFLA,j + CRSTS,j + CRLTS,j (6) ERi,j = CRtotal,j × EFi,j = CRtotal,j ×(ai – bi × CEj) Where: 2-9 (7) • CRj: fuel consumption rate (e.g., kg/hr) at hour j • CEj: combustion efficiency at hour j • kFLA, kSTS, and kLTS: FLA, STS, and LTS combustion efficiency coefficient, respectively (default kFLA = 0.9, kSTS = 0.76, and kLTS = 0.76). • ERi,j: emission rate of pollutant i at hour j (e.g., g/hr) • EFi,j: emission factor of pollutant i at hour j (e.g., g/kg) • ai, bi: emission factor constant and coefficient for pollutant i (default ai = 67.4 g/kg and bi = 66.8 g/kg for PM2.5). Outputs from FEPS also include hourly heat release (kJ/hr) from the fire, which is useful for calculating the plume height: Qj = CRtotal,j × CEj × BEj × EEj (8) Where: • Qj: heat release (e.g., kJ/hr) at hour j • CEj: combustion efficiency at hour j • BEj: buoyant efficiency at hour j • EEj: entrainment efficiency at hour j With the predicted hourly emission file(s) from FEPS, HYSPLIT calculated plume dispersion and determined 3-D distributions of air pollutants on an hourly basis. Advection and diffusion calculations are made in a Lagrangian framework and concentrations are calculated on a fixed grid (Draxler and Hess, 1997). The dispersion of a pollutant can be calculated by assuming either puff or particle dispersion, while a mixed mode of top-hat horizontal puff and vertical particle distribution was used in this study. This approach takes advantage of the greater accuracy of the particle mode in vertical dispersion parameterization. It also expands the number of puffs to represent pollutant distribution as the spatial coverage of the pollutant increases over time (Draxler and Hess, 1998). Each prescribed fire was simulated as a point source centered at the burn area typically of 2 to 100 acres, with hourly PM2.5 emission rates from FEPS. The plume rise was computed assuming an air parcel’s rise based on the buoyancy terms (Briggs, 1969; Arya, 1999) using the fire heat release provided by the FEPS. This approach is generally compatible with the U.S. Forest Service’s BlueSky smoke modeling framework (Larkin et al., 2009). The steep mountain terrain around the LTB influences smoke plume transport; therefore, meteorological data with fine temporal and spatial resolution, is critical for dispersion modeling. To provide adequate space and time characterization of an air parcel, hourly 2 km x 2 km resolution meteorological forecasts generated by the WRF model was acquired from the Climate Ecosystems and Fire Applications (CEFA) group at Desert Research Institute (DRI). Fortran conversion programs, available at http://ready.arl.noaa.gov/HYSPLIT_data2arl.php, converted WRF data to the HYSPLIT compatible format. A batch script configured to run in UNIX 2-10 automatically converted hourly forecasts updated every 00Z and 12Z (GMT) for April-December 2011 and May-August 2012. The WRF (Lu et al., 2012) employed the Lambert Conformal map projection centered at 38N, 121W and consists of three nested grids. The outermost grid (18 km horizontal resolution, 186 186 31 grid cells) covered the western U.S., parts of Mexico/Canada, and the eastern Pacific. For this study, the innermost grid (2 km horizontal resolution, 487 535 31 grid cells) covering California and Nevada boundaries was used. Twice daily forecasts were initialized using the National Centers for Environmental Prediction Eta model 00/12 UTC forecast outputs (40-km horizontal resolution) at 7AM/PM PST. Forecasted data closest to prescribed fire start time was used for dispersion modeling. Even with precise parameterization of emission rates, the forecasted PM2.5 concentrations are subject to large uncertainties due to insufficient wind field resolution and estimated sub-grid motion. The model’s performance is sensitive to the low-level wind profile (for boundary layer trajectories), the vertical mixing coefficients (for air concentrations), and the interaction of the vertical pollutant distribution. These are related to how well the vertical atmospheric structure could be reproduced, either in the meteorological fields of the input data driving the calculations, or in the parameterizations used to estimate pollutant vertical mixing (for more detail about HYSPLIT model see Draxler and Hess, 1997). Another cause of error in determining plume transport and impact at a monitoring site is due to ignition times as an estimated start time was usually given, but the actual start time could vary by a few hours depending on operational considerations. Simulations in this study assess whether particles from a prescribed burn are transported to the monitoring site(s), though the model forecasted PM2.5 concentrations may not be accurate. In some cases, the prescribed burning impact is evident as a downwind site showing clear deviation from the normal PM2.5 levels and/or when multiple sites show concurrent pollution signals. A time series analysis of ambient PM2.5 concentrations is given in Chapter 3. Prescribed burning records identify episodes possibly caused by prescribed fires for case studies in Chapter 5, where modeled and measured PM2.5 concentrations are compared. The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on board the Terra and Aqua satellites offers another method of detecting fires and their impacts, especially for largescale wildfires. The MODIS fire product is based on thermal signatures (Giglio, 2010). Whenever the MODIS detects a "hot spot," it flags the signal's location in the data set. Under near-ideal conditions - nadir (straight-down) view with no clouds in the way, not too much smoke, relatively cool background terrain for comparison, etc. - the product can detect fires as small as 50 m2. Under typical circumstances, the algorithm can detect a fire about the size of a quarter acre, though the size of the fire may not be estimated for burns of <100 acres. 2-11 3 3.1 Summary of Ambient PM2.5 Monitoring Meteorology and Wildfires The fall 2011 observing period (September–November 2011) featured above average temperatures and below average precipitation in western Nevada, leading to presumably dry fuel conditions. Combined with the abundance of vegetation growth due to an abnormally wet spring in 2011 and sufficient ignition sources, it led to an active wildfire season (Nevada Climate Office, 2012). Sierra snow fall was below historical norms. No measureable snowfall accumulation was noted with early October storms at South Lake Tahoe. The first snowfall in the basin was recorded starting 11/3/2011. Major wildfires within 160 km of Lake Tahoe included the Yosemite Motor Fire (8/25–9/4/2011) and Buckeye Fire (9/25–27/2011). In November, the Reno metropolitan area, 40 km northeast of the Tahoe basin, experienced the worst urban wildfire (i.e., Caughlin Fire, 11/18– 21/2011) in state history, when a pre-frontal wind event arced power lines due to broken tree limbs. This sparked a blaze that spread quickly with winds gusting to 80 miles per hour, scorching more than 2,000 acres and 29 structures in southwest Reno. Following one of the driest winters in Nevada’s history, RH and precipitation in the spring-summer 2012 observing period (May–July 2012) were well below average. The extreme drought in the Sierra Nevada continued into the early summer with above-normal temperatures. Prescribed burns were held off for the most part. Major wildfires within 200 km of Lake Tahoe included Topaz Ranch Estate Fire (5/20-23/2012) and Robbers Fire (7/11-20/2012). Several wildfires occurred later in August–September 2012. Table 4 summarizes the meteorological conditions of the six observing months. Table 4. Meteorological conditions in the Lake Tahoe Basin for the fall 2011 and spring/summer 2012 observing periods (data from South Lake Tahoe Airport). 9/2011 10/2011 11/2011 5/2012 6/2012 7/2012 Mean Temp. (°C) 14.9 8.9 3.3 9.3 12.6 16.4 Mean Dew Point Temp. (°C) 3.3 -0.2 -6.8 -2.8 0.0 3.9 Mean Daily Precipitation (mm Rain or Snow) 0.31 1.10 0.62 0.11 0.39 0.34 Mean Wind (m/s) 1.5 1.9 2.6 1.9 2.4 1.6 1005 1004 1003 1001 1000 1002 Parameters\Month Mean Pressure (MSL, mbar) 3.2 PM2.5 Concentration, Diurnal Variation, and Episodes DustTraks reported 1-min averaged PM2.5 concentrations at Tahoe City, Bliss State Park, South Lake Tahoe, Cave Rock (starting in October 2011), and Incline Village for the fall 2011 observing period. Missing data occurred occasionally due to unstable power supply, which was later mitigated by the installation of an uninterrupted power system at each site. In addition, some DustTraks were not available for the Tahoe City and Cave Rock sites during 9/14-28/2011. Filters provided weekly PM2.5 mass measurements. Figure 9(a) compares PM2.5 concentrations from the DustTraks with collocated filter data for respective integrated periods. Despite a good correlation (R2=0.92), DustTraks overestimated PM2.5 concentrations. A calibration curve was established using quadratic instead of linear 3-1 regression to achieve a better correlation coefficient (Figure 9[a]). The regression constant was set to zero since all the DustTraks were zeroed frequently using a HEPA filter throughout the sampling period. Hereafter all discussions for year 2011 are based on DustTrak data corrected with this calibration curve. The corrected DustTrak PM2.5 at the Bliss State Park agrees well with independent 24-hr PM2.5 measurements taken independently as part of the IMPROVE network, i.e., linear regression slope and correlation (R2) of 1.02 and 0.87, respectively (Figure 9[b]). A non-zero intercept (0.63 µg/m3) may result from IMPROVE samples being subtracted for organic sampling artifact. The organic sampling artifact was determined from the backup filters collected at selected IMPROVE sites (Chow et al., 2010), and is most likely overestimated for Bliss, a relatively clean site. Similar calibration results were found for 2012 (Figure 9[c]-[d]), though correlations between DustTrak DRX and filter PM2.5 are slightly lower, likely due to seasonal variation over a longer monitoring period. 10 y = 0.06x2 + 1.32x R²= 0.92 25 Corrected DustTrak PM2.5 (µg/m3) Uncorrected DustTrak PM2.5 (µg/m3) 30 20 15 10 2011 5 0 y = 1.02x + 0.63 R²= 0.87 8 6 4 2011 2 0 0 5 10 MiniVol Time Integrated PM2.5 (µg/m3) 15 0 (a) 10 (b) 30 10 Corrected DustTrak DRX PM2.5 (µg/m3) Uncorrected DustTrak DRX PM2.5 (µg/m3) 2 4 6 8 IMPROVE PM2.5 at Bliss (µg/m3) y = 0.03x2 + 1.56x R²= 0.85 25 20 15 10 2012 5 0 0 5 10 MiniVol Time Integrated PM2.5 (µg/m3) y = 0.92x + 0.10 R²= 0.81 8 6 4 2012 2 0 0 15 (c) 2 4 6 8 IMPROVE PM2.5 at Bliss (µg/m3) 10 (d) Figure 9. Comparison of original and corrected DustTrak data with collocated (a, c) MiniVol and (b, d) IMPROVE PM2.5 measurements. Only DustTrak data that covers >75% of the integrated sampling periods were included. The corrections in (b)/(d) are based on regression curves from (a)/(c). See Table 1 for the sampling periods in 2011 and 2012. Incline Village data from 2012 were excluded. 3-2 PM2.5 (µg m-3) Time series of 24-hr average DustTrak data for 2011 are shown in Figure 10, along with MiniVol and IMPROVE PM2.5 (at Bliss only) concentrations. Large day-to-day variability often occurred within the weeklong MiniVol samples. The highest 24-hr PM2.5 of 16.1 µg/m3 was recorded at the South Lake Tahoe site on 11/9/2011; well below the NAAQS standard of 35 µg/m3. Concurrent PM2.5 concentrations at other sites were <5 µg m-3, indicating a localized event. A few cross-the-basin episodes were identified, such as 9/9–10/2011, when Tahoe City, South Lake Tahoe, and Incline Village all reported 12–13 µg/m3 PM2.5 concentrations, and Bliss reported 9 µg/m3, over 2.5 times higher than the average level of 3.7±2.5 µg/m3 at the site. Similar episodes include 8/26–27/2011, 9/2–4/2011, and 10/12/2011 (Figure 10). During 9/27– 29/2011, Bliss recorded the highest PM2.5 concentration, up to ~16 µg/m3, within the basin. This is unusual considering the absence of sources around the site. This episode is consistent in time with the Buckeye Fire originating from Humboldt County, California, ~100 km south of the LTB. Smoke from the fire was seen in the Truckee Meadows (i.e., Reno and Sparks, Nevada) on 9/27/2011 (see http://www.kolotv.com/home/headlines/130597048.html). Tahoe City 30 20 10 0 PM2.5 (µg m-3) 8/1 30 8/8 8/15 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31 11/7 11/14 11/21 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31 11/7 11/14 11/21 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31 11/7 11/14 11/21 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31 11/7 11/14 11/21 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31 11/7 11/14 11/21 Bliss State Park 20 10 0 PM2.5 (µg m-3) 8/1 30 8/8 8/15 8/22 South Lake Tahoe 20 10 0 PM2.5 (µg m-3) 8/1 8/8 8/15 Cave Rock 30 20 10 0 PM2.5 (µg m-3) 8/1 30 8/8 8/15 Incline Village 20 10 0 8/1 8/8 8/15 8/22 Figure 10. 24-hr averaged PM2.5 measured by DustTrak at five sites in LTB for 2011 (8/1/2011– 11/22/2011). Missing data are left blank. Also shown in the figure are time-integrated MiniVol (weekly, black ba r) and IMPROVE (24-hr, green dot) PM2.5 concentrations. Basin-wide episodes are marked by vertical dotted lines (red). No exceedances to the 24-hr PM2.5 NAAQS of 35 µg/m3 were observed. 3-3 PM2.5 (µg m-3) Figure 11 shows the time series of 24-hr averaged DustTrak data for the 2012 springsummer burning season along with MiniVol and IMPROVE PM2.5 (at Bliss State Park site only) concentrations. The highest 24-hr PM2.5 of 13.5 µg/m3 was recorded at Cave Rock on 8/23/2012. Concurrent PM2.5 concentrations at other sites were also relatively high (>10 µg/m3), indicating a basin-wide event. The Ponderosa Fire (8/18-31/2012) and a few smaller wildfires were recorded in Northern California during this period with smoke potentially impacting the LTB. The Cave Rock site also recorded highest concentrations (>10 µg/m3) within the LTB on 6/1, 7/3, and 7/4/2012 that warrant further investigations. The IMPROVE network recorded a high value (13.6 µg/m3) at the Bliss State Park on 7/23/2012; concurrent DustTrak data was not available. Records indicate that a fire burning in the Gardnerville area brought smoke into the LTB during 7/22-23/2012 (http://www.laketahoenews.net/2012/07/gardnerville-area-fire-brings-smoke-intotahoe-basin/). South Lake Tahoe generally recorded PM2.5 concentrations lower than those in late fall of 2011, which were likely influenced by RWC as home heating demands increased. Tahoe City 30 20 10 0 PM2.5 (µg m-3) 5/1 30 5/8 5/15 5/22 5/29 6/5 6/12 6/19 6/26 7/3 7/10 7/17 7/24 7/31 8/7 8/14 8/21 8/28 5/29 6/5 6/12 6/19 6/26 7/3 7/10 7/17 7/24 7/31 8/7 8/14 8/21 8/28 5/29 6/5 6/12 6/19 6/26 7/3 7/10 7/17 7/24 7/31 8/7 8/14 8/21 8/28 5/29 6/5 6/12 6/19 6/26 7/3 7/10 7/17 7/24 7/31 8/7 8/14 8/21 8/28 5/29 6/5 6/12 6/19 6/26 7/3 7/10 7/17 7/24 7/31 8/7 8/14 8/21 8/28 Bliss State Park 20 10 0 PM2.5 (µg m-3) 5/1 30 5/8 5/15 5/22 South Lake Tahoe 20 10 0 PM2.5 (µg m-3) 5/1 5/8 5/15 5/22 Cave Rock 30 20 10 0 PM2.5 (µg m-3) 5/1 30 5/8 5/15 5/22 Incline Village 20 10 0 5/1 5/8 5/15 5/22 Figure 11. 