THE POSSIBLE ROLE OF SYMMETRIC INSTABILITY IN THE FORMATION OF PRECIPITATION BANDS by MARC ALLEN SELTZER B.S., McGill University (1982) SUBMITTED TO THE DEPARTMENT OF EARTH, ATMOSPHERIC AND PLANETARY SCIENCES IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF SCIENCE at the LocX MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY May 1984 @ Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1984 Signature of Author Department of EE rth, Atmospherric and Planetary Sciences May 1984 Certified by I - Richard E. Passarelli Thesis Supervisor /- Accepted by Theodore R. Madden Chairanhepdktmenftal Committee on Graduate Students M1T L A!rJU THE POSSIBLE ROLE OF SYMMETRIC INSTABILITY IN THE FORMATION OF PRECIPITATION BANDS by MARC ALLEN SELTZER Submitted to the Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Meteorology ABSTRACT Fifteen cases of banded and non-banded precipitation that are not associated with any surface frontal regions are An attempt is made to relate the atmospheric presented. conditions associated with the banded observations to the theory of symmetric instability. Linear perturbation theory and parcel theory are used to assess this instability and to make predictions of the strength and orientation of the The theory does explain many of the banded observed bands. all of the bands are features considered in this study: strong shear and wind; aligned parallel to the thermal when bands observed are near-neutral static stabilities related to is that wavelength a have occur; multiple bands isentropic of slope the and region the depth of the unstable the explain fully not does The theory, however, surfaces. flow. mean the to relative propagation of some bands Furthermore, symmetric instability is an imbalance that can The obserarise in a geostrophically balanced atmosphere. is not in flow the cases, some in that vations indicate symmetric of indications the of Most balance. geostrophic not seem do that regions shear narrow to due instability are balance. to be in geostrophic Thesis Supervisor: Dr. Richard E. Passarelli Title: Professor of Meteorology 1Bd 1. Introduction. "It is now well established that the regions of heaviest precipitation in extratropical cyclones are often organized on the mesoscale (Parsons and Hobbs, 1983). in the form mesoscale bands forcing. caused by forcing. symmetric In frontogenesis this instability in Others occur far from While much known about those bands that occur frontal rainbands." Some of these bands are directly associated with frontal circulations. any regions of frontal of far thesis, alone, little from the the the formation is known about region of possible of these is role of precipita- tion bands is examined. NEWS The data set used in this study comes from the M.I.T. (New England Storms) winters, storms 1981 with a to Winter 1983, Doppler observations radar, National Weather Service intense precipitation frontal in nature. regions of very Project. data. bands These strong an During were taken aircraft, In occurred many and of and from storms that were clearly near embedded neutral 20 standard these bands were usually shear three not in static stability. This paper will attempt to answer three questions: 1. How do the observed atmospheric these storms compare conditions during to those assumed models of symmetric instability? in theoretical Do the observed precipitation bands exhibit those 2. symmetric of theory the by predicted features instability? 3. predict the occurrence doing, say something how theory, linear simple Using and strength their about so in and bands, these of one can well orientation? It was Hoskins (1974) who perhaps first suggested that instability. bands may be caused by symmetric precipitation Many of the qualitative properties of symmetric instability in a dry along example, Elliott classical of theory Solberg (1936), among others. This of instability (1962) and Ooyama derived for a Eliassen theory, for Harrold, the predictions baroclinic symmetric (see and Browning well with fit by developed (1966) 19 76) precipitation direction shear 1964; Hovind and et al. 1969; Houze vertical BH). to as referred of banded observations the oriented the the that noticed by summarized been hereafter (1979; Bennetts and Hoskins BH have atmosphere inviscid two dimensional situation, predicts an instability that produces roll coriented circulations W hile geostrophic wind. in considered presence of the In instability for this the can shear effects of moisture lead section dry the BH theory, original moisture convection. the along the inviscid to proposed the the are not that the observed criterion case of will for banded symmetric be .reviewed following BH. The to results these of extension include (1979 viscosity and moisture following the work of Emanuel and 1983) will then be discussed. can occur is instability Symmetric instability that balanced atmosphere. It a geostrophically in arises from an imbalance of and buoyancy forces. the pressure Normal perturbations. can be taken One approach is to examine the mode of solutions infinitesimal to state basic a geostrophic of Coriolis gradient, Two different approaches to assess this instability. stability a type of the linearized equations of motion are sought and the maximum growth rate of the perturbation is determined. The second approach is from to consider the finite displacement of an air parcel its This initial equilibrium state. to is analogous the parcel method for assessing convective instability. In the reviewed stability analyses in this section, four further assumptions are made: 1. The flow is inviscid and Boussinesq, and takes place on an f plane. 2. The basic state flow is in the y direction and is in geostrophic balance. 3. The basic state and perturbations vary only in the x and z directions. 4. The flow has constant horizontal and vertical shears. Let V(x,z) and G(x,z) denote the basic state velocity and potential temperature fields. Geostrophic balance imp- lies that V is related to e by the thermal wind relation av 9 az e a5X that showed (1966) Stone 99V varying from perturbations infinitesimal height, for linearly only in baroclinic this basic state are unstable if the Richardson number Ri is less than unity, where 9 30 (1V) BH extended by analysis Stone's allowing the basic state velocity V to have constant shear in both the x and z direcThis introduced a minor modification to the stabi- tions. lity criterion. The flow is found to be unstable when (n/f)-Ri < 1 where n = f + aV/ax is state the flow. the absolute vorticity of the basic instability presence of negative condition absolute is equivalent vorticity on to isentropic The orientation of the most unstable perturbation surfaces. was This (1.3) shown to lie roughly halfway between the absolute vorticity vector and the isentropes. BH also showed that for a saturated atmosphere, the effect of latent heat can be included in the stability criterion by replacing perature. e by 0e , the equivalent potential tem- In general it is found that the stability of the flow is decreased when the effects of moisture are included. 