Corporate Financing in Canada∗ Apostolos Serletis† and Karl Pinno Department of Economics University of Calgary Calgary, Alberta, T2N 1N4, Canada February 10, 2004 Abstract This paper builds on recent empirical work by Mayer (1988, 1990), Corbett and Jenkinson (1996, 1997), Schmidt (2001), and Hackethal and Schmidt (2003) to investigate the sources of finance for physical investment in Canada. We find evidence to support the view that that financing patterns in Canada are different than those in Germany, Japan, and the United States and it is not as easy to classify Canada as being either ‘bank-based’ or ‘capital market-based.’ However, there is a trend towards smaller proportions of intermediary finance and larger proportions of market finance. Keywords: Financing patterns; Financial structure. JEL classification: C22, F33 ∗ We would like to thank Professors Jenny Corbett, Tim Jenkinson, Andreas Hackethal and Reinhard Schmidt for their sharing and helpful comments. We would also like to thank Charles Wright, Jacques Lanthier, Jeannie D’Angelo, Anne-Marie Bridger, and Patrick O’Hagan at Statistics Canada and Elizabeth Woodman and Rick Baggio of the Bank of Canada for their help with data issues. Serletis also gratefully acknowledges financial support from the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada. † Corresponding author. Phone: (403) 220-4092; Fax: (403) 282-5262; E-mail: Serletis@ucalgary.ca; Web: http://econ.ucalgary.ca/serletis.htm. 1 1 Introduction As Hackethal and Schmidt (2003) put it in the abstract to their paper, “a widely recognized paper by Colin Mayer (1988) led to a profound revision of academic thinking about financing patterns of corporations in different countries. Using flow-of-funds data instead of balance sheet data, Mayer and others who followed his lead found that internal financing is the dominant mode of financing in all countries, that financing patterns do not differ very much between countries and that those differences which still seem to exist are not at all consistent with the common conviction that financial systems can be classified as being either bank-based or capital market-based.” Previous to Mayer’s research much of the empirical work on financing patterns and financial structure used balance sheet information from individual companies and made many adjustments (most of them arbitrary) for international comparisons. Mayer used flow-of-funds data (from the OECD) to calculate net sources of funds and found that securities markets contribute a small proportion of corporate sector financing and that the majority of external finance comes from banks. Subsequent research by Corbett and Jenkinson (1996, 1997), which also used net flows based on flow-of-funds data from national income accounts, confirmed Mayer’s earlier conclusions. As Corbett and Jenkinson (1997, p. 85) conclude “the celebrated distinction between the ‘market-based’ financial pattern of the United Kingdom and the United States and the ‘bank-based’ pattern of Germany and Japan is inaccurate.” These results are important because (as already noted) they challenge established views that financial systems can be classified as being either capital market-based (as those of the United Kingdom and the United States) or bank-based (as those of Germany and Japan). Moreover, they lead to a research puzzle, known as the ‘net-flow puzzle,’ insofar as they seem to question the widely held belief that there is a correspondence between the financing patterns of enterprises in a given country and that country’s legal and financial environment – see, for example, La Porta et al. (1997, 1998) Demirguc-Kunt and Maksimovic (1996, 1998, 1999), Booth et al. (2001), Rajan and Zingales (1995, 1998), and Wurgler (2000). In addressing the ‘net-flow puzzle,’ Hackethal and Schmidt (2003, p. 2) argue that “all studies that rely on aggregate net flows of funds between economic sectors make one critical implicit assumption concerning the question which sources of funds finance which uses of funds. It is assumed that new 2 external funds like bank loans to the enterprise sector are first used to repay any outstandings of the same type of financial instrument and that only the remainder, i.e., the net flow from the banking sector to the non-financial enterprise sector in a given period, which may be positive or negative, is used for financing real investment. Because by definition internal funds do not have to be repaid, they are assumed to fully flow into investment.” They show that this arbitrary assumption is not warranted and it is responsible for the results at which Mayer and his followers arrive – overestimating the