24-hr averaged PM2.5 measured by DustTrak at five sites in the LTB for 2012 (5/1/2012– 8/31/2012). Missing data are left blank. Also shown in the figure are time-integrated MiniVol (weekly, black bar) and IMPROVE (24-hr, green dot) PM2.5 concentrations. Basin-wide episodes are marked by vertical dotted lines (red). No exceedances to the 24-hr PM2.5 NAAQS of 35 µg/m3 were observed. 3-4 Site-specific diurnal variations of PM2.5 are examined between 8/1/2011 and 11/22/2011 and between 5/4/2012 and 8/31/2012. These are based on all valid hourly data which contain at least 45 minutes (75%) of data. The middle 50-percentile (i.e., 25 [Q1]–75 [Q3]%) of data, i.e., the interquartile range (IQR), define the “typical” or “baseline” condition. The IQRs are controlled by cyclic (diurnal) sources/sinks, such as morning/afternoon rush-hour traffic emissions, RWC in the evening, and turbulent mixing in the afternoon. The extended range of the data is determined by “Q1 – 1.5IQR” and “Q3 + 1.5IQR.” Data outside the extended range are considered outliers. Outliers are expected to be caused by unusual, non-repeatable events such as wildfires, prescribed burning, dust storm, accidents, etc. The diurnal range and outliers, by site, are shown in Figure 12. This analysis helps identify noticeable episodes related to prescribed burns around the LTB. Tahoe City (Aug-Nov/2011) Tahoe City (May-Aug/2012) 252 253 253 253 239 15 10 271 271 253 293 213213 253 295 253253 213 253293 286 213 213213213 238239 293 238 238 293 298 252 252 252 253 213239239 213 252 272272 239 271 14 252252 252 291 291 238 -3 -3 PM2.5 ( g m ) 253 PM2.5 ( g m ) 20 186 16 252 252 294 298 237 237 298 292 292 294237 292291 12 10 8 154 154154 154 140140 140 140137 137 140 195 140195 137 154137 195 195 140 153 153 189 181 153194194 194 194195 139139 195195 194195 139 195 139 195 195 195 195169 153 139 6 4 5 2 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324 Hour of Day Hour of Day (a) (b) Figure 12. Boxplots based on hourly DustTrak data showing diurnal variations of PM2.5 by site for the 2011 and 2012 monitoring periods. Hour of day corresponds to Pacific Standard Time (PST). Circles indicate the medians and boxes show the interquartile range (IQR). Whiskers extend to the most extreme data points not considered outliers, and outliers, i.e., data outside [Q1 – 1.5IQR, Q3 + 1.5IQR], are plotted individually as red crosses. Julian days in the year corresponding to the outliers are also marked. DustTrak DRX at Incline Village appeared to have been influenced by ambient temperature during 2012, so the measurements are not reliable. Note that only three hourly outliers at the South Lake Tahoe site on Julian Days 271 and 306 exceed 35 µg/m3. 3-5 Bliss State Park (Aug-Nov/2011) Bliss State Park (May-Aug/2012) 236236 236236 236 236 272 272 272 272 30 15 -3 PM2.5 ( g m ) 272 -3 PM2.5 ( g m ) 25 20 15 272272272 272 272 272 239 305 10 239239 239 240 238 239 240 238238 239239 239 240 240 239239 285 285 272 272 321 272 239 238 297 304 238 297 238 285 303 237 320 237237 237 272 297301 292 301 292 10 140199 137 211 235235 156 236 236236 209 235 236 211 185 236 209 228 230 236 186 230 230 228228 140 228 235 152 228 230 131228 235 139139 236 131131 230 195 139139139 135 131 140140 228139139 137 230 131 5 5 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324 Hour of Day Hour of Day (c) (d) South Lake Tahoe (Aug-Nov/2011) 314 314 300 306302306 271 300 306 313313 312 303 314 300 285 297 314 303 313 313 317 301 303 314 311302 312 -3 PM2.5 ( g m ) 30 25 20 15 10 272 314 315 304 313303 299301 313 313 317 253 253 312 272 253 253 295 317 301 156 156 186 15 186 173 -3 272 173 271 271 PM2.5 ( g m ) 306 35 South Lake Tahoe (May-Aug/2012) 317 311 297 272272 314 252252 307312 272 239 313 317 239 296 297 301 304239 252 303 239 252 316 272 271252 271 272 272 253 252 272 307 239 252 253307 253 254253 238 254 313 271254 254252 253 238 229302 253 314 187 134 195 169 168 140186 10 5 5 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324 Hour of Day Hour of Day (e) (f) Figure 12. (Continued). 3-6 Cave Rock (Oct-Nov/2011) 30 Cave Rock (May-Aug/2012) 321 25 25 236 236 297 306 297 304 304 304 304 291 301301 303 321 303 301 306 307 301 303301320 301 321 321 15 321 10 304 302 305302 302302 302 236 236 5 235 236 236 -3 20 20 PM2.5 ( g m ) -3 PM2.5 ( g m ) 297 235 235 235 236 236 236 236 236 236 15 187186 187186 187187187 186 186 154154 228 228 228 186 230 228228 186 153 186228 235 186 185 186 186 10 5 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324 Hour of Day Hour of Day (g) (h) Incline Village (Aug-Nov/2011) 30 306 15 10 271 271 253 253 239 253 270 304 271 239 238301301 253 301 238 238271 254 254254254253 307 156 50 40 -3 253 253 304 306 252 252 252 304 252 316304 252252252252 306 252 304 296 252 303 252 252 306 272272 314301316 272 316 304 303291 239 304 252 239 237 253 253 252 271 238271272 313 271 254 254 271 238239 254 254 253 PM2.5 ( g m ) -3 PM2.5 ( g m ) 25 20 Incline Village (May-Aug/2012) 5 30 235235 236236 236 236236236 20 10 0 235 236 236236167 236 166 230 236 230 230 230 131 230 137 137 168137137231 137135 135 135230 137135 137 137 166 168231 137231 168 168 135 135 137168 135168 165 135 136 135 135 165 168 231 133136136 136 168136 231 136136 165 140 230 154 154 131 161 134 132 140134 132 133 132 140131 139 144 132 165 131134 133 167 133 235 235 228228230 231 140 136136 136 167134 167 135 135 132 164 140 131 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101112131415161718192021222324 Hour of Day Hour of Day (i) (j) Figure 12. (Continued) For 2011 (Figure 13[a]), the traffic influences are most apparent at the Tahoe City site with distinguishable morning (0700–0900 PST) and evening (1600–1800 PST) rush hour peaks. For the South Lake Tahoe site, another urban site, the same morning peak is visible but the evening peak appears to delay until 2000–2300 PST. This possibly reflects a combined effect of traffic emissions, commercial/entertainment activities (e.g., restaurants, casinos, etc.), and RWC during late fall. RWC, but not traffic, might also influence the Incline Village site. The Cave Rock site at lake level and the Bliss State Park site ~200 m above the lake without significant sources nearby served as the low and elevated background sites, respectively, for the LTB. The cold lake surface develops a strong (~10°C), shallow (~30 m) inversions throughout most of the 3-7 year (Cahill, 2009). While little diurnal variation of PM2.5 was observed at the Bliss State Park site, a mid-afternoon peak at the Cave Rock site is consistent with downward mixing by turbulence when PM2.5 concentrations aloft (e.g., 30 m) are higher than those near the surface. This has often been observed at rural sites where pollutants mostly result from transport and/or secondary aerosol formation (e.g., Chow et al., 2006a; Grivas et al., 2008). Figure 13(a) shows that PM2.5 levels were relatively uniform across the basin during 1200–1600 PST, suggesting extensive horizontal mixing besides vertical mixing in the afternoon. Figure 13 compares diurnal variations based on median hourly PM2.5 concentrations. May-Aug/2012 Aug-Nov/2011 20 20 Tahoe City Bliss State Park South Lake Tahoe Cave Rock Incline Village 15 PM2.5 (µg m-3) PM2.5 (µg m-3) 15 Tahoe City Bliss State Park South Lake Tahoe Cave Rock Incline Village 10 Basin-wide Mixing 5 10 5 0 0 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 Hour of Day 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 Hour of Day (a) (b) Figure 13. Diurnal variations of PM2.5 at five sites during: (a) 2011 and (b) 2012 monitoring periods, based on median hourly DustTrak data. The circle in (a) illustrates the basin-wide mixing period. Diurnal variations of PM2.5 in 2012 are generally weaker than those in 2011 (Figure 13[b]). This is likely due to a relatively uniform, both spatially and temporally, boundary layer in the LTB during the spring-summer observing period and lack of RWC emissions. The only exception at the Incline Village site is attributed to malfunction of the DustTrak DRX, which appears to have been influenced by ambient temperature at the site. It is striking that the Cave Rock site generally recorded the highest PM2.5 levels among the five sites, while the Bliss State Park site recorded the lowest. Increased emissions from traffic on Highway 50 and recreational boats at the pier related to tourist activities offer an explanation. Table 5 summarizes PM2.5 episodes that warrant further investigations, based on the outliers identified in Figure 12, along with the maximum 24-hr and 8-hr PM2.5 concentrations during the episodes and possible explanations. The LTB was frequently influenced by smoke from wildfires in California, Nevada, Oregon, and sometimes Idaho. The wildfire season typically starts from mid-July through mid-October. In 2011, DustTrak data corroborated the timelines of the Motor Fire, Salt Fire, Buckeye Fire, and Tamarack Fire, while the impact of the Buckeye Fire (9/27-29/2011, Julian Days 270-272) was most apparent. For 2012, the impact of the Ponderosa Fire in northern California (8/22-23/2012, Julian Days 235-236) was most obvious (Figure 11). Prescribed burns generally were not conducted during the wildfire season, except for 3-8 a small overlap in mid-October. Spring burns in 2012 were all called off according to the fire agencies’ reports due to unfavorable weather conditions. Therefore, impact assessment for prescribed burning has been focused on October and November of 2011. The Angora Fire (6/24–7/2/2007) was the largest wildfire within the LTB in the last decade, burning 3100 acres of forest south of Lake Tahoe (Safford et al., 2009). Since the Angora Fire, the Lake Tahoe Basin Management Unit (LTBMU) has been carrying out prescribed burns in the Angora area (Angora and Fallen Leaf Lakes) to reduce surface fuels and mitigate future fire danger. At least four such Angora burns were consistent in time with PM2.5 episodes (e.g., 10/12-13, 10/20-21, 11/2, and 11/16-17, 2011, see Table 5). The North Lake Tahoe Fire Protection Department (NLTFPD) and Nevada Division of Forestry (NDF) have consistently conducted small-scale (<10 acres) prescribed burns around the north shore of Lake Tahoe. Due to the proximity to the burn areas, Incline Village and Tahoe City may sometimes experience the smoke (e.g., 10/19-20 and 10/31, 2011). Prescribed burns on the western bank of Lake Tahoe had sometimes been carried out by LTBMU and CA State Park (CSP). The smoke could be transported northeast impacting Tahoe City and Incline Village (e.g., 10/18 and 11/1617, 2011). Besides wildfire and prescribed burning, PM2.5 episodes might be caused by traffic and/or RWC under a “very” calm, stagnant condition (i.e., little winds) as well as special events such as the July 4th firework (e.g., 7/3-5, 2012). Table 5. Summary of PM2.5 episodes in the 2011 and 2012 observing periods (according to outliers in Figure 12) and potential causes based on fire and meteorological records. Episode Month/Days Sites Impacted (with hourly outliers) Max 24-hr PM2.5 (µg/m3) Max 8-hra PM2.5 (µg/m3) Remarks 2011 (August–November) 8/1 (JD213) 8/17 8/25-28 Tahoe City South Lake Tahoe Incline Village, Tahoe City, Bliss, and South Lake Tahoe Incline Village, Tahoe City, and South Lake Tahoe Incline Village, Tahoe City, Bliss, and South Lake Tahoe Tahoe City, Bliss, and South Lake Tahoe 11.4 4.1 9.7 9.8 5.4 10.5 12.9 16.1 16.0 12.8 Buckeye Fire (Humboldt County, California) 10.3 7.5 7.5 6.0 10/19 Incline Village, Tahoe City, and Cave Rock Tahoe City and Bliss Tamarack Fire (Mariposa County, California) near Yosemite National Park. Prescribed burns near South Lake Tahoe (Angora) and Incline Village Prescribed burns near Tahoe City 8.4 6.8 10/20-21 Tahoe City 9.1 7.8 9/9-11 9/27-29 10/12-13 10/18 3-9 Prescribed burns near Tahoe City Motor Fire (Mariposa County, California) near Yosemite National Park Salt Fire (Salmon-Challis Forest, Idaho) Prescribed burns near Incline Village Prescribed burns near Incline Village (TNC, see Fig. 4) and South Lake Tahoe (Angora) Table 5. (Continued) Episode Days Sites Impacted (with hourly outliers) Max 24-hr PM2.5 Max 8-hra PM2.5 (µg/m3) (µg/m3) Remarks 10/23 Incline Village 7.3 6.3 10/24 Bliss, South Lake Tahoe, and Cave Rock Incline Village, Bliss, South Lake Tahoe, and Cave Rock Incline and South Lake Tahoe and Cave Rock 9.9 9.7 11.4 5.8 Prescribed burns near Incline Village. High RWC potential 12.2 4.0 Prescribed burns near South Lake Tahoe (Angora). High RWC potential Prescribed burns near South Lake Tahoe (Stateline and Kingsbury) and Truckee, CA. High RWC potential Veterans Day weekend. High RWC potential Prescribed burns near Tahoe City, South Lake Tahoe (Angora), and Truckee, CA. High RWC potential 10/31 11/2 11/9-10 Incline Village and South Lake Tahoe 16.1 10.8 11/12 Incline Village and South Lake Tahoe Bliss and Cave Rock 5.9 2.9 7.6 6.0 11/16-17 Prescribed burns near Incline Village 2012 (May–August) 5/18-19 6/1-2 6/4 (JD156) 6/21 7/3-5 7/12-13 7/27 8/17 8/22-23 b Incline Village , Tahoe City, Bliss, and South Lake Tahoe Incline Villageb, Tahoe City, and Cave Rock Incline Villageb, Bliss, and South Lake Tahoe South Lake Tahoe Tahoe City, Bliss, South Lake Tahoe, and Cave Rock Tahoe City, Bliss, and South Lake Tahoe Bliss Incline Villageb, Bliss, and Cave Rock Incline Villageb, Bliss, and Cave Rock 7.9 7.3 Calm, low-wind conditions 11.1 10.7 Calm, low-wind conditions 5.6 5.8 7.7 12.8 10.1 11.5 Calm, low-wind conditions National Day celebration (fireworks) 8.8 9.5 Robbers Fire (Placer County, CA) 5.3 8.0 6.0 8.5 7.0 8.1 a Rush Fire (Lassen County, CA) Ponderosa Fire (Tehama and Shasta County, CA) and Chips Fire (Plumas County, CA) 1000-1800 PST, corresponding to the California 8-hr visibility standard for the Lake Tahoe Air Basin (U.S. EPA, 2005). b Large measurement uncertainty due to instrument malfunction. Values are not included in determining 24-hr and 8hr maximums. 