5 The inviscid analyses of symmetric instability by Stone and BH both conclude that the most unstable disturbance has an infinite there theory, is no that the (1979) showed to a mesoscale wavelength for leads of viscosity addition inviscid Indeed, Emanuel cutoff. shortwave In wavenumber. He showed that the unstable the most unstable disturbance. circulation has the following properties: the take plane) the x-z (in Streamlines 1. form of closed vortices elongated along isentropic surfaces. The horizontal wavelength of the disturbance 2. not depend on viscosity except in does limit of weak the diffusion. such that the The wavelength of the disturbance is 3. sloping do vortices The wavelength direction. is horizontal the in overlap not determined by the depth of the unstable layer and the slope of the isentropic surfaces. Emanuel (1983) looked at the of stability the He assumed that basic state to finite parcel displacements. With V varies linearly and only in height. this choice can easily be shown that the quantity M which fx+V is conserved. thus A parcel displaced conserve position, will values. Accelerations for both geostrophic it is equal to from its equilibrium its a displaced original parcel M and (or 0 more precisely a tube extending infinitely in the y direction) in the x and z directions are du_V j( - dw dt (MF-,(i 9(15 99 P 4-) 9 where the subscript g refers to the geostrophically balanced state basic the to refers p subscript the and parcel's Displaced parcels can accelerate both vertically and value. horizontally due to the surplus (or deficit) of the parcel's M and 0 with respect to the environment. in parcels displaced stability characteristics the Fig. 1 illustrates the x-z plane. A possible basic state M is chosen configuration of M and 0 surfaces is indicated. to o is chosen to independently to right. the to and upwards increase for increase upward (a stable stratification). inertial and gravitational from the basic determine the displaced parcel displacements used vertical to displacements instability. used be can 1.5 and 1.4 Eqs. of stability, symmetric a and gravitational assess to used of horizontal with inertial assess the assessment The state, stability instability is made by imagining the displacements of parcels slantwise in the x-z plane and evaluating the accelerations of the parcel using both Eqs. 1.4 and 1.5. For the basic state shown in Fig. 1, it is found that parcels displaced vertically or horizontally are stable (see for example acceleration points is A back and B). toward the The parcel's parcel's slantwise displacements, however, it is resultant origin. found that For if the IB M2 \\ o \A X i x Fig. 1. Schematic vertical cross-section illustrating the use of the parcel technique in assessing symmetric instability. A possible basic state configuration of M and 0 surfaces is indicated. has displacement less but surfaces acceleration will (see point reveals C). be The in 0 surfaces, will be It should to a good approx- that for a saturated atmosphere, imation, the stability can be replacing 0 by assessed in the same way by 0e. This parcel technique can also be applied Emanuel sounding. linearly in analysis possible only when M surfaces are more shallow than 0 surfaces. be noted resultant a stability such instability the M the displacement the direction of result of symmetric that of that than that of than greater is that a slope to a single (1983) has shown that for 0 and V varying the stabili-ty of a slantwise displaced x and z, parcel can be evaluated by adding the value to the reversibly temperature calculated lifted parcel the usual way on a thermodynamic diagram. Parcels temperature. can then Tv is the virtual lifted be in from different heights in a manner analogous to that of assessing ordinary (buoyant) convection. unstable parcels varying both the for The level and orientation of the most finite initial lifting height and can be determined orientation of by the parcel (or tube). The nature of the circulations predicted by the linear theory of symmetric instability suggest that symmetric Figure explain banded precipitation. instability might (reproduced from Emanuel, 1979) shows the 2 function stream associated with the onset of symmetric instability. Recall that the closed vortices in the x-z plane extend infinitely In the presence of moisture, precipita- in the y direction. tion is likely form the in ascending branches a radar, altitude with take would the form the linear theory can explain the occurrence of a In this band oriented in the y direction (along the shear). respect, of The pattern of precipitation, when viewed at circulation. constant to of preci- pitation bands. Further support comparison between of this the explanation must come from a observations of atmospheric condi- tions in the vicinity of banded precipitation and the linear theory. For example, there are several observational checks that can be made: 1. The sional and atmospheric with most of conditions the kinematic properties should variations occurring in in be two dimen- thermodynamic the cross-band direction and in the vertical. 2. the There should be a region in the atmosphere where Richardson number instability criterion (e.g. Eq. 1.3) is met. 3. The bands should be aligned along the thermal wind and should be strongest in the region of instability. 10 {0 .3 0 0 --. s *6 -*.~ 1.20 0. .6 0* 12 3 -6 . /0 9 -1.2/ ~ .30 0 0 3 _)o 00 Fi -S. -2. S m0.5trei d o50-05i u r at -- 0 c0 0 12 0-.5T20 and3 01 3 t 8 , r s ctiv 211 0 C Fig. 2. Streamfunction associated with the onset of symmetric instability (reproduced from Emanuel, 1979). Plots (a) and (b) are solutions for free-slip boundaries with diffusion coefficient T=10O and l.6x10-3 , respectively. Plots 4(c) and (d) are solutions for no-slip boundaries with T=10- and 10respectively. The abscissa spans one full wavelength. The dashed line indicates the relative orientation of the potential isentropes. 4. If bands the to be moving are observed in the cross-band direction, they should be moving approxithe mately with that that results the the flow mean of in this direction. Note theory imply linear the present circulation not does pattern propagate relative to the basic-state flow in x. 5. depth Spacing of between bands the unstable be related should layer and the slope of to the isen- tropic surfaces. 