Optional FE Review: Probability, computational tools, ethics Chris Rehmann Probability and statistics • Measures of central tendency and dispersion (e.g., mean, mode, standard deviation) • Estimation for a single mean (e.g., point, confidence intervals) • Regression and curve fitting • Expected value (weighted average) in decision making Central tendency & dispersion: ex. P1 The mean of the numbers 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 5, 5, 5, 10, & 100 is A. B. C. D. 1 3 13 50.5 Central tendency & dispersion: ex. P2 The median of the numbers 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 5, 5, 5, 10, & 100 is A. B. C. D. 1 3 13 50.5 Central tendency & dispersion: ex. P3 The mode of the numbers 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 5, 5, 5, 10, & 100 is A. B. C. D. 1 3 13 50.5 Central tendency & dispersion: AUC #22 Estimation for a single mean: ex. P4 Three samples from a normally distributed population with standard deviation of 1000 are 3650, 8035, and 5727. The 95% confidence interval on the mean is most nearly A. B. C. D. [355, 11253] [3650, 8035] [3844, 7764] [4672, 6936] Estimation for a single mean: ex. P5 Three samples from a normally distributed population with unknown standard deviation are 3650, 8035, and 5727. The 95% confidence interval on the mean is most nearly A. B. C. D. [355, 11253] [3650, 8035] [3844, 7764] [4672, 6936] Regression and curve fitting: ex. 6 A least-squares line fit to (0, 2), (1, 0), and (2, -3) is most nearly A. B. C. D. y = -1.5x y = 2.17 – 2.5x y = 2 – 2.5x y = 2 – 2x Regression and curve fitting: AUC #25 Expected value in decisions: Ex. 7 A student group is planning an outdoor event. If no rain occurs, their profit will be $200. If they have to cancel because of rain, they will lose $100. If the chance of rain is 30% and they do not know what the weather will be, their expected profit is most nearly A. $60 B. $110 C. $140 D. $200 Expected value in decisions: AUC #27 Computational tools • Spreadsheet computations • Structured programming (e.g., if-then, loops, macros) Spreadsheet computations: AUC #41 Structured programming: AUC #44 Structured programming: AUC #45 Structured programming: AUC #46 Ethics and professional responsibility • Codes of ethics (professional and technical societies) • Professional liability • Licensure • Sustainability and sustainable design • Professional skills (e.g., public policy, management, and business) • Contracts and contract law Ethics & responsbility: example E1 The first responsibility of licensed civil engineers is to A. B. C. D. Their companies Their clients The public welfare The American Society of Civil Engineers Ethics & responsibility: AUC #47 Ethics & responsibility: AUC #48 Ethics & responsibility: AUC #49 Ethics & responsibility: AUC #50 Ethics & responsibility: AUC #51 Ethics & responsibility: AUC #52 Ethics & responsibility: AUC #53 Ethics & responsibility: AUC #54