Evaluation Monitoring Funded Projects Explain Relationships Between Bark Beetles, Fuels and Fire Behavior 1 2 1 1 Michael Jenkins , Martin Alexander , Wesley Page , Curtis Gray , Chelsea Toone W 1 U.S. Forest Service Cooperators: Steve Munson, Elizabeth Hebertson, Justin Runyon, Lee Pederson and Danielle Reboletti 1 GraphicsProgramming Lab assistants: Dawnee Burson and Jack Robinson, Utah State University %DUN%HHWOHV)XHOV)LUH:HEVLWH %DUNEHHWOHLQGXFHGFKDQJHVWR,QWHUPRXQWDLQ5HJLRQFRQLIHU forests and potential effects on surface and crown fire behavior (YDOXDWLRQ0RQLWRULQJ3URMHFW(0)DQG 6SHFLDO7HFKQRORJ\DQG'HYHORSPHQW3URMHFW67'35,17) Michael Jenkins, Wesley Page, Arik Jorgensen, Tim Hill, Chelsea Toone, Wanda Lindquist (YDOXDWLRQ0RQLWRULQJ3URMHFWV(0)DQG(0) Michael Jenkins, Wesley Page, Arik Jorgensen, Tim Hill ENGELMANN SPRUCE Lodgepole Pine even aged MPB 16 4 12 8 150 500+? 300 30 Duff (divided by 10) 4 4 0 Time 2 35 Time Endemic Epidemic 250 20 200 15 150 0 Dead trees QMD 10 100 25 Live trees QMD (cm) 25 50 5 EN EP 0 PE 20 15 9 10 8 5 0 Post-Epidemic 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 Year Fuel 0 Time 300 30 0 0 30 350 W 1948 1968 1988 2010 Snags/acre/year 1 3 6 NoMort 60 1902 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 6 EN 5 EP 4 PE 3 2 1 0 Foliage Tons per acre 7 *divided by 10 Flame length (m) and crowning index (m/s) Flame Length (m) Crowning Index (m/s) Probability of Torching (%) 40 25 30 20 15 20 10 0 0 5 0 EN EP PE Spruce Beetle Condition Class W )XHODQGILUHEHKDYLRULQEDUN beetle-affected five needle pines Post-epidemic (YDOXDWLRQ0RQLWRULQJ3URMHFW(0) Michael Jenkins, Chelsea Toone REFERENCED BY Jackson, Big Piney (LaBarge Watershed Improvement Project) Kemmerer Ranger Districts (Ham's Fork Restoration Project) Bridger-Teton NF; Fremont Ranger District, Fishlake NF The objective of this study is to characterize and model fuels and fire behavior in mountain pine beetle (MPB)-affected stands of high elevation five needle pines, including whitebark, limber, foxWDLO5RFN\0RXQWDLQEULVWOHFRQHDQG*UHDW%DVLQEULVWOHFRQH:HKDYHFROOHFWHGGDWDIURP SORWVQHDU/D%DUJH:\RPLQJDWHOHYDWLRQVEHWZHHQDQGIHHW'DWDFRPSDUHOLWWHU and fine fuels beneath green, red and gray whitebark pine crown condition classes. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 Year Whitebark pine Epidemic 10 5 Engelmann spruce Endemic Dead Foliage 50 30 Lodgepole pine FIRE SPREAD MODEL Green Altered 60 35 Douglas-fir Live Foliage 10 Fire Behavior in Engelmann Spruce Bark Beetle Epidemic to Post-Epidemic 40 Image Gallery 15 Year 2002 10 Hr 100 Hr 1000 Hr* PHOTO GUIDES 20 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 W Live 1 Hr Live Herb- Shrub aceous Litter Duff* Probability of torching (%) 25 x Fire Return Interval (years) Fine Woody Fuel Engelmann spruce (per hectare) 0 Fuel Load (tons per hectare) Fuel Load (tonnes per hectare) 10 Engelmann Spruce 1000 Hour Fuels 4 8 6 Course Woody Fuel Surface Fuel Complex Litter 0 4000 400 8 12 6000 35 0 12 0.4 0 40 450 Tons per acre Elevation (feet) 0.8 500 0.2 Estimated Canopy Foliage (tons per hectare) 