FISHER COLLEGE OF BUSINESS, THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY BUS M&L 4211: MARKET ANALYSIS, DEVELOPMENT & FORECASTING SPRING SEMESTER 2014 Monday, Wednesday and Friday, 3:00 PM-3:55 PM A.COURSE SYLLABUS Instructor: Vasu Unnava, Ph. D. Office Hours: By Appointment & Special Hours For EXAMs and Quizzes Email: unnava.2@ fisher.osu.edu Office: Telephone: URL: Class: Lab 313 Fisher Hall (614) 292 3212 Carmen.osu.edu SB215, 3:00 PM-3:55 PM SB219, for labs 2-6. Text book: 1. Online version of the book (ebook), “Business Forecasting with ForecastXTM” by J. Holton Wilson, Barry Keating, John Galt Solutions, Inc., 6th edition, available for download. Download instructions are posted on CARMEN. ForecastXTM CD is NOT required. We will follow chapters one through six. Optional Material: 2. Online open access book on ‘Forecasting: principles and practice’ can be found at: https://www.otexts.org/book/fpp Supplementary Course Material All other course materials such as class slides, lab instructions and study guides will either be made available on CARMEN or given out in the class. Course Objectives: Quantitative analytical procedures are gaining importance in the field of marketing. Marketing professionals are facing many challenges due to changes in customer demands, competitive environment, and influence of internet on marketing decisions. The objective of Market analysis, development and forecasting course is to learn about quantitative methods to understand consumer behavior, market attractiveness, sales and market share, process of product diffusion in the market place and ultimately, able to forecast product potential with high degree of accuracy. Class Format Class sessions will be utilized to summarizing the important concepts and discuss their applications. Reading relevant assignments before the class and active participation will lead to enriched learning experience in this classroom. Lectures will focus on main parts of the material and typical class session involves lecture, discussions and group activities. Lab sessions will be typically application of material discussed in the classroom to analyze data. Course Evaluation Your grades will be evaluated as follows: 1. Quizzes, Best Five out of Six 3. Lab Submissions, Best Five out of Six 4. EXAM TOTAL Bio BONUS TOTAL VASU UNNAVA 35%, (7% each Quiz, Five Quizzes) 35%, (7% each Lab, Five Labs) 30% 100% 1% 101% BUS M&L 4211: Market Analysis, Development & Forecast, SPRING 2014 Page 1 of 7 IMPORTANT NOTE: Re-grading requests will be accepted in writing on a paper (emails are NOT accepted) within 1 week of receipt of the grade. Grading Scale The grading scale, and point conversion that will be utilized for the final grade is as follows: Grade GPA Grade GPA A = 94-100 % 4.0 C+ = 77-79 % 2.3 A= 90-93 % 3.7 C = 73-76 % 2.0 B+ = 87-89 % 3.3 C= 70-72 % 1.7 B = 83-86 % 3.0 D+ = 67-69 % 1.3 B= 80-82 % 2.7 D = 63-66 % 1.0 E = below 62 1. Quizzes: 35%, (7% each Quiz, Best Five Quizzes out of Six Quizzes) There will be 6 online quizzes during the semester and best five scores will be counted. The dates for quizzes are given in the syllabus. Questions will come from the lecture and textbook topics. Each quiz will contain about 14 multiple choice questions. Quiz timings will be posted on CARMEN. You will need a calculator. 2. Lab Sessions: 35%, (7% each lab, Best Five out of Six Lab submissions) You will use EXCEL and SPSS packages to conduct data analysis. There are six lab sessions scheduled in the course. Meeting place for lab sessions is given in the course syllabus (page 5). After each lab, you will submit your lab files in a drop box on CARMEN. Instructions to lab sessions will be posted on CARMEN before the start of the lab. You can work in a group of two or three students for lab sessions. 3. EXAM: 30% of total points The final EXAM will consist of multiple choice questions based on lecture notes, class discussions, lab sessions and the required textbook. Students are responsible for all topics in the assigned chapters of the textbook whether or not they were discussed in class. Each exam will contain about 40-60 multiple choice questions. You will find additional details on Final Exam on CARMEN. You will need a calculator. FIRST BONUS OPPORTUNITY: You can earn one bonus point when you will turn in bio-sheet (emails do not get credit) with your picture by Jan 13, 2014 Monday. IMPORTANT NOTE ABOUT BUS ML 4211, 7 WEEK, 1.5 Credit Course: The University and College expectation is that students spend two hours outside of class for every hour spent in class. Since this course meets 3 hours per week, you should expect to spend 6 hours per week outside of class on course-related work. VASU UNNAVA BUS M&L 4211: Market Analysis, Development & Forecast, SPRING 2014 Page 2 of 7 FISHER COLLEGE OF BUSINESS, THE OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY BUS M&L 4211: MARKET ANALYSIS, DEVELOPMENT & FORECASTING B. IMPORTANT NOTES Important Notes All quiz dates, exam dates, and assigned reading due dates are included in the Course Outline. Please make note of these dates and plan your semester accordingly. If you are unable to attend a class, please notify me by email unless it is an emergency. With a valid written excuse, missed exams or quizzes will be dealt with on an individual basis. Without a valid written excuse, missed exams or quizzes will recorded as zero pints. You are encouraged make use of the office hours. Besides office hours, you are welcome to set-up appointment. E-mails should not be seen as an alternative to class participation. Not all questions can be effectively answered by e-mail. The response to any e-mail question can