Baldwin Residential Real Estate Center for Real Estate Studies Baldwin Multi List Go to http://cres.southalabama.edu for more data Report for the period ending September, 2010 Baldwin County Residential Market (Total, North, Central, South) This snapshot view of the residential housing market is designed to provide a useful source of data and information. We hope you find it useful. Comments are always welcome. The average sales price in Baldwin County for September increased 17.96 percent to $233,518, and the median sales price increased 3.66 percent to $165,750. Median sale prices in the North also showed a dramatic increase of 18.82 percent to $190,000, the Central median sales price increased 6.46 percent to $150,000, and the South increased 3.08 percent to $239,400. Sales rose to 21 in the North, decreased to 137 in the Central Area, and fell by 23.91 percent to 70 in the South. For the whole county, sales decreased by 40 to 228. Average days on the market for the whole county decreased from 178 in August to 164 in September. This decrease was primarily due to the 38.43 percent decrease in the North. In the South it decreased to 172, the Central region slightly increased to 164 from 160 in August, and the North fell from 229 in August to 141 in September 2010. The number of homes sold in the U.S. decreased by 29.5 percent in July. The median sales price fell 0.5 percent to $182.100. The number of months required to sell the existing inventory increased to 12.5. The National Association of Realtors recommends a 6 to 8 month range for a healthy market. The second page shows MLS data for the three Baldwin County areas. North is north of I-10. Central is between I-10 and the International Waterway. South is south of the Waterway. Data for the Total County are explained above. United States Existing Home Prices for All Housing Types Time Sales Jul-09 532,000 Average Sales Price $227,200 $181,300 Inventory Month Supply 9.5 Jun-10 555,000 $230,000 $183,000 8.9 Jul-10 Vs. Last Month (%) Vs. Last Year (%) 391,000 $231,700 $182,100 12.5 -29.5 0.7 -0.5 40.4 -26.5 2.0 0.4 31.6 Median Sales Price Median Sales Price $183,500 $183,000 $182,500 $182,000 $181,500 $181,000 $180,500 $180,000 Jul-09 Jun-10 Jul-10 Data Sources: All data taken from the Baldwin Multi-List, Martha Taylor, Office: 251.928.1708, and the National Association of Realtors, www.realtor.com. For additional information, contact Dr. Don Epley, Director, Center for Real Estate Studies, Mitchell College of Business, University of South Alabama, Office: 251.460.6735, E-mail: depley@usouthal.edu University of South Alabama takes reasonable measures to ensure the quality of the data and other information produced. However, USA makes no warranty, express or implied, nor assumes any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, correctness, or completeness of any information, nor represents that its use would not infringe on privately owned rights. Reference to any specific commercial product, process, or service does not constitute an endorsement, recommendation, or favoring by USA. September 2010 Baldwin County Residential Report North Number of Sales North Average Sales Price 25 $300,000 20 $200,000 15 10 $100,000 5 $0 0 Sep-07 Sep-08 Month Sep-09 Ave. Sales $ Aug-10 Sep-10 Sep-07 Sep-08 Sep-09 % Change Month # Sales Sep-07 -19.86 -25.08 Sep-08 20 21 22 17 21 235 226 Sep-07 $247,787 Sep-08 $198,586 Sep-09 $148,777 Aug-10 $190,635 Sep-10 $223,198 17.08 Sep-10 Annual 08 Annual 09 $204,185 $176,458 -13.58 Annual 08 Annual 09 Sep-09 Aug-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 % Change 5.00 4.76 23.53 -3.83 Central Number of Sales Central Average Sales Price 170 $250,000 160 $200,000 $150,000 150 $100,000 140 $50,000 130 $0 120 Sep-07 Month Ave. Sales $ Sep-07 $235,951 $197,929 $191,506 $162,122 $170,999 $223,901 $183,317 Sep-08 Sep-09 Aug-10 Sep-10 Annual 08 Annual 09 % Change Sep-08 Sep-09 Month # Sales Sep-07 146 145 156 159 137 1561 1597 -16.11 -3.25 Sep-08 Sep-09 Aug-10 5.48 Sep-10 -18.13 Annual 08 Annual 09 Aug-10 Sep-10 % Change -0.68 7.59 -13.84 2.31 South Number of Sales South Average Sales Price 150 $500,000 $400,000 100 $300,000 $200,000 50 $100,000 0 $0 Sep-07 Sep-08 Month Sep-07 Sep-08 Sep-09 Aug-10 Sep-10 Annual 08 Annual 09 Sep-09 Aug-10 Sep-10 Ave. Sales $ % Change $436,613 $395,253 $319,319 $261,263 $358,974 $404,927 $311,532 -9.47 -19.21 Sep-07 Sep-08 Sep-09 Month # Sales Sep-07 62 73 135 92 70 943 1241 Sep-08 Sep-09 Aug-10 37.40 Sep-10 -23.06 Annual 08 Annual 09 Aug-10 Sep-10 % Change 17.74 84.93 -23.91 31.60 Mobile Single-Family Real Estate Center for Real Estate Studies Mobile Area Multi-List Additional data and information can be found at http://cres.southalabama.edu Month of September, 2010 Market Beginning to Level The number of sales rose by 3.67 percent