Hindawi Publishing Corporation Journal of Applied Mathematics Volume 2012, Article ID 584140, 25 pages doi:10.1155/2012/584140 Research Article Convergence Analysis for the SMC-MeMBer and SMC-CBMeMBer Filters Feng Lian,1 Chen Li,2 Chongzhao Han,1 and Hui Chen1 1 Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Intelligent Networks and Network Security (MOE KLINNS), School of Electronics and Information Engineering, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China 2 Software Engineering School, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China Correspondence should be addressed to Feng Lian, lianfeng1981@gmail.com Received 27 February 2012; Revised 15 May 2012; Accepted 22 May 2012 Academic Editor: Qiang Ling Copyright q 2012 Feng Lian et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. The convergence for the sequential Monte Carlo SMC implementations of the multitarget multiBernoulli MeMBer filter and cardinality-balanced MeMBer CBMeMBer filters is studied here. This paper proves that the SMC-MeMBer and SMC-CBMeMBer filters, respectively, converge to the true MeMBer and CBMeMBer filters in the mean-square sense and the corresponding bounds for the mean-square errors are given. The significance of this paper is in theory to present the convergence results of the SMC-MeMBer and SMC-CBMeMBer filters and the conditions under which the two filters satisfy mean-square convergence. 1. Introduction Recently, the random finite-set- RFS- based multitarget tracking MTT approaches 1 have attracted extensive attention. Although theoretically solid, the RFS-based approaches usually involve intractable computations. By introducing the finite-set statistics FISSTs 2, Mahler developed the probability hypothesis density PHD 3, and cardinalized PHD CPHD 4 filters, which have been shown to be a computationally tractable alternative to full multitarget Bayes filters in the RFS framework. The sequential Monte Carlo SMC implementations for the PHD and CPHD filters were devised by Zajic and Mahler 5, Sidenbladh 6, and Vo et al. 7. Vo et al. 8, 9 devised the Gaussian mixture GM implementation for the PHD and CPHD filters under the linear, Gaussian assumption on target dynamics, birth process, and sensor model. However, the SMC-PHD and SMC-CPHD approaches require clustering to extract state estimates from the particle population, which is expensive and unreliable 10, 11. In 2007, Mahler proposed the multitarget multi-Bernoulli MeMBer 2 recursion, which is an approximation to the full multitarget Bayes recursion using multi-Bernoulli 2 Journal of Applied Mathematics RFSs under low clutter density scenarios. In 2009, Vo et al. showed that the MeMBer filter overestimates the number of targets and proposed a cardinality-balanced MeMBer CBMeMBer filter 12 to reduce the cardinality bias. Then, the SMC and GM implementations for the MeMBer and CBMeMBer filters were, respectively, proposed in nonlinear and linearGaussian dynamic and measurement models. The key advantage of this approach is that the multi-Bernoulli representation allows reliable and inexpensive extraction of state estimates. The Monte Carlo simulations given by Vo et al. showed that the SMC-CBMeMBer filter outperforms the SMC-CPHD and hence SMC-PHD filter despite having smaller complexity under certain range of signal settings. Although the convergence results for the SMC-PHD and GM-PHD filters were established by Clark and Bell 13 in 2006 and by Clark and Vo 14 in 2007, respectively, there have been no results showing the asymptotic convergence for the SMC-MeMBer and SMCCBMeMBer filters. This paper demonstrates the mean-square convergence of the errors 15– 17 for the two filters. In other words, given simple sufficient conditions, the approximation error of the multi-Bernoulli parameter set comprised of a set of weighted samples is proved to converge to zero as the number of the samples tends to infinity at each stage of the two algorithms. In addition, the corresponding bounds for the mean-square errors are obtained. 2. MeMBer and CBMeMBer Filters A Bernoulli RFS Y i has probability 1 − r i of being empty, and probability r i 0 ≤ r i ≤ 1 of being a singleton whose only element is distributed according to a probability density pi . The probability density of Y i is π Y i i 1−r i i r p yi Y i ∅, Y i {yi }. 2.1 A multi-Bernoulli RFS Y is a union of a fixed number of independent Bernoulli RFSs i described by the multi-Bernoulli Y , i 1, . . . , M, that is, Y M i1 Y . Y is thus completely i i M i and the probability density parameter set {r , p }i1 with the mean cardinality M i1 r 2: i πY M j1 1−r j n r ij pij y j 1≤i1 / ··· / in ≤M j1 1 − r ij . 