Fisheries ISSN: 0363-2415 (Print) 1548-8446 (Online) Journal homepage: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/ufsh20 A Resilience Approach Can Improve Anadromous Fish Restoration John Waldman, Karen A. Wilson, Martha Mather & Noah P. Snyder To cite this article: John Waldman, Karen A. Wilson, Martha Mather & Noah P. Snyder (2016) A Resilience Approach Can Improve Anadromous Fish Restoration, Fisheries, 41:3, 116-126 To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03632415.2015.1134501 Published online: 24 Feb 2016. Submit your article to this journal View related articles View Crossmark data Full Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at http://www.tandfonline.com/action/journalInformation?journalCode=ufsh20 Download by: [69.113.49.23] Date: 24 February 2016, At: 13:41 FEATURE Downloaded by [69.113.49.23] at 13:41 24 February 2016 A Resilience Approach Can Improve Anadromous Fish Restoration 116 Fisheries | Vol. 41 • No. 3 • March 2016 Downloaded by [69.113.49.23] at 13:41 24 February 2016 John Waldman Biology Department, 65-30 Kissena Blvd., Queens College, Queens, NY 11367, and Biology and Earth and Environmental Sciences Ph.D. Programs, Graduate Center, The City University of New York, NY. E-mail: john.waldman@qc.cuny.edu Karen A. Wilson Department of Environmental Science and Policy, University of Southern Maine, Gorham, ME Martha Mather U.S. Geological Survey, Kansas Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, Division of B ­ iology, Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS Noah P. Snyder Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Boston College, Chestnut Hill, MA Fisheries | www.fisheries.org 117 Most anadromous fish populations remain at low levels or are in decline despite substantial investments in restoration. We explore whether a resilience perspective (i.e., a different paradigm for understanding populations, communities, and ecosystems) is a viable alternative framework for anadromous fish restoration. Many life history traits have allowed anadromous fish to thrive in unimpacted ecosystems but have become contemporary curses as anthropogenic effects increase. This contradiction creates a significant conservation challenge but also makes these fish excellent candidates for a resilience approach. A resilience approach recognizes the need to maintain life history, population, and habitat characteristics that increase the ability of a population to withstand and recover from multiple disturbances. To evaluate whether a resilience approach represents a viable strategy for anadromous fish restoration, we review four issues: (1) how resilience theory can inform anadromous fish restoration, (2) how a resilience-based approach is fundamentally different than extant anadromous fish restoration strategies, (3) ecological characteristics that historically benefited anadromous fish persistence, and (4) examples of how human impacts harm anadromous fish and how a resilience approach might produce more successful outcomes. We close by suggesting new research and restoration directions for implementation of a resilience-based approach. Downloaded by [69.113.49.23] at 13:41 24 February 2016 Un enfoque de resiliencia puede mejorar la recuperación de peces anádromos La mayor parte de las poblaciones de peces anádromos se encuentran en niveles bajos o están declinando pese a las sustanciales inversiones que se hacen para su recuperación. En este trabajo se exploró si la perspectiva de resiliencia (i.e. un paradigma diferente para comprender a las poblaciones, comunidades y ecosistemas) consituye un marco conceptual viable para la restauración de peces anádromos. Muchos atributos de su historia de vida han permitido a los peces anádromos florecer en ecosistemas no impactados, pero a medida que los efectos antropogénicos se incrementan, dichos atributos se vuelven en su contra. Esta contradicción genera un importante reto de conservación, pero también convierte a estos peces en excelentes candidatos para ser estudiados bajo el enfoque de la resiliencia. Este enfoque reconoce la necesidad de mantener las características de la historia de vida, la población y el hábitat para incrementar la habilidad de la población para soportar y recuperarse ante múltiples disturbios del ambiente. Con el fin de evaluar si el enfoque de resiliencia representa una estrategia viable para la recuperación de peces anádromos, se hace una revisión de cuatro aspectos: (1) cómo la teoría de resiliencia puede brindar información sobre la recuperación de peces anádromos, (2) cómo el enfoque basado en la resiliencia resulta fundamentalmente diferente de las estrategias actuales de recuperación de peces anádromos, (3) las características ecológicas que históricamente ha beneficiado la persistencia de peces anádromos y (4) ejemplos de cómo los impactos provocados por el humano dañan a los peces anádromos y cómo el enfoque de resiliencia pudiera producir mejores resultados. Se concluye sugiriendo nuevas líneas de investigación y guías de recuperación para implementar el enfoque basado en la resiliencia. Une approche résiliente peut améliorer le rétablissement des populations de poissons ­anadromes La plupart des populations de poissons anadromes restent à des niveaux faibles ou sont en déclin malgré des investissements substantiels dans le rétablissement de leurs populations. Nous explorons si la résilience (c.