ENERGY BOOM: THE BURDEN OF RICHES Rebekka Dudensing Assistant Professor & Extension Economist – Community Economic Development ENERGY – A TEXAS INDUSTRY Texas' Gross Domestic Product (2012) Government 10.1% Services 19.2% Mining & Utilities 15.3% F.I.R.E. (Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate) 12.2% Information 3.1% Transportation & Warehousing 3.4% Food and Fiber System 8.3% Retail 4.4% Construction 4.6% Wholesale 5.6% Manufacturing 13.9% TEXAS DRILLING ACTIVITY, 1960 - 2013 60,000 50,000 Permits Issued 30,000 Oil Wells Completed Gas Wells Completed 20,000 10,000 2012 2010 2008 2006 2004 2002 2000 1998 1996 1994 1992 1990 1988 1986 1984 1982 1980 1978 1976 1970 0 1960 Permits/Wells 40,000 ENERGY – A TEXAS INDUSRY Granite Wash Barnett Permian Basin Haynesville/ Bossier Cline Eagle Ford CHANGE IN THE VALUE OF ONSHORE OIL AND GAS PRODUCTION, 2000-2011 PRODUCING OIL WELLS DRILLING PERMITS INJECTION WELLS COMMUNITIES WISH THEY’D KNOWN • Magnitude and characteristics of the population influx • Need for hotels and housing • Traffic congestion and safety and road wear • Higher wages and higher prices • Industry-switching (employees to oil industry) • Water quality • Law enforcement needs • Loss of rural lifestyle and community pride AGENTS WISH THEY’D KNOWN • • • • Oil & gas leases Easement and right-of-way laws and issues Groundwater concerns Socio-economic impacts across economy • Estimating rangeland damages • Fewer hunting leases • What the energy sectors bring to the economy • Needs of families • Wealth management • Insecurity of poor families • All the resources that are available UNEMPLOYMENT RATES 25 20 Texas Bee County 15 Burleson County DeWitt County Dimmit County Duval County 10 Gonzales County Karnes County Maverick County Milam County 5 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 0 POVERTY RATE – ALL AGES 45 40 Texas Bee 35 DeWitt Dimmit 30 Duval Frio 25 Goliad Gonzales 20 Karnes LaSalle 15 Live Oak Maverick 10 Webb Wilson 5 0 Zavala 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 POVERTY IN THE PRESENCE OF WEALTH • • • • Poverty rates have not dropped substantially Median incomes have increased Rents and other prices have increased Thus, the poor may be at a greater disadvantage, compounded by • • • • • Disability Age (elderly and youth) Skill deficiencies Drug use Criminal records WEALTH PLANNING Source: Natural Gas Exploration: A Landowners Guide to Financial Management. Penn State. HOW DRILLING AFFECTS TX INDUSTRIES • • • • • • • • • • Drilling oil and gas wells Food services and drinking places Architectural, engineering, and related services Wholesale trade businesses Securities, commodity contracts, investments, and related activities Real estate establishments Legal services Transport by truck Employment services Offices of physicians, dentists, and other health practitioners SALES GROWTH A RURAL WIN 50,000,000,000 45,000,000,000 40,000,000,000 Gross Sales, $ 35,000,000,000 30,000,000,000 Eagle Ford Metro 25,000,000,000 Micro 20,000,000,000 Rural 15,000,000,000 10,000,000,000 5,000,000,000 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 VARIABILITY IN SALES GROWTH 2E+09 1.8E+09 1.6E+09 DeWitt, TX 1.4E+09 Dimmit, TX 1.2E+09 Duval, TX Frio, TX 1E+09 Gonzales, TX Karnes, TX 800000000 La Salle, TX McMullen, TX 600000000 Zavala, TX 400000000 200000000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 VARIABILITY IN SALES GROWTH Gross Sales by City in Four Eagle Ford Counties 600000000 500000000 Nordheim 307 Runge 1080 Gross Sales ($) 400000000 Falls City 591 Goliad 1975 Yorktown 2092 300000000 Karnes City 3042 Yoakum 5815 200000000 Kenedy 3296 Cuero 6841 Beeville 12863 100000000 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 VARIABILITY IN SALES GROWTH Gross Sales by City in Gonzales County 1,400,000,000 1,200,000,000 Gorss Sales ($) 1,000,000,000 800,000,000 Gonzales 7265 Nixon 2567 Waelder 1177 600,000,000 Smiley 500 400,000,000 200,000,000 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 LOCAL TAXES AND EXPENDITURES • Sales taxes change according to taxable sales levels • Property taxes • • • • Property values increase Addition of mineral property in production to tax roles Tax rates have generally declined Total levies across the districts have generally increased • Local expenditures have also increased • Roadways - $426,052.54 to mill and resurface a two-lane rural road with 5' paved shoulders (Florida DOT) • Other infrastructure needs – water, sewer, etc. • Law enforcement • Wage pressure from higher energy wages TIPS FOR LOCAL GOVERNMENT Know the industry and the pitfalls and best practices from other regions. Identify stakeholders, including potential winners and losers. industry, environmental, emergency management and other governmental contacts Landowners and mineral owners Schools and educational and workforce agencies Chambers, EDCs, businesses Citizens with limited potential benefits Evaluate your ability to assess and act on local conditions. Road posting and bonding Land use Workforce training and business development Immediate and long-range projections Establish open communication and transparent systems to prioritize and monitor issues. WHAT AGENTS ARE DOING • Leasing and easement seminars • Water screening programs • Financial/estate planning for instant wealth • Lessors • Oilfield employees • • • • • • Site reseeding programs Programs on the facts of fracking and disposal Community beautification and pride programs Recruited 4-Hers Got the oil companies to sponsor county programs Alliances with Chambers and Main Street programs RESOURCES • Community and Economic Development http://communities.tamu.edu/ • Texas Rural Leadership Program http://trlp.tamu.edu/ • FCS Money Management http://fcs.tamu.edu/money/index.php THANK YOU Rebekka Dudensing Assistant Professor & Extension Economist – Community Economic Development (979) 845-1719 rmdudensing@tamu.edu