2.2 Throughout this paper, we abbreviate a probability density of the form 2.2 by π M {r , pi }i1 . By approximating the multitarget RFS as a multi-Bernoulli RFS at each time step, Mahler proposed the MeMBer recursion, which propagated the multi-Bernoulli parameters of the posterior multitarget density forward in time 2. The MeMBer filter is summarized as follows. i Journal of Applied Mathematics 3 MeMBer Prediction If at time k − 1, the posterior multitarget density is a multi-Bernoulli of the form πk−1 i i k−1 {rk−1 , pk−1 }M i1 , then the predicted multitarget density is also a multi-Bernoulli and is given by πk|k−1 i i i i rP,k|k−1 , pP,k|k−1 Mk−1 MΓ,k i i rΓ,k , pΓ,k , i1 2.3 i1 M where {rΓ,k , pΓ,k }i1Γ,k are the parameters of the multi-Bernoulli RFS of births at time k: i i i rP,k|k−1 rk−1 pk−1 , pS,k , i pP,k|k−1 xk i 1, . . . , Mk−1 , i fk|k−1 xk | ·, pk−1 pS,k , i pk−1 , pS,k 2.4 i 1, . . . , Mk−1 . 2.5 MeMBer Update If at time k, the predicted multitarget density is a multi-Bernoulli of the form πk|k−1 M i i {rk|k−1 , pk|k−1 }i1k|k−1 ; then the posterior multitarget density can be approximated by a multiBernoulli as follows: πk ≈ where, i rL,k i i rL,k , pL,k Mk|k−1 i1 rU,k zk , pU,k ·; zk i 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k i rk|k−1 , i i 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k i i pL,k xk pk|k−1 xk rU,k zk κk zk Mk|k−1 i1 M k|k−1 i rα,k zk i1 i i rα,k zk i rα,k zk , zk ∈ Zk , 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 zk ∈ Zk , 2.10 i 1, . . . , Mk|k−1 , 2.11 i rk|k−1 pk|k−1 xk ψk,zk xk , i i 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k i pα,k xk ; zk , 1 , i 1, . . . , Mk|k−1 , M k|k−1 1 i pα,k xk ; zk , pU,k xk ; zk M k|k−1 i rα,k zk i1 i1 i pα,k xk ; zk zk ∈Zk i 1, . . . , Mk|k−1 , 1 − pD,k xk , i 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k 1 i i rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , ψk,zk , i i 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k i 1, . . . , Mk|k−1 . 2.12 4 Journal of Applied Mathematics By correcting the cardinality bias in the rU,k zk of the MeMBer update step, Vo et al. proposed the CBMeMBer filter 12. The CBMeMBer recursions are the same as the MeMBer recursions except the update of rU,k zk , which is revised as ∗ rU,k zk κk zk 1 Mk|k−1 i1 M k|k−1 i rα,k zk i1 i i 1 − rk|k−1 rα,k zk . i i 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k 2.13 Note that not 38 in 12 but 2.10 in our paper is used in the CBMeMBer update step here. The reasons are 1 the 38 in 12 and the 2.10 in our paper are both the i approximations of 36 in 12 under the same assumption pk|k−1 , pD,k ≈ 1, but the latter i is more precise than former; 2 the 38 in 12 is unbounded at rk|k−1 1 while 2.10 in our i 1. paper is bounded at rk|k−1 1 as long as pD,k xk / i i i k For the multi-Bernoulli representation πk {rk , pk }M i1 , the probability rk indicates i how likely the ith hypothesized track is a true track, and the posterior density pk describes k i the distribution of the estimated current state of the track. Hence, M i1 rk denotes the multitarget number and the multitarget state estimate can be obtained by choosing the means or modes from the posterior densities of the hypothesized tracks with existence probabilities exceeding a given threshold. 3. SMC-MeMBer and SMC-CBMeMBer Filters The SMC implementations of the MeMBer and CBMeMBer recursions are summarized as follows. SMC-MeMBer and SMC-CBMeMBer Predictions i i,L Suppose that at time k − 1 the multi-Bernoulli posterior multitarget density πk−1 {rk−1 k−1 , i i i,L i,L k−1 pk−1 k−1 }M is given and each pk−1 k−1 , i 1, . . . , Mk−1 , is comprised of a set of weighted i1 i,j i i,j L k−1 samples {ωk−1 , xk−1 }j1 : i i i,L pk−1 k−1 xk Lk−1 j1 i,j k−1 i,j i 3.1 i 1, . . . , Mk−1 . ωk−1 δxi,j xk , i Then, given proposal densities qk · | xk−1 , Zk and bk · | Zk , the predicted multii i,L i i,L i i,Lk−1 rP,k|k−1 i i,L rk−1 k−1 i i,Lk−1 pk−1 , pS,k , i i,LΓ,k k−1 k−1 k−1 , pP,k|k−1 }M Bernoulli multitarget density πk|k−1 {rP,k|k−1 i1 ∪ {rΓ,k computed as follows: i 1, . . . , Mk−1 , i i,LΓ,k , pΓ,k M }i1Γ,k can be 3.2 Journal of Applied Mathematics 5 i i i,Lk−1 pP,k|k−1 xk Lk−1 j1 i,j ω P,k|k−1 δxi,j xk , i 1, . . . , Mk−1 , P,k|k−1 3.3 i i i,LΓ,k pΓ,k i i,LΓ,k where rΓ,k i,j i,j LΓ,k i,j ω Γ,k δxi,j xk , xk i 1, . . . , MΓ,k , Γ,k j1 i,j i,j i 1, . . . , MΓ,k is given by birth model; xP,k|k−1 , ω P,k|k−1 i 1, . . . , Mk−1 and xΓ,k , ω Γ,k i 1, . . . , MΓ,k are, respectively, given by i,j i xP,k|k−1 ∼ qk i,j · | xk−1 , Zk , i,j i j 1, . . . , Lk−1 , i,j ω P,k|k−1 1 Li k−1 i xΓ,k ∼ bk · | Zk , i j 1, . . . , LΓ,k , i,j i,j ωP,k|k−1 , ωP,k|k−1 i,j i,j i,j i,j ωk−1 fk|k−1 xP,k|k−1 | xk−1 pS,k xk−1 , i,j i,j i qk xP,k|k−1 | xk−1 , Zk j1 i,j ωP,k|k−1 i,j ω Γ,k 1 Li Γ,k j1 i,j i,j ωΓ,k , i,j ωΓ,k ωΓ,k 3.4 3.5 i j 1, . . . , Lk−1 , i,j pΓ,k xΓ,k i,j , i bk xΓ,k | Zk i j 1, . . . , LΓ,k . 