A LAGRANGIAN MEAN DESCRIPTION OF STRATOSPHERIC TRACER TRANSPORT by EDUARDO PANTIG OLAGUER S.B., Massachusetts Institute of Technology (1980) SUBMITTED TO THE DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY AND PHYSICAL OCEANOGRAPHY IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF SCIENCE at the MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY May 7, 1982 Massachusetts Institute of Technology 1982 - - 4 ./ Signature of Author y & Physical Oceanography (rol Certified by Thesis Supervisor Accepted by Chairman, Department Committee DRAW LiBRAR ES A LAGRANGIAN MEAN DESCRIPTION OF STRATOSPHERIC TRACER TRANSPORT by EDUARDO PANTIG OLAGUER Submitted to the Department of Meteorology and Physical Oceanography on May 7, 1982 in partial fulfillment of the requirements of the Degree of Master of Science in Meteorology ABSTRACT Following the approach of Dunkerton, the mathematical properties of the Generalized Lagrangian Mean, developed by Andrews and McIntyre, are exploited in simplifying the thermodynamic and continuity equations, which are then used to calculate Lagrangian mean velocities and parcel trajectories in the stratosphere. The inclusion of meridional temperature advection and a non-zero equinoctal circulation are two improvements introduced in the calculation, in addition to the use of mutually consistent temperature and diabatic heating profiles generated by the MIT stratospheric model. The resulting motions are in qualitative agreement with the observed poleward and downward spreading of tracers such as water vapor and ozone. Transit times for both poleward and downward transport are estimated and compared with observations. Thesis Supervisor: Title: Dr. Ronald Prinn Associate Professor of Meteorology 3 CONTENTS Page I. INTRODUCTION 4 II. THE GENERALIZED LAGRANGIAN MEAN 5 III. THE LAGRANGIAN MEAN THERMODYNAMIC AND CONTINUITY EQUATIONS 7 IV. NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF PARCEL TRAJECTORIES 10 V. INTERPRETATION OF RESULTS AND CONCLUSION 15 TABLES AND FIGURES 17 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 39 BIBLIOGRAPHY 40 I. INTRODUCTION Dynamical processes play a crucial role in determining the overall distribution of ozone in the stratosphere. If the meridional transport of ozone were dominated by the longitudinally averaged circulation, one would expect the behavior of ozone to be largely governed by the pattern illustrated in Figure 1. This, however, is not the case. Observations indicate that the overall mean mass flow in the stratosphere is directed poleward and is downward outside the tropics. Such a pattern is often referred to as the "Brewer-Dobson" circulation, which is represented in Figure 2. If this flow is inconsistent with the two-cell pattern associated with the hemispheric zonal mean circulation, it does, however, account for the observed high concentration of ozone in the polar winter. This apparent paradox may be resolved by noting that the eddies, i.e., the deviations from the zonally averaged flow, also contribute to the transport of trace species, especially in the winter stratosphere, where planetary waves are intensely active. To understand this tendency for the mean flow to be compensated by the eddies, it is useful to consider the properties of a fluid by following the motions of individual parcels. To do this for each and every parcel, as required by a strictly Lagrangian approach, would be costly and time-consuming. It may, however, prove fruitful to use a hybrid description- one that allows us to, in some sense, follow the motion of a typical air parcel, while retaining the mathematical convenience that Eulerian averaging affords. In this paper, we use just such a description (developed recently in efforts to understand wave-mean flow interactions) in order to account for the observed pattern of tracer transport. 