Strategic Workforce Planning in Dutch Healthcare organizations Name: Romy Marell ANR: 981439 Address: Arendhorst 45, 6043RR Roermond Supervisor: dr. M. Verhagen 2nd Reader: dr. C. Freese Project Period: Jan-Jan Project Theme: HR Metrics Index 1. Introduction ......................................................................................................................... 5 2. Theoretical framework ......................................................................................................... 9 2.1 Strategic Workforce Planning ....................................................................................................... 9 2.1.1 Strategic Workforce Planning process ........................................................................................ 10 2.2 Workforce segmentation ............................................................................................................ 13 2.3 Workforce segmentation implemented in the Strategic workforce planning process .................. 15 2.4 Contingency factors in the Healthcare sector .............................................................................. 16 2.4.1 External factors ........................................................................................................................... 17 2.4.2 Internal factors ............................................................................................................................ 20 3. Methodology ...................................................................................................................... 23 3.1 Research design .......................................................................................................................... 23 3.2 Research Sample ........................................................................................................................ 23 3.3 Instruments ................................................................................................................................ 24 3.3.1 Document analysis ...................................................................................................................... 24 3.3.2 Interviews ................................................................................................................................... 24 3.4 Procedure ................................................................................................................................... 25 3.5 Data Analysis .............................................................................................................................. 26 4. Results ................................................................................................................................ 29 4.1 Description of the cases .............................................................................................................. 29 4.2 Strategic workforce planning process ......................................................................................... 29 4.3 Workforce segmentation ............................................................................................................ 37 4.4 Workforce segmentation implemented in the Strategic workforce planning process .................. 39 4.5 Contextual factors ...................................................................................................................... 40 4.5.1 External factors ........................................................................................................................... 40 4.5.2 Internal factors ............................................................................................................................ 43 5. Conclusion .......................................................................................................................... 47 6. Discussion ........................................................................................................................... 51 6.1 Discussion The perceived need for implementing SWP .............................................................. 51 6.2 Limitations ................................................................................................................................. 54 6.3 Theoretical implications and future research .............................................................................. 55 6.4 Practical implications .................................................................................................................. 56 References ............................................................................................................................. 58 Appendix A – Interview Questions .......................................................................................... 63 Appendix B – Example Transcript ............................................................................................ 69 2 Abstract According to labor market predictions (AZW, 2013) labor shortages in the Dutch healthcare sector will occur. Organizations need to determine their current personnel demands and their future personnel needs. HR tools that can contribute are strategic workforce planning and workforce segmentation implemented in strategic workforce planning. The goal of this research is to investigate which contingency factors influence the strategic workforce planning process in the Dutch healthcare sector and whether workforce segmentation is used in the strategic workforce planning process. In order to investigate these relationships semi structured interviews were held with seven Dutch healthcare organizations. The interviews were aimed at gaining a deeper insight in the strategic workforce planning process and the process of workforce segmentation, In addition, the interviews tried to reveal which contingency factors have an influence on the strategic workforce planning process. Eventually 21 interviews were conducted with Senior Managers, HR managers and Line Managers in seven organizations. It became apparent that only one healthcare organization implemented an actual strategic workforce planning process and none of the organizations used workforce segmentation in the strategic workforce planning process. Several organizations mentioned that they are currently implementing strategic workforce planning and some of the organizations do not recognize the necessity. Therefore, continuous research about these topics in the next few years will probably provide a deeper understanding of these practices. In addition, the results show that four of the contextual factors; available resources, collective bargaining agreements, segmentation of the healthcare sector and size might have an influence on the strategic workforce planning process. However, the organizations mentioned and research shows that the underpinning principle of strategic workforce planning is universally applicable. Therefore, although research confirms these propositions, future research should investigate the influence of these contextual factors in practice. Keywords: Strategic workforce planning, Workforce Segmentation, Contingency Theory, Best-fit Approach, Dutch healthcare sector 3 4 1. Introduction Since the economic crisis, the unemployment rate in the Dutch labor market has increased each year (CPB, 2013). However, in last decade there is one sector that was characterized by an increase in employment, namely the healthcare sector. In this sector, the total amount of employment showed a growth of 385.000 jobs in the past ten years (CBS, 2011). In the nearby future, nevertheless, the healthcare sector will have to deal with shortages of suitable personnel. These future shortages in the healthcare sector are caused by the ageing of the Dutch workforce, resulting in a higher outflow of skilled personnel. In addition, there is an increasing scarcity of qualified personnel supply and fewer people will enter the labor market. Furthermore, research indicates that the demand for personnel in the next few years will increase with minimal 140 thousand extra jobs (AZW, 2013). This all, will lead to a discrepancy between the increasing demand for care and qualified personnel supply in the healthcare sector. Therefore, for healthcare organizations it is important to make optimal use of the current personnel and retain the personnel in the organization. In this context, of future personnel shortages, organizations need to determine the current workforce and the future personnel needs. A tool that can contribute is strategic workforce planning, since it is a data driven process that maps current workforce demands and future personnel needs (Giehl & Moss, 2009). In essence, “workforce planning is preparing, designing and implementing of strategic policy in terms of inflow, through-flow and outflow of personnel” (Evers & Verhoeven, 1999 p.15). Operationally this means, achieving the business objectives in the most efficient way by getting the right people with the right skills, in the right job at the right time (Anderson, 2004; Cotton, 2007). Scientific literature identified that the basic of every strategic workforce planning model is “closing the gap” between current demand and future supply of labor (Evers & Verhoeven, 1999; Anderson, 2004; Cotton, 2007). During this gap analysis phase in the SWP model, workforce segmentation can play an important role (Lavelle, 2007). Workforce segmentation is described as a way in which organizations differentiate between roles and skill sets and to determine how essential they are to meet business objectives (Lavelle, 2007). 5 Even though workforce segmentation is not often implemented in the SWP model, Lavelle (2007) argues that segmentation is destined to play an important role in workforce planning. The aim of SWP as mentioned earlier is putting the right people in the right job at the right time. Workforce segmentation can contribute by identifying strategic positions, support positions and eliminate jobs that do not add value (Huselid, Beatty & Becker, 2005). Segmentation provides organizations insight in their entire workforce and creates an overview of which type of employees organizations need to attract, retain and develop in order to achieve business objectives (Evers & Verhoeven, 1999). Although several researches argue that there are general success factors that determine strategic workforce planning (Anderson, 2004; Cotton, 2007), Evers and Verhoeven (1999) state that the strategic workforce planning process differs in every organization and that no one best way is applicable. In addition, organizations are influenced by several internal and external factors that might cause differentiation in the SWP process. This statement assumes a contingency-based approach; which argues that organizations are influenced by contextual factors. Organizations need to adjust to these factors in order to perform (Donaldson, 2001). Thus, this theory suggest that it might be, that the applicability of a SWP model in the healthcare sector is different, due to contextual factors, than in other sectors in the Dutch labor market. With regard to these developments the following research question is formulated: “Which contingency factors influence the strategic workforce planning process in the Dutch healthcare sector and does workforce segmentation play a role in the strategic workforce planning process?” This paper contributes to the scientific research in this area in the following ways. First of all, this study provides new insights about the possible contribution of workforce segmentation in the strategic workforce planning process. Secondly, this study provides scientific insight about the application of strategic workforce planning process in the Dutch healthcare sector and provides insight in which contingency factors influence this process. Organizations might benefit from these findings, because this study might provide them a practical guideline for implementing the strategic workforce planning process and/or workforce segmentation in the healthcare sector. Furthermore this study provides organizations with a more 6 planned and focused approach to attracting, developing and retaining employees, which will lead to more organizational efficiency. Because SWP is a long-term oriented and ongoing process, healthcare organizations will be able to anticipate on future labor shortages or surpluses. In addition, new insights in which contingency factors influence the strategic workforce planning process will lead to the development of more customized applications. In other words, the SWP process can be better aligned with organizational needs in their specific context. This paper will continue with the theoretical framework, methods, results and finally the conclusion and discussion. 7 8 2. Theoretical framework This part of the research discusses the central concepts, Strategic Workforce Planning, Workforce Segmentation and the Contingency Factors, and investigates their relationship with each other. 2.1 Strategic Workforce Planning In the literature about Strategic workforce planning, different definitions are used (Evers & Verhoeven, 1999; Anderson, 2004: Freyens, 2010). In the early 90’s, workforce planning was defined as the assessment of future human capital needs and determining and implementing actions necessary to meet the required demands (Ripley, 1995). Since then, there has been a shift from the purely technical aspects of workforce planning towards the inclusion of strategic management, evaluation processes and turnover management (Idris and Eldrigde, 1998). In the past decade, the definition of strategic workforce planning is further elaborated and Cotton (2007) argues that nowadays most definitions include the same general elements. Firstly, strategic workforce planning needs to be aligned with the business objectives of the organization. Secondly, the identification of which people and what kind of skills are needed to achieve goals. Thirdly, the human capital of the organization needs to be aligned with the business direction. Lastly, the required human capital will be continuously available and the strategic workforce planning process will be adapted when needed. However, there is one important issue that has to be added, namely that SWP is not a static system but an ongoing process (IPMA, 2002). This is essential because implementing strategic workforce planning and interpreting the results are essential parts of the business operations. SWP is not effective when managers only use the strategic workforce planning process at one moment in time (IPMA, 2002). To have an overall definition of strategic workforce planning in this research that refers to all elements described above, several definitions are combined which results in the following definition: Strategic workforce planning is an ongoing process of human capital planning, which is aligned with the overall business strategy of the organization. It is a data driven process, which analyzes the current workforce and identifies future workforce needs. Based on this information, organizations are able to identify gaps and develop and implement gap-closing strategies in order 9 to achieve organizational missions, goals and objectives (Evers & Verhoeven, 1999; IPMA, 2002, Cotton, 2007; Bechet, 2008). 2.1.1 Strategic Workforce Planning process According to several researchers (Evers & Verhoeven, 1999; Choudhury, 2007; Giehl & Moss, 2009) there is no one best way of strategic workforce planning due to contextual factors that influences this process. However several researchers state that every SWP process is based on the same overall starting framework (Nkomo, 1988; Anderson, 2004; Cotton, 2007; Freyens, 2010). In other words, the strategic workforce planning models developed over time are almost all extensions of the basic workforce-planning model of Anderson (2004). This research will outline the basic model of Anderson (2004) and, in addition, will include adaptations made by other authors. First of all, the workforce planning process begins by defining the organizations strategic direction (Cotton, 2007). An inevitable part of defining the business strategy means identifying the core strategic skills and competencies that are needed to achieved the business objectives (Cotton, 2007; Nkomo, 1988; Young, 2006). Secondly, a scan of the internal and external environment must be executed. Information about technological, economic, sociocultural factors and the labor market should be collected and analyzed in order to achieve alignment between the goals, policies, procedures or operations of the workforce planning model and the external changes (Nkomo, 1988; Cotton, 2007). For example the environmental changes (the ageing workforce, labor shortages) in the healthcare sector have a major influence on the design of the workforce planning process. Besides an external environmental analysis focus should also lie on analyzing the internal environment. Factors that should be included are workforce trends (attraction and retention statistics, age and distribution of the workforce), organizational structure, organizational culture and current levels of performance (Cotton, 2007). The third step in the strategic workforce planning process is a supply analysis, which focuses on identifying and analyzing the current supply for labor in the organization based on qualitative and quantitative data (Anderson, 2004; Cotton, 2007). On the one hand qualitative data is important for mapping current skills and competencies of employees and eventually mapping 10 strengths and weaknesses of the workforce (Nkomo, 1988). On the other hand quantitative data is necessary to conduct information and trends about developments in the workforce that will have an influence on the organization when no action is taken (Anderson, 2004; Evers, 2011). After the supply analysis, organizations need to identify the future workforce demands through a demand analysis. This step provides an estimation of future personnel needs in terms of required numbers of employees as well as future needed skills (Anderson, 2004; Cotton, 2007). While identifying these workforce demands, organizations have to take in to account the overall strategy of the organization, changing work boundaries and environmental factors influencing the workforce (technology, labor market developments) (Anderson, 2004; Cotton, 2007). Based on the two earlier phases, organizations should be able to match the current supply with future needed demands (Anderson, 2004; Freyens, 2010). The gap analysis phase reveals the differences between current labor supply and future labor demand. There are three different situations that can occur: expected skill/labor shortages (demand exceeds supply), surpluses of labor (supply exceeds demand) and that current demand and future supply are in balance (Anderson, 2004). In this phase of closing the gap, emphasis must lie on both short-term solutions as long-term strategies. HR practices that contribute to executing strategies are training and development and compensation and benefits. (Cotton, 2007). After developing a gap-closing strategy the final step of the strategic workforce planning process is the implementation and evaluation of the developed strategy (Anderson, 2004). For successfully implementing workforce strategies several aspects are critical such as leadership, communication between workforce team members and other employees/managers and lastly resources that facilitate the implementation phase (Cotton 2007). After implementation, the strategic workforce process needs to be evaluated and revised were needed (Anderson, 2004). Figure 1 shows the strategic workforce planning process as described in the above sections. 