3-10 It should be noted that the maximum 24-hr PM2.5 concentrations during these episodes were well below the NAAQS (35 µg/m3). Using the average PM2.5 mass extinction efficiency of 4.2 m2 g-1 at South Lake Tahoe (Green et al., 2012), the California 8-hr visibility standard is equivalent to a threshold of 16.7 µg m-3 PM2.5. No exceedances were observed, though some close levels coincided with potential impact of wildfires (e.g., 9/9-11/2011 and 9/27-29/2011). 3.3 PM2.5 Chemical Composition PM2.5 speciation measurements on weekly-averaged MiniVol filter samples were subject to Levels I and II data validation, including: 1) sampling flow rate and duration; 2) filter inspection; 3) elemental sulfur (S) versus water-soluble sulfate (SO42-); 4) elemental potassium (K) versus water soluble potassium ion (K+); 5) elemental chlorine (Cl) versus water soluble chloride (Cl-); 6) anion-cation balance; and 7) material balance (Louie et al., 2005). Most invalidated data resulted from power failure of the sampler(s). Valid data were then used for material balance based on the concentrations of major PM2.5 components including ammonium sulfate ([NH4]2SO4), ammonium nitrate (NH4NO3), organic matter (OM), elemental carbon (EC), fine soil, and salt by: [(NH4)2SO4] = 4.125 × [S] (9) [NH4NO3] = 1.29 × [NO3-] (10) [OM] = 1.4 × [OC] [Fine Soil] = 2.2 × [Al] + 2.49 × [Si] + 1.63 × [Ca] + 2.42 × [Fe] + 1.94 × [Ti] (11) [Sea Salt] = [Na+] + [Cl] (13) (12) Also, non-crustal potassium (nc-K), a surrogate of biomass burning, was calculated as: [nc-K] = [K] – 0.075 [Si] (14) according to a [K]/[Si] ratio of 0.075 in source profiles of local dusts (Kuhns et al., 2004). The nc-K agrees well with K+ concentration (i.e., [nc-K] = 1.037 [K+] + 0.005 µg/m3; R2 = 0.87). It can better serve as biomass burning marker due to missing/invalidated K+ data. Figure 14 shows the spatiotemporal variation of PM2.5 major components as well as gaseous NH3 concentrations. PM2.5 Species (µg m-3) Tahoe City 15 South Lake Tahoe TRPA Incline Village PM2.5 10 5 0 8/4/2011 8/25/2011 9/15/2011 10/6/2011 10/27/2011 (a) Figure 14. Spatiotemporal variation of PM2.5 components and gaseous NH3 in the LTB during the 2011 observing period. Horizontal bars indicate South Lake Tahoe concentrations as a benchmark. Concentrations are based on weekly speciation data for: (a) PM2.5, (b) ammonium sulfate, (c) ammonium nitrate, (d) OM, (e) EC, (f) fine soil, (g) salt, (h) non-crustal K (surrogate for biomass burning), and i) 3-11 NH3. Sampling sites: 1) Tahoe City, 2) South Lake Tahoe, 3) TRPA Stateline, 4) Incline Village. PM2.5 Species (µg m-3) 2.0 PM2.5 Species (µg m-3) 0.4 PM2.5 Species (µg m-3) 10 PM2.5 Species (µg m-3) 2.0 PM2.5 Species (µg m-3) Tahoe City 2.0 TRPA Incline Village Ammonium Sulfate 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 8/4/2011 (b) Tahoe City South9/15/2011 Lake Tahoe 8/25/2011 TRPA 10/6/2011 Incline Village 10/27/2011 Ammonium Nitrate 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 8/4/2011 (c) Tahoe City South9/15/2011 Lake Tahoe 8/25/2011 TRPA 10/6/2011 Incline Village 10/27/2011 TRPA 10/6/2011 Incline Village 10/27/2011 TRPA 10/6/2011 Incline Village 10/27/2011 10/6/2011 10/27/2011 OM 5 0 8/4/2011 (d) Tahoe City South Lake Tahoe 8/25/2011 9/15/2011 EC 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 8/4/2011 (e) (f) South Lake Tahoe Tahoe City South9/15/2011 Lake Tahoe 8/25/2011 Fine Soil 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 8/4/2011 8/25/2011 9/15/2011 Figure 14. Continued. 3-12 Tahoe City Tahoe City South Lake Tahoe South Lake Tahoe 0.2 2.0 TRPA TRPA Incline Village Incline Village PM2.5 Species (µg m-3) PM2.5 Species (µg m-3) SaltSoil Fine 1.5 0.1 1.0 Tahoe City South Lake Tahoe 8/25/2011 9/15/2011 8/25/2011 9/15/2011 PM2.5 Species (µg 0.0 8/4/2011 Gas Species (µg m-3) (h) (i) TRPA 10/6/2011 10/6/2011 non-Crustal K m-3) (g) 0.5 0.0 0.0 8/4/2011 8/4/2011 0.1 Tahoe City South9/15/2011 Lake Tahoe 8/25/2011 2.0 Incline Village 10/27/2011 10/27/2011 TRPA Incline Village 10/6/2011 10/27/2011 Ammonia 1.0 0.0 8/4/2011 8/25/2011 9/15/2011 10/6/2011 10/27/2011 Figure 14. Continued. Green et al. (2012) reported similar PM2.5 concentrations between urban and rural sites in in the LTB during summer (June–August). The urban increments of PM2.5 mass increased through fall to winter months. This is partly attributed to a more uniformly mixed boundary layer within the basin in summer and to higher RWC emissions from the urban neighborhoods in winter. For the fall 2011 observing period, the urban South Lake Tahoe site always recorded the highest weekly PM2.5 levels after September 1, followed by the Tahoe City site (Figure 14[a]). The spatial variation was not related to secondary inorganic aerosols as (NH4)2SO4 was relatively homogeneous across the basin (Figure 14[b]) and NH4NO3 concentrations were low (<0.25 µg/m3). There are no substantial sources of SO2, i.e., precursor of sulfate, in the LTB. Thereby, sulfate is transported into the basin, presumably by the prevailing westerly winds (Elliot-Fisk et al., 1997; Molenar et al., 1994). This explains occasionally high (NH4)2SO4 levels at the Tahoe City site, the westernmost site of the network. Before 10/27/2011, NH4NO3 concentrations were generally below 0.1 µg/m3. The increase of NH4NO3 during November corresponded to a decrease in gaseous NH3 concentration (see Figures 14[c] and [i]). Lower temperatures in late fall would promote NH4NO3 formation from NH3 and nitric acid (HNO3) (West et al., 1999). NOx, the major precursor of HNO3, mainly originated from mobile exhausts and biomass burning (Chen et al., 2012). A few elevated NH4NO3 events prior to the active RWC season, such as 9/8- 3-13 14/2011 at the Incline Village site and 9/29-10/5/2011 at the Tahoe City, South Lake Tahoe, and Incline Village sites coincided with the Salt Fire and Buckeye Fire, respectively. OM and EC are the dominant products of biomass burning (Chen et al., 2007; 2010). For OM, the spatial variability was minor prior to 10/27/2011 when RWC was insignificant, although higher concentrations always occurred at the South Lake Tahoe site (Figure 14[d]). Before 10/27/2011, OM concentrations at the Tahoe City and Incline Village sites differed from the South Lake Tahoe site by 3–34% and 11–51%, respectively. Major sources of OM besides RWC include mobile and wildfire emissions (Green et al., 2012), of which contributions are either relatively constant (for mobile emissions) or uniform (for wildfires far outside the basin). If these data contain periods where prescribed burning influenced only one of these sites, contributions from the prescribed burning would unlikely exceed 30–40% of OM on a weekly basis. After 10/27/2011, RWC might play an important role at the South Lake Tahoe site, though a number of prescribed burns were carried out in the basin through November 2011 (see Table 5 and Appendix A). The increase in OM concentrations largely explains the PM2.5 trend in Figure 14(a). EC spatiotemporal patterns follow closely to those of OM (Figure 14[e]), with a correlation coefficient (R2) of 0.81 between EC and OM. Concentrations of fine soil were higher at the Tahoe City site (Figure 14 [f]), consistent with the proximity of the site to a major road (NV-89). Green et al. (2012) suggest both local and regional dust sources in the basin, while local dust dominates during September-November. Figure 14(f) shows that fine soil concentrations at the TRPA and Incline Village sites were similar, likely representing the regional (background) dust levels. Salt concentrations were low (<< 0.1 µg/m3) except for the high values observed after 11/3/2011 at the South Lake Tahoe site (Figure 14[g]). The high levels were related to salting activities after snowfalls (note: the first snow in fall 2011 was reported on 11/3/2011). The nc-K concentration at the South Lake Tahoe site increased over time from August to November 2011 except for a few exceptions. Concentrations of nc-K at other sites were lower without clear trends (Figure 14[h]). The abnormally high nc-K at the Tahoe City site during 8/18-24/2011 may have been impacted by a local combustion event (e.g., prescribed burning on 8/17/2011). Average PM2.5 chemical composition for the fall of 2011 observing period is shown in Figure 15. Carbonaceous aerosol (OM + EC), the most dominant component, accounts for 4956% of PM2.5 mass. Higher PM2.5 concentration at the urban South Lake Tahoe site was expected to mostly result from OM (Green et al., 2012). However, the lower OM fraction in the South Lake Tahoe site than the Tahoe City and Incline Village sites (Figure 14[d]) signifies deviations from the conceptual model. It is possible that OM and EC are underestimated at the South Lake Tahoe site and TRPA sites due to variability in the particle size-cut inlet, as PM2.5 mass and OM were measured from different samplers. This also explains the large fractions of unidentified mass at these two sites and a negative correlation between mass fraction of OM and unidentified mass. The material balance is improved with a higher multiplier (e.g., 1.8) to convert OC to OM, as suggested by Pitchford et al. (2007). Fine soil and ammonium sulfate (derived from sulfur concentration) were quantified from the same Teflon-membrane filter as PM2.5 mass and therefore their mass fractions should be more accurate. 3-14 Tahoe City: avg measured PM 2.5 mass = 5.81 ug/m3 Incline Village : avg measured PM 2.5 mass = 4.12 ug/m3 10% 12% 18% 11% 0% Fine Soil 16% 0% Fine Soil Sea Salt Sea Salt 19% OM OM EC 1% EC Ammonium Nitrate Ammonium Sulfate 8% Unidentifed Mass Ammonium Nitrate Ammonium Sulfate 2% Unidentifed Mass 6% 50% 47% (a) (b) South Lake Tahoe: avg measured PM 2.5 mass = 7.46 TRPA: avg measured PM2.5 mass = 5.32 ug/m3 ug/m3 9% 11% 1% 1% 24% 24% 11% Fine Soil Fine Soil Sea Salt Sea Salt OM OM EC EC Ammonium Nitrate Ammonium Nitrate Ammonium Sulfate 45% 1% 45% 15% Unidentifed Mass Ammonium Sulfate Unidentifed Mass 7% 2% (c) 4% (d) Figure 15. PM2.5 chemical composition for the fall 2011 observing period for: (a) Tahoe City, CA, (b) Incline Village, NV, (c) South Lake Tahoe, CA, (d) TRPA Stateline, NV. 3-15 4 4.1 Characterization of Prescribed Burning Emissions Combustion Efficiency and Emission Factor This analysis is based on four prescribed burns listed in Table 2. One-minute average data from the In-Plume system was used for calculating real-time combustion efficiencies (CEs) and emission factors (EFs). In addition, 10 valid time-integrated filter samples were acquired (2, 4, 2, and 2 for the SKY, DSP, TNC, and CLC burns, respectively) for chemical speciation. The DustTrak PM2.5 data had been calibrated to the gravimetric PM2.5 mass measured on Teflonmembrane filters. Tunnel Creek Burn on 10/20/2011 (a) 800000 600000 400000 200000 0 11:55 1 0.9 0.8 Total C Measured C in CO2 CE 12:24 CE C Concentration (µg/m 3) Figure 16 shows the time series of In-Plume measurements for the TNC burn as an example. An initial flaming combustion phase was recognized during the first ~15 minutes of burning (1243-1300 PST), when CE generally exceeded 0.9 (Figure 16[a]) with the highest PM2.5 and BC concentrations measured. BC is known to be generated mostly from flaming combustion (Kuhlbusch and Crutzen, 1995; Chen et al., 2006). The EFPM2.5 during the period was below 30 g/kg and EFBC ranged 0.3–0.7 g/kg. Following the flaming phase was an approximately 30 minute transition period featuring CE of 0.8 to 0.9 with much higher EFPM2.5 (up to 90 g/kg). BC concentrations and EFs remained high, though there were apparently increasing influences of smoldering combustion. One hour after ignition, CE fluctuated between 0.75 and 0.85 with variable EFPM2.5 while EFBC decreased gradually to nearly zero (Figure 16[b]). The later period would be dominated by smoldering emissions (i.e., STS + LTS). The phase separation was not as clear for the other burns, probably due to a greater heterogeneity within the burn plot. 0.7 12:53 13:22 13:50 0.6 14:48 14:19 (b) 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 11:55 PM_2.5 BC x 10 EF_PM2.5 EF_BC x 10 12:24 12:53 13:22 13:50 14:19 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 14:48 PM Emission Factor (g/kg) PM Concentration (µg/m3) Time on 10/20/2011 Time on 10/20/2011 Figure 16. Time series of In-Plume measurements (1-min time resolution) during the Tunnel Creek (TNC) burn on 10/20/2011 for: a) carbon (i.e., C) concentrations and combustion efficiency (i.e., CEs) and b) PM2.5 concentrations and emission factors. Notes: Total C emission includes carbon in CO2, CO, and BC. Arrows indicate the ignition time. Flaming, transition, and smoldering phases are separated empirically (see text for details). All times are in PST. 4-1 9:58 9:59 10:00 10:01 10:02 10:03 10:04 10:05 10:06 10:07 10:08 10:09 10:10 10:11 10:12 10:13 10:14 10:15 10:16 10:17 10:18 10:19 10:20 CLC SKY 0.6-0.64 0.64-0.68 0.68-0.72 0.72-0.76 0.76-0.8 0.8-0.84 0.84-0.88 0.88-0.92 0.92-0.96 Pile Burns 0-0.6 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% >0.96 Frequency Histograms provide another means to characterize the burns. Figure 17 compares the distribution of 1-min CE for pile (CLC and SKY) and understory (DSP and TNC) burns using all In-Plume data above a threshold of smoke impact. The threshold is based on CO and PM2.5 concentrations, i.e., 0.43×[CO] + 0.58×[PM2.5] > 200 µg/m3C (carbon equivalent), which corroborates levels significantly higher than the background (~0.2 ppm for CO and 10 µg/m3 for PM2.5). Pile burns are dominated by high combustion efficiencies, e.g., CE > 0.92, consistent with a more complete combustion than understory burns. Despite this, low CE < 0.84 were observed during the CLC burn, showing some smoldering components. On the contrary, TNC was most often measured for CE between 0.80–0.84. Pre-chopped burn piles generally contained lower moisture contents than live understory vegetation, and it has been shown in the laboratory study that fuel moisture lowers CEs and increases EFs of pollutants such as CO and PM (Chen et al., 2010). Other effects to differentiate pile and understory burns include the fuel density and burn temperature. Piles are composed of compacted woody fuels with a higher fuel bulk density than those of the dispersed grass, shrub, woody, and litter surface fuels found in understory burn sites. The denser piled fuels generally lead to higher combustion temperatures and more thorough combustion. The CE distribution of DSP is broader, possibly due to a more complex fuel matrix. 