role of internal finance and underestimating that of external finance. Hackethal and Schmidt (2003) argue that gross flows are more appropriate than net flows in measuring the role of the various external sources of the financing of investments and that by using gross flows one eliminates the bias that results in favor of internal finance when net flows are used. They derive an alternative method of measuring financing patterns based on gross flows, which also uses flow-of-funds data, and show that there are significant differences between the financing patterns in the world’s three largest economies – Germany, Japan, and the United States. In fact, they argue that the celebrated distinction between ‘bank-based’ and ‘market-based’ patterns of financing is not inaccurate, as Corbett and Jenkinson (1997) concluded. Hackethal and Schmidt (2003, p. 24-25) argue that the results of their paper “point to a number of very interesting research opportunities. First and foremost, it would be interesting to see similar analyses of financial patterns of other countries emerge. Since our study covers countries for which one can assume that the basic characteristics of their financial systems are largely stable, we would particularly recommend to investigate how financial patterns develop in countries, such as France, in which the character of the financial system has undergone a massive transformation in the course of the last 20 years. It would be equally fascinating to learn more about the way in which non-financial firms finance their investments in countries like the Netherlands whose financial systems cannot as easily as the U.S., Japan and Germany be classified as being either bank-based or capital market based.” In this paper, we take up Hackethal and Schmidt on their suggestion and investigate the sources of finance for physical investment in Canada. In doing so, we provide a set of data on the patterns of finance to enable consistent international comparisons and use two methods of measuring financing patterns (both using flow-of-funds data based on the national income accounts) – the net flows approach of Corbett and Jenkinson (1996, 1997) and the gross flows approach of Hackethal and Schmidt (2003). Moreover, 3 we investigate whether any trends have developed in corporate financing patterns in Canada as a result of the recent globalization of finance, advances in information and computer technologies, and financial system reform and modernization. The rest of the paper is organized as follows. In the next section we apply the Mayer (1990) and Corbett and Jenkinson (1996, 1997) method (of measuring financing patterns based on net flows) to the enterprise sector in Canada and present the empirical results. In doing so, we address the relative importance of the different sources of finance and provide a comparison with the countries used by Corbett and Jenkinson (1997) – Germany, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States. In Section 3 we apply the Hackethal and Schmidt (2003) new measurement concept (based on gross flows) to offer a more accurate look at financing patterns of corporations in Canada and to provide a comparison with the countries used by Hackethal and Schmidt (2003) – Germany, Japan, and the United States. The last section concludes the paper. 2 Net Flows In this section we follow Corbett and Jenkinson (1996, 1997) and use flowof-funds data from the national income accounts to determine how physical investment is financed in Canada. In Table 1, reproduced here from Corbett and Jenkinson (1996), we demonstrate the sources and uses of funds approach to investigating financial structure issues based on the net flows approach of Corbett and Jenkinson (1996, 1997). As shown in the lower part of Table 1, in order to establish the net finance from various sources we subtract the acquisition of financial assets from increases in equivalent liabilities. To identify the sources of finance for physical investment in Canada, the natural place to begin is with the data from the flow of funds accounts for private non-financial corporations, listed in Table 2 along with their CANSIM II series numbers. We use non-financial investment (5) as physical investment and calculate internal funds as the difference between gross saving (1) and capital transfers (4). In keeping with the methods employed by Corbett and Jenkinson (1996, 1997) we have deflated physical investment using a capital goods deflator – the Industrial Price index, CANSIM II series V3822562, scaled to 1990 dollars. All other series reported in Table 2 were deflated using a GDP deflator – CANSIM II series V3860248, scaled to 1990 dollars. 