Sample Final Exam from Spring 2011 Solution to Problems 2, 3, and 4 2. [10 pts] For each of the following situations explain what design you would use to accomplish the stated purpose. Be sure to support your choice of design. If you chose a design that involves blocking be sure to indicate how you will make your blocks. a) [5] We wish to investigate how microwave wattage (1000 watt microwave or 1500 watt microwave) and time (3 minutes, 3.5 minutes or 4 minutes) affect the percentage of unburned popped kernels in microwave popcorn. For a given brand and style of popcorn, microwave popcorn comes in sealed packages with the same weight of popcorn in each. The size and contents of different brands and styles will vary. You have enough resources to purchase 60 packages and you want your conclusions to cover several different brands and styles of microwave popcorn. Response: percentage of unburned popped kernels Conditions: Wattage (2 levels) Time (3 levels) Material: packages of microwave popcorn Because different brands and styles vary in terms of size and contents if different brands and styles are included in the experiment, the material will not be uniform. If only one brand and style is uses (controlling for brand and style) the conclusions will not cover several different brands and styles of microwave popcorn. To accommodate this, form blocks by sorting packages by brand and style. With 6 treatment combinations, there can be 10 blocks. Source Wattage Time Watt*Time Block Error C. Total df 1 2 2 9 45 59 1 b) [5] An ophthalmologist wishes to see how eye focus time in young adults is affected by the amount of alcohol consumed and whether the gender of the individual has an influence. The amounts of alcohol are none, 2 ounces, 4 ounces and 6 ounces consumed in a 20-minute period. The investigator is able to randomly select 20 young adult females and 20 young adult males from all those young adults willing to participate in the experiment. It is known that body composition (height and weight) and tolerance to alcohol varies a lot among young adults. Response: eye focus time Conditions: Gender (2 levels) – observational factor Alcohol (4 levels) – experimental factor Material: young adults Young adults will vary a great deal in terms of their height, weight and tolerance to alcohol so a completely randomized design is not the best design. Gender cannot be assigned and it may be hard to make homogeneous blocks containing both men and women (hard to get men and women the same height, weight and tolerance). This experiment should be done as a split plot design. Whole plot factor is gender, with 20 males and 20 females. For the subplot we could: Form blocks by sorting on height/weight/tolerance – 5 groups of 4 males and 5 groups of 4 females. Form blocks by reusing each adult The subplot factor is amount of alcohol. Block by sorting Source Gender Groups[Gender] Alcohol Gender*Alcohol Error C. Total df 1 8 3 3 24 39 Block by reusing Source df Gender 1 Groups[Gender] 38 Alcohol 3 Gender*Alcohol 3 Error 114 C. Total 159 2 3. [10 pts] For each of the following situations, Give the design that was used (completely randomized, randomized complete block, Latin square, split plot/repeated measures). Give a partial ANOVA table listing all sources of variation and degrees of freedom. a) [5] An experiment is performed to study the effect of depth of planting (½ inch, 1 inch) and date of planting (April 30, May 7, May 14) on corn yields. There are 24 fields available for the experiment. Twelve of the fields are assigned at random to each of the planting depths. On one third of each field corn seed is planted April 30, on another third of each field corn seed is planted on May 7 and on the final third of each field corn seed is planted on May 14. Which third is planted on each day is determined at random for each field. All the fields are harvested on the same day in late October and the yield of corn (bushels per acre) is recorded. Response: corn yield (bushels per acre) Conditions: Depth (2 levels) Date (3 levels) Material: Fields This is a split plot design. The whole plot is a field and the whole plot factor is the planting depth. The subplot is a third of a field and the subplot factor is the date of planting. Each depth is assigned at random to 12 fields, completely randomized design. The three dates are assigned at random to each field, making each field a block which is subdivided to accommodate the three dates, in a randomized complete block design. Source Depth Fields[Depth] Date Depth*Date Error C. Total df 1 22 2 2 44 71 3 b) [5] An experiment is done using 60 turtles. Thirty of the turtles are male and thirty of the turtles are female. The male turtles are randomly divided into 3 groups of 10 and the female turtles are randomly divided into three groups of 10. One group of males and one group of females has their plasma protein measured while they are well fed (no fasting). One group of males