6. The include circulation a region pattern of ascending along isentropic surfaces. near the motion bands should sloping nearly 2. Observations National Weather Massachusetts, launched all were properties Portland, at nominal from taken Service times and kinematic data. Standard thermodynamic of measurements The sounding New Albany, and Maine special as well as Chatham, from soundings balloon York, launch times Rawinsondes were also launched from M.I.T. were used. addition, aircraft measurements made by the NOAA In P-3 were taken in a sounding mode at locations chosen to best supplement the other soundings. cant levels of the NWS Data from mandatory and signifiwere used. soundings All sounding data were interpolated to a 250-meter vertical grid. The cases presented in this study were chosen to meet three requirements. 1. The low pressure center, face analyses, was tion. as determined the not near from sur- region in ques- This requirement excluded regions that had a generally more complicated mesoscale structure involving frontal zones and strongly curved flow. 2. Precipitation was observed on the M.I.T. radar. 3. Surface fronts were not present in the region. Table 1 lists the fifteen cases that will be considered in this study. A measure of bandedness determined for each case. group of four scientists of the precipitation was This was done subjectively by a from radar reflectivity patterns 13 Table 1. 2 B.O. LMSW FFS DDS Nd 2 Nw 12/05/81 45 4.75 13.5 37 1.4 .8 12/06/81 0 2.75 13.3 5 1.6 1.2 8.3 12/16/81 45 1.75 18.6 39 2.0 1.1 7.1 12/11/82 70 4.00 11.2 55 6.9 4.0 5.2 12/12/82 50 3.75 17.1 51 2.3 1.7 14.6 12/20/82 0 2.00 14.5 -2 0.7 -3.8 5.1 01/11/83 0 3.00 19.4 14 2.5 2.5 4.3 01/24/83 - 4.25 8.2 129 1.5 0.6 5.0 02/03/83 - 3.25 7.9 90 2.4 2.1 5.8 02/12/83 80 5.50 13.4 66 1.8 1.4 9.5 11/28/83 135 2.75 21.2 117 3.0 4.3 5.0 12/03/83 90 5.75 11.5 115 .8 .4 6.0 12/04/83 - 5.25 22.4 63 2.2 1.8 5.7 12/06/83 - 2.00 9.6 120 3.8 01/11/84 45 3.75 19.5 34 3.4 Bandedness Case LMSW - level of maximum wind shear magnitude B.O. - band orientation [deg] - [deg] wind shear direction (dry) frequency : Brunt Vaiscala : Brunt-Vaiscala frequency (moist) Note: FFS, DDS, Nd 2, 3.5 [km I [m/s/km] FFS DDS Nd 2 Nw2 wind shear magnitude -0.4 [10 -4sec[10 -4sec- Nw 2 , computed at LMWS 2] 850-500mb FFS 8.0 5.8 8.5 such as The criteria used to define that shown in Fig. 3. bandedness were: The elongation of the reflectivity distribution in 1. the horizontal The strength of the reflectivity factor anomaly, 2. and The band's temporal and spatial coherence. 3. with scale was used, A four-point 0 signifying non-banded and 3 meaning strongly banded. The synoptic situation in a representative case 2.1 The looking at one surface analysis center pressure representative for Figure 5 field temperature the can be summarized the for of 4 shows The 1981. and Boston geopotential 500-mb the Fig. case. east common some the lowany far from the New England area. are same gradients temperature horizontal to is well surface fronts have 6 December OOGMT on obvious shows banded These features synoptic-scale features. by as classified cases time. height Note corresponding the and strong to large geostrophic wind shears in the New England area. The corresponding radar reflectivity pattern was shown This previously in Fig. 3. represents the average reflectivity factor in a layer from 2.5 to 4.0 km altitude. band of very constant-altitude presentation The dominant heavy precipitation feature is a large oriented north-south. This NC it C0 0 rio I-0 0 O it 1-h 0-.t 0 Ore Mto i0 0rt 00 M* o CD 00rt oaD 00 00 t-h I-' ,- t.Ct 0 c- ri. 0 t-h F- a art M0 ACDnIt ..... ::::...:::..#S.. . ... .. ... ... /. ' .. 4 ~ '-e .......... ... - ~ Y ' S- ' O" a... ~ - #z-~ *A 4 -O mv -........... ..-........ ...........4 .................. : :,....... : : : : :. '4..- ~ / ' / .................... ..... ::: ..... .. ..... ............. *, A/.' - '.'..'. ... /'~/-..o .y ....... .. ~~ .......... c~:...................".. .... -... . /..-. A - Y . ~ . r-, ....... . . . . A. . . . . . . . . . . ......................... ........ .......-.... ............-.................... /................... . ........ ....... . . .......................................~ rA% :::A............................ . ..... % A ..-.................... t~ $V 4',s/ /~ /a......... ,.. o-w,~.-... -/ " V /'/ '41b.................. ~ ~ ... .. .4........ X , ,, ., ,...... ............................. / 4.-A 0 .... . .. ~7 ... ... :. .: ........................... .. . .. . ...... ............. .A...../ ........ ....................... ... . . . . *tw~........... ........ Fig. 4. Surface analysis for OOGMT on 6 December 1981, adapted from National Meteorological Center (NMC) analysis. 17 Fig. 5. 500 mb geopotential height (dam) and temperature (C) anlayses for OOGMT on 6 December 1981, adapted from NMC analyses. area England and shows that the band in rates of more 5 with and temperature, a from winds of 2 Figure 3 sounding shear strong noted is is as includes at a Again the location 60 km from the band are shown in Fig. 6. region than region of very the is embedded within New Analyses of potential temperature, equivalent strong shear. potential hours Figure A comparison of per hour. inches snowfall produced the 14 for almost persisted band particular layer a deep of the layer of banded positive static stability that precipitation. There is no obvious frontal zone and there are large no of neutral to seem precipitation, rule These occurrence the out elevated stability. stable. is gravitationally atmosphere would regions convection or simple Most of the observations of frontal convective adjustment through upright convection. While many of the band the one just described, synoptic scale features. all of the candidate band for most of them exhibit similar The presence of strong shear in cases makes the cases are not as striking as symmetric mechanism instability responsible for the a prime banded precipitation. 2.2 Mesoscale features of the cases studied. In this section, the atmospheric conditions that exis- ted in each case are presented. the common features are deduced. The cases are compared and 19 R.H. () 9.- 8. THETA - 69 THETA EQUIV. 71 7. 74 78 -6. F- - 7 81 84 / 5. 8 4.- 00 00,9 0 -89- 3.- 88Il 86 86- .