'mmMmmmmmm?i MIT LIBRARIES 3 9080 02617 9355 lillUII'lllil^lli'.i'.iHIfUJW, Digitized by the Internet Archive in 2011 with funding from Boston Library Consortium IVIember Libraries http://www.archive.org/details/shroudattributesOOgaba DENNEf HB31. M415 i3 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Department of Economics Working Paper Series SHROUDED ATTRIBUTES, CONSUMER MYOPIA, AND INFORMATION SUPPRESSION IN COMPETITIVE MARKETS Xavier Gabaix David Laibson Working Paper 05-1 April 2005 1 1 , RoomE52-251 50 Memorial Drive Cambridge, MA 021 42 This paper can be downloaded without charge from the Social Science Research Network Paper Collection at http://ssrn.com/abstract=728545 informational shrouding flourishes even in highly competitive markets, even in markets with costless advertising, and even when the shrouding JEL DOO, D60, D80, LOO. classification: Keywords: behavioral economics, bounded geirerates allocational inefficiencies. rationality, tion suppression, myopia, shrouded attributes. consumer protection, informa- Introduction 1 If some consumers are imperfectly rational, firms might try to exploit their biases. In competitive pressure may solve the problem. scheme to biased consumers and gain in A some markets, competitor firm could explain the exploitation their patronage. which firms have an incentive to debias consumers. we In this paper, We identify environments also identify conditions under which a "curse of debiasing" occurs, whereby no firm chooses to compete with a debiasing strategy. We specifically study markets in which firms choose to hide information from consumers. For example, banks prominently advertise the virtues of their accounts, but the marketing materials do not highlight the costs minimum them. balance Indeed, fees, etc. of such an account which include Banks could compete on these many bank customers do ATM costs, usage fees, bounced check fees, but they instead choose to shroud not learn the details of the fee structure until long after they have opened their accounts. Cruickshank (2000) reports results of a fees in the UK banking common fees for to supply sector. UK Treasury survey that investigates the origins of high Half of the respondents report having no information about the financial services at their own bank.^ banking services to personal customers [...] The report concludes that "In the markets few consumers are aware of the terms and conditions of the products they hold, pointing to significant information problems." The printer market operates in a similar way. of their Inkjet printers, but do not cartridges that cost ten times reports that only 3% compete on the principal more than the of printer Printer manufacturers advertise the low price cost of ownership printer itself over the life — i.e., patented ink of the product. Elall (2003) owners claim to know the printing cost at the time they buy their printers. At first glance, shrouding costs seems like a natural marketing strategy. However, ecjuilibrium theory implies that shrouded fees actually hurt the bank or printer manufacturer. that is hidden in the fine print to be favorable to consumers. be high prices. Any — or excluded from marketing materials altogether — Rational consumers will anticipate that Such reasoning creates an incentive for information is not likely hidden prices are likely to information revelation and unravelling of Respondents were asked "How accurately do you feel you know the charge for services on your account?" Response About half of respondents choose "E.xactly," "Roughly," "Not at all," and "Did not apply." "Not at all." ' categories included: shrouding. Indeed, We future all firms choose to unshroud their prices in equihbria with rational consumers. show that shrouding behavior game Some economists tree. will arise if "myopic" consumers incompletely analyze the believe that such shrouding can not survive (Shapiro 1995), arguing that competitive firms should educate other firms' customers, offer those customers pricing schemes, and consequently win their business. In contrast, myopic consumers creates equilibrium shrouding that We Avith high to such competitive pressure. We show that debiased consumers prefer to give their business to firms shrouded prices because these sophisticated consumers end up with a cross-subsidy from myopic customers To develop (e.g., immune that the existence of derive conditions under which competitive price cutting and educational advertising will not occur in equilibrium. When is we show efficient (cf DellaVigna and Malmendier 2003, 2004)." intuition for our results, consider a hotel a myopic guest checks in, the hotel will then rent the room costs the hotel $100 to supply. the guest purchases add-ons that cost the hotel $10 to supply parking, meals, minibar, phone, markup, so the hotel charges $30 room that gift for the shop items). Suppose that those add-ons have a 200% add-ons and makes a $20 for $80; in profit. In a competitive market, competitive equilibrium, total costs ($100-|-$10) equal total revenues ($80-F$30). Now consider a nearly identical "educated" customer, add-ons and therefore avoids buying them cell phone instead of relying (e.g., on the hotel phone, who anticipates all of the marked up she eats before arriving at the hotel, she brings a etc.). The educated consumer from the add-ons while reaping the benefits of the loss-leader room charge. substitutes Our paper away identifies conditions under which educated consumers will not want to leave the firm with high markups, even when competitors are offering marginal-cost pricing. room and It's often better to pay $80 for a hotel skip a few overpriced add-ons, than to pay $100 for the same hotel room and get add-ons priced at marginal cost. In essence, we show that there myopic consumers. In equilibrium, are two kinds of exploitation. Sophisticated firms exploit In turn, sophisticated consumers take advantage of these exploitative firms. nobody has an incentive to deviate except the myopic consumers. But the nwopes DellaVigna and Malmendier (2003, 2004) study cross-subsidies that arise from self-control problems. Naive consumers who don't recognize their self-control problems cross-subsidize sophisticated consumers who do. Of course, the hotel would like to screen out such .sophisticated consumers, but this may not be possible. do not know any better and often nobody has an incentive to show them the error of their ways. Educating a myopic consumer turns liim into a (less profitable) An This mechanism applies to a wide range of markets. benefit of a $50 gift for opening an account An interest charges and avoids paying payment late An fees. for frequent cartridge color, printing in draft consumers prefer to and avoids paying some of the fees that snare float, myopic and miles and avoids paying educated home printer buyer gets a loss-leader price replacements (by printing in black and white instead of mode, or printing fewer large jobs stick prefers educated banking customer gets the educated credit card holder gets convenience, and who good pricing and high-priced (but avoidable) add-ons. to go to firms with loss-leader base consumers. sophisticated consumer In such markets educated at home).'^ with the firms that feature high add-on prices, since these firms have loss-leader base-good prices, and the educated consumer can away from the partially substitute overpriced add-ons. Our and analysis shows free advertising. why high add-on markups will persist in markets with numerous competitors This prediction distinguishes our model from standard search models, which imply that firms have an incentive to disseminate information about their products and choose not to do so only We if such dissemination identify conditions is costly (e.g.. Butters 1977, Salop under which firms lowering add-on prices, even when will advertising costless marginal information dissemination with only rational consumers, firms In our model, with costlessly. The rest of this will choose is free. still ?iot and Stightz 1977, Stahl 1989).