5 II. THE GENERALIZED LAGRANGIAN MEAN Determining the average sense of meridional mass transport requires that we define a suitable mean velocity of particles associated with a given latitude circle. The recent work of Andrews and McIntyre (1978a),hereafter referred to as AM, provides a useful basis for such a definition, which we may visualize as follows. Imagine a massless rod constrained to lie parallel to the x-axis. Attached to this rod by "massless springs" are fluid parcels which initially lie on the rod, but are subsequently displaced from their equilibrium positions, subject to some linear restoring force. (See Figure 3.) The parcels will thus drag the rod at some velocity, which we shall identify as the Lagrangian mean velocity of the fluid parcels. The above description may be made mathematically precise. Let x represent the current displacement from a point P rigid rod initially coincident with P tesian coordinates (j',7[',f') Let I such that P is the current location of the fluid parcel originally at point P (X, t) = If (x+ . of a point P on the S__R be the vector PRP with Car- . Now let (II-1) (X_, t) , t) whereqYis some property of the fluid, and let () denote an average in the x-direction such that (xt)= 0 (11-2) We define the Lagrangian mean of the property J as an average over the displaced particles, i.e., f(x,ty 1/(x,t) = (11-3) Furthermore, if u(x,t) is an Eulerian velocity field, then there is some -L u , such that dx/dt and DL where D = u (x,t) u (xt) (11-4) = ur = 4/at + u .V (11-5) and V= x + _(x,t). -L u is, of course, the Lagrangian mean velocity. AM discuss in detail the mathematical properties of the Generalized Lagrangian Mean. Rather than duplicate a number of their derivations, we shall instead quote some of the more important results which we shall need in the proceding development. These are listed below. (Note that we have used the Einstein summation convention.) (i) (dy/dtV = D' (ii) (a'). + b+) L= a +b where a and b are constants (iii) a=a L -L -L (iv) -L k-S(x,t) = L -L( (x,t)- 1(x,t) af/lix + O(a ) where a is a small disturbance amplitude and + In (iv), ' = I(xt). is often referred to as the "Stokes correction". To apply the above mathematical ideas to the atmosphere, we need -L only interpret ( ) as a zonal average, and u (p,z) as the Lagrangian mean velocity of a ring of particles centered at latitude 97 and altitude z. III. THE LAGRANGIAN MEAN THERMODYNAMIC AND CONTINUITY EQUATIONS We are now in a position to exploit the mathematical properties of the Generalized Lagrangian Mean in a manner parallel to that of Dunkerton (1978). Consider first an exact equation of the form d6/dt = where Q (11I-1) Q = (#/T)(GT/*t)diabatic ,with T and 8 denoting absolute and poten- tial temperatures, respectively. Using property (i), we obtain -L -L -7L D 0 =L (111-2) We now consider the first-order Stokes corrections to 8 and = d(f f9')x.- Q: (C(.40.)9j) JJ (III-3) J -S and similarly for Q . AM have shown that in the case of an incompressible Boussinesq fluid,V-V=O(a 2), whereas in general, f.)e'/ix. is O(a). Although we are interested in compressible fluids, we take this as an indication that the second term on the RHS of (111-3) does not constitute the leading approximation to 6S. An appropriate scale analysis (see AM, 1976) in fact suggests that the leading contribution is due to the term Because 9 for each air parcel is a quasi-conservative property as long as Q is not too large, #' should be small since the parcel's trajectory.must at some point coincide with the rod's position. Therefore, unless wave transience and turbulent diffusion are important, we may neglect19 in (111-2). At the same time, the leading contribution to Q involves Jt'Q'. At low latitudes in winter, and during the