Forsyth County Community Profile 81st in order of county creation Dec. 3, 1832 Prepared for Forsyth County Cooperative Extension by the Center for Agribusiness and Economic Development The University of Georgia • Athens, GA Total Population Forsyth County 169,206 183,430 2010 Trend CAED 2010 Proj. OPB 131,865 2004 Est. 98,407 2000 44,083 27,958 16,928 12,170 11,005 11,322 10,624 1990 1980 1970 1960 1950 1940 1930 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 Primary data sources: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial censuses & estimate; CAED (Center for Agribusiness & Economic Development); OPB (State Office of Planning & Budget). 200,000 Population Composition by Age Forsyth County 100% 65 + 45-64 20-44 5-19 <5 5.3 14.6 33.8 34.3 Change in proportion 1990-2000 7.1 8.2 7.7 8.4 8.9 7.1 -1.8 16.0 17.7 18.6 18.1 19.9 21.8 +1.9 32.7 31.5 34.1 42.6 41.4 -1.2 21.0 20.3 -0.7 +1.8 32.1 31.5 29.2 38.6 27.2 12.0 12.1 11.1 10.4 7.7 7.7 9.5 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 0% 2004 Estimated Median Age Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau Forsyth Co. = 33.9 yrs. GA = 33.8 yrs. 2004 County Population Comparisons Total Total Rank Density per sq.mi. land area % Chg. 2000-04 Rank of % Chg. FORSYTH 131,865 13 584.0 34.0 1 CHEROKEE 174,680 9 412.3 23.1 5 DAWSON 19,064 90 90.3 19.2 9 FULTON 814,438 1 1,540.6 -0.2 128 GWINNETT 700,794 2 1,619.5 19.1 11 HALL 160,925 10 408.8 15.5 19 PICKENS 27,771 59 119.6 20.8 7 County Primary data source: U. S. Census Bureau Population Change: 1930-2000 140 120 Percentage Change 100 80 60 40 20 0 -20 1930-40 1940-50 1950-60 U.S. Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau 1960-70 Georgia 1970-80 1980-90 1990-2000 Forsyth Co. Components of Population Change: 2000-2004 Natural Increase & Net Migration* Numerical Change # Natural Increase (BirthsDeaths) Rate of Natural Increase # Net Migration Rate of Net Migration FORSYTH 33,458 6,184 12.6 27,350 55.9 CHEROKEE 32,777 7,696 11.4 25,175 37.4 DAWSON 3,065 498 6.7 2,581 34.6 FULTON -1,368 31,820 9.2 -36,062 -10.4 GWINNETT 112346 37,941 13.8 74,771 27.3 HALL 21,610 7,757 12.2 13,699 21.5 PICKENS 4,788 467 4.3 4,341 40.2 Avg. GA Co. 4,041 1,878 4.8 2,156 8.4 GEORGIA 642,567 298,562 8.3 342,818 9.5 Primary data source: U. S. Census Bureau * Numerical change includes “residual” not represented in either NI or NM. Average annual estimates of annual rates per 1,000 population Area Population Change: 2000-2004 LOSS 0 – 4.3% 4.3 – 7.8% 7.8 – 15.7% 15.7 – 34% GA = 7.8% US = 4.3% Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau Selected Vital Statistics 2004 Rates 18.1 Total births per 1,000 pop 15.7 13.9 Unwed per 100 total births 39.2 17.1 Teen pregnancy per 1,000 females age 10-19 Deaths per 1,000 pop 34.7 4.8 7.4 8.2 Induced terminations per 1,000 females age 15-44 Low birth weight per 100 births Infant deaths per 1,000 births 10-yr. rates 1995-2004 16.2 6.6 Forsyth Co. Georgia 8.8 5.1 8.7 2004 Forsyth Co. Natality Data 2,388 total births, 333 unwed births 174 induced terminations 143 teen pregnancies 194 low birth weight babies 2004 Forsyth Co. Mortality Data 635 total deaths 15 infant deaths Primary data source: GA Dept. Public Health Highest Level of Educational Attainment: 2000 8.5 8.3 Grad or Prof Degree 26.1 Bachelor's degree 16.0 6.0 5.2 Associate degree 21.6 20.4 Some college, no degree 23.5 HS Grad 28.7 8.7 9th-12th no diploma 13.8 5.6 < 9th grade 7.6 0 5 10 15 Forsyth Co. Georgia 20 25 30 Percent of Persons Age 25+ Forsyth Co. Not completing HS = 14.3% With a bachelor’s + degree = 34.6% Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau Selected Public School Statistics