-à-d., un paradigme différent pour comprendre les populations, les communautés et les écosystèmes) est un cadre alternatif viable pour le rétablissement des populations de poissons anadromes. Beaucoup de traits d’histoire de vie ont permis aux poissons anadromes de prospérer dans les écosystèmes intacts, mais sont devenus des malédictions contemporaines à cause de l’augmentation des effets anthropiques. Cette contradiction engendre un défi important en matière de conservation, mais rend également ces poissons d’excellents candidats pour une approche résiliente. Cette dernière reconnaît la nécessité de conserver les caractéristiques de l’histoire de vie, de la population et de l’habitat qui augmentent la capacité d’une population à résister et à se remettre de plusieurs perturbations. Pour évaluer si une approche résiliente représente une stratégie viable pour le rétablissement des populations des poissons anadromes, nous examinons quatre questions: (1) comment la théorie de la résilience peut nous informer sur le rétablissement des populations de poissons anadromes, (2) comment une approche fondée sur la résilience est fondamentalement différente des stratégies de rétablissement de populations de poissons anadromes existantes, (3) les caractéristiques écologiques qui ont historiquement été bénéfiques à la persistance des poissons anadromes, et (4) des exemples de la façon dont les impacts humains nuisent aux poissons anadromes et comment une approche résiliente pourrait produire des résultats plus fructueux. Nous terminons en proposant de nouvelles orientations de recherche et de rétablissement des populations pour la mise en œuvre d’une approche fondée sur la résilience. NEED FOR A NEW APPROACH Exploring new approaches to anadromous fish restoration is essential. Despite substantial investments in research and management, precipitous declines have occurred in many populations of these highly valued organisms, which make spectacular migrations between freshwater and saltwater habitats. In the North Atlantic, for example, of 35 anadromous populations investigated, indices of abundances dropped more than 98% in 13 populations and more than 90% in an additional 11 populations (Limburg and Waldman 2009). Like many organisms, anadromous fish are threatened by a variety of natural and anthropogenic disturbances. The restoration of anadromous fish is especially challenging because migratory fish have complex life cycles that use diverse habitats. 118 Fisheries | Vol. 41 • No. 3 • March 2016 In fact, the unique life history characteristics of anadromous fish historically aided their resilience in intact ecosystems but often erode resilience in human-impacted ecosystems. For example, the ability to move across habitats allows anadromous fish to take advantage of breeding and nursery grounds that yield successful recruitment while also utilizing high ocean productivity for growth. Unfortunately, human modification of natal rivers and coastal areas, especially the construction of physical barriers and degradation of estuarine habitat, has made these taxa extraordinarily vulnerable to extirpation. This apparent contradiction (historical advantages have become contemporary curses) has put most anadromous fish at risk in the 21st century. As a result, anadromous fish are excellent candidates for a resilience approach to restoration. Downloaded by [69.113.49.23] at 13:41 24 February 2016 Here, we first review select aspects of the resilience perspective from the literature to provide specific context regarding anadromous fish. We also compare and contrast resilience theory to extant approaches to anadromous fish restoration to suggest how a resilience perspective might benefit anadromous fish conservation. (Many individual management and restoration remedies have been applied to anadromous fish, but to highlight the potential advantages that resilience theory may confer to anadromous fish conservation and restoration, we refer to this body of options as “extant” approaches.) Third, we review several suites of ecological characteristics that we hypothesize historically promoted resilience for locally adapted anadromous fish but, at present, may make them more vulnerable to extirpation. Next, we illustrate how three anadromous taxa are threatened by multiple anthropogenic disturbances and how a resilience theory approach might be more successful for conservation and restoration. Finally, we identify needs and challenges for anadromous fish restoration based on resilience theory and make recommendations for future research and management actions. WHAT IS A RESILIENCE PERSPECTIVE? Resilience is a population’s capacity to deal with environmental change. In his seminal review, Holling (1973:14) defined ecological resilience as “a measure of the persistence of systems and of their ability to absorb disturbance and still maintain the same relationships between populations or state variables.” Definitions of resilience (e.g., theory, concept, approach, perspective, framework, thinking, practice) have evolved and diversified across authors and disciplines. Some practitioners of resilience theory emphasize particular components of investigation, whereas others consider resilience thinking as a broader approach to sustainability (e.g., Walker and Salt 2006, 2012). Nevertheless, maintaining or restoring the capacity of diverse and functional populations, communities, and ecosystems to