3.6 SMC-MeMBer and SMC-CBMeMBer Updates i i,L Suppose that at time k the predicted multi-Bernoulli multitarget density πk|k−1 {rk|k−1k|k−1 , i i,L i i,L M pk|k−1k|k−1 }i1k|k−1 is given and each pk|k−1k|k−1 , i 1, . . . , Mk|k−1 , is comprised of a set of weighted i,j i L i,j k|k−1 samples {ωk|k−1 , xk|k−1 }j1 : i Lk|k−1 i i,Lk|k−1 pk|k−1 xk j1 i,j 3.7 i 1, . . . , Mk|k−1 . ωk|k−1 δxi,j xk , k|k−1 Then, the multi-Bernoulli approximation of the SMC-MeMBer-updated multitarget i i,Lk|k−1 density πk ≈ {rL,k i i,Lk|k−1 , pL,k i i i,Lk|k−1 updated multitarget density πk∗ ≈ {rL,k can be computed as follows: i i,Lk|k−1 rL,k i L M L k|k−1 k|k−1 }i1k|k−1 ∪ {rU,k zk , pU,k ·; zk }zk ∈Zk and SMC-CBMeMBeri i,Lk|k−1 , pL,k M i ∗,L i L k|k−1 }i1k|k−1 ∪ {rU,kk|k−1 zk , pU,k ·; zk }zk ∈Zk i i,Lk|k−1 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k i i,L rk|k−1k|k−1 , i i i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k i 1, . . . , Mk|k−1 , 3.8 6 Journal of Applied Mathematics i i i,Lk|k−1 pL,k Lk|k−1 xk j1 i,j xk|k−1 1 − p D,k i,j ωk|k−1 δxi,j xk , i k|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k i i ∗,Lk|k−1 rU,k M k|k−1 1 L k|k−1 rU,k zk κk zk Mk|k−1 i1 zk κk zk × M k|k−1 i1 i rα,k 1 Mk|k−1 i1 Mk|k−1 i1 zk i i1 i,Lk|k−1 rα,k i i,Lk|k−1 rα,k zk , M k|k−1 i i,Lk|k−1 rα,k zk i1 zk ∈ Zk , 3.9 3.10 zk i i i,L i,L 1 − rk|k−1k|k−1 rα,k k|k−1 zk , i i i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k 1 L k|k−1 pU,k xk ; zk i i,Lk|k−1 i 1, . . . , Mk|k−1 , i i,Lk|k−1 pα,k 3.11 zk ∈ Zk , xk ; zk , zk ∈ Zk , 3.12 where, i i,Lk|k−1 pα,k i i,j i i,j i,Lk|k−1 ωk|k−1 rk|k−1 ψk,zk xk|k−1 xk ; zk δxi,j xk , i i k|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 j1 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k Lk|k−1 i i,Lk|k−1 rα,k zk i 1, . . . , Mk|k−1 , 3.13 i i,L pα,k k|k−1 xk ; zk , 1 i i i,L i,L rk|k−1k|k−1 pk|k−1k|k−1 , ψk,zk , i i i,L i,L 1 − rk|k−1k|k−1 pk|k−1k|k−1 , pD,k 3.14 i 1, . . . , Mk|k−1 . Resampling To reduce the effect of degeneracy, we resample the particles for the multi-Bernoulli parameter set after the update step. 4. Convergence of the Mean-Square Errors for the SMC-MeMBer and SMC-CBMeMBer Filters To show the convergence results for the SMC-MeMBer and SMC-CBMeMBer filters, certain conditions on the functions need to be met: 1 the transition kernel fk|k−1 xk | xk−1 satisfies the Feller property 18, that is, for all ϕ ∈ Cb Rd , ϕxk−1 φk|k−1 xk | xk−1 dxk−1 ∈ Cb Rd ; Journal of Applied Mathematics 7 2 single-sensor/target likelihood density ψk,zk xk ∈ BRd ; i 3 Qk are rational-valued random variables such that there exists p > 1, some constant C, and α < p − 1 so that N p p i i i Qk − Nωk q ≤ CN α q , E i1 with N i1 i 4.1 Qk N for all vectors q q1 , . . . , qN ; 4 the importance sampling ratios are bounded, that is, there exists constants B1 and i i i B2 such that pΓ,k /bk ≤ B1 , i 1, . . . , MΓ,k , and fk|k−1 /qk ≤ B2 , i 1, . . . , Mk−1 ; 5 the resampling strategy is multinomial and hence unbiased 19. First, the convergence of the mean-square errors for the initialization steps of the two filters can easily be established by Lemma 0 in 13. Assuming that at time k 0, we can i sample exactly from the initial distribution p0 i 1, . . . , M0 . Then, for all ϕ ∈ BRd , 2 i c0 i,L0 i ≤ i , i 1, . . . , M0 , E r0 − r0 L0 2 i 2 d0 i,L i ≤ ϕ i , i 1, . . . , M0 E p0 0 , ϕ − p 0 , ϕ L0 4.2 i hold for some real numbers c0 > 0 and d0 > 0 which are independent of the number L0 of the sampled particles at time k 0, i 1, . . . , M0 . Also, the convergence of the mean-square errors for the resampling steps of the two filters can easily be established by Assumption 5 and Lemma 5 in 19. The main difficulty and greatest challenge is to prove the mean-square convergence for the prediction steps and update steps of the two filters. They are, respectively, established by Propositions 4.1 and 4.2. Proposition 4.1. Suppose that, for all ϕ ∈ BRd , i i,L rk−1 k−1 2 ≤ ck−1 , i 1, . . . , Mk−1 , i Lk−1 2 i 2 dk−1 i,Lk−1 i ≤ ϕ i , i 1, . . . , Mk−1 , E pk−1 , ϕ − pk−1 , ϕ Lk−1 E − i rk−1 4.3 4.4 i hold for some real numbers ck−1 > 0 and dk−1 > 0 which are independent of the number Lk−1 of the resampled particles at time k − 1, i 1, . . . , Mk−1 . 8 Journal of Applied Mathematics Then, after the prediction steps of the SMC-MeMBer and SMC-CBMeMBer filters at time k: 2 i cP,k|k−1 i,Lk−1 i , i 1, . . . , Mk−1 , E rP,k|k−1 − rP,k|k−1 ≤ 4.5 i Lk−1 2 i 2 dP,k|k−1 i,Lk−1 i ≤ ϕ E , i 1, . . . , Mk−1 , pP,k|k−1 , ϕ − pP,k|k−1 , ϕ 4.6 i Lk−1 i 2 2 dΓ,k i,LΓ,k i ≤ ϕ i , i 1, . . . , MΓ,k , E pΓ,k|k−1 , ϕ − pΓ,k|k−1 , ϕ 4.7 LΓ,k hold for a constant dΓ,k > 0 and some real numbers cP,k|k−1 > 0 and dP,k|k−1 > 0 which are i independent of Lk−1 , i 1, . . . , Mk−1 . cP,k|k−1 and dP,k|k−1 are defined by A.8 and A.18, respectively. The proof of Proposition 4.1 can be found in Appendix A.1. Proposition 4.2. Suppose that, for all ϕ ∈ BRd , i i,Lk|k−1 2 ≤ ck|k−1 , i 1, . . . , Mk|k−1 , i Lk|k−1 i 2 2 dk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 