SMART GRID INSIGHTS NOVEMBER 2012 SMARTGRIDRESEARCH.ORG INTELLIGENT RESEARCH FOR AN INTELLIGENT MARKETTM SMART GRID INDEX INTELLIGENCE BY ZPRYME | ZPRYME.COM © 2012 ZPRYME RESEARCH & CONSULTING, LLC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. SGI: NOVEMBER Table of Contents Executive Summary ................................................................. 2 Methodology .......................................................................... 2 Smart Grid Sentiment............................................................... 3 Expected Utility Expenditures over the Next 12 Months....... 4 Sales/Expenditures over the Last 12 Months ......................... 5 Sales/Expenditures over the Next 12 Months........................ 6 Expected Staff/Jobs over the Next 12 Months ...................... 7 New Deals Closed Last Month ................................................ 8 Expected Proposals Submitted over the Next 12 Months .... 9 Hurricane Sandy: Smart Grid Impact on Outages ............. 10 Respondent Industry Representation ................................... 11 About The Smart Grid Index ................................................. 11 1 [SGI] ZPRYME SMART GRID INSIGHTS Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved. Smart Grid Index| November 2012 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org | www.fiercesmartgrid.com Executive Summary The first month’s results of the Smart Grid Index (SGI) show that Smart Grid industry executives have a very positive view of future opportunities for Smart Grid technologies.1 Utilities were less pessimistic than those in the total sample both for total expenditures and the hiring of new personnel. Almost half of the vendors surveyed closed a new deal last month, while 75% of utilities expect to submit new Smart Grid proposals for budget approval over the next 12 months. Additionally, 79% of respondents believed that Smart Grid technologies could have helped restore power faster after Hurricane Sandy hit the Northeast U.S. Methodology This study was conducted by Zpryme and FierceSmartGrid by surveying 240 smart grid executives from November 1st to November 7th of 2012. The survey was conducted online. Please note that percentages may not add up to 100 due to rounding. Three groups were used to inspect for differences: vendors (70% of sample), utilities (10% of sample), and total sample. The data are presented in figures 1 through 9 in this report. December’s Survey December’s survey will be fielded from December 3rd to December 10th of 2012. The results will be released on December 13th. Utilities and Smart Grid vendors are encouraged to participate. If you would like to take the monthly survey please send an email to sgi@zpryme.com. 1 November 2012 Smart Grid Index Results Overall Sentiment 71% currently have a positive view of the Smart Grid. Expected Utility Investments 31% expect utility Smart Grid related investments to significantly increase over the next 12 months. Current Sales/Expenditures 60% said their Smart Grid related sales or expenditures have increased over the last 12 months. Expected Sales/Expenditures 71% expect their Smart Grid related sales or expenditures to increase over the next 12 months. Hiring 56% expect the number of staff in Smart Grid related roles to increase over the next 12 months. Deals Closed 45% of vendor respondents said they closed new Smart Grid related deals last month. New Proposals 75% of utility respondents plan to submit new Smart Grid proposals for budget approval over the next 12 months. The SGI is developed by Zpryme’s Smart Grid Insights and FierceSmartGrid. 2 [SGI] ZPRYME SMART GRID INSIGHTS Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved. Smart Grid Index| November 2012 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org | www.fiercesmartgrid.com Smart Grid Sentiment Seventy-one percent of the total sample were positive about the global Smart Grid industry, with vendors more positive (78%) than utilities (60%). However, only small percentages across all three groups were negative (ranging 6% to 10%). What is your current view of the global Smart Grid industry? 100% 90% 80% 70% 21% 16% 30% 7% 6% 10% 60% Neutral Negative 50% 40% 30% 71% Positive 78% 60% 20% 10% 0% All Respondents Utilities Vendors (figure 1, source: Zpryme/FierceSmartGrid November 2012 Smart Grid Index Survey) 3 [SGI] ZPRYME SMART GRID INSIGHTS Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved. Smart Grid Index| November 2012 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org | www.fiercesmartgrid.com Expected Utility Investments/Expenditures over the Next 12 Months Compared to utilities, vendors are more optimistic about global utility expenditures on Smart Grid technologies as 33% of vendors said they expect investments to increase significantly over the next 12 months (vs. 25% for utilities). However, almost half of all respondents, utilities, and vendors, expect utility expenditures to increase at least a little over the next 12 months. Over the next 12 months, global utility investments or expenditures on Smart Grid Technologies are expected to: 100% 90% 80% 6% 14% 15% 5% 12% Decrease significantly 10% Decrease a little 70% 60% 50% 46% 49% Stay the same 50% 40% Increase