resist and recover from inevitable environmental change or disturbance (e.g., natural and anthropogenic, anticipated and unanticipated, frequent and infrequent, mild and severe) is central to all definitions of resilience. Resilience represents a philosophy about conservation and restoration that guides and organizes planning and action (Folke et al. 2010) rather than any specific set of actions. Individual restoration plans may adopt different steps to foster resilience, but clear differences in action will result from extant conservation- and resilience-based approaches. For example, both resilience-based and extant management approaches to anadromous fish restoration seek healthy populations, but extant approaches might strive to attain a large numerical target achieved through hatchery stocking of fish with homogeneous life histories, whereas a resilience approach might prioritize a numerically smaller population composed of diverse life histories that can respond to unanticipated changes and make fuller use of habitats within a watershed. Resilience can be viewed as an integrated ecology, social science, and management approach to sustainability. As such, much of the current resilience literature falls into three major categories (Figure 1). One aspect seeks to use quantitative ecological tools to detect, understand, and model ecosystem trends (e.g., Bestelmeyer et al. 2011; Spanbauer et al. 2014; Figure 1). For example, of one area of research within this approach, state or “regime shift” changes are nonlinear responses that occur through the interruption of ecosystem processes or feedbacks (e.g., Holling 1973; discussed in greater detail in the Challenges section). Most ecological restoration efforts treat these trends as linear, when they often are more complex. A focus of quantitative ecological research on ecosystems that embodies nonlinear dynamics, thresholds, Figure 1. Major components of resilience thinking. Quantitative ecological tools include threshold detection methods (after Bestelmeyer et al. 2011). Social–ecological system tools consider the impact of external drivers (climate, geology, regulations) on coupled ecological and social systems (after Chapin et al. 2011). Management and conservation with a resilience perspective considers both the human and ecological impacts of management actions (here, removal of the Great Works Dam, 2012, Penobscot River, Maine). Photo credit: K. Wilson. Fisheries | www.fisheries.org 119 Downloaded by [69.113.49.23] at 13:41 24 February 2016 uncertainty, and scale is to characterize population trajectories in response to change (linear, threshold, or hysteresis; Bestelmeyer et al. 2011). Most restoration plans for anadromous fish do not explicitly consider state changes and related feedbacks (Cortina et al. 2006). However, understanding nonlinear dynamics, tipping points, and feedback loops is critical in restoration because they can make state changes difficult to reverse (Walker and Salt 2012) and challenging to manage. Understanding state changes is critical for anadromous fish restoration because small populations can result from either low numbers in the original state or from an irreversible (or difficult to reverse) state change. Common restoration strategies (e.g., stocking, fishways, habitat improvements) that attempt to simply reverse impairments will not be enough to revitalize anadromous fish populations if a state change has occurred. Consequently, the same restoration intervention may succeed or fail depending on ecosystem state. A second major category of resilience literature focuses on the social–ecological system (SES; Folke 2006; Figure 1) because a resilience perspective encompasses ecosystem stewardship (Chapin et al. 2011) and the interacting systems of people and nature (Simonsen et al. 2014). This SES literature seeks to quantitatively model human effects as an integral part of ecosystem dynamics, not as a problem external to the ecosystem. Human impacts are the most commonly cited cause of ecosystem degradation, including anadromous fish declines. Proponents of resilience theory often argue that separating consideration of social aspects from the ecological has prevented resource managers from dealing effectively with human impacts. Consequently, the noninterdisciplinary nature of most management or restoration plans has likely contributed to population declines and ecosystem degradation. Although most fish biologists do not seek to function as social scientists, this SES perspective is important to embrace because “many of the serious, recurring problems in natural resource use and management stem precisely from the lack of recognition that ecosystems and the social systems that use and depend on them are inextricably linked” (Folke et al. 2010). For example, a purely ecological perspective might advocate removing all dams from a single watershed, but an integrated SES perspective would recognize that politically this solution alone is unlikely to succeed without co-occurring sociopolitical planning and interdisciplinary implementation. A third focus of resilience thinking emphasizes the need to integrate research with management (e.g., Mitchell et al. 2014; Standish et al. 2014; Figure 1). Adaptive management (learning while doing) was an early part of the resilience perspective (Holling 1978) because most resilience problems are too complex to be addressed as controlled