- -81 .1e I. I7782 0 270 ' 275 280 285 290 295 300 305 TEMPERATURE (*K) 310 315 320 Fig. 6. Analyses of potential temperature (K), equivalent potential temperature (K), and winds from Portland, Me, at OOGMT on 6 December 1981. As tion implied in is often the previous embedded in section, regions banded precipitaof strong shear. Table 1 lists for each case the shear direction, the shear magnitude, and the Brunt-Vaisalla moist adiabatic ascent. frequency of the 850-500 mb wind calculations and come from the Also shown are the shear, bandedness, and the band orientation. these dry All of these quantities are compu- ted at the level of maximum wind-shear. magnitude for the estimated The data used to make sounding that was taken closest to the band. On comparing the cases, a strong correlation between the bandedness and the maximum wind shear becomes apparent. The six cases bandedness and 20 have m/s non-banded classified a level a maximum wind-shear per km. or with The weakly or magnitude remaining banded, 2 cases, with the level 3 between 13 classified as exception of 4 December 1983 have a maximum wind shear magnitude between 7 and 12 m/s per km. A much weaker correlation when the level of bandedness is is evident compared with the magnitude of the 850-500 mb wind shear. Fig. versus 7 is a scatter diagram of the 1000-500 mb geostrophic the band orientation direction and the shear direction at the level of maximum wind shear. All band cases judged non-zero direction is averaged measuring the over geostrophic are presented. a 1 km shear shear layer. direction, The The and latter errors the in mean 140 130120 1101009080 -A z 700 0 60- Cr O 50- A A 40- e S 30 -A maximum A 20- wind shear 1000-500mb geostrophic shear direction a 100 Mean shear direction at level of - 0 -10 0 10 20 30 80 40 50 60 70 BAND ORIENTATION 90 100 110 120 130 140 Fig. 7. Scatter diagram of the band orientation (deg) versus the 1000-500 mb geostrophic shear direction (deg) and the shear direction at the level of maximum wind shear. shear direction tively. are ±10 degrees and ±5 degrees respec- The error in measuring the band orientation is ±10 degrees. While both measures the shear of direction are close to the band orientation, the geostrophic shear direction is The RMS scatter is 9.2 degrees for the in better agreement. versus direction shear geostrophic degrees 13.4 shear direction at the level of maximum shear. for the In Table lA, the total wind shear at the level of maximum shear and its Most component in the band-parallel direction are compared. of the wind shear is In of nine the the direction parallel band eleven within shear, wind maximum in to the band-parallel equal result of 7 that Fig. the cases, component. bands magnitude the error the are to the band. in of measurement, This underlines aligned parallel the is the to the wind shear direction. Vertical profiles analysed for each case. were stable layer. for dry of the static stability were also It was found that all of the cases adiabatic ascent above the boundary In the region of maximum wind shear, three of the band cases show an atmosphere that is neutral or potentially unstable for moist adiabatic ascent. other regions of the show indications negative of moist static There are, however, atmosphere in many of the cases that potential stability instability (a8e/az<O). A is a sufficient condition Table lA Case Bandedness B.O. LMSW FFS BP FFS 12/05/81 45 4.75 13.5 13.3 12/06/81 0 2.75 13.3 13.2 12/16/81 45 1.75 18.6 18.5 12/11/82 70 4.00 11.2 10.7 12/12/82 50 3.75 17.1 17.1 12/20/82 0 2.00 14.5 14.5 01/11/83 0 3.00 19.4 17.8 01/24/83 - 4.25 8.2 02/03/83 - 3.25 7.9 02/12/83 80 5.50 13.4 13.0 11/28/83 135 2.75 21.2 18.5 .12/03/83 90 5.75 11.5 11.3 12/04/83 - 5.25 22.4 12/06/83 - 2.00 9.6 01/11/84 45 3.75 19.5 19.3 LMSW - level of maximum wind shear magnitude B.O. - band orientation [m/s/km] FFS - wind shear magnitude BP FFS - band-parallel wind shear magnitude Note: [kn] [deg] FFS, BP FFS, computed at LMWS [m/s/km] for saturated. only overturning convective For the cases if atmosphere the considered in this study, is the regions of potential instability that were judged saturated are weakly unstable and can be considered, of measurement, to be neutral. having substantial potential Regions that are assessed as instability In associated with humidity gradients. atmosphere is not instability static may stability uniformly never be with the either dry or moist within the error this saturated released. and is no in all instance, the When bandedness, conditions are cases the potential comparing the correlation for apparent. This lack of correlation, however, does not preclude the possibility that potential instability may play a role in the formation of the precipitation bands considered in this paper. Some evidence assumption The that bands geostrophic the are has already bands observed shear are to vector been given to justify the two-dimensional be aligned which, in in close a nature. to the geostrophically balanced atmosphere, is the direction perpendicular to the average gradient. temperature properties can therefore The band's be approximated thermodynamic as having most of their variations in the cross-band direction. Doppler radar and synoptic evidence that most of direction with the variations scale flow in wind is in this predominantly in the cross-band direction. In addition, analyses the provide band-parallel flow occurring As appear stable to be or motivation associated near-neutral for with fact strongly atmosphere considering primary mechanism. is the it earlier, remarked sheared which symmetric that the bands flow in a the provides as instability a The two-dimensional nature of the bands also justifies the application of simple models of symmetric instability and as will be shown the observations can be used in the following section, to support assumptions made in the theoretical models. many of the 3. Comparisons between theory and observations. observations The the in presented previous section support the use of simple linear theory and parcel theory in Most assessing the symmetric instability of the atmosphere. are observed properties The bands can, strong very in to be the cross-band direction. to a good approximation, two-dimensional. with thermodynamic and kinematic in of the horizontal variations be considered The observed bands were always shear of vertical the to be associated band-parallel wind component. The assessment of symmetric instability 3.1 In Section 1, two techniques were discussed for asses- the unity, infinitesimal is heat the atmosphere. One If this parameter is less symmetrically from perturbations latent of effect Where atmosphere balanced basic state. of the symmetric stability parameter from observations. (n/f)-Ri than to calculate is technique stability symmetric the sing can be geostrophically- the the atmosphere included to unstable is saturated, the by replacing the potential temperature with the equivalent potential temperature in the expression for Ri. second The derived by technique Emanuel (1983). is based on the The environment parcel method surrounding given parcel is assumed to be in geostrophic balance. parcel's stability can be assessed by imagining a The its disp- lacement from an equilibrium state and by evaluating the net