^ to advertise why This explains shroud their add-on choose to disclose all and hence not compete by industries with nearly prices.*^ In a search of their information enough myopic consumers, shrouding is if model they can do so the more profitable strategy. paper formalizes our claims. Section 2 defines a shrouded attribute and presents an equilibrium analysis of a market with discrete demand sions, including the general case for add-ons. Section 3 discusses exten- with continuous demand for add-ons. Section 4 concludes. All proofs are presented in appendices. A sophisticated consumer could also purchase the add-on from a third party, at why base-good ^This can be viewed as the key difference Stiglitz 1977) approach, if some transaction cost. This is and Hall (2003) for examples. between modelling bounded rationality as search costs (e.g., Salop and firms often hinder such third party transactions. See Salop (1993) and modelling it directly as failure to anticipate an attribute as in our model. In the search cost firms can costlessly educate the consumers, they will do so because consumers are Bayesian. way If a firm consumers will rationally infer that it has something to hide. So, if advertising costs are low, all firms reveal information to consumers. Try finding the operating cost of a personal Inkjet printer on the web site of a printer manufacturer. goes out of its to sustain high search costs, Salop and Stiglitz A Review Literature 1.1 recent literature argues that consumers' psychological biases explain a variety of puzzling market outcomes. DellaVigna and Malmendier (2003), Oster and Morton (2004), and Shui and Ausubel (2004) apply quasi-hyperbolic discounting to respectively study tions, and credit card accounts. loss aversion to gym contracts, Heidhues and Koszegi (2004) and Koszegi and Rabin (2004) apply study bait and switch marketing. Gabaix, Laibson and Li (2004), (2003) and Spiegler (2004) apply boundedly rational heuristics to study exploit noise in marketing hterature consumer (e.g., Bertrand et choice, one would al. how market Several lines of research Hausman affect consumer demand. loads than to ongoing (2005) Hausman and Joskow show that mutual fund management fees. prevalent on the Internet. Hossain and Ellison Morgan tion to direct costs than to shipping charges, place. For example. (1982) report that consumers put investors are and Ellison (2004) more life of the product. sensitive to front-end find that price obfuscation (2004, 2005) find that consumers pay and more generaUy more more find field evidence for (2003) finds that less educated consumers pay more atten- shrouded in the in is market- the mortgage for default risk. long intellectual tradition argues that competition will prevent biases from affecting the market equihbrium. will drive out will Woodward behavioral to up-front costs than to Other authors have argued that smarter consumers get better prices market controlling A When firms' customers. show that consumers pay more attention (1979) and Odean and Zheng attributes. equilibria firms have an incentive to recruit weight on the store price of an appliance than on the electricity cost during the Barber, Leslie 2004, Morwitz, Greenleaf and .Johnson 1998, know whether like to new customers by educating and debiasing other delayed costs. and Mullainathan and Shleifer (2004) study market incentives to slant news. Wertenbroch 1998) shows how frame manipulations biases affect .Jin consumer product evaluations. Glaeser (2005) studies the supply of ideology by political entrepreneurs. Finally, the magazine subscrip- For instance, Becker (1957) works out conditions under which competition employment discrimination by firms.' Our paper asks whether competitive pressure prevent shrouding and high mark-ups in the market for add-ons. Many 'Cf. authors have developed rational actor models that explain Laibson and Yariv (2004). why add-ons have relatively why high markups, though none of these models explain Ellison (2005) provides an excellent review of this literature. Here markets."'* Three types of explanations findings. firms gratuitously shroud those add-on exogenous search costs, inability to for we review the main high mark-ups figure prominently in the literature: high commit, and price discrimination. We highlight the difference between these models and our model of consumer myopia. Search-cost models impty that firms choose high add-on prices because for it is exogenously costly consumers to observe add-on prices before they buy the base good (Diamond 1971, Lai and Matutes 1994, Stahl 1989, Hortacsu and Syverson 2004). In such search models, an inexpensive communication technology eliminates equilibrium market power and markups. However, in our model, the existence of free advertising does not diminish market power since firms individually Our model generates voluntary information prefer to shroud information about the add-on market. suppression. In the modern economy, information dissemination gratuitous shrouding is needed to explain why many costs are sometimes quite low, implying that firnrs their add-ons. For example, the printing cost of personal on the Hewlett-Packard web site. From each of links to uncover the cost of printing, itself. Such shrouding does not about printing costs is reflect printer's which is make HP it difficult to deskjet printers is observe the prices of not easily accessible homepage, one must follow a large number ten times greater than the cost of the printer exogenous information diff'usion costs. The information away from the printer homepage^" than any other information about further the printer. The literature on commitment shows that firms will not commit to add-on prices at the time the base good choose high add-on prices is sold. if firms can- This theory was introduced in Klemperer's (1987) work on switching costs (see the survey by Farrell and Klemperer, 2005) and extended by Borenstein et (1995). al. When firms cannot add-on prices above marginal cost (and rational consumers '"Ayres will anticipate this). Difficulties of and Nalebuff (2003) propose that high add-on prices are partialh' due to suboptimal choices on the part would make more profits if they had low add-on prices and consequently developed a good corporate reputation. 'if firms can costlessly unshroud A rational shrouding. measure distance using the and consumers are Bayesian, then firms will be forced to eliminate consumer would expect the worst of a firm that engages in gratuitous their attributes gratuitous search costs in equilibrium. We to add-on prices, firms set In their view, firms of firms. ' commit click metric. commitment may be some cases, such as the we consider the polar case analysis however, in relevant in Kodak antitrust case (Klein 1993). In our which firms can commit to an add-on price in (e.g., our setting, printer manufacturers can freely and credibly preannounce the price of their printer cartridges) demand Price-discrimination models imply that add-on pricing enables firms to charge high consumers relatively more than low demand consumers (Ellison 2005). In Ellison's model, exogenous search costs make profits it costly for consumers to observe add-on because add-on pricing generates a technology that add-on pricing will not raise profits exogenously small, see Stole (200-5)). when Add-on prices. for price discrimination. advertising is inexpensive Ellison's analysis motivated our (i.e., own if consumers are boundedly Finally, We rational. when search costs are if advertising is costly develop a model with the latter microfoundation. we emphasize that our model explains both high add-on mation shrouding. Ellison points out study, particularly his concluding conjecture that the persistence of shrouding might be explained or pricing raises prices and gratuitous Pre-existing models can explain high add-on prices, but none of them infor- predict voluntary shrouding. 