laboratory or reductionistic field experiments. For example, testing whether habitat heterogeneity can be increased through the establishment of natural flow regimes, identifying population consequences of diverse life histories, and quantifying movements in response to dam removal can only be examined in collaboration with fisheries managers. As such, integrating management and research is essential for a resilience approach. Much of the resilience thinking literature advocates actions as experiments (e.g., Curtin and Parker 2014). For example, determining how much disturbance a system can absorb without switching to a new state and whether interventions will be needed to assist a recovering ecosystem (Mitchell et al. 2014; Standish et al. 2014) are outcomes of resilience research that are integrally connected to management. 120 Fisheries | Vol. 41 • No. 3 • March 2016 RESILIENCE VS. EXTANT APPROACHES TO RESTORATION A resilience approach builds on, but is philosophically different from, most ongoing anadromous fish restoration efforts. Although resilience-based and extant fish restoration approaches share the recognition of a common conservation problem and embrace the benefits of established fisheries tools and techniques, the goals, reference states, and targets of the two approaches are fundamentally different (Table 1). Typically, the resilience approach will prioritize maintaining diverse life histories within a watershed to allow a variety of anadromous fish populations to withstand environmental change. In contrast, many extant restoration approaches seek to achieve numerical fish or habitat targets based on historical references such as data on earlier run sizes or number of kilometers of previously unimpeded rivers in a watershed. Large numbers of hatchery salmon, for example, might result in a larger population size initially (achieving an extant restoration goal), but the resulting homogeneity in life histories might reduce a population’s ability to respond to a variety of future changes (failing to achieve a restoration-theory goal). Given the current realities of institutional and geopolitical systems that usually seek to optimize the gain in one objective rather than the best tradeoff among competing objectives (Hermoso et al. 2012), it is understandable how (and why) the role of disturbance and uncertainty has been downplayed. The dismal present state of most anadromous fish populations makes an effective argument that a resilience-based approach is worth exploring even if it requires a more complex, politically difficult, socioecological strategy. CHARACTERISTICS THAT HISTORICALLY PROMOTED HEALTHY ANADROMOUS FISH POPULATIONS Functional Diversity in Life History and Habitat Life history diversity (within and across populations) has historically contributed to resilience of anadromous fish through varying functional traits, discrete life histories, multiple year classes of spawners, and pulsed spawning. In the past, for many anadromous fish populations, rivers were utilized more fully in time and space by a broader range of life histories. For example, discrete life history forms in both alosines and Atlantic Salmon Salmo salar, noted in earlier centuries, showed observable morphological and behavioral distinctions (Waldman 2013). Recent work in ecology has focused on trait-based approaches to assessing the resilience of systems to disturbance (Tilman 2001), where functional diversity is defined as “the value and range of functional traits of organisms present in an ecosystem” (Standish et al. 2014:44). In this case, the aggregated traits of organisms (or habitats) in the system modulate response to disturbance and are measured as response diversity (Mori et al. 2013). Although many variants have been lost, with today’s sophisticated tools (e.g., otolith analyses; Turner and Limburg 2012), some robust contemporary populations still demonstrate substantial life history variation detectable beyond simple visible inspection. These life history variants may be the raw material of population recovery, and they need to be preserved. The “portfolio effect,” or coexistence of multiple life history strategies within a population, is an important example of how diversity in life history can increase resilience and stability (Figge 2004). Within populations, variation increases resilience by making fuller use of a watershed’s potential life history Downloaded by [69.113.49.23] at 13:41 24 February 2016 Table 1. Comparison of resilience approach and some present approaches to anadromous fish restoration including shared and divergent foundational positions as well as needs and challenges (e.g., quantitative, social-ecological, and integrated research management). This table also provides a roadmap for the organization of this perspective. circuits. For example, annual Sockeye Salmon Oncorhynchus nerka returns over five decades in diverse Bristol Bay, Alaska, drainages helped buffer any negative environmental conditions that occurred in individual tributaries; that is, variability in total Bristol Bay returns was 2.2 times lower than if the system had consisted of a single homogenous population (Schindler et al. 2010). For White Perch Morone americana, contingents that include dominant year classes from brackish water nursery areas and low-level recruitment life histories from freshwater habitats allow the entire population to persist in diverse