4 In Table 3 we present the Canadian flow of funds using the information from Table 2. The liability flows are counted as a source of funds while the corresponding asset flows are counted as a use of funds and their difference is considered to be the net contribution of funds. In order to facilitate comparisons with the countries used by Corbett and Jenkinson (1997), net flows of financial instruments are placed in categories like ‘Intermediary finance,’ ‘Bonds,’ ‘Equity,’ ‘Trade credit,’ ‘Corporate claims,’ and ‘Other.’ The Intermediary finance category includes items 12, 13, 14, 17, 20, 31, 32, and 34. The Bonds category contains items 21, 22, 23, 24, 27, and 35. The Trade credit category includes items 15, 16, and 30. The Equity category includes items 26 and 37, the Corporate claims category items 25 and 36, and the Other category items 18, 19, 28, 33, and 38. We follow the convention of Corbett and Jenkinson (1997) in calculating and reporting (in Table 4) our results for Canada over successive five-year periods (in order to assess how financing patterns have changed over the years) and over the period as a whole (in the last column of the table). Over the period as a whole, 95% of physical investment was funded from internal funds. Banks and near banks have apparently been small providers of finance for physical investment (9.2% of the funds), secondary to both the equity markets (22.6%) and bonds markets (10.7%). A striking result in the data of Table 4 is the steady increase in the use of market sources of finance and particularly equity finance. Another notable feature of the flow of funds estimates of Table 4 is that the contributions of internal and intermediary finance are linked, as can be seen in Figure 1, which shows a negative correlation between the contributions of internal funds and intermediary finance to funding physical investment. Moreover, there is some evidence of a countercyclical trend in the use of internal sources as the contribution of internal funds tends to increase in years of low investment, consistent with the findings by Corbett and Jenkinson (1997) for Germany, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States. We now consider how financing patterns in Canada compare to those in Germany, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States – the countries used in the Corbett and Jenkinson (1997) study. The first striking result in the (net) flow of funds estimates of Table 5 is the reliance on internal finance in Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United States; in fact Canada has the second highest share of internal finance after the United States. Another feature is the relatively small contribution of intermediary finance in Canada; only 9.2% of physical investment was funded by financial 5 institutions, compared to 11.1% in the United States, 11.9% in Germany, 14.6% in the United Kingdom, and 26.7% in Japan. Canada, however, has the second highest share of bond finance (10.7%) and the highest share of equity finance (22.6%) – in fact, equity has been a net use rather than a source of funds for the United Kingdom (-4.6%) and to a larger extent the United States (-7.6%). It should be noted that for Canada we have a category, ‘Corporate claims,’ not found in the other countries. According to the national accounts manual, on the asset side this category covers investment in shares, marketable debt securities and loans and advances in associated corporations whereas on the liability side it excludes shares issued to associated corporations because they are reported separately in the shares (37) category. This bias (of not including the source of related company shares in corporate claims) is likely to overestimate the proportion of equity finance in real investment in Canada. The most obvious conclusion from this discussion of measuring financing patterns on the basis of net flows is that internal finance is the dominant mode of finance and that the pattern of finance in Canada is very similar to financing patterns in other countries, consistent with the findings by Mayer (1990) and Corbett and Jenkinson (1997). 