summer, this term is negligible -S - since Q'<<Q. Dunkerton proposed that the approximation Q4<Q is also good at mid-latitudes during the winter, arguing that i' is in general 90 out of phase with v' (assuming a linear restoring force or, alternatively, due to quasi-geostrophy), whereas (See Figure 4.) Q' and T' are strongly anticorrelated. Since planetary wave activity leads to strong correlations between v' and T', Dunkerton assumed a correspondingly weak correlation between ' and Q'. The correlation Table 1. between v' and T' We observe that this correlation is latitudes during the winter. How large should is demcastrated roughly in indeed strongest at -mid- Y Q,2?/X =)'(f2 be f to be negligible? Let us suppose that v' = Acos(l) T' +d..) Q' =-Dcos(lk +Vc) 1?' = Csin(lA) where = Bcos (1 represents longitude, 1 a wavenumber, and o( some phase angle. It then straightforward to show that. T =cos( and cf = sin4. The maximum is value of V does not appear to be greater than roughly 0.5 (The original data likewise indicate that on a day-to-day basis, cantly exceed 0.5.), hence <f is idate Dunkerton's argument. at least 0.8, Moreover, r does not signifi- which w%'-ould seem to invalthe magnitude of we may estima> which represents sample trajectcries of air parcels 'Q' from Figure 5, computed directly from an Eulerian model. waves, For planery 6 the order of 10 m. At mid-latitudes during the winte:, 0 Q, which is roughly 1 K/day, hence y'Q' is order of 0 10 K m s it is , i.e., comparable to v'T' under similar j' is of Q' may be of the the order of :nditions. Although not clear from the above discussion that we ma-- in general neglect -S Q in equation (111-2) , we shall do so for the time Deing, in the hope that we might still reproduce some of the qualitati-- features of stra- tospheric behavior. Lastly, we focus our attention on time-aver-aged solstice conditions, when Jl/at is negligible. With this and the aforementioned approximations, our thermodynamic equation reduces - -L - -.L4 - v eO/dy + w 48/dz = Q (111-4) -L -L To fully determine v and w , we need one further restriction, namely that mass be conserved. The Lagrangian mean z:mntinuity equation (see AM, 1978) is -L D where = dntst + det(Sc dety =.u (111-5) 0 +a./dx.), 1f =1 if i=j, but is pa rcel denotes the density of a fluid parcel. , otherwise, and In the case of an incompressible Boussinesq fluid, AM have shown that 2 =1 - i.e. , - 3 (1/2) 2 ( jk )x xk + O(a3 (111-6) to O(a). 1 Once again, we shall use this to justify replacing = withf in (111-5). Moreover,we neglect time-dependence and assume stratification in the vertical, so that our continuity equation becomes, in spherical coordinates: L Cos 1v r f)+ rc C59 af cosg99 _ l_ j~-/ L (111-7) =0 where r denotes the mean radius of the earth. Combining (111-4) and (111-7) we obtain: -L - w = and -)L a(v cosf') 1 co sf f )z z - - + bz + r e ez I Oz z 0) oz = 0 (111-9) z Equation (111-9) may be integrated with suitable boundary con-L ditions to obtain the profile of v , -L whereas that of w ly upon application of (111-8). represents a hydrostatic basic state density. follows immediate- IV. NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF PARCEL TRAJECTORIES The approach outlined in the preceding section varies somewhat from that of Dunkerton, who ignored the meridional advection term in (111-4) on the grounds that Vincent (1968) found it to be small in the lower stratosphere. Moreover, Dunkerton used heating rates from Murgatroyd and Singleton (1961) and static stabilities (i.e., values of Q9/az) inferred from the U.S. Standard Atmosphere Supplements (1966) in obtaining -L -L his profiles of v and w . The results of his calculation are shown in Figures 6-9. It should be noted that the representative trajectories in Figure 8 are based on a "two-cycle" model, where quiet conditions are assumed during the equinoxes, and equal but opposite circulations prevail during the two solstice seasons. Our own calculations are based on diabatic heating and temperature profiles obtained from runs of the MIT three-dimensional chemicaldynamical model. The data, originally in spectral coordinates, were converted to grid form and longitudinally averaged to give values of temperature and diabatic heating at 26 pressure levels (0-80 km) and 15 latitudes (80.5N-80.5S). The density profile was then obtained by applying the ideal gas law at each vertical level. The advantage to be gained by using model results is one of internal consistency, i.e., values of are computed using values of Q. Moreover, we have, unlike Dunkerton, re- tained the meridional advection term in the thermodynamic equation. (Originally, we had ignored this ourselves, but integration of the continuity equation led to values of v which did not correspond with the assumption that meridional advection was small throughout the stratosphere.) Essentially, equation (111-8) was integrated separately for each -L hemisphere assuming v to be zero near the poles (at latitudes 1 and 15), and ignoring any possible discontinuities at the equator. We also assumed -L w to be zero at the ground and at the top of the atmosphere, to be consistent with the rigid lid approximation employed in the model. The numerical scheme used in the calculation is outlined below. The various terms in equation (111-8) were evaluated using centered differences for the vertical derivatives and forward (or more appropriately, "equatorward") differences for the horizontal derivatives. 11 In the Northern Hemisphere (latitudes 1-8) for instance, the finite difference equivalent of (111-8) becomes: v -L cos i,j+l -L!.cos v. - j+1 E ij -L i+1,j A... 13 ( -. j+1 )Cos J B. .v.. 1J A. .= 1J i+1 -.. +1 - j 9 B.A. = A C.. 13 = D.. = 1+1 ~ r...-DD.rD+1, Q.(z. Dj 13 ilr i +1 i+1 i-l ij i-1 Note that the subscripts "i" -l' i-1, +1,j z i+l )/($ -z. i+l i A- Di-1,j + Dij . - z (IV-l) 1J 1+1, j14-1, i-1, j z C.. - 13 2- z. 1 - A i+, 13 i-l,j z ++1- zi- + where -L _ i-1 ) - i-1, i+l,j and "j" i-l,j - z here denote height and latitude grid indices such that i=1,2,...,26 and j=1,2,...,8. Solving (IV-1) for -L v. v. . =Cos 1,J+1 cos ~L . J 3 , we obtain the relation: 1,j+1' -L + v. ( ji+ 1 'P -L ) A..(v. fj+1 13 1 + B. .v.. 1) 13 . i+1,3 i+1- -L . 1-1,j . z -L- C.. 13 (IV-2) Together with the aforementioned boundary conditions, equation (IV-2) completely determines the Northern Hemisphere profile of -L v and hence, -L that of w via the finite-difference equivalent of (111-8), namely: -L w.. 1J = D.. 13 - -L v. .A../r 1J j -L The same equations determine the profiles of -L v and w (IV-3) in the Southern Hemisphere, except that the subscripts "j" and "j+l" are now switched for j=9,...,15. Calculations were performed for each individual day in July and January, with the velocity profiles being subsequently averaged over one month.. The results of this procedure are displayed in Figures 10-13. It should be noted that the profile of w generally follows that of Q, i.e., regions of heating are associated with rising motions, whereas regions of cooling imply subsidence. Anomalously large velocities at a few gridpoints in the troposphere and near the top of the model were most probably due to limited resolution in approximating large temperature gradients by finite differences. This was painfully obvious when at first . .. . -L -L we tried eliminating v instead of w in equations (111-4) and (111-7). Integration of the resulting equation in the vertical resulted in unreasonably large values of w almost everywhere, due to our heavy reliance on meridional derivatives which were calculated using grid points essentially