a little 30% 20% 10% 31% 25% Increase significantly 33% 0% All Respondents Utilities Vendors (figure 2, source: Zpryme/FierceSmartGrid November 2012 Smart Grid Index Survey) 4 [SGI] ZPRYME SMART GRID INSIGHTS Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved. Smart Grid Index| November 2012 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org | www.fiercesmartgrid.com Sales/Expenditures over the Last 12 Months Over the past 12 months, the majority of all three groups had increased their Smart Grid sales and/or expenditures. The total sample and vendors reported small decreases (both at only 6%), while utilities reported no decrease in Smart Grid related expenditures. Over the past 12 months, my company's Smart Grid related sales and/or investments (or expenditures) have: 100% 6% 6% 90% 80% 34% 39% 29% Decreased 70% 60% 50% Stayed the same 40% Increased 30% 60% 61% 65% All Respondents Utilities Vendors 20% 10% 0% (figure 3, source: Zpryme/FierceSmartGrid November 2012 Smart Grid Index Survey) 5 [SGI] ZPRYME SMART GRID INSIGHTS Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved. Smart Grid Index| November 2012 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org | www.fiercesmartgrid.com Sales/Expenditures over the Next 12 Months Over the next 12 months, most respondents in all three groups expect Smart Grid sales and/or expenditures to increase, with utilities being more conservative (68% increase) than the total sample (71%) or vendors (74%). Over the next 12 months, my company's Smart Grid related sales and/or investments (or expenditures) are expected to: 100% 6% 90% 80% 23% 11% 21% 5% 21% 70% Decrease 60% Stay the same 50% 40% 30% 71% 68% All Respondents Utilities 74% Increase 20% 10% 0% Vendors (figure 4, source: Zpryme/FierceSmartGrid November 2012 Smart Grid Index Survey) 6 [SGI] ZPRYME SMART GRID INSIGHTS Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved. Smart Grid Index| November 2012 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org | www.fiercesmartgrid.com Expected Staff/Jobs over the Next 12 Months Over the next 12 months, most respondents expect hiring to increase. However, a few of the total sample (8%) and vendors (7%) project a decrease in hiring. Utilities, on the other hand, do not expect hiring to decrease. Over the next 12 months, the number of staff/jobs in Smart Grid related roles are expected to: 100% 7% 8% 90% 80% 70% 37% 53% 33% Decrease 60% 50% Stay the same 40% 30% 56% 20% 47% 60% Increase 10% 0% All Respondents Utilities Vendors (figure 5, source: Zpryme/FierceSmartGrid November 2012 Smart Grid Index Survey) 7 [SGI] ZPRYME SMART GRID INSIGHTS Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved. Smart Grid Index| November 2012 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org | www.fiercesmartgrid.com New Deals Closed Last Month Almost half of the vendors (45%) surveyed said that they had closed new deals last month. Last month, did your company close any new Smart Grid related deals (sales, partnerships, investments, aquisitions, etc.)?* Yes, 45% No, 55% (figure 6, source: Zpryme/FierceSmartGrid November 2012 Smart Grid Index Survey) *Seventy percent of the sample was made up of vendors. Vendor industries are those respondents identified as manufacturers of power products or systems, technology vendors or integrators, and business, technical, and/or engineering consultants. 8 [SGI] ZPRYME SMART GRID INSIGHTS Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved. Smart Grid Index| November 2012 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org | www.fiercesmartgrid.com Expected Proposals Submitted over the Next 12 Months An overwhelming majority of utilities (75%) expect to submit new Smart Grid proposals over the next 12 months. Over the next 12 months, does your utility plan to submit any new Smart Grid proposals, plans or pilots for budget approval?* No, 25% Yes, 75% (figure 7, source: Zpryme/FierceSmartGrid November 2012 Smart Grid Index Survey) *Ten percent of the sample was made up of utilities. 9 [SGI] ZPRYME SMART GRID INSIGHTS Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved. Smart Grid Index| November 2012 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org | www.fiercesmartgrid.com Hurricane Sandy: Smart Grid Technologies Impact on Outage Response Times Seventy-nine percent of respondents reported that Smart Grid technologies could have helped restore power faster after Hurricane Sandy hit the Northeast U.S. Utilities were less favorable concerning Smart Grid technology’s benefit. On the other hand, vendors proved to be significantly more optimistic than utilities about Smart Grid technology’s benefit. Given the massive damage and power outages caused by the storm (Sandy) that just hit the Northeast United States, do you think that Smart Grid technologies could have helped utilities restore power faster had they been fully deployed? 