Tomorrow’s Shopper - the evolution of shoppers in Ireland and the UK Insight Session 16 September 2013 Paula Donoghue Insight & Brand Manager Agenda • Key drivers shaping tomorrow’s shopper • Global examples of how companies have responded • Key take outs for Irish food & drink companies Drivers shaping tomorrow’s shopper landscape? 1. Economic pressures continue to dominate • Rising food prices • Disposable income down 6.5% in UK • Basket cost 12% in ROI And are Changing how people shop Aldi and Lidl combined share of grocery market (%) 14 12 10 2/3 are preplanning their food shop Choice of retailer 8 7.1 7.9 8.8 9.9 10.6 15 6 4 2 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 4.7 5.1 5.2 5.3 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 14 12 10 8 6 4.4 6.9 4 2 0 2012 2013 Changing how people shop Trips per household 60.0 ‘Little & often’ 54.2 55.9 56.3 12 w/e 20 March '11 12 w/e 18 Mar '12 12 w/e 17 Mar '13 50.0 40.0 Average spend per trip € 25.00 € 22.30 € 21.60 € 21.80 12 w/e 20 March '11 12 w/e 18 Mar '12 12 w/e 17 Mar '13 € 20.00 € 15.00 € 10.00 Trips per household 60.0 58.8 59.5 58.9 55.0 40 % 50.0 45.0 40.0 12 w/e 20 March '11 ‘Mini Main’ 12 w/e 18 Mar '12 Average spend per trip sold on promotion £15.00 12 w/e 17 Mar '13 £14.09 £14.54 £15.21 12 w/e 20 March '11 12 w/e 18 Mar '12 12 w/e 17 Mar '13 £10.00 Sources: The Journal, Feb 2013; IGD 2013, Kantar Worldpanel Own label continues to grow Growth of Own Label & Branded in the Total Market – 12 w/e 8% 6% Own Label (& No Brand Name) 4% 2% 0% Branded -2% -4% -6% J J A S O O N D J F M A M J J A S S O N D J F M 7% 6% Own Label (& No Brand Name) 5% 4% Branded 3% 2% 1% 0% J J A S O O N D J F M A M J J A S S Source: Total Grocery – 12 w/e data to 17 March 2013 Source: Kantar Worldpanel O N D J F M 2. Convenience Smaller formats affecting formats 10% in last 2 years and due to grow by 12% by 2015 3. Trust & Transparency • Desire for great transparency • Shoppers doing more pre purchase research • Popularity of local foods rising 4. Technology creates tipping point in shopper behaviour By 2015, 9 in 10 will own a smartphone 4G =5x download speeds By 2015, 1 in 4 will own a tablet Brands and retailers must develop a multi-channel approach 94% purchased online in 2012 €62 ave spend per €22 instore shop online vs. M Commerce set to rise by 115% By 2015, 50% of all online sales will be social Purchase path has gone from this…. Awareness Consideration Preference Purchase Loyalty …..To the multi-dimensional Purchase Fish Four drivers shaping tomorrow’s shopper Continued economic pressure Economic pressure Expanding needs around convenience Transparency & Openness TECHNOLOGY Global Examples to the Drivers Demonstrating Tailored suggestions for product use at till brand value Demonstrating product versatility on-shelf KEY TAKEOUT FOR IRISH BRANDS: Demonstrate value to drive loyalty with price sensitive shoppers Offering personalised promotions, pricing and value propositions Coupons on fixture for easier savings Personalised pricing and benefits KEY TAKEOUT: ‘Coupon cutting’ is being replaced with targeted offers using technology at POP Enabling research & recommendation at the point of purchase Shopper reviews and expert knowledge on-shelf Tailored, real time reviews based on personal profiles KEY TAKEOUT: Food and drink brands have to be where shoppers are researching and sharing Building trust through greater transparency Transparency around social and environmental credentials at point of purchase Visibility of real-time supply chain for individual products KEY TAKEOUT: Technology will transform transparency Championing origin and local Crowd sourcing shopper views on local foods produce in-store Championing local ingredients instore KEY TAKEOUT: Locally sourced food and drink maintains strong appeal to shoppers Flexible fulfilment and delivery at the point of need Continued rise of ‘Click and Collect’ grocery model New channels for brand access and delivery KEY TAKEOUT: Flexibility becoming a key requirement for shoppers as they move into multiple channels Connecting with shoppers on their Virtual supermarkets on-the-go daily path Innovative vending solutions KEY TAKEOUT: Almost any location has potential to be a retail outlet Key takeaways for Irish food & drink companies What do winning brands need to do to succeed with tomorrow’s shopper? 1. Continue to respond to challenge of own-label 2. Work with retailers to engage shoppers at point of purchase What do winning brands need to do to succeed with tomorrow’s shopper? 3. Have a transparent supply chain 4. A proactive and comprehensive digital strategy, with multi-channel presence What do winning brands need to do to succeed with tomorrow’s shopper? 5. Effective data management capabilities Tomorrow’s Shopper - the evolution of shoppers in Ireland and the UK Insight Session 16 September 2013 Paula Donoghue Insight & Brand Manager