thousands of kilometers apart. The more reasonable values obtained in our final calculation are due to greater reliance on vertical derivatives, which are probably more accurately estimated since the relevant spacing between grid points is only a few kilometers. In obtaining parcel trajectories from the Lagrangian velocity profiles, we have attempted to improve on Dunkerton's assumptions about equinoctal conditions. Figure 14 shows the seasonal variation in the Northern Hemisphere of stratospheric zonal mean and eddy kinetic energy. Note that the maximum and minimum of the zonal mean circulation occur roughly in January and July, respectively, and that the equinoxes are periods of most rapid change. We have therefore modelled the time variation of the Lagrangian mean circulation in the following manner: -L v (y,z,t) -L -L v + v s w 2 + -L -L v - v s w 2 . cos(2-1t/360), (t in days) (IV-4) where t=O on July 15 and vL and -L v are the July and January average mers w idional velocities, respectively, measured in km/day. A similar equation describes the seasonal variation of w. Representative trajectories cal- culated with these assumptions are shown in Figure 15. We have also investigated the transit times of typical air parcels in six regions, corresponding to the tropical, northern mid-latitude, and southern mid-latitude upper and lower stratospheres. A tabulation of these average transit times is.given in Table 2, which also illustrates the effect of including meridional temperature advection and an equinoctal circulation. The numbers were obtained by simulating parcel trajectories over a period of 10 years. Parcels which did not reach the pole during the period of observation were nevertheless assumed to have arrived there in 10 years. Parcels which did not reach the ground during this period, however, were simply ignored in the computation of transit times for motion towards the ground, because of the possibility of being trapped at the top of the atmosphere, where the vertical velocity was assumed to be zero. Since we have also assumed v to be zero near the poles, air parcels reaching polar latitudes are effectively trapped. For the purpose of computing transit time towards the ground, however, we have reset the meridional velocities near the poles in such a way as to reverse the motion towards the equator (i.e., the value of v at latitude 1 in the model was set equal to the negative of the absolute value of v cal- culated at latitude 2, and similarly for the south pole). Note that for motion towards the pole, meridional advection has the effect of reducing the transit time by half for parcels originating from the equatorial upper stratosphere, while an equinoctal circulation has a similar effect for both the upper and lower stratospheres. In most cases, an equinoctal circulation also has the effect of halving transit time towards the ground. As a further test of the sensitivity of our numerical results, we have simulated parcel trajectories assuming a time-varying circulation patterned more after the variation of eddy (as opposed to zonal mean) kinetic energy. (See Figure 16.) Transit times computed with this assumption are also shown in Table 2. Note the comparatively minor differences between these transit times and those based on the variation of zonal mean energy. Lastly, we have attempted to model in a very crude way the effect of eddy diabatic heating by assuming that -S Q =Q at latitudes above 20N in January and below 20S in July, so that the forcing term on the RHS of (111-4) is effectively doubled. (We have already seen that f'Q' may quite possibly be of the order of v'T' at winter mid-latitudes. Examination of data from Richards (1967) leads to the conclusion that 0 (v'T')/Jy is of the order of Q in these regions, so that Q Q would not be