0.6-0.64 DSP TNC 0.64-0.68 0.68-0.72 0.72-0.76 0.76-0.8 0.8-0.84 0.84-0.88 0.88-0.92 0.92-0.96 Underburns 0-0.6 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% >0.96 Frequency Combustion Efficiency (CE) Combustion Efficiency (CE) Figure 17. Distribution of 1-min CE during the CLC and SKY pile burns and the DSP and TNC prescribed burns. Only data points with [CO] + 0.58×[PM2.5] > 200 µg/m3C are included in the analysis to mitigate the influence of uncertainties on the baselines. This resulted in 107, 128, 193, and 121 data points for the CLC, SKY, DSP, and TNC burns, respectively. The EFCO directly reflects CE and MCE. Pile burns with relatively high CE show EFco of <100 g/kg (dry fuel) most of the time, while for understory burns EFco is often > 100 g/kg (Figure 18[a]). EFco of 100 g/kg roughly corresponds to a CE of 0.9, a threshold for flaming combustion (Chen et al., 2007). This confirms higher STS/LTS contributions during underburns. Emission factor of another criteria pollutant, EFNOx, depends on both CE and fuel N content. 4-2 Fuel N is mostly in reduced forms (e.g., protein and amino acid), and flaming combustion oxidizes N to NOx more efficiently due to a higher combustion temperature. The two understory burns appear to yield higher EFNOx (Figure 18[b]), possibly due to higher herbaceous, thus higher N, fractions in the fuels (Northup et al., 2005). Nitrogen gas (N2) is an important yet unquantified N product in addition to NOx from flaming combustion (Kuhlbusch et al., 1991; Chen et al., 2010). The partitioning between NOx and N2 contributes to the variability in observed EFNOx. Smoldering combustion emits more reduced forms of N, mainly in NH3 and organic particulate nitrogen but also small quantities of HCN, HONO, CH3CN, and HNCO (Burling et al., 2010). 60% CLC SKY Pile Burns 40% Frequency 20% 20% CO Emission Factor (g/kg) >5.5 5-5.5 4.5-5 4-4.5 3.5-4 3-3.5 2.5-3 2-2.5 NOx Emission Factor (g/kg) 60% 60% Underburns 40% DSP TNC Frequency 20% DSP TNC 20% CO Emission Factor (g/kg) >5.5 5-5.5 4.5-5 4-4.5 3.5-4 3-3.5 2.5-3 2-2.5 1.5-2 1-1.5 0-0.5 >550 500-550 450-500 400-450 350-400 300-350 250-300 200-250 150-200 100-150 0-50 0% 50-100 0% Underburns 40% 0.5-1 Frequency 1.5-2 1-1.5 0-0.5 >550 500-550 450-500 400-450 350-400 300-350 250-300 200-250 150-200 100-150 0-50 0% 50-100 0% CLC SKY Pile Burns 40% 0.5-1 Frequency 60% NOx Emission Factor (g/kg) (a) (b) Figure 18. Distribution of 1-min emission factors for: (a) CO and (b) NOx during the CLC and SKY pile burns as well as the DSP and TNC understory burns. Only data points with 0.43 × [CO] + 0.58 × [PM2.5] > 200 µg/m3C are included. This resulted in 107, 128, 193, and 121 data points for the CLC, SKY, DSP, and TNC burns, respectively. EFNOx are reported as gNO/kg dry fuel. The higher CE observed during the CLC burn (Figure 17[a]) is consistent with lower EFPM2.5, mostly <10 g/kg (Figure 19[a]), though some high values up to 137 g/kg were also recorded. Histogram of EFPM2.5 peaks at 20–30 g/kg for the CLC burn with a relatively narrow distribution. Higher EFPM2.5 (>40 g/kg) were nearly absent during the SKY burn but were found >10% and 30% of the time throughout the DSP and TNC burns, respectively. DSP also recorded some very low EFPM2.5 (<10 g/kg). Despite a wide distribution of EFPM2.5 for some of the burns, understory burns tend to emit more PM2.5 per unit of fuel consumed than pile burns. BC and/or EC are indicators for flaming combustion. The EFBC are low compared to laboratory studies. Chen et al. (2007; 2010) reported EFEC of 1-10 g/kg with higher values towards flaming combustion and dry plant leaves. Figure 19(b) shows that EFBC of >1 g/kg were rarely observed, except for the CLC burn, where 14% of EFBC were greater than 5 g/kg. There are two possibilities: 1) flaming smoke which contains most of BC (or EC) were not sampled by the In-Plume system due to rapid plume rises; and 2) inconsistency in BC and EC measurements result from the influence of brown carbon (BrC), a light absorbing OC enriched in biomass burning particles. Nonetheless, the field experiment results support a positive correlation of CE with EFBC. 4-3 PM2.5 Emission Factor (g/kg) >5.5 5-5.5 4.5-5 4-4.5 3.5-4 3-3.5 >5.5 5-5.5 DSP TNC 4.5-5 4-4.5 3.5-4 3-3.5 2.5-3 0-0.5 >110 100-110 80-90 90-100 70-80 60-70 50-60 40-50 30-40 20-30 0-10 10-20 0% 2-2.5 20% Underburns 1.5-2 DSP TNC 1-1.5 Underburns 0.5-1 Frequency 2.5-3 BC Emission Factor (g/kg) 60% 40% 2-2.5 0-0.5 >110 100-110 80-90 90-100 70-80 60-70 50-60 40-50 30-40 20-30 0-10 10-20 PM2.5 Emission Factor (g/kg) 1.5-2 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 0% CLC SKY Pile Burns 1-1.5 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 0.5-1 20% Frequency CLC SKY Pile Burns 40% Frequency Frequency 60% BC Emission Factor (g/kg) (a) (b) Figure 19. Distribution of 1-min emission factors for: (a) PM2.5 and (b) BC during the CLC and SKY pile burns and the DSP and TNC prescribed burns. Only data points with [CO] + 0.58 × [PM2.5] > 200 µg/m3C are included in the analysis. This resulted in 107, 128, 193, and 121 data points for the CLC, SKY, DSP, and TNC burns, respectively. EFPM2.5 is expected to be anti-correlated with CE since incomplete combustion produces higher PM emissions. The relationship should also depend on the fuel type (Janhall et al., 2010). As shown in Malamakal et al. (2013), the field measurements from SKY, DSP, and TNC prescribed burning events in 2011 show a wide range of EFPM2.5 for any measured CE. They can be bounded, however, between two extremes (Figure 20[a]). The default FEPS equation, Eq. (7), closely describes the lower bound EFPM2.5. The upper bound can be parameterized by using ai and bi of 431.8 and 429.7 g/kg, respectively, in Eq. (7), as derived from the highest 10th percentile data with respect to the EFPM2.5 / (1 - CE) ratio. Figure 20(b) shows a similar range of scattering in EFPM2.5 v.s. CE for the CLC burn in 2013, though data points are concentrated around CE of 0.9–1. As also shown in Figure 20, the FEPS default algorithm underestimates the observed PM2.5 emissions in most cases. The bias could be up to a factor of 6. A recent laboratory combustion study using the forest fuels from the LTB (Chen et al., 2010) highlights the sensitivity of EFPM2.5 to fuel moisture content. The EFPM2.5-CE relationship for wet fuels across several species (e.g., pines, bitterbrush, manzanita, etc.) and types (e.g., stems, leaves, duffs, etc.) in Chen et al. (2010) agrees better with the upper bound in Figure 20. For dry fuels (<10% moisture content), however, the relationship closely follows the lower bound in Figure 20 and FEPS estimates. Given that most laboratory studies focus on dried fuels (e.g., Hays et al., 2002; McMeeking et al., 2009), extrapolating the laboratory data to predict wildland fire emissions would require some positive adjustments, especially for smoldering combustion with low CE. Other factors such as wind and scale of burn could also impact the comparison of emissions between field and laboratory burnings (Yokelson et al., 2013). 4-4 140 SKY EFPM2.5 = 431.8 - 429.7 x CE DSP TNC Upper Bound Lower Bound (FEPS Default) 120 100 PM2.5 Emission Factor (g/kg) PM2.5 Emission Factor (g/kg) 140 80 60 EFPM2.5 = 67.4 - 66.8 x CE 40 20 CLC EFPM2.5 = 431.8 - 429.7 x CE Upper Bound Lower Bound (FEPS Default) Lab Data (Dry Fuels) Lab Data (Wet Fuels) 120 100 80 60 40 EFPM2.5 = 67.4 - 66.8 x CE 20 0 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 Combustion Efficiency (CE) 0.2 1 0.4 0.6 0.8 Combustion Efficiency (CE) 1 (b) (a) Figure 20. Scatter plot of EFPM2.5 as a function of CE (1-min data) for: (a) three prescribed burning events (i.e., SKY, DSP, and TNC) in 2011 and b) one prescribed burn event (i.e., CLC) in 2013 and laboratory burns. The lower bound of the distribution is the FEPS default parameterization while the upper bound is determined from the top 10th percentile of data with respect to the EFPM2.5 / (1 - CE) ratio. Blue triangles and green diamonds indicate data from laboratory combustion of wet and dry fuels, respectively (Chen et al., 2010). 4.2 Time-integrated Emissions and PM2.5 Chemical Composition Table 6 summarizes the time-integrated EFs corresponding to all valid filter samples acquired from the four (i.e., CLC, SKY, DSP, and TNC) prescribed burns with the In-Plume measurements. This confirms the relatively high CEs (>0.9) for pile burns (i.e., CLC and SKY) and low CEs (<0.9) for understory burns (i.e., DSP and TNC). For a similar range of fireintegrated CEs (0.85–0.95, or MCE of 0.89–0.96), Burling et al. (2011) reported EFPM2.5 of 10 to 25 g/kg for conifer forest understory burns from airborne measurements of smoke plume. Their results compare well with those observed in this study (11 to 33 g/kg). Laboratory combustion of small piles (100‒200 g) of dry Ponderosa pine branches, needles, and cones shows generally much higher combustion efficiencies (CE = 0.98-0.99) and lower CO and PM2.5 EFs than those measured in the field. Table 6. Time-integrated combustion efficiencies and emission factors of PM2.5, EC, BC, CO, NOx, and NH3 for CLC, SKY, DSP, and TNC burns. Burn Sampling Period 11:09-12:02 CLC (6/24/2013) 13:06-14:03 Average CE & MCE 0.96 0.97 0.93 0.95 0.95±0.02 0.96±0.01 EFPM2.5 (g/kg) EFEC (g/kg) EFBC (g/kg) EFCO (g/kg) EFNOx (g/kg) EFNH3 (g/kg) 7.3 N.A. 0.44 39 0.75 N.A. 16 N.A 3.4 56 2.5 N.A 11±5 N.A 1.9±1.5 47±9 1.6±0.9 N.A *See Table 2 for prescribed burning and Section 2.3 for laboratory burn information; all but EC and NH3 emission factors were derived from real-time measurements. The calculations assume a universal fuel carbon mass fraction of 0.49. Uncertainties were based on the standard deviations; N.A.: Not measured. 4-5 Table 6. Continued. Burn Sampling Period 11:55-12:50 SKY (6/11/2011) 12:51-13:51 Average 11:32-11:55 12:00-13:00 DSP (10/3/2011) 13:05-14:05 14:10-15:10 Average 12:35-13:35 TNC 13:37-14:37 (10/20/2011) Average 13:42-14:02 14:28-14:48 Laboratory Dry Pile Burn 15:16-15:37 (3/20-4/20, 2014) 16:05-16:25 CE & MCE 0.93 0.96 0.91 0.93 0.92±0.01 0.94±0.02 0.86 0.89 0.85 0.87 0.87 0.90 0.86 0.89 0.86±0.01 0.89±0.01 0.88 0.91 0.83 0.87 0.85±0.03 0.89±0.03 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98±0.01 0.99±0.0 EFPM2.5 (g/kg) EFEC (g/kg) EFBC (g/kg) EFCO (g/kg) EFNOx (g/kg) EFNH3 (g/kg) 22 1.4 0.45 50 0.91 1.0 22 1.1 0.20 74 0.65 1.8 22±1 1.3±0.2 0.32±0.14 62±12 0.78±0.13 1.4±0.4 32 0.97 0.27 120 0.60 2.3 19 0.99 0.19 144 0.49 6.1 28 0.99 0.19 109 0.67 2.5 24 1.7 0.21 127 0.54 3.9 26±6 1.2±0.4 0.21±0.04 125±15 0.58±0.08 3.7±1.8 30 1.3 0.47 102 1.4 2.0 36 1.2 0.30 142 0.80 4.7 33±3 1.3±0.1 0.38±0.09 122±20 1.1±0.3 3.4±1.4 8.9 N.A N.A 16 1.7 N.A 3.0 N.A N.A 14 2.0 N.A 2.6 N.A N.A 12 3.2 N.A 2.9 N.A N.A 12 1.7 N.A 4±3 N.A. N.A 13±2 2.1±0.7 N.A In general, N emissions are in the form of NOx and NH3 and the NH3/NOx ratio increases with decreasing combustion efficiency. Low combustion temperatures during the smoldering phases preserve more reduced forms of N, such as NH3, as suggested by Chen et al. (2010). The flaming phase of the SKY burn (i.e., 1155-1250 PST) produced both EFNOx and EFNH3 of ~1 g/kg, which later turned to ~0.7 g/kg for EFNOx and 1.8 g/kg for EFNH3 when smoldering contribution phased in (1251-1351 PST). The trend was also similar during the TNC burn, but with substantially higher EFs (up to 5 g/kg for NH3). The prescribed burn emission factors in Table 6 are somewhere between laboratory combustion results with dry and moderately wet fuels (i.e., Moisture Levels I and II, respectively, in Chen et al. 2010), as EFPM2.5 are higher than the Level I level and EFNOx+NH3 are close to the Level I level. The NH3/NOx ratio, however, appears to be much higher for the field than laboratory burns. Again, this might partly be attributed to the heterogeneity in the smoke during field measurement. 