Lecture 37: Three Factors - RCBD Treatment Combinations As the number of factors increase so do the number of treatment combinations. With a large number of treatment combinations it becomes more difficult to have adequate replication. Example Cutting Speed: 4 levels Tool Geometry: 3 levels Cutting Angle: 4 levels Treatment combinations: 48 Minimum of 96 experimental units. 1 Factors at 2 levels 2 Tool Wear Experiment Factor A: Cutting Speed 50 rpm (–1) and 100 rpm (+1) One way to reduce the number of treatment combinations is to have factors at only 2 levels. Factor B: Tool Geometry Type 1 (–1) and Type 2 (+1) Factor C: Cutting Angle 5 degrees (–1) and 10 degrees (+1) 3 Block Design 4 Informal Analysis The experimental material consists of metal bars. Metal bars have different properties depending on the heat that produced them. Form block by sorting on heat. A: Cutting Speed 50 rpm (–1): Mean = 59.25 100 rpm (+1): Mean = 58.75 5 6 1 Lecture 37: Three Factors - RCBD Informal Analysis B: Tool Geometry Type 1 (–1): Mean = 64.75 Type 2 (+1): Mean = 53.25 7 8 Informal Analysis C: Cutting Angle 5 degrees (–1): Mean = 59.25 10 degrees (+1): Mean = 58.75 9 10 Summary There is very little effect due to cutting speed. Type 2 tool geometry has much lower average wear. Increasing the cutting angle tends to decrease the average wear. 11 12 2 Lecture 37: Three Factors - RCBD Speed by Angle When speed is 50 rpm, increasing the angle tends to decrease the wear a lot. When speed is 100 rpm, increasing the angle tends to increase the wear a little. 13 14 Other Interactions JMP Data Table The other interaction plots show indication of some interaction but not as much as between Speed and Angle. A: Speed 50 100 50 100 50 B: Tool 1 1 2 2 1 C: Angle 5 5 5 5 10 Heat I I I I I 100 2 10 III Wear 78 68 65 55 57 61 15 Fit Model 16 Analysis of Variance Y: Wear Highlight all three factors under Select Columns. Macros – Full Factorial. Add Heat Source Treatment Heat Error C. Total 17 df SS 7 1608.0 2 271.0 14 203.0 23 2082.0 MS 229.7 135.5 14.5 F 15.84 18 3 Lecture 37: Three Factors - RCBD Effect Tests Source A: Speed B: Tool AB C: Angle AC BC ABC df 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 SS 1.5 793.5 24.0 294.0 433.5 37.5 24.0 Bonferroni Correction MS F Prob>F 1.5 0.1034 0.7525 793.5 54.7241 <.0001 24.0 1.6552 0.2191 294.0 20.2759 0.0005 433.5 29.8966 <.0001 37.5 2.5862 0.1301 24.0 1.6552 0.2191 Because we are doing multiple F tests, we should choose a lower cut off for when a P-value indicates statistical significance. 19 20 Bonferroni Correction Significant Effects A P-value must be less than 0.05/(# tests) before we will declare statistical significance. 0.05/7 = 0.007 B: Tool – F = 54.7241, P-value < 0.0001 C: Angle – F = 20.2759, P-value = 0.0005 AC – F = 29.8966, P-value < 0.0001 21 22 Alternative Analysis JMP Data Table Use coded levels of the factors and multiple regression. Low level: –1 High level: +1 23 XA –1 +1 –1 +1 –1 XB –1 –1 +1 +1 –1 XC –1 –1 –1 –1 +1 Heat I I I I I +1 +1 +1 III Wear 78 68 65 55 57 61 24 4 Lecture 37: Three Factors - RCBD Fit Model Parameter Estimates Source XA XB XA*XB XC XA*XC XB*XC XA*XB*XC Y: Wear Highlight all three coded factors under Select Columns. Macros – Full Factorial. Add Heat Estimate Std Error T Ratio –0.25 1.5 –0.32 –5.75 793.5 –7.40 1.00 24.0 1.29 –3.50 294.0 –4.50 4.25 433.5 5.47 1.25 37.5 1.61 1.00 24.0 1.29 25 Comment Prob>F 0.7525 <.0001 0.2191 0.0005 <.0001 0.1301 0.2191 26 Significant Effects XB: t = –7.40, P-value < 0.0001 XC: t = –4.50, P-value = 0.0005 XA*XC: t = 5.47, P-value < 0.0001 The P-values associated with each of the coded factors and interactions are the same as with the previous analysis. 27 Prediction Equation 28 Minimize Wear XB = +1, Type 2 Tool XC = +1, 10 degree Angle XA = –1, 50 rpm Speed Predicted Wear = 59.0 – 5.75*XB – 3.50*XC + 4.25*XA*XC XA*XC = (+1)*(–1) = –1 Predicted Wear = 45.5 29 30 5