3 Gross Flows Hackethal and Schmidt (2003) argue that gross flows are more appropriate than net flows in measuring the role of various forms of external financing and that by using gross flows one eliminates the bias that results in favor of internal finance when net flows are used. In particular, in the Hackethal and Schmidt (2003) gross flows approach, all funds (both internal and external) are treated equally and the collective ‘pot’ of gross funds could be used to repay past debts or finance new investment. If data on gross flows for an instrument i are not directly available, they are estimated using level data for the instrument (from the national balance sheet accounts), growth rates in the level data, and the average maturity of the instrument, as follows IFi,t = 1 − (1 + gi,t )−1 Li,t 1 − (1 + gi,t )−mi where i identifies the instrument, IF denotes gross inflows, L end-of-period nominal levels, g the growth rate of L, and m the average maturity of the 6 instrument. Other than that, the Hackethal and Schmidt (2003) gross flows approach is similar to the net flows studies conducted by Mayer (1990) and Corbett and Jenkinson (1996, 1997). To identify the sources of finance for physical investment in Canada based on gross flows of funds to private non-financial enterprises, we begin with the aggregate gross funds data, listed in Table 6 along with their sources. Again we use non-financial investment (5) as physical investment and calculate internal funds as the difference between gross saving (1) and capital transfers (4). The national balance sheet categories used to calculate gross flows include chartered bank loans (6), other loans (7), mortgages (8), equity (9), bonds (10), trade credit (11), and other short-term paper (12), with the latter two being classified as short-term loans in our earlier analysis based on net flows. As shown in the notes to Table 7, (net) total short term external funds are calculated using annual level changes in Table 6 items 11 and 12 and total short-term external funds (double netting) are calculated using Table 2 items as follows: (30 + 33 -12 - 13 - 14 - 15 - 16 - 18 -19). In calculating the contribution of chartered banks to external financing we used gross flows, based on equation (1), of Table 6 items 6 (chartered bank loans) and 8 (mortgages). In obtaining gross flows from mortgages, we calculated the chartered banks level of non-residential mortgage financing using CANSIM II series V122656, V122657, V122658, V122659, and V800015 and assumed an average maturity of 10.3 years, consistent with the suggestions in Hackethal and Schmidt (2003). However, our estimates of financing patterns based on gross flows critically depend on the assumptions that we make about the average maturity of chartered bank loans. Unfortunately, we have been unable to obtain official information from either Statistics Canada, the Bank of Canada, the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI), or the Canadian Bankers Association that would allow us to calculate the average maturity of chartered bank loans, because the form that the banks report on does not request a maturity breakdown of their loans. To deal with this problem we looked at the 2003 annual reports by chartered banks to find information on the maturity profile for loans to business and government.1 We found such information for two banks – the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (see Note 4 on page 75 of CIBC’s 1 A limitation of this approach is that we use business and government loans by chartered banks (which include non residential loans, loans made to government, and loans made outside Canada) as a proxy for chartered bank loans to private non-financial corporations. 7 2003 Annual Report, located at http://www.cibc.com/ca/about.html) and the Royal Bank of Canada (see Note 6 on page 75 of Royal’s 2003 Annual Report, located at http://www.rbc.com/investorrelations). This information is summarized as follows (in millions of dollars) Maturity CIBC RBC Under 1 year 1 to 5 years Over 5 years Total 21,713 9,600 1,864 33,177 40,369 10,674 3,866 54,909 Based on this information, we assume an average maturity of 0.75 for the loans in the under 1 year category, 3 years for the loans in the 1-5 years category, and 10 years for the loans in the over 5 years category, and therefore a weighted average maturity of chartered bank loans of 2. As already noted, this issue of classification of bank loans is most critical to our results and to those reported by Hackethal and Schmidt (2003) for Germany, Japan, and the United States. For example, Hackethal and Schmidt (2003) classified loans by commercial banks in the United States as having an average maturity of less than a year, and because of this assumption they report a bank contribution to external financing for the United States of only 18%. If we make a similar assumption for Canada, the chartered banks contribution to external financing plummets to only 3%, which we think is not realistic. However, if we vary the average maturity of chartered bank loans between 1.1 years and 2 years then the contribution of chartered bank loans to external financing ranges between 68% and 