Assessment of the Rate of Progression of Butternut Canker in Vermont D.R. Bergdahl, T.F. Schmalz, D. Ruddell, H.B. Teillon, and S. Halik University of Vermont, Burlington, Vermont 05405, dale.bergdahl@uvm.edu Introduction Scj present Scj absent a a Percent change (1996-2002) in butternut mortality, SCJ infection, Armillaria root rot, other root rot, and heart/trunk rot in northcentral Vermont. a b b Developed Armillaria root Developed other root rots Developed heart/trunk rot rot Percent of trees Percent of trees a 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Percentage affected 2002 Percentage affected 1996 Mortality SCJ Present* Armillaria root Other root rots* Heart/Trunk rot* Rot* * Data apply to trees living in 2002 only Mortality Scj infection Other root rot infection Armillaria root rot infection Heart/trunk rot infection 20% Conclusion WR1 WR4 Overall mean RD2 WN2 OS3 WM2 LE2 OS1 FN1 OE3 EX1 CN8 Plot Plot Butternut canker is increasing mortality of butternut in Vermont. The occurrence of secondary pathogens is further reducing tree health leading to premature mortality. Based on our mortality prediction curve, about 85% of all butternut trees in Vermont are expected to die by 2011. We must make an effort to retain and conserve all healthy appearing trees that may form the foundation for future selection and breeding programs designed to restore butternut to the eastern hardwood forest. CN6 0% CN4 10% WR4 WR1 WN2 RD2 OS3 WM2 OS1 OE3 LE2 FN1 EX1 CN8 CN6 CN4 CN2 CN14 CA3 CN12 CN10 CA1 AN3 0% AN1 10% 30% CN2 20% 40% CN14 30% CN12 40% 45% 50% CA3 50% 60% CA1 60% 70% CN10 70% 80% AN3 80% 90% AN1 Percent butternut tree mortality 90% BN1 On re-evaluation of original permanent plots, SCJ infection and butternut mortality had increased to 96% and 41%, respectively, by 2002. Trees that exhibited main stem and root cankering in 1996 were more likely to be dead in 2002 and have Armillaria root rot and other root rots when compared to healthy trees, especially in understocked stands. Suppressed trees were most likely to die, but dominant trees had highest rates of root and trunk rots. 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Suppressed Trees 100% Location of Butternut Plots Throughout Vermont 2001-2004 Results Comparison between SCJ-positive and SCJ-negative living butternut trees (1996) developing Armillaria root rot, other root rots and heart/trunk rots during the interim period 19962002. Letters indicate significant differences at 0.05 level. Intermediate Trees BN1 2001-2002 plots 2003-2004 plots Co-dominant Trees Projected mortality of butternut in Vermont based on 1996 and 2002 data. Mortality prediction given by equation Y=mX+b, where Y=estimated percent mortality at time X (in years from 1996), m=slope of the line (0.04833), and b=0.12. 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Legend Dominant Trees During 2003-2004, an additional 24 plots (1054 trees) were assessed. All trees were found infected, and mortality was 49% (range 5-81%, mean 44% on a plot basis). Combining all 45 plots (2325 trees) throughout Vermont, overall SCJ infection and butternut mortality levels were 86 and 45% respectively (2001-04 data). Percent trees infected with SCJ All trees were recorded by GPS location and included in a GIS database. Individual tree information included: DBH, height, crown class, crown diameter, and data on crown condition per FHM guidelines, epicormic branching, root and stem cankering, and presence of rot. All trees in the original data set were re-evaluated, and new plots and trees were added (2001-04) to assess butternut health in all counties of Vermont. A diseased butternut with extensive dieback and epicormic branching in northern Vermont. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Percent of butternut trees Methods Percent of butternut trees The butternut canker fungus (Sirococcus clavigignenti-juglandacearum Nair, Kostichka, and Kuntz) (SCJ) is believed to be an exotic pathogen that has seriously impacted butternut (Juglans cinerea) throughout its range in eastern North America. In the Northeast, limited information is available on the health status of butternut because this species is not significantly represented in the national forest health monitoring (FHM) network of plots. During 1993-96, Vermont established 18 permanent plots, evaluated 1317 butternut trees, and found 94% were cankered and mortality was 12%. Reduced crown vigor and secondary pathogens (esp. Armillaria sp.) were associated. Vermont’s permanent database is a valuable resource for monitoring butternut canker incidence and severity and rates of tree mortality over time. This information helps to better understand butternut canker and to develop new guidelines for management of butternut. Comparison of 2002 mortality, SCJ infection, Armillaria root rot, other root rot, and heart/trunk rot rates classified by crown class. Differences among crown classes in mortality, other root rot, and heart/trunk rot were significant at the 0.05 level. Year