to 254 in September. However, the average sale price decreased from $135,504 to $124,697. Sales fell from 69 to 63 in the $100,000-$149,999 range. Two sales occurred over $500,000 compared to four sales in September, 2009, and four in September, 2007. The highest volume of sales was 109 in the $0-$99,999 bracket, which showed an increase from 98 in August. The median sale price fell to $114,150 in September from $117,000 in August, 2010. The Mobile market is still slowing, but beginning to level. The average number of months to sell the existing inventory of properties decreased to 15.07. This number is calculated by dividing the number of properties for sale, 3830, by the number of sales, 254. From August to September, the properties for sale decreased and the number of sales increased. This number was 10.87 in September, 2009, and 15.96 in August, 2010. The U.S. rate was 12.5 in July, 2010. The highest volume market was under $200,000. Of the 254 total sales in September, 216 or 85.04 percent, were in this price range. Twenty-six properties sold in the $200,000-$299,999 price range, eight in the $300,000-$499,999 range, and only two above one-half million. In August, 95.28 percent of all sales were $300,000 and lower. The number of sales in the $300,000-$499,999 bracket decreased to 8 in September from 13 in August, 2010. The latest figures for the U.S. market in July revealed a 29.5 percent decrease in the number of sales from June to July 2010, and a 26.5 percent decrease from July, 2009 to July, 2010. The average sale price rose by 0.7 percent to $231,700. The median price decreased 0.5 percent to $182,100 for the same period. The Mobile market struggled in August compared to the national average in July. This month’s absorption rate of 15.07 compared to 12.5 for the U.S. shows that the Mobile market still contains too much inventory. Over 85 percent of all Mobile sales occurred in the price range under $200,000, and over 95 percent was under $300,000. United States Existing Home Prices for All Housing Types Time Sales Jul-09 532,000 Average Sales Price $227,200 Median Sales Price $181,300 Inventory Month Supply 9.5 Jun-10 555,000 $230,000 $183,000 8.9 Jul-10 Vs. Last Month (%) Vs. Last Year (%) 391,000 $231,700 $182,100 12.5 -29.5 0.7 -0.5 40.4 -26.5 2.0 0.4 31.6 Median Sales Price $183,500 $183,000 $182,500 $182,000 $181,500 $181,000 $180,500 $180,000 Jul-09 Jun-10 Jul-10 Data Sources: All data taken from the Mobile Area Association of Realtors, Jeff Newman, 251.479.8654; and the National Association of Realtors, www.realtor.com. For additional information, contact: Dr. Don Epley, Director, Center for Real Estate Studies, University of South Alabama, Office: 251.460.6735, E-mail: depley@usouthal.edu. University of South Alabama takes reasonable measures to ensure the quality of the data and other information produced. However, USA makes no warranty, express or implied, nor assumes any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, correctness, or completeness of any information, nor represents that its use would not infringe on privately owned rights. Reference to any specific commercial product, process, or service does not constitute an endorsement, recommendation, or favoring by USA. September 2010 Mobile County Single-Family Residential Report Average Sales Price $200,000 Median Sales Price $160,000 $140,000 $120,000 $150,000 $100,000 $100,000 $80,000 $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $20,000 $0 $0 Sep-07 Month Sep-08 Ave. Sales $ Sep-09 Aug-10 vs. Last Year (%) Sep-10 Sep-07 vs. Last Month (%) Month Sep-08 Sep-09 Med. Sales $ Aug-10 vs. Last Year (%) Sep-07 $140,850 Sep-07 $127,900 Sep-08 $156,880 11.38 Sep-08 $139,250 8.87 Sep-09 $138,608 -11.65 Sep-09 $125,000 -10.23 Aug-10 $135,504 Sep-10 $124,697 Annual 08 $153,089 Annual 09 $143,064 -6.55 Number of Sales 400 Aug-10 $117,000 Sep-10 $114,150 Annual 08 $133,850 Annual 09 $127,000 -7.98 15 200 10 100 5 0 vs. Last Month (%) -2.44 -5.12 Month's Inventory 20 300 Sep-10 0 Sep-07 Sep-08 Sep-09 Aug-10 vs. Last Year (%) Sep-10 Sep-07 vs. Last Month (%) Sep-08 Sep-09 Month Month's Inventory Sep-07 8.61 Aug-10 vs. Last Year (%) Month # Sales Sep-07 365 Sep-08 352 -3.56 Sep-08 9.91 15.10 Sep-09 330 -6.25 Sep-09 10.87 9.69 Aug-10 245 Aug-10 15.96 Sep-10 254 Sep-10 15.07 Annual 08 10.33 Annual 09 12.42 Annual 08 4106 Annual 09 3472 3.67 -15.44 Sep-10 vs. Last Month (%) -5.58 20.23 0-$99,999 $100,000$149,999 $150,000$199,999 $200,000$299,999 $300,000$499,999 Sep-07 123 113 67 44 14 4 Sep-08 99 95 69 60 26 3 Sep-09 109 105 55 47 10 4 Aug-10 98 69 37 25 13 3 Sep-10 109 63 44 26 8 2 Ann. 08 1248 1234 764 588 204 71 Ann. 09 1142 1090 612 450 143 34 Number Month Over $500K Price Range of Sales 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Sep-07 Sep-08 Sep-09 Aug-10 Sep-10