11 Evaluation And ongoing process Define strategic direction Implementati on External and internal scan Supply analysis Gap Analysis Demand Analysis Figure 1: Strategic workforce planning process Although almost 70 % of the costs made in the healthcare sector are personnel costs, according to the Dutch research institute for healthcare NIVEL (2011), a strategic workforce planning process, such a described above, is missing in many healthcare organizations. In addition, with the ageing workforce coming up and the increasing workload in the healthcare sector, a SWP process is now more important than ever. This is because the aim of SWP is to identify current workforce demands, determine future personnel needs, execute a gap analysis and develop and implement gap-closing strategies. Therefore, this study investigates to what extent healthcare organizations have applied a strategic workforce planning process based on the earlier mentioned SWP process steps. Therefore the following sub-question is raised: “To what extent have Dutch Healthcare organizations implemented a strategic workforce planning process?” 12 2.2 Workforce segmentation Lavelle (2007) argues that workforce segmentation is destined to play an important role in the workforce planning process. Workforce segmentation is defined as identifying different roles and skill sets in order to determine how essential they are to meet business objectives and align with the overall strategy of the organization (Lavelle, 2007). In addition, according to the resourcebased view of the firm, organizations consist, on the one hand out of core roles that create value and on the other hand out of peripheral roles that are value supporters (Lavelle, 2007; Boxall & Purcell, 2011). Furthermore, Lepak and Snell (1999) stated that segmentation between employment groups asks for different employment relationships. Thus, different groups of employees possess different skills, vary in their employment relationship and have different levels of importance while achieving competitive advantage (Lepak & Snell, 2002; Huselid, Beatty & Becker, 2005; Cascio & Boudreau, 2010). Several authors have developed different approaches of identifying and analyzing the strategic positions in the workforce (Lepak & Snell, 2002; Huselid, Beatty & Becker, 2005; Boudreau & Ramstad, 2007; Cascio & Boudreau, 2012). Huselid, Beatty and Becker (2005) made a distinction between three categories, namely A-, B-, and C-Positions. A-Positions are the key positions in an organization that have direct strategic impact. Positions that have indirect strategic impact by supporting A-positions are defined as B-Positions. The last groups are the so-called Cpositions, these are needed in the organization but have little to no strategic impact. Boudreau and Ramstad (2007) also differentiated between employees groups whereby they made a distinction between pivotal roles in the organization, in other words the core employees, and the non-pivotal roles. Pivotal roles are the ones where differences in performance affect the strategic success of the organization the most (Cascio & Boudreau, 2012). Lepak and Snell (1999, 2007) distinguished different employees groups by means of the “HR architectural framework”, see figure 2. This architectural framework will be used in this study because of its clarity and the extensive research that has been done on this model. Lepak and Snell (1999) made a distinction between four types of employee groups, whereby the distinction has been made on the one hand to the uniqueness of the human capital and on the other hand to the strategic importance of human capital. Human capital in the first quadrant is both 13 unique and contributes to the strategic value of the organization and therefore these employees are considered as the “core employees” (Lepak & Snell, 1999). Organizations should invest in these employees in terms of training and development, participation and empowerment and compensation and benefits, this is called a commitment-oriented HR system Secondly, there are employee groups who have strategic value but their skills and competencies are not unique for the labor market. Thus, these employees are important in terms of achieving business objectives but have skills that are widely transferable in the sector. In this quadrant the focus lies more on a productivity-based relationship. In addition, organizations should not invest in training and developing these employees but should hire them and calculate the possibility that they might leave. Thirdly, Lepak and Snell (1999; 2007) identified that there is human capital that has low uniqueness and does not contribute to the strategic value of the organization. This compliance based HR relationship implies that organizations should outsource these employees or hire these employees through temporary work agencies. Employee groups that have on the one hand high uniqueness, but on the other hand have low strategic value are part of quadrant four. Lepak and Snell (1999) argue that this type of human capital needs to be managed via a collaborative HR approach. In addition organizations need to engage in alliances or partnerships with other organizations. The model of Lepak and Snell (1999), see figure 2, provides a guideline for identifying four types of employment. However, this will raise the question whether in practice healthcare organizations identify strategic positions? And in which way is this process designed? Thus, the following sub-question is raised: “To what extent do healthcare organizations segment their workforce and if so, in which way is this process designed?” 14 Figure 2: HR Architecture (Lepak and Snell, 1999) 2.3 Workforce segmentation implemented in the Strategic workforce planning process The strategic workforce planning process provides insight in the current workforce and identifies future workforce needs to meet business objectives. Thus, on the one hand this means executing a supply analysis in which the current supply for labor is identified and analyzed based on qualitative and quantitative data. On the other hand, future workforce demands needs to be estimated in terms of headcount and future needed skills. Based on the supply and demand analysis organizations have created an overview whereby the differences are revealed in terms of labor shortages or labor surpluses (Evers & Verhoeven (1999); Anderson, 2004; Cotton, 2007). Huselid, Beatty and Becker (2005) argue that especially in positions that have direct strategic impact, having the right people in the right job is important, due to the fact that in these strategic positions high performance variability will occur. In addition, this specific group is critical for executing the strategy of the organization (Boxall & Purcell, 2010). Thus, when an organization is going to implement or execute a strategic workforce planning process, it is important to lay emphasis on the jobs that are core for the organization. For this specific group of employees, who are unique and have high strategic value, organizations rely on a commitment-oriented HR system (Lepak & Snell, 1999). There are commitment-oriented HR practices that need to be taken into account while executing strategic workforce planning. When there are insufficient potentials available for closing the gap, external 15 recruitment could be a solution (Collings & Mellahi, 2009). During this process of recruitment the focus will lie on skills, knowledge and abilities that are currently not obtainable within the organization (Ready and Conger, 2007). Moreover, organizations need to invest in extensive recruitment and selection for these positions in order to successfully align with the strategy of the organization (Lepak & Snell, 1999; 2002). Besides that, training of current employees will be another solution for preparing current employees for future work demands and filling in the strategic positions (Huselid, Beatty & Becker, 2005). Moreover, investing in the development of the core employees of the organization enhance the opportunity of retaining these employees (Lee & Bruvold, 2003). In addition, training and developing employees has a positive effect on performance (Aguinis & Kraiger, 2009). Concluding, the strategic workforce planning process can identify possible future labor shortages in an early phase and it is a process whereby organizations can cope with this issue. Furthermore, segmentation of the workforce can contribute to this process by identifying the different positions and employees in the organization. When the strategic positions are revealed, organizations need to lay emphasis on attracting, training and retaining employees in these positions. However, almost no research has investigated the relationship between workforce segmentation and strategic workforce planning. Thus, it is therefore important to investigate whether healthcare organizations use workforce segmentation in the strategic workforce planning process. This results in the following sub-question: “To what extent do healthcare organizations use the process of workforce segmentation in strategic workforce planning”? 2.4 Contingency factors in the Healthcare sector The previous sections provide an outline about the strategic workforce planning process and gave an overview of the concept workforce segmentation. However as earlier mentioned, there is a discrepancy in the literature whether the SWP process is a best practice (Nkomo, 1988; Anderson, 2004; Cotton, 2007; Freyens, 2010) or whether there is no one best way of strategic workforce planning (Evers & Verhoeven, 1999; Giehl & Moss, 2009; Boxal & Purcell, 2011). Although 16 researchers argue that the design and implementation of SWP depends on internal and external contextual variables, no study investigated which contingency factors matter in the Dutch Healthcare sector. The aim of this study is to explore which different contextual factors might effect or influence the strategic workforce planning process in healthcare sector organizations. In practice, this will lead to a more custom developed SWP process that aligns with the organizational objectives of the specific organizations. Therefore the following sub-question has been formulated: “Which contextual factors influence the strategic workforce planning process in the healthcare sector?” The following section will provide an overview of different potential factors that, according to research (Evers & Verhoeven, 1999; Paauwe, 2004; Datta, Guthrie, & Wright, 2005; Boxall & Purcell, 2010), have an effect on the strategic workforce planning process in organizations. However this list of contextual factors for the Dutch healthcare sector is not exhaustive and will be complemented during the explorative stage of the research. In addition, both possible internal and external contextual factors will be discussed in the upcoming section. 2.4.1 External factors According to several researchers (DiMaggio & Powell, 1983; Paauwe, 2004; Boxall and Purcell 2010), there are multiple external contingency factors that have an influence on SHRM practices and thus on strategic workforce planning. The factors that will be taken into account are part of the institutionalized context. The factors are intensity of competition, segmentation in the healthcare sector and collective bargaining agreements. Institutionalized context The external factor that will be discussed is the institutionalized context of the healthcare sector. The Contextually Based Human Resource Theory (Paauwe, 2004) states that organizations not only respond to institutional settings. Institutional mechanisms, such as legislation, the role of trade unions and the role of government influence the design of SHRM policies and practices (DiMaggio & Powell, 1983; Veld, 2012). Regarding the institutional mechanisms in the Dutch Healthcare sector, the sector is characterized by a specific institutional setting, namely the combination of market processes and government regulations (Veld, 2012). In addition the Dutch 17 healthcare sector consist out of different segments. These different segments are: academic hospitals, other hospitals, GGZ, Disabled care, Nursing and home care, other care, well-being and social services, youth care, childcare (AZW, 2013). The segments are among other things characterized by different levels of competition and different collective bargaining agreements (Evers & Verhoeven, 1999). In the following section three factors will be taken into account namely, segmentation of the Healthcare sector, intensity of competition and collective bargaining agreements Segmentation of the Healthcare sector According to Boxall and Purcell (2011) it is essential for organizations to adapt to the industry context. However, industry is a broad concept that consists out of various levels in which differences in strategic workforce planning processes occur. These various levels are: differences between broad sectors, differences between industries within sectors and differences within industries across strategic groups (Boxall & Purcell, 2011). The different segments in the Dutch healthcare sector are: academic hospitals, other hospitals, GGZ, disabled care, nursing and home care, other care, well-being and social services, youth care, childcare (AZW, 2013). A labor market prediction from 2013 to 2017 of the healthcare sector showed major differences between the different segments (AZW, 2013). On the one hand there are segments that show a slight higher demand or the same demand of personnel needs in the future, such as hospitals and academic hospitals. On the other hand the AZW (2013) indicates that segments such as nursing and home care sector will have a future labor surplus. Moreover the nursing and home care sector is characterized by a low to moderate skilled workforce, since is mostly consist out of lower skilled nurses (AZW, 2013). While, the hospital sector consists out of a higher skilled workforce with high and specialized skills (higher skilled nurses, doctors) (AZW, 2013). Thus, this indicates that different sectors need to apply different strategic workforce planning strategies, because it is easier to attract low/moderate skilled workforce in comparison to a higher skilled workforce. Giehl and Moss (2009) argue that an organization which contains mostly lower skilled employees, such as nursing and care home sector, talent is viewed as replaceable and focus is on anticipating on turnover and acquire low-cost talent quickly. In other words, for the nursing and home care sector there is less need to implement strategic workforce planning, since short-term vacancy filling and anticipating on turnover should be sufficient. However, since the hospital 18 sector relies on a higher skilled workforce with high and specialized skills, there can be assumed that more hospitals have implemented strategic workforce planning. This will lead to the following proposition: Proposition 1: “Labor market characteristics specific to different segments, might influence whether organizations have implemented a strategic workforce planning process. Intensity of competition Within each segment in the healthcare sector, or in the whole healthcare sector, organizations need to maintain their position in the competitive market (Boxall & Purcell, 2011). Competition in the industry can be fierce or weak. A competitive industry is, in contrast to a less competitive market characterized by striving for efficiency, effectiveness, flexibility, innovativeness and speed (Paauwe, 2004). In terms of strategic workforce planning this suggests that in markets with a high level of competition, attracting and retaining employees who have the right knowledge, skills and abilities is essential to adapt to the competitive market (Boxall & Purcell, 2011). Regarding to the Dutch healthcare sector there has been a shift made from a more supply oriented system towards a more competitive market whereby the emphasis lies on more demand an patient-oriented care (Veld, 2012). This shift is caused by Dutch policy, which is aimed at more marketization of the Dutch healthcare sector, with the underlying assumption of increasing the quality, the innovative capacity and a more client-oriented focus of this sector (Maarse, 2011). Marketization of the healthcare sector implies more competition and therefore more focus on attracting and retaining employees who have the right knowledge, skills and abilities to achieve competitive advantage (Boxall & Purcell, 2011). Therefore a strategic workforce planning strategy becomes more important in the Dutch healthcare sector. In addition, this raises the question whether organizations acknowledge this and therefore implement strategic workforce planning due to increased competition. This will lead to the following proposition: Proposition 2: The level of competition might influence whether Dutch Healthcare organizations have implemented a strategic workforce planning process. 19 Collective Bargaining Agreements Another part of the institutional mechanism is the presence of the Collective Bargaining Agreement (CBA), the Dutch healthcare sector consist out of different CBA’s for the different segments. However, in all of these CBA’s different HR practices (wages, employee benefits, equal treatment, diversity) are included and pre-determined (Veld, 2012). Therefore one CBA will be discussed in more detail, namely the CBA for general hospitals. The CBA for general hospitals specifically focuses on attracting and retaining employees and furthermore new agreements were made on equal treatment of employees, irrespective of their age. For example, the exception of night and weekend shifts increased to 59 years and employees with a pensionable age are allowed to continue work after reaching this age. These regulations are aimed at extending the amount of available human capital for preventing future labor shortages. This implies that institutionalization affects the composition of the workforce, which inevitably influences the strategic workforce planning process. Therefore the following proposition is formulated: Proposition 3: “Collective Bargaining Agreements influence the design and implementation of strategic workforce planning process”. 