56%. With these in mind, in the first column of Table 7 we present the average portion of internal and external long-term financing over physical investment in Canada; the last three columns of the table, taken from Hackethal and Schmidt (2003), present the same results for Germany, Japan, and the United States averaged over the years 1970 to 2000. Internal funds are broken down into depreciation and capital transfers (which constitutes the bulk of the total) and retained earnings. Averaged over the years 1970-2002, the volume of total internal funds in Canada is 94% of physical investment, higher than in the other countries but closest to that in the United States (87%). However, the average portion of long-term external funds in Canada is closer to that in Japan than in Germany and the United States. In particular, Canadian firms obtained 165 cents from external long-term sources for every dollar 8 they generated internally whereas Japanese, German, and American firms obtained, 66 cents, 188 cents, and 74 cents, respectively. The last three rows of Table 7 are meant to encapsulate the role of shortterm financial sources, specifically gross flows from short-term debt, net flows from short-term debt, and net flows from short term debt less net flows from short-term financial investment (double netting) as a portion of physical investment. In our treatment of short-term instruments we follow Hackethal and Schmidt (2003), who in turn refer to Baker and Wurgler (2000) as their guide, and assume that short term instruments have an average maturity of exactly one year, meaning that their gross amounts exactly equal the yearend levels. Of course, as the term to maturity of most short-term instruments is less than a year, such estimates of short-term gross flows are lower bound values. However, even these conservative estimates indicate that the inclusion of short-term gross flows would swamp the empirical results on aggregate financing patterns, as can be seen in the lower part of Table 7. In this regard, Hackethal and Schmidt (2003, p. 17) argue that “most short-term instruments like commercial paper, short-term bank loans and trade credits mainly serve working capital purposes like payroll needs, inventory management and liquidity management for smoothing out seasonal imbalances and much less the purpose of financing long-term investment. Hence it seems justified to only look at the marginal contribution of the liability side of the liquidity management to financing. This is equivalent to looking at annual net flows from short-term liabilities. In order to account for the fact that liquidity management does not only involve short-term liabilities but also short-term financial claims like cash, bank deposits and trade receivables, one should apply double netting to short-term liabilities and assets and use the resulting net flows as indicators for the role of short-term instruments.” The last row of Table 7 indicates that the contribution of total double-netted flows from liquidity management activities is -13% for Canada, much lower than for the other countries. In Table 8 we present (over successive five-year periods and over the period as a whole) instrumental breakdown as percentages of total external long-term funding for Canada on the basis of gross flows, in the same fashion as in Table 4 on the basis of net flows. The figures add up to 100 (short of rounding) as they are percentages. Over the period as a whole, the most important source of long-term external financing are loans from chartered banks (56% of total external funding), followed by loans from other financial institutions (18%), bonds (15%), and equity (12%). A striking result in 9 the gross flows estimates of Table 8, consistent with the net flows estimates of Table 4, is the steady increase in the use of market sources of finance (stocks and bonds) and the steady decline in the use of intermediary finance (chartered banks and other financial institutions) – see also Figure 2. Moreover, internally generated funds as a portion of physical investment are rising across the period, as can be seen in the last row of Table 8. Finally, we consider how financing patterns on the basis of gross flows in Canada compare to those in Germany, Japan, and the United States – the three countries used in the Hackethal and Schmidt (2003) study. The first striking result in the gross flows estimates of Table 9 is that Canada has the second highest share of bond finance (15%) and the highest share of equity finance (12%) and therefore an overall share of market financing of 27%, second only to the United States (43%). Intermediary finance in Canada (chartered