unreasonable.) The resulting mean velocities are shown in Figures 17-20, while the associated transit times assuming a circulation based on K are displayed in Table 2. It is of interest to note that two recently written papers give Q supporting evidence that is indeed significant. Schoeberl (1981) looked at the effect of dissipating planetary waves on the Lagrangian mean flow and arrived at a poleward and downward circulation that appeared.to be twice as strong as Dunkerton's circulation in the lower stratosphere. Kurzeja (1981) calculated -s Q assuming that the accelerations caused by eddy radiative dissipation balance those caused by the zonal mean diabatic heating and found that Q compared with Q. was generally smaller, but not negligible when V. INTERPRETATION OF RESULTS AND CONCLUSION The parcel trajectories represented in Figure 15 reveal that a poleward-downward circulation of the Brewer-Dobson type is indeed the predominant pattern in the stratosphere, and apparently, in the mesosphere as well. We hesitate, however, in giving undue credence to our results in the uppermost portions of the atmosphere because of the rigid lid approximation employed in the calculation. Whereas the diabatic heating profile used by Dunkerton represents warming in the summer hemisphere and cooling in the winter, especially at high altitudes, our diabatic heating is necessarily consistent with the condition that vertical velocity vanish at the top, and because of mass continuity, this leads to disagreement with the heating rates of Murgatroyd and Singleton, particularly in the mesosphere. Thus, the oscillating behavior noted by Dunkerton between 50 and 70 kms is not evident in our -calculated trajectories. Much of the controversy concerning tracer transport has been over whether the observed motions are due mainly to organized mean motions or to random turbulent diffusion. Evidence for the latter mechanism has been based on observations analyzed by Feely and Spar (1960), who looked at 185 W fallout from several bomb tests conducted at Bikini (12N)) between May and July 1958. They claimed that if the Brewer-Dobson model were valid, 185W should have reached the lower polar stratosphere by moving upward into the high tropical stratosphere, migrating poleward at high altitudes, and then descending into the lower polar stratosphere. Feely and Spar, however, saw no convincing evidence for either significant upward debris motion at the equator or large scale subsidence at polar latitudes. The observed distributions of 185W did suggest a lateral spreading that was poleward and downward, wherein transfer across isentropes was significant between 50 mb and 100 mb. (See Figure 21.) This observed lateral spreading, however, is not necessarily inconsistent with our own results, which are based entirely on non-turbulent transport, since there are some trajectories, particularly in the lower stratosphere, which do not exhibit large upward tendencies near the equator. While downward diffusion may possibly play a significant role in determining the residence times of tracers within the stratosphere, lateral diffusion might not be as important. It is interesting to compare our results with those of Dyer and Hicks (1968) who charted the poleward progression of volcanic dust from the Mt. Agung eruption of March 17, 1963. The initial injection of the dust created an equatorial reservoir at 8S at a height of 22-23 kms, whereafter a significant fraction entered the lower Northern Hemisphere stratosphere. The observed dust amounts analyzed by Dyer and Hicks showed winter maxima which progressed at a consistent rate of 9.4 degrees of latitude per month, suggesting an equator-to-pole transit time of roughly 9 months. (See Figure 22.) Compare this with the transit times which were computed taking into