Stat 101: Lecture 8 The Standard Deviation as a Ruler • A student got a 67/75 on the first exam and a 64/75 on the second exam. She was disappointed that she did not score as well on the second exam. • To her surprise, the professor said she actually did better on the second exam, relative to the rest of the class. 1 The Standard Deviation as a Ruler • How can this be? • Both exams exhibit variation in the scores. • However, that variation may be different from one exam to the next. • The standard deviation provides a ruler for comparing the two exam scores. 2 Summarizing Exam Scores • Exam 1 • Exam 2 – Mean: – Mean: y = 59.5 – Standard Deviation: s = 8.61 y = 50.1 – Standard Deviation: s = 11.86 3 Stat 101: Lecture 8 Standardizing Look at the number of standard deviations the score is from the mean. y− y z= s 4 Standardized Exam Scores • Exam 1 – Score: 67 67 − 59.5 8.61 z = 0.87 z= • Exam 2 – Score: 64 64 − 50.1 11.86 z = 1.17 z= 5 Standardized Exam Scores • On exam 1, the 67 was 0.87 standard deviations better than the mean. • On exam 2, the 64 was 1.17 standard deviations better than the mean. 6 Stat 101: Lecture 8 Standardizing • Shifts the distribution by subtracting off the mean. • Rescales the distribution by dividing by the standard deviation. 7 Standardizing • Standardizing does not change the shape of the distribution. • Standardizing changes the center by making the mean 0. • Standardizing changes the spread by making the standard deviation 1. 8 Normal Models • Our conceptualization of what the distribution of an entire population of values would look like. • Characterized by population parameters: μ and σ. 9 Stat 101: Lecture 8 Sample Data 0.3 Density 0.2 0.1 0.0 85 90 95 100 Octane Rating 10 Normal Model 0.3 Density 0.2 σ 0.1 0.0 85 90 μ 95 100 Octane Rating 11 Normal Model • Octane Rating • Center: – Mean, μ = 91 • Spread: – Standard deviation, σ=1.5 12 Stat 101: Lecture 8 68-95-99.7 Rule • 68% of the values fall within 1 standard deviation of the mean. • 95% of the values fall within 2 standard deviations of the mean. • 99.7% of the values fall within 3 standard deviations of the mean. 13 Octane Rating • 68% of the values fall between 89.5 and 92.5. • 95% of the values fall between 88.0 and 94.0. • 99.7% of the values fall between 86.5 and 95.5. 14 Normal Percentiles • What percentage of octane ratings fall below 92? • Draw a picture. • How far away from the mean is 92 in terms of number of standard deviations? 15 Stat 101: Lecture 8 0.3 Density 0.2 Shaded Area 0.1 0.0 90 85 92 95 100 Octane Rating 16 Standard Normal Model z= 92 − 91 = 0.67 1.5 • Table Z: in your text. z 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7486 17 Standard Normal Model z= 92 − 91 = 0.67 1.5 • http://davidmlane.com/hyperstat/z_tab le.html • 75% of octane values fall below 92. 18