Hindawi Publishing Corporation Advances in Decision Sciences Volume 2012, Article ID 671942, 7 pages doi:10.1155/2012/671942 Research Article Almost Sure Central Limit Theorem of Sample Quantiles Yu Miao,1 Shoufang Xu,2 and Ang Peng3 1 College of Mathematics and Information Science, Henan Normal University, Henan Province, Xinxiang 453007, China 2 Department of Mathematics and Information Science, Xinxiang University, Henan Province, Xinxiang 453000, China 3 Heze College of Finance and Economics, Shandong Province, Heze 274000, China Correspondence should be addressed to Yu Miao, yumiao728@yahoo.com.cn Received 19 April 2012; Accepted 12 August 2012 Academic Editor: Saralees Nadarajah Copyright q 2012 Yu Miao et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. We obtain the almost sure central limit theorem ASCLT of sample quantiles. Furthermore, based on the method, the ASCLT of order statistics is also proved. 1. Introduction To describe the results of the paper, suppose that we have an independent and identically distributed sample of size n from a distribution function Fx with a continuous probability density function fx. Let Fn x denote the sample distribution function, that is, Fn x n 1 1{Xi ≤x} , n i1 −∞ < x < ∞. 1.1 Let us define the pth quantile of F by ξp inf x : Fx ≥ p , p ∈ 0, 1, 1.2 and the sample quantile ξnp by ξnp inf x : Fn x ≥ p , p ∈ 0, 1. 1.3 2 Advances in Decision Sciences It is well known that ξnp is a natural estimator of ξp . Since the quantile can be used for describing some properties of random variables, and there are not the restrictions of moment conditions, it is being widely employed in diverse problems in finance, such as quantilehedging, optimal portfolio allocation, and risk management. In practice, the large sample theory which can give the asymptotic properties of sample estimator is an important method to analyze statistical problems. There are numerous literatures to study the sample quantiles. Let p ∈ 0, 1, if ξp is the unique solution x of a.e. Fx− ≤ p ≤ Fx, then ξnp −−−→ ξp see 1. In addition, if Fx possesses a continuous density function fx in a neighborhood of ξp and fξp > 0, then n1/2 f ξp ξnp − ξp −→ N0, 1, 1/2 p 1−p as n −→ ∞, 1.4 where N0, 1 denotes the standard normal variable see 1, 2. Suppose that Fx is twice differentiable at ξp , with F ξp fξp > 0, then Bahadur 3 proved p − Fn ξp n, ξnp ξp R f ξp 1.5 a.e., n On−3/4 log n3/4 , a.e, as n → ∞. Very recently, Xu and Miao 4 obtained the where R moderate deviation, large deviation and Bahadur asymptotic efficiency of the sample quantiles ξnp . Xu et al. 5 studied the Bahadur representation of sample quantiles for negatively associated sequences under some mild conditions. Based on the above works, in the paper, we are interested in the almost sure central limit theorem ASCLT of sample quantiles ξnp . The theory of ASCLT has been first introduced independently by Brosamler 6 and Schatte 7. The classical ASCLT states that when EX 0, VarX σ 2 , n 1 1 1{Sk ≤√kσx} Φx, n → ∞ log n k k1 lim a.s. 1.6 for any x ∈ R, where Sk denotes the partial sums Sk X1 · · · Xk . Moreover, from the method to prove the ASCLT of sample quantiles, in Section 3, we obtain the ASCLT of order statistics. 