be suggesting a one-on-one meeting, or by addressing the question during next class session Please let me know if you have a disability and need accommodations to make the learning environment more effective. You are responsible for everything that takes place in class, including changes to assignments or schedules, whether you are present or not. If you must miss class, please arrange with a classmate to share notes and insights. Please come to class on time. Do not engage in side conversations. Turn off your cell phones, music players and pagers before you come to class. Do not take calls. No texting is permitted in the class. They cause the class to become distracted from the main issues. Important NOTE: You can bring laptops and calculators to class and instructor will inform when to use laptops in the class for class work. Late arrivals, moving in and out of class room or using computers in the class room for activities such as social networking/emails will cause a letter grade deduction from your final grade. VASU UNNAVA BUS M&L 4211: Market Analysis, Development & Forecast, SPRING 2014 Page 3 of 7 ACADEMIC INTEGRITY (ACADEMIC MISCONDUCT) Academic integrity is essential to maintaining an environment that fosters excellence in teaching, research, and other educational and scholarly activities. Thus, The Ohio State University and the Committee on Academic Misconduct (COAM) expect that all students have read and understand the University’s Code of Student Conduct, and that all students will complete all academic and scholarly assignments with fairness and honesty. Students must recognize that failure to follow the rules and guidelines established in the University’s Code of Student Conduct and this syllabus may constitute “Academic Misconduct.” The Ohio State University’s Code of Student Conduct (Section 3335-23-04) defines academic misconduct as: “Any activity that tends to compromise the academic integrity of the University, or subvert the educational process.” Examples of academic misconduct include (but are not limited to) plagiarism, collusion (unauthorized collaboration), copying the work of another student, and possession of unauthorized materials during an examination. Ignorance of the University’s Code of Student Conduct is never considered an “excuse” for academic misconduct, so I recommend that you review the Code of Student Conduct and, specifically, the sections dealing with academic misconduct. If I suspect that a student has committed academic misconduct in this course, I am obligated by University Rules to report my suspicions to the Committee on Academic Misconduct. If COAM determines that you have violated the University’s Code of Student Conduct (i.e., committed academic misconduct), the sanctions for the misconduct could include a failing grade in this course and suspension or dismissal from the University. If you have any questions about the above policy or what constitutes academic misconduct in this course, please contact me. Other sources of information on academic misconduct (integrity) to which you can refer include: The Committee on Academic Misconduct web pages (oaa.osu.edu/coam/home.html) VASU UNNAVA BUS M&L 4211: Market Analysis, Development & Forecast, SPRING 2014 Page 4 of 7 BUS M&L 4211: MARKET ANALYSIS, DEVELOPMENT & FORECASTING SYLLABUS for SPRING SEMESTER 2014* VASU UNNAVA Index Date Day Content 1 2 3 4 6-Jan 8-Jan 10-Jan 13-Jan M W F M Syllabus Pricing and Profitability Market Size and Market Share Market Size and Market Share, In-class work 5 6 15-Jan 17-Jan 20-Jan 22-Jan W F M W 24-Jan 27-Jan 29-Jan 31-Jan 3-Feb 5-Feb 7-Feb 10-Feb 12-Feb 14-Feb 17-Feb 19-Feb 21-Feb FW F M W F M W F M W F M W F Forecasting: Quantitative and Qualitative Methods Forecasting: New product Forecasting Martin Luther King Day -No Classes Forecast Process: Data Considerations, and Model Selection Lab 2 (meet in SB219) Moving Averages and Exponential Smoothing Moving Averages and Exponential Smoothing Lab 2(meet in SB219) Introduction to Forecasting with Regression Methods Introduction to Forecasting with Regression Methods Lab 4 (meet in SB219) Forecasting with Multiple Regression Forecasting with Multiple Regression Lab 5 (meet in SB219) Time Series Decomposition Time Series Decomposition Lab 6 (meet in SB219) EXAM Online, Timings: 8:00 AM 2/22/14 till 11:00 PM on 25/2/14 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Readings/ Assignments Class Notes Class Notes Lab 1 Bio Sheet Due Chapter 1 Online Quiz 1 Chapter 2 Online Quiz 2 Chapter 3 Chapter 3 Online Quiz 3 Chapter 4 Chapter 4 Online Quiz 4 Chapter 5 Chapter 5 Online Quiz 5 Chapter 6 Chapter 6 Online Quiz 6 Class notes, Ch1-6 *Important Note: Subject to change if necessary. Check CARMEN course website for important notes, PPT slides, and announcements. VASU UNNAVA BUS M&L 4211: Market Analysis, Development & Forecast, SPRING 2014 Page 5 of 7 This page is blank. VASU UNNAVA BUS M&L 4211: Market Analysis, Development & Forecast, SPRING 2014 Page 6 of 7 Due: Jan 13, 2014 Monday, by the start time of class. BUS M&L 4211: MARKET ANALYSIS, DEVELOPMENT & FORECASTING SPRING SEMESTER 2014 BIO SHEET: Bonus Opportunity Name: __________________________________________ (e-mail):___________________________________ (phone). ( ) - . 1. Major: 2. Have you worked on marketing projects as part of your work or internship? If so, list the projects? 3. If you have worked on marketing projects, describe your work/analysis and interesting findings. 4. One interesting fact about yourself: Please attach your photo in the upper right and corner of this sheet. VASU UNNAVA BUS M&L 4211: Market Analysis, Development & Forecast, SPRING 2014 Page 7 of 7