conditions (Kraus and Secor 2005). Thus, in a variable environment, life history diversity increases the probability that recruitment will be successful somewhere within the system, leading to greater numbers or population persistence. Functional complexity in life history also can be increased through the “storage effect” and “split cohorts.” The storage effect that results from multiple-spawner year classes promotes resilience by accumulating spawning stock biomass annually Fisheries | www.fisheries.org 121 Downloaded by [69.113.49.23] at 13:41 24 February 2016 so that when environmental conditions are favorable, the consequent high egg production can result in rapid population growth, as has been shown for Striped Bass Morone saxatilis in Chesapeake Bay (Secor 2007). Pulsed reproductive efforts that result in temporally split cohorts, such as multimodality in hatch dates of American Shad Alosa sapidissima (Olney and McBride 2003), are a form of bet-hedging that is more likely to result in at least one cohort, and possibly two or more cohorts, that contributes to recruitment. Thus, the storage effect and pulsed spawning can enhance diversity in reproduction and contribute to persistence in anadromous fish, increasing the likelihood that at least some individuals from a spawning season ultimately contribute to the pool of adult spawners (Secor 2007). Habitat heterogeneity also promotes resilience of anadromous fish. Historically, rivers displayed more complex morphologies, including multiple channels that made floodplains more accessible (e.g., Walter and Merritts 2008; Snyder 2012). Habitat mosaics (adjacent habitats that support different functions) provide environments for life stages from multiple life histories (Stanford et al. 1996). Before dams, “open” or effective distances of rivers were greater and included an array of diverse habitats. Limburg et al. (2003) estimated a decrease of 4,000 km of mostly upriver habitat (35%) for American Shad blocked by dams. Healthy, forested riparian corridors provided temperature control by shading, bank stability with root strength, and recruitment of large wood, which drives the scouring of pools and sorting of bed sediment vital to fish habitat quality (e.g., Bisson et al. 2009; Beechie et al. 2010). Although these habitat alteration issues affect a variety of fish, a critical advantage of habitat complexity for anadromous fish is that multiple life history forms (Schindler et al. 2010) may persist and coexist by spawning in spatially and temporally specialized conditions. Movement Patterns and Connectivity Free movement adds resilience to anadromous fish populations. For movement to confer an advantage, suitable habitats must exist and be connected, but natural and anthropogenic changes often isolate patches from one another (Lake 2000). The ability to move within and across localized habitats and connectivity across movement corridors are defining features of populations and habitats when anadromous fish were historically abundant. Such dispersal is an important way to resist disturbance and promote resilience. For example, being able to access refuges during times of drought or floods is important if anadromous fish populations are to survive largescale disturbances (Sedell et al. 1990). In addition, large systems can be critical sources both for individuals and genetic diversity; populations in smaller rivers may rely on the ongoing dispersal of individuals from adjacent larger rivers to maintain their populations (Palstra et al. 2007). Many anadromous fish can also be viewed as occurring in metapopulations, which are characterized by the interaction between demographic connectedness (in which populations are strongly dependent on local demographic processes) and dispersal (a nontrivial element of external replenishment that can serve as a hedge against local population extinction). Substantial stability of a metapopulation can be maintained in fluctuating environments at low and even moderate levels of connectivity (Secor et al. 2009). Thus, resilience requires some degree of connectivity, but too much connectivity results in high synchrony between components, which can reduce stability. Figure 2. Normalized time series of indices of abundance of three North Atlantic anadromous fish species. Adapted from Limburg and Waldman (2009). 122 Fisheries | Vol. 41 • No. 3 • March 2016 Downloaded by [69.113.49.23] at 13:41 24 February 2016 Within anadromous fish species, diversity in migration strategies was likely more common when anadromous fish were abundant. Currently, some species are still plastic in their migrations and exhibit a suite of movement patterns (e.g., Pautzke et al. 2010; Frank et al. 2011). For example, anadromous Striped Bass show diverse migration behaviors from life residency within fresh and low salinity river reaches, to a mainly estuarine existence, to long-distance marine migrations (Zlokovitz et al. 2003). Furthermore, the extent of marine migration of Striped Bass appears density dependent (Waldman et al. 1990). Striped Bass also form distinct contingents of feeding and migratory behaviors (Mather et al. 2013). These complex movements can connect nutrients, energy, and populations across estuaries, thus enhancing resistance to disturbance and, consequently, increasing resilience. Mobile species such as anadromous fish can aggregate in time and space in relation to their