2.4.2 Internal factors Besides external contextual factors that might influence the design of the strategic workforce planning process, research argues that there are several internal factors that affect the SHRM policies and practices executed in organizations (Evers & Verhoeven, 1999; Cotton, 2007). After a review of the literature, several factors have been selected, which are: size, structure of the organization and available resources. Size The headcount differs among organizations and this has an influence on how organizations should adapt to future workforce needs (Jackson & Schuler, 1995; Evers & Verhoeven, 1999). Jackson and Schuler (1995), argue that large organizations rely less on temporary staff, use more sophisticated staffing, have better training and development and have a more highly developed internal labor markets. In addition, Choudhury (2007) showed in his study of strategic workforce 20 planning in small local governments that the size of the organization increases the more formal role of demand analysis. Thus, in smaller organizations managers believe that via an informal process, the future personnel demand can be identified. In larger organizations, there might be more need of a formal strategic workforce planning process. This results in the following proposition: Proposition 4: “The size of an organization might influence whether Dutch Healthcare organizations have implemented a strategic workforce planning process. Structure of the organization Several researchers argue that the structure of the organization will have an influence on the strategic workforce planning process (Jackson & Schuler, 1995; Evers & Verhoeven, 1999). Evers & Verhoeven (1999) use Mintzberg (1979) five different structural configurations of an organization to describe possible differences in strategic workforce planning; simple structure, machine bureaucracy, professional bureaucracy, divisionalized form and adhocracy. According to Veld (2012), traditionally, most healthcare sector organizations were structured via the professional bureaucracy configuration. In other words this means that similar capacities of employees are grouped in one department. For example in hospitals surgeons are in the surgery department and nurses are in the nursing department (Veld, 2012). In this configuration SWP focuses on long-term demand analysis and retaining talent in the organization (Evers & Verhoeven, 1999). In addition, this configuration is characterized by high levels of task differentiation and specialization, whereby each department wants to optimize its level of functioning, characterize a professional bureaucracy. However, this causes difficulties of coordination between different departments (Vos, van Oostenbrugge, Limburg, van Merode, & Groothuis, 2009). Currently, healthcare organizations are shifting towards more process-oriented and a customer-focused organization. In addition, this means that organizations need to be structured in more functional way whereby boundaries are crossed between departments and employees need to achieve common goals with employees from other departments (Veld, 2012). When shifting to a structure with cross-functional teams organization need to map their current human capital. In addition, they need to identify which skills, knowledge and abilities are needed in the cross21 functional teams and build a strategy of how to close this gap. Thus, this implies that healthcare organizations that are shifting towards a more process-oriented and customer-focused organization have implemented and used a more general process of strategic workforce planning. Therefore, the following propositions is formulated: Proposition 5: “Healthcare organizations which shifted towards more cross-functional teams are more likely to have implemented a strategic workforce planning process in comparison to other healthcare organizations.” Available resources Cotton (2007), argues that an important factor for successfully implementing the strategic workforce planning process is having the right resources available that facilitate the process. There are several aspects of available resources that contribute to having the appropriate level of resources. Firstly, it is important to have a strong IT system whereby workforce data is available for managers and supervisors who are involved in the daily workforce planning. Cotton (2007) states that having enough financial resources is the second aspect of available resources, which facilitate the process. The last aspect is that right amount of human capital needs to be available in the HR departments. When HR employees do not have the right skills, abilities and knowledge, successfully implementing the workforce planning strategy is impossible (Cotton, 2007). Therefore the following proposition is formulated: Proposition 6: “The availability of resources might influence whether organizations have implemented a strategic workforce planning process. 22 3. Methodology This part of the research explains how the main research question and the sub-question were investigated. First of all the research design and sample is described, and finally data collecting and the analysis will be discussed. 3.1 Research design This study was designed as a qualitative research in order to provide a deeper insight in the strategic workforce planning processes and use of workforce segmentation by Dutch healthcare organizations. In addition, these semi-structured interviews may determine which contextual factors have an influence on strategic workforce planning and workforce segmentation. Because there is almost little to no research on SWP and workforce segmentation in combination with contextual factors, a qualitative research design was chosen. The main method of data collection was interviewing, with 21 respondents working in seven different organizations. Because the entire workforce will be taken into account, the level of analysis was on organizational level. In addition, this research was conducted by a cross-sectional research method, since it only gathers data at one point in time (Ritchie & Lewis, 2003) 3.2 Research Sample This study focuses on different types of organizations in the healthcare sector. The interviews were conducted with 21 respondents working at seven different organizations. Respondents for the interviews were contacted via personal network and social media, after which an e-mail about the content of the research was sent. Interviews were held with HR Managers, Senior Managers and Line Managers within Dutch healthcare sector organizations. Three participants in each organization were interviewed to create a better overview and a more in-depth understanding about the strategic workforce planning process, segmentation of the workforce and contextual factors influencing the SWP process. The HR managers were interviewed because SWP is part of the HR policy. In addition, the Senior Managers were interviewed because they have an overall view of the organization and they have a lot of knowledge about the environment of the organization. Finally, Line Managers were interviewed to determine whether SWP is actually executed in the organization. The composition of the sample is included in table 1. 23 Organiza tion Disabled care Nursing hom e1 Nursing home 2 Home care Hospital 1 Hospital 2 Ambulance Segment Disabled care Nursing care and care home 130 HR Advisor Hospital No Specific segment 3000 HR Manager Nursing care and care home 950 HR Manager Hospital Size Responde nt 1 Nursing care and care home 300 HR Advisor 3200 HR Manager 200 HR Manager Responde nt 2 Project Manager Senior Manager IT manager (Planning) Director Senior Manager Responde nt 3 Line Manager Line Manager Line Manager Team leader Line Manager 4500 HR Business Partner HR Business Partner Team leader IC Director Line Manager Table 1: Description of research sample 3.3 Instruments In order to explore the process of strategic workforce planning in the Dutch healthcare sector, the degree of segmentation in the workforce and which contingency factors influence this process, several sub-questions were presented in the theoretical framework. These sub-questions were studied with two methods, which will be discussed in the next section. 3.3.1 Document analysis The first research method used in this study was document analysis. While examining the sub research questions on the process strategic workforce planning and the contextual factors, documents provided via the site of the organization or via a respondent are studied as well. The documents are obtained from the seven different organizations and concerned the HR policy, the overall strategy and annual reports of the organizations. 3.3.2 Interviews The main method used in order in order to provide a more in-depth understanding about the research topic and gather practical data from the respondents was interviewing. The data is conducted via semi-structured face-to-face interviews, since this technique was more applicable compared to structured interviews due to the explorative character of this research (Ritchie & Lewis, 2003). 24 The interview started with a short introduction about the respondent and the specific organization that he or she works for. Thereafter, the topic of strategic workforce planning was addressed via general questions and question about the strategic workforce planning process as a whole. The aim of these questions is to investigate whether strategic workforce planning is defined different in organizations. And, in addition to identify whether the organization uses a general strategic workforce planning model and if it corresponds with the general strategic workforce planning model as defined in the theoretical framework (Nkomo, 1988; Anderson, 2004; Cotton, 2007; Freyens, 2010). Thus, questions for example referred to the alignment with the business strategy, supply analysis of the current workforce, demand analysis of the future workforce and gap identification and implementing strategies. After these questions the topic of workforce segmentation was addressed. This topic consisted out of three subcategories, with the aim to discover if healthcare organizations segment their workforce and how this process is designed. Questions were asked about how workforce segmentation is defined, in what way the workforce is segmented (uniqueness, strategic value, performance) and the process of segmenting. The last category is about the contextual factors that may influence the strategic workforce planning process. This category consisted out of two subcategories internal and external contextual factors. These two subcategories were further divided into the six contextual factors that are chosen by extensive research (Evers & Verhoeven, 1999; Paauwe, 2004; Datta, Guthrie, & Wright, 2005; Boxall & Purcell, 2010). 3.4 Procedure The data for the research was collected during eight weeks, whereby the semi-structured interviews are held face-to-face within the seven healthcare organizations. The duration of the interviews was approximately 60 minutes. All interviews were executed in Dutch, since all respondents were Dutch. The structure of the interview was formed in the following way, firstly a short informal conversation, followed by mentioning confidentiality and anonymity of the respondents and a brief explanation of the research. After the interview, the conversation was transcribed, and an analysis of the data was executed. To secure the reliability of the research, each interview was recorded in order to prevent a possible loss of information. In addition, each 25 interview was fully transcribed and coded. Lastly, a written report of the interview has been sent to the respondent in order to receive verification about the content of the interview 3.5 Data Analysis All of the data with regard to the questions asked to the respondents were coded and analyzed via a qualitative content analysis method. Qualitative content analysis is a systematic method for summarizing interview content into specific and meaningful categories according to the rules of coding (Stealer, 2001). As a result, a coding scheme was developed in order to categorize the responses of the interviewees into the right category. The first step was to identify the overarching themes and thereafter label the data. Due to the fact that the interviews were conducted in a structured manner, the next step was coding the data. The next step was to order the data in a way that material with similar content is organized together and finally summarize the original data. This all has been done via a matrix-based method. First of all, the category strategic workforce planning was analyzed and interpreted. A precondition for determining the degree of implementation is counting the steps outlined in the theoretical framework (one to seven). A score of zero means that none of the strategic workforce planning processes is implemented in the healthcare organization. In addition, a score of seven means that all the steps are implemented in the organization. Subsequently, the organizations were ranked from one to seven. The organization that is ranked as highest, thus number one has the highest level of strategic workforce planning. Practically, this implies that healthcare organizations have developed a strategic workforce planning process based on external environment, the business strategy, current supply and future demands of the organization. Organizations that are ranked in the middle, thus as fourth or fifth are executing three or four steps of the workforce planning process. Lastly, the organization that is ranked as seventh has most likely not implemented a strategic workforce planning model. Besides counting the steps it is important to analyze whether the steps of SWP are integrated with each other. Because almost none of the organizations have implemented a SWP process, it is hard to identify whether healthcare organizations have integrated the SWP steps with each other. Therefore, counting the steps will give an indication of the level of SWP. 26 Workforce segmentation is the second category that was coded and analyzed. Again a matrix-based overview was created in order to analyze and interpreted the data. Firstly on the vertical axis the organizations were ranked from a one to seven based on the earlier analysis about strategic workforce planning. The horizontal axis consisted out of the different subcategories and subdivisions of workforce segmentation (e.g. Function, Performance, Uniqueness). Subsequently, an overview was created whereby analysis and interpretation has been done about if organizations segment their workforce and how this process is designed. Finally, the matrix provides an overview, whether workforce segmentation is applied more in organizations with a high degree of SWP implementation than organizations with a low degree of SWP. The last category consists of the contextual factors in the healthcare sector. The contextual factors were analyzed by creating a matrix-based overview of each contingency factor. On the vertical axis the organizations were ranked based on the ranking in the strategic workforce planning analysis. The horizontal axis consisted out of the specific contextual factors. In addition, there was no general way of analyzing the contingency factors. For example, the contingency factor size was analyzed in the following way: In the table, the organizations are grouped based on size, allowing data interpretation. Thereafter, an overview was created of which contextual factors influences the SWP process in specific the healthcare organizations according to respondents. Based on this overview, the answers were interpreted and compared to each other. The qualitative content analysis should provide an overview of the different strategic workforce planning processes used in practice and should give insight segmenting the workforce in organizations. In addition, the first two main categories should provide an in-depth understanding whether organizations implement workforce segmentation in the strategic workforce process and what the purpose is of this. Finally the last main category will provide enough information for answering the last sub-question. Whereby subsequently when combining all analysis the main research question can be answered. 27 28 4. Results This section will provide an overview of the results gained from the qualitative analysis of the interviews. The results are based on 21 interviews, whereby in this section evidence will be showed via direct quotes from the participants. Firstly, a short description of all the organizations will be given; thereafter each sub-question will be analyzed. 4.1 Description of the cases The sample consists out of seven Dutch healthcare organizations and all organizations operate in the non-profit sector. In the first organization, people that have a mental, physical or psychosocial are the core business of the organization. In their 10 institutions they provide complete care for disabled people. The organizations in this case will be referred to as “Disabled care”. The second organization is provider of responsible and suitable ambulance care for every potential patient. In the following sections the organization will be referred to as “Ambulance”. The third organization is a large top clinical hospital with high ambitions. The organization is known for their specialisms neurosurgery and radiosurgery. The organization will be further named “Hospital 1”. The fourth organization is a hospital founded through a merger in 2001. Their mission is to deliver accessible, efficient and safe basic and top clinical care of the highest quality. From now on the organization will be called “hospital 2”. The fifth organization is a former nursing home for nuns. Nowadays it is a small nursing and care home in which living and working from a Christian perspective, stands central. The organization in this case will be referred to as “Nursing home 1”. The sixth organization is also operating in the nursing and care home segment. Their core business is housing with care, nursing and home care and home care in small scale care environments. The organization will be further named “Nursing home 2”. The final organization is a small home care organization that wants to deliver quality care to clients in an environment where their client feels comfortable. In the following sections the organizations will be referred to as “Home care”. 4.2 Strategic workforce planning process In the first paragraph the first sub-question: “To what extent does the strategic workforce planning process of healthcare organizations correspond with the general strategic workforce planning 29 process?” will be analyzed. To provide an answer on this sub-question, the level of strategic workforce planning within an organization will be measured based on the characteristics described in the theoretical framework. The characteristics that are used are: firstly the strategic direction and link with strategy, secondly an internal and external scan, thirdly a supply analysis, fourthly a demand analysis, fifth the gap analysis, sixth the actual action and lastly the evaluation of SWP and SWP as an ongoing process phase. When organizations meet the characteristics of a criteria 1 point is assigned. However, due to the fact the it is sometimes not clear whether organization meet the full criteria for an entire phase, 0,5 points are assigned to organizations who have implemented parts of the phase. The first characteristic that will be analyzed is the strategic direction and the link between workforce planning and the organizational strategy. One organization, Home care, mentioned that due to the fact that they are small and relatively young they have not defined their strategic direction. Hospital 1, Hospital 2, Nursing home 1 and Nursing home 2, Ambulance and Disabled care indicated that they have determined the strategic direction of the organization. However, almost no organization has aligned the strategy of the organization with SWP. Only Disabled care and Ambulance stated clearly that their workforce planning process is in line with their strategy. “The HR policy is in line with the strategy of the organization. The strategy says that we have to prepare for budget cuts and that we have to switch to another target group. This means that the requirements for personnel will change and in addition you have discover what is the new target group and what kind of competencies do you need. “This means that you have to link your strategy with strategic workforce planning” (Senior Manager, Disabled care). The internal and external scan of the environment is the second characteristic that is analyzed. Hospital 2 and Nursing home 2 argue that you have to take in to account the environment and you have to assess the value of environmental changes. “We do look at the environment and external factors, however it is hard to assess the value of it. We take it into account and take it seriously, but I have to keep in mind that in the past decade the environmental predictions were not right” (HR Manager, Nursing home 2). Home care and Nursing home 1 mentioned that they take in to account the environment. However, according to these organizations the labor market is loose and therefore they do not anticipate on the environment. 