School Year 2003-04 50.0 51.8 Teachers w/adv degrees College prep certif Class '04 Grad Rate 65.4 13.9 8.2 12.4 12.1 13.0 Gifted Special Ed Free/Reduc lunch 46.4 2.4 3.9 Retained in grade Forsyth Co. Georgia 9.5 9.5 Absent >15 days 3.0 5.1 HS Dropout rate 0 10 Primary data source: Governor’s Office of Student Achievement 73.4 78.0 88.7 20 30 40 50 Percentage 60 70 80 90 Forsyth Co. K12 enrollment = 21,907 HS dropouts = 171 General Fund expenditures per pupil = $6,560 Per Capita Income: 1998-2003 $40,000 $35,000 $30,000 $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $0 1998 1999 2000 Forsyth Co. 2003 PCI Forsyth Co. = $30,555 Primary data source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 2001 2002 Georgia Georgia = $29,000 U.S. = $31,472 2003 U.S. Per Capita Income: 1998-2003 Percentage Change 8 6 4 Percentage 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10 -12 1998-99 1999-2000 Forsyth Co. Primary data source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 2000-01 2001-02 Georgia 2002-03 U.S. Per Capita Income: 2003 PCI Rank of PCI % PCI of GA Total % Change in PCI 1998-2003 FORSYTH $30,555 7 105.4 -5.4 CHEROKEE $30,059 9 103.7 10.3 DAWSON $28,010 16 96.6 16.7 FULTON $48,647 1 167.7 22.9 GWINNETT $30,277 8 104.4 4.9 HALL $25,132 31 86.7 11.7 PICKENS $27,730 18 95.6 10.1 GA Avg. Co. $22,879 -- 78.9 15.5 County Primary data source: U. S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Median Household Income 2003 Model-Based Estimates $43,318 US $42,421 GEORGIA $34,859 GA Avg. Co. $72,945 FORSYTH $63,616 CHEROKEE $49,909 DAWSON $45,744 FULTON $56,636 GWINNETT $44,334 HALL $44,905 PICKENS $0 $20,000 Primary data source: U. S. Census Bureau $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 Transfer Receipts: 2003 Forsyth Co. Total = $248,613,000 49.0 Retirement/Disab 35.8 20.3 19.2 Medicare Forsyth Co. 11.3 Pub Med Assist 18.9 0.9 2.7 0.1 Family Assist 0.6 0.8 Food Stamps 2.5 0.7 Other Inc Maint Georgia Supp Sec Inc Forsyth Co. $2,002 per capita transfer receipts 5.6 3.7 3.2 Unemployment 6.6% of total personal income 5.3% change in total 2002-2003 0.6 3.4 Veteran Benefit 12.7 All Other 8.2 0 10 20 30 Percentage Primary data source: Bureau of Economic Analysis 40 50 Persons Living Below Poverty Level 2003 Model-Based Estimates # of Persons % of all Persons Rank of % FORSYTH 7,500 5.7 2 CHEROKEE 11,212 6.4 3 DAWSON 1,750 9.2 11 FULTON 128,398 16.2 75 GWINNETT 57,163 8.2 8 HALL 19,069 12.0 31 PICKENS 2,811 10.2 18 GA Avg. Co. 7,246 16.0 -- County Primary data source: U. S. Census Bureau Persons Living Below the Poverty Level 2003 Model-Based Estimates 5.2 – 9.4% 9.4 – 13.4% 13.4 – 17.0% 17.0 – 20.1% 20.1 – 24.7% Weighted average poverty threshold for a family of 4 persons in 2003 = $18,810 Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau Georgia 1,152,089 persons 13.3% ------------US = 12.5% Unemployment Rates Rate per 100 in Labor Forc 7 Forsyth Co. Georgia U. S. 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1995 1996 1997 2004 Rates Primary data source: GA Dept. of Labor 1998 1999 2000 Forsyth Co. = 3.1 2001 2002 GA = 4.6 2003 2004 US = 5.5 Business Establishments, Employment and Wages Forsyth County 2004 Annual Averages, % of Total Estab Emp Wages Agriculture Whlsle trade Information Admin-waste svc All other svc Primary data source: GA Dept. of Labor Construction Retail trade Finance/Insur Health svc Govt Manufacturing Transp-warehous Prof-Sci-Tech Svc Accom/Food Svc All Other Employment Comparisons by Industry: 2004 Total GOODS Producing Agriculture Construction 17.7 0.1 0.7 5.2 Manufacturing Total SERVICE Producing Wholesale trade Retail trade Finance-Ins Transp-warehous