STAT 496, Spring 2015 Homework Assignment #3, Due by Friday, February 13 1. An important quality characteristic in the manufacture of pulp used in paper is the pulp brightness. Pulp brightness is measured with a reflectance meter. Each of four shift operators makes five pulp hand-sheets from unbleached pulp. Reflectance is measured for each of the hand-sheets using the reflectance meter. Each operator measures the hand-sheets she/he has made. The data are given below and the JMP analysis appears at the end of this homework assignment. Mean, Yi Variance, si2 O1 60.3 60.0 60.1 60.2 59.8 60.08 Operator O2 O3 59.8 60.7 60.2 60.7 60.4 60.5 59.9 60.9 60.0 60.3 60.06 60.62 O4 61.0 60.8 60.6 60.5 60.5 60.68 0.037 0.058 0.047 0.052 a) Explain briefly why this is an observational study? b) Comment on the plot of the data. Be sure to discuss both center and spread. c) Calculate, by hand, the value for the Least Significant Difference (LSD) using t=3. Indicate which pairs of operators have differences in mean reflectance that are statistically significant. d) How does your analysis in c) compare to JMP using Comparisons - Each pair, Student's t and an individual error rate of = 0.01? Because each operator measured the hand-sheets that she/he had made, we can’t be sure if differences in mean reflectance are due to how the operators make the hand-sheets or how they measure the hand-sheets. e) If we were interested in looking at differences due to the way the operators make the hand-sheets, how would you change the data collection to investigate this? f) If we were interested in looking at differences due to the way the operators measure the hand-sheets, how would you change the data collection to investigate this? 1 2. A manufacturer of videotape runs an experiment to investigate the relationship between the video tape manufacturing line speed and the number of flaws in an 800 meter roll of videotape. There are four line speeds (10, 20, 30 and 40 decimeters per second). Only one manufacturing line is used in the experiment. There is one operator for the line. All the raw material comes from the same batch. The flaws on each video tape will be counted by the quality engineer using a detailed operational definition of what a flaw is. Six video tapes are manufactured for each line speed. The order of the 24 runs (rolls of videotape) will be completely randomized. The data are given on the next page. Y s2 10 10 5 12 8 14 8 9.5 10.3 Line Speed (dcm/sec) 20 30 14 13 12 18 16 10 13 13 9 15 8 18 12.0 14.5 9.2 9.9 40 17 16 12 15 22 14 16.0 11.6 a) Comment on the control of outside variables, randomization and replication within the experiment. Be specific. b) Comment on the general trend in the plot of tape flaws versus line speed. c) Code the line speed using the formula below. Calculate the simple linear regression line relating density to coded line speed. Line Speed- 25 C1i 2 10 d) Reverse the coding for your equation in c) to obtain the simple linear regression relating number of tape flaws to line speed. Graph this line on your plot in a). e) Predict the number of tape flaws for a line speed of 35. f) What percentage of the variability in the number of tape flaws is explained by the linear regression with line speed? Note: SSTotal=352.0. 2 g) Is there a significant linear relationship between the number of tape flaws and line speed? How do you know? Caution: Be sure to use MSRepError h) Add a quadratic term to you prediction equation by using the coded variable: C C 2i 1i 2 i) j) 2 15 12 What percentage of variability in the number of tape flaws can be explained by the addition of this quadratic term? Is the quadratic term statistically significant? How do you know? Caution: Be sure to use MSRepError Oneway Anova for the Reflectance of Pulp Hand-sheets Study Summary of Fit Rsquare Adj Rsquare Root Mean Square Error Mean of Response Observations (or Sum Wgts) Analysis of Variance Source DF Operator 3 Error 16 C. Total 19 0.685575 0.626621 0.220227 60.36 20 Sum of Squares 1.6920000 0.7760000 2.4680000 Mean Square 0.564000 0.048500 F Ratio 11.6289 Prob > F 0.0003* Means Comparisons Comparisons for each pair using Student's t t Alpha LSD 2.92078 0.01 0.40682 Abs(Dif)-LSD O4 O3 O1 O2 O4 -0.40682 -0.34682 0.193182 0.213182 O3 -0.34682 -0.40682 0.133182 0.153182 O1 0.193182 0.133182 -0.40682 -0.38682 O2 0.213182 0.153182 -0.38682 -0.40682 Positive values show pairs of means that are significantly different. Level O4 O3 O1 O2 A A B B Mean 60.680000 60.620000 60.080000 60.060000 Levels not connected by same letter are significantly different. 3