and one group of females has their plasma protein measured after ten days of fasting. One group of males and one group of females has their plasma protein measured after twenty days of fasting. The researcher wishes to know if there are differences between the genders. The researcher also wants to know if there are differences among the fasting times and if there is any interaction between gender and fasting time. Response: plasma protein level Conditions: Gender (2 levels) – observational factor Fasting (3 levels) – experimental factor Material: turtles This looks like it should be a split plot design because gender is an observational factor that cannot be assigned at random. However, there is no mention of blocking. Turtles are not sorted, within males and females, to make them more uniform nor are they reused. What we end up with is 6 groups of 10 turtles. The groups correspond to the combination of gender and fasting: Male/None, Male/10 days, Male/20 days Female/None, Female/10 days, Female/30 days Source Gender Fasting Gender*Fasting Turtles[Gender,Fasting] C. Total df 1 2 2 54 59 The only source of variation is differences among turtles treated the same (the same gender assigned the same fasting level). This is the error term for a completely randomized design. 4 4. [25 pts] Rosmarinic acid is an antioxidant found in herbs of the mint family. Ursolic acid, found in apples and other fruits and herbs, is capable of inhibiting growth of some cancer cells. An experiment is performed to see the effects of concentration levels of Rosmarinic acid, RA and Ursolic acid, UA on cells. Sixteen rectangular plates, each with six wells, will be used. The experimenter wants to avoid crosscontamination of compounds so only one compound will be used on a plate. There are six concentration levels: 1, 2, 5, 10, 20 and 50 M . The experiment is done as a split plot design. Each acid is randomly assigned to eight of the rectangular plates. The six concentration levels are randomly assigned to the six wells within each plate for each compound. The response is the logarithm of the number of viable cells at the end of the incubation time. Refer to the JMP output “Effects of acids on cell numbers.” a) [2] What is the whole plot? A whole plot is a rectangular plate. b) [2] What is the whole plot factor? The whole plot factor is the type of acid, Rosmarinic acid or Ursolic acid. c) [2] What is the sub plot? A sub plot is a well in the rectangular plate. d) [2] What is the sub plot factor? The sub plot factor is the concentration of acid, 1, 2, 5, 10, 20 and 50 M . e) [4] The two compounds are statistically different. Give the appropriate F statistic that supports this result. 𝑭= 𝑴𝑺𝑪𝒐𝒎𝒑𝒐𝒖𝒏𝒅 𝟒𝟓. 𝟖𝟑𝟓 = = 𝟗𝟔. 𝟗𝟐𝟑 𝑴𝑺𝑷𝒍𝒂𝒕𝒆[𝑪𝒐𝒎𝒑𝒐𝒖𝒏𝒅] 𝟎. 𝟒𝟕𝟐𝟗 Note: Although not necessary because there are only two compounds, if we were to compute a value for the LSD it would use MSPlate[Compound] as the MSError. 𝟐 𝑳𝑺𝑫 = 𝟐. 𝟏𝟒𝟒𝟕𝟗√𝟎. 𝟒𝟕𝟐𝟗√ = 𝟎. 𝟑𝟎 𝟒𝟖 5 f) [3] There are some statistically significant concentration effects. Below are the means for the six concentrations. Calculate the estimated effects of each concentration level. Concentration 1 Mean 12.32 Estimated Effect 1.59 2 12.00 1.27 5 11.56 0.83 10 10.58 –0.15 20 9.26 –1.47 50 8.66 –2.07 Overall 10.73 g) [5] Compute the value of the HSD (use q* = 2.93014) and indicate which concentration means have statistically significant differences. 𝟐 𝑯𝑺𝑫 = 𝟐. 𝟗𝟑𝟎𝟏𝟒√𝟎. 𝟐𝟓𝟒𝟐√ = 𝟐. 𝟗𝟑𝟎𝟏𝟒(𝟎. 𝟏𝟕𝟖𝟐𝟓𝟓) = 𝟎. 𝟓𝟐 𝟏𝟔 Concentrations 1 and 2 are not statistically different, difference in means = 0.32 < 0.52. Concentrations 2 and 5 are not statistically different, difference in means = 0.44 < 0.52. All other comparisons between pairs of concentrations have statistically significant differences, difference in means > 0.52. h) [5] There is a statistically significant interaction between Compound and Concentration. Below is the interaction plot. Describe the plot and comment on the nature of the interaction. 6 Both acids have a decreasing trend between the mean Ln(Cell) and concentration. As concentration increases the log of the number of cells tends to decrease. Rosmarinac acid starts off lower and decreases more slowly. Ursolic acid starts off higher and decreases more rapidly. At lower concentrations there is a big difference between the means for the two acids. For higher concentrations there is very little difference between the means for the two acids. Effects of Acids on Cell Numbers Response Ln(Cell) Summary of Fit RSquare RSquare Adj Root Mean Square Error Mean of Response Observations (or Sum Wgts) 0.935289 0.912178 0.504229 10.73068 96 Analysis of Variance Source DF Sum of Squares Model 25 257.23058 Error 70 17.79726 C. Total 95 275.02784 Effect Tests Source Compound Concentration Compound*Concentration Plate[Compound] Mean Square 10.2892 0.2542 DF Sum of Squares 1 45.83500 5 181.18668 5 23.58829 14 6.62061 F Ratio 40.4695 Mean Square 45.83500 36.23734 4.71766 0.47290 Prob > F <.0001* F Ratio 7