STAT 644: Advanced Bayesian Theory Fall 2014 Instructor: V. Roy Office: 3415 Snedecor Hall Phone: (515) 294-8701 Email: vroy@iastate.edu Course Website: BlackBoard Learn Lecture: T/R 3:40-5:00 PM, Pearson 1105 Office Hours: M/W 2:10 - 3:10 PM or by appointment Prerequisites: Stat 544 and Stat 642 Textbooks and References: For Bayes theory An introduction to Bayesian analysis Theory and Methods by J.K. Ghosh, M. Delampady and T. Samanta, Springer 2006 edition Theory of Statistics by M. J. Schervish, Springer 1996 edition Bayesian Theory by J. M. Bernardo and A. F. M. Smith, Wiley 2000 edition For general state space Markov chain theory Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability by S. P. Meyn and R. L. Tweedie, Springer 1993 edition (Available at http://probability.ca/MT/) Measure Theory and Probability Theory by K. B. Athreya and S. N. Lahiri, Springer 2006 edition Course Description: The course will generally cover the following topics: Bayes Theory Exchangeability, Parametric models Consistency and asymptotic normality of posterior distributions, Posterior robustness Selection of priors using formal rules Improper priors and posterior propriety Bayes factors, Model selection (Time Permitting) 1 MCMC Theory Irreducibility, Harris recurrence, Regeneration Minorization, Drift, Ergodicity, Limit theorems MCMC and techniques for speeding up convergence of certain MCMC algorithms Grading: In-class participation (30 %), final project and presentation (70 %) Disability Access: If a student has a disability that qualifies under the Americans with Disabilities Act and Section 504 of the Rehabilitation Act and requires accommodations, he/she should contact the Student Disability Resources (SDR) office for information on appropriate policies and procedures. SDR is located on the main floor of the Student Services Building, Room 1076. Their phone number is 515-294-7220. If you have a documented disability and anticipate needing accommodations in this course, please contact me within the first two weeks of the semester. Please have SDR complete a SAAR form verifying your disability and specifying the accommodations you will need for this course. You will need to present this form to me. 2