Stat 104 – Lecture 29 Two Sample Data • Dependent samples –Data are connected. • Independent samples –Data are separate. 1 Dependent Samples • Paired data –One set of individuals. –Two values of the response variable (a pair of values) for each individual. 2 Independent Samples • Two separate sets of individuals. • One value of the response variable for each individual. 3 1 Stat 104 – Lecture 29 Know the Difference • It is important to know the difference between data arising from two independent samples and data arising from dependent (paired) samples. 4 Alcohol and Reaction Time • Dependent (paired) samples – One set of individuals – Each individual has reaction time measured after consuming a glass of grape juice and again after consuming a glass of grape juice with 2 oz of 190 proof alcohol. 5 Alcohol and Reaction Time • Independent samples – Two separate sets of individuals. – One set has reaction time measured after consuming a glass of grape juice. – The other set has reaction time measured after consuming a glass of grape juice with 2 oz of 190 proof alcohol. 6 2 Stat 104 – Lecture 29 Alcohol and Reaction Time • Dependent (paired) samples –One set of 12 individuals –Each individual has reaction time measured after consuming a glass of grape juice and again after consuming a glass of grape juice with 2 oz of 190 proof alcohol. 7 Participant 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 No Alcohol 6.7 7.0 7.0 7.3 7.2 7.4 6.2 6.4 6.6 7.7 7.7 6.5 Alcohol 7.4 7.0 7.7 7.5 7.0 7.6 7.4 7.5 7.2 7.4 7.7 7.4 d=Alc – No Alc 0.7 0.0 0.7 0.2 –0.2 0.2 1.2 1.1 0.6 –0.3 0.0 0.98 Summary of Differences n = 12 d = (∑ d ) = n sd = 0.5083 5.1 = 0.425 12 9 3 Stat 104 – Lecture 29 Confidence Interval for μd ⎛ d ± t* ⎜ ⎝ sd ⎞ ⎟ n⎠ t* from Table T; df = n − 1 10 Table T df 1 2 3 4 M 2.201 11 Confidence Levels 80% 90% 95% 98% 99% 11 Confidence Interval for μd ⎛ 0.5083 ⎞ ⎟ 12 ⎠ ⎝ 0.425 ± 2.201⎜ 0.425 ± 2.201(0.1467 ) 0.425 ± 0.323 0.102 to 0.748 12 4 Stat 104 – Lecture 29 Interpretation • We are 95% confident that the mean difference in reaction time is between 0.102 and 0.748 seconds. • On average, a person’s reaction time increases from 0.102 to 0.748 seconds after drinking this amount of alcohol. 13 Test of Hypothesis for μd • Step 1: Set – up H 0 : μd = 0 H A : μd > 0 – μ dis the mean difference in reaction time (Alc – No Alc). 14 Test of Hypothesis for μd • Step 2: Test Criteria – Differences are normally distributed. – Population standard deviation is not known. – t-test statistic – α = 0.05. 15 5 Stat 104 – Lecture 29 Test of Hypothesis for μd • Step 3: Sample evidence t= d −0 0.425 = = 2.897 0.1467 ⎛ sd ⎞ ⎜ ⎟ ⎝ n⎠ 16 Table T One tail probability 0.01 P-value 0.005 df 1 2 3 4M 11 2.718 2.897 3.106 17 Test of Hypothesis for μd • Step 4: Probability value –The P-value is between 0.005 and 0.01. 18 6 Stat 104 – Lecture 29 Test of Hypothesis for μd • Step 5: Results –Reject the null hypothesis because the P-value is smaller than α = 0.05 –With alcohol the reaction time is longer, on average. 19 Comment • This agrees with the confidence interval. Zero was not in the confidence interval and so zero is not a plausible value for the population mean difference. 20 JMP • Data in two columns –Reaction time with no alcohol. –Reaction time with alcohol. • Create a new column of differences –Cols – Formula 21 7 Stat 104 – Lecture 29 JMP • Analysis – Distribution –Differences • JMP Starter – Basic –Matched Pairs 22 Analysis - Distribution Distributions Difference Moments Mean Std Dev Std Err Mean upper 95% Mean lower 95% Mean N Test Mean=value 0.425 0.5083395 0.146745 0.7479835 0.1020165 12 Hypothesized Value Actual Estimate df Std Dev Test Statistic Prob > |t| Prob > t Prob < t 0 0.425 11 0.50834 t Test 2.8962 0.0145 0.0073 0.9927 23 Matched Pairs Matched Pairs Difference: Alcohol-No Alcohol Alcohol No Alcohol Mean Difference Std Error Upper95% Lower95% N Correlation 7.4 6.975 0.425 0.14674 0.74798 0.10202 12 0.20195 t-Ratio DF Prob > |t| Prob > t Prob < t 2.896181 11 0.0145 0.0073 0.9927 24 8