4-6 Percentage of chemical composition in PM2.5 acquired from the prescribed burning is presented in Table 7. This source profile can be used for source apportionment by receptor modeling. Carbonaceous material, particularly OC, dominates the PM2.5 mass. Other significant species include Cl-, NO3-, SO4=, NH4+, K+, K, Cl, S, and calcium (Ca). A narrow range of K+/PM2.5 ratio (0.2–0.4%) supports potassium (K+ and/or K) as a good marker for biomass burning. The material balance is examined in Figure 21 using Eqs. (9)-(13), as those for ambient Table 7. Chemical composition of PM2.5 (in percentage) for time-integrated filter samples acquired from the SKY, DSP, and TNC burns. Burn Sampling Period Cl- SKY (6/11/2011) 11:55-12:50 12:51-13:51 DSP (10/3/2011) 11:32-11:55 12:00-13:00 13:05-14:05 TNC (10/20/2011) 14:10-15:10 12:35-13:35 13:37-14:37 00.035±00.146 00.085±00.132 00.137±00.040 00.411±00.086 00.059±00.056 00.139±00.150 00.083±00.021 00.073±00.020 NO3 - 00.324±00.147 00.416±00.133 00.092±00.036 00.170±00.067 00.112±00.056 00.375±00.151 00.127±00.020 00.116±00.019 SO4= 00.311±00.147 00.309±00.132 00.442±00.044 00.440±00.070 00.266±00.058 00.480±00.151 00.241±00.023 00.158±00.019 NH4+ 00.284±00.148 00.279±00.133 00.084±00.036 00.185±00.067 00.088±00.056 00.235±00.150 00.076±00.019 00.063±00.018 + Na 00.000±00.085 00.000±00.076 00.000±00.021 00.000±00.038 00.000±00.032 00.000±00.087 00.040±00.011 00.000±00.010 K+ 00.282±00.023 00.251±00.021 00.399±00.024 00.359±00.023 00.211±00.014 00.253±00.022 00.311±00.019 00.174±00.011 OC 49.776±03.395 51.720±03.463 54.322±03.450 52.937±03.398 27.690±01.818 52.405±03.553 55.975±03.528 55.166±03.476 EC 06.503±00.672 05.129±00.549 03.020±00.281 05.242±00.490 03.554±00.342 07.328±00.739 04.357±00.386 03.470±00.309 Al 00.000±00.034 00.000±00.031 00.000±00.008 00.053±00.016 00.000±00.013 00.000±00.035 00.008±00.004 00.001±00.004 Si 00.000±00.005 00.031±00.005 00.003±00.001 00.035±00.003 00.000±00.002 00.046±00.006 00.000±00.001 00.002±00.001 P 00.000±00.005 00.000±00.004 00.000±00.001 00.000±00.002 00.000±00.002 00.003±00.005 00.002±00.001 00.001±00.001 S 00.086±00.041 00.078±00.036 00.198±00.014 00.157±00.020 00.196±00.019 00.133±00.042 00.106±00.007 00.071±00.006 Cl 00.039±00.005 00.044±00.005 00.127±00.007 00.367±00.019 00.105±00.006 00.045±00.006 00.073±00.004 00.070±00.004 K 00.380±00.020 00.273±00.014 00.474±00.024 00.447±00.023 00.496±00.025 00.296±00.016 00.324±00.016 00.211±00.011 Ca 00.020±00.016 00.037±00.014 00.015±00.004 00.106±00.009 00.015±00.006 00.055±00.016 00.012±00.002 00.015±00.002 Ti 00.000±00.005 00.000±00.004 00.000±00.001 00.000±00.002 00.000±00.002 00.000±00.005 00.000±00.001 00.000±00.001 V 00.000±00.005 00.001±00.004 00.000±00.001 00.000±00.002 00.000±00.002 00.001±00.005 00.000±00.001 00.000±00.001 Cr 00.000±00.005 00.001±00.004 00.001±00.001 00.004±00.002 00.001±00.002 00.002±00.005 00.000±00.001 00.001±00.001 Mn 00.000±00.008 00.000±00.007 00.000±00.002 00.003±00.004 00.003±00.003 00.000±00.008 00.001±00.001 00.000±00.001 Fe 00.000±00.008 00.008±00.007 00.005±00.002 00.037±00.004 00.004±00.003 00.009±00.008 00.001±00.001 00.002±00.001 Co 00.000±00.005 00.003±00.004 00.000±00.001 00.000±00.002 00.000±00.002 00.000±00.005 00.000±00.001 00.000±00.001 Ni 00.000±00.005 00.000±00.004 00.000±00.001 00.002±00.002 00.001±00.002 00.000±00.005 00.000±00.001 00.000±00.001 Cu 00.000±00.005 00.000±00.004 00.000±00.001 00.000±00.002 00.000±00.002 00.000±00.005 00.000±00.001 00.000±00.001 Zn 00.007±00.005 00.008±00.004 00.007±00.001 00.049±00.003 00.009±00.002 00.005±00.005 00.008±00.001 00.006±00.001 As 00.000±00.005 00.000±00.004 00.000±00.001 00.000±00.002 00.000±00.002 00.000±00.005 00.000±00.001 00.000±00.001 Se 00.000±00.005 00.000±00.004 00.000±00.001 00.000±00.002 00.000±00.002 00.001±00.005 00.000±00.001 00.000±00.001 Br 00.000±00.005 00.000±00.004 00.001±00.001 00.004±00.002 00.001±00.002 00.000±00.005 00.004±00.001 00.002±00.001 Rb 00.002±00.005 00.001±00.004 00.001±00.001 00.003±00.002 00.002±00.002 00.001±00.005 00.000±00.001 00.000±00.001 Sr 00.001±00.005 00.001±00.004 00.000±00.001 00.000±00.002 00.002±00.002 00.000±00.005 00.001±00.001 00.001±00.001 Pb 00.000±00.008 00.000±00.008 00.001±00.002 00.000±00.004 00.000±00.003 00.000±00.009 00.001±00.001 00.001±00.001 *See Section 2.1 for analytical methods/protocols. 4-7 samples. Major uncertainties include the OM/OC ratio and organic sampling artifacts (Chow et al., 2010; Watson et al., 2009). Applying a 1.4 multiplier to convert OC to CM led to substantial unidentified mass. A higher multiplier (e.g., 1.8), usually corresponding to more oxidized OM, may be applied for biomass burning aerosol (El-Zanan et al., 2005; Pitchford et al., 2007). Average EC fraction is the highest in SKY and lowest in TNC, consistent with CEs of the burns, i.e., flaming combustion with high CE dominates EC production (Chen et al., 2006; 2007). The EC fraction in PM2.5 was 3.0–7.3% across the SKY, DSP, and TNC burns, higher than the BC fraction of 0.7–2%. The discrepancies between EC and BC measured by different principles were discussed before (see Watson et al., 2005; Chow et al., 2009 and references therein). Nonetheless, the EC (or BC) fractions in smoke PM2.5 for field measurements appeared to be lower than those acquired from laboratory combustion experiments (Chen et al., 2007; 2010). There are two additional explanations for the difference: 1) substantial OC were generated from soil or duff materials which were not often tested in the laboratory; and 2) secondary organic aerosol (SOA) formation had been much faster and more efficient in the field than in the laboratory. Both of these mechanisms increase OC fraction and decrease EC fraction in PM2.5 from prescribed burning. SKY 0.1% 0.1% 22.0% Fine Soil Salt 0.4% 0.5% OM EC 5.8% Amm Nitrate Amm Sulfate 71.1% Unidentified Mass (a) Figure 21. Material balance of PM2.5 for: (a) SKY, (b) DSP, and (c) TNC burns. The mass percentages are calculated from average of respective filter samples as shown in Table 7. See Eqs. (9)-(13) for the construction of each component. Data were not available for the CLC burn. 4-8 DSP 0.2% 0.3% 28.9% Fine Soil Salt OM 0.6% EC Amm Nitrate 0.2% 65.8% 4.0% Amm Sulfate Unidentified Mass (b) TNC 0.04% 17.70% 0.14% Fine Soil 0.27% Salt 0.16% OM 3.90% EC Amm Nitrate Amm Sulfate 77.78% (c) Figure 21. Continued. 4-9 Unidentified Mass 5 Smoke Forecast and Impact Assessment 5.1 Integration of Smoke Forecast Tools The emission data was first obtained from FEPS. Using the TNC burn (10/20/2011) as an example, Figure 22 shows the time series of fuel consumption, heat release, combustion efficiency, and emission rates of CO, methane (CH4), and PM2.5, as modeled by FEPS with default CE and EF coefficients. Note that a burn was conducted at an adjacent 7-acre plot on the previous day (10/19/2011). The FLA and STS phases corresponded to the active ignition period (3-4 hours), while LTS continued throughout the day and into the next day (10/21/2011). The FLA, STS, and LTS phases consumed 35%, 15%, and 50% of the fuel, respectively. Heat releases, however, are mostly associated with the flaming phase, leading to a maximum plume height (Brigg H max) of 53 m during the first hour of burning. The TNC burn generated ~560 kg CO and 45 kg PM2.5. 3.0E+04 6.0E+07 FLA Consumption (kg/hr) STS Consumption (kg/hr) LTS Consumption (kg/hr) Plume Heat Release (kJ/hr) TNC Burn (10/20/2011) 2.0E+04 4.0E+07 3.0E+07 2.0E+07 1.0E+04 0.0E+00 10/19/11 0:00 5.0E+07 1.0E+07 10/20/11 0:00 10/21/11 0:00 Heat Release (kJ/hr) Fuel Consumption (kg/hr) 4.0E+04 0.0E+00 10/22/11 0:00 (a) 4.0E+02 3.0E+02 1.00 CO/10 Emissions (g/sec) CH4 Emissions (g/sec) PM2.5 Emissions (g/sec) Combustion Efficiency 0.95 0.90 0.85 2.0E+02 0.80 1.0E+02 0.0E+00 10/19/11 0:00 0.75 10/20/11 0:00 10/21/11 0:00 Combustion Efficiency Emission Rates (g/sec) 5.0E+02 0.70 10/22/11 0:00 (b) Figure 22. FEPS modeled results for: (a) fuel consumption (by FLA, STS, and LTS phases) and heat release and (b) combustion efficiency and emission rates (CO, PM2.5 and CH4) at hourly resolution for the TNC burn (10/20/2011, the second peak in the figures). A burn conducted in an adjacent 7-acre plot starting at 1000 PST on 10/19/2011 was also modeled. Default CE and EF coefficients were used in the FEPS model (see Eqs. [6] and [7]). The lowest and highest CE determined by FEPS is 0.76 and 0.86, respectively (Figure 22[b]), significantly different from the measured range of 0.76-0.96. The FLA and STS CE coefficients need to be adjusted in conjunction with adjustments for EFPM2.5 (as shown in Figure 20). If kFLA and kSTS in Eq. (6) are set to 0.99 and 0.90, respectively, and ai and bi in Eq. (7) are set to 431.8/429.7 (i.e., the upper limit in Figure 20), FEPS would predict a maximum CE of 0.95 for TNC (Figure 23). This is in good agreement with the In-Plume measurement. The PM2.5 emission rates would increase by a factor of 2–4 (i.e., the upper limit in Figure 23). Due to the wide range of observed EFPM2.5, the actual PM2.5 emission rates are uncertain, likely between the upper limit and default curves in Figure 23. The new parameters also increase the total heat release by ~10%, allowing the maximum plume height to reach 57 m. For impact assessment, the 5-1 higher emission rates should be considered, with the understanding of uncertainties in EFs and fuel consumption. TNC Burn Figure 23. FEPS modeled hourly combustion efficiency (CE) and PM2.5 emission rates (default and upper limit) for the TNC burn (10/20/2011). Adjusted coefficients were used to calculate CE and the upper limit of PM2.5 emission. Actual PM2.5 emission rates are likely in the shaded area. To calculate smoke dispersion, the meteorological data were obtained from the WRF model with 2 km x 2 km resolution. Figure 24 compares WRF surface wind forecasts with measurements at four weather stations (http://www.wrcc.dri.edu/) closest to the TNC burn plot. WRF predicted generally southwesterly winds throughout 10/20–21/2011, pushing smoke out of WRF U (avg) East-West Wind (m/s) 12 obs U (inv) obs U (dip) 10 obs U (sah) 8 obs U (slm) obs U (avg) 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 10/20/12 0:00 10/21/12 0:00 Date (b) WRF V (avg) obs V (inv) obs V (dip) obs V (sah) obs V (slm) obs V (avg) North-South Wind (m/s) 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 10/20/12 0:00 (a) 10/21/12 0:00 Date (c) Figure 24. Comparison of WRF surface winds with observations at: (a) four weather stations: Slide Mountain (slm), Diamond Peak (dip), Incline Village (inv), and Sand Harbor (sah) closest to TNC. Wind components in the east-west (U) and north-south (V) directions are compared in (b) and (c), respectively. The yellow bars indicate the standard deviation of WRF winds across the four sites. 5-2 the LTB. The observed wind data did not show a narrow range among the four sites as the WRF simulation does, likely due to the influence of local topography and subgrid turbulence. However, averaged wind components tracked the WRF forecasts reasonably. This justifies the use of WRF data to support dispersion modeling. A graphic user interface (GUI, see Figure 25) was developed as part of the project to generate control files for running the HYSPLIT model. The GUI converts FEPS output to emission files that contain hourly PM2.5 and heat release rates acceptable by HYSPLIT. Multiple WRF weather files can be specified, along with key parameters such as model domain, spatial resolution (in degrees of latitude/longitude), vertical integrating levels, as well as particle size and density (for calculating deposition). Three vertical levels, 25 m, 100 m, and 500 m, were usually selected. Each vertical level for the HYSPLIT particle mode (as in this study) indicates the “average” PM2.5 concentration between that level and the previous level (or the ground for the first level). The 25-m level was used to compare with surface PM2.5 measurements obtained from the five ambient monitoring sites (Figure 4). GMT Time (PST +8) Emission File Vertical Levels Weather Files Save Control File Figure 25. Matlab® graphic user interface (GUI) for creating HYSPLIT control file for the TNC burn. Model execution and visualization were accomplished by another GUI (Figure 26). The output from HYSPLIT is a gridded distribution of hourly PM2.5 from the ignition time to a 5-3 specified end time. A dynamic distribution map is presented through a contour-plot of the gridded data (Figure 26). Though not explicitly modeled by HYSPLIT, the terrain effect has been represented in the WRF meteorological data files. The GUI also calculates and plots PM2.5 concentrations (in µg/m3) at the five ambient monitoring sites as a function of time using a “gridded to station” function of HYSPLIT. Perform HYSPLIT Model Analyze HYSPLIT Results TNC Burn Started (10/20/2011) PM2.5 concentration in µg/m3 Latitude Longitude Colorbar: Surface (0-25 m) PM2.5 concentration in µg/m3 (log scale) PST (from the day of ignition) Figure 26. Matlab® graphic user interface (GUI) for executing the HYSPLIT model and analyzing the output data. The monitoring sites are noted by 1-5 in the contour plot: 1: Incline Village; 2: Tahoe City; 3: Bliss State Park; 4: South Lake Tahoe; and 5: Cave Rock. The diamond indicates the TNC burn plot. The snapshot is for TNC burn 6 hours after ignition. Note a burn conducted at an adjacent plot in the previous day (7 acres, started at 1000 PST on 10/19/2011) was also modeled here. 5.2 Simulation and Verification of Measured Burn Events Figure 27 shows the smoke transport in terms of surface PM2.5 concentration for two prescribed burns conducted near Tunnel Creek on 10/19/2011 and 10/20/2011 (i.e., the TNC burn) (see Figure 22). The upper-limit PM2.5 emission (Figure 23) based on revised FEPS parameters were used in the modeling. The initial plume transport within a few hours after ignition generally followed the planned path, i.e., moving away from the LTB (Figure 27[a] and [f]). Winds sometimes shift direction in the evening, causing the smoke to return to the LTB (Figure 27[b]-[c]). Although in this case, the PM2.5 concentrations would have been substantially diluted before reaching the monitoring sites. It should be noted that smoldering can continue from hours to days after ignition and eventually impact the air quality. One day after the TNC 5-4 burn, substantial PM2.5 elevation up to 6 µg/m3 was predicted across the LTB (Figure 27[i]-[l]). This is mostly attributed to the LTS emission from the burn plots. The impact would be <2 µg/m3 if the default FEPS CE and EFPM2.5 parameters were used (Malamakal et al., 2013). Despite the uncertainty, the model reveals potential air quality/visibility impact of prescribed burning, even when a SMP and strict selection of the burn windows are enforced. 