One-Day Module Materials :The materials listed below are for all of the experiments. You may choose to do only certain experiments, and therefore would not necessarily need all of these materials. TI-83 Calculator (or another version that will do graphing and exponential regression) and overhead calculator display for the teacher Golf or Tennis Balls Meter or Yard Sticks Paper Plates (1 per group) Bags of Skittles Candy Cup for each group Population Growth/Decay Worksheet and Homework Assignment Activities: 1. Background Information – The first thing that should be mentioned to students, is that this module will involve percents. The teacher should quickly review writing 2%, .5%, and 85% as a decimal. Next, most students are familiar with linear equations and graphs, but some background might be needed to introduce/remind students about exponential functions. One way to do this might be to present the student with the graph of y = 60(.8)x (on the overhead calculator display.) This might be the graph of the temperature of a hot soda that has been placed in the freezer. It would show that it is cooling at a non-constant rate and then leveling off. The teacher should discuss this exponential decay with the students, including the standard form for an exponential function where y = a(b)x. The teacher should point out that a is the starting value and b is the rate or base of an exponential. The rate is identified as a growth rate if b is greater than one (ie 1+r) and a decay rate if b is less than one (ie 1r.) The teacher also needs to point out that the graph never actually touches zero (ie the x-axis) and why ( there is no x value that will make the equation zero.) Also, they should mention that this could also model an animal or human population. It should be pointed out to the students an example of a population that would be decreasing exponentially. A quick discussion should then follow about things that have been taken into account for an equation such as this. It could model the growth of a population by taking the birthrate and subtracting the death rate. It could not however, model immigration or migration out of the population. The teacher should point out that this would involve adding a constant on to the end of the original equation (y = a(b)x +c.) This is not studied in this module, but may be considered as an extension. Next, the teacher should present a graph of exponential growth such as y = 5(1.10)x. They should note that this shows exponential growth and ask the students to come up with possible scenarios that this could model. It is important that the students understand that for each time period that passes, the population is 110% of the size it was the period before. It should also be mentioned, that the growth cannot continue indefinitely or overpopulation will occur, a discussion could then follow about ways of controlling populations. It is very important for the teacher to point out that for exponential decay, the rate or base of an exponential is less than one and for exponential growth, the rate or base of an exponential is greater than one. (This should take 15-20 minutes.) 2. Investigation 1: Exponential Decay – I have included two possible experiments. The first one is a great investigation that allows students to use golf/tennis balls to model decay. It lets them get a feel for exponential equations. The only drawback to this investigation is that it does not address the decay of a population. Therefore if the focus of the lesson is to be on population decay, I’ve included a second investigation that could be used to model a population. Also, it would not include having to leave the room, so this may be a better option for some people. Experiment 1: In order to model exponential decay, there is a neat experiment that involves students dropping a golf or tennis ball from a certain height and measuring each rebound height. Students should be broken into groups of 3 or 4 for this activity. (If the time limit becomes a problem, this could just be demonstrated by one group of students and the whole class could use the same data.) This works best for students to stand on a chair either in an uncarpeted area or outside. They should measure the height in a unit designated by the teacher so that the whole class is using the same measurements (inches or cm.) They should then drop the ball. The second group member should catch the rebound and hold it still at the highest point while the third member measures the height. The fourth member records the data in a table. They should do this for 5 or 6 rebounds if possible. If there is time, then the ultimate situation would be for each group to do a table for tennis balls and another for golf balls and compare the results. Once all the groups have recorded their data, the teacher should demonstrate entering the data into the lists of the calculator and making a scatterplot. Students should copy the graph of their own data onto the activity sheet. Next, the teacher should then go through how to calculate the exponential regression on the calculator. Students should copy their own function onto the worksheet and graph the function with the scatterplot to see if it is a good fit. (This activity sounds like it takes a great deal of time, but it is actually not that long. I would allow 30-40 minutes) Experiment 2: Students should be in groups of 3 or 4 students. Give each group a paper plate and 25 Skittles. Please inform them that they will be using the candy for the next investigation as well, so do not allow them to eat it yet. Before the experiment begins, the teacher will need to have folded the plates and colored in a certain section of the area. I would suggest ¼, ½, and ¾, or any other portion that would be easy for you to do. Some groups may have the same section colored in and that’s OK. The students need to place all 25 Skittles in a cup. This is the beginning population for any kind of species that the teacher wishes to use (bald eagles might be a good example.) Next, the students should shake the Skittles onto the plate. Any Skittles that land in the shaded region must be removed from the plate as they have “died.” (It should be determined as a class beforehand what to do if the skittle lands on the edge so that half of it is in the colored region and half is not.) The students should then count the number of skittles that