1.2 8000 0.6 One snag per acre per year FIR ET Av YP ala E nc he Po ten tia l ty e ri ev Herbaceous Biomass 0.8 0.4 BARK BEETLES, FUELS, FIRE DJHPHQW ODE DW 868 VWXGLHV WKH HIIHFWV RI the interaction of selected agents of disturEDQFH RQ ,QWHUPRXQWDLQ IRUHVWV RYHU ORQJ WHPSRUDODQGODUJHVSDWLDOVFDOHV6LQFHWKH HDUO\ VRXUZRUNKDVIRFXVHGRQWKHLQfluence of bark beetles on fuels complexes and the potential alteration of surface and crown fire regimes . DWD Fuel Bed Depth Stand Structure 1 1 Fuel Depth (meters) 2 ty n si L o w Inte c e S u rf a Tons/Acre Shrub Biomass 3 Hi gh In te ns ity C wn ro La rge Sn ow dS xe Mi 4 0 Ponderosa Pine all aged MPB LODGEPOLE PINE 11000 Tree Species Stand Structure Bark Beetle Species Douglas-fir uneven aged DFB DOUGLAS-FIR http://www.usu.edu/forestry/disturbance/bark-beetles-fuels-fire/ T KH )RUHVW 'LVWXUEDQFH (FRORJ\ DQG 0DQ- Engelmann Spruce/ Subalpine fir uneven aged SB W 5 ( 6 8 /7 6 6LJQLILFDQWdifferences were detected in litter, duff, and one and ten hour timelag woody fuels ZKHQFRPSDULQJ*UHHQ5HGDQG Gray whitebark pine crown classes Comparison of mean liƩer under whitebark pine for green, red and gray categories sampled in 2011 B DW 1 hour C 2 1.5 Comparison of mean 1 hour and 10 hour down woody material under whitebark pine for gray, green, and red categories sampled in 2011 Green Red Gray A 1.6 1 0.5 0 Green Red Gray ĐƌŽǁŶĐŽŶĚŝƟŽŶ DW 10 hour 1.8 fuel loading lbs/acre mean liƩer depth (cm) 2.5 Publications A A 1.4 1.2 B Jenkins, M.J., Hebertson, E., Page, W.G., Lindquist, W.E., 2011. A tool to estimate the impact of bark beetle activity on fuels and fire behavior. Fire Manage. Today 71(3), 36-41. 0.8 0.6 A B 0.2 A 0 Gray Green ĐƌŽǁŶĐŽŶĚŝƟŽŶ ENDEMIC En EPIDEMIC Ep POST-EPIDEMIC Pe FMC (percent) 80 crown width (CW) crown bulk density (CBD) 60 40 20 0 28-Jul 11-Aug 23-Aug 6-Sep collecƟon dates M. Simpson, British crown base height (CBH) pine fuel zone (Pz ) 17-Jul 20-Sep non-pine fuel matrix (NPz ) 15-Oct W 2010 for each tree, location, sampling period, and species/year (12 per stand) three 15 cm branch samples from south side of tree 2 m above ground each year - 1 species per year G ES year 2 STAND 1 0LFKDHO-HQNLQV-XVWLQ5XQ\RQ Wesley Page f = 3 trees STAND 2 Y R Gi * JUNE - A STAND 2 7000 DEPENDANT UPON CONDITIONS STAND 2 AUG - A Intermountain Region (USFS R4) bark beetle affected areas 1991 to 2009 (from ADS). Study locations. AUG - B STAND 1 T6 (Ya, Gab, GIab, Rb) 1. foliar moisture 2. volatile terpene content 3. combustion SEPT - B 250% = 6 sampled trees GI Y R (168 trees per year) G Green unattacked, and otherwise healthy Y Yellow previous year’s attacks GI Green-infested current year attacks R Red post-emergence (2-4 years post-attack) 200% W Sampling scheme NEW G 150% Percent W OLD G OLD Y OLD R 100% The objective of this research is to establish the combined threat of warming temperatures on Great Basin bristlecone pine mortality and consequent fuels accumulation effects of alteration of the fire regime. $*,6ODQGVFDSHIRUHVWFRYHUPDSZLOOEHGHYHORSHGWRHVWLPDWH*UHDW%DVLQEULVWOHFRQHSLQHKDELWDWH[WHQWDQGGHJUHHRIIUDJPHQWDWLRQ $GRZQVFDOHGJOREDOFOLPDWHPRGHOZLOOVLPXODWHSRWHQWLDOUHVSRQVHVWRFOLPDWHFKDQJH 6WDQGGDWDZLOOPRQLWRUSK\VLRORJLFDOFKDQJHVWRQHHGOHFKHPLVWU\WKDWPD\LQGLFDWHDFOLPDWHLQGXFHGFKDQJHLQSODQWFRQGLWLRQ at the margins of pine distribution. Data will be upscaled to examine correlations with the remotely sensed data. )LUHVZLOOEHVLPXODWHGDFURVVDPL[WXUHRIK\SRWKHWLFDODQGUHDO'ODQGVFDSHVZLWKYDULRXVSURSRUWLRQVRIFOLPDWHDIIHFWHG tree condition classes. 