39.6 N 120.4 120.2 W 120.0 W 119.8 W 119.6 W W 39.6 N 120.4 120.2 W 120.0 W 119.8 W 119.6 W W 39.6 N 39.5 N 39.5 N 39.5 N 39.4 N 39.4 N 39.4 N 39.3 N 39.3 N 1 39.2 N 39.1 N 3 4 38.9 N 3 38.9 N 38.8 N 38.7 N 38.7 N 38.7 N 38.6 N 38.6 N 1 2 4 8 16 0.25 39.6 N 38.6 N 0.5 1 2 4 8 16 0.25 (b) 10/19 18:00 (a) 10/19 12:00 120.4 120.2 W 120.0 W 119.8 W 119.6 W W 39.6 N 39.6 N 39.5 N 39.5 N 39.4 N 39.4 N 39.4 N 39.3 N 39.3 N 1 39.2 N 2 39.1 N 5 39.0 N 3 3 38.8 N 38.8 N 38.7 N 38.7 N 38.7 N 38.6 N 38.6 N 0.5 1 2 4 8 16 0.25 (d) 10/20 06:00 39.6 N 39.6 N 1 2 4 8 16 39.5 N 39.5 N 39.4 N 39.4 N 39.3 N 39.2 N 39.6 N 3 38.9 N 5 3 38.9 N 38.8 N 38.7 N 38.6 N 38.6 N 4 (g) 10/21 00:00 8 16 0.25 PM2.5 μg/m3 5 3 4 38.9 N 38.7 N 2 16 1 39.0 N 4 38.8 N 1 8 2 39.1 N 38.7 N 0.5 4 120.4 120.2 W 120.0 W 119.8 W 119.6 W W 39.2 N 38.8 N 0.25 2 39.3 N 2 39.0 N 4 1 39.4 N 1 39.1 N 5 39.0 N 0.5 39.5 N 39.2 N 2 39.1 N 0.25 39.3 N 1 4 (f) 10/20 18:00 120.4 120.2 W 120.0 W 119.8 W 119.6 W W PM2.5 μg/m3 38.6 N 0.5 (e) 10/20 12:00 120.4 120.2 W 120.0 W 119.8 W 119.6 W W 16 5 3 38.9 N 38.8 N 0.25 8 1 39.0 N 4 38.9 N 4 2 39.1 N 5 39.0 N 4 38.9 N 2 120.4 120.2 W 120.0 W 119.8 W 119.6 W W 39.2 N 2 39.1 N 1 39.3 N 1 39.2 N 0.5 (c) 10:20 00:00 120.4 120.2 W 120.0 W 119.8 W 119.6 W W 39.5 N 4 38.9 N 38.8 N 0.5 3 38.8 N 0.25 5 39.0 N 4 2 39.1 N 5 39.0 N 1 39.2 N 2 39.1 N 5 39.0 N 39.3 N 1 39.2 N 2 120.4 120.2 W 120.0 W 119.8 W 119.6 W W 38.6 N 0.5 1 2 4 (h) 10/21 06:00 8 16 0.25 0.5 1 2 4 8 16 (i) 10/21 12:00 Figure 27. Time series of smoke transport (every 6th hour in PST) of surface PM2.5 concentrations (μg/m3 during 10/19-22/2011 for the two prescribed burns near Tunnel Creek (Diamond). Five ambient monitoring sites around Lake Tahoe are also marked. (See Figure 26 for site identifications; the same latitudes and longitudes are used as in Figure 26.) 5-5 PM2.5 μg/m3 39.6 N 120.4 120.2 W 120.0 W 119.8 W 119.6 W W 39.6 N 120.4 120.2 W 120.0 W 119.8 W 119.6 W W 39.6 N 39.5 N 39.5 N 39.5 N 39.4 N 39.4 N 39.4 N 39.3 N 39.3 N 1 39.2 N 2 39.1 N 3 38.9 N 39.1 N 3 4 38.9 N 38.8 N 38.7 N 38.7 N 38.6 N 38.6 N 2 4 8 16 (j) 10/21 18:00 0.25 4 38.9 N 38.7 N 1 3 38.8 N 0.5 5 39.0 N 38.8 N 0.25 2 5 39.0 N 4 1 39.2 N 2 39.1 N 5 39.0 N 39.3 N 1 39.2 N 120.4 120.2 W 120.0 W 119.8 W 119.6 W W 38.6 N 0.5 1 2 4 8 16 (k) 10/22 00:00 0.25 0.5 1 2 4 8 16 PM2.5 μg/m3 (l) 10/22 06:00 Figure 27. (Continued) The site-specific impact of the TNC burn, as modeled by FEPS-HYSPLIT, is shown in Figure 28. PM2.5 peaks are short-lived, lasting for up to several hours. This reflects quickly changing wind directions. Smoldering smoke with relatively low plume heights influenced all the sites in the evening of 10/21/2011, while the maximum contributi on of ~6 µg/m3 PM2.5 was found at Tahoe City. The impact levels are moderately high considering average PM2.5 concentrations of 5–10 µg/m3 in the LTB (Figure 12). In fact, only the Tahoe City and Bliss State Park sites recorded abnormalities that are qualified as episodes within 10/19–22/2011 (Table 5). It should be noted that the highest weekly PM2.5 of 7.3 µg/m3 and nc-K (a biomass burning marker) of 0.03 µg/m3 at Tahoe City occurred for the week of 10/20–26/2011 (Figure 14). PM2.5 Contribution (µg m-3) 15 10 Incline Village Tahoe City Bliss South Lake Tahoe Cave Rock 5 0 10/19/11 10/20/11 10/21/11 10/22/11 10/23/11 10/24/11 Time Figure 28. Impact of Tunnel Creek (TNC) burns on five monitoring sites in the LTB, as predicted by the FEPS-HYSPLIT model. Arrows indicate the start of burns on 10/19/2011 and 10/20/2011. Figure 29 compares the FEPS-HYSPLIT predicted TNC burn contributions to PM2.5 with ambient measurements at the Incline Village, Tahoe City, and Bliss State Park sites. The forecasted burn peaks correspond well with observed peaks in time (within 1–2 hours), particularly those occurring in the evening of 10/21/2011 (i.e., Peaks A, B, and F in Figure 29[a], [b], and [c], respectively). Neither peaks A nor B follows the typical diurnal pattern, e.g., morning and/or evening rush hours. Peak B is the outlier causing 10/21/2011 to be declared as an 5-6 PM2.5 Concentration (µg m-3) episode at the Tahoe City site (Table 5). All these evidences corroborate the influence of TNC burns. Peak F is not as evident since PM2.5 dropped to a very low level before the smoke impact. 25 20 15 Median Measured TNC Burn Contribution Incline Village 10 A 5 0 10/14/11 10/16/11 10/18/11 10/20/11 Date Time 10/22/11 10/24/11 PM2.5 Concentration (µg m-3) (a) 25 20 15 Median Measured TNC Burn Contribution Tahoe City D C B E 10 5 0 10/14/11 10/16/11 10/18/11 10/20/11 Date Time 10/22/11 10/24/11 PM2.5 Concentration (µg m-3) (b) 25 20 15 Median Measured TNC Burn Contribution Bliss State Park G 10 5 0 10/14/11 F 10/16/11 10/18/11 10/20/11 Date Time 10/22/11 10/24/11 (c) Figure 29. Comparison of hourly ambient PM2.5 measurements with FEPS-HYSPLIT predicted PM2.5 contribution from Tunnel Creek burns for the: (a) Incline Village; (b) Tahoe City; and (c) Bliss State Park sites. The median line indicates typical diurnal pattern determined from the median concentrations throughout the fall 2011 observing period. Arrows indicate the burn start times. See text for explanations of Peaks A–G. Three days (10/19-20/11 and 10/22/2011) are declared as PM2.5 episodes for the Tahoe City site due to Peaks C, D, and E (Figure 29[b]), respectively. 10/19/2011 is also an episode for the Bliss State Park site due to Peak G (Figure 29[c]). Peaks D and E occurred around 0700– 5-7 0900 PST, possibly due to an increased traffic contribution under stagnant conditions. There are several other peaks like Peak C and G during the 10/19–22/2011 period that cannot be explained by the typical diurnal pattern and/or TNC burn(s). One possibility may be due to model uncertainty, including vertical inhomogeneity that leads to underestimate of smoke impact. Other prescribed burns conducted in the same period will be discussed in the next section. While no wildfires are known to impact the LTB during this period, some of the peaks can result from other sources such as transport of fugitive dust and secondary aerosols (i.e., NH4[SO4]2, NH4NO3, and OM) from outside the LTB. The lack of unique markers at hourly resolution and/or a fullscale air quality model that includes all the sources prevents a direct proof or disproof of the hypotheses. The short-term nature of most peaks and non-uniformity across the basin, however, suggest more localized events within the LTB. The smoke transport of SKY, DSP, and CLC burns were also calculated using the same modeling protocol. Only the SKY burn (6/11/2011) shows appreciable impact on air quality for the Bliss State Park, South Lake Tahoe, and Cave Rock sites on the day after ignition (Figure 30). PM2.5 Contribution (µg m-3) 30 25 20 15 Incline Village Tahoe City Bliss South Lake Tahoe Cave Rock 39.6 N SKY 39.4 N 39.3 N 1 39.2 N 2 39.1 N 10 39.0 N 5 38.8 N 0 6/11/11 120.4 120.2 W 120.0 W 119.8 W 119.6 W W 39.5 N 5 3 4 38.9 N 38.7 N 38.6 N 6/12/11 6/13/11 6/14/11 6/15/11 0.25 0.5 1 2 4 8 16 Date Time (a) PM2.5 Contribution (µg m-3) 30 25 20 15 Incline Village Tahoe City Bliss South Lake Tahoe Cave Rock 39.6 N DSP 39.4 N 39.3 N 1 39.2 N 2 39.1 N 10 39.0 N 5 38.8 N 0 10/3/11 120.4 120.2 W 120.0 W 119.8 W 119.6 W W 39.5 N 5 3 4 38.9 N 38.7 N 38.6 N 10/4/11 10/5/11 Date Time 10/6/11 10/7/11 0.25 0.5 1 2 4 8 16 (b) PM2.5 Contribution (µg m-3) 30 25 20 15 Incline Village Tahoe City Bliss South Lake Tahoe Cave Rock 39.6 N CLC 39.4 N 39.3 N 1 39.2 N 2 39.1 N 5 39.0 N 10 3 4 38.9 N 5 0 6/24/13 120.4 120.2 W 120.0 W 119.8 W 119.6 W W 39.5 N 38.8 N 38.7 N 38.6 N 6/25/13 6/26/13 Date Time 6/27/13 6/28/13 0.25 0.5 1 2 4 8 16 (c) Figure 30. Impact of prescribed burn for: (a) SKY (6/11/2011); (b) DSP (10/3/2011); and (c) CLC (6/24/2013) on ambient PM2.5 concentrations in the LTB, as predicted by the FEPS-HYSPLIT model. See Table 2 for detailed burn information. Arrows indicate the burn start times. Transport maps represent: a) 19; b) 10; and c) 7 hours after ignition. See Figure 26 for explanation of the maps. 5-8 Like the TNC burn, smoke from these burns were largely transported outside the basin during the first several hours of burning, confirming a good selection of the burn windows. For the DSP and CLC burns, the wind directions were consistent throughout the 3-day (72 hours) modeling period, while winds turned to the opposite direction on the second day (6/12/2011) for the SKY burn, circulating smoke within the LTB. The SKY burn contribution to PM2.5 concentrations would mainly depend on smoldering combustion emissions, which are subject to a substantial uncertainty in the FEPS simulation. Unfortunately, no ambient data were available to compare model results for the SKY burn. Nonetheless, the impact appears to last only a few hours, causing 24-hr PM2.5 concentration to increase on 6/12/2011 by 1.9, 2.8, and 1.6 µg/m3 at the Bliss State Park, South Lake Tahoe, and Cave Rock sites, respectively. PM2.5 would be much lower (<0.5 µg/m3) if default FEPS parameters were used. Ambient data are available for the DSP modeling period. However, no episode days were identified between 10/3/2011 and 10/6/2011 (see Table 5). 5.3 Assessment of Prescribed Burning Impacts: Case Studies Attempts were made to examine whether PM2.5 episodes, such as those identified in Figure 29, can be explained by known prescribed burning events. If so, this would provide additional validations to the model for quantifying the prescribed burning contributions to PM2.5. A major challenge was found to be the lack of burn records. Data from fire agencies were not in the same format and some critical information, including fuel load, moisture content, ignition time, rate of progress, and burn duration, were missing or inaccurate. Since these records were based on burn plan(s) before the burn, it did not reflect adjustments made in the field. Such adjustments were common, as observed in this study. In some cases, a planned burn was cancelled but still shown in the record. In other cases, some known burns were completely missing in the records. Since field observations could not be made for all the burns, best judgments were made to parameterize FEPS. Inaccurate burning parameters added uncertainty to the predictions of smoke transport and impact on air quality. Three prescribed burns conducted during 10/17–19/2011, two by NTFPD (NTFPD1, 10/17/2011; NTFPD2: 10/19/2011) near Incline Village and one by LTBMU near Tahoe City (LTBMU1; 10/18/2011), might have caused the basin-wide event during the evenings of 10/18/2011 and 10/19/2011 (e.g., Peaks C and G in Figure 29). These burns were all assumed to begin in the late morning (~1000 PST) and continue through early afternoon to take advantage of the strong turbulent updraft at that time. The active ignition period lasted for 3–5 hours depending on the burn size (see Appendix B). Comparison of FEPS-HYSPLIT forecasted smoke transport and ambient measurement (Figure 31) indicates strong influence of the prescribed burns on air quality at the Incline Village and Tahoe City sites, owing to proximity of the burn plots to these two monitoring sites. Though the smoke arrival time is generally consistent with observed PM2.5 peaks, smoke contributions to PM2.5 appear to be inconsistent, i.e., overestimated in some cases and underestimated in others. For example, the model predicted hourly PM2.5 concentrations for the NTFPD1 burn (Figure 31[a]) to exceed 300 µg/m3 at the Incline Village site for 1600–2400 PST on 10/18/2011. Forecasting in this case is particularly challenging. In addition to uncertainties in burn information, the distance between the burn plot and monitoring site is close to the model grid size and it is difficult to model boundary layer movement (Pournazeri et al., 2012). FEPS-HYSPLIT suggests that the Tahoe City episode on 10/19/2011 is 5-9 related to the NTFPD2 burn (Figure 31[b]), but the impact seems small compared to the observed PM2.5 abnormality. Figures 31(c)-(e) illustrate that smoke resulting from multiple burns on the north shore of Lake Tahoe (i.e., TNC, NTFPD1, NTFPD2, and LTBMU1) could be transported to the south shore impacting air quality at the Bliss State Park, South Lake Tahoe, and Cave Rock sites. This is illustrated by the transport pattern in Figure 27(b). The impacts are relatively minor but do coincide with PM2.5 peaks and explain the only episode occurring at the Bliss State Park site (10/19/2011, see Figure 31[c]. However, the Cave Rock episode on 10/18/2011 and several elevated PM2.5 concentrations (non-episodes) during nighttime at the South Lake Tahoe site cannot be explained by any of the burns. They might be caused by RWC under a relatively calm boundary layer (e.g., wind speed <1 km/hr at South Lake Tahoe between 1800 and 2200 PST, 10/18/2011). PM2.5 (µg m-3) 25 20 15 10 TNC NTFPD 2 LTBMU 1 NTFPD 1 Median Measured Incline Village 5 0 10/17/11 10/18/11 10/19/11 10/20/11 10/21/11 10/22/11 10/21/11 10/22/11 10/21/11 10/22/11 Date (a) PM2.5 (µg m-3) 25 20 15 10 TNC NTFPD 2 LTBMU 1 NTFPD 1 Median Measured Tahoe City 5 0 10/17/11 10/18/11 10/19/11 10/20/11 Date (b) PM2.5 (µg m-3) 25 20 15 10 TNC NTFPD 2 LTBMU 1 NTFPD 1 Median Measured Bliss State Park 5 0 10/17/11 10/18/11 10/19/11 10/20/11 Date (c) Figure 31. Measured hourly PM2.5 concentrations in the LTB as compared to modeled accumulative contributions of multiple prescribed burns (i.e., TNC, TNC, NTFPD1, NTFPD2, and LTBMU1) conducted between 10/17/2011 and 10/20/2011 on the north shore of Lake Tahoe. PM2.5 episodes are identified (in circles) based on diurnal patterns (Table 5). 