“Climate Change Law, Adaptation, and Sustainability” Panel organized by CLEAR, ELI, and ASIL Rio+20 Conference, June 15, 2012, Rio de Janeiro THE PRIVATE SECTOR AND CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION: INCENTIVES, BARRIERS, AND THE LAW Maria L. Banda Contents 2 • Private Sector Adaptation: Drivers, Barriers, and Assessment • The Role of the Law • Toward a New Framework for Private Sector Adaptation 3 Private Sector Adaptation • What is adaptation? • Why is adaptation necessary? • Drivers of private sector adaptation • Barriers to private sector adaptation • Current state of private sector adaptation What is adaptation? 4 “Adjustment in natural or human systems in response to actual or expected climatic stimuli or their effects, which moderates harm or exploits beneficial opportunities” (IPCC) ¨ Various types of adaptation can be distinguished, including: ¨ ¤ “Autonomous adaptation” (e.g. based on cost-benefit calculations or market changes) ¤ “Planned adaptation” (e.g. energy conservation based on a deliberate policy decision in order to return to, maintain, or achieve a desired state) Why is adaptation necessary? 5 ¨ ¨ Mitigation and adaptation are both required to reduce the impacts of climate change Even with aggressive GHG emissions reductions, climate change impacts are now unavoidable in many regions, as the benefits of new cuts would not be felt until after 2040 (UNEP) Extreme weather events, water scarcity, loss in crop productivity, loss of biodiversity, sea level rise ¤ By 2040, the cost of climate damage could rise to $1 trillion/ year ¤ Developing countries are particularly vulnerable: between 2010 and 2050, they are facing a cost of $70-100 billion/year to meet their climate change adaptation needs (World Bank) ¤ 6 Climate Change Adaptation – a multi-stakeholder, multipronged (mandatory and voluntary), and a multi-level approach (international, national, regional, and local) Source: DiploFoundation 2012 (diplomacy.edu) Private Sector Adaptation 7 The private sector is a critical source of adaptation innovation, technology, as well as financing solutions ¨ Climate change impacts will affect almost every aspect of business, but early action can reduce risks ¨ Despite growing awareness of the need for adaptation, the private sector has not yet risen to the task ¨ What is driving private sector adaptation? 8 ¨ Risks from climate change: ¤ Physical/operational (e.g. extreme weather events – Energy Corp.) ¤ Indirect exposure (e.g. pension funds) ¤ Market risks (e.g. shift in consumer demand), etc. ¨ Opportunities from climate change ¤ New “adaptation marketplace” (Oxfam), e.g. SwissRe insurance products in Ethiopia ¨ CSR / corporate citizenship /reputation risk are NOT a sufficient driver What are the barriers to private sector adaptation? 9 ¨ ¨ ¨ Uncertainty about climate change impacts and quantifying risks Short planning horizons (except for, e.g., pension funds, utilities) Upfront costs vs. long-term benefits ¤ E.g. the private cost of capital may be higher than socially desirable discount rate to ensure the welfare of future generations ¨ Private costs vs. public benefits ¤ E.g. beach developers will not bear the full burden of coastal flooding ¨ Regulatory uncertainty What is the state of private sector adaptation? 10 ¨ ¨ ¨ Private sector focus to-date: GHG mitigation Widespread awareness of the need for adaptation has not translated into concrete actions. Companies take a “wait-and-see” approach to adaptation ¤ “No regret” or “soft measures” predominate. “Hard” measures are rare à There are insufficient incentives for companies to adapt today Sources: CDP, UNEP, PWC, OECD, IFC. 11 The role of the law • Risks of mal-adaptation • Reaching optimal adaptation Why is the law critical for private sector adaptation? 12 ¨ ¨ Market forces alone are insufficient to drive private sector adaptation Moreover, autonomous actions may reduce the public good or result in “mal-adaptation” ¤ ¨ Maladaptation: “Any changes in natural or human systems that inadvertently increase vulnerability to climatic stimuli; an adaptation that does not succeed in reducing vulnerability but increases it instead” (IPCC) Regulatory and legislative measures can be a critical catalyst for optimal private sector adaptation by: ¤ Removing barriers to action ¤ Restructuring incentives ¤ Enabling private sector action What are the risks from maladaptation? 13 Piecemeal, self-interested mal-adaptive actions may ¨ Undermine long-term, societal goals ¤ ¨ Conflict with the goal of GHG mitigation ¤ ¨ E.g. artificial instead of natural storm barriers (such as wetlands or mangrove forests) Encourage resource competition and exacerbate community vulnerability and inequity ¤ ¨ E.g. energy-intensive climate-proofing of buildings Under-provide public goods ¤ ¨ E.g. climate-resistant mono-crop plantations threaten biodiversity E.g. monopolizing water use rights Be too little, too late What are the features of optimal adaptation? 