2 We Shrouded Attributes: Definitions and a Model analyze a market in which firms can shroud attributes of their products. attributes are not taken into consideration by some potential customers. might suppress information about minimum balance consumers will neglect to consider such minimum purposes of our model, a shrouded attribute is fees in the the deskjet price per page on their web site is when is The Hewlett-Packard two mutually exclusive categories: (avoidable) add-ons and (unavoidable) generally, communication costs need to even decision to omit fees, penalties, accessories, options, or hidden feature of the ongoing relationship between a consumer and a firm. More firm, an example of such information suppression. Shrouded attributes may include surcharges, with rational consumers. hidden by a Some For the picking a bank. a product attribute that -^^ For example, a bank bank's marketing materials. balance fees though the attribute could be nearly costlessly revealed. These shrouded We any other divide this list into sui^charges. be low enough so that unshrouding would occur in an equilibrium The analysis in this paper primarily discusses add-ons, the type of shrouded attribute. first Add-ons are complementary goods that consumers have the option to avoid. guests can avoid paying telephone charges can avoid paying hotel room for room service meals complement a hotel service they instead use if by finding cell phones. local restaurants. For example, hotel Likewise, hotel guests Both hotel phone use and Such complementary (voluntary) goods are referred stay. to as add-ons. In our modeling, we distinguish between a "base good" and the shrouded attribute. preceding example, the base good We a hotel room and the shrouded attributes are hotel services. assume that myopic consumers pick a base good without considering shrouded attributes. ^^ Timeline and overview of (discrete demand) shrouding game 2.1 We now i.e., is In the discuss a continuous model with discrete demand demand — to section discrete demand game. We Period 0: • 3.2. We for the add-on. start We postpone the general case by providing an overview of the timing discuss the details of the game Unshrouding a price is This Firms pick Period prices for a base good (/j) and an add-on is a To make un- equivalent to advertising that price. shrouding/advertising maximally attractive to the firm, we assume that unshrouding • of the after the timeline. Firms decide to make information about the add-on shrouded or unshrouded. binary choice. — is free.-*^ (p). 1: • Sophisticated consumers (fraction a of the population) always take the add-on and into consideration. If information about the add-on is its price shrouded, sophisticates forni Bayesian posteriors about the unobserved add-on. • Myopic consumers (fraction 1 —a observe the add-on information. A of the population) only consider the add-on When the add-on is observing the hotels' add-on pricing schedules. they directly shrouded, myopes do not observe the consumer can compare prices of closely located four star hotels on a web travel See Ayres and Nalebuff (2003). 13 We revisit this assumption in subsection 3.3. ' if site (e.g., Orbitz), without When add-on information. the add-on unshrouded, fraction A E is (0, 1] of myopes observes the add-on information. • Consumers choose a • Consumers can firm. initiate costly behavior (effort cost e) that enables them to substitute away from future use of the add-on. Period 2: Consumers observe the add-on • price portunity to purchase the add-on. (if they haven't observed it already) and are given an op- Consumers who previously engaged in costly substitution behavior have a lower incentive to purchase the add-on. Details of the shrouding 2.2 To motivate the model, we in which firms offer game will discuss the example of a bank, but the naodel applies to any setting add-ons to their customers. Period 2.2.1 In period which in 0, banks set our example and potentially shroud is prices. Let p represent the price of a base good, the price of opening a bank account. add-on. In our example, violating the p and p are chosen by each bank minimum in period 0. balance Without is Let p represent the price of an an add-on service with price p}'^ loss of generality, Both we assume that banks have zero marginal cost of opening an account or of having an account-holder violate the minimum balance threshold. Each bank may shroud or unshroud p, minimum the hidden published in an obscure location. a gratuitous search cost that ^*In us banks, a check fee, minimum balance fee. If the bank chooses to shroud balance fee will not be seen by potential consumers. in fine print or some minimum that its tj-pical is is large minimum strictly greater or an insufficient funds fee. don't have in their accounts. One can For example, p may be think of this action as creating enough so that few consumers bother to see the add-on price. SIO and applies in months when an account balance falls below balance fee is distinct from an overdraft fee, a bouncedThose fees apply to cases in which customers would like to use funds that they balance fee than zero. is A minimum Naturally, the model discussed here applies to those fees as well. 10 Without loss of generality, we assume that shrouding implies that no consumer observes the add-on price. The bank may alternatively costlessly advertise p, thereby revealing consumers and to A fraction assume that A myopes may is We fixed. — who may not of < A < myopic consumers, with it Without 1. to sophisticated all loss of generality we allow A to be weakly less than unity to reflect the possibility that the value of information about the add-on market initially recognize overlook that information even when it is made available. We define m.formed myopes — as the myopes that have seen (and noted) unshrouded information about the add-on. Informed myopes behave exactly hke sophisticated consumers. Analogously, we define uninformed myopes myopes that have not seen information about the add-on. Hence, when information by one or more firms, a fraction A of m5'opes — and a fraction 1 — A of myopes is — and informed is Period Consumers become sophisticated all firms. ^'^ 1 pick a firm from which to buy the base good. Sophisticates always take the existence of the add-on into consideration, forming Bayesian posteriors about the add-on shrouded. Myopes only consider the add-on if it is can consider add-on pricing when choosing a high add-on prices can exert costly For example, a consumer effort e who Second, a consumer firm. > in period faces a high is assume that add-on forced to pay a high fee, fee p is effectively 1 its price is is who First, a consumer anticipates or observes and thereby substitute away from the minimum into the account or cut back withdrawals so that the fee We when revealed to them. For a consumer, taking account of the add-on generates two sources of value. add-on. unshrouded Hence unshrouding by am' firm increases the uninformed. sophistication of