5-10 PM2.5 (µg m-3) 25 20 15 10 TNC NTFPD 2 LTBMU 1 NTFPD 1 Median Measured South Lake Tahoe 5 0 10/17/11 10/18/11 10/19/11 10/20/11 10/21/11 10/22/11 10/21/11 10/22/11 Date (d) PM 2.5 (µg m-3) 25 20 15 10 TNC NTFPD 2 LTBMU 1 NTFPD 1 Median Measured Cave Rock 5 0 10/17/11 10/18/11 10/19/11 10/20/11 Date (e) Figure 31. (Continued) Prescribed burning in the Angora area, however, can severely impact air quality at the South Lake Tahoe and Cave Rock sites. Two prescribed burns identified in the LTB for the period of 10/31/2011-11/4/2011 were the NTFPD3 burn near Incline Village and the LTBMU2 burn near Angora. The forecasted impacts of the two burns are consistent (in time) with the Incline Village episode days on 10/31/2011 and 11/2/2011 as well as the South Lake Tahoe and Cave Rock episode days on 11/2/2011 (Figure 32[a]-[c]), though the smoke intensity is likely overestimated. Since all of these are evening episodes under low ambient temperatures (<0°C), the relative contributions of prescribed burning and RWC emissions to PM2.5 concentrations warrant further investigations. The NTFPD3 burn contributes to two PM2.5 episodes at the Incline Village site (Figure 32[a]) which are consistent with westerly winds as the burn plot was located to the west of the site. The second episode (11/2/2011) received exclusively smoldering emissions from the burn. The contributions from the LTBMU2 burn to the South Lake Tahoe and Cave Rock sites are consistent with southwesterly winds during the first several hours of the burn. Two-to-four hours after ignition, smoke started to impact the South Lake Tahoe and Cave Rock sites, and to a lesser degree, the Bliss State Park site. Figure 33(a) shows the smoke transport from the LTBMU2 burn 11 hours after the ignition. The smoke appears to be trapped along the eastern corridor of the basin with horizontal transport limited by the steep eastern slope. The model also predicted a secondary PM2.5 peak at both the South Lake Tahoe and Cave Rock sites around midnight of 11/3/2011 (Figure 32[b]-[c]). There were no prescribed burning records for the next day (11/3/2011), but a continuous operation of the fire crew in adjacent plots (i.e., unrecorded burns) was possible. Snowfall began ~1900 PST on 11/3/2011, which likely extinguished the combustion and removed particles from the air. 5-11 PM2.5 (µg m-3) 40 Incline Village 30 Snow started 20 LTBMU 2 NTFPD 3 Median Measured 10 0 10/31/11 11/1/11 11/2/11 11/3/11 11/4/11 11/5/11 Date (a) PM2.5 (µg m-3) 40 South Lake Tahoe 30 Snow started 20 LTBMU 2 NTFPD 3 Median Measured 10 0 10/31/11 11/1/11 11/2/11 11/3/11 11/4/11 11/5/11 Date (b) PM2.5 (µg m-3) 40 Cave Rock 30 Snow started 20 LTBMU 2 NTFPD 3 Median Measured 10 0 10/31/11 11/1/11 11/2/11 11/3/11 11/4/11 11/5/11 Date (c) Figure 32. Measured hourly PM2.5 concentrations in the LTB as compared to modeled accumulative contributions of multiple prescribed burns (i.e., NTFPD3 near Incline Village, and LTBMU2 in the Angora area) conducted between 10/31/2011 and 11/4/2011. PM2.5 episodes are identified (in circle) based on baseline diurnal patterns (see Table 5). Ambient data from the Tahoe City and Bliss State Park sites are not available for this period. 5-12 11 hrs after ignition 5 hrs after ignition (a) (b) Figure 33. Snapshots of FEPS-HYSPLIT model simulated smoke transport for the two prescribed burns: a) LTBMU2 (near Angora on 11/2/2011) and b) LTBMU3 (near Tahoe City on 11/15/2011). Colorbar indicates surface (0-25 m) PM2.5 concentrations in µg/m3 (log scale). See Figure 26 for further explanations of the map. Considering the prevailing westerly to southwesterly winds in the LTB, prescribed burns on the west side of the LB may pose a greater threat to air quality than those on the east side. The LTBMU3 burn on 11/15/2011 is an example of west-side burn. Smoke from the burn is transported to the Cave Rock, South Lake Tahoe, and Bliss State Park sites ~5 hours after ignition (Figure 33[b]), while the maximum contributions to PM2.5 are minor, i.e., <3 µg/m3, according to FEPS-HYSPLIT. This is mainly because most of the smoke has been lifted aloft before reaching the monitoring sites. Therefore, it is possible to mitigate the smoke impact even for the "west-side" burns by selecting appropriate burn windows. Case studies presented in this section support the model prediction of potential prescribed burning smoke impact on air quality in the LTB, based on a projection of smoke transport over major communities within ~72 hours of ignition. This observation applies to prescribed burns on almost any parts of the basin, including those with an approved SMP. However, a quantitative assessment of the prescribed burning contributions to PM2.5 and other pollutants and how they compare with other sources cannot be made without further improvement and validation of the current model. 5.4 Wildfire Impacts: Case Studies Large-scale wildfires outside the basin often influence air quality in the LTB. Several such examples were identified in Table 5. Compared to prescribed fires, wildfires are much larger in size and usually last for days to weeks. They produce more uniformly high PM2.5 concentrations in both space and time. During the Salt Fire event (Figure 34), smoke was carried into the LTB from several wildfires in Idaho by an unusual northeasterly transport. Similarly elevated PM2.5 levels up to 25 5-13 PM2.5 Concentration (µg m-3) µg/m3 were observed at all monitoring sites within the basin (Figure 34[b]-[d]). The highest concentrations were detected at the Incline Village site, the northeast point of the LTB. The smoke impact lasted for more than 48 hours, within which measurements among the three monitoring sites were highly correlated. This contrasts the short-term prescribed burning impacts shown in the previous section. Typical diurnal pattern appears to be superimposed onto the smoke PM2.5, as most evidenced by the data from the Tahoe City site (Figure 34[c]). 25 20 Median Measured Incline Village 15 10 5 0 9/6/11 9/7/11 9/8/11 9/9/11 9/10/11 9/11/11 9/12/11 9/13/11 Date/Time PM2.5 Concentration (µg m-3) (b) 25 20 Median Measured Tahoe City 15 10 5 0 9/6/11 9/7/11 9/8/11 9/9/11 9/10/11 9/11/11 9/12/11 9/13/11 Date/Time PM2.5 Concentration (µg m-3) (c) 25 20 Median Measured South Lake Tahoe 15 10 5 0 9/6/11 9/7/11 9/8/11 9/9/11 9/10/11 9/11/11 9/12/11 9/13/11 Date/Time (d) (a) Figure 34. Salt Fire as observed by: (a) satellite and (b)-(d) PM2.5 measurements in the LTB. The satellite image was acquired by NASA MODIS with 2 km x 2 km resolution at 1300 PST on 9/9/2011. Red dots indicate fire detected. Both measured and median (from Figure 12) PM2.5 concentrations between 9/7/2011 and 9/13/2011 are shown in Figure 34(b)-(d). Dashed lines in Figure 34(c) mark the peaks corresponding to the morning and evening rush hours at the Tahoe City site. Figure 35 shows the Robbers Fire in July 2012 (see http://archive2.capradio.org/articles/ 2012/07/12/placer-officials-warn-of-smoke-hazard-from-robbers-fire). Compared to Salt Fire, the Robbers Fire is smaller in scale but closer to the LTB. Since the burn area was located to the west of the LTB, the Tahoe City site experienced the largest impact between 7/12/2012 and 7/14/2012 when south-southwesterly winds prevailed. Winds shifted to southerly by the afternoon of 7/14/2012. The impact lasted for more than 48 hours, although the highest PM2.5 concentrations only reached ~10 µg/m3. Smoke impacts on other sites such as Bliss State Park and South Lake Tahoe were also appreciable, but they did not track those at the Tahoe City site as well as they did during the Salt Fire. Due to the nature of smoke dispersion, fires farther away from the LTB should produce more uniform and longer-term impacts when their smoke is indeed transported to the LTB. However, large wildfires do not necessarily produce hourly PM2.5 concentrations higher than those by prescribed burns within the LTB, which are much closer to the monitoring sites. 5-14 PM2.5 Concentration (µg m-3) 25 20 Median Measured Tahoe City 15 10 5 0 7/9/12 7/10/12 7/11/12 7/12/12 7/13/12 7/14/12 7/15/12 7/16/12 7/14/12 7/15/12 7/16/12 7/14/12 7/15/12 7/16/12 Date/Time PM2.5 Concentration (µg m-3) (b) 25 20 Median Measured Bliss State Park 15 10 5 0 7/9/12 7/10/12 7/11/12 7/12/12 7/13/12 Date/Time PM2.5 Concentration (µg m-3) (c) 25 20 Median Measured South Lake Tahoe 15 10 5 0 7/9/12 7/10/12 7/11/12 7/12/12 7/13/12 Date/Time (d) (a) Figure 35. Robbers Fire as observed by: (a) satellite and (b)-(d) PM2.5 measurements in the LTB. The satellite image was acquired by NOAA at 1300 PST on 7/14/2012. Both measured and median (see Figure 12) PM2.5 concentrations between 7/9/2012 and 7/16/2012 are shown in Figure 35(b)-(d). Dashed lines in Figure 35(b) mark the peaks corresponding to the morning and evening rush hours at the Tahoe City site. 5-15 6 Conclusions and Recommendations This study carried out ambient and in-plume measurements and developed/tested modeling tools for evaluating prescribed burning impacts on air quality (i.e., PM2.5 level) in the Lake Tahoe Basin (LTB). Major findings are listed below: Laboratory tests and emission models underestimate prescribed burn emissions and combustion efficiencies EFPM2.5 determined from the in-plume measurements of prescribed burning generally increases with decreasing CE, but with a wide range of EFPM2.5/(1 - CE) ratios (Figure 20). The operational emissions model (i.e., FEPS), with its default settings, reports lower CEs than measured values due to a predefined flaming phase CE coefficient of 0.9. Much higher CEs (~0.99) were detected in the field. FEPS also underestimates EFPM2.5 for a given CEs by up to a factor of six. The low-end EFPM2.5 predicted by FEPS are consistent with laboratory combustion tests for dry LTB fuels while the high-end EFPM2.5 as measured by the in-plume measurements agree with laboratory tests of moist fuels. For proper simulation of the largest possible impacts, CE coefficients in FEPS were increased to 0.99 for flaming and 0.9 for smoldering, and the EFPM2.5 coefficients were increased by a factor of six. This substantially increases the modeled PM2.5 emission rates, particularly for the smoldering phase. Understory burns show higher emission factors than slash pile burns, implying larger environmental effects Lower overall combustion efficiencies were found for understory burns (i.e., DSP and TNC: CE < 0.9) of natural vegetation than for slash-pile burns (i.e., SKY and CLC: CE > 0.9). This is likely due to a higher moisture content and lower fire intensity. Higher emission factors for PM2.5 and NH3 associated with the low combustion efficiencies imply larger environmental impacts from understory burns with respect to air quality and nutrient (i.e., nitrogen) deposition. This should be of additional concern since more emissions from understory burns are associated with smoldering combustion which is accompanied by a relatively low heat release rate and plume height (i.e., staying longer near the surface). PM2.5 from pile burns, however, contain a higher fraction of lightabsorbing BC or EC, which impacts visibility (or lake clarity when depositing into the water) more than light-scattering particles such as NH4NO3, (NH4)2SO4, OM, and fugitive dust. Despite enforcement of smoke management plans, prescribed burning impacts air quality in the Lake Tahoe Basin Multiple agencies have been carrying out prescribed burning in the LTB, with strict guidelines for smoke management. Preferred weather conditions include an unstable boundary layer (i.e., no inversion) with moderate winds to carry smoke outside the basin. Except for occasional misforecasts, smoke from the ignition and first several hours of burning usually rises and moves away from the population centers as expected. However, smoldering combustion can continue long after the active ignition period. The model prediction indicates that the smoldering smoke often impacts communities due to changes 6-1 in wind direction. The impact often shows up in the evening under a shallow surface layer. This could happen for prescribed burns in any part of the basin. The extent of smoke impacts depends on the smoldering emission rate (i.e., emission factor × fuel consumption), which appears to be minor if using the default FEPS parameters (Malamakal et al., 2013). With modified settings, the smoke impact is appreciable as compared to ambient PM2.5 levels in the LTB. However, it does not cause exceedances of the 24-hr PM2.5 air quality standards of 35 µg/m3 or the 8-hr California visibility standard for the Lake Tahoe Air Basin (bext = 70 Mm-1, or equivalently 16.7 µg/m3 of PM2.5) at the current monitoring sites. Individual prescribed burn impacts are inhomogeneous and of short duration compared with wildfires Prescribed burning impacts on air quality can be identified as episodic by examining baseline diurnal patterns (Figure 12) in conjunction with wildfire and prescribed burn records (Table 5). PM2.5 episodes associated with prescribed burning can be as short as 1–2 hours and rarely last more than several hours. This is confirmed by FEPS-HYSPLIT modeling. Transport of the smoke plume depends on meso-scale winds, which change direction frequently. The spatial distribution of smoke is also inhomogeneous. The Incline Village site is often influenced by nearby prescribed burns conducted by the NTFPD and NDF, while the Tahoe City site is more likely to experience smoke from burns on the west shore. Prescribed burns by the LTBMU in the Angora and Fallen Leaf areas could impact the South Lake Tahoe and Cave Rock sites more than other sites. Impacts from distant wildfires are usually more spatially homogeneous within the basin and last longer (e.g., >48 hours), and therefore can be clearly identified. Further model development and validation are required to quantify prescribed burning contributions to pollutants versus contributions from other sources The FEPS-HYSPLIT model, driven by the high-resolution (2 km x 2 km) WRF meteorological data, is useful for simulating smoke transport around the LTB. The model-predicted PM2.5 episodes due to prescribed burning are consistent in time with measured PM2.5 concentrations in many cases. The model provides fire agencies with an additional tool to make/evaluate burn decisions. However, the model predictions are not reliable for "quantifying" prescribed burning contributions to PM2.5 and other pollutants. The real-world in-plume measurements helped to refine the emission factors in FEPS. However, the model is still limited by fuel consumption estimates and inaccurate/incomplete burn information such as ignition time, burn duration, rate of burn progress, and fuel conditions. Improved model resolution is also needed. For the fall burns, prescribed burning impacts on air quality often peak in the late evening, coinciding with a maximum impact from residential wood combustion. The current ambient PM2.5 chemical speciations do not offer markers to distinguish particles from these two sources to further validate the model. Model validation would preferably be made with spring or summer burns, which are not available in this study due to unexpected weather conditions in 2012 and a short project duration (i.e, no prescribed burns in spring/summer 2012 with no ambient measurements in spring/summer 2011 and 2013). 