acceleration of the parcel resulting from the imbalance in pressure gradient, Coriolis and buoyancy forces between the parcel and its environment. The ments the of stability in can be assessed two ways of the observational base. displace- to parcel atmosphere depending on the quality Given adequate sounding coverage across a band, a vertical cross-section of 0 and M can be Then, constructed. as shown in 2, parcels section unstable to symmetric overturning where M surfaces are are more shallow than 0 surfaces. The parcel stability can assessed from a single sounding. also be approximately This method is similar to the analysis of upright convection on a tephigram. atmospheric stability sounding is of temperature and assessed by adiabatically winds, Given an the parcel lifting a parcel and modifying the lifted parcel temperature by adding the value I Tr 2- 9 where v is f 32- Nqa V-V the environmental velocity and v is the initial velocity of the parcel. Stability analyses done for all cases. which vertical available in based a single sounding were Multiple soundings across a band from cross-sections only on three of could the be band constructed cases. were Stability analyses from a single-sounding require the knowledge of the For absolute vorticity, n=f+av/ax as a function of height. av/3x The fields neglecting av/ax to the is vorticity stability. the from LFM 500mb was found that analysis would number ten about only relative It cases. Richardson the of error an reason, in estimated was all for on effect small vorticity relative vorticity lead a have to appears relative vorticity study, the the cases considered in this percent. neglected For this in the single-sounding stability analyses. 3.2 An example of the assessment techniques as applied to a single sounding. The sounding in used this example taken was from Chatham, Massachusetts at 12 GMT, on 5 December, 1981. At (judged level.3) was observed in the this time, vicinity a snow band Chatham. of approximately three As hours the later, band the moved band Chatham over orientation was 045 degrees. Fig. 8a-d shows vertical profiles of Ri~1, O, Oe, and the magnitude of the component of wind shear parallel to the band. Ri is calculated from the observed band-parallel wind shear, which is considered to represent the geostrophic basic state, and dry adiabatic ascent is assumed. Note that the layer between 4.0 and 6.0 km is nominally symmetrically unstable. The potential temperature and equivalent poten- 29 10 -9I 8 76- 5I I.--. 4- 3- .I 2 ~ - I 01 -3 -2 -I 0 (Ri)~ I 2 3 4 Fig. 8 a-d. Plots of (a) inverse Richardson number, (b) potential temperature (K), (c) equivalent potential temperature (K),, and (d) the magnitude of the band-parallel wind shear (m/s/km) as a function of height (km). 10 9- 8- 7- 6- 5- 4-- 3- 2- 0 280 Fig. 8b 290 300 310 320 THETA (K) 330 '340 350 31 9 8- 7- 6- - 94 270 280 290 300 310 320 THETA EQUIV. (*K) Fig. 8c 330 340 350 10 9876- 04- -4v 0 -5 -10 0 -- (ms-' km-') a Fig. 8d 5 10 t5 on the other hand, tial temperature profiles, is atmosphere for stable and dry both show that the adiabatic moist The profile of the shear magnitude indicates that ascent. between 4.0 and 6.0 km the subcritical Richardson numbers result from the very strong shear in this layer. for the the modified parcel temperature Plotted is 9. Fig. in is illustrated case this for method parcel The slantwise adiabatic ascent of an air parcel originating at The orientation of the parcel is 4.0 km height. be that a parcel the along direction an to refers of (045*/2250). direction band-parallel the along long infinitely ) band. the assumed to (Recall oriented tube shown Also the are environmental and dewpoint temperatures, and the 283 0 K moist adiabat that passes through the parcel's starting position. is instability gravitational Conventional by evaluated lifting the parcel vertically along its appropriate moist or dry adiabat and parcel along temperature of slantwise analysis This near displacements, and figure) the in comparison. parcels originating vertical line the temperature parcel the Symmetric instability is evaluated by lifting environment. the to temperature the parcel comparing 4.0 they km are are (labeled ascent making shows completely unstable to the that same while stable to slantwise displacements up to a height of 6.25 km. Fig. difference 10 shows between a contours of parcel and the its maximum temperature environment during 10 9 I.- 2LEGEND -- 0t -70 - TEMPERATURE .- PARCEL TEMPERATURE PSEUDOADIABAT DEWPOINT -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 TEMPERATURE -10 0 10 Fig. 9. Plots of the modified parcel temperature (C) for the slantwise ascent of an air parcel originating at 4.0 km height, the environment and dewpoint temperature (C), and the 283K moist adiabat that passes through the parcel's starting position. The orientation of the parcel is assumed to be along the band-parallel direction (045*/225*). 7.50 -~4 5.50-- 4.50 -00 2 4.00 0-0 .0 - or 3.50- -0.4 2.50 31~ 01 2.00 1.50 -_-2-j___-_- -- 0.00 0. 0.D 45. 90. 135. 180. 225. ORIENT ANGLE 270. 315. 350. Contours of the maximum temperature difference (C) Fig. 10. between a parcel and its environment during lifting to 9.5 (km) and parcel km as a function of starting height orientation (deg). lifting to 9.5 km for different starting heights and parcel orientations. There is a well-defined maximum of 2.5*C at a height of 4.0 km for an orientation angle of 030*/210*. analysis further indicates that originating parcels all The between 3.25 and 5.5 km with an orientation angle between 30 The depth and 60 degrees are unstable to slantwise lifting. and of height the layer of maximum instability symmetric agree with the Richardson number analysis. 3.3 Results of single-sounding analyses. The parcel method can be used to predict the strength In the above exam- and orientation of banded precipitation. ple, parcel that theory predicts at 030*/210*. be oriented the band will The strength of the band should be related to the predicted parcel temperature surplus. The actual corre- lation between this temperature surplus and bandedness will be examined after assessing the symmetric stability for all band cases. Table 2 lists for each band case the minimum value of the Richardson number for dry and moist adiabatic ascent and descent, number. and the level of the dry Richardson Notice that in three of the cases, the Richardson number for moist ascent is equal corresponding presence minimum of value for humidity dry to or greater ascent. gradients that This result than is due in a to it's the static stability for moist ascent that is greater than that for dry Table 2. Case Banded- B.O. ness LMWS LMI Ri dry Ri moist 12/05/81 :5 4.75 5.00 .76 .46 12/06/81 0 2.50 2.50 .93 .93 