Public Weather Service Outputs - Met Office Public Task It is the Met Office’s Public Task to produce the outputs which are agreed with and paid for by the Public Weather Service Customer Group from time to time. Met Office Pricing Policy Public Weather Service Outputs (1 April 2010) 1a - High Impact weather forecast service - UK Requirement - To enable the UK public and emergency responders to take appropriate mitigating action to minimise the adverse impact of weather events. Product/Service National Severe Weather Warning Service - Early Warnings Delivery Method A text and graphical based service highlighting percentage probability of severe weather occurring: • Normally issued up to several days in advance of an event when severe weather risk > 60% • Based upon widespread disruption caused by severe gales, heavy snow, blizzards/drifting, heavy rain, freezing rain (glazed frost or widespread icy roads), dense fog and prolonged cold • Updated normally on a daily basis until commencement of event • Amendment required when a designated region is no longer expected to be affected, or an area previously forecast not to be affected is now forecast to be affected • • • • • • • • • Web E-mail Fax Media RSS E-mail alert Twitter Weather widget Weather Gadgets Principal Users • General public • Blue light services (Home Office) • Emergency planners (Dept. Communities and Local Gov.) • Resilience fora (Cabinet Office) • Environment Agency • Highways Agency • Department of Health • MOD • Scottish Government • Welsh Assembly • Northern Ireland Office An up-to date list of recipients is available. National Severe Weather Warning Service - Flash Warnings A text based service issued when 80% confidence in the occurrence of severe gales, heavy snow, blizzards/drifting, heavy rain, freezing rain (glazed frost or widespread icy roads), dense fog are expected to reach the agreed thresholds: • Issued 2 to 6 hours in advance of an event • Amended when a county or unitary authority is no longer expected to be affected, • • • • • Web E-mail Fax Media RSS As above or an area previously forecast to be not affected is now forecast to be affected • • • • National Severe Weather Warning Service - Advisories A 5-day web based alert of severe/extreme weather issued daily highlighting percentage probability of severe or extreme weather occurring • Based upon widespread disruption caused by severe gales, heavy snow, blizzards/drifting, heavy rain, freezing rain (glazed frost or widespread icy roads), dense fog and prolonged cold • Early warnings and Flash Warnings supersede advisories when confidence levels are 60% or greater E-mail alert Twitter Weather widget Weather Gadgets • Web • • • Web E-mail Media As above General weather forecast, of length 65 to 140 words depending on the weather situation, for the following regions of the UK: • UK • 6 × Scottish regions • Northern Ireland • Wales • 8 × English regions PWS Script Forecasts For each area the forecast should: • Provide a general forecast • Out to 2359 on day-2, with a TREND for day-3 to day-5 • Contain a headline • Include maximum and minimum temperatures for first 36 hours (except UK Forecast) • Include max gust speed where significant (in mph, but descriptive in TREND period) • Weather ‘detail’ to include county/topographic variation where meaningful • Script(s) to be consistent with detail of any warnings in force Forecasts issued twice per day (0400 & 1600 local time), but updated when and as often as required – against a set of criteria (these are to be agreed) • • General public Media An up-to date list of recipients is available Separate 100-word forecasts are required for UK only issued daily at 0700 and 1945 local time Weather forecast information for the UK mountain areas of Peak District, Lake District, Snowdonia, Yorkshire Dales and Brecon Beacons and the West and East Highlands issued twice daily For each area the forecast should cover: For day one: • Overview • Risk of occurrence of a selection of hazards • Weather symbol summary for 3 hourly slots • Probability of precipitation Mountain Weather Forecasts For day 1 and day two a detailed forecast covering: • Weather • Visibility • Hill Fog • Maximum winds above 600m East and West Highlands, 500m Lake District and Snowdonia and 400m Brecon Beacons and Peak District (800m Brecon Beacons) Yorkshire Dales • Temperature at valley and 900m levels (800m Brecon Beacons) • Freezing level • The latest pressure chart • An ‘NPA information’ freeform text box containing (optional) information added by the NPA • • Web Weather Widget • • General public Media • Web • • General public Media Outlook text for days three to five National Parks Forecasts For Snowdonia and the Brecon Beacons the basic PWS forecast is currently enhanced by funded services by the Welsh Assembly. A twenty word forecast will be issued for each National Park and the Mourne mountains in Northern Ireland The forecast will cover wind, weather and temperature Issued twice daily Forecast of specific weather parameters to support assessment of avalanche risk by Scottish Avalanche Information Service across winter climbing and skiing areas in the Scottish mountains. Avalanche Weather Service Forecast A forecast for “tonight” and “tomorrow” relative to the day of issue is prepared daily. The forecast specifically assesses precipitation (type and amount); wind speed and direction; height of freezing level; height of wet bulb freezing level. For “tomorrow” only forecast of temperature at summit height at 1200UTC and also maximum temperature at summit is required. A brief general situation is required. • • SAIS The avalanche forecasts generated by SAIS are made available to the general public • Fax • Web • • • General public Media CO (Cabinet Office) • Web • • • General public Media CO (Cabinet Office) Forecast is required for each of five mountain areas Actual temperatures; maximum, minimum and midday temperature are required for three locations. Weather Report UK Further Outlooks Transmission by fax to a distribution list supplied by the customer prior to the start of each winter season (season is normally mid-December to mid-April each year) Used to provide a statement or commentary about the present or expected weather for the public and media: • Used when significant weather is present or expected imminently over the UK • If a UK flash warning is in force this would be classed as significant but does not automatically require a Weather Report statement to be made • May be used to highlight a significant change to the weather even though it is not severe such as the onset of a cold spell when mild or a wet spell • Nowcasting is updated as required by the weather situation and is at the discretion of the Operations Centre or Press Officer • The message is actively managed at all times to ensure relevance UK area forecasts for days 6 to 15 and days 16 to 30. The forecasts are based on weather types, such as windy, mild, wet, rather than on specific values. They also highlight extreme or severe weather events for specific regions of the UK if expected. PWS Advisors Hazard Manager The regionally based PWS Advisors provide advice to appropriate public authorities, in cases presenting significant risk to life, property or infrastructure. They have a role in the following areas: • Giving meteorological guidance on impacts with emergency responders when a weather event is severe enough `that the weather itself is the hazard to be managed, for example extensive strong winds causing transport and energy supply disruption or heavy rainfall causing flooding • Giving meteorological guidance on impacts with emergency responders when the hazard to be managed is not directly weather-initiated but weather plays a part in the management of the incident, for example management of a Chemical, Biological, Radiological or Nuclear (CBRN) incident • Developing and regionalising risk assessments by inputting meteorological data and assessing other risks, where weather has an influence • Involvement in exercises – creating severe weather scenarios, providing advice, role playing • Providing meteorological input to meetings involving the emergency planning community • Raising awareness of the capabilities of the Met Office and this includes involving Senior Staff during high impact weather events in portraying the message and involving other Met Office scientist and Press Office staff as required A set of products are made available on the Met Office web portal Hazard Manager for the exclusive use of the response community during periods impacted by severe weather or environmental hazards. The products currently made available are: • Graphical visualisations on a zoom-able map of the UK showing the following layers: o Precipitation type o Rate of rainfall o Temperature • • • • In person Telephone Fax E-mail • Web • • • Local Government Central Government Emergency Services An up-to-date list of PWS Advisor contacts is available at the Met Office • Emergency Services o Pressure o Wind speed and direction o Satellite (Infra-red and visual) o Rainfall radar o Lightning o Rainfall totals • NSWWS • Event specific content provided on request Customer Enquiry Service Customer Feedback Service Current Weather data The Met Office Customer Enquiry Service is delivered through a customer centre which is available to all members of the general public • This centre operates on a 24x7 basis through the year • When National Severe Weather Warnings are issued the customer centre respond to enquiries on this service as requested • The customer centre advises the public on current weather forecasts and other enquiries about the weather, climate or Met Office Access by • Telephone • Fax • E-mail • Web The Met Office receives feedback, which may be in the form of a complaint, a compliment or a comment on a service provided by the Met Office. A dedicated Customer Feedback Manager (CFM) responds to this feedback where appropriate. The outputs for the CFM are: • Appropriate response to feedback addressed to the Met Office Customer Centre and other areas of the business • Statistical reports on feedback • • • • • In person Telephone Fax E-mail Letter • • Web Weather Gadgets In support of the UK weather forecast information a selection of current weather data is supplied, enabling users to be informed on actual current weather conditions and to verify a snapshot of the current forecast. This data are in various forms including: pictorial, graphical, numerical & text Data content may vary but will include: Satellite data Radar data Land Observations • • General public Media All PWS customers including • General public • Media • General public 1b - High impact weather forecast service – global Requirement - To provide advice where high impact weather events are expected to affect a large number of UK citizens, and in the aftermath of global environmental disasters where weather is a