Stat 104 – Lecture 28 Two Sample Data • Independent samples –Data are separate. • Dependent samples –Data are connected. 1 Independent Samples • Two separate sets of individuals. • One value of the response variable for each individual. 2 Dependent Samples • Paired data –One set of individuals. –Two values of the response variable (a pair of values) for each individual. 3 1 Stat 104 – Lecture 28 Know the Difference • It is important to know the difference between data arising from two independent samples and data arising from dependent (paired) samples. 4 Alcohol and Reaction Time • Independent samples – Two separate sets of individuals. – One set has reaction time measured after consuming a glass of grape juice. – The other set has reaction time measured after consuming a glass of grape juice with 2 oz of 190 proof alcohol. 5 Alcohol and Reaction Time • Dependent (paired) samples –One set of individuals –Each individual has reaction time measured after consuming a glass of grape juice and again after consuming a glass of grape juice with 2 oz of 190 proof alcohol. 6 2 Stat 104 – Lecture 28 Alcohol and Reaction Time • Dependent (paired) samples –One set of 12 individuals –Each individual has reaction time measured after consuming a glass of grape juice and again after consuming a glass of grape juice with 2 oz of 190 proof alcohol. 7 Participant 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 No Alcohol 6.7 7.0 7.0 7.3 7.2 7.4 6.2 6.4 6.6 7.7 7.7 6.5 Alcohol d=Alc – No Alc 7.4 0.7 7.0 0.0 7.7 0.7 7.5 0.2 7.0 –0.2 7.6 0.2 7.4 1.2 7.5 1.1 7.2 0.6 7.4 –0.3 7.7 0.0 8 7.4 0.9 Summary of Differences n = 12 yd = (∑ yd ) = 5.1 = 0.425 n sd = 0.5083 12 9 3 Stat 104 – Lecture 28 Confidence Interval for μd ⎛s ⎞ yd ± t*⎜ d ⎟ ⎝ n⎠ t* fromTableT; df = n − 1 10 Table T 80% Confidence Levels 90% 95% 98% 99% df 1 2 3 4 M 11 2.201 11 Confidence Interval for μd ⎛ 0.5083 ⎞ 0.425 ± 2.201⎜ ⎟ 12 ⎝ ⎠ 0.425 ± 2.201(0.1467 ) 0.425 ± 0.323 0.102 to 0.748 12 4 Stat 104 – Lecture 28 Interpretation • We are 95% confident that the mean difference in reaction time is between 0.102 and 0.748 seconds. • On average, a person’s reaction time increases from 0.102 to 0.748 seconds after drinking this amount of alcohol. 13 Test of Hypothesis for μd • Step 1: Assumptions. –Paired data. –Randomization. –Differences are approximately normally distributed. 14 Test of Hypothesis for μd • Step 2: Hypotheses H 0 : μd = 0 H A : μd > 0 – μ d is the mean difference in reaction time (Alc – No Alc). 15 5 Stat 104 – Lecture 28 Test of Hypothesis for μd • Step 3: Test Statistic. y − 0 0.425 = = 2.897 t= d ⎛ sd ⎞ 0.1467 ⎜ ⎟ ⎝ n⎠ 16 Table T Right-Tail probability 0.01 P-value 0.005 df 1 2 3 4 M 11 2.718 2.897 3.106 17 Test of Hypothesis for μd • Step 4: Probability value –The P-value is between 0.005 and 0.01. 18 6 Stat 104 – Lecture 28 Test of Hypothesis for μd • Step 5: Results –Reject the null hypothesis because the P-value is smaller than α = 0.05 –With alcohol the reaction time is longer, on average. 19 Comment • This agrees with the confidence interval. Zero was not in the confidence interval and so zero is not a plausible value for the population mean difference. 20 JMP • Data in two columns –Reaction time with no alcohol. –Reaction time with alcohol. • Create a new column of differences –Cols – Formula 21 7 Stat 104 – Lecture 28 JMP • Analysis – Distribution –Differences • JMP Starter – Basic –Matched Pairs 22 Analysis - Distribution Distributions Difference Moments Test Mean=value Mean Std Dev Std Err Mean upper 95% Mean lower 95% Mean N 0.425 0.5083395 0.146745 0.7479835 0.1020165 12 Hypothesized Value Actual Estimate df Std Dev 0 0.425 11 0.50834 t Test 2.8962 0.0145 0.0073 0.9927 Test Statistic Prob > |t| Prob > t Prob < t 23 Matched Pairs Matched Pairs Difference: Alcohol-No Alcohol Alcohol No Alcohol Mean Difference Std Error Upper95% Lower95% N Correlation 7.4 6.975 0.425 0.14674 0.74798 0.10202 12 0.20195 t-Ratio DF Prob > |t| Prob > t Prob < t 2.896181 11 0.0145 0.0073 0.9927 24 8