30 “We do look at the environment, however, at the moment we do not experience problems in terms of recruiting personnel. Therefore, for our organization the environment is not extremely relevant” (Senior Manager, Nursing home 1). Furthermore, Hospital 2, Nursing home 1, Nursing home 2 and Home care mention that they do look at the environment but do not actively cope with it. However on the contrary, Disabled care, Ambulance and Hospital 1 mentioned that in terms of SWP anticipating on the environment is important. “You have to make sure that you can anticipate on the environment in terms of your personnel”(HR Manager, Ambulance). Thus, these organizations take into account the environment and possible changes and they cope with these changes. “ We made a scenario based on four different angles; the developments in the healthcare sector, the financial scenario, the internal and external labor market and the strategy of the organization. Based on this scenario we have insight in possible changes and we can coop with these changes.” (HR Manager, Disabled care). Overall, every organization and all of the respondents explained that it is important to take into account the environment and the changes in the healthcare sector. Supply analysis is the next characteristic that is studied. This third step in the SWP process is partially executed by all organizations. All healthcare organizations mention that they know the inflow, through flow and outflow of the whole organization “We strongly monitor on the inflow, through flow and outflow of the entire workforce. Furthermore each Line Manager is responsible for his or her department. Each year the manager develops a policy for their department. This plan also includes the determined guidelines for the workforce and possible changes in the workforce. This will be monitored and will be discussed during the monthly meeting” (HR Business Partner, Hospital 2). Disabled care, Ambulance and Hospital 1 are going even one step further and have performed a people review whereby they mapped the competencies and skills of the workforce and identified the stars of the organization and the under performers “We have a good overview of the inflow, through flow and outflow of all people in de upcoming five years. In addition, a half year ago we did a people review. Who are the talented people in the organization and who are not? We want to make a distinction between talents and underperformers. We want to encourage people to develop themselves through training” (HR Manager, Ambulance). 31 Identifying the future needed demand of the workforce is the fourth step in the SWP process. Not all organizations that have met the criteria for the supply analysis phase have executed a demand analysis. Hospital 2, Nursing home 2 mentioned the uncertainty in the healthcare sector as a reason for not executing a demand analysis “The question is whether this is possible for this kind of organization. It is a systematic approach, while you can question if you can forecast and plan everything. A hospital is an extremely complex organization with various stakeholders who influence the development of a hospital (politics, health insurance companies, the law). Thus, it is very complicated to predict how does the organization look like in two years and what kind of demand of employees there will be” (HR Business Partner 1, Hospital 2). However, in contrast Disabled care and Ambulance mentioned that the reason they executed an entire SWP process including a demand analysis was due to the uncertain environment “We implemented SWP because in the sectors we operate there are many environmental changes that we need to adapt to (..). You almost know for sure this has consequences for your personnel formation. In addition this means that employees will need other competencies. And you can wait until it happens to you and then react. Or you can anticipate and that is de goal of strategic workforce planning” (HR Manager, Disabled care). The fifth step in the SWP process is the gap analysis. For almost all organizations this is an inevitable step due to economic crisis en the changes in the healthcare sector. However since almost all organizations do not have implemented an actual SWP process (only Disabled care), they lay emphasis on the quantitative part of workforce planning. Nursing home 1, Disabled care, Nursing home 2 and Hospital 1 mention that they have to deal with labor surpluses “I am worried about how do I get to keep my personnel. The personnel wants to stay here but due to new government policies we have less clients and this causes labor surpluses” (Line Manager, Nursing home 1). Besides a quantitative gap, Hospital 2, Disabled care and Ambulance mentioned that there is a gap between currently available skills en competencies of employees and future needed skills. “In the Healthcare sector there will be a shift towards more HBO level nurses instead of MBO level Nurses. This means that in the future I expect that there is going to be shortages of HBO educated nurses and on the other side surpluses of MBO level nurses. This transition phase that will be our biggest challenge” (HR Business Partner 2, Hospital 2) 32 The next step is developing an action plan and implementation of the action plan. One solution mentioned by Hospital 1, Hospital 2, Disabled care, Nursing home 1 and Nursing home 2 is creating more flexibility. This can be done in the organization it self by working in different departments. “Due to governmental measures, my department needs less personnel. It is important to create flexibility and work together with other teams within the organization. This means that someone has to work in another team and in that way can keep his or her job. However at the moment, employees still only work in their own team” (Nursing home 1, Line Manager). However all these organization mention creating flexibility as a possible solution, only Hospital 1 and Disabled care are currently implementing an action plan which provides more flexibility. “When I first arrived here as manager my department consisted out of sub-departments that did not cooperated at all. If one sub-department had a labor surplus and the other one had shortages it was not discussable to help-out in the sub-department with shortages. This is such an economic loss. Thus, I decided to let people work on both sub-departments and created organizational efficiency” (Line Manager, Hospital 1). One other way that was mentioned by Ambulance is creating a network organization whereby people are working in two different organizations. “My vision is to create an organization with more “Ketenaanstellingen1” and create an organization whereby I can place employees. “Ketenaanstellingen” will create more dual-jobs and thus the organization becomes more flexible” (Director, Ambulance). Besides the organizations that have an action plan or some form of an action plan, Nursing home 2 and Home care do not have any form of an action plan. In the case of Nursing home 2 there was a discrepancy in answers between the respondents. On the one hand the HR Manager stated that they actually are busy with implementing SWP, executing a gap Analysis and subsequently developing an action plan. On the other hand the Line Manager did not mention any of the aspects of SWP and the IT Manager (planner) even stated that they only just plan personnel in terms of quantity. The last step in the SWP process that will be analyzed is the evaluation of SWP and SWP as an ongoing process phase. Almost no organization evaluated the strategic workforce planning process as a whole. The underlying reason for this is that most organizations do not have an actual 1 “Ketenaanstellingen”: care provided by different health professionals and costumed to a patient with specific needs. 33 SWP process implemented but just executed several steps of the SWP process. The one organization that actually had implemented SWP mentioned that evaluation of SWP and SWP as an ongoing process was an important aspect of the whole process. “We have to secure the strategic workforce planning process, this means that we are going to revise the process on a yearly basis and change action plans when needed” (HR Manager, Disabled care). Furthermore four organizations, Disabled care, Ambulance Hospital 1 and hospital 2 mentioned that they take into account workforce planning on the long run (3 to 5 years) and adapt when necessary. “We use a timeframe of three to five years regarding workforce planning and we adapt when needed” (HR Manager, Ambulance). After evaluating every step it is important to take in to account whether the steps are integrated with each other. Because almost no organization implemented SWP it is hard to determine which organizations have integrated the SWP of SWP with each other. Disabled care is the only organization that developed a SWP process and integrated all the steps in the process with each other. “They are in fact logical steps that are put in a systematic way and are integrated with each other. In this way you can control a very complicated process” (HR manager, Disabled care). For the rest of the organizations there can be concluded that the amount of steps is an indication for the degree of implementation. Based on the analysis there can be concluded that each organization execute several steps of the SWP process. Remarkably, only Disabled care mentioned during the interviews that they had implemented an actual SWP process. In addition, the other organizations mentioned that there was not a general process for the whole organizations but only some of the characteristics of SWP were implemented in the whole organization or in several departments. As seen in table 2 only Disabled care meets the criteria of the SWP process as a whole. The respondents of Disabled care mentioned that they made a transition from workforce planning to strategic workforce planning. In addition, only one other organization, Ambulance, scores relatively high on the level of implementation of SWP and is second in the ranking. Hospital 1 scores 5 points and is third in the ranking, fourth is Hospital 2 with 3,5 points. Fifth is Nursing home 1 with 3.5 points, Nursing home 2 is has a sixth place in the ranking and lastly Home care with only one point. A complete can be seen in table 2. 34 Disabled care Ambulance Hospital 1 Hospital 2 Nursing Home 1 Nursing Home 2 Home care Strategic direction & link with strategy (SWP 1.1) 1 1 0,5 0,5 0,5 External & internal scan (SWP 1.2) Supply analysis (SWP 1.3) Demand analysis (SWP 1.4) Gap analysis (SWP 1.5) Action (SWP 1.6) Evaluation & ongoing process (SWP 1.7) Total 1 1 1 0,5 0,5 1 1 1 0,5 0,5 1 1 1 0,5 0,5 1 1 0,5 0,5 0,5 1 0,5 0,5 0,5 0,5 1 0,5 0,5 0,5 0 7 6 5 3,5 3 0,5 0,5 0,5 0 0 0 0 1,5 0 0,5 0,5 0 0 0 0 1 Table 2: Strategic workforce planning Overall Disabled care, the highest ranked organization, distinguished itself from the six other organizations because it actually implements a SWP process. In addition the organization not only focuses on the quantitative aspects of workforce planning but also lays emphasize on the quantitative aspects of strategic workforce planning. Furthermore it was the only organization that actually made an action plan and took action. Best Practice case – Disabled Care Because Disabled care is the only organization that implemented a SWP process; it is interesting to outline the motives why they implemented SWP and to describe their SWP process as a best practice. Information of the motives and the SWP process of Disabled care are gathered through interviews and document analysis. One of the main motives to implement SWP according to Disabled care is that SWP is an instrument that provides an answer to, how many and which employees are needed in the organization. In addition, it provides an answer to how Disabled care can anticipate on the variations between the demand for care and the cost reductions that the organizations have to deal with. Besides the main motives, the organization wants to achieve several goals while implementing SWP. The goals are: learning experience, more insights in the gap between current personnel and future personnel needs, designing a strategic policy in which the inflow, through-flow and outflow of personnel can be aligned with future organizational needs (recruitment, selection, training, flexibility), Workforce in terms of numbers, quality, cost and flexibility meets the future needs and prevent that the organization can not sufficiently achieve the 35 planned objectives and activities. After formulating the motives and goals of the tool SWP, Disabled care started implementing SWP. While implementing SWP, Disabled care received support from the organization “Zorg aan Zet”; an organization that actively supports organizations while they implement SWP. The first step was composing a multidisciplinary project group (Financial manager, HR manager, Line Manager, Directors and intern and external project leaders) and formulating a project plan. The second step is the HR-Quickscan, in this step a “photo” is taken of the current personnel formation and in addition the gathered data was analyzed. In the third step possible scenarios of the organization in the future were linked to the future needed workforce. Different aspects were taken into account for creating these scenarios, the scenario’s that were included are: healthcare related scenarios, financial scenarios, personnel scenarios (including the labor market) and the strategic direction of the organization. Because Disabled care consists of multiple work foundations, three scenario’s (worst, middle and best case) are developed for every work foundation The fourth step is the gap analysis phase (for every work foundation), in which a comparison is made between current and future workforce according to quality, quantity, costs and flexibility (employment relations). Finally HR policy priorities are formulated, these will contribute to the achievement of the desired and required target information. This process will be repeated every year. Implementing SWP has led to several important results for Disabled care. For Disabled care the advantage of this structured approach is that the organization can anticipate on the future predictions of specific personnel shortages or surpluses and can undertake action in a timely manner. In this way Disabled care can prevent a crisis. In addition, implementing SWP has resulted in an organization wide personnel-planning system. In other words, personnel surpluses in one work foundation can be prevented by transferring employees to a work foundation with personnel shortages and this creates more flexibility for the organization. Finally, SWP gave Disabled care insight into the amount of different functions in the organization. It turned out that Disabled care had more than six hundred different functions in the organization. SWP has helped Disabled care to reduce this to eighty different functions spread over a limited number of job 36 families. This also resulted in better recruitment and selection and training and development policies. 4.3 Workforce segmentation Now that there has been determined to what extent healthcare organizations implement strategic workforce planning, the analysis will continue with workforce segmentation. This will be done on several aspects, firstly there will be examined whether organizations made a distinction based on function. After that segmentation based on performance will be take in to account and finally segmentation based on strategic value will be taken into account. Firstly, all organizations mention that they segment their workforce based on the job functions in the organization. In all organizations the main characteristic of this segmentation is difference in salary between functions. Furthermore, Nursing home 1, Hospital 1 and Hospital 2 mentioned that this segmentation is also characterized by giving more attention towards function and employees whose jobs are scarcer. “It is hard to attract nurses for the elderly care (MBO level 4). We pay extra attention to these employees. We have chosen to involve the elderly care nurses in the total education program. This means that the elderly care nurses are going to teach the care employees (MBO level 2 or 3) new nursing techniques. The nurses went to school to get a training of becoming a trainer and they really liked it” (Senior Manager, Nursing home 1). Secondly, segmentation based on performance will be taken in to account. Almost all HR Managers and HR advisors of the seven healthcare organizations (except Home care) stated that on organizational level they do not segment their workforce based on the characteristic performance. The main reason for not segmenting their workforce on organizational level is that they do not have insight in the qualities and competencies of all employees. However, the linemanagers of Ambulance, Disabled care and Hospital 1 and the HR-advisor of Home care mention that they do have insight in the capabilities and qualities of their employees in their team “Every team manager knows exactly how each individual employee of his or her department functions” (Line Manager, Ambulance). The managers of Ambulance, Home Care, and Hospital 1 state that due to the fact that they know their people they make a distinction between groups of employees based on performance. In these organizations segmentation do finds place on team level “Yes, we do make a distinction between different groups of employees. For example in every team we have 37 a health coordinator. Some people out perform others and they will receive extra attention in terms of career opportunities and receive a bonus on top of their monthly salary” (Home care, HR advisor). On the question how managers know which employees perform better than other employees organizations gave two types of answers. On the one hand Home care and Hospital 1 do not have an objective performance system and stated “you just know” and that it is “gut feeling”. Thus this implies that there is no objective performance system. On the other hand Ambulance does have a performance measurement system whereby employees annually will be reviewed “We developed a dashboard and a review form based on our core competencies. Employees are rated via the ‘traffic light’ method. When employees have many green lights, you can say oh this is a well performing employee. When there are many orange or red lights, this is a sign that employees need to develop some competencies or skills” (Director, Ambulance). Besides making a distinction between employees based on performance, the respondents were asked whether they segment their workforce according to strategic value. Only the HR manager of Hospital 1 mentioned that regarding workforce planning they pay extra attention to those positions that are aligned with the strategy of the organizations. In addition, this hospital is specialized in two medical areas and thus they pay some extra attention to the workforce. Important focus points of our organization are trauma and neurosurgery (..). Of course there are huge demands in terms of education and training for these employees. In addition you need to have a lot of well-educated and trained personnel for the department trauma. Thus, you can say that some extra attention is given this part of the workforce” (HR manager, Hospital 1). The other organizations mentioned that they do not segment their workforce according to strategic value “We do not have a model for distinguishing different strategic groups and talents who get more attention and participate in a development track. This is very difficult to implement due to the fact that differentiating between employees is a taboo in the healthcare sector (HR Business Partner 1, Hospital 2)”. When combining the three different aspects of segmentation, the analysis shows that all organizations lay the most emphasize on the scarcity of employees. In addition some pay attention to the performance and only one organization mentioned segmentation based on strategic value. Furthermore, one other main result is that the analysis shows that on organizational level most organizations do not segment between employees. Segmentation often takes place on 38 department level and is based on performance or scarcity. Although this analysis shows that workforce segmentation in the healthcare sector is limited, Nursing home 1, Nursing home 2 and Hospital 2 mention that it is something that needs to be on the agenda. “No, we do not segment our workforce, because we do not have enough insight in the capabilities of employees. However this year, we laid the infrastructure for the future to map which employees and which positions are important for the organization” (HR Business Partner 2, Hospital 2). 