12/16/81 :5 1.75 1.75 .58 .32 12/11/82 O 4.00 none .931 1.53' 12/12/82 >0 3.75 4.00 .43 -0.11 12/20/82 0 2.00 2.00 .32 -1.79 01/11/83 0 3.00 3.00 .79 0.78 01/24/83 - 4.25 none .101 1.901 02/03/83 - 5.50 none .491 8.451 02/12/83 80 5.50 5.25 .68 0.34 11/28/83 13 5 2.75 2.75 .86 1.23 12/03/83 90 5.75 5.75 .62 0.29 12/04/83 - 5.25 5.25 .55 0.44 12/06/83 - 2.00 none .131 1.24' 01/11/84 45 3.75 3.75 .92 0.94 B.O. : band orientation [deg] LMWS : level of maximum wind shear : level of maximum instability LMI [kIn] [kin] i - value calculated at LMWS Except ascent. for instability to regions of potential upright convection, the level of minimum Richardson number is the same for both to Table 1, comparison dry and saturated many of are included in Table 2. conditions. For listed there the parameters The parameters listed are computed at the level of minimum Richardson number calculated for dry ascent. This level will subsequently be referred to as the level of maximum instability The boundary layer up (LMI). to 1.5 km is excluded from all calculations in an attempt to exclude regions where surface viscous forces are important. In these regions the inviscid theory may not be valid. It is immediately evident the LMI shear. is within This instability that in all but 250 meters of implies result from that the one case, the level of maximum wind the indications strong shear. of symmetric Any change in static stability with altitude has only a small effect on the level of the critical Richardson correlation between bandedness that was observed same as the number. The positive and maximum shear magnitude in Section 2 is therefore essentially the positive correlation between bandedness and minimum Richardson number that is evident in Table 2. Table 3 instability by cases studied. 10 is applied. summarizes the single the assessment sounding parcel of method symmetric for all The same analysis technique used with Fig. Parcels are lifted slantwise from starting levels between 1.5 and 7 km to a height of 9.5 km for all 39 Table 3. Case Banded- B.O. LMI MTS LMTS P.O. LUP ness 12/05/81 45 4. 30 3.25-5.50 12/06/81 0 2. 0 2.00-2.50 12/16/81 45 1. 40 1.50-1.75 12/11/82 70 4. * ** 12/12/82 50 3. 60 12/20/82 0 2. 01/11/83 0 3. 01/24/83 - 4. 140 7.00 02/03/83 - 3. 130 5.50 02/12/83 80 5. 45 2.50-5 11/28/83 135 2. 120 1.75-3 12/03/83 90 5. 110 4.50-6 12/04/83 - 5. * 4.50-6 12/06/83 - 2. 01/11/84 B.O. LMI MTS LMTS P.O LUP * ** - : : : : : : 45 3. band orientation [deg] level of maximum instability [kIn] maximum parcel temperature surplus level of MTS [km] predicted orientation angle [deg] layer of unstable parcels [kin] no preferred orientation no unstable parcels 3.00-5 1.50-2 -10 20 * 50 [deg C] 1.50-2 ** 1.50-3.50 possible band orientations. From the resulting plots following quantities are read and listed in Table 3: and magnitude of maximum parcel-temperature surplus, the level predicIn tion of band orientation, and layer of unstable parcels. of eight the band eleven cases, LMI the determined from layer of unstable Richardson number analyses is within the In two band cases the LMI is within 500 meters of parcels. this layer. One band case has no LMI. a preference for maximum parcel cases to have a larger the stronger band temperature There appears to be and surplus a deeper layer of instability. Fig. 11 shows the actual band orientation, the predicted orientation and the 1000-500 mb geostrophic shear direcThe predicted orientation angle is calculated to the tion. nearest 10 degrees. In only six of the eleven band cases, as close or closer to the the predicted orientation angle is band orientation direction. predict Using than the 1000-500 the parcel the band orientation method is mb geostrophic stablity shear analysis slightly worse than to simply using the 1000-500 mb geostrophic shear direction. Other comparisons can be made with the linear theory. Recall that linear theory predicts that the spacing between bands should be related to the depth of the unstable region and to the slope of the isentropes. An order of magnitude for this predicted wavelength can be obtained from a simple scaling analysis. Let H be the depth of the unstable I I I I * Band orientation observed A 1000-500mb geostrophic shear direction X Bond orientation predicted by parcel theory I I I I I 1/11/84 02 12/3/83 0 -- 11/28/83 182 2/12/83 122 - 1/11/83 12E - - 12/20/62t2212/12/82 I8 - 12/11/82 122 - 12/16/81 02 - 12/6/81 02- 12/5/81 12 I 2 0 I 20 I - 40 60 I I I 80 100 120 I 140 160 180 DIRECTION Fig. 11. Comparison of the actual band orientation, the predicted orientation, and the 1000-500 mb geostrophic shear direction for each band case. region. The slope a of the isentropes is given by 30 et= " (3-il . ax Thus the predicted wavelength L can be approximated by L ~ -U. (3 -2) IotI If the thermal is wind' relation used to express the horizontal temperature gradient in terms of the geostrophic wind shear, L can be written in finite difference form as L ~ (3-3) , -6 A H where 4& and AV are evaluated across the level of maximum instability. Multiple cases. The bands observed were wavelength reflectivity factor maps. predicted by Eq. 3.3 observed in was four of measured the from band radar Table 4 shows that the wavelength agrees well with the observed wave- The present linear theory also implies that the bands length in three of the four cases. should not propagate unstable region. the band Figs. along with cross-band wind speed (bandedness). relative The to the 12 a-e show the vertical for level the mean flow in the observed speed of profiles five, bands of the judged observed level 3 3 band cases were chosen for this comparison because they were the easiest to follow in time. Table 4. Case Observed Wavelength (km) Predicted Wavelength (km) 12/12/82 45 56 01/11/83 55 71 11/28/83 01/11/84 115 65 120 164 9k BAND 6 SPEED t /, -/ REGION OF MAXIMUM INSTABILITY 5 V///; j S T C4 3' 2 5 DECEMBER 1981 OL -2 0 S -15 -10 I -5 U (ms-') Fig. 12 a-e. The observed cross-band wind speed (m/s) as a function of height (km) for (a) 12GMT, 5 December 1981, (b) OOGMT, 16 December 1981, (c) 12GMT, 11 January 1983, (d) 12GMT, 12 February 1983, (e) 18GMT, 28 November 1983. 