Information Prof-Sci-Tech Adm-Waste svc Health-Soc Svcs Accomo-Food svc All other svcs Total GOVERNMENT 5.4 31.6 14.3 17.1 11.7 56.9 8.8 10.0 11.6 1.1 3.9 1.5 3.1 3.2 4.1 6.2 5.0 6.2 6.9 6.3 8.8 7.7 8.4 6.0 8.2 11.3 Primary data source: GA Dept. of Labor Forsyth Co. Georgia 16.5 65.4 Farm Gate Value by Commodity Group: 2004 Forsyth Co. Total Value = $71,713,870 Poultry-Egg 75.4% Other 0.5% Ornamental Horticulture 7.4% Livestock 16.3% Row-Forage crops 0.4% Primary data source: Center for Agribusiness & Economic Development, UGA Components of Gross Property Tax Digest: 2004 Forsyth Co. Gross Digest (40% Value) = $6,449,062,732 40.6 Residential Ag/Pref/Environ 2.9 10.8 13.1 9.9 7.7 7.1 Industrial 1.3 5.7 3.9 7.2 Motor Vehicle 8.9 7.4 0.3 1.5 Mobile Home 0.5 0.0 Timber 1.1 0.2 Utility 52 20.7 6.3 Commercial 67.7 Primary data source: GA Dept. of Revenue 22.6 Forsyth Co. GA Avg. Co. GA Total County Property Tax Digest Comparisons: 2004 County % Resi- % Agri- % Com- % In- % Motor % dential cultural mercial dustrial Vehicle Other FORSYTH 67.7 2.9 10.8 9.9 7.2 1.6 CHEROKEE 55.8 18.2 12.9 2.7 8.2 2.2 DAWSON 57.8 20.5 14.0 0.4 5.5 1.8 FULTON 53.9 0.2 36.8 1.9 4.7 2.6 GWINNETT 55.5 1.0 25.9 8.5 7.5 1.5 HALL 55.4 6.8 16.5 10.8 8.1 2.5 PICKENS 58.2 15.6 12.5 2.1 7.6 4.0 Avg. GA Co. 40.6 20.8 13.2 7.9 9.0 8.4 Primary data source: GA Dept. of Revenue Millage Rates, Taxes Levied, & Sales Tax ’05 Countywide Millage* ’05 School Millage* ’04 Taxes Levied* ($000) Sales Tax Rate as of 1/06 as of 1/06 FORSYTH 22.633 14.708 $141,365 7 LSE CHEROKEE 26.590 18.450 $155,898 6 SE DAWSON 22.184 13.646 $22,660 7 LSE FULTON 34.483 17.825 $1,570,084 7 MLE GWINNETT 32.020 19.250 $789,715 6 SE HALL 24.410 16.300 $126,111 7 LSE PICKENS 21.280 15.120 $22,287 7 LSE County LOST Type* *All tax districts are assessed an additional .250 state millage. Taxes Levied, but not necessarily collected. L=Local Option Sales Tax, S=Special Purpose, E=Educational, M=MARTA Primary data source: GA Dept. of Revenue Retail Sales Analysis: 2004 Forsyth Co. Total Retail Sales = $1,381,319,000 0.54 Total Retail Sales 0.37 Health-Personal Care 1.24 Bldg Mat-garden equip-supplies Gas stations 0.52 0.36 Motor Vehicle-parts Furniture-Home Furn-Appliance 0.24 Clothing & Accessories 0.21 0.72 General Merchandise 0.40 Food Services-Drinking Places 0.56 Food-Beverage Stores 0 1 2 Sales Activity Index-Wealth Factor A “pull factor” of 1.0 means that the county’s sales are what would be expected based upon the number of residents and their relative wealth. Primary data sources: “2005 Georgia Outshopping Report,” SBDC, Applied Research, The University of Georgia. Commuting to Work: 2000 Percentage of: Residents working in county 41.1 Residents working out of county 58.9 Workers coming into county 50.5 Residents driving to work alone 81.6 Residents carpooling Residents working at home 11.2 5.4 Forsyth County Mean travel time to work = 33.2 min. Ratio of IN to OUT = 0.71 Resident workers 16+ = 51,224 Residents working in county = 21,039 Residents working out of county = 30,185 Total working in county = 42,509 Workers commuting into county = 21,470 Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau This study was developed to assist community leadership with their future planning and decision making. Special County Area Report # 06-07 March, 2006 Prepared for Forsyth County Cooperative Extension by Susan R. Boatright and Emily Olliff Center for Agribusiness and Economic Development College of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences The University of Georgia • Athens, GA Georgia Cooperative Extension 706-542-0760 • 706-542-8938 www.caed.uga.edu AND www.georgiastats.uga.edu