4.4 Workforce segmentation implemented in the Strategic workforce planning process In the following paragraph the purpose of implementing workforce segmentation in the strategic workforce planning process will be discussed. This section will be analyzed based on several aspects of workforce segmentation; function, performance, strategic value. Regarding workforce planning only Nursing home 2 mentioned that they segment their workforce based on function. More specially, managers of these organizations stated that regarding workforce planning attention needs to be paid to the “direct” employees who are working with the client. “Workforce planning is most important for the primary process, healthcare, because most of our employees work there and it is pivotal for our organization” (HR Manager, Nursing home 2). Besides paying extra attention to the “direct” employees of the workforce only Hospital 2 mentioned that workforce planning is more important for function in which they expect labor shortages or these employees are scarcer. This means that when functions are scarce the organizations pay more attention to selection and recruitment and training and development. “Workforce planning is important for every function. However, when employees for a function are more scarce, this will be come more a priority and you will pay more attention to it” (HR Business Partner 1, Hospital 2). The other organizations did not mention explicitly that they segment their workforce based on function. However, all organizations mentioned that in terms of workforce planning it is essential to have enough employees of each function. This suggests that it is necessary to segment the workforce based on function. Regarding segmentation based on performance in combination with strategic workforce planning none of the organizations stated that segmenting based on performance has an influence on the workforce planning process. Hospital 2, Nursing home 2 gave as main reason that they do not have insight into the competencies and performance of employees. “On organizational level 39 we do not have systems for rating performance and the competencies of employees. Personally I think that this is impossible for 4500 employees” (HR Business Partner 1, Hospital 2). The Line Managers of the other organizations mentioned that all employees are considered to be functioning on a minimal level “Everybody in this department is the same and has the same level of education and thus we expect a minimal level of performance. Therefore we do not make a distinction in terms of workforce planning” (Line Manager, Hospital 2). Thus, this implies that performance is not taken into account while executing strategic workforce planning. Lastly, the analysis of segmentation of the workforce based on strategic value showed that only Hospital 1 mentioned that they segment their workforce based on strategic value. However this organization argued that, regarding strategic workforce planning, they do not segment their workforce based on strategic value. Therefore, there can be concluded that none of the organizations segment their workforce based on performance while executing strategic workforce planning. In conclusion, the data show that, besides function, almost none of the organizations segment their workforce for (strategic) workforce planning. The main reason for this is because none of the organizations has a model for workforce segmentation. In addition, only one organization has implemented strategic workforce planning as a process. 4.5 Contextual factors The last section will analyze which contextual factors influence the strategic workforce planning process in the healthcare sector. To provide an answer, the six contextual factors that are described in the theoretical framework will be discussed one by one. Besides these contextual factors, other possible contextual factors that the respondents mentioned will be outlined as well. 4.5.1 External factors Segmentation of the healthcare sector The first contextual factor that possibly could have an influence on the SWP process is the segment in which the healthcare organization operates. According to Research program ‘labor market health and social care’ (AZW, 2013), the healthcare sector consists out of eight different 40 segments. The seven participating organizations can be classified in four of the segments. Firstly, Disabled care is classified in the Disabled care segment. Secondly, Nursing Home 1, Nursing Home 2 and Home Care are part of the Nursing care and home care segment. Thirdly, Hospital 1 and Hospital 2 are classified in the Hospital segment. Lastly, since it is not obvious in which segment Ambulance is operating, Ambulance is classified in the other care segment. Proposition one proposed that segmentation might influence whether organizations have implemented a strategic workforce planning process. In the theoretical framework only the nursing care and home care and the hospital sector were taken into account. Because Ambulance and Disabled care are classified in the other care segment and Disabled care segment these segments will also be taken into account. Table 4 shows that organizations operating in the Nursing and home Care segment all have a low ranking on SWP. In comparison, the two hospitals are ranked in third and fourth place. This means that both hospitals have implemented more steps of strategic workforce planning than the Nursing and home care segment. In addition, the organizations in the Disabled care sector and the other care sector are ranked as highest in the strategic workforce planning process. Based on this data it can be concluded that, there is some evidence that segmentation might have an influence whether organizations have implemented a strategic workforce planning process and therefore proposition 1 is confirmed. Organization Sector Ranking in Disabled Nursing Nursing Care home 1 home 2 Disabled Nursing care care 1 Home care Hospital 1 Hospital 2 Ambulance Nursing care Nursing care Hospital Hospital Other and care and care and care home home home 5 6 7 3 4 2 terms of SWP Table 3: Segmentation of the healthcare sector Intensity of competition Most of the organizations mentioned that nowadays, the healthcare market shifted towards more competition “Currently there are many care homes, we have many competitors in the healthcare sector” (HR Manager, Disabled care). Most organizations operate in a market with some form of 41 competition. Disabled care, Nursing home 2 and Home care stated that competition in their sector is high. The main reason for this is that there are many competitors active in their region. Hospital 1 and 2 stated that in in general the competition in their sector is moderate. This is mainly because often people choose the hospital closest to their home, only in some expertise’s people deliberately choose a specific hospital. The two organizations, Ambulance and Nursing home 1, which stated that they do not experience competition mentioned that this is due to special circumstances; they are both operating in a niche market. Even though, Nursing home 2 and Home care mention that they experience a high level of competition, they have the lowest ranking in the SWP process. But Nursing home 2 together with the all the other organizations argued that SWP needs to be put on the strategic agenda due to the increased competition. In addition, the only organization that implemented an actual SWP process, Disabled care, mentioned increased competition as one the reasons for shifting towards SWP. Due to the fact that almost none of the organizations has implemented SWP proposition two is rejected. Although, this proposition is rejected many organizations mentioned that organizations are becoming more aware of the necessity of a SWP process due to increased competition. Organization Disabled Nursing Home Hospital 1 Hospital 2 Ambulance care home 2 care Competition High High High Moderate Moderate Low Ranking in 1 6 7 3 4 2 Nursing home 1 Low 5 terms of SWP Table 4: Intensity of competition Collective bargaining agreements The third contextual factor that will be analyzed is the influence of collective bargaining agreements on strategic workforce planning. Every organization stated that collective bargaining agreements have an impact on workforce planning. “The collective bargaining agreement has a major impact on workforce planning. We are affiliated with a standard agreement which means that we can not deviate from the standard collective bargaining agreement”(Line Manager, Ambulance). In addition all organizations mentioned that the bargaining agreement has negative 42 consequences for workforce planning in terms of flexibility. “At the moment we can not hire employees with a 0-hours contract. You have to hire people as a temporary employee and therefore you become less flexible” (Line Manager, Nursing home 1). Regarding long-term workforce planning, almost every organization stated that due to collective bargaining agreements the organization becomes less flexible. This is due to the fact that one the hand in the healthcare sector fixed contracts is the norm. “The basic principle of the collective bargaining agreement is that employees have a fixed contract. However these days this is almost impossible because it is hard to forecast what is going to happen next year in the healthcare sector regarding employees”(HR Manager, Nursing home 2). On the other hand due to ‘social plans’ it is difficult to fire employees “We had a horrible social plan which made it almost impossible to fire somebody” (Line Manager, Hospital 2). These examples of rules in the collective bargaining agreements and all the other rules which have to be taken into account, makes (strategic) workforce planning for organizations complex. Therefore, it can be concluded that collective bargaining agreements have an influence on strategic workforce planning and thus proposition 3 is confirmed. 4.5.2 Internal factors Size and Structure This section provides an answer to the fourth and fifth propositions about whether size and structure have an influence on the degree of strategic workforce planning. Table 5 shows the level of SWP, the size and the structure of the organizations. The organizations are categorized from largest to smallest organizations in terms of personnel. Below the size of the organization the ranking in terms of SWP is showed. The largest organization is ranked as fourth while the smallest organization is ranked on the last place. As seen in Table 5, the three largest organizations are ranked in the top four. Only one small organization, Ambulance, is ranked high regarding the strategic workforce planning process. This implies that there is a tendency that the size of the organization might influence whether organizations have implemented SWP or not. Therefore, proposition four is confirmed. Besides size, this study analyzes whether the structure of the organization has an influence on strategic workforce planning. The proposition stated that organizations that shifted towards a 43 more customer-oriented structure are more likely to implement SWP. The structure of each organization has been analyzed via documents available on the site of the organization. The structure had been determined via the organogram available on the site of the organization. In addition, several questions had been asked during the interviews about the structure of the organizations. The analysis shows that the four largest organizations have a divisional structure and the three smaller organizations have a functional structure. Although none of the organizations made a transition towards a more customer oriented structure, the interviews give some evidence that this might change in the near future. “Currently, in the Dutch healthcare sector several organizations made a shift towards a more customer focused organizations and the trend is that more healthcare organizations will follow. This will have consequences for workforce planning. This means, that the competencies that an employee needs to have to function are changing and there employees need training to close this gap” (HR Business Partner 2, Hospital 2). Furthermore, ambulance mentioned the importance of customers and that competencies need to be aligned with the customer demands. Thus, although proposition five is not confirmed these changes towards a more customer-focused organizations might be an incentive for organizations to apply SWP. In addition, because there is hardly any variety between the structures of the organizations it is not possible to draw a conclusion whether there is a tendency that structure influences the degree of implementation of SWP Organization Hospital 2 Hospital 1 Disabled Nursing Nursing Care Home 2 Home 1 Ambulance Home care Size 4500 3200 3000 950 300 200 130 Structure Divisional Divisional Divisional Divisional Functional Functional Functional Ranking in 4 3 1 6 5 2 7 terms of SWP Table 5: Size and Structure Available resources In this section the last contingency factor, available resources, will be analyzed. Proposition 6 proposed that the availability of resources might influence whether organizations have 44 implemented a strategic workforce planning process. For the analysis, available resources will be taken into account according to three aspects namely, IT Systems, financial resources and human capital within the HR department. First of all, every organization, except Nursing home 2, mentioned that a useful IT system is important for workforce planning. Disabled care, the only organization that actually implemented SWP, argued that IT plays a role in SWP. “You need a calculation tool, because otherwise you can not implement strategic workforce planning. However you need to take into account that an IT system is only a tool” (HR Manager, Disabled care). Secondly, financial resources will be taken into account. Ambulance, Hospital 2, Disabled care and Nursing home 1 stated that workforce planning depends on the available financial resources. “Financial resources are important for workforce planning in terms of career development and training” (HR Manager, Nursing home 1). Furthermore Disabled Care mentioned that the process of changing from workforce planning tot strategic workforce planning costs money in terms of an internal and external consultant. “We had one full time internal consultant and one external consultant for implementing SWP” (Senior Manager, Disabled care). Of the three other organizations, Home Care, Hospital 1, did not mention financial resources as an aspect in strategic workforce planning. The last organization, Nursing home 1, argued that financial resources does not play a role in SWP because it is not expensive. Finally, human capital as a resource will be analyzed. On the question which resources play an important aspect in strategic workforce planning Disabled care, Ambulance, Hospital 1, Hospital 2, Nursing home 2 mentioned role of human capital of the HR department. The five organizations confirmed that in order to implement SWP the overall capacity in the HR department is important. For example, Nursing home 2 mentioned that due to the fact that they only have one HR employee it is impossible to implement something a SWP, since it is an enormous process. In addition, Disabled care assigned a project manager for implementing SWP, due to the fact that the implementation is a time demanding process. Therefore, there can be assumed that the availability of human capital in the HR department is a pre condition for implementing SWP. 45 In conclusion, these results imply that the availability of IT systems, financial resources and human capital play a role in the degree of implementing SWP. This can be concluded due to the fact that five organizations mentioned that IT is a tool that supports the strategic workforce planning process. Furthermore the two highest ranked organizations (Disabled care and Ambulance), together with Hospital 2 and Nursing home 2 argue that financial resources have an influence in successfully implementing SWP. And lastly, five organizations mentioned that the human capital in the HR department is essential for implementing strategic workforce planning. Thus, combining the data of these three aspects, proposition 6 can be confirmed. 4.5.4 Other Contingency factors Besides analyzing the six-abovementioned contingency factors the aim of this research was to find other factors that possible could have an influence on strategic workforce planning. There is only one factor that is repeatedly mentioned by several organizations that possibly could have an influence on strategic workforce planning. Nursing home 1, Disabled care and Hospital 2 argued that demographical factors could have an influence on SWP. “Everything depends on what influences the demand for personnel. This depends on which care do the patients need and the need for care in the region. Demographical factors influence this. How does the population of the city looks like, what kind of diseases are there and what do we need to offer in the next few years” (HR Business Partner 1, Hospital 2). This implies that when for example the demographical characteristics of region A differ from region B this has an influence on SWP. Although several respondents mention this as a contingency factor, there research does have right data to investigate this statement. 