bank loans and loans from other financial institutions) accounts for 75% of the external sources of funds, well below the 86% figure for each of Germany and Japan but above the 56% figure for the United States. In summary, the measurement of gross flows brings out significant differences between financing patterns in Canada and those in the world’s three largest economies – Germany, Japan, and the United States. As Hackethal and Schmidt (2003, p. 19) put it, “contrary to the results of studies based on net flows, the presented evidence from gross flows is completely in line with generally held beliefs that banks are the most important external source of financing in Germany and Japan, whereas capital markets and non-bank financial intermediaries are of greater importance in the US.” The empirical results based on gross flows reveal that financing patterns in Canada are different than those in Germany, Japan, and the United States and it is not as easy to classify Canada as being either bank-based or capital market-based. However, as Figure 2 indicates, there is a trend towards smaller proportions of intermediary finance and larger proportions of market finance. 4 Conclusion There are two sources of information for studying aggregate corporate financing patterns. One is flow-of-funds data, providing a comprehensive coverage of financial flows between different sectors of the economy, and the other is company accounts data, constructed on an individual firm basis and aggregated to industry or economy levels. In this paper, following recent influential 10 empirical work by Corbett and Jenkinson (1996, 1997) and Hackethal and Schmidt (2003), we have used flow-of-funds data from the national income accounts to examine the financing patterns of enterprises in Canada. On the basis of net flows, our results for Canada indicate that intermediary finance is small, market finance is relatively large and increasing, and that the dominant mode of finance is internal funds, consistent with the findings by Corbett and Jenkinson (1997) for Germany, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States. However, as Hackethal and Schmidt (2003) argue, gross flows are more appropriate than net flows in measuring the role of various forms of external financing, because the use of net flows leads to a systematic bias in the results in favor of internal sources of funds. On the basis of gross flows, we find systematic differences in financing patterns between Canada and the countries used by Hackethal and Schmidt (2003) – Germany, Japan, and the United States – consistent with the commonly held belief prior to Mayer’s (1988, 1990) influential contributions. Our results on financing patterns and financial structure seem to be relevant in the recent debate in Canada of whether a floating currency is the right exchange rate regime or whether we should consider alternative monetary arrangements, such as for example a fixed exchange rate (as we did from 1962 to 1970) or a currency union with the United States and perhaps Mexico. For example, structural differences between Canada and the United States will be important in the conduct of a single monetary policy in a common currency framework – see Schmidt (2001) for an interesting discussion. In this paper we haven’t been concerned with the relationship between financial structure and long-run economic growth. A host of studies carried over the recent past have investigated this issue – see, for example, Levine (1997), Levine and Zevros (1998), and Rajan and Zingales (1998). However, as Dolar and Meh (2002, p. 22) argue “there is a rich diversity of opinion in the existing literature on the relationship between financial structure and growth. Advocates of the intermediary- and market-based views argue that financial intermediaries and markets are substitutes in promoting growth. Proponents of the financial services and law and finance views stress that intermediaries and markets are, in fact, complemenst in fostering economic performance.” This is clearly an area for potentially productive future research. 11 References [1] Baker, M. and J. Wurgler. “The Equity Share in New Issues and Aggregate Stock Returns.” Journal of Finance 55 (2000), 2219-2257. [2] Booth, Laurence, Varouj Aivazian, Asli Demirguc-Kunt, and Vojislav Maksimovic. “Capital Structures in Developing Countries.” Journal of Finance 56 (2001), 87-130. [3] Corbett, J. and T. Jenkinson. “The Financing of Industry, 1970-1989: An International Comparison.” Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 10 (1996), 71-96. [4] Corbett, J. and T. Jenkinson. “How is Investment Financed? A Study of Germany, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States.” The Manchester School Supplement (1997), 69-93. 