the pool of potential customers shared by 2.2.2 therefore is as those balance fee could transfer balances less likely to bounded above by p > e. be invoked. For example, if a customer the customer might terminate her relationship with the bank or lodge a complaint. Legal and regulatory constraints also limit the penalties/fees that banks can charge. Finally, p could represent the cost of a last minute consumer intervention that enables the consumer to avoid purchasing the add-on. " Assuming that the impact of advertising is more local would not change our 11 results. We assume that sophisticates and informed myopes are aware of the add-on sophisticates and informed myopes will exert substitution effort e if e Hence, fee. < Ep}^ Let Xj represent the anticipated net surplus from opening an account at bank i the antic- less ipated net surplus from opening an account at the best alternative bank (ignoring idiosyncratic Throughout the paper we use starred variables to represent the (symmetric) taste differences). prices set by other We firms. analyze symmetric equilibria in this paper. For sophisticated consumers, ^i = [-Pi - min {Ep, e}] - [-p* When where Ep and Ep* are rational expectations. - min [Ep" When of myopes becomes informed. A myope p. firms. When into two classes. i uninformed. When add-on information is shrouded, is all with like sophisticates 1 Ep = behavior vis-a-vis in his unshrouded, a fraction shrouded, is unshrouded, expec- add-on prices are unshrouded, a fraction A becomes sophisticated However, even when add-on information is Ep mid Ep* These informed myopes behave just that was educated by firm , the add-on information sophisticated consumers solve the Bayesian equilibrium to calculate fall e}] the add-on information tations are eciual to the true value of the add-on price. Myopic consumers , — all A of myopes remains n^opes are uninformed. For uninformed myopes, Xi = -p^+p*. Uninformed myopes neglect the add-on when deciding where to open uninformed myopic consumers do not consider exerting substitution their bank account. Likewise, effort e in period Let D{xi) represent the probability that a consumer opens an account at bank represents the average anticipated net surplus from opening an account at bank anticipated net surplus from opening an account at the best alternative bank. D is strictly increasing, bounded below by a microfoundation of the ^We assume demand local risk neutrality zero, i. i L Recall that less throughout the paper. 12 the average The demand function A presents and bounded above by one. Appendix function. x,- Period 2 2.2.3 Consumers observe the add-on price All other they haven't observed it Consumers who have engaged tunity to purchase the add-on. purchase the add-on. (if consumers purchase the add-on already') and are given an oppor- in substitution in period 1 do not at price p.^^ Symmetric equilibrium 2.3 We now characterize the synrmetric Bayesian equilibrium in this game. Let The of sophisticated consumers in the marketplace. choose high markups in the add-on market. a represent the share following proposition shows that firms will In the Shrouded Prices Equilibrium, firms will choose markups that are so high that the sophisticated consumers substitute out of the add-on market. Proposition 1 Let a^ = 1 - e/p (1) and ~ ^L If a < a', there exists a this equilibrium, only substitute If a > ' i.e., a' , away from The prices of the base good and the price. Call this add-on are respectively: p = -{l-a)p-hl.t (3) p = (4) myopes purchase p. the add-on. The allocation is ineffi.cient since sophisticates the add-on. there exists a symmetric equilibrium in which firms do not shroud, the add-on price. we could assume that uninformed myopes buy the add-on in period 2 without observing the myopes believe that the unobserved add-on price is low enough to justify the purchase. Alternatively, the (2) symmetric equilibrium in which firms shroud the add-on the Shrouded Prices Equilibrium. In = D{0)/D'{0). 13 Call price: this the In Unshrouded Prices Equilibrium. The prices of the base good and the add-on are this equilibrium all p = -e + p = e. (5) fj. (6) consumers purchase the add-on, so In each of these equilibria, the beliefs of respectively: the equilibrium is efficient. consumers are p = p for the add-on price at firms that shroud. Appendix B. Proof: Proposition 1 characterizes a Shrouded Prices Equilibrium^® in which firms choose inefficiently high markups in the add-on market and choose to shroud those add-on Prices Equilibrium, firms set p* ecjuilibrium p^ though the marginal cost pay inefficient since the sophisticates is consumption = the well-known 10 (i.e., the demand curve competitive market with small ^— — a)p < {1 and the base good Our model literature. vertising effort cost e to substitute result that high low or negative markups on the base good.-'^ This p* producing the add-on Shrouded is 0. This away from add-on (see subsection 2.4 below). Our model reproduces competitive of In the prices."''^ oi p* PS will /i, —e < be the is easiest to see highly elastic, and hence the base good 0. is markups The model is for the add-on are when the market /.i is is close to zero). offset by approximately In a relatively always a loss leader with a negative markup: implies that the add-on will be the "'profit-center" "loss leader."""' also predicts equilibrium shrouding, which is not predicted in the pre-existing 10 Indeed, previous authors have conjectured that the availability of inexpensi-v-e ad- would drive down after-market prices and eliminate shrouding. For example. Shapiro ^"^Proposition 1 characterizes some but not all of the symmetric equilibria. When A is large enough another equihbrium exists. Specifically, when q < a'^ < ol-\-X{1 — a), the Shrouded Prices and Unshrouded Prices Equilibria both exist. It is easy to see that if a -I- A(l — a) < a* and there is a small cost of unshrouding, then the Shrouded Prices Equilibrium is the unique symmetric equilibrium. ^^For empirical applications, we reexpress Proposition 1 in the case where the marginal costs c and c < e are not zero. In this case, if q < q The value of p does not p = c — (1 — o) (p — c) -f /i, and \ia>Q.\p = c-'rc— e + /.i. , change. See the literature review ^In many seemingly in the present paper and in Ellison 2005. competitive markets the price of the base good printer, hotel, car rental, financial services), while the price of the cartridge, hotel phone call, gas charge, minimum balance fee). 14- is add-on typically set below its marginal cost (e.g., is set well above its marginal cost (printer (1995) describes the inefficiency caused by high markups aftermarket and then observes that in the competition and advertising should drive them away. Furthermore, manufacturers in a competitive equipment market have incentives to A avoid even this inefficiency by providing information to consumers. could capture profits by raising to cost), lowering its [base-good] prices above market levels its aftermarket prices below market levels informing buyers that its overall systems price the manufacturer could eliminate some or by offering a lower all total cost of ownership, eliminated deadweight loss. manufacturer at or is of the and (i.e., still and closer to cost), below market. deadweight closer (i.e., In this fashion, loss, attract consumers capture as profits some of the In other words, and unlike traditional monopoly power, the manufacturers have a direct incentive to eliminate even the small inefficiency caused by poor consumer information (Shapiro 1995, p. 495). In the Shrouded Prices Equilibrium, Shapiro's intuition in the aftermarket do not go away as a Why doesn't Shapiro's prices, In general, high markups result of competition or advertising. advertising argument apply? by advertising low add-on to apply. fails Shapiro conjectures that firms will compete thereby attracting consumers by highlighting the benefits of efficiently priced add-ons. However, Proposition 1 shows that this competitive effect overturned by a "pooling" is Educated consumers would rather pool with uninformed myopes at firms effect. with high add-on prices than defect to firms with marginal cost pricing of both the base good and the add-on. Again consider the illustrative case in which the firm has no market power, so /j. = 0. If a sophisticated consumer gives her business to a firm with shrouded market prices, the sophisticated consumer's surplus will be: sophisticated surplus , . " . = —p — = {1 > (l-a')p-(l-a)p =0. 