i ≤ ϕ i , i 1, . . . , Mk|k−1 E pk|k−1 , ϕ − pk|k−1 , ϕ Lk|k−1 E rk|k−1 − i rk|k−1 4.8 4.9 i hold for some real numbers ck|k−1 > 0 and dk|k−1 > 0 which are independent of the number Lk|k−1 of the predicted particles, i 1, . . . , Mk|k−1 . Then, after the update steps of the SMC-MeMBer and SMC-CBMeMBer filters at time k: 2 i i,Lk|k−1 cL,k i ≤ i , i 1, . . . , Mk|k−1 , E rL,k − rL,k Lk|k−1 i 2 2 dL,k i,Lk|k−1 i ≤ ϕ i , i 1, . . . , Mk|k−1 , , ϕ − pL,k , ϕ E pL,k Lk|k−1 2 i Lk|k−1 cU,k ≤ min , zk ∈ Zk , E rU,k zk − rU,k zk Lk|k−1 2 ∗ i cU,k ∗,Lk|k−1 ∗ ≤ min , zk ∈ Zk , E rU,k zk − rU,k zk Lk|k−1 i 2 dU,k 2 Lk|k−1 ≤ ϕ min , zk ∈ Zk E pU,k ·; zk , ϕ − pU,k ·; zk , ϕ Lk|k−1 4.10 4.11 4.12 4.13 4.14 Journal of Applied Mathematics 9 ∗ > 0, and dU,k > 0, which are independent hold for some real numbers cL,k > 0, dL,k > 0, cU,k > 0, cU,k i ∗ of Lk|k−1 . cL,k , dL,k , cU,k , cU,k and dU,k are defined by A.29, A.35, A.47, A.55, and A.61, 1 M k|k−1 ∗ respectively. Lmin minLk|k−1 , . . . , Lk|k−1 , min· denotes the minimum. In addition, cU,k , cU,k , k|k−1 and dU,k depend on the number of targets and decrease with the increase of the target number. From i ∗,L ∗ A.47 and A.55, it can also be seen that cU,k ≥ cU,k . It indicates that rU,kk|k−1 zk may need more i L k|k−1 particles than rU,k zk to achieve the same mean-square error bound. The proof of the Proposition 4.2 can be found in Appendix A.2. Propositions 4.1 and 4.2 show that the bounds for the mean-square error of the SMCMeMBer and SMC-CBMeMBer prediction steps and update steps at each stage depend on the number of particles. The mean-square errors tend to zero as the number of particles tends to infinity. The bounds for the mean-square errors of these quantities are inversely proportional to the corresponding particle number. Moreover, from the proofs of Propositions 4.1 and 4.2, it can be seen that 1 Assumptions 1, 3, and 4 ensure that 4.6 holds; 2 Assumption 4 ensures that 4.7 holds; 3 Assumption 2 ensures that 4.12, 4.13, and 4.14 hold; 4 Assumption 5 ensures the convergence of the mean-square errors for the resampling steps of the two filters. Assumptions 3, 4, and 5 are concerned with the SMC method. They can be satisfied as long as the appropriate sampling strategies are chosen. Assumptions 1 and 2 are concerned with the likelihood and target transition kernel. They may be too restrictive or unrealistic for some practical applications. However, these convergence results give justification to the SMC implementations of the MeMBer and CBMeMBer filters and show how the order of the mean-square errors are reduced as the number of particles increases. 5. Simulations Here, we briefly describe the application of the convergence results for the SMC-CBMeMBer filter to the nonlinear MTT example presented in Example 1 of 12. The experiment settings i are the same as those of Example 1 except that the number of the particles Lk used for each i hypothesized track at time k. For convenience, we assume Lk L. Assumptions 1–5 are satisfied in this example. So, the SMC-CBMeMBer filter converges to the ground truth in the mean-square sense. For the SMC-CBMeMBer filter, the estimates of the multitarget number and states, which are derived from the particle multi-Bernoulli parameter set, are unbiased. Therefore, via comparing the tracking performance of the algorithm in the various particle number L, the convergence results for the SMC-CBMeMBer filter can be verified to a great extent. The standard deviation of the estimated cardinality distribution and the optimal subpattern assignment OSPA multitarget miss-distance 20 of order p 2 with cut-off c 100 m, which jointly captures differences in cardinality and individual elements between two finite sets, are used to evaluate the performance of the method. Table 1 shows the timeaveraged standard deviation of the estimated cardinality distribution and the time-averaged OSPA in various L via 200 MC simulation experiments. 10 Journal of Applied Mathematics Table 1: Time-averaged standard deviation of the estimated cardinality distribution and time-averaged OSPA m in various L. Particle number L Time-averaged standard deviation of the estimated cardinality distribution from the SMC-CBMeMBer filter OSPA m from the SMC-CBMeMBer filter 100 500 1000 1500 2000 2.69 2.03 1.48 1.23 1.04 65.2 51.9 42.3 34.8 27.7 Table 1 shows that both the standard deviation of the estimated cardinality distribution and OSPA decrease with the increase of the particle number L. This phenomenon can be reasonably explained by the convergence results derived in this paper: first, the mean-square error of the particle multi-Bernoulli parameter set decreases as the number of the particles increases; then, the more precise estimates of the cardinality distribution and multitarget states can be derived from the more precise particle multi-Bernoulli parameter set, which eventually leads to the results presented in Table 1. 