Homework April 21, 2015 (to be returned on April 28) We want to determine mean and variance of the allele frequency variation ∆p in situations where the environment is fluctuating very rapidly. Viabilities (t) (t) (t) (t) (t) (t) (t) are w11 = 1 + Y1 ; w22 = 1 + Y2 and w12 = 1 + Y1 + Y2 /2 for the homozygous A1 A1 , A2 A2 and the heterozygous A1 A2 or A2 A1 , respectively. The Y ’s are random variables supposed all independent and the index t refers to the generations. 1) From the general formula that we derived during the lectures for the variation ∆p of the frequency p of allele A1 under random mating and selection with the previous viabilities, show that : (t) ∆p (t) (t) Y1 − Y2 p(t) q (t) = . 2 1 + p(t) Y1(t) + q (t) Y2(t) (1) where ∆p(t) indicates the difference between the values at the generations t + 1 and t. 2) Suppose that the Y ’s are small and expand (1) to the second order. (t) (t) 3) Mean and variances of the Y ’s are : hY1 i = µ1 ; hY2 i = µ2 and (t) (t) Var Y1 = Var Y2 = σ 2 , with the means µi of the same order as the variance σ 2 . Determine the expression of the mean h∆p(t) i and Var ∆p(t) . The previous calculation was done under the hypothesis of additivity. To generalize to non-additive situations, one can suppose that viabilities are (t) (t) w11 = W 1 + Y1 (t) (t) ; w22 = W 1 + Y2 (t) (t) and w12 = W 1 + (t) Y1 +Y2 2 , where the Y ’s are again random variables, supposed all independent and the function W (x) is a convex function, e.g. the Michaelis-Menten curve discussed during the course W (x) = x(1 + a)/(a + x). 1) Supposing the Y ’s small and having means and variances as above, Q 1/t g t−1 i calculate the geometric means, e.g. w11 (t) = , and show that i=0 w11 the condition for the heterozygote to be fitter than both homozygotes is |µ1 − µ2 | < σ 2 02 00 W (1) − W (1) , 2W 0 (1) 00 (2) where W 0 (1) and W (1) are the first and second derivatives of W (x) at x = 1. 2) Obtain the condition (2) of coexistence for the explicit form of W given above, recover the additive limit and discuss whether the general case gives a range for coexistence larger or smaller than in the additive case. 1