significant factor for UK citizens engaged in relief operations Product/Service Global Incident Forecasts Meteoalarm These are incident-driven global forecasts, issued in advance of, and/or aftermath of very high impact environmental events (e.g. hurricane, earthquake, tsunami etc.) covering the period 0–5 days • A key element of this service is global monitoring. The Duty Chief Forecaster (Operations Centre) maintains a watching brief for weather events that may be a factor in major occurrences or disasters • The Duty Chief Forecaster decides if a forecast event is significant enough to require further action. (e.g. to provide advice where high impact weather events are expected to affect a large number of UK citizens and in the aftermath of environmental disasters where weather is a significant factor for UK citizens engaged in relief operations) • Forecasts are issued to and in conjunction with the FCO & DfID. • Requests for assistance from other National Meteorological and Hydrological Services following a high impact weather event are passed to and considered by the Duty Deputy Chief Forecaster, with advice from Manager International Relations, and action plan triggered as appropriate In collaboration with other European Met. Services, the Met Office contributes to a EUMETNET Weather Warning Service. This service delivers a series of country- and area-specific warning alerts, using the "traffic light" principal. Each country supplies warnings for a set of weather element thresholds for the following elements as appropriate: • Wind • Rain • Thunderstorm • Snow/ice • High / Low Temperatures • Fog • Coastal flood • Forest Fire • Avalanche Delivery Method Principal Users • • • • • Fax E-mail Web In person Telephone • • • Web • General public FCO (Foreign and Commonwealth Office) DFID (Department For International Development) As above Weather Report Support for Local Warning Delivery Customer Enquiry Service Customer Feedback Service Current Weather Data Used to provide a statement or commentary about the present or expected weather for the public and media: • Used when significant weather is present or expected imminently over a world event of special interest to the UK public is occurring such as a Caribbean Hurricane • Weather Reports are updated as required by the weather situation, updates are at the discretion of the Operations Centre Nowcasting Forecaster or Press Officer Support given to support National Met. Services in developing countries where there are a high number of British visitors and /or of high UK strategic significance (as advised by FCO) to ensure warnings of severe weather are available and communicated locally: • Support provided in many countries including Commonwealth countries, Africa and small island states • Support includes Severe Weather Forecasting, African Limited Area Model, training, communication and media systems • • • Web • In person See ref 1a above • See ref 1a above. • See ref 1a above See ref 1a above Web In support of the global weather forecast information a selection of current weather data is supplied, enabling users to be informed on actual current weather conditions and to verify a snapshot of the current forecast. This data are in various forms including pictorial, graphical, numerical & text Data content may vary but will include: Satellite data Radar data Land Observations • • General public FCO (Foreign and Commonwealth Office) DFID (Department For International Development) CO (Cabinet Office) • • • General public FCO DFID • As above As above • General public 2a - Site-specific weather forecast service – UK Requirement - To enable the general public to take informed decisions regarding what to do and when and how to do it. Information provided may be related to the public sector business planning process to ensure safe environment for the general pubic for work and for specific public events Product/Service Delivery Method Principal Users A general weather forecast for agreed period in text format. • • The forecast will be triggered by a UK planned event that has a significant impact for the UK public. Planned events are generally determined in advance with the list of events for which a forecast is required being drawn up by Met Office PWS Team. UK Event Forecasts Single Site Forecasts Forecast Verification The forecast should include weather elements appropriate to said event, including: • Wind (surface and at height if required) • Precipitation • Cloud cover • Visibility (if appropriate) • Temperature A quality controlled datafeed of site 5-day forecasts for approximately 350 locations around the UK that represent the major urban centres, optionally available in Welsh, providing forecasts of: • 3 hourly wind direction for first 36 hours • 3 hourly wind speed for first 36 hours • 3 hourly visibility for first 36 hours • 3 hourly temperature for first 36 hours • 3 hourly weather (code) for first 36 hours • Days 3 to 5 midday and midnight wind speed • Days 3 to 5 midday and midnight wind direction • Days 3 to 5 midday and midnight weather (code) • Days 3 to 5 midday and midnight visibility • Days 1 to 5 probabilistic temperature forecasts (subset of sites) The Met Office produces verification statistics on forecasts issued for 11 places around the UK for the next five days. These are made available to the public together with • • Web • • Web Ftp (file transport protocol) E-mail Weather Widget • • Web • • • General public DCLG (Dept. Communities