15 e — a)p — e By contrast, if the sophisticated consumer gives her business to a firm with zero the base good and the add-on, the sophisticate's surplus will be exactly 0." cated/educated consumer is strictly better off pooling at the firm markups on both So the sophisti- with shrouded prices (and high add-on markups), than deviating to the firm with marginal cost pricing. This preference for pooling reflects the fact that the sophisticated consumers are cross-subsidized by the uninformed myopic consumers. Educating uninformed myopes enables them to get more value out of their relationships with high markup firms. After education, myopes anticipate the high add-on prices, and hence substitute away from add-ons while on the base good. The newly educated consumers benefit from the still enjoying loss leader prices "free gifts" and avoid the high fees. This generates the curse of debiasing. consumers. Informed consumers sophisticates prefer to patronize (i.e., A firm does not want to debias uninformed myopic sophisticates) are not profitable to any firm. — and in particular, exploit — firms that Specifically, offer loss-leader prices on base-goods. In summary, the presence of uninformed myopic consumers incentivizes firms to adopt pricing schedules that have the unintended consequence of cross-subsidizing sophisticates. myopes sophisticated will not help any firm. incentive to educate myopes, even 2.4 Making more Because of this curse of debiasing, no firm has an when education is costless. Welfare We now provide a welfare analysis of the Shrouded Price Equilibrium and highlight the inefficiencj^ of this equilibrium. Proposition 2 hi consumers are there is Proof. p— e tlie Shrouded Prices Equilibriwn, the social welfare units better off than no inefficiency and The all social welfare loss costly effort e to avoid consumers are equally is the A= ae. Sophisticated Unshrouded Prices Equilibrium, well-off. proportional (with factor consuming the add-on. ""The particular value of a the surplus will be myopic consumers. In loss is e) to the fraction of agents that exerts Recall that the firms can produce the add-on at surplus depends on the choice of normalization. V 16 If we shift all utilities by a factor V marginal cost. In the Shrouded Prices Equilibrium, so the deadweight loss pay p- e better off Unshrouded Prices In the add-on, which produced is of the sophisticated agents exert effort ae. Also, as sophisticates pay e to avoid buying the add-on, is p, sophisticates are all marginal cost. There is no Since the add-on can be produced at zero social cost,"^ consumed. If In the case with inefficiency {a < of sophisticates increases; in this case sophisticates and all purchase the efficiency loss. it is socially efficient for the a consumer substitutes away from the add-on (at effort cost socially inefficient. and myopes than myopes. Eciuilibrium, no consumers exert costly effort, at e, e), add-on to be then an equilibrium is a^), the welfare losses increase as the fraction do not consume the (high-priced) add-on. Extensions 3 In this section myopes learn add-on. we to discuss several extensions of the model. become Finally, we sophisticates. First, we discuss the case in which Second, we analyze the case of continuous demand for the discuss a series of additional considerations that influence the persistence of shrouding. Learning 3.1 In some markets, myopes eventually learn the high ticates. We price of the add-on, thereby becoming sophis- present an extension that reflects this learning process and demonstrate affects ecjuilibrium pricing. how learning . , . ^ We adopt the same timing as before, but now we assume that the decision about add-on consumption is repeated. Specifically, after choosing a firm from which to buy the base-good, sophisticates face the add-on purchase decision whether to pay avoidance cost sophisticates. e or Ts This assumption is made without T]\.js buy the add-on times. "* Our For each decision, sophisticates decide times. Uninformed myopes buy the add-on and make sophisticated choices for price p. Ti\,jm times. original Informed myopes act just They then become model corresponds to Ts like sophisticates = Tmm = 1 loss of generahty. some cases is may be natural to assume Ts Shrouded Prices Equhbrium does not depend on it. """in , = Tmm + Tms, 17 but we do not make this assumption here, the and T\is = We 0.~^ assume that firms choose their shrouding poHcies and prices once and for all and do not change them during the game. The following Proposition shows that there sophisticates a is is a Shrouded Prices Equilibrium if the fraction of low. Proposition 3 Let II = a" If a < a^^, then there exists a — 1 e max {Ts.Tm — M + Tms) P Tmm . symmetric equilihrium. in which finns shroud the add-on pricing. Call this the Shrouded Prices Equilibrium: P = -Ci- p = p. - a)pTMM + IJ- In this equilibrium, the myopes purchase the add-on until they become sophisticates. is socially inefficient since sophisticates substitute are p =p the add-on. The beliefs of consumers for the add-on price at firms that shroud. The myopia model et al. away from The allocation predicts that consumers will eventually learn to avoid add-on fees. Agarwal (2005) empirically evaluate these dynamics, confirming the prediction that add-on fees in banks decline with customer tenure. This learning pattern is inconsistent with the predictions of a classical price discrimination model of add-on pricing. Our analysis raises the question of long-run dynamics. If consumers learn to avoid add-on does shrouding eventually vanish along with high add-on prices? sustain shrouding in the long-run. Second, sophistication is First, may generations of myopic consumers enter the market. sometimes overturned by forgetting or distraction, particularly when the absolute costs of the add-on are small. endogenously evolve. new Several countervailing forces fees, new shrouding techniques Third, and most importantly, For example, the emphasis on fee-based revenue in the banking sector is a recent development (Rogers and Sinkey, 1999) We believe that fees for specific add-ons have a lifecycle. to be shrouded and priced above marginal cost.. ^See Miao (2005) for another analysis. 