46 5. Conclusion The aim of this research was to answer the main research question: “Which contingency factors influence the strategic workforce planning process in the Dutch healthcare sector and does workforce segmentation play a role in the strategic workforce planning process?” To answer this question several sub-questions and propositions are formulated. This section will firstly discuss the first sub-question about strategic workforce planning extensively since this sub-question led to the most important results. Thereafter the concepts workforce segmentation and contingency factors will be discussed. Strategic workforce planning: In order to identify how the strategic workforce planning process is implemented in the healthcare sector, respondents were asked about the dimensions of the SWP process. Based on these questions the healthcare organizations were ranked from one to seven based on the level of SWP. Based on the analysis only one organization has implemented a strategic workforce planning process. Of the other six organizations two meet most of the characteristics of SWP, while four organizations meet a few to almost no criteria of SWP. Regarding the seven steps of SWP, the analysis shows that most organizations implemented (to some extent) the first four steps of SWP. In addition, almost none of the organizations implemented (to some extent) the last three steps of SWP. This means that every step (table 2) of the implementation of SWP is less likely to be implemented by organizations. Due to the fact that almost no organization has implemented SWP, it is difficult to determine how the strategic workforce planning process is designed in the healthcare sector. In general, regarding the first sub-question, the overall conclusion is that only one organization meets all the characteristics of SWP and that the other six organizations meet some of the criteria. Workforce segmentation: The second sub-question is related to the level of segmenting the workforce and how this process is designed. In general there was found that none of the organizations used a specific process for workforce segmentation. However, all organizations stated that they segmented their workforce based on job functions causing differences in salary between the different functions. In addition, another result of this study is that some organizations segment their workforce based on performance. However, in these healthcare organizations segmentation based on performance does not occur on organizational level but on the level of the 47 Line Manager. Lastly, based on the analysis only healthcare organization segment their workforce based on strategic value. Workforce segmentation implemented in SWP: The purpose of the third sub-question is to investigate to what extent organizations use the process of workforce segmentation in strategic workforce planning. This study showed that organizations segment their workforce based on function and gave more attention to some of the functions in the SWP process. Furthermore, the analysis showed that none of the organizations segment their workforce based on performance or strategic value in the strategic workforce planning process. In general, it can be concluded that some organizations implemented segmentation based on function in the SWP process, but that none of the organizations used segmentation based on performance or strategic value in the SWP process. Contingency factors: In order to determine which contingency factors have an influence on the strategic workforce planning, six propositions were proposed. Of the six studied contingency factors, available resources, collective bargaining agreements, size and segmentation of the healthcare sector have an influence on the SWP process. The analysis shows that availability of resources is necessary (financial, IT, Human capital) otherwise it is impossible to execute a SWP process. Furthermore, the analysis shows that organizations have to follow the rules of collective bargaining agreements, which confines them to the framework shaped by the CBA’s. The influence of contingency factor size is confirmed because the three largest organizations are ranked in the top for of SWP. The final contingency factor that has an influence is the factor segmentation of healthcare sector. In the case of segmentation of the healthcare sector, the organizations in the hospital segment are higher ranked than the organizations in the nursing and care home sector. In addition, the two organizations in the other segments are ranked as highest, which assumes that segmentation in the healthcare sector might have an influence whether organizations have implemented a strategic workforce planning process. The influence of the contingency factor structure is rejected because there is hardly any variety between the structures of the organization. Which makes it impossible to draw a conclusion. Finally, this study has found that although organizations mentioned that due to increased competition it is inevitable to implement SWP, however currently the results do not completely confirm this statement. 48 In general, currently most healthcare organizations do not have implemented strategic workforce planning. Most organizations only implemented several steps of the strategic workforce planning process. Furthermore this study shows that workforce segmentation in terms of performance and uniqueness does not play a role in the strategic workforce planning process. Finally, several contingency factors, such as available resources, collective bargaining agreements, intensity of competition and segmentation have an influence on the SWP process. 49 50 6. Discussion 6.1 Discussion The perceived need for implementing SWP In the introduction, the reason for executing this research about strategic workforce planning was mentioned, namely the future expected labor shortages in the healthcare sector. According to several statistics (CBS, 2011; AZW, 2011; CPB, 2014), the healthcare sector will have to deal with shortages of suitable personnel caused by a higher demand for personnel and ageing of the Dutch workforce. In general, these issues will lead to a discrepancy between the supply and demand of suitable personnel. Healthcare organizations will feel the need to find a solution for this future problem. Strategic workforce planning could be an important tool for solving this problem since its aim to achieve business objectives in the most efficient way by having the right personnel with the right skills, in the right job (Evers & Verhoeven, 1999). Remarkably none of the respondents argued that labor shortages are currently an issue in the Dutch healthcare sector. The organizations stated that the labor market predictions of five years ago turned out to be wrong. Due to the current economic situation and the uncertainty in the labor market employees do not switch their jobs and this might be an explanation why the turnover percentage in healthcare organizations is extremely low. When the turnover percentage is extremely low this eventually will lead to labor surpluses in some healthcare functions. Research stated that SWP is also an excellent tool for dealing with surpluses of labor or when the demand and supply are in balance (Anderson, 2004). But, why is it that only few organizations have implemented SWP? Organizations argued that due to unpredicted changes (governmental measures, economic crisis) organizations are skeptic and reluctant in identifying future needed personnel. In addition, since they have enough qualified personnel and people do not switch jobs; they do not feel the necessity for implementing strategic workforce planning. Furthermore the respondents stated that, since there is no labor market scarcity, organizations are not afraid that they cannot recruit the right employees. This implies that organizations do not feel the perceived need to implement strategic workforce planning in times of labor surplus in the organization and no labor market 51 scarcity. In addition, many management articles confirm this argument because they only cause they mention for implementing strategic workforce planning is labor shortages. Therefore, although theory suggests that strategic workforce planning is a tool for as well surpluses, shortages and a balance of personnel, it is questionable whether this is true in practice. Implementing SWP and Workforce segmentation One other explanation of why almost none of the healthcare organizations has implemented a strategic workforce planning process and/or implemented a workforce segmentation process might be that these processes are relatively new and arising HR practices. Based on this research it can be concluded that, only one organization has implemented a SWP process and that none of organizations implemented a workforce segmentation process. In addition, the past five years several environmental changes have influenced the organizations. Due to all these environmental influences, almost all organizations recognize the importance of SWP and workforce segmentation; however they have not adopted it yet. This implies that strategic workforce planning and workforce segmentation are in an early adoption stage. This is in line with several researches about adopting new HR practices (Boon, Paauwe & Boselie, 2009; Paauwe, 2004; Mirvis, 1997). Mirvis (1997) argued that organizations that adopt new HR practices or policies are classified in four groups. First, HR leaders are the organizations that are first to implement a new developed HR innovation. They are characterized by the combination of downsizing with restructuring the organizations, employee involvement programs and the have trained and redeployed twice as much employees than the other three groups (Mirvis, 1997). Second, fast followers organizations adopt the practices before the rest of the competition to achieve competitive advantage. Third, slow followers are organizations that adopt the ‘innovation’ when it is widely known and implemented. Lastly, laggards only implement the practices when it is proven to be beneficial in other organizations. For example, regarding the seven organization that participated in this study, Disabled care was the only one who implemented an actual SWP process. The interviewees mentioned that they had to train and redeploy two third of the complete organization and employee involvement plays a major role in the organization. This implies that Disabled care meets most of the characteristics of being an HR leader. Moreover, the overall reason for Disabled care to implement SWP is 52 because they had to downsize and restructure the organization. However, when using organizations could anticipate on a possible reorganization. When organizations map their current demand and future supply, they know whether they have enough qualified personnel in the long run (Evers & Verhoeven, 1999). This analysis shows organizations if they need to take action and therefore could anticipate on reorganizations. Thus, future reorganizations could be a possible incentive for organizations to implement SWP. The above-mentioned distinction between different groups and the example of Disabled care implies that workforce segmentation and strategic workforce planning are in the early adopting stage. In addition, almost all of the six other organizations argued that they need to react and start implementing SWP or/and workforce segmentation. Thus, this implies that in a couple of years the practices, workforce segmentation and strategic workforce planning are more used practices in healthcare organizations. Strategic workforce planning: Combining best fit and best practice. This study tries to explore if and which contingency factors have an influence on strategic workforce planning. Contingency theory assumes that there is no one best way of strategic workforce planning, but that organizations need to adapt to several contextual factors in order to perform (Donaldson, 2011). The results of the analysis shows that of the six investigated contextual factors, four propositions were confirmed and two were not confirmed. The contextual factors collective bargaining agreements, segmentation of the healthcare sector, size and available resources have, as proposed, an influence on strategic workforce planning. In addition, intensity of competition and structure of an organization were not confirmed. Although this study, in general, confirms that context matters and that SWP can be successful when there is a fit between the internal and external environment, it is questionable whether the context has a major influence on the design of strategic workforce planning. Several respondents confirmed that strategic workforce planning consists out of the same general steps. In addition, the interviewees mentioned that aspects like the right people, creating insight in the workforce, scenario planning and aligning with the business strategy, are important for a successful workforce planning process. This implies that there are several best practices that are applicable in every organization. Boxall and Purcell (2011) made a distinction between the 53 best practice and the best fit approach. On the one hand the surface level of HR practices is heavily influenced by contextual factors and therefore these practices and policies are firm specific and relate to the concept of best fit. On the other hand the underpinning level is characterized by those HR policies and practices that are generic and are universal applicability, which is in line with the best practice method (Boxall & Purcell, 2003). Regarding strategic workforce planning, this study shows that the contextual factors collective bargaining agreements, intensity of competition, size and available resources have an influence on design and the way of executing strategic workforce planning. Although, this study shows that there are differences among organizations regarding strategic workforce planning the underpinning principle of SWP is universal applicable. Organization confirm that the underpinning principle is achieving business objectives in an efficient way by getting the people right with the skills in the right job at the right time (Anderson, 2004; Cotton, 2007; Evers & Verhoeven, 1999). Thus, this implies that, although there are differences by contextual factors, the general principle of strategic workforce planning is guided by universalistic principles. 6.2 Limitations Since this is an explorative study and there is limited availability of empirical studies of strategic workforce planning in healthcare organizations, it is important to take in to account limitations so that they could be avoided in the future. The research has been conducted in the healthcare sector, in different segments. The seven organizations were selected randomly. The healthcare organizations were selected on the fact that they had indicated that they had some experience in strategic workforce planning, which implies that the overall picture of SWP is even bleaker in the Healthcare sector. Unfortunately, only one healthcare organization had actually implemented a strategic workforce planning process. Due to the fact that the interview questions on SWP are based on the theoretical framework, it may have been that not all information regarding SWP has been mentioned by the other six organizations. Therefore it was difficult to get insight into whether, and to what extent, the other organizations use strategic workforce planning. In general, this resulted in a difficulty in discovering and identifying how the SWP process is designed in the healthcare sector. 54 One other limitation regarding strategic workforce planning is that this study tried to examine if and how SWP is implemented in the Dutch healthcare sector. Almost none of the organizations implemented an actual SWP process on organizational level and enormous differences between departments in organization arose. In addition each organization executed the steps of the SWP process on their own way. Which mostly led to seven different ways of executing one step. This led to difficulties in making an objective ranking about the current strategic workforce planning process in one of the seven healthcare organizations. In addition, eventually this made it difficult to examine how the strategic workforce planning process looks like in the healthcare sector. Although there are some limitations about this research set up, the use of several interviews in one organization is one of the strengths of this research. Interviews were held with a HR Manager, Senior Manager and a Line Manager, which resulted in different points of view and the ability to gain data from several levels in the organizations. Executing several interviews in one organization will increase the validity and the reliability in the research. In addition, gaining data from not only the higher levels in the organizations (HR Manager and Senior Manager), makes is possible to discover whether intended HR practices are actually executed by Line Managers. However, there is one limitation, discrepancy in the answers of the respondents. While executing the interviews, respondents of the same organization gave different answers on the same questions, which sometimes resulted in difficulties to make one clear analysis. 6.3 Theoretical implications and future research One of the theoretical implications and suggestions future research is to select a greater research sample. The current research sample is too small to explore whether different segments, size, structure, intensity of competition have an influence on the strategic workforce planning process. The developed propositions should be tested again in a larger research sample to explore whether the six contextual factors have an influence on SWP. In addition, future research should select organizations that have developed a model for workforce segmentation. This should provide an answer on the sub-research questions about workforce segmentation and should provide more insight in what the purpose of workforce segmentation in strategic workforce planning is. In addition since several respondents mentioned that demographical factors could possible influence 55 SWP, future research should also investigate the demographical characteristics of an organization and its environment. One other is implication is that almost none of the organizations implemented strategic workforce planning. However some organizations mentioned that they are in the beginning or in the middle of implementing an SWP process. Therefore, it is recommended to execute this research again in about two years. Then, most of the organizations will have implemented SWP and executed the process. This implies that if the same research is executed in two years, major differences in results will probably occur. Which implies that it is likely that more organizations will participate in the research, since more healthcare organizations will have implemented an SWP process. The greatest difference and advantage of this further research, is that the research will show more insight into the actual SWP process in the healthcare sector and better comparisons can be made. The final theoretical implication is the theoretical framework of Lepak and Snell (1999) about workforce segmentation. The model of Lepak and Snell (1999) makes a distinction between four types of employees groups through uniqueness of the human capital and the strategic value of the human capital. According to this research almost none the organizations segmented their workforce based on these two aspects. But, organizations rather mentioned function classification as an aspect of workforce segmentation. This raises the question whether the model of Lepak and Snell (1999) is exhaustive, or that function classification needs to be included in the model. Therefore, future research should investigate and test the model of Lepak and Snell (1999). 6.4 Practical implications Although all organizations have some insight in the current inflow, through flow and outflow of personnel, only one organization has analyzed the current workforce, identified future personnel needs (quantitative and qualitative), identify the gap and developed an action plan. Due to the fact the almost none of the organizations use the strategic workforce planning process and none of the organizations use workforce segmentation, this study has few practical recommendations for HR Managers. First of all, the only organization that implemented SWP, mentioned that it is of great importance to have support and commitment from the important stakeholders. In practice, this 56 means that before implementing SWP on organizational level, support of the board of directors is needed. This can be obtained by showing them the added value of SWP in terms of improved efficiency and revenues. Furthermore, cooperation between HR Managers, Senior Managers and line management is needed to successfully implement SWP. The HR department should facilitate and act supportive instead of leading. In addition, SWP is a process that is executed by line management and therefore focus and responsibility should mostly lie by the line management. Secondly, Healthcare organizations have to shift their focus from only the short-term towards a more long-term view and acknowledge the long-term strategic challenges for the healthcare sector. Due to the fact that currently the healthcare sector has to deal with major environmental changes and governmental measures, almost all healthcare organizations have to deal with reorganizations and in some cases layoffs. Strategic workforce planning is a helpful tool for organizations that have to deal with reorganization since it can contribute by identifying personnel needs, future demands and the gap. In addition, anticipating on the future situation can even prevent layoffs. It is therefore important that healthcare organizations that are reorganizing, consider strategic workforce planning, in order to get the right people, with the right skills in the right place. Lastly, it is recommended that the HR department in an organization needs to facilitate this transition, by providing a general tool or standard SWP process that helps the different departments or care homes in healthcare organizations. This means that HR needs to take a facilitating role whereby they support line management in managing the transition. In addition, HR should focus on helping the departments or different care homes in understanding and applying the underlying idea of strategic workforce planning. 