2. Main Results Theorem 2.1. Let X1 , X2 , . . . , Xn be a sequence of independent identically distributed random variables from a cumulative distribution function F. Let p ∈ 0, 1 and suppose that fξp : F ξp exists and is positive. Then one has n 1 1 √ 1{ kξkp −ξp ≤σx} Φx, n → ∞ log n k k1 lim for any x ∈ R, where σ 2 p1 − p/f 2 ξp . a.s. 2.1 Advances in Decision Sciences 3 Proof. Firstly, it is not difficult to check σx k ξkp − ξp ≤ σx Fk ξp √ ≥ p : k k 1 Yi,k ≤ ωk , √ k i1 2.2 where Yi,k E1{Xi ≤ξp σx/√k} − 1{Xi ≤ξp σx/√k}, ωk k E1{Xi ≤ξp σx/√k} − p . 2.3 From the Taylor’s formula, it follows σx E1{Xi ≤ξp σx/√k} F ξp √ k σx 1 F ξp F ξp √ o √ k k σx 1 p f ξp √ o √ , k k 2.4 ωk f ξp σx o1. 2.5 which implies By the Lindeberg’s central limit theorem, we can get k 1 d Yi,k −→ N0, 1, √ f ξp σ k i1 2.6 as k −→ ∞. Hence, 2.1 is equivalent to n 1 1 1{1/fξp σ √k k Yi,k ≤xo1} Φx, i1 n → ∞ log n k k1 lim a.s. 2.7 Throughout the following proof, C denotes a positive constant, which may take different values whenever it appears in different expressions. Put that Zi,k : 1 Yi,k . f ξp σ 2.8 Let g be a bounded Lipschitz function bounded by C, then from 2.6, we have Eg k 1 Zi,k √ k i1 −→ EgN, as k −→ ∞, 2.9 4 Advances in Decision Sciences where N denotes the standard normal random variable. Next, we should notice that 2.7 is equivalent to n 1 1 g lim n → ∞ log n k k1 k 1 Zi,k √ k i1 EgN a.s. 2.10 from Section 2 of Peligrad and Shao 8 and Theorem 7.1 of Billingsley 9. Hence, to prove 2.7, it suffices to show that as n → ∞, n k k 1 1 1 1 g √ Zi,k − Eg √ Zi,k Rn log n k1 k k i1 k i1 n 1 1 Tk −→ 0, : log n k1 k 2.11 a.s. It is obvious that ER2n ⎡ ⎤ n n−1 n 1 1 2 ⎣ ETk Tj ⎦. ETk 2 kj log2 n k1 k2 k1 jk1 1 2.12 Since g is bounded, we have n 1 C . ETk2 ≤ 2 2 log n k log n k1 1 2.13 Furthermore, for 1 ≤ k < j ≤ n, we have j k 1 1 ETk Tj Cov g √ Zi,k , g Zi,j j i1 k i1 ⎛ ⎞ ⎛ ⎞⎞ ⎛ j j k Z Z Z i,j i,j i,k ik1 i1 i1 ⎝ ⎠ ⎝ ⎠ ⎠ ⎝ Cov g −g ,g √ j j k 2.14 k C √k 1/2 C 2 ≤ E Zi,j ≤ EZ1,j , j i1 j where 2 EZ1,j 1O 1 j . 2.15 Advances in Decision Sciences 5 Therefore, we have n n n−1 n−1 1/2 1 1 2 ≤ C EZ ET T k j 1,j log2 n k1 jk1 kj log2 n k1 jk1 k1/2 j 3/2 1 1/2 1 C 2 . EZ ≤ 1,j 2 1/2 3/2 log n log n j2 k1 k j j−1 n C 2.16 From the above discussions, it follows that ER2n ≤ C . log n 2.17 τ Take nk ek , where τ > 1. Then by Borel-Cantelli lemma, we have Rnk −→ 0, a.s. as k −→ ∞. 2.18 Since g is bounded function, then for nk < n ≤ nk1 , we obtain nk l l 1 1 1 1 g √ Zi,l − Eg √ Zi,l |Rn | ≤ log nk l1 l l i1 l i1 n l l k1 1 1 1 1 Zi,l − Eg √ Zi,l g √ log nk ln 1 l l i1 l i1 2.19 k ≤ |Rnk | n k1 1 C −→ 0, log nk ln 1 l a.s., as n −→ ∞, k where we used the fact log nk1 k 1τ −→ 1, log nk kτ as k −→ ∞. 2.20 So, the proof of the theorem is completed. 3. Further Results Another method to estimate the quantile is to use the order statistics. Based on the sample {X1 , . . . , Xn } of observations on Fx, the ordered sample values: X1 ≤ X2 ≤ · · · ≤ Xn 3.1 are called the order statistics. For more details about order statistics, one can refer to Serfling 1 or David and Nagaraja 10. Suppose that F is twice differentiable at ξp with 6 Advances in Decision Sciences F ξp fξp > 0, then the Bahadur representation for order statistics was first established by Bahadur 3, as n → ∞ Xkn kn /n − Fn ξp 1/2δ1 ξp O n−3/4 log n f ξp a.e., 3.2 where √ δ kn np o n log n , n −→ ∞, for some δ ≥ 1 . 