14 Optimal adaptation should achieve: ¨ Timely, effective, and comprehensive action ¨ Policy coherence (with mitigation, sustainable development, and disaster management) ¨ Equity and community resilience ¨ Provision of public goods (e.g. biodiversity) ¨ Resilient ecosystems – “green infrastructure” (e.g. wetlands or mangrove forests as natural storm barriers) Regulatory/legislative response can facilitate optimal adaptation by 15 ¨ ¨ ¨ ¨ ¨ ¨ ¨ Creating an enabling environment for private sector adaption (and avoiding the “first-mover” problem) Sending a strong market signal and lengthening business time horizons (e.g. to encourage long-term financing) Averting mal-adaptation Ensuring the provision of public goods Coordinating private sector adaptation with community resilience and equitable growth (“Green Economy”) Aligning adaptation with mitigation, sustainable development, and disaster management policies Expediting the adaptation process 16 Toward a New Framework for Private Sector Adaptation • The Business and Human Rights Model • Mapping exercise • Final Caveat What sources of law are needed for adaptation? 17 ¨ ¨ ¨ There is no single “law of adaptation.” The government can incentivize private sector adaptation through a patchwork of regulations adopted for other reasons The appropriate regulatory measures will be highly localized and sector-specific, because the underlying climate risks and opportunities (and the level of autonomous adaptation) are also highly localized and sector-specific While incentivizing an optimal level of private sector adaptation requires primarily a domestic response, it will also need alignment with international law obligations How can we begin developing a legal framework for private sector adaptation? 18 The reports of the UN Secretary-General’s Special Representative on Business and Human Rights provides a useful model for policymakers and lawyers: ¨ Six years of research involving governments, companies, civil society, and investors ¨ Phase I identified and clarified existing standards and practices, including impact of investment agreements, corporate law, and securities regulations. Key finding: many fragmented initiatives, but none could move markets ¨ Phase II developed a common, integrated framework (“Protect, Respect, Remedy”) ¨ Phase III began implementing the Framework through concrete, practical recommendations that could build on existing laws and norms (“Guiding Principles” 2011) Source: A/HRC/17/31 The emerging map of “adaptation law” 19 Corporate Property CSR Tax Investment Treaty Environmental Municipal Codes Insurance What are the building blocks for private sector adaptation? (1/3) 20 Various municipal, state, and national laws provide the basic foundations to develop a coherent and mutually-reinforcing law of adaptation. For example: ¨ Water Regulations: Cross-Sectoral Effect Limits on use and irrigation ¤ Demand-side measures (e.g. metering) ¤ Efficiency incentives ¤ Rethinking private ownership (e.g. South Africa National Water Act) ¤ ¨ Building Codes: Construction Sector ¤ ¨ Stringent control of land development / construction Quality Standards: ¤ Encourage durability / longevity of products What are the building blocks for private sector adaptation? (2/3) 21 ¨ Securities Law: ¤ Financial reporting: require disclosure of climate risks and adaptation actions (as “material” or “significant”) ¨ Corporate Law: ¤ Fiduciary duty: broaden definition to encompass stakeholders ¤ Supply-chain management: directors’ duty of oversight over corporate subsidiaries in third countries ¤ Regulate the extraterritorial activities of businesses domiciled in their jurisdiction What are the building blocks for private sector adaptation? (3/3) 22 ¨ Tax law: ¤ Tax credits for adaptation investments ¤ Remove mal-adaptive subsidies ¨ Insurance Law: ¤ Create enabling framework: e.g. weather-index insurance (India) Finally . . . ¨ Enforcement ¤ Access to courts and expanded rules of standing Adaptation and International Law 23 ¨ Optimal adaptation requires aligning domestic measures with international obligations and mainstreaming adaptation in multilateral finance and investment institutions. E.g.: ¤ Bilateral investment treaty obligations or investment contracts (adaptation-focused regulations as indirect expropriation?) ¤ International trade obligations (adaptation-focused regulations as non-tariff barriers?) ¨ International environmental law offers principles to guide planned adaptation: ¤ Precautionary principle ¤ Cross-border management (e.g. for shared watersheds) 24 A final caveat • • • Though developing the law can help optimize adaptation, it will not suffice on its own Many regulatory and legislative measures will be seen as punitive (and politically unpalatable) unless the underlying problem of pricing is addressed This will require: • • • Rethinking the measures of economic growth to discourage resource over-exploitation and mal-adaptation Valuing positive externalities like ecosystem services (the “life support systems”) to encourage conservation of public goods (forests, biodiversity, clean water, etc.) Internalizing negative externalities