18 When the add-on is new it tends Over time, shrouding decreases and the add-on price Using our notation, the fraction a of sophisticates increases over time and shrouding falls. ^^ eventually disappears. Continuous add-on demand 3.2 In this section, we generahze the model to the case of continuous when that equilibrium shrouding survives only The for the add-on. original game except Total consumer utility cost of purchasing firm i's is for the add-on. We show sophisticates have relatively inexpensive substitutes structure and timing of the for the extensions demand game in this section mirrors the details of the enumerated below. decomposed into two parts: the value of owning the base good and the — or substituting away from — the add-on. Let Uat represent agent a's value of — PiQai represent the costs associated base good, o^'erlooking the add-on."' Let u{eai,qai) with the add-on, reflecting both the add-on quantity away from the add-on. The leading case is qat and any costly efforts eat to substitute < net value of buying the d'^u {eai, Qai) /deatdqai The 0. base good can be written + Uai-Pi U{ea,,qai) -Piqai base good utility Li period 1, sophisticated consumer a picks a firm Uai . In period 2, maximize u utility for the rational Informed myopes behave just information in period i utility and substitution effort Cai to (cai, qai) — Piqm- We call u^ expectations case in which pi like sophisticates, since informed = [pi) — uieai-, Ep^r^ myopes observe the add-on thank Douglas Bernheim myopes do not take account for of the add-on when they pick a firm suggesting these hfecycle dynamics. 'For example Uai could represent the value of the base good assuming a zero price for the add-on. (p.) = S:(ea,,ga,) = qm) the 1. In contrast, uninformed ^*S^ maximize = max E iuar- Pt + max [u (e^,, qai) - Piqa sophisticates pick 5aj to corresponding indirect We add-on u(ea,(£p,),ga,(Ca,(£p,).p.)) = U(eai(p.)=?ai(ea,(p,),p,))- 19 ?'. In period 1, uninformed myopes pick a firm i maximize to E {uai — Pi + Constant} Uninformed myopes passively choose a default not responsive to shrouded variation in 2(e^^5ai) We 2, uninformed myopes pick qai to which is maximize -mai- call c the the marginal cost of the base good and c the marginal cost of manufacturing the add-on. Let q (p) represent face a price p. Let initially level of substitution effort in period 1 ?^f In period pi. . q^ (p) demand the equilibrium add-on represent the equilibrium add-on of a sophisticate demand overlooks add-on prices because they are shrouded. We who knows of an uninformed she will myopic who demand define the average in the add-on market ^{p) and we assume that there is a unique = + {l-a)q'Hp), monopoly p^ = Now we aqS{p) (7) price in the add-on market, given - arg max ((p c) f (p) j by (8) . characterize symmetric equilibria. Proposition 4 Suppose that unshrouding makes all consumers sophisticated (\ = 1). The price vector P = c- ip-c)q{p) + n p = P^ supports a Shrouded Prices Equilibrium if (10) and only if B > 1, where cross-subsidy to sophisticates from, _ loss of social surplus (for sophisticate (1 - [u^ (c) q) (p'" - cqS - (9) B is myopes demand) due - q^ {p"')) -^qS (j?n)] (j?") - the debiasing ratio: to add-on mark-up c) {q^'^ (p^") (?)] - [u^ 20 (12) The beliefs of The proof consumers are p is = p"" for the add-on price firms that shroud. at Appendix B. in This no- advertising result contains a boundary condition that determines B > appear: when Advertising does not arise l?'-^ high B To would calculate values tend to be B loss-leader subsidy in base-good " consumer surplus at a empirical test more shrouded. , A sophisticate An cost. and determine whether markets with ratios in different markets, heuristically derive the result, consider another ratio that loss of advertising will the cross-subsidies to sophisticates are larger than the social welfare distortions due to price deviations from marginal of this theory when shrouded firm market demand) due (for sophisticate will not defect to easier to directly interpret: is to add-on mark-up a marginal cost pricing firm if the loss-leader subsidy in the base-good market exceeds the consumer welfare gain from switching to marginal cost pricing in the add-on market B' (i.e., > Since aftermarket profit generates loss-leader competi- 1). — tion in the base-good market, the loss-leader base-good subsidy is {p"^ which The denominator is the average profit per customer in the add-on market. ticates' welfare loss sophisticate would from high mark-ups realize add-on in the utility of (c) — cq^ (c) but , [aq^ (p'") -I- of B' (1 — a) q^'^ (p^)] the sophis- is At marginal cost pricing add-on market. u^ c) (p = c), the shrouded prices equilibrium in the the sophisticate pays add-on price p"' and realizes a lower add-on utility of li^ (p'") — p^q^ (p"') Putting these results together, we have, - ?) [aq^ (7?") + (c) - cq^ (c)] - [li^ (p^ B' [u^ We can recover denominator of B' B . B~ (equation 12)by subtracting Hence Note that the numerator of "With liS B' > B is - a) (p'") - (1 1 is (p™) - (p"^ — c) q-^^ (p"^)] p'"^^ (p"^)] q^ (p™) from both the numerator and q^'^ (p*")] p'"g^ - {p"')] (p^ - - (p"^ ?) - q^ (p^) c) q^ {fP") the (net) cross-subsidy to sophisticates resulting from high add-on demand model of section 2, the subsidy is Q < a^, reproducing the result of Proposition the discrete B> g) I. - ?) [aq^ (p^) + (c) - cq^ (c)] - [u^ (p"^ [u'^ Condition B> - (1 21 (1 1. — a) p, the distortion is e, so B = (1 — Q:)p/e. prices, (p'" - c) [af (p- + ) ^ - 1 ( - «) ^^^ (p-)] (p™ loss-leader subsidy in base-good - c) g^ (p-^) ' ' ^ market ' funding from sophisticates Simplifying this expression yields the numerator of B: [i^ ^)ijr -c){t' This cross-subsidy represent (p^ all — c> will be positive iff the following three conditions hold: < 1), the monopoly price of the add-on exceeds of the population {a 0), and myopes buy more of the add-on than sophisticates The denominator of B surplus utility of u^ {c) — cq^ only u^ (j?") is Hence, the — At marginal cost pricing (c) , p"^q^ but in the loss of (?) (p^) — marginal cost its q^ (p^) > 0). - ?q^ - — c), the sophisticate would realize However, the firm realizes a surplus of (f"')- (?)] {p shrouded prices equilibrium the sophisticate's consumer loss of social surplus (for sophisticate [u^ {q^'^ sophisticates do not represents the social welfare distortion (in the sophisticate case) resulting from the high price of the add-on. add-on {D -f iT^n) [k^ iPn - consumer surplus due to demand) due rf to add-on - ip"")] ip"' add-on mark-up (p"^ mark-ups — c) q^ (p^) given by, is -c)f (p"') transfer to firm Simplifying this expression yields the denominator for B: [uS{?)-df{d)]-[u^ip"')-dfip'^)]. To further interpret this proposition, consider the case For this case a transparent "proof costs are 0. Now is available. ^t = 0, market power. so firms have no For simpUcity, also assume c =c= 0, so marginal consider the equilibrium payoff of a sopliisticated consumer in the shrouded ecjuilibrium: Compare this to the equilibrium payoff of a sophisticated a firm with unshrouded marginal cost pricing: vr 9.9 (0). consumer if The shrouded the consumer has access to equilibrium is robust if the payoff with marginal cost pricing less is than the payoff in the shrouded equilibrium: Substituting equation (9) implies that this inequality can be reexpressed Recalling that q {p^) = aq^ {p^) + which is a) q^^ (p"'), and rearranging yields 2^(0)-S5(p'")<(l-a)p'"(g^^(p'")-g^(p'")), ' . _, — (1 equivalent to the condition in Proposition 4 when jj, = c = c = (14) 0. Firms choose to unshroud when the cross-subsidies to sophisticates (the right hand side inequahty (14)) are smaller than the cost (the left hand inequality (14) Firms will from pricing that deviates from marginal be able to educate and poach their rivals customers when not satisfied. Other influences on shrouding 3.3 To is side). distor^tions arising of simplify exposition, mine shrouding. First, we have ignored In this subsection, we have we quickly so far overlooked the consumers must buy a base good. several additional factors that either encourage or under- discuss these factors. consumer entry When some decision, since we have assumed consumers overlook add-on costs, these consumers may buy the base good when they should avoid the market altogether. consumer who buys a $50 deskjet printer without least ten times higher.'