KEY IRAQ TRANSITION INDICATORS Communications Consumer Prices and Inflation Obligations (6/06 to 9/06)

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S IGI R
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SPECIAL INSPEC TOR GENER AL FOR IR AQ RECONSTRUC TION
IRAQ RECONSTRUCTION TIMELINE
2002
20 0 3
Jan
Apr
PRE-WAR
PLANNING
2004
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
2005
Oct
Jan
Apr
C PA
ORHA
2006
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
2007
Jul
Oct
OCTOBER 2006
QUARTERLY REPORT
Jan
U.S. MISSION/IRMO
Funding
4/16
10/23-24
5/22
11/6
Madrid
Donor
Conference
IRRF 1
Established under
P.L. 108-11 $2.4B
Organizational
3/16
4/16
6/15
9/2004
12/2004
Large-scale
Design-build
Contracts Awarded
IRRF 2
Established under
P.L. 108-106 $18.44B
DFI
Created under
UN Res. 1483
1/20
4/2004
3/2005
9/30
11/1
Major
Reprogramming
of IRRF 2
80% of IRRF 2 Obligated
50% of IRRF 2 Expended
100% of IRRF 2 Obligated
74% of IRRF 2 Expended
Major
Reprogramming
of IRRF 2
Major
Reprogramming
of IRRF 2
6/2006
1/25
5/11
6/28
USACE
Gulf Region
Div. Activated
PMO Created by CPA
CPA Program
Review Board
Founded
CPA
Created by
CENTCOM
1/29
12/5
JCC-I
Established
Transfer of Sovereignty;
CPA Dissolves
(PCO replaces PMO)
10/4
PCO Merged
under GRD
Congress Sets SIGIR Termination Date
MNSTC-I (Multi-National Security
Transition Command–Iraq) Established
ORHA Mobilizes
to Kuwait
9/1
IRMO & PCO
Established under
NSPD-36
ORHA
Established
under NSPD-24
Iraqi Ground Forces Command Takes
Control of Iraqi Army Divisions
9/6
Fuel Import Liberalization Law Passed
51 of 110 Forward Operating Bases
Turned over to Iraqi Control as of Early October
Transition
10/11 Federal Regions Law Passed
4/9
3/21
1/5
3/8
Liberation Day
6/1
1/30
4/28
Coalition Land Forces
Enter Iraq
10/15
12/15
Iraqi Transitional
Government Formed
Iraqi Interim Government
Announced
Transitional
Administrative
Law (TAL) Signed
6/14 Operation Together Forward (Baghdad Security Plan)
6/25 National Reconciliation Plan and Dialogue Project
6/8 Appointment Approval–Minister of Defense,
Minister of the Interior, Minister of State for
National Security
5/20 Unity Government Formed
First Democratic
Elections in Iraq
Constitutionally
Based Elections
Constitutional
Referendum
DoS Section 2207 Report
5/3
4/22
Jan
Apr
Jul
2002
Oct
Jan
Apr
20 0 3
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
2004
Oct
Jan
Apr
2005
KEY IRAQ TRANSITION INDICATORS
First Iraq Parliament Meeting
Nouri al-Maliki Selected as Iraq's
First Permanent Prime Minister
Jul
Oct
Jan
2006
Obligations (6/06 to 9/06)
9/27/06
$18.032 billion
Communications
• 7 million new cellular phone subscribers
• 200,000 Internet connections
7.215
million
1,378%
Cellular phone
subscribers
Electricity
49%
IRRF 2 Obligations
0
6/04
The consumer price index has more
than doubled from June 2004 to
September 2006, but dropped recently.
$ Billions
$1.328 b
1.2
1.0
0.488 million
Consumer Prices and Inflation
Water
31%
All Other
Sectors
11%
18,000
Health
Care
9%
16,000
14,000
6/28/06
$16.704 billion
0.8
9/06
Internet
ISP
Subscribers
+178%
12,000
10,000
0.6
8,000
Index
6/04 = 100
Telephone
Landlines
+32%
0.4
Source:
DOS Iraq Weekly
Status Reports.
0.2
9/06
Source: IRMO Weekly Status Reports.
JUL
JAN
Security
312,400
305%
JUN
Entrepreneurship
Dinars against the U.S. Dollar, Index (June 2004 = 100)
Thousands
100
40
Iraq currency has remained relatively stable,
declining 1% against the U.S. Dollar
SEP
2006
2005
2006
• Prices declined 12.8% in September 2006,
driven by a 41% fall in fuel and electricity prices
and a 33% fall in transportation prices.
• Inflation from September 2005 to September
2006 was 51.6% and for this year (January
2006 to September 2006) was 33.1%.
• Iraq has the second-highest rate of inflation
in the world.
Month-on-month Inflation
10
More than 8,000 new businesses registered
since June 2005, an increase of more than 25%
Dinars
2004
(Percent)
15
New Business
Registrations
5
Total
36,014
30
58%
Civilian
0
–5
95
20
42%
Military
90
8/04*
JAN
2005
Currency
Security
Forces
77,155
JUL
2004
More than 235,000 personnel
enlisted and trained
Consumer
Price Index
10/06
* 8/04 is first reporting period believed to have accurate data.
Source: DOS Iraq Weekly Status Reports.
6/04
Source: IRMO Weekly Status Reports and Central Bank of Iraq.
9/06
–10
10
6/05
9/05
Source: IRMO Weekly Status Reports.
1/06
3/06
6/06
9/06
2004
2005
2006
Note: The consumer price index used to measure the inflation rate includes
tradable and non-tradable goods and services. Tradable items include food items,
tobacco and drinks, clothing, household goods, and fuel and electricity. Nontradable items include medicine and medical services, transportation and
communications, rents, and miscellaneous goods and services.
Source: DOS Iraq Weekly Status Report 10/18/2006 and Central Bank of Iraq.
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