100% 90% 16% 21% 80% 44% 70% No 60% 50% 40% 30% Yes 84% 79% 56% 20% 10% 0% All Respondents Utilities Vendors (figure 8, source: Zpryme/FierceSmartGrid November 2012 Smart Grid Index Survey) 10 [SGI] ZPRYME SMART GRID INSIGHTS Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved. Smart Grid Index| November 2012 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org | www.fiercesmartgrid.com Respondent Industry Representation About The Smart Grid Index Ten percent of respondents were utilities, while 70% were vendors. Vendor industries are those respondents identified as manufacturer of power products or systems, technology vendor or integrators, and business, technical, and/or engineering consultants. The remaining 20% were from the educational, nonprofit, power generation, government, and other industries. The SGI is developed by Zpryme’s Smart Grid Insights and FierceSmartGrid. The monthly Smart Grid Index is an objective and unbiased market indicator that captures the real-time industry sentiment, outlook, and performance. Industry Representation of Respondents Education institution, 5% Nonprofit organization, 2% Utility, 10% Other, 5% Power generation, 5% State/federal government, 2% Government data and statistics are usually 1 to 2 years behind. Additionally, major industry announcements and deals only capture a small fraction of market activity. Such lack of data can lead to poor investment decision criteria for utilities and technology vendors operating (or seeking to enter) in the Smart Grid space. Thus, the goal of the monthly Smart Grid Index is to provide credible, reliable, and timely market information for utilities and Smart Grid executives so they can better assess their performance versus their peers, and decrease the risk associated with Smart Grid related investments. Technology vendor or integrator, 27% Manufacturer of power products or systems, 13% Consultant (business, technical, or engineering), 30% (figure 9, source: Zpryme/FierceSmartGrid November 2012 Smart Grid Index Survey) 11 [SGI] ZPRYME SMART GRID INSIGHTS Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved. Smart Grid Index| November 2012 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org | www.fiercesmartgrid.com About Zpryme Smart Grid Insights Practice: Zpyme Credits Zpryme-powered Smart Grid Insights Publication, Practice and Advisory Board help organizations understand their business environment, engage consumers, inspire innovation, and take action. Zpryme Smart Grid Insights represents an evolution beyond traditional market research and consulting: combining sound fundamentals, innovative tools and methodologies, industry experience, and creative marketing savvy to supercharge clients’ success. At Zpryme, we don’t produce tables and charts; we deliver opportunity-focused, actionable insight that is both engaging and easy-to-digest. For more information regarding our custom research, visit: www.zpryme.com. Research Manager Roger Alford, Ph.D. Zpryme Smart Grid Insights Contact: smart.grid@zpryme.com | +1 888.ZPRYME.1 (+1 888.977.9631) www.smartgridresearch.org (Zpryme Smart Grid Insights) Sr. Research Analysts Megan Dean Paula Smith Disclaimer: These materials and the information contained herein are provided by Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC and are intended to provide general information on a particular subject or subjects and is not an exhaustive treatment of such subject(s). Accordingly, the information in these materials is not intended to constitute accounting, tax, legal, investment, consulting or other professional advice or services. The information is not intended to be relied upon as the sole basis for any decision which may affect you or your business. Before making any decision or taking any action that might affect your personal finances or business, you should consult a qualified professional adviser. These materials and the information contained herein is provided as is, and Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC makes no express or implied representations or warranties regarding these materials and the information herein. Without limiting the foregoing, Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC does not warrant that the materials or information contained herein will be error-free or will meet any particular criteria of performance or quality. 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About FierceSmartGrid: Written with a focus on industry CTOs and technical infrastructure decision-makers, FierceSmartGrid covers the latest business and technology news surrounding network intelligence, home networking, smart meters, and other key issues pertinent to the efficient delivery of economic, reliable, and sustainable energy services. In addition to a free weekly email newsletter to keep up with this evolving marketplace, thousands of energy and telecom industry insiders who already subscribe to FierceSmartGrid also receive access to unique special reports, eBooks, webinars, events, and whitepapers. Join FierceSmartGrid today to get an edge in the energy delivery industry. FierceSmartGrid Contact: editors@fiercesmartgrid.com www.fiercesmartgrid.com 12 [SGI] ZPRYME SMART GRID INSIGHTS Copyright © 2012 Zpryme Research & Consulting, LLC All rights reserved. Smart Grid Index| November 2012 www.zpryme.com | www.smartgridresearch.org | www.fiercesmartgrid.com SMART GRID INSIGHTS INTELLIGENT RESEARCH FOR AN INTELLIGENT MARKET INTELLIGENCE BY ZPRYME | ZPRYME.COM © 2012 ZPRYME RESEARCH & CONSULTING, LLC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. SMARTGRIDRESEARCH.ORG