6. Conclusions and Future Work This paper presents the mathematical proofs of the convergence for the SMC-MeMBer and SMC-CBMeMBer filters and gives the bounds for the mean-square errors. In the linearGaussian condition, Vo et al. presented the analytic solutions to the MeMBer and CBMeMBer recursions: GM-MeMBer and GM-CBMeMBer filters 12. The future work is focused on studying the convergence results and error bounds for the two filters. Appendix A. In deriving the proofs, we use the Minkowski inequality, which states that, for any two random variables X and Y in L2 , 1/2 1/2 1/2 A.1 E X Y 2 ≤ E X2 E X2 . Using Minkowski’s inequality, we obtain that, for all ϕ ∈ BRd , E i r i,L E ≤E r 2 !1/2 i pi,L , ϕ − r i pi , ϕ i,Li p i,Li 2 !1/2 i i , ϕ − r i pi,L , ϕ r i pi,L , ϕ − r i pi , ϕ 2 !1/2 2 2 !1/2 i i i pi,L , ϕ r i,L − r i r i E pi,L , ϕ − pi , ϕ 2 !1/2 2 !1/2 i i ≤ ϕE r i,L − r i r i E pi,L , ϕ − pi , ϕ A.2 A.3 A.4 holds, i 1, . . . , M, for the multi-Bernoulli density π {r i , pi }M i1 and its particle approxi i i imation π L {r i,L , pi,L }M . i1 Journal of Applied Mathematics 11 A.1. Proof of Proposition 4.1 We first prove 4.5. From 2.4 and 3.2, we have 2 1/2 2 1/2 i i i i,Lk−1 i,Lk−1 i,Lk−1 i i i E rk−1 E rP,k|k−1 − rP,k|k−1 pk−1 , pS,k − rk−1 pk−1 , pS,k A.5 by A.4 ≤ pS,k E i i,L rk−1 k−1 − i rk−1 2 1/2 i rk−1 E i i,L pk−1 k−1 , pS,k − i pk−1 , pS,k 2 1/2 A.6 i by 4.3, 4.4, and 0 ≤ rk−1 ≤ 1 " √ ck−1 dk−1 ≤ pS,k . # i Lk−1 A.7 2 " 2 √ cP,k|k−1 pS,k ck−1 dk−1 . A.8 So that 4.5 is proved with Now turn to 4.6. From 2.5, we have E i i,Lk−1 ,ϕ pP,k|k−1 − 2 1/2 i pP,k|k−1 , ϕ +⎞2 ⎤1/2 * fk|k−1 , pi pS,k i k−1 ⎟⎥ ⎢⎜ i,Lk−1 E⎣⎝ pP,k|k−1 ,ϕ − ,ϕ ⎠ ⎦ i pk−1 , pS,k ⎡⎛ A.9 adding and subtracting a new term i * fk|k−1 , pi,Lk−1 pS,k + k−1 ⎢⎜ i,Li k−1 ⎜ E⎢ ,ϕ i ⎣⎝ pP,k|k−1 , ϕ − i,Lk−1 pk−1 , pS,k ⎡⎛ * i i,L fk|k−1 , pk−1 k−1 pS,k i i,L pk−1 k−1 , pS,k * + ,ϕ − i fk|k−1 , pk−1 pS,k i pk−1 , pS,k ⎞2 ⎤1/2 + ⎟⎥ ⎥ ,ϕ ⎟ ⎠⎥ ⎦ A.10 12 Journal of Applied Mathematics using Minkowski’s inequality ⎡⎛ ⎞2 ⎤1/2 i * fk|k−1 , pi,Lk−1 pS,k + ⎢⎜ i,Li k−1 ⎟ ⎥ ⎥ ⎢ k−1 ≤ E⎢⎜ pP,k|k−1 ,ϕ − ,ϕ ⎟ i ⎝ ⎠ ⎥ ⎦ ⎣ i,Lk−1 pk−1 , pS,k ⎡⎛ ⎞2 ⎤ 1/2 i i,Lk−1 i , p , ϕ p f S,k k|k−1 ⎢⎜ k−1 pk−1 , pS,k fk|k−1 , ϕ ⎟ ⎥ ⎢ ⎟⎥ . E⎢⎜ − i ⎝ ⎠⎥ i ⎦ ⎣ i,Lk−1 pk−1 , pS,k pk−1 , pS,k A.11 By Assumption 3 and Lemma 1 in 13, we easily obtain that the first term in A.11 becomes ⎡⎛ ⎞2 ⎤1/2 i i,Lk−1 * + fk|k−1 , pk−1 pS,k ⎢⎜ i,Li ⎟ ⎥ ⎢ k−1 ⎟ ⎥ E⎢⎜ p , ϕ − , ϕ i ⎠ ⎥ ⎦ ⎣⎝ P,k|k−1 i,Lk−1 pk−1 , pS,k ⎛ ⎞1/2 2 ϕ ⎜ fk|k−1 pS,k 2 ⎟ fk|k−1 pS,k ⎠ ≤# ⎝ i i Lk−1 qk A.12 i since fk|k−1 /qk ≤ B2 by Assumption 4 and fk|k−1 pS,k ∈ Cb Rd by Assumption 1 ϕ 1/2 pS,k 2 B2 fk|k−1 pS,k 2 . ≤# 2 i Lk−1 Adding and subtracting a new term in the second term of A.11, we have ⎡⎛ ⎤1/2 i ⎞2 i,Lk−1 i ⎢⎜ pk−1 , pS,k fk|k−1 , ϕ pk−1 , pS,k fk|k−1 , ϕ ⎟ ⎥ ⎢ ⎟ ⎥ E⎢⎜ − i ⎠ ⎥ i ⎣⎝ ⎦ i,Lk−1 pk−1 , pS,k pk−1 , pS,k A.13 Journal of Applied Mathematics ⎡⎛ i i i,L i,L pk−1 k−1 , pS,k fk|k−1 , ϕ pk−1 k−1 , pS,k fk|k−1 , ϕ ⎢⎜ ⎜ E⎢ − i ⎣⎝ i i,Lk−1 p , p S,k pk−1 , pS,k k−1 i,L pk−1 k−1 , pS,k fk|k−1 , ϕ i i pk−1 , pS,k 13 ⎞2 ⎤1/2 i pk−1 , pS,k fk|k−1 , ϕ ⎟ ⎥ ⎟ ⎥ − ⎠ ⎥ i ⎦ pk−1 , pS,k A.14 using Minkowski’s inequality ⎡⎛ ⎞2 ⎤1/2 i i,Lk−1 , p , ϕ p f S,k k|k−1 ⎢⎜ k−1 i ⎟ ⎥ 1 i,L ⎢ i ⎟ ⎥ ≤ pk−1 , pS,k − pk−1 k−1 , pS,k E⎢⎜ i ⎠ ⎥ ⎝ i ⎦ ⎣ i,Lk−1 pk−1 , pS,k pk−1 , pS,k 1 i pk−1 , pS,k A.15 1/2 i 2 i,Lk−1 i pk−1 , pS,k fk|k−1 , ϕ − pk−1 , pS,k fk|k−1 , ϕ E 2 1/2 i,Li fk|k−1 , ϕ i k−1 ≤2 pk−1 , pS,k − pk−1 , pS,k E i pk−1 , pS,k A.16 by 4.4 2 ϕ · pS,k 3 3 dk−1 ≤2 4 i , inf pS,k Lk−1 A.17 where inf· denotes the infimum. Finally, substituting A.12 and A.17 into A.11, 4.6 is proved with dP,k|k−1 62 5# " 2 2 2 2pS,k dk−1 . pS,k B2 fk|k−1 pS,k infpS,k i A.18 i Now, turn to 4.7. By Lemma 0 in 13 and the boundedness of pΓ,k /bk ≤ B1 i 1, . . . , Mk−1 in Assumption 4, we get that 4.7 holds for a constant dΓ,k . This completes the proof. 14 Journal of Applied Mathematics A.2. Proof of Proposition 4.2 Now turn to 4.10. From 2.7 and 3.8, we have E i rL,k i i,Lk|k−1 − rL,k 2 1/2 ⎞2 ⎤1/2 i i,Lk|k−1 1 − p , p D,k i ⎟ ⎥ ⎢⎜ 1− k|k−1 i,L ⎟ ⎥ ⎢⎜ i E⎢⎜rk|k−1 − rk|k−1k|k−1 ⎟ ⎥ i i i i ⎠ ⎦ ⎣⎝ i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k ⎡⎛ i pk|k−1 , pD,k A.19 adding and subtracting a new term ⎡⎛ ⎞2 ⎤1/2 i i,Lk|k−1 i 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k ⎢⎜ i 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k ⎟ ⎥ i,L ⎢⎜ i ⎟ ⎥ ⎢⎜ rk|k−1 − rk|k−1k|k−1 ⎟ ⎥ i i i i ⎢⎜ ⎟ ⎥ 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k ⎢⎜ ⎟ ⎥ ⎢⎜ ⎟ ⎥ i i A.20 E⎢⎜ i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 ⎟ ⎥ ⎢⎜ ⎟ ⎥ 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k i ⎢⎜ i,Li 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k ⎥ ⎟ ⎥ i,L ⎢⎜r k|k−1 − rk|k−1k|k−1 ⎢⎝ k|k−1 ⎟ i