Stat 301 Lab 9: Due November 17 Fall 2014 In a study of plant communities in tropical forests, researchers quantified the nonstructural carbohydrate (NSC) concentration (mg/g) and sugar concentration (mg/g) in stems of different species of trees and shrubs in moist semi-evergreen and dry deciduous tropical forests in the rainy season in Bolivia. NSC is stored in plant stems and may allow plants to overcome periods of stress and thus enhance survival. The sugar concentration in plants is an important consideration if one wants to use the plant material to make ethanol. The researchers are interested in using the NSC concentrations to predict the concentration of sugar (mg/g) in tropical trees and shrubs. The data can be found on the course website www.public.iastate.edu/~wrstephe/stat301.html. In order to make things more interpretable, (NSC – 100) will be used as one explanatory variable. A second explanatory variable is an indicator (dummy) variable for the type of forest: Forest Indicator = 1 if the sampling stems are from a moist semi-evergreen tropical forest and Forest Indicator = 0 if the sampling stems are from a dry deciduous tropical forest. 1. Consider the entire set of data for stems of different species of trees and shrubs from both moist and dry forests together. Use Fit Y by X to fit separate regression lines for moist and dry forests relating sugar concentration to (NSC – 100). a) How much of the variability in the sugar concentration for dry tropical forest trees and shrubs is explained the by the linear relationship with the amount of NSC? b) What is the estimate of the error standard deviation? c) Give the least squares prediction equation for predicting sugar concentration in dry tropical forest trees and shrubs from (NSC – 100). d) Give an interpretation of the estimated intercept for dry tropical forest trees and shrubs. e) Give an interpretation of the estimated slope coefficient for dry tropical forest trees and shrubs. f) Is there a statistically significant linear relationship between (NSC – 100) and sugar concentration for dry tropical forest trees and shrubs? Support your answer statistically. g) How much of the variability in the sugar concentration for moist tropical forest trees and shrubs is explained the by the linear relationship with the amount of NSC? h) What is the estimate of the error standard deviation? i) Give the least squares prediction equation for predicting sugar concentration in moist tropical forest trees and shrubs from (NSC – 100). j) Give an interpretation of the estimated intercept for moist tropical forest trees and shrubs. k) Give an interpretation of the estimated slope coefficient for moist tropical forest trees and shrubs. l) Is there a statistically significant linear relationship between (NSC – 100) and sugar concentration for moist tropical forest trees and shrubs? Support your answer statistically. 1 2. Fit a multiple linear regression with sugar concentration as the response and (NSC – 100), an indicator variable for type of forest (Forest Indicator = 1 for moist tropical forests, Forest Indicator = 0 for dry tropical forests) and a (NSC – 100) by Forest Indicator interaction term. Turn off the Center Polynomials. a) How much of the variability in sugar concentration is explained by the interaction model? b) What is the estimate of the error standard deviation? How does this compare to your answers in 1 b) and 1 h)? c) Give the least squares prediction equation for the interaction model. d) Interpret each of the estimated parameters in the interaction model within the context of the problem. Hint: It may be helpful to look at your equations and interpretations in problem 1. e) If tropical trees or shrubs have an NSC concentration of 100 mg/g, will the population mean sugar concentration be different for dry and moist tropical forests? Support your answer with the appropriate test of hypothesis or confidence interval. f) Are the sugar concentrations for tropical trees and shrubs from dry and moist tropical forests changing at statistically different rates relative to the NSC concentration? Support your answer with the appropriate test or confidence interval. g) Estimate the mean sugar concentration for trees and shrubs from dry tropical forests that have NSC concentration of 100 mg/g. Include a 95% confidence interval for the population mean sugar concentration. h) Predict the sugar concentration for a tree or shrub from a dry tropical forest that has an NSC concentration of 100 mg/g. Include a 95% prediction interval for the the sugar concentration. i) Describe the plot of residuals versus NSC. What does this indicate about the predictions made using the interaction model? j) Describe the distribution of residuals. Are the conditions of identically and normally distributed errors satisfied? Explain briefly. 2