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Vishny. “Law and Finance.” Journal of Political Economy 106 (1998), 1113-1155. 12 [12] Levine, R. “Financial Development and Economic Growth: Views and Agenda”. Journal of Economic Literature 35 (1997), 688-726. [13] Levine, R. and S. Zervos. “Stock Markets, Banks, and Economic Growth”. American Economic Review 88 (1998), 537-558. [14] Mayer, Colin. “New Issues in Corporate Finance.” European Economic Review 32 (1988), 1167-1188. [15] Mayer, Colin. “Financial Systems, Corporate Finance, and Economic Development.” In R.G. Hubbard (ed.) Asymmetric Information, Corporate Finance, and Investment. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press (1990), pp. 307-332. [16] Rajan, Rhaguram G. and Luigi Zingales. “What Do We Know About Capital Structure? Some Evidence from International Data.” Journal of Finance 50 (1995), 1421-1460. [17] Rajan, Rhaguram G. and Luigi Zingales. “Financial Dependence and Growth.” American Economic Review 88 (1998), 559-587. [18] Schmidt, Reinhard H. “Differences Between Financial Systems in European Countries: Consequences for EMU.” In Deutsche Bundesbank (ed.) The Monetary Transmission Process: Recent Developments and Lessons for Europe. Hampshire: Palgrave Publishers (2001), pp. 208-240. [19] Wurgler, Jeffrey. “Financial Markets and the Allocation of Capital.” Journal of Financial Economics 58 (2000), 187-214. 13 TABLE 1 The Flow of Funds Gross sources 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Gross uses Internal Bank loans New equity issues Bond issues Trade credit received Total sources 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. Net sources Cash and deposits Equity purchases Bond purchases Trade credit given New capital formation Total uses Net uses Internal (1) Net bank (2 - 7) Net equity (3 - 8) Net bonds (4 - 9) Net trade credit (5 - 10) Net sources (6 - 7 - 8 - 9 - 10) Physical investment (11) Source: Corbett and Jenkinson (1996, Table AI) 1 TABLE 2 Sources of Canadian Aggregate Flow of Funds Data: Non-Financial Private Corporations Variable 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. 28. 29. 30. 31. 32. 33. 34. 35. 36. 37. 38. 39. CANSIM II series Gross saving Saving CCA Capital transfers Non-financial investment Fixed capital Inventories Existing assets Net lending (IEA) Net lending (FFA) Transactions, financial assets Currency and bank deposits Deposits in other institutions Foreign currency deposits Consumer credit Trade accounts receivable Other loans Canada short term paper Other short term paper Mortgages Canada bonds Provincial bonds Municipal bonds Other Canadian bonds Corporate claims Shares Foreign investments Other financial assets Transactions, liabilities Trade accounts payable Bank loans Other loans Other short-term paper Mortgages Other Canadian bonds Corporate claims Shares Other liabilities Statistical discrepancy V31778 V31780 V31779 V31781 V31782 V31783 V31784 V31785 V31786 V31787 V31788 V31793 V31794 V31795 V31796 V31797 V31798 V31799 V31800 V31801 V31802 V31803 V31804 V31805 V31789 V31790 V31791 V31792 V31806 V31810 V31811 V31812 V31813 V31814 V31815 V31807 V31808 V31809 V31816 Notes: CCA stands for Capital Cost Allowance (our version of depreciation). IEA stands for Integrated Economic Accounts and equals Gross saving (1) less Non-financial investment (5). FFA stands for Financial Flow Accounts and equals Transaction assets (11) less Transaction liabilities (29). 2 TABLE 3 The Canadian Flow of Funds Gross sources 40. 41. 42. 43. 44. 45. 46. 47. 48. 49. Gross uses Internal (1 - 4) of which Depreciation (3) Retained profits (40 - 41) Capital transfers (4) Loans (31 + 32 + 34) Trade credit received (30) Bond issues (35) Corporate claims (36) New equity issues (37) Other (33 + 38) 50. 51. 52. 53. 54. 55. 56. Depreciation (3) Loans (12 + 13 + 14 + 17 + 20) Trade credit given (15 + 16) Bond purchases (21 + 22 + 23 + 24 + 27) Corporate claims (25) Equity purchases (26) Other (18 + 19 + 28) Net sources 57. 58. 59. 60. 61. 62. 63. 64. 65. 66. 67. 68. Net uses Internal (40) of which Depreciation (41) Retained profits (42) Capital transfers (43) Loans (44 - 51) Trade credit (45 - 52) Bonds (46 - 53) Corporate claims (47 - 54) New equity (48 - 55) Other (49 - 56) Total (SUM (58:66)) Statistical discrepancy (69 - 67) 69. Physical invetsment (5) Note: Numbers in parentheses refer to entries in Tables 2 and 3. 