abundances. Populations, which normally enter rivers to spawn over a period of weeks to months, can contract their distributions within rivers spatially and temporally (Bilkovic et al. 2002). For example, Pink Salmon O. gorbuscha in some Asian and North American rivers do not travel as far upstream in years with small runs as in years with larger runs (Heard 1991). Thus, flexibility in movements that facilitate concentrations of individuals can sustain reproduction and mitigate against extirpation at low (and even relict) population levels by increasing the chances of sheer persistence (compared to disaggregated spawning). THREE EXAMPLES A common suite of primarily anthropogenic disturbances have eroded many of these above-described characteristics that conferred resilience in historically abundant anadromous fish populations. The litany of causes that have contributed to declines of anadromous fishes is well characterized (Limburg and Waldman 2009). Commonly cited factors include upstream and downstream blockage by dams, overfishing, habitat degradation and pollution, and predation by and competition with nonnative fishes or hatchery-cultured conspecifics (Waldman 2013). The relative importance of this common suite of disturbances, of course, varies across taxa, ecosystems, and time frames. Below, we briefly illustrate disturbances that adversely affect three at-risk anadromous taxa and then describe the present state of resilience-related characteristics. Striped Bass Atlantic coastal Striped Bass stocks spawn within the Hudson, Delaware, or Chesapeake estuaries and then as subadults and adults make seasonal coastal migrations to feed before returning to their natal estuary to spawn (Richards and Rago 1999). After surviving a population crash in the 1980s due to overfishing, habitat degradation, and other factors, Striped Bass is the only at-risk Atlantic coast anadromous fish that subsequently has shown a clear recovery (Figure 2A). This recovery demonstrates a successful holistic approach to withstanding multiple disturbances. Even during its crash, coastal Striped Bass retained a diverse portfolio of life histories, multiple genetic stocks, and multiple spawning cohorts that resulted from a long-lived, fecund, iteroparous life history. The broad physiological tolerances, general life history, and more coastal–estuarine distribution make Striped Bass less vulnerable to the reductions in freshwater habitat and connectivity that have devastated other anadromous fish (e.g., dams for alosines and salmon). Coastal Striped Bass also have retained a wide array of within- and across-estuary migration strategies, including partial migration and behavioral contingents that allow them to adjust their distribution in time and space (Pautzke et al. 2010; Mather et al. 2013). Although they continue to face multiple anthropogenic threats, coastal Striped Bass may serve as a model for resilience-building restoration strategies for other anadromous fish. River Herring Anadromous river herring include two species (Alewife Alosa pseudoharengus and Blueback Herring A. aestivalis). These iteroparous clupeids spawn in rivers and lakes between New Brunswick and Florida. During their life cycle, river herring exhibit flexibility by utilizing diverse habitats including freshwater, estuaries and nearshore marine waters (Kosa and Mather 2001), mainstem river corridors (Frank et al. 2011), and the ocean (Stone and Jessop 1992). Historically, the use of multiple habitats, diverse movement strategies, and the ability to aggregate and spawn multiple times allowed these fish to take advantage of locally advantageous conditions. Unfortunately, for most extant river herring populations, a common suite of anthropogenic stressors (i.e., fishing, habitat degradation, fragmentation) have reduced their abundances (Figure 2B) and simplified their life history portfolios such that only a few exhibit multiple life histories (e.g., Turner and Limburg 2012). Human impacts have also reduced the storage effect derived from repeat spawning for many populations (ASMFC 2012). Moreover, anthropogenic stressors such as dams, introduced predators, and targeted fisheries prevent remaining river herring from taking advantage of the broader resources and variability of the entire system. Atlantic Salmon The U.S. federally endangered Atlantic Salmon is another classic example of a species with an anadromous life history that has declined dramatically (Figure 2C), falling from high total adult populations in U.S. rivers (as many as 500,000 in Colonial times) to just 611 in 2013 (USASAC 2014). Historically, Atlantic Salmon populations displayed functional diversity within and across populations for many life history traits, including juvenile residence time in freshwaters, adult time at sea, and age at first reproduction (e.g., Thorstad et al. 2008). Stocking of hatchery-produced individuals, commercial and recreational fishing, and other human impacts have reduced this life history variation. Atlantic Salmon can spread risk across many spawning locations, and run sizes correlate positively with habitat heterogeneity (Kim and Lapointe 2011). However, human-related habitat changes reduce these advantages of using diverse habitats. For example, dams and ineffective passage diminish the proportion of the population that reaches diverse upriver historical spawning reaches (Brown et al. 2013). Variation in