The Retailing Future of Frozen Foods Presented by Ethan S. Sinick Shirland Ventures Limited May 2013 Frozen Food Growth Through Category Innovation Perception of Quality Weight Management Experimental & Easy Living Well in Lean Times Quick to Prepare Value for Money Extreme Indulgence Source: All photos from Shirland Ventures except for Trader Joe’s Edamame and David’s Cookies from Trader Joe’s and Costco Improved Visibility and Lower Costs from New Freezer Designs Greater use of glass and light in frozen sections Better lighting, better visibility as frost and condensation are removed with new system that also reduce power costs. Source: All photos from Shirland Ventures British & Irish Multiples Growing in Channels Where Frozen Foods Are Less Important Frozen Less Than 1% of Floor Space in Small Tesco Stores Morrisons is the latest Multiple Grocer to emphasize Fresh and Chilled in Convenience Limited inspiration as Frozen Foods efficiently merchandised for existing shopper needs. Source: Store plan from Tesco and All photos from Shirland Ventures Fewer Shoppers Per Week in Hypermarkets Large Supermarkets in Western Europe Consistent falls in store traffic offset by inflation in many large stores 6% to 7% of floor space in a large Hypermarkets & Supermarket remains dedicated to Frozen 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% LFL Traffic LFL Basket 0.0% -1.0% Fresh Foods, Prepared Foods, Health & Beauty and Chilled Foods are increasing space as retailers look to reverse traffic declines Source: Store plan from Tesco and chart from Shirland Ventures analysis -2.0% -3.0% Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 There Are Some Truly Inspiring Frozen Food Retailers Source: Bord Bia Photo Despite the Challenges, Frozen is Growing in Surprising Environments Colruyt’s success is a reminder that beautiful is not always effective Source: Colruyt report Frozen Specialists Benefit from the Mistakes of Mainstream Supermarkets Premium Frozen Chains Frozen Discounters EUR 1.3 billion, +15% per annum in Europe 2.1% of the total UK grocery market and about 10% of the Frozen foods market. Wholesale Clubs Discount Supermarkets More than 100 million EUR in frozen food sales today with expansion into France and Spain More than 11% of European Grocery sales today rising to 13% by 2013 Source: All photos from Shirland Ventures except for Costco Leicester which is from a Costco presentation More than 8 million European Households Purchase Frozen Foods Direct to Home Germany is the largest direct-to-home market with more than 4 million households purchasing from these networks. This market is well-established and worth more than EUR 1 billion at retail sales value today. Source: Company websites for photos Frozen-Focused Retailers Can Teach Other Retailers Trader Joe’s and Costco are constantly providing samples of innovative frozen food products. Trader Joe’s changes the order of products in the section every few weeks to force shoppers into new items. Image Source: Trader Joe’s Blog Aldi’s Simple and Open Freezer Set Clear labeling by protein type Chest freezers promote an open feeling Source: Shirland Ventures Limited Photo Lidl Clear, Open, Early in Flow and Calls to Action Isothermal bags clearly visible What to do today? Do you have an appetite? Freshness and taste right here. Source: Shirland Ventures Limited Photo Lidl’s Mixed Category Freezer Set in Mature Markets Source: Shirland Ventures Limited Photo E-Commerce and Delivery Channels Will Grow Quickly in Mature Markets Established Frozen Specialist Delivery Growth of Grocery ECommerce Delivery Growth of Grocery ECommerce Collect E-tailers Promoting Quick Frozen Meals E-tailers Enhancing Frozen Margins Seizing the Opportunity with Your Retail Customers 1. Provide a category vision appropriate for the channel/customer and follow the ever-changing tastes of shoppers and consumers 2. Take advantage of high-visibility frozen units with new packaging and merchandising tactics 3. Focus disproportionately on the channels where frozen is winning, discounters and e-commerce are the priorities 4. Bring the category to life using best practices like sampling and calls to action 5. Encourage your retailers to emulate best practice and integrate frozen into the shopping journey rather than as a specific section of the store 6. Encourage your retailers to implement concepts that eliminate concerns about transporting the purchase home END. please contact: Shirland Ventures Limited (www.shirlandventures.com) One Kingdom Street, 4th Floor Paddington Central London W2 6BD UNITED KINGDOM Office: +44 203 402 3645 Email: ethan@shirlandventures.com