account the possible effect of eddy diabatic heating. It is therefore apparent that adequate parameterization of Q is crucial if meridional transport is to be simulated properly. One possible way of accounting for the Stokes correction is to assume that v'=ud4'/dx. Since v'=,)'/4x, where+' represents the quasi-geostrophic perturbation stream function, we may write the Stokes correction as This method may be used to estimate Q= &(''Q'/u)/ay. as well, which would enable one to make a sounder assessment of the relative importance of turbulent diffusion in the meridional transport of trace substances. T A.B L E S A N D F I G U R E S 55 I I I I . I I I I I MEAN STRATOPAUSE 50 I -- I I I - - - - -too... 45 -0.1 -0.2 ...... 40 - to -0.2 -0.1 - 0-.... 35- .oo '-. -0.5 .-- .- 1 -1.5 - -.... 0.5 -1.5 -- - . -.. J 30 o 2 -.90.5 - km 25 o.. .. . .. ~ -- 2. tMEAN'*% *TROROPAUSE 20 F- -o .4 15 0~ 10 5 \r -1 -o 5 K.40 I Io n 90 80 70 60 50 40 * NORTH 30 20 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 .SOUTH 60 70 80 90 Fig. 1. Mean meridional circulation for December-February. Mass flow is given in units of 1012 gm/sec. (After Louis, 1975.) 40 km Winter Hemisphere 40 km Summer Hemisphere 30[- 130 Stratospheric Westerlies tratospheric Easterlies 20k 20 Tropopause 10- j ~...---- j 10 Ozone Destruction Near Ground 90 0 600 300 S00 30 0 600 90* Fig. 2. Schematic illustration showing sources, sinks, and mass transport of ozone. (After Duftsch, 1971.) y,z X P ax PO g-o+R ( rod ) RO (initial position of rod and particles) Fig. 3. . ITi l iit JANUARY 1964 JANUARY 1964 -50 - 30mb 30mb 70*N 700 N 0 -- 0.5 -- 0 -60-65 -1.5 -70-7 .5 -80W *W 180 140 100 80 60 40 20 0 20 40 60 80 100 WEST 140 3-2.0 180 *E EAST Fig. 4. Variation of temperature and cooling rate with longitude. (After Newell, et al., 1974.) Table 1. VALUES OF LATITUDE ( N) 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 r =_T FOR JANUARY, 1965 PRESSURE (mb) 100 0.27 0.12 0.05 0.06 0.15 0.27 0.39 0.47 0.44 0.33 0.15 0. 0.01 0.13 50 30 0.05 0.04 0.06 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.36 0.45 0.47 0.45 0.38 0.25 0.08 0.14 0.11 0.09 0.10 0.15 0.21 0.27 0.34 0.39 0.38 0.35 0.33 0.32 0.31 0. 10 -0.02 0.03 0.09 0.15 0.21 0.28 0.35 0.41 0.42 0.36 0.24 0.26 0.40 0.11 * Computed using data from Richards (1967), The Energy Budget of the Stratosphere During 1965, Report No. 21, MIT Dept. of Meteorology, Cambridge, Mass. 10 30 £0 E ctr :D 60 100 LI) LU 200 w~ 300 400 6008501000-- EQ 600 30* POLE LATITUD E Fig. 5. Typical air parcel trajectories for various atmospheric disturbances. (After Wallace, 1978.) km 70 .0 0.5 ..- '-0.5 km 70 0040 60 ~- -100 50 60 -20- 50 40 00 40 30 0 .-'_-- 20 S 60 30 EQ 30 60 20 S W Fig. 6. Lagrangian-mean vertical velocities in km/day. 30 I I 60 30 I EQ 30 60 Fig. 7. Lagrangian-mean meridional velocities in km/day. km 70 km 70 D 60 E 50 50 C 40 30 30 20 S 60 30 EQ 30 60 W Fig. 8. Streamlines associated with Lagrangian-mean velocities. 10 S EQ V Fig. 9. Representative trajectories. Circles indicate positions after 6 months. Figures 6-9. S=summer pole, W=winter pole. (After Dunkerton, 1978.) 0 0 0 0 B B km 70 60 50 hi 40 30 20 -N 10 0. 60N 40N 20N 0 20S 40S Fig. 10. July Lagrangian-mean meridional velocities in km/day. 60S 0 0 0 0 .7 0 0 km 70 60 50 40O4 30 .20 -10 .0 Fig. 11. July Lagrangian-mean vertical velocities in km/day. 0 0 0~ 0 0 0 4 km 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 60N 40N 20N 0 20S 40S Fig. 12. January Lagrangian-mean meridional velocities in km/day. 60S km 70 60 50 4O& 30 20 10 0 60N 40N 20 N 0 20S 40S Fig. 13. January Lagrangian-mean vertical velocities in km/day. 60 S 20 I0 20 20 K JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC 1964 -2 7 Fig. 14. Daily variations of energy per unit area (10 erg cm )-in the form of K' and K between the 10 and 100 mb levels, after Dopplick (1971). Fig. 80N 60N 40N 20N 15 0 20S 40S 60S 80S 0.05 -70 0.1 -60 0.2 0.5 -50 1.0 -Q E E2.0 -40 Uj5.0 Q' U) F- l W 20 0: 50 -20 100 200 -10 500 1000 0 80N 60N 40N 20N 0 LATITUDE 20S 40S 60S 80S 31 Table 2a. TRANSIT TIME IN MONTHS FOR MOTION TOWARDS THE POLES * Method * * 20N-60N * * 20-20N * * 20S-608 * * Meridional Advection Circulation Based on K * * * 8 12 * 13 24 * * 16 24 * * * * No Meridional Advection Circulation Based on K .25. 