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PhD thesis: Erasmus University Rotterdam Vos, L., van Oostenbrugge, R. J., Limburg, M., van Merode, G. G., & Groothuis, S. (2009). How to implement process-oriented care: A case study on the implementation of processoriented in-hospital stroke care. Accreditation and Quality Assurance: Journal for Quality, Comparability and Reliability in Chemical Measurement, 14(5), 5-13. Young, M. B. (2006). Strategic Workforce Planning: Forecasting Human Capital Needs to Execute Business Strategy. (The Conference Board Research Working Group Report). New York, NY: The Conference Board. 62 Appendix A – Interview Questions Interview HR Manager -­‐ Kunt u me iets vertellen over u als persoon en uw huidige positie in de organisatie? Strategic workforce planning -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ Waar liggen de voornaamste accenten/speerpunten op het gebied van HR? Wat doen jullie als organisatie aan personeelsplanning? Op welke manier hebben jullie inzicht in de instroom, doorstroom en uitstroom van personeel? Hoe zit het dit (personeelsplanning) proces eruit? En wie is betrokken bij dit proces? Zijn er bepaalde bottlenecks in dit personeelsplanning proces? Welke vormen van personeelsplanning kennen jullie? Maken jullie gebruik van vlootschouw ‘s, zo ja op welk niveau (per afdeling?) Hoe heeft de organisatie kennis opgedaan met betrekking tot het ontwikkelen van een personeelsplanning proces? (intern benchmarking, professionele netwerken) Speelt het overheidsbeleid hier ook een rol in? Welke werknemers data gebruiken jullie wanneer je je huidige personeelsbestand wilt definiëren? kwalitatief (competenties & skills) of kwantitatief (Personeelstrends)? Maakt u ook personeelsvoorspellingen en zo ja, is dit aan de hand van kwalitatieve of kwantitatieve data? Hebben jullie het toekomstige top personeel al in huis, zo nee hoe gaan jullie hiervoor zorgen? (op welke manier?) Welke technieken worden gebruikt om personeelsvraag en uiteindelijk tekorten en overschotten te identificeren? Spelen functioneringsgesprekken met het personeel een rol in personeelsplanning? Kijken jullie ook naar externe factoren/trends (Technology, arbeidsmarkt, economisch) wanneer personeelsvraag wordt geïdentificeerd, en zo ja welke factoren spelen hier een rol? Wat voor tijdshorizon gebruiken jullie met betrekking tot personeelsplanning? Is het personeelsplanning proces in lijn met de strategie van de organisatie en zo ja op welke manier? Wat zijn de volgende stappen met betrekking tot personeelsplanning, waar willen jullie naar toe? Wat zijn jullie best practices geweest met betrekking tot personeelsplanning (Wat heeft goed gewerkt)? Workforce segmentation -­‐ -­‐ Maken jullie onderscheid tussen verschillende groepen personeel, zo ja waarom? Hoe zijn deze groepen personeel ingedeeld? 63 Strategisch personeelsplanning -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ is personeelsplanning van even groot belang voor alle functies? Is het proces van personeelsplanning voor iedere werknemer het hetzelfde? (extra aandacht aan groep werknemers en zo ja waarom?) Welke kenmerken hebben hier een invloed op? ( Performance, opleidingsniveau, cruciale kennis, strategisch belang van de functie) Contingency factoren (Contextuele factoren) Institutionele mechanisme -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ In welke mate heeft de wetgeving invloed op personeelsplanning (Pensioenen, contracten, flexibel werk)? Welke invloeden hebben deze factoren op de aard en samenstelling van het personeelsplanningsysteem? Welke factoren werken begunstigend voor personeelsplanning en welke belemmerend? Beschikbare middelen -­‐ -­‐ Wat voor middelen spelen een rol in het personeelsplanning proces? (Financieel, Mensen, IT) Is er een specifiek software programma gebruikt om personeelsplanning te implementeren en te gebruiken. Afsluitende vragen -­‐ -­‐ Zijn er nog andere factoren die van invloed zijn op het personeelsplanning proces? Wat zijn de belangrijkste lessen geleerd met betrekking tot personeelsplanning? 64 Interview Senior Manager -­‐ Kunt u me iets vertellen over u als persoon en uw huidige positie in de organisatie? Strategic workforce planning -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ Wat zijn de voornaamste werkzaamheden van de organisatie? Waar zijn de voornaamste accenten/speerpunten van het HR beleid? Wat doen jullie als organisatie aan personeelsplanning? Hebben jullie inzicht in de instroom, doorstroom en uitstroom van personeel? Welke vormen van personeelsplanning kennen jullie? Wie is er betrokken bij dit proces? Hoe heeft de organisatie kennis opgedaan met betrekking tot het ontwikkelen van een personeelsplanning proces? (Intern, benchmarking, professionele netwerken) Kijken jullie ook naar externe factoren/trends (Technology, arbeidsmarkt, economisch) wanneer personeelsvraag wordt geïdentificeerd, en zo ja welke factoren spelen hier een rol? Speelt het overheidsbeleid hier ook een rol in? Hoe wordt er ingespeeld op de vergrijzing? En het wegvloeien van kennis? Welke werknemers data gebruiken jullie wanneer je je huidige personeelsbestand wilt definiëren? kwalitatief (competenties & skills) of kwantitatief (Personeelstrends)? Maakt u ook personeelsvoorspellingen en zo ja, is dit aan de hand van kwalitatieve of kwantitatieve data? Hebben jullie het toekomstige top personeel al in huis, zo nee hoe gaan jullie hiervoor zorgen? (op welke manier?) Wat voor tijdshorizon gebruiken jullie met betrekking tot personeelsplanning? Is het personeelsplanning proces in lijn met de strategie van de organisatie en zo ja hoe? Is het personeelsplanning proces geïntegreerd met de al gehele strategie van de organisatie, zo ja op welke manier? Wat zijn de volgende stappen met betrekking tot personeelsplanning, waar willen jullie naar toe? En wat zijn bottlenecks? Wat zijn jullie best practices geweest met betrekking tot strategisch personeel planning (Wat heeft goed gewerkt)? Workforce segmentation -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ Hoe ziet jullie personeelsbestand eruit (geschoolde of ongeschoolde werknemers) Maken jullie onderscheid tussen verschillende groepen personeel, zo ja waarom? Hoe zijn deze groepen personeel ingedeeld? Wat is van belang wanneer dit onderscheid tussen verschillende groepen personeel wordt gemaakt? Welke factoren spelen hier een rol? (Uniqueness, prestatie, strategische waarde). Wat zijn de voordelen van onderscheid maken tussen verschillende groepen in de organisatie (workforce seg mentatie) Waarom segmenteren jullie jullie personeelsbestand?/ Waarom maken jullie onderscheid tussen verschillende groepen? Wat zijn de voordelen van workforce segmentatie in de organisatie? 65 Contingency factoren Afzetmarkt -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ Opereert de organisatie in een markt met veel concurrentie? Is de vraag naar producten stabiel of dynamisch? Is de vraag naar producten voorspelbaar? Hoe wordt dit voorspelt? Branche -­‐ -­‐ Hoe zou u de relaties in de branche omschrijven? (samenwerking, relaties). Wat zijn de belangrijkste trends met betrekking tot personeel in de sector (Ziekenhuis, verpleging & verzorging sector)? Structuur/Grootte -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ Is de besluitvorming in de organisatie gecentraliseerd of gedecentraliseerd met betrekking tot het niveau waar de besluiten worden genomen in de organisatie? Is besluitvorming formeel of informeel? Is het werk kapitaal of arbeidsintensief? Zijn deze factoren in de loop van de jaren veranderd of gaat dit in de nabije toekomst veranderen? Afsluitende vragen -­‐ -­‐ Zijn er nog andere factoren die van invloed zijn op het personeelsplanning proces? Wat zijn de belangrijkste lessen geleerd met betrekking tot personeelsplanning? 66 Interview Line manager -­‐ Kun u me iets vertellen over u als persoon en uw huidige positie in de organisatie? Strategic Workforce Planning -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ Wat zijn de voornaamste werkzaamheden van de organisatie? Wat zijn de belangrijkste werkzaamheden van de afdeling? In welke mate heeft u binnen uw afdeling te maken met het vastgesteld HR-beleid van de organisatie? In hoeverre heeft u inzicht in de instroom, doorstroom en uitstroom van het personeel van uw afdeling? Maken jullie gebruik van een vlootschouw? Welke werknemers data gebruikt u wanneer uw het huidige personeelsbestand van uw afdeling in kaart wilt brengen? kwalitatief of kwantitatief? Bent u als afdelingsmanager ook betrokken bij personeelsvoorspellingen van uw afdeling? Hoe wordt er ingespeeld op de vergrijzing en het wegvloeien van kennis binnen uw afdeling? Hebben jullie op de afdeling het toekomst personeel al in huis? Zo, nee hoe gaan jullie hier voor zorgen? Spelen functioneringsgesprekken in rol in het bepalen van talent binnen uw afdeling? Worden er bepaalde technieken gebruikt om overschotten en/of mogelijke tekorten binnen de afdeling in kaart te brengen? Welke vormen van personeelsplanning kennen jullie? Wat voor tijdshorizon wordt hiervoor gebruikt? Welke systemen worden gebruikt voor personeelsplanning? Is dit structureel vastgelegd? Heeft uw organisatie een onderliggend personeelsplanning proces, zo ja heeft u hier als lijn manager mee te maken? Hoe ziet volgens u het personeelsplanning proces eruit en wie is er betrokken bij dit proces? Wat zijn volgens u de leerpunten met betrekking tot personeelsplanning en wat zijn de best practices (wat heeft goed gewerkt)? Workforce segmentation -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ hoe ziet het personeelsbestand van uw afdeling eruit? Wordt er binnen uw afdeling onderscheid gemaakt tussen verschillende groepen personeel, zo ja waar is dit onderscheid op gebaseerd? Wat is volgens u het voordeel van onderscheid maken tussen verschillende groepen personeel in de organisatie/afdeling? Is het personeelsplanningsproces voor iedere werknemers op uw afdeling hetzelfde, of wordt hier in onderscheid tussen gemaakt. Zo ja, waarop is dit onderscheid gebaseerd? 67 Contingency factoren -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ Opereert uw organisatie in een markt met veel concurrentie? In hoeverre heeft de wetgeving invloed op uw direct personeel en personeelsplanning (Pensioenen, contracten, flexibel werk) Hoe zou u de relaties in uw branche omschrijven? Is de besluitvorming in de organisatie gecentraliseerd of gedecentraliseerd met betrekking tot het niveau waar de besluiten worden genomen in de organisatie? Is besluitvorming formeel of informeel? Wat voor middelen spelen er volgens u een rol in het personeelsplanning proces? (Denk aan: IT, Financieel, Mens) Welke factoren van buitenaf hebben volgens u een invloed op het personeelsplanning proces? Afsluitende vraag -­‐ Wat zijn volgens u de belangrijkste lessen geleerd met betrekking tot personeelsplanning en waar ziet u nog verbeterpunten? 68 Appendix B – Example Transcript HR Manager Hospital 2 Strategic workforce planning -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ Waar liggen de voornaamste accenten/speerpunten op het gebied van HR? Ligt op het ontwikkelen en door ontwikkelen van vakmanschap omdat we toch zien dat dit de kern is van de strategische bijdrage die medewerkers. Het allerbelangrijkste in steek die wij als organisatie kiezen om de kwaliteit te verhogen. Tweede is resultaatgerichtheid en de derde is dan medewerkers in staat zijn om de verbinding te leggen en dat wordt steeds belangrijkers. Verbinding leggen met collega’s en met de patiënt, dat wordt steeds belangrijker maar ook met de buitenwereld. De gezondheidszorg wordt steeds meer een netwerkorganisatie als je slimmer wilt gaan werken dan moet je ook de verbinding gaan zoeken en niet alleen maar doen wat je altijd gewend bent om te doen Wat doen jullie als organisatie aan personeelsplanning? We hebben niet een heel uitgewerkt systeem voor SPP, wat we wel doen is dat we heel nauwkeurig bijhouden wat de in, uit en doorstroom cijfers zijn en daar hebben we ook instrumenten voor ontwikkelt waar managers online allerlei ken en stuurgetallen kunnen inzien. Als het gaat over de planning dan is het nu vrij korte termijn planning. We hebben het meer over roosteren dan over plannen. Er wordt natuurlijk ook wel vooruit gekeken en wordt gekeken naar begrotingen van het volgend jaar. Wat dat dan betekent voor eventuele uitbereiding en krimp en daar wordt dan op geacteerd, we hebben tot nu toe nog geen systeem organisatie breed voor personeelsplanning we zijn er wel mee bezig om dit in de toekomst te implementeren. Op welke manier hebben jullie inzicht in de instroom, doorstroom en uitstroom van personeel? Zie vorige vraag Hoe zit het met de opvolging, Trainees, Talenten? Hoe vang je een grotere krimp op? Dit gebeurt meestal via reorganisatie, dat is een besluit dat op een gegeven moment genomen wordt, dit heeft gevolgen voor medewerkers dat ze op zoek moeten gaan naar een nieuwe functie. Het liefst binnen ziekenhuis 2 en als dat niet lukt buiten ziekenhuis 2. Dit is nog al een schoksgewijze verandering die ook mensen in een situatie brengt waarin ze gedwongen opzoek moeten gaan naar iets anders. Wat wij eigenlijk nu proberen is eigenlijk dit zoveel mogelijk te gaan voorspellen zodat er geen reorganisatie meer hoeft plaats te vinden om de krimp te bereiken. Dit vraagt nog wel een heleboel werk, dit betekent dat we veel beter in kaart moeten brengen wat er op ons afkomt en ons personeelsbestand veel beter in kaart moeten brengen. In welke mate het personeelsbestand vergrijst en gaat verlopen en hoe we dat op tijd kunnen opvangen met nieuwe instroom en opleiding. Talenten binnen de organisatie, brengen jullie dat in kaart? Natuurlijk worden die wel herkent en daar hebben we nu een nieuwe systematiek voor, PVB cyclus. Plannen voortgang beoordelen cyclus. Dat betekent dat we medewerkers 69 -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ kunnen beoordelen op hun prestaties en daarmee dus ook talent herkennen. Ook hiervoor geldt op afdelingsniveau worden talenten herkent, gecoacht en gestimuleerd. Er wordt ook wel individueel en op casus niveau aan opvolgingsplanning gedaan. Bijvoorbeeld als we weten dat een leidinggevende weggaat en we hebben een talent op het vizier en zullen we die zeker polsen voor opvolging. Maar dit is geen organisatie brede systematiek waarin we kunnen voorspellen dat zoveel leidinggevende gaan vertrekken en dat we zon behoefte hebben aan vervangen en dat we op basis daarvan een klas opleiden van talenten. Op welke termijn zal dat nieuwere systeem komen? Dit jaar mee aan de slag, ik denk dat dit een stapsgewijze ontwikkeling is en dat je niet moeten verwachten dat dit er binnen twee jaar echt helemaal staat. De vraag of of dit wel überhaupt mogelijk is in zo’n soort organisatie. Het is toch vrij systemische benadering terwijl je je kunt afvragen of het wel zo werkt dat je dus alles kan voorspellen en plannen. Een ziekenhuis is een organisatie met een hele complexe dynamiek met allerlei belangen en spelers die invloed uitoefenen hoe een ziekenhuis zich ontwikkelt, politiek, zorgverzekeraars, wetgeving noem maar op. Dus het is ook heel lastig te voorspellen hoe wij er over 2 jaar uitzien en wat voor vraag naar personeel er dan is. Welke vormen van personeelsplanning kennen jullie? Wat we wel doen bijvoorbeeld, heel gestructureerd verpleegkundige opleiden en daarmee samenwerken met ROCs en hogescholen en op die manier werk je natuurlijk wel aan personeelsplanning omdat je jaarlijkse eerstejaars als instroom hebt. Tweede en derdejaars als doorstroom en een uitstroom van de pas afgestudeerden verpleegkundigen. We weten wat er in die stroom zit van verpleegkundigen die we aan het opleiden zijn en hoeveel er uiteindelijk afgestudeerd zijn en wat we daar mee willen gaan doen als ze uiteindelijk afgestudeerd zijn. Dat is meer per functiegroep. Dit geldt bijvoorbeeld ook voor de laboranten en de radiologie medewerkers die leiden we ook allemaal zelf op. Daar vindt op afdelingsniveau wel een planning plaats. ! Lijnmanagement is verantwoordelijk om dit te initiëren, wij kunnen vanuit P&O kennis aanleveren hoe ze dat beter kunnen voorspellen en ze daarin begeleiden maar voor die hele specifieke functies is dit vooral iets van de lijn. Hoe heeft de organisatie kennis opgedaan met betrekking tot het ontwikkelen van een personeelsplanning proces? (intern benchmarking, professionele netwerken)? Je lees heel veel erover in vakliteratuur, we gaan ook geregeld naar allerlei congressen en symposia bijvoorbeeld van de universiteit van Tilburg (PMC). PMC heeft onlangs een seminar georganiseerd over SPP. En in mijn vorige werk heb ik hierover ook ervaring over opgedaan en zelf een SPP proces opgezet bij een aantal bedrijven en die kennis neem ik ook van daaruit mee. Maar dat maakt het nog niet zo eenvoudig in een grote organisatie te implementeren. Welke werknemers data gebruiken jullie wanneer je je huidige personeelsbestand wilt definiëren? kwalitatief (competenties & skills) of kwantitatief (Personeelstrends)? We weten natuurlijk heel goed wie er bij ons in dienst zijn, we hebben daar allerlei data over beschikbaar en die gegevens zijn er wel en goed toegankelijk alleen we hebben ze nog niet verwerkt in een planningstool. Als je dat zou doen zou je natuurlijk vooral kijken zaken als aantal FTE dat iemand werkt, leeftijd, functieniveau, type functie waarin iemand werkt en dat zou je dan vervolgens later kunnen uitbreiden ambities voor loopbaan en ontwikkelpotentieel. 