Local Gov.) DCMS (Department for Culture, Media and Sport) Scottish Government Welsh Assembly Northern Ireland Office General public. As above targets for forecast accuracy. Forecast elements measured are: • maximum temperature • minimum temperature • probability of precipitation Customer Enquiry Service Customer Feedback Service See ref 1a above See ref 1a above See ref 1a above See ref 1a above As above As above 2b - Site-specific weather forecast service – global Requirement - To enable the general public and Public Sector Partners to take informed decisions regarding what to do, and when and how to do it. Decisions may be related to public sector business planning process to ensure safe environment for the general pubic for overseas journeys and specific events. Product/Service Delivery Method Principal Users An automated data feed of site 5-day forecasts for a minimum of 100 locations around the world that represent the major destinations for UK citizens travelling overseas on the Met Office web site. This provides a forecast of: Single Site Forecasts Customer Enquiry Service Customer Feedback Service Weather – daytime and night time Maximum and minimum temperature Wind speed and direction – day time Pressure – day time Relative Humidity – day time Visibility – day time In addition a link to WMO web site provides site specific forecast for towns and cities across the globe. The forecasts are produced by the local National Met. Services and made available through the World Meteorological Organisation See ref 1a above See ref 1a above • • • Web Ftp Email See ref 1a above See ref 1a above • • • General public FCO (Foreign and Commonwealth Office) DFID (Department For International Development) As above As above 3 - Pollution forecast service – Global Requirement - To enable public sector partners to provide information to UK citizens in the UK and abroad following the event of a pollution incident. Product/Service Global Pollution Response Service monitoring and advice These are incident-driven global forecasts, issued in advance of, and/or aftermath of high impact pollution events when demand from public sector partners to provide information to the public is anticipated. • A key element of this service is global monitoring. The Duty Chief Forecaster (Operations Centre) maintains a watching brief for weather events that may be a factor in major occurrences or disasters • The Duty Chief Forecaster decides if a forecast event is significant enough to require further action. (e.g. to provide advice where there has been a volcanic or super-volcanic eruption) • Forecasts are issued to and in conjunction with public sector partners including the FCO • Requests for assistance from other National Meteorological and Hydrological Services following an incident are passed to and considered by the Duty Deputy Chief Forecaster , with advice from Manager International Relations, and action plan triggered as appropriate Delivery Method Principal Users • • • • • E-mail Web Fax Telephone PWS Advisors See ref 1a above See ref 1a above Customer Enquiry Service See ref 1a above See ref 1a above Customer Feedback Service See ref 1a above See ref 1a above • Central Government including FCO (Foreign and Commonwealth Office) Emergency Services • Local Government • Central Government • Emergency Services As above and • General public As above 4a - Long term forecast service – Europe (including UK) Requirement - To help the public, and public sector users on behalf of the public, anticipate and plan for variations of the weather from the seasonal norms Product/Service Delivery Method Principal Users • • • • A forecast for Europe (including the UK) will be produced monthly and published within the science domain of the Met Office website. Each forecast will contain: Long term forecast for Europe (including UK) • • • • • A guide on how to use seasonal forecasting Global and European temperature and rainfall maps for the next 3 months, updated at the end of each month. An assessment/view of the Global and European forecast. This may include probability information for the UK when relevant, accepting that there will be cases when it is not possible to provide information above the European scale. Climatology information PWS Advisors See ref 1a above Forecast Verification Customer Enquiry Service Customer Feedback A qualitative analysis of long term forecasts will be made available to the general public See ref 1a above See ref 1a above Web Department of Health Cabinet Office Defra See ref 1a above As above • As above Web See ref 1a above See ref 1a above As above As above 4b - Long term forecast service – Global Requirement – To provide advice to support activities for UK citizens overseas and involved in humanitarian activities and relief Product/Service Global long term Forecasts - general Text and graphics based forecast on a regional basis, including information on temperature and precipitation trends, covering the period 0–6 months Hurricane season forecast Text forecast issued annually around the start of the Atlantic hurricane season, providing information on the frequency of hurricanes anticipated in the coming season PWS Advisors See ref 1a above Customer Enquiry See ref 1a above Delivery Method • Web • E-mail • Fax • Telephone • • • Web E-mail News release See ref 1a above See ref 1a Principal Users • As above • • General public FCO (Foreign and Commonwealth Office) DFID (Department For International