The Russian Seafood Market and Ireland January 2014 Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture AIDAN COTTER Growing the success CHIEF EXECUTIVE BORD BIA of Irish28food & horticulture JANUARY 2009 Contents • • • • • • • • Russian macroeconomic overview Russian economic and demographic information Irish exports and the Russian market Frozen fish and seafood value forecast and expenditure per capita for Russia Irish seafood exports to Russia The Russian fish market: canned, frozen and chilled The Russian market: January to November 2013 Irish opportunity Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Macroeconomic Information • Capital city: Moscow • National currency: Rouble • Total population (2013): 142.5m • Area: 17,098,242 sq. km • Population density: 8 people/sq. km • President: Vladimir Putin • Prime Minister: Dmitry Medvedev • Ruling Party: United Russia Party 2009 GDP (nominal USDbn) Real GDP growth Nominal GDP per capita (USD) 2010 2011 2012 2013 1,224.9 1,484.8 1,850.5 1,953.56 2,109.02 -7.8% 4.0% 4.3% 3.6% 3.7% 8,562.4 10,386.2 12,961.6 13,706.5 15,243.6 Unemployment rate 8.4% 7.5% 6.5% 6.0% 6.0% Consumer price inflation 11.7% 6.9% 8.4% 5.1% 6.6% Source: Statista Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Russian Economic and Demographic Information Russia has fifteen cities with over one million inhabitants Moscow has an official population of 12 million In October 2013, unemployment in Russia rose to 5.5%, still making Russia one of the industrialized nations with the lowest unemployment. In November of 2013, Russia’s trade surplus increased 12.8% y-o-y to $16.5 million, as exports surged after a fall the previous month Russia's economic power is in its natural resources - oil and gas Source: Bord Bia Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Irish Food and Drink exports to Russia Jan-Oct 2013 Prepared foods Pigmeat Fish and Seafood Dairy products Beverages Beef Sheepmeat Source: Bord Bia Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Frozen fish and seafood value forecast for Russia ($m) 2014 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 335.8999939324.5 2013 297.2000122 284.2999878 228.3000031 219.6999969 44.29999924 42.70000076 Raw fish Coated Fish Raw seafood 6 Other fish/seafood Source: Datamonitor Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Frozen fish and seafood expenditure per capita forecast ($) 2014 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 2.5 2.400000095 2013 2.200000048 2.099999905 1.700000048 1.600000024 0.300000012 0.300000012 Raw fish Coated Fish Raw seafood 7 Other fish/seafood Source: Datamonitor Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Irish Seafood Exports to Russia 2013 (€m) Source: Bord Bia Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Canned Fish Market By the end of 2014, the canned fish category will be worth RUB36,176.6m ($1,455.6m) totalling181.6 million kg. The canned fish/seafood market was led by tuna (27.2%) followed by mackerel, other canned fish and salmon with market shares of 25.8%, 25.1% and 21.8% respectively. Source: Datamonitor Fish Market in Russia to 2014 Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Frozen Fish Market By the end of 2014, the frozen fish category will be worth RUB22,507.7m ($905.6m) totalling 135 million kg. The frozen fish market was led by raw fish (37.7%) followed by coated fish, raw seafood, and other seafood with market shares of 32.4%, 25% and 4.9% respectively. Source: Datamonitor Fish Market in Russia to 2014 Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Frozen Fish Market Value 2009-2014 (RUBm) Source: Datamonitor Fish Market in Russia to 2014 Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Chilled Fish Market By the end of 2014, the chilled fish category will be worth RUB44,567.8m ($1,793.3m), totalling 695.9 million kg. The chilled fish market accounted for 40.5% of the market. Raw seafood and fish accounted for 59.5%. Ice-logistic is the market leader with a 29.8% share of the market. Source: Datamonitor Fish Market in Russia to 2014 Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Chilled Fish Market Value 2009-2014 (RUBm) Source: Datamonitor Fish Market in Russia to 2014 Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture The Russian market: January to November 2013 Importers by volume • The four largest Russian importers by volume, importing each over 80,000 tonnes of fish January-July 2013 cover 13% of the fish market •Total imports of known importers stood at 2,114,342.64 tonnes in January to November 2013 Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Imports by type of product Most popular imported fish by volume (tonnes): • Pollock (THERAGRA CHALCOGRAMMA (573,112.24) • Herrings (Clupea harengus, Clupea pallasii) (452,032.89) • • Mackerel (Scomber scombrus, Scomber australasicus, Scomber japonicus) (118,334.85) Atlantic salmon (98,291.94) other: • Cold-water shrimps and prawns (Pandalus spp., Crangon crangon) (37,768.08) • Hake (Merluccius spp., Urophycis spp.) (20,610.93) • Oysters (457.13) and Clams, cockles and ark-shells (9.40) Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Imports by type of product and source countries • • • • Russia produced 1234441.45 tonnes of seafood for domestic use in this period. Norway lead the importing countries in January to November 2013, however, most of the countries seafood exporters were recently subject to an import ban. Norway imported 276,302.11 tonnes of seafood total, including 96,170 tonnes of Atlantic salmon. Iceland, China, The Faroe Islands, Chile and Canada were the next most sourced countries in this period Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Irish Fish in Russia, January to November 2013 In January to November 2013, Ireland exported 12763.62 of seafood, including: (numbers in tonnes) •Mackerel (Scomber scombrus, Scomber australasicus, Scomber japonicus) (12394.22) •Whiting (MICROMESISTIUS POUTASSOU) (156.00) •Sprats (SPRATTUS SPRATTUS) (156.00) •Herrings (Clupea harengus, Clupea pallasii) (48.27) •Other (15.13) Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Customs Union recent activity- Norway Ban The Customs Union imposed a ban on 485 Norwegian companies; 90% of the country’s registered suppliers to Russia beginning January 1, 2014 Norway was the biggest supplier of fish to Russia in 2013 by value; totaling $950 million The Customs Union also imposed a ban on Estonian products beginning January 9, 2014 Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Irish Opportunity- 2014 The ban on Norwegian fish leaves a large gap in the market Russian fish consumption is consistently increasing Market access is challenging, but possible Ireland and Russia have a healthy trade relationship Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Directory 2014/Russia A new directory profiling the key importers, distributors, and processors has just been produced Available to download for www.bordbia.ie Link will be forwarded to all attendees Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture Thank you for your attention! Bord Bia Moscow Growing the success of Irish food & horticulture AIDAN COTTER Growing the success CHIEF EXECUTIVE BORD BIA of Irish28food & horticulture JANUARY 2009 January 2014