10 9 8 BAND SPEED 7 6 5 LA4 3 16 DECEMBER -10 U (ms~1 ) Fig. 12b 1981 10 9 8 7 6 BAND SPEED 5k REGION OF MAXIM 1 11 JANUARY -20 -15 -10 10 -5 U (ms~') Fig. 12c 1983 15 20 .1 81BAND SPEED .47 71- REGION OF MAXIMUM IT Y I STABIL 3k- 12 FEBRUARY 1983 01 -2 5 I -20 I -15 I -10 U(ms~') Fig. 12d I -5 I 48 BAND SPEED 4 I '3 REGION OF MAXIMUM INS TAB ILIT Y j& w m 26 NOVEMBER Otl -20 1983 i -15 -10 U(ms~') Fig. 12e The region of maximum instability as assessed from the dry Richardson number condition shown hatched. The taken from the sounding nearest is cross-band wind profile is to the band, but not in the band, in order to minimize the influence the of that Note itself. band u positive is defined as toward the warm air. The five bands to corresponding are studied cross-band winds in the at speeds mid-troposphere None of the bands, 5 km height). (between 3 and moving all however, are moving with the cross-band wind in the region of maximum The disagreement is not serious. The altitude instability. where the two speeds match unstable region. is within a kilometer of the It is also evident from the figures that there is substantial shear of the cross-band wind within the unstable layer. this layer. While such shear magnitudes are much less than band-parallel the they km), Shears of 2 to 5 m/s per km are observed in are shears not in these regions The negligible. (13-21 present m/s per linear theoretical model does not include a basic-state cross-band wind that varies with height. The observations suggest that this may be an important addition to the theory. It should be emphasized in the above analyses the basic state. are that the observed winds used assumed to be representative of Recall that it is a cross-band circulation that is associated with the onset of symmetric instability. It is thus possible that some of the observed cross-band wind speed may be due to the band perturbation in which case the above comparison of wind speeds is not meaningful. 3.4 *The geostrophy of the observed wind shear. In all the previous of of assessments the symmetric stability of the atmosphere it was assumed that the observed winds were of representative the geostrophically-balanced In particular, in the Richardson number anal- basic state. was assumed that the observed band-parallel yses, it shear is equal to the geostrophic shear. wind This assumption can be justified only if the band is oriented in the direction of the geostrophic shear and if the shear parallel to the band is equal in magnitude to the geostrophic shear. It was shown in Fig. 7 that the band orientation tends to be close these to the two directions geostrophic Even shear direction. differ by fifteen degrees, if the magni- tude of the band-parallel wind shear will differ by only 4% from the geostrophic wind shear as a result of choosing the wrong Therefore direction. the cross-band temperature gradient can be used to estimate the magnitude of the geostrophic shear. For each band case, two soundings on oppo- site sides of the band were used to estimate the temperature gradient between the two stations. geostrophic wind shear is, az The magnitude of the from the thermal wind relation, feU ax where Ax is the distance between the two stations and AO is the potential temperature difference evaluated at any given height. For five available, cases profiles vertical geostrophic where shears wind the necessary soundings were were plotted of the estimated and also of the band-parallel shears. The band-parallel wind shear is determined from the sounding nearest to that is used the the in This band. single the same is sounding Richardson sounding number analysis. the profiles it was found that in From comparison of many were of regions the Table different. markedly wind band-parallel the atmosphere, in shear the two magnitudes shear lists the average region of maximum 5 instability and the estimated geostrophic wind shear in this region. The agreement is not good. observed wind maximum instability. reassessment substituting shear of is In all five cases, the supergeostrophic stability of region of prompted a the discrepencies These the symmetric in the atmosphere the geostrophic wind shear for the observed. The Richardson number condition of equation 1.3 was used for this reassessment. This can be horizontal temperature gradient as RL= written in terms of the Table 5. Case 12/05/81 12/11/82 Average Band Parallel Wind Shear (m/s/km) 12.5 9.01 Average Estimated Geostrophic Wind Shear (m/s/km) 6.5 4.01 12/20/82 12.4 6.8 01/11/83 11.3 8.7 01/11/84 12.2 5.4 1 Value computed at level of maximum wind shear All other values are computed in the region of maximum instability. Note: There is no region of maximum instability for the case 12/11/82. or equivalently as >f[ oaI1 (3.4-) The quantity on the right-hand side of 3.4 is critical value of the temperature perturbations the gradient for instability. If the observed temperature gradient critical gradient, therefore is greater than this from the geostrophic basic state are theoretically unstable. Vertical profiles of the critical temperature gradient were constructed for each case. was calculated Figures dry using the The static stability nearest sounding to the ae/az band. 13 a-e show these profiles computed for moist and adiabatic cross-band ascent and temperature descent gradient along with estimated the as observed described above. In each case there are regions that are convectively unstable. gradient In can be these regions computed only the for critical dry temperature conditions. The region of maximum instability as previously assessed from a single sounding is indicated on each figure. The regions previously assessed as unstable symmetric overturning are now assessed as stable. to dry Indeed, there are no regions of dry symmetric instability indicated for any of the five cases. Saturated conditions, in general, weaken the stability but except in the convectively unstable regions, the atmosphere is found to be stable or at R.H.(%) 107 5 DECEMBER 1981 9. - 8.-- 55 7.-- -6770 6.: \74. OF77 '/REGON 5. MAXIMUM INSTABILITY 8083 4. - 85- 88 3.- 55- 43 / .. 33 t 57 71 0 -4. i62 . -2. 0. 2 4. 6. 8. A 9(*K/lOOkm) 10. 12. AX Fig. 13 a-e. Cross-band temperature gradient (*K/100km) as a function of height (km) for (a) 12GMT, 5 December 1981, (b) 12GMT 11 December 1982, (c) 12GMT, 20 December 1982, (d) 12GMT 11 January 1983, (e) OOGMT, 11 January 1984. Observed temperature gradient (dashed), critical temperature gradient for dry ascent (dotted), critical temperature gradient for moist ascent (solid). R.H, (%) I DECEMBER 1982 9.- 6ee<<0; 61- 8.- 67 6771 7377 8286 -- 4.- 3.- 98- < 0 97 . 97- .. 88 2. F ..- ---- 19- - - 98 Ile < 0 N N 11e I -4. -2. 0. ~...A 13b 88 77 ~ 2. 4. 6. 8. A@ (*K/100km) --Fig. 93- 10. 12. R.H. (%) -2 0. 2. 4. 6. Ax Fig. 13c (*K/lOOkm) 8. 10. R.H.(%) s6. FUI 5. 0 w m 01 I -2. o. - II*t.~I 2. 6. 4. (*K/OOkm) AX Fig. 13d 8. 10. R.H. (%s) I0. 9. 8 7. 6. - I 5. 