24 Meridional Advection No Equinoctal Circulation 25' 53 No Meridional Advection No Equinoctal Circulation 43 * * 48 * * Meridional Advection 10 - Crculation Based on KL-,) * -. S .- Q=Q in Winter Extratropical Regions Table 2b. * * * * * * * 2) * * * 5 6 * * * * 30-50 10-30 30-50 10-30 30-50 10-30 30-50 1 * 9 9 30-50 km 10-30 km A, * * 9 6 * * 30-50 km 10-30 km TRANSIT TIME IN MONTHS FOR MOTION TOWARDS THE GROUND * Method * 20N-60N * * * 20S-20N * 23 15 Meridional Advection _ Circulation Based on K No Meridional Advection Circulation Based on K * * * 29 16 No Meridional Advection No Equinoctal Circulation * * * * * * 32 29 * * 50 31 * * 38 29 * * 67 54 * 25 18 * * 71 58 Q = -.Q in Winter Extratropical Regions 11 7 * * * * * * * * * * 34 38 * 30-50 km 10-30 km * * 30-50 km 10-30 km * * 58 47 * 30-50 km * 10-30 km * * 61 49 34 29 * 17 13 * * * Altitude * * * 29 28 * -s 28 28 * * Meridional Advection Circulation Based on K' * * * 48 37 * * * * Meridional Advection No Equinoctal Circulation * * * 20S-60S * * * * * 1 * * 2 Altitude ** * * * * * * 30-50 km 10-30 km 30-50 km 10-30 km * * * 14 * 30-50 km * 11 * 10-30 This method is equivalent to that of Dunkerton. 2 Meridional advection and a circulation based on K included. km NORTHERN HEMISPHERE LATITUD ES (1-8) VL= L+ (L-- vL) cos 2Tt L 90 ,,+ ( L-L9) COS 27t / 2VW-_SL ~~ ORIGINAL CIRCULATION vw VL w J F M A M J J A S O N D e SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE LATITUDES (9-15) L = L+ (VL~cw 9'=9)+ S wvg-L) COS VL=L+(LLco2w 27Ti /SL S L ^, 60 _VL) S COS 2VTf 90 VSL -L w J F M A M J J A S O N D t t = Time in days beginning January 1 vL = Average January Lograngian mean meridional velocity in km/day VL =Average July Lograngian mean meridional velocity in km/day Fig. 16. Circulation based on variation of stratospheric eddy kinetic energy. 00 0 , km 70 60 N 40 N 20N 0 20S 40S Fig. 17. July Lagrangian-mean meridiona.1 velocities in km/day. 60S -1-1-1 0~0 0 0 S S 0 0 km 70 60 50 40w 30 20 10 60 N 40 N 20.N 0 20S 40S Fig. 18. July Lagrangian-mean vertical velocities in km/day. 60S S 0 000SS 0 0 km 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 60N 40 N 20 N 0 20S 40S Fig. 19. January Lagrangian-mean meridional velocities in km/day. 60S 0. 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 km 70 60 50 30 20 I0 60 N 40N 20.N 0 20S 40S Fig. 20. January Lagrangian-mean vertical velocities in km/day. 60S tj 3C ----- (D r0 V - 5 --- 5---- - MD ti %.W 0 575------------------- -- --- 5 - - -5 - - -~~~7~----0 (D( ---- -00' - 1000 -40000--00-~ -- ~ ~~~~~ 7- ------ - - ...-.-.- --- - ~~~- - 0 - 00-- - 6 - - - -- -0 0 -40- T-50 ::; U 0 ho 20 0) 25C 800 0 N 70* 600 50* 200 300 400 00 10* 10 0 S LATITUDE Broken lines represent potential temperatures ( K) for Jul-Sep, and Nov-Dec, 1957. 3C o~0 575--., -550- ...--- . - 5C) '50 300 - -N . -- 1- - - 50 0 - - - - - - - 600- 575---- -------- 55 - 2000 -- 10,600 -11 (~t ~t (nC MD-1c 0J '" 10c ) 150200250. 80 0 N 704 -- ~ Ht %.0r( 'LDCD ~ ~ 600 50* ~ ~ - - - -3 0---5--- 40 0 30 LATITUDE 0 J LL ___- 325 200 10* 00 S 100 w POSITION OF SUN - -1965 N. 0 0 -1964 -----. -1963 BALI -. ERUPTtON 90 0 600 30* NORTH 0 3 )0 600 90* SOUTH Fig. 22. Poleward progression of winter maxima of volcanic dust concentrations from Mt. Agung eruption. 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