movement patterns historically existed within and across populations. Atlantic Salmon enter and ascend rivers from as much as a year to shortly before spawning season (Thorstad et al. 2008), thereby dispersing potential spawners temporally while helping to ensure that individuals will be present to reproduce at the appropriate time. Migration allows this species to aggregate in response to good feeding conditions in the North Atlantic Gyre and previously successful freshwater spawning locations. This aggregation that is an advantage under pristine conditions can also make these fish more vulnerable to site specific disturbances (e.g., fishing). The three examples above illustrate how characteristics Fisheries | www.fisheries.org 123 A resilience-based strategy emphasizes the diversification of life history portfolios and enlargement of storage effects via increased numbers of spawning cohorts. that conferred resilience on anadromous fish historically make them especially vulnerable to human impacts. Extant restoration approaches are often inadequate to recover what has been lost. However, a resilience-based approach may provide successful restoration by seeking to rebuild suites of disturbance-resistant characteristics that were historically present. In the next section, we build on the generalities described above to identify needs and challenges, and then propose future research, restoration, and management directions to promote a resilience-based approach (Table 1). Downloaded by [69.113.49.23] at 13:41 24 February 2016 NEEDS AND CHALLENGES: FUTURE DIRECTIONS FOR ANADROMOUS FISH Holistic Integrative Approaches Holistic integration of multiple disturbances, boundaries (spatial, temporal, and disciplinary), and human activities (as problems and solutions) is a critical component of a resilience perspective (Table 1). Many restoration professionals are aware of the need for a holistic geographic and interdisciplinary approach (e.g., Bowden 2013), preferably employing adaptive management to better understand the system and to evaluate efforts. Some natural resource agency policies explicitly call for managing for resilience (i.e., the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Resilient Ecosystems; Benson and Garmestani 2011). Researchers and managers (1) must identify the factors that give populations the best chance of recovery in the face of multiple spatial disturbances, (2) incorporate solutions over multiple geographic areas, (3) view the solutions through the lens of an integrated social–ecological system, and (4) implement management actions that are integrated geographically and across time. Quantitative Approaches to Detecting Ecosystem Trends Complex quantitative dynamics of ecosystem trends (e.g., state changes, thresholds, feedbacks) are an integral part of resilience theory (Table 1). Three trajectories are possible in population decline and recovery (Figure 1). These include (1) a simple, largely linear relationship between ecosystem state or biological response and environmental drivers, (2) a model in which environmental drivers force the crossing of a threshold where the ecosystem moves to a new state of biological response or regime shift, and (3) a “threshold with hysteresis” or “catastrophic fold” trajectory. In this last response, environmental drivers force the ecosystem or biological response past a threshold to a new state, but simply removing the original disturbance does not return the system to the previous state because new stabilizing feedbacks maintain the system in the new state. Understanding the state and trajectory of decline using existing methodologies (e.g., Bestelmeyer et al. 2011) can aid the evaluation of restoration actions because management actions will vary in effectiveness depending on the underlying ecosystem state. Differentiating between these trajectories is not trivial and can be difficult to do in the absence of adequate time series, a common problem for many anadromous species. However, new methods are available for detecting approaching 124 Fisheries | Vol. 41 • No. 3 • March 2016 thresholds (e.g., Dakos et al. 2012; Carpenter et al. 2014), and we anticipate stronger data sets to become available as these species undergo greater scrutiny. Maintain Diversity to Restore Resilience Resilience theory embodies a different way of thinking about disturbance and uncertainty and the role of variability as a source of resilience. This variability, including life history variants, multiple populations, and repeat or pulsed spawning cohorts, can help restore resilience. Historically, maintaining diversity in life histories and spawning year classes has not been a goal in anadromous fish management and restoration, largely because of the substantial difficulty in on-the-ground implementation. Operationally, a resilience-based strategy emphasizes the diversification of life history portfolios and enlargement of storage effects via increased numbers of spawning cohorts. Functional life history diversity may not be a high priority for extant restoration approaches because all life history variants may not contribute equally to population dynamics or be equally desirable as sport fish. However, a resilience approach would seek to preserve this diversity, even at the cost of lower returns, in order to ensure a population’s ability to respond to future disturbances. In the same way, a resilience approach would