4 AD Fig. l3e (*K/QO0km) most neutral to moist symmetric While overturning. the estimate in measuring the observed temperature gradient can be in error by as much as 1*C/lOOkm, it is noteworthy that the estimate obtained never exceeds the critical value. may be that the atmosphere is so efficient in It restoring itself to a stable geostrophic balance that the theoretical instability condition can rarely be observed. However, such a possibility appears entirely observed persistence of these bands. inconsistent with the Conclusions and suggestions for future work This study was undertaken to examine the possible role formation of precipitation of symmetric instability in the Observations from fifteen cases of banded and non- bands. banded precipipation were used for this purpose. research The completed not sufficient to to date is conclude whether or not symmetric instability is responsible for banded precipitation observed in the storms considered The banded observations do agree with cer- in this study. tain aspects of the present linear theory. The bands are embedded in regions of strong shear and are aligned close to the direction of the thermal wind. nine of the eleven band within 15 degrees of both and the actual 1000-500 mb shear direction direction quasi-two-dimensional variations orientation was the at level the of maximum Observations provide evidence that the instability. are shear band cases, the in with thermodynamic In most and occurring in the cross-band direction. bands the horizontal kinematic properties of Finally, the spacing between bands does agree with the predictions of the linear theory. middle Narrow regions of strong band-parallel shear in troposphere, typically having magnitudes of ten the to twenty m/s per km are observed to accompany the occurrence of banded precipitation. Substantial shears of five to ten m/s per km over very deep layers in the atmosphere are also observed when bands occur. The on a two stability analyses used knowledge geostrophic of the direction wind shear. assumed shear as measured the symmetric is geostrophic shear direction. the band-parallel wind the insta- from single soundings was It was state. insofar as choosing the direction is direction of the observed band- geostrophic basic the band-parallel that magnitude for each case, to represent the shown that, and In assessing bility of the atmosphere parallel wind in this study depend concerned, a good approximation to the A much weaker assumption shear is These the geostrophic wind shear. close in magnitude is to two assumptions lead to the conclusion that regions of the atmosphere for each band case are symmetrically unstable. Indications of symmetric instability, however, were in most cases due to the strong shear regions troposphere that were confined to layers kilometer in depth. in the middle approximately one It was noted that symmetric instability is an imbalance that can arise in a geostrophically balanced atmosphere. It is unlikely that such a narrow region of strong shear can correspond to a geostrophic base state, for in that event, small-scale horizontal temperature gradients of a magnitude rarely observed in the atmosphere would have When such gradients are observed, to exist in this region. they are dependent usually associated circulations (e.g. not with a balanced flow. with mid-level ageostrophic, frontogenesis) timeand In section 3, estimates were made of the geostrophic wind shear magnitude in five band cases to see how well they the observed band-parallel wind shear. compare with found that the agreement It soundings. was atmosphere assessed Richardson number shown used to adiabatic were the of the regions of the (using the unstable shear wind observed stability that of it most infinitesimal to When the ascent, the in parts symmetric the stable dry conditions. in many is When the geostrophic shear magnitude assess symmetrically that analysis), indications cases, poor symmetrically as highly ageostrophic. was was It was is stability found the for troposphere the for moist is assessed where regions is under perturbations that five the atmosphere is not convectively unstable are at most neutral to symmetric overturning. Unfortunately, the measurement the of geostrophic basic state in these five studies was only an estimate. poor spatial and temporal used in this study may state conditions. resolution not be of adequate the The sounding data to determine base There are several ways to try to overcome Single and dual Doppler radar can be used to this problem. better determine the basic state wind field surrounding the band. To represent better thermodynamic as well as kinematic features, an instrumented airplane can be used to make passes through the band at various altitudes. solution would be to set up a dropsonde network Another in the Simultaneous soundings could then be vicinity of the band. made with much better spatial and than temporal resolution the standard synoptic scale sounding network. estimates The the observed of component that were of made geostrophic this study suggest in wind shear the not in either that the basic state in which bands form is balance, or that the geostrophic basic state is not easily observed. The observations that the ageostrophic geostrophic of comparable magnitude suggest that using a linearized model to examine and the geostrophic components of stability characteristics are shear the of a geostrophic basic state It cannot be assumed that perturbations is not appropriate. from the geostrophic basic state are small. It has also been pointed out that the present theory does not explain the propagation of the band relative to the mean The flow. which observations a includes suggest wind cross-band that a basic that speed state varies with height may be required in the theoretical models. Linking tion can symmetric have major instability with consequences. prediction of when and where banded precipita- Operationally, bands will form and the in what direction they will move is vital to producing a mesoscale forecast. tant Furthermore, such an instability may have impor- effects Emanuel on the large scale flow. Stone (1972) and (1984) have both suggested that symmetric instabi- lity can momentum. observed in result If appreciable symmetric that bands is instability occur responsible in often so of transports heat and for the extratropical cyclones, the resulting heat and momentum transports should be more transports studied. closely may be necessary A parameterization in the current for such large-scale numerical models. Acknowledgements I am grateful to my advisor Prof. Richard Passarelli for his helpful suggestions, research. I thank ideas, Stephen Garner and support during this for the discussion we had concerning this thesis. to Spiros Geotis and Pauline Austin for many hours of Special thanks go their meticulous review of this thesis and to Isabelle Kole for her expedient drafting of the figures. REFERENCES Conditional symBennetts, D.A., and B.S. Hoskins, 1979: metric instability - a possible explanation for frontal rainbands. Quart.J.Roy.Meteor.Soc., 105, 945-962. 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