3RVVLEOHFOLPDWHLQGXFHGFKDQJHVWR*UHDW%DVLQEULVWOHFRQHSLQH)LUH5HJLPH&RQGLWLRQ&ODVVZLOOEHHYDOXDWHG tricyclene (Ya, Rab, Gb, GIb) camphene (Ya, Rab, Gb, GIb) p-cymene (Ya, Gb, Rb, GIb) 5000 litter G a E-ɴ-ocimene (Ya, Rb, GIb, Gb) Mean Fuel Moisture Content of Foliage and LiƩer in Lodgepole Pine 14 June to 2 Oct, 2011 branch sample SEPT - A STAND 2 T2 (Ya, Rb, Gb, GIb) a a * DF year 3 Other a Emission Rate (ng/hr/g fresh weight) JULY - B WBP year 2 Michael Jenkins, Curtis Gray LEGEND 6000 STAND 1 Evaluation Monitoring; Monitoring on the Margin Terpene results for lodgepole pine JUNE - B JULY - A ɲ-pinene (Ya, Rab, Gb, GIb) a ɴ-myrcene (Ya, Gb, Rb, GIb) ɴ-pinene (Ya, Ga, Ra, GIa) 4000 ab 3000 a a a MEAN LITTER 3.0 cm 2000 1.5 cm 2.5 cm Page, W.G., Jenkins, M.J., 2007b. Predicted fire behavior in selected mountain pine beetleinfested lodgepole pine. For. Sci. 53, 662-674. Monitoring the impact of climate change on the frequency and severity of fires in Great Basin bristlecone pine sky island ecosystems -RLQW)LUH6FLHQFH3URJUDP3URMHFW LPP year 1 Page, W.G., Jenkins, M.J., 2007a. Mountain pine beetle-induced changes to selected lodgepole pine fuel complexes within the Intermountain Region. For. Sci. 53, 507-518. Columbia Wildfire Management Bran ch 2003 7KH,QIOXHQFHRIIXHOPRLVWXUHDQGPRQRWHUSHQHV on the flammability of conifer fuels STAND 1 Jorgensen, C.A., Jenkins, M.J., 2011. Fuel complex alterations associated with spruce beetle-induced tree mortality in Intermountain spruce-fir forests, USA. For. Sci. 57, 232-240. Jenkins, M.J., Hebertson, E., Page, W.G., Jorgensen, C.A., 2008. Bark beetles, fuels, fires and implications for forest management in the Intermountain West. For. Ecol. Manage. 254, 16-34. intercrown distance (ICD) Gi G Y R 100 Red Jenkins, M.J., 2010. The Influence of bark beetles on fuels and fires in western North American conifer forests. In: Viegas, D.X. (Ed.) VI International Conference on Forest Fire Research, Coimbra, Portugal. 140 120 Jenkins, M.J., 2011. Fuel and fire behavior in high-elevation five-needle pines affected by mountain pine beetle. In: Keane, R.E. (Ed.), The Future of High-Elevation Five-Needle White Pines in Western North America, USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Proceedings RMRS-P-63, pp. 198-205. 1 0.4 Comparison of fuel moisture content in whitebark pine for green infested, green, yellow, and red categories sampled in 2011 Jenkins, M.J., Page, W.G., Hebertson, E.G., Alexander, M.E., 2012. Fuels and fire behavior dynamics in bark-beetle attacked forests in Western North America and implications for fire management. Forest Ecology and Management, in press., in press. 