3 TABLE 4 Net Sources of Finance in Canada (Percentages) Internal funds Intermediary finance Bonds Equity Corporate claims Trade credit Capital transfers Other Statistical adjustment 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95-99 00-02 Average 87.0 12.9 12.4 8.6 -2.8 -3.9 3.0 -5.3 -12.0 96.2 12.2 9.6 17.8 -7.3 -2.3 3.3 -13.2 -16.3 86.5 28.0 10.6 20.6 -17.1 -4.0 8.9 -15.3 -18.3 89.1 18.4 6.5 19.9 -9.5 -1.3 6.7 -19.5 -10.3 90.8 14.3 8.0 21.9 -5.1 1.5 3.9 -34.5 -0.8 96.9 -3.4 12.0 24.8 -13.9 -2.4 2.4 -11.4 -5.1 112.6 -6.5 15.7 37.4 -28.7 1.6 2.3 -24.4 -1.0 94.9 9.2 10.7 22.6 -12.7 -1.4 4.2 -18.0 -9.5 Figure 1. The Financing of Physical Investment in Canada: Net Flows, 1970-2002. 1.4 Physical investment (100xbillions) Intermediary finance 100% Internal finance 2002 2000 1998 1996 -40% 1994 0 1992 -20% 1990 0.2 1988 0% 1986 0.4 1984 20% 1982 0.6 1980 40% 1978 0.8 1976 60% 1974 1 1972 80% 1970 1.2 TABLE 5 Net Sources of Finance (Percentages) in Canada, Germany, Japan, UK, and US Internal funds Intermediary finance Bonds Equity Corporate claims Trade credit Capital transfers Other Statistical adjustment Canada Germany Japan UK US 94.9 9.2 10.7 22.6 -12.7 -1.4 4.2 -18.0 -9.5 78.9 11.9 -1.0 0.1 – -1.2 8.7 1.4 1.2 69.9 26.7 4.0 3.5 – -5.0 – 1.0 0.0 93.3 14.6 4.2 -4.6 – -0.9 1.7 0.0 -8.4 96.1 11.1 15.4 -7.6 – -2.4 – -4.4 -8.3 Notes: The numbers for Canada are averages over the 1970-2002 period and for the other countries over 1970-1994 – see Corbett and Jenkinson (1997, Table 1). 1 TABLE 6 Sources of Canadian Aggregate Gross Funds Data: Non-Financial Private Corporations Variable 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Source Gross saving Saving CCA Capital transfers Non-financial investment CANSIM CANSIM CANSIM CANSIM CANSIM II II II II II series series series series series V31778 V31780 V31779 V31781 V31782 Chartered bank loans Other loans Mortgages Equity Bonds CANSIM II series V34257 CANSIM II series V34258 CANSIM II series V34260 Bank of Canada Bank of Canada Short-term instruments: 11. 12. Trade credit Other short-term paper CANSIM II series V34256 CANSIM II series V34259 Notes: CCA stands for Capital Cost Allowance (our version of depreciation). 1 TABLE 7 Gross Flows From Internal and external Sources as a Percentage of Physical Investment in Canada, Germany, Japan, and US 13. 14. 15. 16. Retained earnings (2) Depreciation and capital transfers (1 - 2) Total internal funds (13 + 14) Total long-term external funds (gross)∗ Canada Germany Japan US 19 74 94 155 3 80 83 55 20 57 77 144 13 74 87 64 220 17 -13 168 11 -5 768 49 -7 240 18 -1 Memo: Total short-term external funds (gross)∗∗ Total short-term external funds (net)∗∗∗ Total short-term external funds (double netting)∗∗∗∗ 17. 18. 19. Notes: Numbers in parentheses and notes apply only to Canada and refer to entries in Tables 6 and 7, unless otherwise indicated. The numbers for Canada are averages over the 1970-2002 period and for the other countries over the 1970-2000 period – see Hackethal and Schmidt (2003, Table 4). ∗ Includes gross estimates, based on equation (1), of Table 6 items 6, 7, 9, and 10. ∗∗ Assuming an average maturity of 1 year, gross estimates based on equation (1), equal year-end levels of Table 6 items 11 and 12. ∗∗∗ Equals (11 + 12)t − (11 + 12)t−1 . ∗∗∗∗ Total short term external funds (double netting) are calculated using flow of fund liabilities less assets from Table 2, as follows: (30 + 33 -12 - 13 - 14 - 15 - 16 - 18 -19). 1 TABLE 8 Compositon of External Financing in Canada on the Basis of Gross Flows (Percentages) Long-term chartered bank loans∗ Long-term loans from other institutions∗∗ Bonds∗∗∗ Equity∗∗∗ 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90-94 95-99 00-02 Average 58 24 16 3 58 22 13 8 69 14 7 11 57 19 11 13 55 20 13 13 45 15 21 19 40 15 26 18 56 18 15 12 88 95 88 91 96 95 108 94 Memo: Internal funds as a portion of investment ∗ Gross flows were estimated using equation (1) and Table 6 item 6 and a portion of item 8. Gross flows were estimated using equation (1) and Table 6 item 7 and a portion of item 8. ∗∗∗ Actual gross figures supplied by the Bank of Canada were used. ∗∗ Figure 2. The Financing of Physical Investment in Canada: Gross Flows, 1970-2002 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% Direct finance (equity and bonds) 50% Intermediary finance 40% 30% 20% 10% 2002 2000 1998 1996 1994 1992 1990 1988 1986 1984 1982 1980 1978 1976 1974 1972 1970 0% TABLE 9 Composition of External Financing in Canada Germany, Japan, and US (Percentages) Canada Germany Japan US 56 18 15 12 76 10 7 8 78 8 9 5 18 38 32 11 Long-term bank loans Long-term loans from other institutions Bonds Equity Notes: The numbers for Canada are averages over the 1970-2002 period and for the other countries over the 1970-2000 period – see Hackethal and Schmidt (2003). 1