Mathematical representations of the relationship between demand and explanatory variables Major factors affecting demand in a given O-D market › Price of air travel › Total trip time, T › Demographics of the market Additive P › D=a-b P D Q P Multiplicative › D=a P b , b<0 D Q Elasticity is a measurement of the responsiveness of quantity demanded to changes in price › Negative for “normal” goods › Typical range, -0.8 to -2.0 “elastic” demand “inelastic” demand › Leisure Travel › Business Travel P P D 10% 10% D Q 16% Q 8% P Airlines will aim to increase revenue by › Increasing fares for inelastic business travelers › Reducing fares for elastic leisure travelers D Q “elastic” demand “inelastic” demand › Business Travel › Leisure Travel T T D 1% 1% D Q X% Q Y% Traditional demand segments: › Business › Leisure Not all business or leisure travelers have the same characteristics or preferences Price and Time sensitivity can be used to identify different demand segments Price Sensitivity Low High Time Sensitivity Low High I Time Sensitivity & Insensitive to Price II Time Sensitive & Price Sensitive IV Insensitive to Time & Insensitive to Price III Price Sensitive & Insensitive to Time For a given O-D Market, › D = M x Pa x Tb › M: market size parameter › P: average air travel price › T : Total trip time › a, b : price and time elasticities Business Air Travel Demand Personal Air Travel Demand First Class Dfb Dfp Coach Class Dcb Dcp Discount Class Ddb Ddp Good demand models are very useful as predictive tools of O-D demand Price and Time elasticity are important factors for demand segmentation › Proper demand segmentation increases revenue Airlines provide different classes or qualities of service at different price levels