are left and record the number in the table on their worksheet. They should continue this at least 5 times, or until the population is zero. (If the population is zero, please remind students that they cannot enter this data into the calculator. It will not perform exponential regression if zero is a y-value.) Once all the groups have recorded their data, the teacher should demonstrate entering the data into the lists of the calculator and making a scatterplot. Students should copy the graph of their own data onto the activity sheet. Next, the teacher should then go through how to calculate the exponential regression on the calculator. Students should copy their own function onto the worksheet and graph the function with the scatterplot to see if it is a good fit. (Note: This could be varied by changing the beginning population depending on how much time there is. Also, the students could do this until all the Skittles are gone as opposed to only doing it 5 times. Once again, if time limit is a problem have a few students come to the front and demonstrate and let the whole class use the same data.) ( This entire experiment should take about 30-40 minutes.) Investigation 2: Exponential Growth – I have included two experiments for exponential growth of a population. Both involve the Skittles used in Experiment 2 above. It is the teacher’s discretion as to which one they would rather use. Experiment 1: Student should be in groups. Give each group several skittles and a cup along with their worksheet. Have them put two skittles in the cup and record this in the table on the worksheet under 0. They should consider this as two frogs happily living in the local pond. They should then shake the cup and pour the candy onto a desk. For every one with the s showing, the students should add in another skittle and record the new population. They should continue this process and fill in the table. They should then enter the data into the lists and do exponential regression as before while they answer the questions on the worksheet. Each group should share their equation with the class. ( Note: This experiment could be varied by changing the beginning population from 2 to another number. Keep in mind however that it’s about exponential growth, so don’t start out too big!)(This should take about 30 minutes depending on how well the students stay on task.) Experiment 2: This experiment is much like Experiment 2 above, only instead of decay, there will be growth. Students should be in groups of 3 or 4 students. Give each group a paper plate and 10 Skittles. Before the experiment begins, the teacher will need to have folded the plates and colored in a certain section of the area. I would suggest ¼, ½, and ¾, or any other portion that would be easy for you to do. Some groups may have the same section colored in and that’s OK. The students need to place all 10 Skittles in the cup, and record 10 under the zero in the table on the worksheet. This is the beginning population for any kind of species that the teacher wishes to use (frogs or fish might be a good example.) Next, the students should shake the Skittles onto the plate. Any Skittles that land in the shaded region must be counted. These will be the ones to reproduce. Once they’ve been counted they can all be returned to the cup and that same number of Skittles that landed in the shaded region is added to the population. (It should be determined as a class beforehand what to do if the skittle lands on the edge so that half of it is in the colored region and half is not.) The students should add in the number of Skittles added and record the new total number in the table on their worksheet. They should continue this process until they’ve filled in the table. They should then enter the data into the lists on the calculator and do exponential regression as before while they answer the questions on the worksheet. Each group should share their equation with the class. ( Note: This experiment could be varied by changing the beginning population from 10 to another number. Keep in mind however that it’s about exponential growth, so don’t start out too big!)(This should take about 30 minutes depending on how well the students stay on task.) Conclusion The teacher needs to discuss several things with the students at this point. The general form of an exponential equation where a is the starting population, b is the growth or decay rate, and x is the time needs to be reviewed. The fact that the exponential function represents growth if the rate is greater than one and decay if the rate is less than one needs to be reiterated. The teacher should make up a few examples that are similar to the homework (see the link from the main webpage) and go over them with the students. In particular, students have a hard time with the idea of adding the rate to one for growth or subtracting it from one for decay. Here is an example: 1. The birth rate for a colony of ants is 60%. The death rate is 46%. Assume that at the beginning of the observations the population was 650. What is the difference between the birth and death rates? (14%) Is the population increasing or decreasing? (Increasing, because the birth rate is higher than the death rate.) Write an equation that could model this situation. [y = 650(1+.14)x or y = 650(1.14)x] How long will it take for the population to reach 1000? Round to the nearest year. (4 years – This could be found by using the tables on the calculator or graph and find the intersection.) 2. The birth rate for a school of guppies is 56%. The death rate is 64%. Assume that at the beginning of the observations the population was 800. What is the difference between the birth and death rates? (8%) Is the population increasing or decreasing? (Decreasing, because the death rate is higher than the birth rate.) Write an equation that could model this situation. [y = 800(1-.08)x or y = 800(.92)x] How long will it take for the population to reach 300? Round to the nearest year. (12 years) Assessment: The students will be provided with a worksheet that has modeling questions on it that they will be required to complete for homework. I would expect that most teachers would grade this as a homework assignment. I would also give a quiz the next day if there were time. I have included a sample quiz and the worksheets along with this module (see the links on the main webpage.)