i ⎠ ⎥ i i i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 ⎣ ⎦ 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k using Minkowski’s inequality 2 1/2 i i i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 i i E rk|k−1 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k − rk|k−1 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k ≤ i i 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k ⎞2 ⎤1/2 i i i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k i ⎟ ⎥ ⎢⎜ i,Li 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k i,L ⎟ ⎥ ⎢⎜ E⎢⎜rk|k−1k|k−1 − rk|k−1k|k−1 ⎟ ⎥ . i i i i ⎠ ⎦ ⎣⎝ i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k 1−r ,p p ⎡⎛ k|k−1 k|k−1 D,k A.21 The numerator of the first term in A.21 is E i rk|k−1 1− i pk|k−1 , pD,k i i,Lk|k−1 − rk|k−1 2 1/2 i i,Lk|k−1 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k i i i 2 1/2 i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 i i i E rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k rk|k−1 − rk|k−1 A.22 Journal of Applied Mathematics 15 using Minkowski’s inequality and then A.4 ≤E i i,Lk|k−1 i rk|k−1 2 1/2 − rk|k−1 pD,k E i rk|k−1 i i,Lk|k−1 2 1/2 − rk|k−1 A.23 i 2 1/2 i,Lk|k−1 i i rk|k−1 E pk|k−1 , pD,k − pk|k−1 , pD,k by 4.8 and 4.9 √ # i 1 pD,k ck|k−1 rk|k−1 pD,k dk|k−1 ≤ . # i Lk|k−1 A.24 The second term in A.21 is ⎞2 ⎤1/2 i i i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k i ⎟ ⎥ ⎢⎜ i,Li 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k i,L ⎟ ⎥ ⎢⎜ E⎢⎜rk|k−1k|k−1 − rk|k−1k|k−1 ⎟ ⎥ i i i i ⎠ ⎦ ⎣⎝ i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k 1−r ,p p ⎡⎛ k|k−1 k|k−1 D,k ⎞2 i i,Lk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k ⎟ ⎢⎜ rk|k−1 − rk|k−1 ⎟ ⎢⎜ E⎢⎜ ⎟ i i ⎠ ⎣⎝ i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k ⎡⎛ i i i,Lk|k−1 ⎛ i ⎜ rk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 ×⎜ ⎝ i pk|k−1 , pD,k i i,Lk|k−1 A.25 i i,Lk|k−1 ⎞2 ⎤1/2 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k ⎟ ⎥ ⎟⎥ ⎠⎦ i i 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k i i,L by 0 ≤ rk|k−1k|k−1 ≤ 1 2 1/2 i i i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 i i E rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k ≤ 1− i rk|k−1 i pk|k−1 , pD,k A.26 by A.4, 4.8 and 4.9 # pD,k √ck|k−1 r i pD,k dk|k−1 k|k−1 . ≤ # i i i 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k Lk|k−1 A.27 16 Journal of Applied Mathematics i Substituting A.24 and A.27 into A.21, and then using 0 ≤ rk|k−1 ≤ 1, we get E i rL,k i i,Lk|k−1 − rL,k 2 1/2 √ # i 1 2pD,k ck|k−1 2rk|k−1 pD,k dk|k−1 ≤ # i i i 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k Lk|k−1 A.28 √ # 1 2pD,k ck|k−1 2pD,k dk|k−1 ≤ . # i 1 − pD,k Lk|k−1 Finally, 4.10 is proved with ⎞2 # pD,k √ck|k−1 2pD,k dk|k−1 1 2 ⎟ ⎜ ⎝ ⎠. 1 − pD,k ⎛ cL,k A.29 Now turn to 4.11. From 2.8 and 3.9, we have E i pL,k , ϕ 2 1/2 i i,Lk|k−1 − pL,k ,ϕ ⎡⎛ i ⎢⎜ pk|k−1 , ϕ 1 − pD,k ⎢⎜ E⎢⎜ − ⎣⎝ 1 − pi , p k|k−1 D,k ⎞2 ⎤1/2 i i,L pk|k−1k|k−1 , ϕ 1 − pD,k ⎟ ⎥ ⎟ ⎥ ⎟ ⎥ i ⎠ ⎦ i,Lk|k−1 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k A.30 adding and subtracting a new term ⎡⎛ i pk|k−1 , ϕ 1 ⎢⎜ − pD,k ⎢⎜ E⎢⎜ ⎣⎝ 1 − pi , p k|k−1 D,k i i,L pk|k−1k|k−1 , ϕ 1 − pD,k − i 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k ⎞2 ⎤1/2 i i i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 pk|k−1 , ϕ 1 − pD,k pk|k−1 , ϕ 1 − pD,k ⎟ ⎥ ⎟⎥ − ⎟⎥ i i ⎠⎦ i,Lk|k−1 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k A.31 Journal of Applied Mathematics 17 using Minkowski’s inequality E i pk|k−1 , ϕ 1 − pD,k ≤ 1/2 i 2 i,Lk|k−1 − pk|k−1 , ϕ 1 − pD,k i 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k ⎡⎛ ⎢⎜ ⎢⎜ E⎢⎜ ⎣⎝ E ⎞2 ⎤1/2 ⎞2 ⎛ i,Li i k|k−1 − p p , p , p D,k ⎟ ⎥ ⎟ ⎜ k|k−1 D,k k|k−1 ⎟ ⎥ ⎟ ⎜ ⎟ ⎥ ⎟ ·⎜ i ⎠ ⎦ ⎠ ⎝ 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k pk|k−1 , ϕ 1 − pD,k i i,L 1 − pk|k−1k|k−1 , pD,k i i,Lk|k−1 i pk|k−1 , ϕ 1 ≤ − pD,k 1/2 i 2 i,Lk|k−1 − pk|k−1 , ϕ 1 − pD,k i 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k A.33 2 1/2 i,Li i k|k−1 ϕE pk|k−1 , pD,k − pk|k−1 , pD,k A.32 i 1 − pk|k−1 , pD,k by 4.9 # ϕ dk|k−1 ≤ # i . 1 − pD,k Lk|k−1 A.34 Finally, 4.11 is proved with dk|k−1 2 . 1 − pD,k dL,k A.35 Now, turn to 4.12. From 2.9 and 3.10, we have E 2 1/2 i Lk|k−1 rU,k zk − rU,k zk ⎡⎛ ⎢⎜ E⎢ ⎣⎝ Mk|k−1 i1 κk zk i i,Lk|k−1 rα,k Mk|k−1 i1 Mk|k−1 zk i i,Lk|k−1 rα,k − zk ⎞2 ⎤1/2 ⎥ ⎥ ⎦ i rα,k zk i1 ⎟ ⎠ Mk|k−1 i κk zk i1 rα,k zk A.36 18 Journal of Applied Mathematics adding and subtracting a new term ⎡⎛ Mk|k−1 i i,Lk|k−1 Mk|k−1 Mk|k−1 zk i i,L rα,k k|k−1 zk i1 i1 ⎢⎜ E⎣⎝ − Mk|k−1 i i i,L M κk zk i1k|k−1 rα,k k|k−1 zk κk zk i1 rα,k zk rα,k Mk|k−1 i i,Lk|k−1 i rα,k zk rα,k zk i1 − Mk|k−1 i Mk|k−1 i κk zk i1 rα,k zk κk zk i1 rα,k zk i1 ⎞2 ⎤1/2 ⎟ ⎥ ⎠ ⎥ ⎦ A.37 using Minkowski’s inequality ⎡⎛ ⎞2 ⎤1/2 Mk|k−1 i,Li Mk|k−1 i k|k−1 i rα,k zk − i1 rα,k zk ⎟ ⎥ ⎢⎜ Lk|k−1 i1 ≤ E⎢ ⎠⎥ Mk|k−1 i ⎣⎝rU,k zk ⎦ κk zk i1 rα,k zk A.38 ⎡⎛ ⎞2 ⎤1/2 