Development) • As above As above Service Customer Feedback See ref 1a above above See ref 1a above As above 5 - Climatological record service – UK Requirement - To provide the general public and Public Sector Partners with access to an up-to-date and authoritative source of weather observations and basic climate information for the UK. This should include climate information relating to current weather events (e.g. weather extremes at a given location or record-breaking monthly/seasonal/ annual values or new evidence of a change in climate). Product/Service UK Observation Database UK Climatological Products This provides data to other National Met. Services, private sector weather services and academia as appropriate to fulfil WMO obligations, UK and EU legislation and in support of research collaboration. The UK Observational Database includes: • Surface Synoptic - capturing data required for real time land/marine surface • Climate - land/marine surface data received in both real/slow time • Upper Air - data elements collected at any level above/below the land/sea surface • Rainfall - specific data elements associated with precipitation A detailed description of the requirements for the UK observations, which are input into the database, can be found in the Observations Programme Operating Plan These are routine, timely statistics for daily, monthly, seasonal, annual and long term (e.g. 30 year) timescales for the UK, and for regions, counties and individual weather stations. These statistics will be based on a stable principal climate network, to ensure that changes in key parameters are a function of the climate changing and not the changing location or form of measurement. UK Climatological Products include: • Monthly Diary of Weather • Derived climate products – series & summaries • Derived climate products – averages • Noteworthy weather & extremes • National and regional climate descriptions • Climate data and charts for publication by The Royal Meteorological Society PWS Advisors See ref 1a above Customer Enquiry Service Customer Feedback Service See ref 1a above See ref 1a above Delivery Method Principal Users As above As above As above As above See ref 1a above See ref 1a above See ref 1a above As above As above As above 6 – Meteorological Library and Archive Service A comprehensive meteorological library and archive service available to anyone with an interest in the weather or climate and an approved place of deposit for meteorological information under the public records Act (1958). Requirement - To enable the general public to research the UK’s weather and climatology and to access information that helps the public to understand the science and history of meteorology. There is also a legal requirement handed down to the Public Weather Service from the Lord Chancellor’s office to archive meteorological data on behalf of the UK Public. Product/Service National Met. Library The Library holds material covering meteorology, climatology and related subjects such as fluid dynamics, physical oceanography and hydrometeorology. The collection includes: • Journals • Books • Conference proceedings • Reports and documents from international meteorological organisations • Daily Weather Summaries from 01/07/1869 to the present and other published weather data • Images (digital images, slides and photographs, illustrating aspects of meteorology) • Artefacts relating to meteorology and the work of the Met Office Delivery Method Principal Users • • • • • • • In person Telephone E-mail Letter Web • • General public Office for Constitutional Affairs Scottish Government Northern Ireland Office The Library will be open to the public during opening hours as published on the Met Office website UK National Meteorological Archive Archive holdings cover original paper records and include: • Registers of meteorological observations • Working charts from the Met Office’s Operations Centre • Marine weather logbooks • World-wide records from both merchant and some Royal Navy ships • Climatological returns dating back to 1855, these cover temperature, wind, rainfall, solar radiation, snow and sunshine for each site • Autographic records - continuous records of temperature, wind, rainfall, etc., are held for varying periods on some stations • Upper-air data from radiosonde and pilot-balloon ascents • Historic meteorological literature, held on behalf of the Royal Meteorological Society As above As above • Library and Archive Services Customer Enquiry Service Customer Feedback Service Various non-technical documents such as private weather diaries, papers and pictures relating to meteorology Archive materials will be available to public visitors (subject to any Data Protection or other legal restrictions) during opening hours as published on the Met Office website and also available via email/letter/web These will include: • Access to the library’s collections via lending services and electronic provision of information • A prompt and responsive Library and Archive Enquiry Service for the general public, providing information on matters relating to meteorology and climatology, and provision and interpretation of charts and data • Timely provision of Public Record archive data (from National Meteorological Archive and UK Observations database) to the general public, as required by Freedom of Information legislation See ref 1a above See ref 1a above As above As above See ref 1a above See ref 1a above As above As above