70 -­‐ -­‐ Competenties en vaardigheden: Dit gebeurt op de werkvloer wel, maar dit hebben we niet in systemen gegoten en dit lijkt me ook lastig om dit voor 4500 werknemers te definiëren. Het lijkt me beter om dit per afdeling te vast te stellen door bijvoorbeeld een vlootschouw of een potentieel beoordeling samen met de lijnmanager. We hebben ook wel eens nagedacht over een intranet instrument waarbij medewerkers het zelf kunnen aangeven waar hun talenten liggen en waar hun ontwikkelpunten liggen om op deze manier een soort marktplaats te maken, maar dit laat nog wel even op zich wachten. Ideeën zijn er genoeg, maar het meer de uitvoering en dat heeft dit toch weer niet de hoofd prioriteit. Maakt u ook personeelsvoorspellingen en zo ja, is dit aan de hand van kwalitatieve of kwantitatieve data? Dit is al beantwoord. Wat we ook doen is dat we kijken naar de toekomst in een meer globale zin. We gaan over een jaar of 4/5 over naar een nieuwbouw situatie waarin we op onze andere locatie de molengracht enorm gaan uitbreiden en verbouwen en locatie Langedijk gaan sluiten. Dit betekent dat we op een heleboel vlakken de werkprocessen moeten aanpassen en de manier waarop we georganiseerd zijn de formatie en dan gebruiken we als een soort ankerpunt om vooruit te kijken. Dus ook allerlei projecten te doen om te kijken hoe zouden we nu anders kunnen werken en wat betekent dat vervolgens voor de vraag naar personeel, we zijn er wel mee bezig. Alleen dit is pas in de hoofdlijnen doorgerekend wat dat gaat vragen. Wat het in ieder geval duidelijk maakt is dat we op heel veel vlakken met minder mensen moeten gaan werken Hoe gaan jullie daar op in spelen? Zoveel mogelijk door middel van natuurlijk verloop en kritisch te kijken of het echt nodig is om iemand te vervangen. Daarnaast daar waar nodig is bijsturen door middel van reorganisaties. Of stimuleren dat mensen zich op een andere manier ontwikkelen en ander werk gaan doen waar wel vraag naar is. Hebben jullie het toekomstige top personeel al in huis, zo nee hoe gaan jullie hiervoor zorgen? (op welke manier?) We denken dat we ze in huis hebben maar we weten niet precies wie we nou precies in de toekomst nodig hebben. Het is een beetje dubbel aan de ene kant denk ik dat we niet in de situatie zitten van arbeidsmarkt schaarste dus we hoeven niet alles op alles zetten om talenten uit de arbeidsmarkt te plukken. Het is eerder andersom hoe kunnen we afscheid nemen van bepaalde mensen. Aan de andere kant weet je ook dat je altijd toppers nodig hebt dus daar zal je altijd naar moeten blijven zoeken. Op welke manier zoeken jullie daar naar? Dat gaat dus ook weer via de lijn, dat is vaak op individuele casus gebaseerd. Iemand gaat weg of er ontstaat een vacature en dan gaan we natuurlijk selecteren wie er best bij het toekomstig profiel past. Maar we hebben niet een voorspellend systeem dat we nu weten dat we in 2017, 30 bepaalde professionals nodig hebben en dat we die nu al gaan opleiden. Wat doen jullie aan talentmanagent? We doen veel aan opleiding, medewerkers kunnen zich op allerlei manier ontwikkelen en dat wordt dan met de medewerker besproken. Dat kan bijvoorbeeld een opleiding zijn management in de zorg als bijvoorbeeld iemand leidinggevende capaciteiten heeft. Maar dat kan ook een inhoudelijk opleiding zijn of een specialisatie, dat we verpleegkundige zo goed vinden dat we denken dat die ook gespecialiseerd verpleegkundige kan worden en dat we dan ook een specialistische opleiding kunnen regelen ! allemaal in samenspraak 71 -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ met de lijn. Het is vooral het een lijn a gelegenheid, er zit nog niet heel veel sturing in vanuit HR. Het is ook maar de vraag of dit wenselijk is voor de situatie. Welke technieken worden gebruikt om personeelsvraag en uiteindelijk tekorten en overschotten te identificeren? We weten natuurlijk hoe onze formatie eruit en of de hoofdlijnen hoe die zich gaat ontwikkelen. We weten aan de hand van de begroting voor het komende jaar en de taakstelling die daar opgelegd wordt hoe die vraag eruit gaat zien en dat betekent dus ook dat duidelijk wordt wat dat voor de formatie betekent. Dit is vaak op een wat kortere termijn (1 of 2 jaar). Spelen functioneringsgesprekken met het personeel een rol in personeelsplanning? Ja ! talenten Kijken jullie ook naar externe factoren/trends (Technology, arbeidsmarkt, economisch) wanneer personeelsvraag wordt geïdentificeerd, en zo ja welke factoren spelen hier een rol? Ja, voorbeeld daarvan is dat landelijk wordt nagedacht over een beroepsprofiel van een verpleegkundige dat is iets wat heel Nederland een beetje over nadenkt. Is dit nu een HBO of MBO functie, nu door beide afstudeerrichtingen ingevuld. Zo’n ontwikkeling speelt ook hier door in de toekomst planning. Wat voor soort verpleegkundige willen wij in de toekomst hebben en hoe ziet dat functiehuis eruit en hoe ziet de bemensing van zo’n afdeling eruit als je bijvoorbeeld naar het nieuwe profiel toegaat. Welke vorm van arbeidsdeling ga je dan toepassen. Maar ook met toenemende inspectie eisen en kwaliteitseisen die worden opgelegd dat betekent ook iets voor onze eigen medewerkers en kwaliteit. We spelen hier op in door opleiding, protocollen, assessments op capaciteiten en heel gericht worden bijgeschoold waar de gaten vallen. Dat zijn wel hele gerichte interventies. Wat voor invloed heeft het overheidsbeleid erop? Heeft er effect op maar welk effect is lastig te beantwoorden. De overheid vraagt aan de ene kant dat ziekenhuizen zich als marktpartijen gaan gedragen dat betekent dus ook dat we steeds meer moeten bewust worden van onze marktpositie en van het feit dat patiënten een keuze maken om wel of niet hier te komen. Dit betekent vervolgens dat we ook moeten zorgen dat we de beste keuze voor de patiënt zijn. Die beste keuze worden we alleen maar als onze medewerkers zich als een echte professional gedragen. Dat heeft wel degelijk invloed het is een hele reeks van redeneringen die daar toe leidt. Het anders is het hele verhaal van spreiding en concentratie van zorg van ziekenhuizen moet nou ieder ziekenhuis alle specialisme in huis hebben of moeten ziekenhuizen zich richten op een paar dingen waar ze heel goed in zijn en de rest laten vallen. Voor sommige heb je een regionale functie, het is niet handig als je voor een KNO arts helemaal naar Eindhoven moeten maar voor andere dingen die heel bijzonder zijn en niet vaak voorkomen, bijvoorbeeld verwijdering van je blaas of oncologische operatie, daarvoor is het helemaal niet zo gek om naar Rotterdam of Utrecht te rijden. Dat soort keuzes van de overheid en zorgverzekeraars zullen wij gaan zorgen voor drastische veranderingen in hoe wij georganiseerd zijn. Hebben daar al drastische veranderingen in plaatsgevonden? Nee, dit is eigenlijk nog niet. Iedereen praat erover en we zien het op ons afkomen. Er wordt een strategisch profiel opgesteld, voor ziekenhuis 2 72 -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ -­‐ is dit Hart en Vaten en oncologie Vrouw en Kind. Daarnaast gezond ouder worden en daar organiseren we ons ook op. We blijven tegelijkertijd al die andere dingen doen (Oogartsen, reumatologen, plastische chirugie). Dit betekent dat we op een kruispunt staan, we weten dat we ons moeten specialiseren en aan de andere kant moeten we ook die basiszorg aanbieden. Wat voor tijdshorizon gebruiken jullie met betrekking tot personeelsplanning? 1 a 2 jaar Is het personeelsplanning proces in lijn met de strategie van de organisatie en zo ja op welke manier? Ja, heel globaal gezegd denk ik dat dat wel zo is. Omdat de strategie van de organisatie wel op het netvlies staat en bij de selectie van nieuwe medewerkers houden we daar wel rekening mee. Maar nogmaals we hebben daar geen prachtig systeem voor waar we kunnen voorspellen wat er in de komende jaren gaan gebeuren en wat dat voor de vraag naar personeel betekent. Wat zijn de volgende stappen met betrekking tot personeelsplanning, waar willen jullie naar toe? Wat wij nu gaan doen is dat we niet organisatie breed als een heel groot project gaan opzetten personeelsplanning. Wat we gaan doen is dat we per zorgkern, grote afdeling is maar eens gaan beginnen met gesprekken met het management en het teammanagement over welke veranderingen zie je nou de komende jaren nu op je afkomen? Welke keuzes maken jullie? Wat betekent dit voor hoe je georganiseerd bent en welke taken je gaat uitvoeren en wat betekent dit voor de vraag naar personeel die je hebt. Daar zetten we tegenover hoe gaat het personeels zich nou autonoom ontwikkelen (pensioen en andere dingen weg). Dat bij elkaar dat bepaald de vraag naar personeel en de behoefte om die te vervangen of juist te laten krimpen. Dit willen we gewoon per afdeling doen en op de achtergrond een database aanleggen waar we al die gegevens bij elkaar op tellen. Maar niet als een enorm project van bovenaf. Waar het ook omgaat is dat personeelsplanning is vaak enorm gebaseerd op aannames en dan reken je dat allemaal door en dan denk je de waarheid te hebben gevonden en allerlei acties te kunnen uitzetten maar in het begin van het traject zijn zoveel scenario’s bedacht en aannames gedaan. Die je uiteindelijk net zo goed waar als niet waar kunnen zijn dit bied schijnzekerheid. Ik denk dat het daarom handiger is om bij de basis te beginnen om vooral met teams en afdelingen te kijken waar ga je nou naar toe en wat betekent dat en dat later bij elkaar op te tellen in plaats van op de grote lijnen te beginnen. Wat zijn jullie best practices geweest met betrekking tot personeelsplanning (Wat heeft goed gewerkt)? Wat ik in het verleden heb gemerkt is dat het grootste belang is dat je de lijn erin betrekt en dat wil ik hier ook gaan doen als we daar mee gaan beginnen. Je moet het niet iets maken van de directie of van P&O. Uiteindelijk die je het niet om een beeld te krijgen maar om interventies te plannen. Om te gaan werven of om te gaan ontwikkelen of te laten uitstromen daar gaat het uiteindelijk om. Die actie kun je alleen maar doen als de lijn snapt waarom dat nodig is. Daar draait het uiteindelijk om. Workforce segmentation 73 -­‐ -­‐ Maken jullie onderscheid tussen verschillende groepen personeel, zo ja waarom? In beginsel maken wij geen onderscheid tussen groepen. We zijn nogal een organisatie die uitgaat van dat iedereen dezelfde rechten en plichten heeft. Het denken langs te lijn van de cao is erg belangrijk. Daarbinnen zijn er natuurlijk wel verschillen. Verschillende leeftijdsgroepen ga je natuurlijk anders mee om, met betrekking tot ontwikkel mogelijkheden en inzetten van diensten. We hebben daar niet een model voor met groepen talenten die we speciale programma’s laten ondergaan en dat is ook vrij lastig. Omdat het denken langs de cao lijn van iedereen wel erg bepalend is. Ook als het gaat om bijzondere beloningen voor prestaties dan is dat eigenlijk een taboe in de gezondheidszorg. Hoe zijn deze groepen personeel ingedeeld? Zijn er niet Strategisch personeelsplanning -­‐ is personeelsplanning van even groot belang voor alle functies? Ik denk uiteindelijk dat het voor alle functies van belang is, natuurlijk zijn er functies die schaarser zijn dan andere en daar ga je dan eerder aan denken. We zijn een aantal jaar geleden begonnen met een samenwerkingsvorm tussen allerlei ziekenhuizen in ZuidNederland Convenant arbeidsmarkt. Waarin we op macroniveau voorspelling hebben gedaan naar de toekomstige vraag naar IC verpleegkundige, OK assistenten, CCU verpleegkundige, Spoedeisend hulp verpleegkundigen. Specifieke groepen die een aantal jaar geleden heel schaars waren. Toen is er met de ziekenhuizen in het convenant afgesproken om gezamenlijk een bepaalde opleidingsinspanning te leveren waarbij naar rato die verdeeld is over de ziekenhuizen. En verder is er door de raden van bestuur afspraken gemaakt over het aantal mensen dat je opleid. In die zin zijn er wel voor specifieke groepen wel maatregelen getroffen. Die zijn ook in samenwerking met de andere ziekenhuizen, met het oogpunt het niet kan zijn dat het ene ziekenhuis veel investeert en dat ze vervolgens weggehaald worden door een ander ziekenhuis. Er zijn ook afspraken gemaakt aan het strikt houden aan de cao en strikte bepaling van Loon waar geen concurrentie op mag plaatsvinden. Onderlinge concurrentie? Arbeidsmarkt, nauwelijks. Dit komt door de mensen die werken in de gezondheidszorg. Deze mensen werken graag dicht bij huis en zouden misschien wel ooit ergens anders willen werken maar kiezen vanuit praktische overwegingen daar toch niet voor. Ik zie het wel dat als we nieuwe medewerkers hebben die instromen bij ons dat ze vaak van andere ziekenhuizen komen. Er vindt wel wat verschuiving plaats maar echte concurrentie op de arbeidsmarkt plaats vind niet plaats. Concurrentie op de afzetmarkt? Vind ik heel moeilijk te beantwoorden omdat ik niet zo goed zicht op heb. Maar dat is wel de indruk die ik heb, dat een deel van de patiënten als wat planbare zorg is. Bijvoorbeeld ik ga over 3 weken naar het ziekenhuis om een staaroperatie te doen of nieuwe knie erin te laten zetten. Dat soort zorg vind wat meer concurrentie op plaats en vind meer de marktwerking plaats. Je kan dit heel goed vergelijken, wat zijn nu de resultaten de herstelkansen. Mensen zijn er vrij bewust mee bezig en zorgverzekeraars bieden daar steeds meer informatie voor. Patiënten gaan zich op dat vlak wat meer als consumenten gedragen. Alles wat acuut is daar is helemaal geen marktwerking voor, zo snel mogelijk 74 naar het ziekenhuis. Heel veel andere basiszorg is toch ook wel dat mensen daar voor kiezen om dat in het ziekenhuis van hun stad terecht willen, omdat de huisarts dat gewoon adviseert of voorschrijft. Ik denk dat het wel meevalt met de marktwerking tot nu toe ik denk wel dat het sterker gaat worden en ik dat het ook gaat plaatsvinden voor hele specifieke ingrepen. Als je je moeten laten opereren aan iets wat heel ernstig is dan gaan patiënten toch goed vergelijken en informeren waar nu de beste zorg geleverd kan worden. Patiënten uit Limburg komen hier naar toe voor een hartoperatie. Waar verder heel veel concurrentie toeneemt is op de inkoopmarkt. Dat betekent dat zorgverzekeraars veel sterker gaan onderhandelen over tarieven op de gezonheidsmarkt. De tarieven worden ook vrijer voor onderhandelingen, waar ze vroeger werden vastgesteld door rijksoverheid. Ook voor ziekenhuizen ontstaan er keuzes, willen wij dit nog wel tegen dat tarief aanbieden aan zorgverzekeraars. Heeft dit gevolgen gehad? Nog geen dramatische gevolgen in de zin dat we nog geen behandelingen hebben moeten stop zetten. Maar we kunnen nu maar een bepaald aantal patiënten behandelen omdat er anders geen budget meer voor is. We moeten er dan op dat moment moeten stoppen. Contingency factoren (Contextuele factoren) Institutionele mechanisme -­‐ -­‐ In welke mate heeft de wetgeving invloed op personeelsplanning (Pensioenen, contracten, flexibel werk)? Medewerkers hebben een contract voor onbepaalde tijd, dat is het uitgangspunt in de cao. Dat is in de huidige tijd bijna onmogelijk omdat we gewoon heel slecht kunnen voorspellen wat er volgend jaar op ons afkomt. Die wendbaarheid voor de organisatie moeten we creëren. Aan de ene kant willen we ons heel graag aan de cao houden en dus die contracten van onbepaalde tijd bieden. Aan de andere kant waar we argumenten hebben om daar van af te wijken, bijvoorbeeld omdat we niet weten hoe begroting van een afdeling er volgend jaar eruit ziet. Dan maken we een passende aanpassing, contract voor bepaalde tijd. En dan kijken we volgend jaar of daar nog plaats voor is. Het gaat dus niet om beoordelen van mensen op langere periode dat is niet toegestaan. Je kan niet zeggen je krijgt een jaarcontract en bij goed functioneren krijg je een OT. BT kan alleen als je niet weet of als er volgend jaar nog genoeg vraag is naar die functie. Jaarcontracten gebeuren wel, maar dit kan niet als standaard gehanteerd worden. Het gebeurd wel als de formatie onduidelijk is. Ik sluit het niet uit dat sommige leidinggevende het wel gebruiken om eerst te beoordelen en dan toch te besluiten om te verlengen. Daarnaast zijn er natuurlijk allerlei andere vormen die tegemoet komen om de flexibiliseren, Min max contracten. Waarbij je een contract afsluit voor minimaal aantal uren die je sowieso kan werken en daar boven op een aantal uren die je kan werken waar nodig is maar waar je geen recht op hebt. 0-uren contracten komen steeds minder voor, en met het sociaal akkoord zijn deze vanaf de zomer verboden geworden en proberen dit nu zoveel mogelijk af te bouwen. In de cao wordt ook geprobeerd om mensen op onregelmatige basis te laten werken, maar hier zitten vaak financieel toeslagen aan vast die niet aantrekkelijk zijn voor ziekenhuis 2. Welke factoren werken begunstigend voor personeelsplanning en welke belemmerend? 75 Aan de ene kant is die cao een gedrocht want het is een enorm boekwerk met regels waar iedereen zich aan moet houden. Heel veel artikelen uit de cao hebben een standaard karakter en je bent verplicht om deze na te leven. Aan de andere kant biedt de cao heel veel duidelijkheid aan medewerkers. Het is ook makkelijker uit te leggen dat je niet afwijkt van de regels dan dat je uitlegt waarom je afwijkt van de regels. Er zitten ook allerlei elementen in de cao die gemoderniseerd zouden kunnen worden. Dan denk ik bijvoorbeeld aan toeslagen die staan op onregelmatigheid, of rechten op wachtgeld voor hele lange periode als van een medewerker afscheid genomen moet worden. Het is wel erg beschermend voor een medewerker terwijl de situatie voor ziekenhuizen op dit moment is dat ze ontzettend goed naar de portemonnee moeten kijken om de validiteit van de zorg te kunnen handhaven. Arbeidsvoorwaarden zijn heel erg geschreven op de hand van de medewerker en hierdoor wordt het lastig om te concurreren en te kunnen meebewegen met strategische verandering. Beschikbare middelen -­‐ Wat voor middelen spelen een rol in het personeelsplanning proces? (Financieel, Mensen, IT) Om personeelsplanning te kunnen realiseren, aan de ene kant kennis en die is wel beschikbaar. We kunnen die ook halen uit andere organisaties. Ook is een systeem handig, er zijn allerlei aanbieders die een stevige prijs hanteren. Ik denk dat het uiteindelijk niet in de systemen zit, goede personeelsplanning niet een kwestie is van een goed systeem aanschaffen maar dat het veel meer is dat het je lukt om het proces te organiseren binnen je organisatie. Je moet tijd vrij maken en dat je het onderwerp op de agenda weet te krijgen en dat je het lukt om daar heel gericht aandacht aan weet te geven in alle wirwar van prioriteiten. Ik denk dat dat het allerbelangrijkst is. Zowel vanuit HR als vanuit het lijnmanagement om daar samen mee aan de slag te gaan. En dan doen die systemen niet echt iets en kan je het ook in het Excel bestand te zetten. Overige contingency factoren -­‐ Zijn er nog andere factoren die van invloed zijn op het personeelsplanning proces? Eigenlijk gaat het over alles wat de vraag naar personeel beïnvloed. Dan hebben we het in eerste instantie die vraag die de patiënten aan ons stelt en de behoefte aan zorg die er in onze regio ligt. Dit wordt beïnvloed door de demografie, hoe zie de bevolking van Breda en omstreken eruit, wat voor soort aandoeningen zijn er nou de komende jaren waar we als ziekenhuis zorg aan moeten aanbieden. Dat is eigenlijk de kern van de zaak. De patiënt heeft een bepaalde zorgvraag en daar moeten wij op inspelen met capaciteit en kwaliteit. Daarnaast spelen allerlei juridische, commerciële en strategische belangen mee. Maar uiteindelijk gaat het erom wat gaan onze patiënten nou doen en als we daar een beeld van hebben dan kunnen we ook veel beter monitoren wat voor personeel we nou in de toekomst nodig hebben. Daar zijn we mee bezig en daar hebben we ook analyse, maar dat bieden vooral scenario’s. Dat zijn waarschijnlijkheden en geen zekerheden maar dat beeld wordt wel af en toe opgemaakt op basis van leeftijdsopbouw en residentie van aandoeningen. 76 Afsluitende vraag -­‐ Wat zijn de belangrijkste lessen geleerd met betrekking tot personeelsplanning? Het is een ontzettend mooi onderwerp, het is strategisch en heel veel over geschreven en in alle media gehyped. Ik vraag me af hoeveel organisatie nu werkelijk succesvol een werkend proces van hebben gemaakt. Ik ken wel wat voorbeeld maar het zijn iedere keer dezelfde voorbeelden die je hoort, Shell Rabobank. Hoeveel organisaties zijn nu werkelijk instaat iets goed te doen en het goed te houden. Het moet niet als een project neergezet worden maar iets wat normaal is om te doen als lijnmanager. Je moet er tijd voor vrijmaken. Er wordt heel veel geplugd vanuit consultancy en IT, maar uiteindelijk draait het daar niet om. Het draait erom gaan we het doen? Maken we hier tijd voor vrij? SPP is relevant, maar dat het enorm wordt aangedikt vanuit commerciële motieven en het beantwoord vooral aan de behoefte van veiligheid en zekerheid. Je hebt het gevoel in control te zijn, alleen die planning is vaak gebaseerd op aanname en zekerheid. Precies uitrekenen is vaak toch wel flauwekul. Het is goed om te doen en in gesprek te blijven met de lijn erover. 77