Mk|k−1 i Mk|k−1 i,Li k|k−1 zk − i1 rα,k zk ⎟ ⎥ ⎢⎜ i1 rα,k E⎢ ⎠⎥ M ⎣⎝ ⎦ i κk zk i1k|k−1 rα,k zk i L k|k−1 using κk zk ≥ 0, 0 ≤ rU,k zk ≤ 1 2 Mk|k−1 i1 2 1/2 i i,Lk|k−1 i E rα,k zk − rα,k zk ≤ Mk|k−1 i1 A.39 . i rα,k zk From 2.12 and 3.14, the expectation in the summation of A.39 is E i i,Lk|k−1 rα,k zk − ⎡⎛ i rk|k−1 i rα,k zk 2 1/2 i pk|k−1 , ψk,zk i i,Lk|k−1 i i,Lk|k−1 ⎞2 ⎤1/2 pk|k−1 , ψk,zk rk|k−1 ⎟ ⎢⎜ ⎟ ⎢⎜ E⎢⎜ − ⎟ i i i ⎠ ⎣⎝ 1 − r i i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 p , p D,k k|k−1 k|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k 1 − rk|k−1 ⎥ ⎥ ⎥ ⎦ A.40 Journal of Applied Mathematics 19 adding and subtracting a new term ⎡⎛ i i i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 i i , ψ r p k,zk ⎢⎜ k|k−1 rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , ψk,zk k|k−1 ⎢⎜ E⎢⎜ − i i i i ⎣⎝ i,L i,L i,L i,L 1 − rk|k−1k|k−1 pk|k−1k|k−1 , pD,k 1 − rk|k−1k|k−1 pk|k−1k|k−1 , pD,k ⎞2 ⎤1/2 i i i i ⎟ rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , ψk,zk rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , ψk,zk ⎟ − ⎟ i i i i i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k ⎠ 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k A.41 ⎥ ⎥ ⎥ ⎦ using Minkowski’s inequality i i ⎞2 ⎤1/2 i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 i i p , ψ , ψ p − r r k,zk k,zk ⎟ ⎥ ⎢⎜ k|k−1 k|k−1 k|k−1 k|k−1 ⎟ ⎥ ⎢⎜ ≤ E⎢⎜ ⎟ ⎥ i i ⎠ ⎦ ⎣⎝ i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k 1 − rk|k−1 ⎡⎛ i rk|k−1 i i pk|k−1 , ψk,zk i 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k ⎡⎛ i i,Lk|k−1 ⎢⎜ rk|k−1 ⎢⎜ E⎢⎜ ⎣⎝ i ⎞2 ⎤1/2 i,Lk|k−1 i i pk|k−1 , pD,k − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k ⎟ ⎥ ⎟⎥ ⎟⎥ i i ⎠⎦ i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k A.42 i i,L by 0 ≤ rk|k−1k|k−1 ≤ 1, Assumption 2 and A.4 ψk,z E k i i,Lk|k−1 rk|k−1 − i rk|k−1 ≤ i i rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , ψk,zk i i 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k pD,k E × 2 1/2 i rk|k−1 E i 2 1/2 i,Lk|k−1 i pk|k−1 , ψk,zk − pk|k−1 , ψk,zk 1 − pD,k 2 1/2 i i 2 1/2 i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 i i i rk|k−1 E rk|k−1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k − pk|k−1 , pD,k 1 − pD,k A.43 20 Journal of Applied Mathematics i by 4.8, 4.9, and 0 ≤ rk|k−1 ≤ 1 # ψk,z √ck|k−1 dk|k−1 k ≤ . 2 # i Lk|k−1 1 − pD,k A.44 i From 2.12, 0 ≤ rk|k−1 ≤ 1 and Assumption 2, the denominator of A.39 is M k|k−1 i1 i rα,k zk M k|k−1 i1 i i M k|k−1 rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , ψk,zk i i rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , ψk,zk ≥ i i 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k i1 ≥ inf ψk,zk M k|k−1 i1 A.45 i rk|k−1 inf ψk,zk nk|k−1 , M i where nk|k−1 i1k|k−1 rk|k−1 is the number of the predicted targets at time k. Substituting A.44 and A.43 into A.39, we get E 2 1/2 i Lk|k−1 rU,k zk − rU,k zk ⎛ # √ k|k−1 2ψk,zk ck|k−1 dk|k−1 M 1 ⎜ ≤ ⎝# 2 i inf ψk,zk nk|k−1 i1 1 − pD,k L k|k−1 # √ 2ψk,zk ck|k−1 dk|k−1 Mk|k−1 ≤ 2 # min , inf ψk,z nk|k−1 1 − pD,k L M ⎟ ⎠ A.46 k|k−1 k 1 ⎞ k|k−1 where Lmin minLk|k−1 , . . . , Lk|k−1 , min· denotes the minimum. k|k−1 Finally, 4.12 is proved with cU,k ⎞2 ⎛ # √ 2ψk,zk ck|k−1 dk|k−1 Mk|k−1 ⎟ ⎜ ⎝ ⎠. 2 inf ψk,zk nk|k−1 1 − pD,k A.47 i Now, turn to 4.13. First, from 2.12, 0 ≤ rk|k−1 ≤ 1 and Assumption 2, we have i rα,k zk i i rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , ψk,zk ψk,z k . ≤ i i 1 − pD,k 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k A.48 Journal of Applied Mathematics E 21 Then, from 2.13, 3.11, and A.39, we get 2 1/2 i ∗,L ∗ zk rU,kk|k−1 zk − rU,k ⎛ ≤ ⎞2 ⎤1/2 ⎞ ⎜ zk 1 − rk|k−1 ⎟⎥ ⎟ ⎢⎜ rα,k ⎜ ⎟⎥ ⎟ ⎢⎜ ⎜ ⎡⎛ ⎤ ⎢⎜ ⎞2 1/2 ⎟⎥ ⎟ i ⎜ i i ⎜ ⎟⎥ ⎟ ⎢ i,Lk|k−1 ⎢⎜ 1 − r i,Lk|k−1 pi,Lk|k−1 , pD,k ⎟ ⎥ ⎟ Mk|k−1 ⎜ zk ⎠ ⎥ ⎜ ⎢⎝ rα,k ⎜ ⎟⎥ ⎟ ⎢ k|k−1 k|k−1 ⎜E ⎣ ⎦ E⎢⎜ ⎟⎥ ⎟ i1 i ⎜ ⎟⎥ ⎟ ⎢⎜ i i −rα,k zk ⎜ ⎜ ⎟⎥ ⎟ ⎢ r z 1 − r k ⎜ α,k k|k−1 ⎟⎥ ⎟ ⎢⎜ ⎜ ⎝ ⎠⎦ ⎟ – ⎣ ⎝ ⎠ i i 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k ⎡⎛ Mk|k−1 i1 i i,Lk|k−1 i i,Lk|k−1 i rα,k zk A.49 adding and subtracting a new term in the second expectation in the summation ⎛ 2 1/2 ⎞ i i,Lk|k−1 ≤ i ⎜ E rα,k zk − rα,k zk ⎜ ⎜ ⎜ ⎡⎛ i i ⎜ i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 ⎜ i i zk 1 − rk|k−1 ⎜ ⎢⎜ rα,k 1 − r r z k α,k k|k−1 ⎢⎜ Mk|k−1 ⎜ ⎜ ⎢⎜ − i i i i ⎜ ⎢⎜ i,L i,L i,L i,L i1 ⎜ ⎢⎜ 1 − r k|k−1 p k|k−1 , pD,k 1 − r k|k−1 p k|k−1 , pD,k ⎜ ⎢⎜ k|k−1 k|k−1 k|k−1 k|k−1 ⎜ E⎢⎜ ⎜ ⎢⎜ i i i i ⎜ ⎢⎜ 1 − r 1 − r r r z z k k α,k α,k k|k−1 k|k−1 ⎜ ⎢⎜ ⎜ ⎢⎜ − i i ⎝ i i ⎣⎝ i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k Mk|k−1 i1 ⎞2 ⎤1/2 ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎠ ⎥ ⎥ ⎥ ⎥ ⎥ ⎥ ⎥ ⎥ ⎥ ⎥ ⎥ ⎦ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎠ i rα,k zk A.50 It holds that using Minkowski’s inequality for the second term in the summation ⎛ ⎞ 2 1/2 i i,Lk|k−1 i ⎜E r ⎟ zk − rα,k zk α,k ⎜ ⎟ ⎜ ⎟ ⎜ ⎡⎛ ⎟ ⎞ ⎤ 1/2 2 ⎜ ⎟ i i i ⎜ ⎟ i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 i i i ⎜ ⎢⎜ r ⎟ ⎟ ⎥ zk − rα,k zk rα,k zk rk|k−1 − rα,k zk rk|k−1 ⎟ ⎥ ⎜ ⎢⎜ α,k ⎟ ⎜ ⎟ E ⎟ ⎜ ⎥ ⎢ Mk|k−1 ⎜ ⎣⎝ i i ⎟ ⎠⎦ i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 ⎜ ⎟ i1 pk|k−1 , pD,k 1 − rk|k−1 ⎜ ⎟ ⎜ ⎟ ⎜ ⎟ ⎞ ⎤ ⎡⎛ 1/2 2 i i ⎜ ⎟ i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 i i ⎜ i i pk|k−1 , pD,k −rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k ⎟ ⎥ ⎟ ⎜ rα,k zk 1 − rk|k−1 ⎟ ⎢⎜rk|k−1 ⎜ ⎟⎥ ⎟ ⎢⎜ E⎢⎜ ⎜ ⎟ ⎟ ⎥ i i ⎝ 1−r i pi , p ⎠⎦ ⎠ ⎣⎝ i,L i,L k|k−1 k|k−1 D,k 1 − rk|k−1k|k−1 pk|k−1k|k−1 , pD,k ≤ Mk|k−1 i rα,k zk i1 A.51 22 Journal of Applied Mathematics i i,L by 0 ≤ rk|k−1k|k−1 ≤ 1, A.4, and Minkowski’s inequality ⎛ 2 1/2 i i,L ⎜ 2− pD,k E r k|k−1 zk −r i zk α,k α,k ⎜ ⎜ ⎜ ⎡⎛ ⎞2 ⎤1/2 i ⎜ i,Lk|k−1 i i i ⎜ z r −r z r r ⎜ ⎢⎜ α,k k k|k−1 α,k k k|k−1 ⎟⎥ ⎜ E⎣⎝ ⎠⎦ i i i i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 Mk|k−1 ⎜ i ⎜ r z r −r z r k α,k k k|k−1 ⎜ i1 ⎛ α,k k|k−1 ⎜ 2 1/2 i ⎜ i,Lk|k−1 i ⎜ p E r i i −rk|k−1 ⎜ k|k−1 rα,k zk 1−rk|k−1 ⎜ ⎜ D,k ⎜ ⎜ ⎜ ⎜ ⎜ i i i 2 1/2 i,Lk|k−1 ⎝ 1−rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k ⎝ i i rk|k−1 E pk|k−1 , pD,k − pk|k−1 , pD,k ≤ Mk|k−1 i rα,k zk 1 − pD,k i1 ⎞ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎞⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟⎟ ⎟⎟ ⎟⎟ ⎟⎟ ⎠⎟ ⎠ A.52 i i,L using 0 ≤ rk|k−1k|k−1 ≤ 1 and Minkowski’s inequality again for the second term in the summation ⎛ 2 1/2 2 1/2⎞ i i i,Lk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 i i i ⎜ 3− pD,k E rα,k ⎟ zk −rα,k zk rα,k zk E rk|k−1 −rk|k−1 ⎜ ⎟ ⎜ ⎟ ⎞ ⎛ ⎜ ⎟ 1/2 2 i ⎜ ⎟ Mk|k−1 ⎜ ⎜ i,Lk|k−1 ⎟ ⎟ i i i ⎟ ⎜ rk|k−1 −rk|k−1 ⎜ r zk 1 − r i1 ⎟ ⎟ ⎜ pD,k E ⎟ ⎟ ⎜ α,k k|k−1 ⎜ ⎟ ⎟ ⎜ ⎜ ⎟ ⎜ 1/2 ⎟ ⎟ ⎜ ⎜ i i 2 i ⎟ ⎠ ⎜ i,Lk|k−1 ⎝ 1 − rk|k−1 pk|k−1 , pD,k ⎜ i ⎟ i ⎠ ⎝ r E pk|k−1 , pD,k − pk|k−1 , pD,k k|k−1 ≤ Mk|k−1 i 1 − pD,k rα,k zk i1 A.53 i by 0 ≤ rk|k−1 ≤ 1, 4.8, 4.9 A.44, A.45, and Assumption 2 ⎛ # ⎞ i ψk,z √ck|k−1 dk|k−1 M pD,k k|k−1 1 4 − r k k|k−1 ⎜ ⎟ ≤ # ⎝ ⎠ 3 i inf ψk,zk nk|k−1 i1 1 − pD,k L k|k−1 # ψk,z √ck|k−1 dk|k−1 4Mk|k−1 − nk|k−1 Mk|k−1 pD,k k . ≤ # 3 1 − pD,k inf ψk,zk nk|k−1 Lmin k|k−1 A.54 Journal of Applied Mathematics 23 Finally, 4.13 is proved with ⎞ ⎛ # 6 2 ψk,z √ck|k−1 dk|k−1 5 k 4 − pD,k Mk|k−1 ⎟ ⎜ ⎝ − pD,k ⎠ . 3 n k|k−1 infψk,zk 1 − pD,k ∗ cU,k A.55 Now turn to 4.14. From 2.10 and 3.12, we get E i 2 1/2 Lk|k−1 pU,k ·; zk , ϕ − pU,k ·; zk , ϕ ⎡⎛ ⎢⎜ ⎢⎜ E⎢⎜ ⎣⎝ Mk|k−1 i i,Lk|k−1 pα,k i1 Mk|k−1 i1 xk ; zk , ϕ i i,Lk|k−1 rα,k M k|k−1 − zk i1 i pα,k xk ; zk , ϕ Mk|k−1 i1 i rα,k zk ⎞2 ⎤1/2 ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎠ ⎥ ⎥ ⎥ ⎦ A.56 adding and subtracting a new term ⎡⎛ Mk|k−1 i,Li Mk|k−1 i,Li k|k−1 k|k−1 p p z ϕ z ϕ ·; , ·; , k k ⎢⎜ i1 i1 α,k α,k ⎢⎜ E⎢⎜ − i M k|k−1 i ⎣⎝ Mk|k−1 i,Lk|k−1 rα,k zk i1 r z k i1 α,k Mk|k−1 i1 i i,Lk|k−1 pα,k Mk|k−1 i1 ·; zk , ϕ ⎞ ⎤1/2 2 i k|k−1 pα,k ·; zk , ϕ ⎟ ⎥ i1 ⎟⎥ ⎟⎥ Mk|k−1 i ⎠⎦ r z k i1 α,k M − i rα,k zk A.57 using Minkowski’s inequality ⎡⎛ ⎞⎞2 ⎤1/2 ⎛ Mk|k−1 i *Mk|k−1 + Mk|k−1 i,Li k|k−1 i zk − i1 rα,k zk ⎟⎟ ⎥ ⎢⎜ i,Lk|k−1 ⎜ i1 rα,k ≤ E⎢ pα,k ·; zk , ϕ ⎝ ⎠⎠ ⎥ i ⎣⎝ ⎦ i,Lk|k−1 M M i k|k−1 k|k−1 i1 rα,k zk i1 rα,k zk i1 E Mk|k−1 i1 i i,Lk|k−1 pα,k ·; zk − Mk|k−1 i1 Mk|k−1 i1 2 1/2 i pα,k ·; zk , ϕ A.58 i rα,k zk by 2.12 and 3.14 2ϕ ≤ M k|k−1 i1 i rα,k zk ⎡5 62 ⎤1/2 M M k|k−1 k|k−1 i i,Lk|k−1 i E⎣ r zk − r zk ⎦ i1 α,k i1 α,k A.59 24 Journal of Applied Mathematics by A.39 and A.47 ϕ cU,k . ≤# Lmin k|k−1 A.60 Finally, 4.14 is proved with dU,k cU,k ⎞2 ⎛ # √ 2ψk,zk ck|k−1 dk|k−1 Mk|k−1. ⎟ ⎜ ⎝ ⎠. 2 infψk,zk nk|k−1 1 − pD,k A.61 This completes the proof. Nomenclature xk : zk : nk : mk : k : Xk {xi,k }ni1 mk Zk {zi,k }i1 : fk|k−1 xk | xk−1 : pS,k xk−1 : pD,k xk : κk zk : ψk,zk xk fk zk | xk : δx ·: Rd : Cb Rd : BRd : πY i : πY : π {r i , pi }M i1 : State vector of a single target at time k Single measurement vector at time k Number of existing targets at time k Number of measurements collected at time k Finite set of multitarget state-vectors at time k Finite set of measurements collected at time k Single-target Markov transition density at time k Probability of target survival at time k Probability of detection at time k Intensity of Poisson clutter process at time k Single-sensor/target likelihood density at time k Dirac delta function centered at x d-dimensional real space Set of continuous bounded functions on Rd Set of bounded Borel measurable functions on Rd Probability density of a Bernoulli random finite set RFS Y i i Probability density of multi-Bernoulli RFS Y M i1 Y i i M Abbreviation of πY . {r , p }i1 is the multi-Bernoulli parameter set i i,Li i,Li M i,Li ,p }i1 : Particle approximation of π {r i , pi }M , pi,L π {r i1 . r denotes that r i , pi is comprised of the number Li of the particles · : Supremum norm. ϕ sup| ϕ |, sup· denotes the supremum ·, ·: Inner product. 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