^ of these that all myopic Think of a realizing that the lifetime operating costs are at Firms that compete by unshrouding high add-on prices myopic consumers out of the base-good market. will drive some Hence, consumer entry decisions are adversely affected by unshrouding (Spence 1977, Ellison 2005). "'At the moment, black and white text co.sts between 2 cents and 15 cents per page, depending on the inkjet Color text costs a bit more than black and white text. A photographic image costs an order of magnitude more. Printing 10 pages per day at 10 cents a page costs S1460 over four years. printer. 23 Second, consumers have heterogeneous tastes and firms have heterogeneous add-ons, firms if enable consumers to find the base-good with the right add-on. will advertise to This informative advertising will accelerate unshrouding. Third, we have so far assumed that once a consumer becomes informed about the costly add-on consumer takes account of the costly add-ons at one firm, that possible that unshrouding at that single firm. Fourth, if is a fixed cost incremented by {l fcC, C iff — a)p+kC > Fifth, e. is B > = where k 1 1 = if /i is instead 4 is Specifically, adjusted so that a Shrouded defined as before except the numerator of and k ecjuals the number of firms if j.l is is more pervasive when the market that learning will accelerate unshrouding. is B very adjusted so that a Shrouded Prices Equilibrium exists This implies that shrouding new add-ons and new is again be impeded. will Then Proposition B where 1, we have already mentioned tion will create then unshrouding costly, of unshrouding. Analogously Proposition large.'^^ it is This narrow framing effect would impede unshrouding. Prices Equilibrium exists is However, by one firm leads consumers only to think about the unshrouded add-on education/advertising suppose there at all firms. iff less competitive. However, innova- opportunities for shrouding. Sixth, educational advertising might inform consumers about the general problem of shrouded add-on prices without enabling consumers to avoid the add-ons. For example, an ad might promise, "We offer marginal cost pricing and no hidden fees, unlike our competition." If such advertising contained enough information to be credible but not enough information so myopes could substitute away from add-ons, then myopes would be attracted by such ads, thereby breaking the Shrouded Prices Ecjuilibrium. Finally, third party celerate unshrouding. working perfectly. consumer education ^The proof is magazines like may be Non-profit educational organizations finance magazines tend to for these e.g., Consumer Reports — \v\\\ ac- However, various impediments prevent such educational mechanisms from profit educational organizations demand — may have recommend incentives to give bad advice. active portfolio magazines. Consumers underfinanced. may not know which a simple modification of the proofs of Propositions large. 24 management, 1 and Moreover, for- For example, personal thereb)^ justifying ongoing advisor to trust. 4, with a Taylor expansion when /i is very Conclusion 4 Firms often shroud the negative attributes of their products, particularly high prices mentary add-ons. importantly, We we We Firms under which shrouding survives identify conditions will comple- present a model of consumer myopia that explains this shrouding. show that competition efficiency. for will not in Most competitive equilibrium. induce firms to reveal information that would improve market not educate the public about the add-on market, even when unshrouding is free. In equilibrium, sophisticated consumers buy the loss-leader base good and substitute away from For example, sophisticated credit card users take advantage of the "free add-on consun:iption. miles" and avoid interest rate charges and late payment from myopic consumers who pay those Advertising low markups and educating consumers about the add-on market will fees. not attract customers. fees. Sophisticates receive a cross-subsidy Sophisticated consumers would rather pool with myopic consumers (and receive cross-subsidies) than defect to firms with marginal cost pricing. A firm that unshrouds We its add-on prices lower its profits, implying a "curse of debiasing." do not develop here the policy implications of myopia and persistent shrouding, but we can anticipate the tools required and economists. The analysis for in this such measure q, the degree of I.Q." of sorts) elasticities, payment of analysis."^" Regulatory agencies currentlj- employ lawyers paper suggests that regulators should also consider employing social scientists trained in experimental Hah will and survey techniciues. consumer sophistication. This measure Survey researchers could try to of marketplace literacy (a "shopper might complement traditional predictors of market distortion, such as Herfindahls, and mark-ups. Survey research could determine whether new customers underpredict banking fees or the scope of credit card borrowing or spending on ink cartridges (cf 2003). When awareness a is low, one should not be confident that competitive forces will debias con- sumers. Compulsory unshrouding might then be desirable. '^'^ Regulators have already informally "Spence (1977) investigates a situation in which consumers misperceive the rehability of a product. He studies regulatory interventions, such as a mandatory warranty. He also investigates a solution via a signaling equilibrium. " He does not consider the case where firms can directly debias consumers. Jovanovic (1982) analyses a setting with Bayesian consumers. He concludes that there too little, costly disclosure in equilibrium (firms overinvest in signalling). 25- is too much, rather than engaged We in such unshrouding policies hope that ongoing research compulsory unshrouding. We knows how possible — to food, energy usage, or financial product labelling) .^"^ will clarify the appropriate also ulations will probably not succeed yet (e.g., need to learn how to if and inappropriate domains effectively regulate unshrouding. they simply change the font compel transparency. And it for size of the fine print. remains to be seen whether that is such Reg- Nobody desirable — or in practice. ''The UK Treasury shank 2000). is in the midst of a broad expansion of transparency regulation 26 in tlie banking sector (Cruick- Appendix A: The Demand Function 5 We D (x) define demand as the of a firm that offers an average perceived surplus x units greater than the average perceived surplus provided by for D{x) using random that good i i competitors. its theory (see Anderson utility a, be looking will firms post the set 1. S = for for firm thus: D, is i for F and price cjuality v* S* for firm 1 is = — v* Di = and p*, p*, introducing D (5 — D{x) = P 5*), an excellent review). and density / 1981). = P {vi — + Sai > Pi + (x all firms have the et (1992). al. f F"'^ (s) following Proposition characterizes the symmetric ecjuilibrium. Proposition 5 Suppose v, S offered by the firms, that In / is . so p — c Two = /i. is normalize the mass of max^^i D (p* — p) Finally, Eq. cases have 7. — — c a. = fiD{0) firm- i-i charging p = maxxD{-x + is If marginal costs are [p — D' c) [p* — logistic: — pj + eaj)- We while the other p, those cases, one can Then the {x + e) de. (15) the difference its competitors. D (x) = [p = p) If and c 0. 