seek to maintain a diversity of habitat types, including less productive habitats that may have primary importance only as refugia or alternate spawning habitat during disturbances. Integration of Habitat Complexity Ecologically, a resilience-based restoration plan evaluates what combination of life histories, genetic diversity, habitat type, amount, and connectivity will give the target population the best chance to resist and recover from a suite of anthropogenic and natural disturbances across a range of spatial and temporal timescales. Habitat restoration efforts need to be considered within the context of the entire watershed and the dynamic nature of river systems, not just within a specific political boundary, static equilibrium condition, or isolated restoration opportunity such as dam removals or habitat modifications. Habitat complexity was once strongly connected with life history diversity of anadromous species, and both are still needed for resilience. Allowing the elaboration of a suite of within-species variations in life history strategies through restoration of an appropriate mosaic of connected habitats for an entire watershed will form the basis of a resilience-based approach. Socioecological Integration and Implementation A resilience approach does not demand that environmental professionals look at everything everywhere all of the time, but a resilience approach does recommend that socioecological integration be a priority when planning and setting goals. Integrating humans into the management process (as problems and solutions within an SES framework) is essential in moving forward (Table 1). In SES integration, specialization (within disciplines, agencies, ecosystems) can limit the ability of researchers and managers to see and pursue a larger integrative approach. Administrators and policy makers will play a key role in these challenges in that they need to seek mechanisms by which synthesis across disciplines and other divisions will be supported and even rewarded. A resilience approach also encourages stakeholder participation, in contrast with extant approaches that considers stakeholders as external drivers of environmental problems for whom managers and other experts make management recommendations. Thus, conservation legislation needs to help practitioners implement restoration plans across a variety of stakeholders, disciplines, habitats, watersheds, and institutional boundaries. Standardized conservation goals, environmental regulations, land-water policy, and tax incentives across municipal and state boundaries would assist with watershed scale planning and enforcement. Better monitoring of the population and stressors will allow environmental professionals to assess whether the system is able to respond to disturbance. An important question upon implementation of a resilience approach is how to measure success. One obvious but coarse measure is sheer population persistence. But more sensitive metrics are needed, such as the elaboration of alternative life histories and their expansion in numbers. Downloaded by [69.113.49.23] at 13:41 24 February 2016 SUMMARY Anadromous fish populations are being strongly impacted by humans. A reason fisheries managers cannot easily solve the human impact issue is that humans need to use land and water for social benefit. The anadromous fish restoration problem can only be solved by balancing human use with fish conservation. As such, a resilience perspective can provide a fundamentally different approach. This fresh perspective may be able to accelerate on-the-ground restoration success for anadromous fish. The “grand challenge” for future anadromous fish restoration is to radically rethink which interdisciplinary, geographically integrated, and multistressor approaches to anadromous fish restoration might prepare populations to withstand and recover from disturbances and perhaps even flourish in a holistic, integrated way. We propose that one underlying principle may be that increased habitat diversity in conjunction with increased life history diversity will yield increased resilience and more robust abundances. Our hope is that our synthesis, which has only scratched the surface of the problem and solution, stimulates the advancement and refinement of a future conceptualization and implementation of a resilience-based approach. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We are grateful to the other participants in the workshop entitled “Resilience of North Atlantic Diadromous Fish Assemblages: A Restoration Perspective” organized by the Diadromous Species Restoration Research Network (DSRRN), a National Science Foundation Research Coordination Network (NSF# 0742196), whose mission is to advance the science of diadromous fish restoration and promote state-of-the-art scientific approaches to multiple-species restoration. We dedicate this article to the late Barbara Arter, whose dedication and assistance with DSRRN helped make this collaboration possible. For review of an early version of the article, we thank Ted Castro-Santos, Karin Limburg, and Eric Palkovacs. The Kansas Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit (Kansas State University, the U.S. Geological Survey, the Kansas Department of Wildlife, Parks, and Tourism, and the Wildlife Management Institute) provided support during article preparation. 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