6-2 Recommendations for future prescribed burning practice and research include: Burn decisions should consult longer-term weather forecasts coupled with dispersion modeling To address the potential impact of prolonged smoldering combustion emissions, it is not sufficient to base the prescribed burn decision solely on weather conditions of the burn day. A longer-term forecast (e.g., 72 hours) should be consulted, especially for burns close to population centers. This can be further rectified by dispersion modeling using updated combustion efficiencies and emission factors as described in this report. A cross-agency, post-burn reporting system should be available The current burn records are mainly for acquiring a burn permit and do not reflect adjustments (e.g., ignition time and burn plot) made in the field. A post-burn reporting system needs to be developed, which would provide accurate burn information, facilitate hindcasting of smoke dispersion, and update emission inventories. The burn information needs to be entered into the system by a burn officer after each burn and made accessible on-line. Further research should focus on spring and summer burns for validating the emission and dispersion models Source- and receptor-oriented modeling will be the ultimate tools for quantifying prescribed burning impacts on air quality and environment health. These models need to be continuously developed and validated. Spring and summer burns would be the preferred cases for validating models, since contributions from residential wood combustion are small and contributions from wildfires can be clearly distinguished. This study provides examples of smoke plume dispersion and characterization. Future research should include hourly measurements of more specific biomass burning markers, such as brown carbon, water-soluble potassium, and levoglucosan, at the ambient monitoring sites to reduce the ambiguity in model evaluation. 6-3 7 Acknowledgement This project was funded by the USDA Forest Service through the Southern Nevada Public Land Management Act (SNPLMA Round 11). The authors thank John Washington from the Lake Tahoe Basin Management Unit and Roland Shaw from the Nevada Division of Forestry for their assistance in the field and for providing the burn information. The authors also appreciate the following DRI colleagues: Tim Brown provided WRF data, Keith Szelagowski organized the database, and Steve Kohl as well as other DRI Environmental Analysis Facility (EAF) staffs for laboratory analysis. Comments from the reviewers, including Drs. Tim Brown, Susan Prichard, Roger Ottmar, and Shawn Urbanski, are greatly appreciated. The conclusions are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the sponsoring agencies. 7-1 8 References Anderson, G.; Sandberg, D.; Norheim, R. (2004). Fire emission production simulator (FEPS) user's guide. prepared by U.S. Forest Service, http://www.fs.fed.us/pnw/fera/feps. Andreae, M.O.; Merlet, P. (2001). Emission of trace gases and aerosols from biomass burning. Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 15(4):955-966. Arya, S.P. (1999). Air Pollution Meteorology and Dispersion, p.310, Oxford University Press, New York. Beaty, R.M.; Taylor, A.H. (2008). 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Phys., 13(1):89-116. 8-7 9 Appendix A Table A-1: Prescribed burns conducted in 2011 Burn Date a Agency Latitude Longitude Type of Burn b Burn Area (acres) Tons/ Acre 3 30 5/16/11 CSP 39.770 120.693 5/16/11 CSP 39.756 120.693 5/16/11 CSP 39.133 120.163 3 30 5/17/11 CSP 39.770 120.674 2 30 5/17/11 CSP 39.133 120.163 2 30 5/23/11 CSP 39.756 120.693 0.5 30 5/24/11 CSP 39.770 120.693 0.5 30 6/6/11 0.5 30 CSP 39.770 120.674 6/11/11 LTBMU 39.017 119.950 U 27 8/17/11 LTBMU 39.250 120.077 P 2 8/18/11 LTBMU 40.250 121.077 P 3 10/3/11 CSP 39.308 120.245 U 9 4 10/4/11 NLTFPD 39.279 120.227 P 10 16 10/5/11 LTBMU 38.944 120.107 P 24 Time of Ignition (PST) 10:00 Harvest Date of Fuel Type of Vegetation Duff Depth Site Slope Fuel Moisture Surface wind speed 2008 Conifer 1-3" 0-10% 9% 10 SKY DSP 2007 9:00 2011 10/5/11 LTBMU 38.887 120.050 10/5/11 CSP 39.756 120.693 10/5/11 CSP 39.770 120.674 10/6/11 LTBMU 38.944 120.107 P 29 1.5 9:30 1 9:30 2011 10/8/11 P LTBMU 38.887 120.050 10/10/11 CSP 39.756 120.693 3 30 10/10/11 CSP 39.133 120.163 0.5 30 10/12/11 LTBMU 38.872 120.050 41 10:00 2011 P 108 7" 40% 25% (dead) 3 0.01" 50% 128% (live) 15 3" 10% 25%(dead) 5 0.01" 60% 125% (live) 4 0.01" 10% 125%(live) 8 30 2007 P White Fir, Manzanita Ponderosa, Jeffery Pine, Bitterbush 10:30 9-1 White Fir, Manzanita Ponderosa, Jeffery Pine, Ponderosa, Jeffery Pine Table A-1 (continued) b Longitude Type of Burn 39.276 119.939 U 13 10:00 LTBMU 38.859 120.240 U 100 7:30 10/17/11 NLTFPD 39.262 119.972 U 12 10:00 10/18/11 LTBMU 39.134 120.218 P 10/19/11 CSP 39.785 120.674 10/19/11 CSP 39.770 120.674 a Burn Date Agency 10/12/11 NLTFPD 10/15/11 Latitude Burn Area (acres) Tons/ Acre Time of Ignition Harvest Date of Fuel Type of Vegetation Shrub, Conifer, Litter Duff Depth Site Slope Fuel Moisture 2-3" 25-50% Manzanita Shrub, Conifer, Litter 5" 20% 10-14% 10% (dead) 6-8" 35-50% 10-14% 2006 2 31 39.264 119.976 U 8 10:00 10/19/11 NDF 39.229 119.889 U 7 10:00 2011 38.872 120.050 10/20/11 CSP 39.785 120.674 10/20/11 CSP 39.770 120.674 P/U 32 19 5 0-10 NLTFPD1 LTBMU1 NLTFPD LTBMU 0-10 7 10/19/11 10/20/11 Surface wind speed 7:00 Shrub, Conifer, Litter Brush, Mountain Chaparral Ponderosa, Jeffery Pine, Bitterbush 2-3" 35-50% 10-14% 0-10 NLTFPD2 0-4 inches 5%25% 90-100% 3-5 0.01" 25% 125%(live) 15 0-4 inches 5%25% 90-100% 3-5 TNC 2-3" 35-50% 10-14% 0-10 0.01" 50% 125%(live) 6-8" 24-45% 10-14% 18 0-10 NLTFPD3 7 10/20/11 NDF 39.229 119.889 U 10 10:00 10/23/11 NLTFPD 39.261 119.975 U 11 10:00 2011 10/25/11 LTBMU 38.887 120.050 P/U 40 8:00 10/31/11 NLTFPD 39.262 119.967 U 10 10:00 9-2 Brush, Mountain Chaparral Shrub, Conifer, Litter Ponderosa, Jeffery Pine, Bitterbush Shrub, Conifer Table A-1 (continued) b Longitude Type of Burn 38.874 120.050 P CSP 39.770 120.693 CSP 39.756 120.693 11/2/11 CSP 39.770 120.674 11/5/11 LTBMU 39.113 120.159 2 11/7/11 CSP 39.323 120.226 11 11/7/11 CSP 39.323 120.245 11/8/11 NDF 39.172 119.937 P 11/9/11 LTBMU 38.986 119.931 P/U 11/9/11 LTBMU 38.986 119.913 P/U 11/9/11 LTBMU 38.963 119.911 P/U 11/9/11 CSP 39.191 120.133 P 1 11/9/11 NDF 38.961 119.926 P 5 11/10/11 CSP 39.323 120.226 11/10/11 CSP 39.323 120.245 11/10/11 CSP 39.756 120.693 11/13/11 NLTFPD 39.247 119.933 a Burn Date Agency 11/2/11 LTBMU 11/2/11 11/2/11 11/14/1 1 CSP Latitude 39.756 Burn Area (acres) 120.693 Time of Ignition Harvest Date of Fuel Type of Vegetation Duff Depth Site Slope Fuel Moisture 32 18 P Tons/ Acre LTBMU2 7 7.5 3 10:00 30 8:00 20092010 2007 White Fir 212 inches Lodge Pole, White Fir, Manzanita 0-6 inches 5%20% 3" 30% 4-6 10-30% (dead) 3-10 20 9:30 6 7.5 3 30 8 1 Surface wind speed 9:00 2010 Summer Shrub, Hardwood Piles N/A 15-35% 2007 White Fir, Manzanita 6" 30% 0-15 30 11/14/11 LTBMU 39.162 120.162 P 1.44 11/15/11 LTBMU 39.133 120.163 P 26.7 11/15/11 LTBMU 39.118 120.165 P 1 11/15/11 CSP 39.756 120.693 1 30 11/15/11 CSP 39.133 120.163 2 30 10:00 9-3 18% (dead) 8 Table A-1 (continued) Burn Date a Agency Latitude Longitude Type of Burn b Burn Area (acres) Tons/ Acre 1 30 1 30 11/16/11 CSP 39.756 120.693 11/16/11 CSP 39.133 120.163 11/17/11 LTBMU 38.884 120.048 P 41 11/17/11 LTBMU 38.871 120.052 P 108 11/17/11 CSP 39.191 120.133 0.5 20 11/17/11 CSP 39.323 120.226 12 7.5 11/17/11 CSP 39.323 120.245 11/19/11 LTBMU 39.147 120.162 Time of Ignition Harvest Date of Fuel 2007 P 3 10:30 11/21/11 NLTFPD 39.235 120.005 P 15 0.67 9:00 11/21/11 NLTFPD 39.262 119.981 P 20 0.68 9:00 Footnotes: a CALFIRE: California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection CSP: California State Park CTC: California Tahoe Conservancy LTBMU: Lake Tahoe Basin Management Unit NDF: Nevada Division of Forestry NLTFPD: North Lake Tahoe Fire Protection Department b U=Understory; P=Pile 9-4 2010 Summer 2010 Summer Type of Vegetation Duff Depth White Fir, Manzanita 6" Conifer Conifer Site Slope 20 15 35% 10 30% Fuel Moisture Surface wind speed 15% (dead) 7 0-15 0-15 Appendix B Table B-1: Prescribed burns conducted in 2012 Burn Date a Agency Latitude Longitude Type of Burn b Burn Area (acres) Tons/ Acre Time of Ignition 1/19/12 LTBMU 38.914 120.032 P 20 10:00 1/24/12 NDF 39.223 119.925 P 4 9:30 CTC 39.144 120.163 P 2 12.6 CTC 39.144 120.163 2 12.6 NDF 39.223 119.925 1/24/12 1/25/12 Harvest Date of Fuel 2011 summer 2011 2011 1/25/12 1/25/12 1/26/12 P 2 NDF 39.961 119.927 P 5 CTC 39.144 120.163 P 2 NDF 39.223 119.925 P 2 9:30 10:00 2008 2009 12.6 2011 1/26/12 1/26/12 1/30/12 NDF 39.961 119.927 P 2 CTC 39.144 120.163 P 1 NDF 39.223 119.925 P 1 CTC 39.144 120.163 P 2 9:30 10:00 2008 2009 12.6 2011 1/30/12 1/31/12 9:30 12.6 2011 1/31/12 NDF 39.223 119.925 P 1 9:30 1/31/12 NDF 39.961 119.927 P 10 10:00 2/1/12 NDF 39.223 119.925 P 2 9:30 2/1/12 NDF 39.961 119.927 P 7 10:00 9-5 2008 2009 2011 2008 - 09 Type of Vegetation Conifer White Fir, Manzanita Jeffrey Pine, White Fir Jeffrey Pine, White Fir White Fir, Manzanita Duff Depth Site Slope Fuel Moisture Surface wind speed 0-20% 15% 0-30 0-20% 10 40% <10 0-30% <10 Conifer Jeffrey Pine, White Fir White Fir, Manzanita <12 Conifer Jeffrey Pine, White Fir White Fir, Manzanita Jeffrey Pine, White Fir White Fir, Manzanita <12 <10 1025% <10 0-15% <10 Conifer White Fir, Manzanita <12 20% <10 Conifer 20% <12 Table B-1 (continued) Burn Date a Agency Latitude Longitude Type of Burn b Burn Area (acres) Tons/ Acre Time of Ignition 2/6/12 NDF 39.961 119.927 P 20 10:00 2/7/12 NDF 39.961 119.927 P 35 10:00 2/7/12 NDF 39.223 119.925 P 1 9:30 2/9/12 NDF 39.961 119.927 P 1 10:00 2/13/12 NDF 39.961 119.927 P 10 10:00 2/14/12 NDF 39.961 119.927 P 1 10:00 2/15/12 NDF P 10 9:30 2/15/12 NDF P 1 9:30 2/16/12 NDF 2/21/12 NDF 2/21/12 NDF 39.223 39.961 39.223 119.925 119.927 119.925 P 5 10:00 P 15 9:30 P 3 9:30 Harvest Date of Fuel 2008 2009 2008 2009 2011 2008 2009 2008 2009 2008 2009 2010 2011 2011 2008 2009 2010 2011 2011 2011 2/22/12 2/27/12 NDF NDF 39.223 119.925 P P 2 9:30 10 Duff Depth Site Slope Fuel Moisture Surface wind speed Conifer <12 Conifer White Fir, Manzanita <12 Conifer Conifer <10 2550% <12 0-10% 2050% <12 Conifer White Fir, Manzanita 25% <12 5% <10 Conifer 20% <12 Conifer Conifer White Fir, Manzanita White Fir, Manzanita <12 <12 25% <10 <10 9:30 2011 Conifer <12 2010 2011 2011 White Fir <12 Conifer <12 White Fir <12 Conifer <12 Conifer <12 2/27/12 NDF P 5 10:00 2/28/12 NDF P 5 9:30 2/28/12 NDF P 5 10:00 3/5/12 NDF P 12 9:30 3/5/12 NDF P 5 9:30 9-6 Type of Vegetation 2010 2011 2010 2011 2011 Table B-1 (continued) Burn Date 3/7/12 3/8/12 a Agency Latitude Longitude Type of Burn b Burn Area (acres) Tons/ Acre CTC 39.111 120.161 P 4 12.6 CTC 39.111 120.161 P 2 12.6 Time of Ignition 3/14/12 NDF P 12 9:30 3/14/12 NDF P 2 9:30 Harvest Date of Fuel 2010 2011 2011 3/15/12 NDF P 2 10:00 3/16/12 NDF P 7 10:00 3/20/12 NDF P 5 10:00 3/20/12 NDF P 2 9:30 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2011 10:00 2008 2010 3/22/12 NDF 3/22/12 3/23/12 39.223 119.925 P 5 CSP P 6 CSP P 4 2009 spring 2009 spring Type of Vegetation Jeffrey Pine, White Fir Jeffrey Pine, White Fir Surface wind speed Conifer <12 Conifer <12 Conifer <12 Conifer <12 Conifer <12 Manzanita <12 38.941 120.053 P 19 9:00 10/18/12 LTBMU 38.900 119.930 P 17 8:00 CSP 39.194 120.242 P 5 30 CSP 39.193 120.131 P 3 30 10/26/12 CALFIRE 39.189 120.096 P 2 0.75 Conifer 10/29/12 LTBMU 39.134 120.161 P 1 15 Conifer 10/29/12 LTBMU 39.124 120.164 P 2 9.45 Conifer 10/30/12 LTBMU 39.134 120.161 P 1 15 Conifer 11/1/12 LTBMU 39.134 120.161 P 0.5 15 Conifer 11/1/12 NLTFPD 39.249 120.034 P 5 2 Conifer 9-7 Fuel Moisture <12 LTBMU 10/25/12 Site Slope Conifer 10/15/12 10/24/12 Duff Depth Aspen 8% 10 Aspen Jeffrey Pine, White Fir Jeffrey Pine, White Fir 9% 10 Table B-1 (continued) Burn Date 11/2/12 a Agency LTBMU Latitude 39.177 Longitude Type of Burn 120.143 P b Burn Area (acres) Tons/ Acre 0.5 0.75 Time of Ignition Harvest Date of Fuel Type of Vegetation LTBMU 39.142 119.920 P 14 10:00 11/6/12 NLTFPD 36.264 119.987 U 30 10:00 11/13/12 11/14/12 NLTFPD 39.250 120.035 P 8 9:00 LTBMU 39.173 120.141 P 0.25 1.26 Conifer 11/15/12 LTBMU 39.173 120.141 P 0.25 1.26 Conifer NLTFPD 11/19/12 P 23 9:00 NDF P 12 10:00 11/26/12 NDF P 10 9:30 11/27/12 NDF P 5 9:30 11/28/12 11/28/12 NDF P 3 LTBMU 39.134 120.177 P 50 11/29/12 LTBMU 39.133 120.175 P 60 10:00 Nov NLTFPD 39.119 119.918 P 50 9:00 12/4/12 LTBMU 38.985 119.938 P 1 9:00 12/5/12 LTBMU 39.147 119.928 P 100 8:00 P 12 9:30 12/11/12 NDF 39.272 119.964 Site Slope Fuel Moisture Surface wind speed 12% 5-10 10-14% 0-15 Conifer 2009 spring 11/5/12 11/16/12 Duff Depth 9:30 2011 Summer 2008, 2009 Summer 2009 2010 20092010 2009 2010 2009 2010 10 Conifer Conifer, Shrub, Litter 2-3" Brush 0-15 Shrub, Conifer 0-15 Conifer <12 Conifer <12 Conifer <12 Conifer <12 Conifer 9-8 2004 summer 2009, 2010, 2011 Summer 2009 summer 2010 summer 2009 2010 Conifer 16% Conifer 5-20 0-15 Conifer 10% 0-10 Conifer 8-12% 05-20 Conifer <12 Table B-1 (continued) Type of Burn b Burn Area (acres) Burn Date Agency 12/11/12 NDF P 8 10:00 12/12/12 NDF P 9 9:30 12/12/12 NDF P 4 10:00 12/13/12 NDF P 12 9:30 12/13/12 NDF P 3 10:00 12/14/12 12/18/12 NDF P 3 10:00 P 3 a NLTFPD Latitude 39.220 Longitude 120.092 Tons/ Acre Time of Ignition 4.2 Harvest Date of Fuel 2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010 Type of Vegetation 9-9 Site Slope Fuel Moisture Surface wind speed White Fir <12 Conifer <12 White Fir <12 Conifer <12 White Fir <12 White Fir <12 Conifer Footnotes: a CALFIRE: California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection CSP: California State Park CTC: California Tahoe Conservancy LTBMU: Lake Tahoe Basin Management Unit NDF: Nevada Division of Forestry NLTFPD: North Lake Tahoe Fire Protection Department b U = understory; P = pile Duff Depth Appendix C Table C-1: Fuel loads breakdown for four prescribed burns researched in this study Burn ID SKY DSP TNC CLC Total Load* (tons/acre) 28 35.6 16.7 30 Canopy (tons/acre) 21.50 24.24 42.24 21.50 Shrub (tons/acre) 2.53 0.74 0 2.53 Grass (tons/acre) 0.31 0.02 0.06 0.31 Woody (tons/acre) 9.4 33.60 11.8 9.4 * Litter (tons/acre) 0.88 1.22 4.84 0.88 Piles† (tons/acre) 15 0 0 17 Total loads do not include canopy and duff. Piles load is estimated by fire agency, whereas other loads are obtained from FCCS implemented into the FEPS model. † SKY Figure C-1: Pictures of vegetation in the SKY, DSP, and TNC burn plots in fall 2011. 9-10 Duff (tons/acre) 22.10 19.21 54.64 22.10 DSP TNC Figure C-1: (Continued) 9-11