50% b a a a 1000 0% b pd1 pd2 pd3 pd4 pd5 pd6 14-Jun 5-Jul 11-Jul 18-Jul 25-Jul 1-Aug 8-Aug 15-Aug 22-Aug 27-Aug 3-Sep pd7 pd8 10-Sep 17-Sep 2-Oct ab a a 5.5 cm d c W 0 Fuel moisture content results for lodgepole pine 23.0 cm G GI Y R G GI Y R G GI Y R G GI Y R July August September Overall Condition Class by Month W e Çhigher Èlower Å shorter Æ longer Lab setup and results G Fuel Moisture / Chemistry Ignitibility Fresh Ç proportions of NFC and crude fat than Y and R Ç TTI and TAI than Y and R Combustibility Dry Fresh Dry Consumability Fresh Dry Sustainability Fresh TTI and TAI MT and MRT MT and MRT 0/5DQG00/5 0/5DQG00/5 6LPLODUGXUDWLRQ similar to GI, Y, and R similar to GI, Y, and R similar to GI, Y, and R similar to GI, Y, and R similar to GI, Y, and R Dry 6LPLODUGXUDWLRQ of flaming to GI, Y, of flaming to GI, Y, and R and R Great Basin National Park /RZHVWKHDW yields GI )XHOPRLVWXUHDQG TTI and TAI chemistry equivalent to G 77,DQG7$, equivalent to G 07DQG057 equivalent to G 07DQG057 equivalent to G MLR and MMLR MLR and MMLR Duration of equivalent to G equivalent to G flaming equivalent to G unchanged from G Duration of flaming Æ than Y and R Heat yield equivalent to G 6SULQJ0RXQWDLQV WFDS output Y Foliage fuel moisture equivalent to R from late July onward 1')DQG$')Ç, NFC and crude fat ÇTAI than G Å TTI than G ÈTAI than G Several terpenes 07DQG057 equivalent to G Ç emissions of emitted at Ç two terpenes positively correlated with several terpenes positively correlated with maximum rate of temperature maximum rate of mass loss than G levels than G negatively È than G correlated with TTI Ç emission rates and TAI of several terpenes Moistures similar to Y and litter 1')DQG$')Ç, NFC and crude fat È than G MLR and MMLR equivalent to G Ç emissions of MLR and MMLR equivalent to G Duration of flaming equivalent to G Å duration of flaming than GI Heat yield Ç than G 'XUDWLRQRIIODPLQJ and heat yield positively correlated with NFC and crude fat, negatively correlated with NDF change than G and R R 07DQG057 equivalent to G and ADF Å TTI and È TAI than G Ç TAI than G MT and MRT equivalent to G 07DQG057 equivalent to G MLR and MMLR equivalent to G MLR and MMLR equivalent to G Duration of flaming equivalent to G TTI = Time to Ignition TAI = Temperature at Ignition MT = Maximum temperature MRT = Maximum rate of temperature increase MLR = Mass loss rate MMLR = Maximum mass loss rate Å duration of flaming than GI Heat yield Ç than G 'XUDWLRQRIIODPLQJ and heat yield positively correlated with NFC and crude fat, negatively correlated with NDF Background Image: 1961 Sleeping Child Fire burns in mountain pine beetle-affected lodgepole pine on the Bitterroot NF, Montana. and ADF W 1 Photo by Ernest Peterson, USDA Forest Service Result summary matrix for lodgepole pine Dept of Wildland Resources, Utah State University, Logan, UT, USA 2 Great Basin bristlecone pine distribution and study areas in 1HYDGD86$ Dept of Renewable Resources and Alberta School of Forest Science and Mgt., Univ. of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta CAN.