2 3.3 From the idea of the Bahadur representation for order statistics, many important properties of order statistics can be easily proved. For example, Miao et al. 11 proved asymptotic properties of the deviation between order statistics and pth quantile, which included large and moderate deviation, Bahadur asymptotic efficiency. Though there are some papers to study the ASCLT for the order statistics e.g., Peng and Qi 12, Hörmann 13, Tong et al. 14, etc., based on the method to deal with the sample quantile, we can also obtain the ASCLT of the order statistics. Theorem 3.1. Let X1 , X2 , . . . , Xn be a sequence of independent identically distributed random variables from a cumulative distribution function F. Let p ∈ 0, 1 and suppose that fξp : F ξp √ exists and is positive. Let kn np o n, then one has n 1 1 √ 1 Φx, n → ∞ log n j { jXkj −ξp ≤σx} j1 lim a.s. 3.4 for any x ∈ R, where σ 2 p1 − p/f 2 ξp . Proof. Firstly, it is easy to see that the following two events are equivalent: $ j √ j Xkj − ξp ≤ σx 1{Xi ≤ξp σx/ j} ≥ kj i1 ⎧ ⎫ ⎨ j Y i,j ⎬ i1 : ≤ ωj , ⎩ ⎭ j 3.5 where Y i,j E1{Xi ≤ξp σx/√j} − 1{Xi ≤ξp σx/√j}, 1 ωj j σx jF ξp j − kj f ξp σx o1. Hence, by the same proof of Theorem 2.1, we can obtain the desired result. 3.6 Advances in Decision Sciences 7 References 1 R. J. Serfling, Approximation Theorems of Mathematical Statistics, John Wiley & Sons, New York, NY, USA, 1980. 2 S. S. Wilks, Mathematical Statistics, John Wiley & Sons, New York, NY, USA, 1962. 3 R. R. Bahadur, “A note on quantiles in large samples,” Annals of Mathematical Statistics, vol. 37, pp. 577–580, 1966. 4 S. F. Xu and Y. Miao, “Limit behaviors of the deviation between the sample quantiles and the quantile,” Filomat, vol. 25, no. 2, pp. 197–206, 2011. 5 S. F. Xu, L. Ge, and Y. Miao, “On the Bahadur representation of sample quantiles and order statistics for NAsequences,” Journal of the Korean Statistical Society. In press. 6 G. A. Brosamler, “An almost everywhere central limit theorem,” Mathematical Proceedings of the Cambridge Philosophical Society, vol. 104, no. 3, pp. 561–574, 1988. 7 P. Schatte, “On strong versions of the central limit theorem,” Mathematische Nachrichten, vol. 137, pp. 249–256, 1988. 8 M. Peligrad and Q. M. Shao, “A note on the almost sure central limit theorem for weakly dependent random variables,” Statistics & Probability Letters, vol. 22, no. 2, pp. 131–136, 1995. 9 P. Billingsley, Convergence of Probability Measures, John Wiley & Sons, New York, NY, USA, 1968. 10 H. A. David and H. N. Nagaraja, Order Statistics, Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics, WileyInterscience, John Wiley & Sons, Hoboken, NJ, USA, 3rd edition, 2003. 11 Y. Miao, Y.-X. Chen, and S.-F. Xu, “Asymptotic properties of the deviation between order statistics and p-quantile,” Communications in Statistics, vol. 40, no. 1, pp. 8–14, 2011. 12 L. Peng and Y. C. Qi, “Almost sure convergence of the distributional limit theorem for order statistics,” Probability and Mathematical Statistics, vol. 23, no. 2, pp. 217–228, 2003. 13 S. Hörmann, “A note on the almost sure convergence of central order statistics,” Probability and Mathematical Statistics, vol. 25, no. 2, pp. 317–329, 2005. 14 B. Tong, Z. X. Peng, and S. Nadarajah, “An extension of almost sure central limit theorem for order statistics,” Extremes, vol. 12, no. 3, pp. 201–209, 2009. 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