27 [I + c) D {p* — Then p). there is a Also, (16) fi). profits are {p — c) D (p* — p), In the symmetric equilibrium, p = = p* the noise 1/ — guaranteed by Caplin and Nalebuff (1991), 16 just reflects that a price p is is D (0) /D' (0). := compact closed forms. exp( — e~'), the demand a. In Vj and the surplus S* offered by Proof. The existence of the symmetric equilibrium and Proposition interpret £,a as concave, and thai firms compete in prices, and have identical so that the profit of unique symmetric equilibrium with p order condition We . The demand depends only on The 2 F' short-hand for the net average surpluses. > max eA = f £1 same S* between the surplus Theorem = assume 6ai is i.i.d. across firms We (McFadden S~ and values where We where we define See Perloff and Salop (1985) or Anderson costs c develop the microfoundations symmetric equilibria where a firm posts quality v and prices same — p and V demand The demand We = Vi~ Pi + San with cumulative distribution function a tremble or an idiosyncratic consumer preference consumers to 1992 et al. gives agent a decision utility equal to Uai and agents D {x) {n — is = p is an ecj;uilibrium Gumbel I) e~^]. If if c the = p* first and 0. F (o) = distributed, i.e. the noise exponentially is demand distributed with density e ^l£>o, the D (x) = is e^ — [l l3:>o (1 - e ^)"] /n. Appendix B: Longer Derivations 6 Proof of Proposition 6.1 We call p*and p* and we announced Case • prices at firm i.We check that firm a < i can shroud and pick p and as the beliefs are — p. only on p* = p p* =p This profit The base good — iov p Firm i some of the = price p that p* p is p. Its profit is [p+il-a) and the demand is = (jD solves the = p* = + (1 first —{1 — a)p can unshroud and pick p and myopes and the equal to for the p), base good of a)p) D{p* = all the consumers depends p so that — p). order condition + p. — - plp<p) D{p* maximized when p clearly TT • does not want to deviate from the a^ and the Shrouded Prices Equilibrium. TT= p) i strategies. 1: Firm the equilibrium prices at other firms for the base good and the add-on respectively, p and p the call 1 — + (p (1 — a)p) D'{p* —p) + D{p* — p.. By unshrouding fraction of sophisticates add-on its becomes a' price, firm i educates = a + A(l — a). The myopes keep ignoring the price of the add-on when deciding to buy the add-on while the sophisticates incorporate - If p < it and buy it iff p < e. e TT which will is = a.' {p+p)D{~p-p + p* + e) + {l-a){p + p)D{p* - p), maximized when p = e. Otherwise firm i can increase p by a small positive increment, decrease p by the same increment, and not change the 28 demand of sophisticated consumers while increasing demand strictly the of naive consumers. Hence, the profit can be reexpressed: = TT As a < a^ this profit , smaller than is + (p (p+ - Ifp > — (1 which is strictly smaller = + (p than (p + (1 (1 - — a)p 2: a^ Firm - i If 11 and p < a and — is = a' (p = e) D{p* — condition, — (p p > the profit firm i could achieve by p- is i to shroud and price p at = p* = — (1 — = p e. + p* + e) + (1 {p e, + e) Otherwise firm a') (p i + p) L'(p* — p), can increase p by a sniall posi- demand of naive consumers. In equilibrium, the base good price p solves the p). D'{p* — p) + D(p* — p) = 0. This implies that p = p* first = —e of so- Hence order -i- /z. only myopes buy the add-on, and This profit is - p by the same increment, and not change the demand TT which - p), p. + p) D(-p - maximized when p + If p- — p), phisticated consumers while increasing strictly the = could e, tive increment, decrease TT i the Unshrouded Prices Equilibrium. TT which p), the profit firm = p* = p. can unshroud and pick p and P < = p a')plp<p) D{p* conclude that the best response of firm + — a)p) D{p* a)p) D{p* choosing to shroud and price at p and p — We p). e, TT • D{p* — achieve by choosing to shroud and price at p and " Case e) is clearly = {p+{l - maximized when p strictly smaller than (p -|- e) a-')plp<p) = p- The D{p* — p), the 29 D{p* - profit p). is tt = profit firm i (p -I- (1 — a')p) D{p* — p), could achieve by choosing to unshroud and price at p and p Firm • i = e. can shroud and pick p and p and get a profit equal to = TT as the behefs are (p = p- One needs p + (1 - plp<p) D{p* a') a' rather than a in the - p), above expression, because the other firms unshroud, so they educate a fraction A of the myopes. This profit when p = p- The the profit firm We • If is tt = (p + (1 — a')p) = p* = firm shrouds i is D{p* — p), which is i is to maximized also strictly smaller than could achieve by choosing to unshroud and price at p and p conclude that the best response of firm and p that this i profit clearly is unshroud and price at — p = e. p* = —e + p e. its add-on the optimal price price, if firm consumers rationally believe i pi = p, as the above proof shows shrouds. Hence using sequential rationality, the announced beliefs are consistent. 6.2 We Proof of Proposition 3 follow closely the proof of Proposition Recall that a' = a+ the firm unshrouds, If it A(l — The firm's optimal value p must still be either e or p. a) represents the fraction of informed consumers after unshrouding. its profit depends on whether p n (p = e) = max (p + n(p = p) = max (p +(1- does not unshroud, 1. [a'Ts + (l - = a') e or p = p: {Tmm + Tms)] a') pTwi^/) I? If (p*-p). e) D (p* - p) , (17) (18) its profit is n = max (p+(l-cv)TMMp)i:)(p*-p). p 30 (19) To compare the profits, observe that [a'Ts as a < a^^ . This imphes p We add-on for the (l is - a) n(p= n(p = not profitable. Also, price + e) < p) [Tmj^j < + Tms)] < max (T^, Tmm + Tms) < (1 and 18, 19 > a' e - a)pTMM Unshrouding and posting a low price IT. by Eq. 11 e a. e for the add-on is Unshrouding and posting a high also not profitable. conclude that whatever price the firm chooses to charge for the add-on, unshrouding not is profitable. Proof of Proposition 4 6.3 we In this proof, call p*and p* = j?" the equilibrium prices described in the Proposition. We check We check that the shrouded prices in the Proposition constitute an equilibrium. First, it is clear that if a firm shrouds, the add-on price that the optimal base good price take c = the one announced in Ecp is to simplify exposition.'^-' the is The 9. monopoly Without price p"\ loss of generality, we profits are ii=[p + {pr-d)^{p'^))Di-p + p*). If p is which an equihbrium, is Eq. We now dU/dp = at p^p*. This implies p + (?7" - ?) f (p'") = D (0) /D' (0) = 9. calculate the profit of a firm that deviates, unshrouds, and sets new while the other firms keep shrouding and using the prices p*and p* given in Eq. 9-10. facing price /i, p prices p and p, A sophisticate in the afterniarket gets the net utility V {p) = max u (e", q) — pq. (20) g,e Call q(p) (or q^ (p) if there is an ambiguity) the associated choice of add-on demand, and u{p) 'To go back to the general case, replace p by p — c. 31 = v{p) +pq{p) the gross The firm's profit n= where x + (p = p+ (p (p utihty provided by the other firms c) c) q{p)) is q{p) This implies p efficiently. d ^ — [(p = c = —p* + v{p*). D {-p + v{p)- u^*) = xD {-X + {p-c} q{p) + v{p)- u^*) the total profit per customer. Maximizing = that (20) and the envelope theorem imply gzv{p) dp = u^* is: is - — The utility. - c) When 0. So the highest + q{p) = v{p)] - q{p) {x,p) over 11 + {p-c)q q{p) can get after deviating = mSiXxD{-x + Il p and noting —q{p), we get (p) = {p a firm faces only sophisticated consumers, profit the firm - it d) q (p) . prices of the add-on is x*), (21) X with x* = v (c) - u^*. As the pre-deviation profit is /i, the firm doesn't want to deviate iff n</.D(0), as fiD (0) is X* — yU (22) the pre-deviation profit. Given Eq. 16, Eq. 21, and the fact that non-decreasing in = , z, V [c) (22) ~u is * ~ ecjuivalent to x* jX = V {c) — V < {p*') p. 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